usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi . Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, okay fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin sikke se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback

USD/JPY currency pair ke prospects ko technical analysis ke zariye samajhte hain. Hum resistance aur support levels, volumes, aur basement indicators par focus karenge. Chart ko dekhte hain:

Aaj pair achi movement dikhati rahi, lekin target tak nahi pohnchi. Chart ke mutabiq, pair ne support level 141.75 ko test kiya aur ab currently 142.41 par trade kar rahi hai. RSI middle range mein move kar raha hai aur downward direction mein thoda uncertain lag raha hai. AO bhi sell signal de raha hai aur pair pichle din ki trading range ke neeche hai. Yeh signals weak hain lekin decline ka likelihood dikhate hain. Mera estimation hai ke price support level 141.75 ko dobara test karegi.

Technical analysis ke basis par, cautious selling ki recommendation di ja rahi hai current prices se, jiska target 141.80 rakha gaya hai. Yeh target slightly above the support level 141.75 hai, jo ke ek strategic entry point ho sakta hai agar market downward trend follow karti hai. Selling position ko enter karne se pehle yeh zaroori hai ke market ki volatility ko samjha jaye, kyunki market sudden changes ke liye subject ho sakti hai.

Support level 141.75 ke paas price test karne ke baad, agar decline continue hota hai, to aapke selling targets ko achieve kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin, market ki unpredictability ko bhi consider karna zaroori hai. Yeh level ek critical point hai jahan se market ki movement ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar price is level se bounce back karti hai ya upward trend show karti hai, to selling position ko re-evaluate karna zaroori hoga.

Risk management bhi important hai; isliye, apne stop-loss aur take-profit levels ko clearly define karna chahiye. Agar market unexpected movement dikhati hai, to aapka stop-loss aapko excessive loss se bachane mein madad karega. Isliye, apne risk ko assess karna aur market ke changes ko timely track karna zaroori hai.

Summary mein, cautious selling ki strategy ko consider kiya ja sakta hai with a target of 141.80, lekin market ke sudden changes ko dekhte hue, careful risk assessment zaroori hai. Trading decisions ko analyze karte waqt market ke indicators aur support levels par nazar rakhna essential hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. H1 chart par, main bearish sell level ko tor chuka hoon, jis se mazeed downside ka imkan paya jata hai, aur yeh bearish bias ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Bearish level 146.011 se girawat ab tak 90 points se zyada ki hai, jo H1 chart par profit lene ke liye kaafi range banata hai. USD/JPY ab bhi bearish hai, jo mazeed girawat ka ishara de raha hai, aur yeh girawat 144.699 support, bullish trend line ya Bollinger bands tak ho sakti hai. H1 chart par abhi bullish potential nazar nahi aa raha. Agar bulls bullish buy level ko torh dete hain, to bearish priority khatam ho jaye gi, aur main Bollinger lines aur resistance 149.259 ki taraf growth ka tajziya karna shuru karunga.
Jaisa ke aap ne pehle bataya tha, hum 145.12 level ko torhne mein kamiyab nahi ho sake. Ek koshish hui thi, lekin pair jaldi se wapas pull back kar gaya. USD/JPY ne rebound karne ki koshish ki aur 145.69 ke ooper chadna chaaha, magar ab doosri koshish ho rahi hai ke yeh level ke neeche consolidate kar sake. Agar yeh kaamiyab hota hai, to pair triangle ke lower border, jo ke 144.59 ke qareeb hai, tak move kar sakta hai, aur wahan se agay ka raasta dekha jaye ga. Agar 145.69 se bounce milta hai, to triangle structure shortened waves ka imkan deta hai, jiska matlab yeh hai ke upper boundary 146 tak bhi izafa ho sakta hai. Asian session mein hum Japan ke business activity data ke muntazir hain, jisme pehle wale figure ke muqable mein thoda izafa umeed kiya ja raha hai. Hum is indicator par nazar rakhenge. Aaj yen ki taqat mein izafa shayad China ke issues aur commodities aur resource currencies ke girawat ki wajah se hai. Dekhte hain ke in factors ka USD/JPY ke direction par aglay ghanton mein kya asar hota hai

USD/JPY ka analysis karte hue, hum dekh sakte hain ke 5 August ke lows ke aas-paas USD/JPY ki value gir gayi thi aur phir recover hui hai. Ab 4-hour chart par ek bullish Hammer Japanese candlestick pattern ban raha hai. Agar yeh pattern current session ke end tak barqarar raha, to yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke ek significant pullback ya higher correction shuru hone wala hai.

US 10-year T-note ke yield ke girne ke bawajood, USD/JPY late Friday ko North American session mein aur bhi gir gayi. Safe-haven currencies jaise Japanese Yen ke siwa, Greenback ne G8 ke doosre currencies ke muqablay mein kuch ground hasil kiya. Abhi USD/JPY ka pair trade ho raha hai


Aakhri US Nonfarm Payrolls data ke baad, USD/JPY mein kafi volatility dekhne ko mili, jo ke din ke dauran 230-pip range ke andar thi. Lekin jab sab kuch settle ho gaya, to sellers ne apni dominance banaye rakhi. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke trend ki strength ko measure karta hai, niche ki taraf shoot kar raha hai, jo yeh confirm karta hai ke momentum hostile ho gaya hai.

USD/JPY ke liye pehla support area psychological level 142.50 hoga. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to agla target 142.00 hoga, aur aaj ka low 141.77 ke baad aayega. In do levels ko break karne ke baad, decline continue kar sakta hai August 5 ke low 141.69 tak.

Dusri taraf, pehla resistance point August 26 ka 143.44 daily low hoga. Is level ke breach hone par, important resistance levels reveal ho sakte hain. Tenkan-Sen 144.49 par open hogi, jabke Senkou Span A 145.00 par open hogi. Kijun-Sen 145.73 par hogi, jo ke agla resistance level ban sakta hai.

Is analysis se yeh samajh aata hai ke USD/JPY ke short-term movement mein abhi bhi kuch uncertainty hai. Agar bullish Hammer pattern confirm hota hai aur psychological support levels break nahi hote, to pair ke liye ek significant pullback ya upward correction dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin agar resistance levels ko break kiya jata hai, to pair ke upward movement ko bhi nazar mein rakha jana chahiye. Overall, USD/JPY ke current trend aur technical indicators se yeh pata chal raha hai ke market mein momentum ka trend abhi hostile hai, aur traders ko iske hisaab se apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

Fundamental Phase of USD/JPY
Pehle September ko, USD/JPY ne 0.40% se barh kar 146.74 ka level pakra. Monday ko U.S. ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga.

### Technical Phase of USD/JPY

Is waqt, USD/JPY oversold rebound adjustment mein hai. Jab U.S. dollar ke interest rates ke rate cut cycle ke shuru hone ki umeed hai, to dollar ka upward trend lena unrealistic lagta hai. Short-term mein, USD/JPY ka 149-150 area ek important resistance banata hai. Agar is resistance ko break nahi kar paaya, to trend downward direction mein continue karne ki umeed hai.
Fundamental Phase of USD/JPY

Pehle September ko, USD/JPY ne 0.40% se barh kar 146.74 ka level pakra. Monday ko U.S. ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga.

### Technical Phase of USD/JPY

Is waqt, USD/JPY oversold rebound adjustment mein hai. Jab U.S. dollar ke interest rates ke rate cut cycle ke shuru hone ki umeed hai, to dollar ka upward trend lena unrealistic lagta hai. Short-term mein, USD/JPY ka 149-150 area ek important resistance banata hai. Agar is resistance ko break nahi kar paaya, to trend downward direction mein continue karne ki umeed

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USD/JPY ki current pricing behavior ko discuss aur analyze kar rahe hain. USD/JPY ke chart par, price 147.19 par ruk gayi thi, jahan double top form hua, jis se ek local reversal aya aur aaj 199-point ki decline hui. Yen ki strength Bank of Japan ke Governor Ueda ke comments ki wajah se thi, jinhon ne kaha ke woh zaroorat parne par iss saal ke baad mein interest rates ko raise karne ke liye tayar hain. Iske natije mein, pair 145.12 tak gir gaya. Technically, price dobara uss ascending channel mein wapas agayi jis se woh recently nikli thi. Yeh pair channel ki lower boundary ko test karne ke imkaan mein hai, aur raat ke dauran 144.89 ko test karne ka bhi chance hai, uske baad upward movement phir se shuru ho sakti hai. Yeh dollar mein mazboot movements ko prompt kar sakti hai, lekin Asian session ke dauran reactions yen ke favor mein bhi ho sakte hain. Yeh behtar hai ke market se door raha jaye jab tak upcoming data releases se wazeh trends saamne na aa jayein.

Market ne pair ko 145.12 tak drive kiya, aur yeh pair ya to 145.00 se neeche tootega aur apni decline ko jari rakhega — mumkin hai ke yeh 146.08 ke kareeb correct kare — ya phir yeh pair 147.17 ke upar break karke upar chala jaye, jo ke US dollar ki continued strength ki support se hoga. Yakeenan, dollar ki correction promising lagti hai, magar yen ke paas iss waqt koi strong drivers nahi hain, jis se yeh dollar ke movements par munhasir ho jata hai. Aaj, tail ki keemat mein 4% ki kami hui, jo ke China se mutaliq media reports ki wajah se ho sakti hai, jahan economy ke baray mein bara khauf hai jo ke ek global recession tak le ja sakta hai. Sona ki keemat bhi kam hui hai, jo ke Chinese central bank ke recent zyada gold kharidne ki wajah se ho sakti hai. Struggling economy ke saath, yeh mumkin nahi lagta ke woh khareedari jari rakhega, jo future demand ke baray mein sawal uthata hai. Hum kal ke US labor market ke key data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, aur Frida ko mazeed reports ki tawakku hai.

USD/JPY ke price move par hamari guftagu chal rahi hai, jise hum analyze kar rahe hain. Aaj USD/JPY pair mein girawat dekhi gayi, jo apne target tak pohanch gayi hai, aur abhi support level 145.44 par test kar rahi hai aur kareeb 145.81 par trade ho rahi hai. RSI middle range mein hai aur upar ki taraf trend kar rahi hai, jab ke Awesome Oscillator (AO) ne oversold condition ko signal diya hai. Pair abhi bhi pichlay din ke trading range se neeche hai, jo possible reversal ki nishandahi karta hai. Yeh price 146.94 ke resistance level ko test karegi.

Is waqt mein 4-hour time frame par USD/JPY pair ko monitor kar raha hoon, jahan sellers ne price ko kaafi neeche dhakel diya hai, lekin unka momentum kamzor ho raha hai. Mujhe buying opportunity 144.063 par nazar aa rahi hai, aur profit target upper resistance level 146.778 par rakha hai. Yeh setup ek favorable risk-to-reward ratio offer karta hai, jo ke munasib profit ki taraf le jaa sakta hai agar market ke halat munasib taur par develop hon.


Yeh pair daily chart par chand dino se upward move kar raha tha, lekin aaj is mein bearish movement nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh nahi keh sakte ke downtrend jaari rahega ya humein kisi mukhtalif scenario ke liye tayar hona chahiye. Aaj ke news ke mutabiq, US se positive data saamne aaya hai, aur abhi mazeed kisi bara update ki tawakku nahi hai. Waisay hi, 10 saal ke Japanese bond auction khatam ho chuki hai, aur Japan se bhi kisi bara update ki ummed nahi hai. Taqreeban wazahat hasil karne ke liye, aayiye USD/JPY ki technical analysis par nazar daalte hain. Moving averages selling suggest kar rahe hain aur technical indicators bhi sell ki taraf hain, jo further bearish movement ki taraf ishaara karte hain. Lekin abhi bhi ek decisive move ki zaroorat hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke aaj sideways movement ho sakti hai, jahan sales support level 145.49 tak ja sakti hain aur buys resistance level 146.29 tak. Is liye, mujhe tawakku hai ke pair qareebi arsa mein sideways trade karega.

Hamari guftagu mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajziya karenge. Price reading indicators ki buniyad par, meri trading approach yeh darshati hai ke is waqt is currency pair ko khareedna ek behtareen waqt hai. System ke musalsal signals yeh darshate hain ke bulls ne control hasil kar liya hai, isliye khareedna abhi priority hai. Heiken Ashi candlesticks, jo traditional Japanese candlesticks se behtar tareeqay se price quotes ko smooth aur average karti hain, reversals, corrective pullbacks, aur impulsive movements ko pehchaanay mein madad karti hain. 100 Moving Average channel indicator, jo Moving Average chart par current support aur resistance levels ko outline karta hai, asset ke movement boundaries ko kisi bhi waqt clear view provide karta hai. Momentum oscillator overbought aur oversold zones ko highlight karta hai, jo pair ke liye hai. In tools ka combination technical analysis process ko behtar banaata hai aur galat market entries ke chances ko kam karta hai.
Specified pair ka chart ranging candlesticks ko blue mein show kar raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke bullish sentiment ne bearish outlook ko overtake kar liya hai, jo ek acha mauka hai long position lene ke liye. Price quotes pehle channel ke lower boundary se neeche gir gayi thi, lekin sabse neeche point tak pohanchne ke baad, yeh channel ke central line ki taraf rebound hui. RSI (20 indicator) bhi is buy signal ko support karta hai, kyunki iska upward-directed curve overbought level se kaafi neeche hai, jo long position ko align karta hai. In observations ko dekhte hue, successful buys ki probability high hai, jo long trade kholne ke liye justify karti hai. Main channel ke upper boundary ke aas-paas, price quote 141.643 ke nazdeek profits lene ki umeed rakhta hoon. Jab order profitable zone mein chale jaye, to position ko breakeven par shift karna behtar hoga, kyunki market dynamics aksar false movements ke saath expectations ko disrupt kar deti hain.

aham resistance level lagbhag 147.141 par mojood hai, jo ek moti laal line se nishan zadah hai. Is ilaqay ko kai dafa price ne test kiya hai, lekin har dafa jab price isay chhoti hai, to wapas neeche gir jati hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke is level par selling pressure bohot zyada hai. Dosri taraf, ek support level 145.148 ke qareeb hai, jo filhal price movement ke liye ek critical point bana hua hai. Yeh support area blue zone se bhi taqatwar bana hua hai, jo demand zone ya potential buying area ko zahir karta hai.
Is waqt price support area ke ooper rehne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar price is support par qaim rehta hai aur neeche nahi girta, to yeh mumkin hai ke price wapas upar ki taraf move kare aur resistance level 147.141 ko dobara test kare. Lekin agar yeh support level selling pressure ko bardasht na kar saka aur price isay taqatwar torh deta hai, to yeh umeed hai ke price mazeed gir kar aglay support level 144.000 ya is se bhi neeche chala jaye.

Candlestick pattern par nazar daali jaye, to kuch dilchasp signs dekhne ko milte hain. Ab tak, jab se price resistance area mein apni peak par pohncha hai, wahan se kaafi dominant bearish candlesticks bani hain, jo kafi taqatwar selling pressure ko zahir karti hain. Lekin jab price support level 145.148 ke qareeb pohnchi, to kuch neeche girne ki rujhan mein rokawat dekhne ko mili, jo kuch candlesticks ke lambay neeche wicks se zahir hoti hai. Yeh ek aghaaz ho sakta hai ke buyers is area mein wapas ayan ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur price ko mazeed neeche girne se bacha rahe hain.

Agli trading move ke liye do scenarios nazar mein hain. Pehla scenario bullish hai, jismein main yeh umeed karta hoon ke price support level 145.148 ke uper qaim rahega. Agar aisa hota hai aur koi strong bullish candlestick pattern jaise ke bullish engulfing ya pin bar nazar aaye, to yeh ek signal ho sakta hai ke long position enter ki jaye, aur profit target resistance level 147.141 ke qareeb rakha jaye. Dosra scenario bearish hai, agar price support level 145.148 ko significant volume ke sath torhta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho ga ke selling pressure abhi bhi bohot zyada ha

bulls ne zyada lambi growth hone nahi di. Is waqt wave structure ab bhi neeche ki taraf build ho raha hai aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai, lekin signal line ke upar hai. Yeh lag raha hai ke price current August ke minimum ko update karegi, aur usse update karne se pehle takreeban 200 points ka faasla hai. Agar August ke minimum ko update kiya jata hai, to bullish divergence shayad MACD aur CCI indicators par banegi, ya donon par ek sath bhi ban sakti hai. Indicators ki maujooda position se yeh signal ko pehle se predict kiya ja sakta hai. Is waqt kaam karne ki priority chhoti timeframes par hai, aur downwards rollbacks ke dauran aur sale formations ki emergence tak hi restricted rehna chahiye, kam se kam tab tak jab tak 141.66 ka minimum update nahi hota, uske baad dekha jayega. Filhal, neeche ke pressure mein koi kamzori ke signs nahi hain. Kyunke low kareeb hai, price iske par bhi ja sakti hai, jab tak overall market ka movement US dollar ke haq mein jaaye, jo ke mumkin hai. Doosri currencies bhi lag rahi hain ke US dollar ke muqablay mein mazeed weak ho rahi hain. Hamesha trend ke sath kaam karna behtar hota hai, kyunke is tarah success ke chances barh jate hain, aur hamara trend downwards hai daily chart se neeche tak. Haan, kuch ahem news bhi aa sakti hain jo market ko impact karengi. Agar US dollar ke haq mein news achi aati hain, to low pass nahi hoga chahe wo kitna bhi kareeb kyun na ho. 15-30 Moscow time par: US ke Average hourly earnings, Non-agricultural sector mein employed persons ki tadad mein tabdeeli, US ke economically active population ki share, Private non-agricultural sector mein employed persons ki tadad mein tabdeeli, aur US ki Unemployment rate ki report release hogi. Geopolitical tensions Middle East mein barh rahi hain, jo pair ko support de sakti hain. Itwaar ko Israeli airstrike ne do schoolon ko target kiya jisse kam az kam 30 logon ki jaan gayi, jaisa ke Reuters ne report kiya hai. Aur US Secretary of State Tony Blinken ne alert kiya hai ke Iran aur Hezbollah Monday tak Israel par strike kar sakte hain, jo Axios ke mutabiq mukhtalif sources ne bataya hai. Ye escalating geopolitical tensions Japanese Yen ko mazeed bolster kar sakti hain. Blinken ke G7 counterparts ke sath statements se conflict ka risk barh raha hai, jo safe-haven assets jaise ke JPY ki demand ko barha sak

Chaliye D1 period ka chart dekhte hain - USDJPY currency pair. Pichle haftay ka zyada tar hissa sideways dekha gaya, lekin phir bhi upar gaya, jo ke American dollar ki majbooti ki khabron ki wajah se tha jo market mein general strengthening ka sabab bana. Yahan wave structure abhi bhi downward order mein build ho raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke upar. 145.10 ka horizontal level ne price ko poore haftay resistance diya. Jab price iske niche thi, to decline ke continue hone ka zyada chance tha, lekin ye level abhi bhi upar ki taraf break hua, jo ke is waqt downward scenario ko side par rakh raha hai. Daily candle ne is resistance level 145.10 ke upar fix kiya, jo ke ek true breakout tha. Isse pehle growth ke attempts successful nahi rahe. Ab price growth ka high probability hai jo pichle growth wave ka maximum hai, ie 149.47 ke level tak. 154.10 ke broken level tak rollback preliminary possible hai, jo ke ab support ban gaya hai aur ek mirror ban gaya hai. Decline ka resume tabhi consider kiya jayega jab is level ke niche reverse consolidation hota hai, tab hum shayad August ka low update karne jayenge jo 140.28 aur 141.79 ke levels ke beech hoga. Is senior period ko dekhte hue, din ke chhote periods mein sirf purchases consider kiye jate hain jab growth ke formation hota hai. Growth ke haq mein ek additional signal CCI indicator ka position hai, jo lower overheating zone se nikal kar upar ki taraf directed hai. Plus, wahi indicator older weekly chart par bhi lower overheating zone se upar ja raha hai. Aam taur par, market mein doosre major pairs bhi US dollar ki strengthening ki taraf aimed hain. Aaj downward rollback hai, aur meri rai mein, price ko buy karne ke liye pakadna zaroori hai. Aaj ki khabrein jo note ki ja sakti hain: 16-45 Moscow time - US Manufacturing Business Activity Index (PMI). 17-00 - US Construction Expenditures, ISM Manufacturing Employment Index, ISM Manufacturing Business Activity Index (PMI

hai. Iss waqt, yeh pair 146.149 par trade ho raha hai. Yeh behtar waqt ho sakta hai ke abhi ke market rate par sell kar diya jaye. Aaj ke khulnay se ab tak ke faaslay se yeh maloom hota hai ke khareedari ka moqa kareeb hai, jo ke bechne walon ke liye mauzoon halaat paida kar raha hai. Agar hum market mein 146.149 par dakhil hotay hain, to stop loss 146.174 ke aas paas hona chahiye. Is trade ke liye ideal munafa ka target mazboot support level ke kareeb, 145.192 par hai. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, short positions band karna samajhdaari hogi, kyun ke uske baad ooper ki taraf ek corrective rebound aasakta hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ki neechli hadd par takra sakta hai, jis ke baad qeemat apni correction ko jaari rakhte hue pehli correction wave ke upper point ke kareeb zone, yani 147.322 par pohanch sakti hai. Hum yahaan se aik downward rebound ki tawakku kar sakte hain, lekin is rebound ki taqat abhi bhi gair yakeeni hai. 145.91 ke price test ke waqt MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ki taraf move kar raha tha, jis ke natijay mein scenario No. 1 sell ke liye execute hua. Is ka nateeja ye hua ke pair mein 50 se zyada pips ki girawat hui. Jaise ke tawakku thi, Federal Reserve ki minutes ki release ke baad dollar par dabao barha, jis ne pair ko weekly low tak pohanchne mein madad ki. Aaj ke Asian trading session mein, yen thoda sa kamzor hua kamzor manufacturing activity ki khabron ke baad, jo ke Japan ke services sector ki nisbat qawi growth se offset hui. Yeh bhi composite PMI mein thori si izafa ka sabab bana. USD ki wazeh kamzori USD/JPY ko neeche ki taraf dhakelti rahegi, lekin ab sab kuch Jerome Powell ke kal ke speech par munhasir hai, is liye mujooda level par short positions mein ehtiyaat kijiye. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein Scenario No. 1 ke hawalay se buy signals ko dekhoonga. Aaj, mein USD/JPY ko khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon jab yeh green line ke chart par 145.56 ke aas paas entry point par pohanche ga, aur maqsad 146.13 par pohanchna hai, jo ke chart par mazboot green line se dikha gaya hai. 146.13 ke ilaaqe mein, mein long positions se nikal jaonga aur mukhalif rukh mein short positions kholonga, aur level se mukhalif rukh mein 30-35 pips ki movement ki tawakku karunga. Hum aaj ke din mein pair ke ooper ki taraf ek upward correction ka hissa hone ki umeed karte hain. Aham: Khareedne se pehle, yaqee

waqt price support area ke ooper rehne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar price is support par qaim rehta hai aur neeche nahi girta, to yeh mumkin hai ke price wapas upar ki taraf move kare aur resistance level 147.141 ko dobara test kare. Lekin agar yeh support level selling pressure ko bardasht na kar saka aur price isay taqatwar torh deta hai, to yeh umeed hai ke price mazeed gir kar aglay support level 144.000 ya is se bhi neeche chala jaye.
Candlestick pattern par nazar daali jaye, to kuch dilchasp signs dekhne ko milte hain. Ab tak, jab se price resistance area mein apni peak par pohncha hai, wahan se kaafi dominant bearish candlesticks bani hain, jo kafi taqatwar selling pressure ko zahir karti hain. Lekin jab price support level 145.148 ke qareeb pohnchi, to kuch neeche girne ki rujhan mein rokawat dekhne ko mili, jo kuch candlesticks ke lambay neeche wicks se zahir hoti hai. Yeh ek aghaaz ho sakta hai ke buyers is area mein wapas ayan ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur price ko mazeed neeche girne se bacha rahe hain.

Agli trading move ke liye do scenarios nazar mein hain. Pehla scenario bullish hai, jismein main yeh umeed karta hoon ke price support level 145.148 ke uper qaim rahega. Agar aisa hota hai aur koi strong bullish candlestick pattern jaise ke bullish engulfing ya pin bar nazar aaye, to yeh ek signal ho sakta hai ke long position enter ki jaye, aur profit target resistance level 147.141 ke qareeb rakha jaye. Dosra scenario bearish hai, agar price support level 145.148 ko significant volume ke sath torhta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho ga ke selling pressure abhi bhi bohot zyada hai. Is surat mein, main short position enter karne ka sochunga, aur profit target aglay support area 144.000 par rakhoon ga, jabke stop loss ko torhe gaye support level se chand pips uper set karonga

USDJPY Analysis
Jumma ke din USDJPY ne apni girawat ko jaari rakha. Aaj subah USDJPY trading ka aghaz 143.39 par hua, lekin phir yeh gir kar 142.69 par aa gaya. Is girawat ke baad h1 timeframe ka support level jo 143.01 par tha, neeche se tor diya gaya.

Agar h1 timeframe se tajziya kiya jaye, toh sirf kuch hi pips baaqi hain ke demand area jo 142.09 par hai, usay touch kiya jaye. Agar candle demand area ko paar kar leti hai, toh lagta hai ke USDJPY aur bhi zyada gir sakta hai. Magar agar candle demand area ko torhne mein nakam rehti hai, toh ho sakta hai ke wahan se retracement ho.

Aap ke tajziye ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke USDJPY abhi aur neeche jaayega kyun ke ek bearish engulfing pattern bana hai aur candle abhi Moving Average 12 aur Moving Average 16 ke areas mein move kar rahi hai. Aaj ke liye, meri bhi yeh prediction hai ke USDJPY ke paas girne ka mauqa abhi bhi hai, kyun ke Ichimoku indicator ke mutabiq candle ki position abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai. Is liye, mein aapko sell positions kholne ka mashwara doonga. Aap apna take profit target 141.78 ke aas paas rakh sakte hain.

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj USDJPY ka movement abhi bhi gir kar 142.70 ke price tak ja sakta hai. H1 timeframe mein USDJPY ne bearish engulfing candle banayi hai, jo ke SELL ka kaafi strong signal hai. Iske ilawa, RSI 14 indicator ko dekh kar lagta hai ke abhi tak USDJPY ka price 142.92 par oversold nahi hua, is liye kaafi imkan hai ke aaj dopahar tak USDJPY gir kar 142.70 par aa jaye.

SELL USDJPY signal ko MA indicator bhi support kar raha hai, kyun ke MA 12 aur MA 16 lines abhi tak USDJPY ke current price 142.92 ke upar hain. Is liye kaafi mumkin hai ke aaj USDJPY ka price gir kar 142.80 tak jaaye. Meri technical analysis ke natayij ke mutabiq, aaj mein ne faisla kiya hai ke USDJPY ko 142.70 par SELL karoon.

USDJPY Analysis
Jumma ke din USDJPY ne apni girawat ko jaari rakha. Aaj subah USDJPY trading ka aghaz 143.39 par hua, lekin phir yeh gir kar 142.69 par aa gaya. Is girawat ke baad h1 timeframe ka support level jo 143.01 par tha, neeche se tor diya gaya.

Agar h1 timeframe se tajziya kiya jaye, toh sirf kuch hi pips baaqi hain ke demand area jo 142.09 par hai, usay touch kiya jaye. Agar candle demand area ko paar kar leti hai, toh lagta hai ke USDJPY aur bhi zyada gir sakta hai. Magar agar candle demand area ko torhne mein nakam rehti hai, toh ho sakta hai ke wahan se retracement ho.

Aap ke tajziye ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke USDJPY abhi aur neeche jaayega kyun ke ek bearish engulfing pattern bana hai aur candle abhi Moving Average 12 aur Moving Average 16 ke areas mein move kar rahi hai. Aaj ke liye, meri bhi yeh prediction hai ke USDJPY ke paas girne ka mauqa abhi bhi hai, kyun ke Ichimoku indicator ke mutabiq candle ki position abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai. Is liye, mein aapko sell positions kholne ka mashwara doonga. Aap apna take profit target 141.78 ke aas paas rakh sakte hain.

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj USDJPY ka movement abhi bhi gir kar 142.70 ke price tak ja sakta hai. H1 timeframe mein USDJPY ne bearish engulfing candle banayi hai, jo ke SELL ka kaafi strong signal hai. Iske ilawa, RSI 14 indicator ko dekh kar lagta hai ke abhi tak USDJPY ka price 142.92 par oversold nahi hua, is liye kaafi imkan hai ke aaj dopahar tak USDJPY gir kar 142.70 par aa jaye.

SELL USDJPY signal ko MA indicator bhi support kar raha hai, kyun ke MA 12 aur MA 16 lines abhi tak USDJPY ke current price 142.92 ke upar hain. Is liye kaafi mumkin hai ke aaj USDJPY ka price gir kar 142.80 tak jaaye. Meri technical analysis ke natayij ke mutabiq, aaj mein ne faisla kiya hai ke USDJPY ko 142.70 par SELL karoon.