USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi . Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, okay fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin sikke se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai

USD/JPY ki qeematon ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Aam tor par, agar bullish trend lagatar barh raha ho to ye ek dilchasp aur complex pattern banata hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, jab trend line tor di gayi thi, to ek technical rejection expect kiya gaya tha, jo ke hone bhi laga. Iske baad, bearish momentum ka challenge local minimum 141.787 ke aas paas expected tha, aur 139 figure ka breakdown ka bhi socha gaya tha. Lekin ye scenario jaise expect kiya gaya tha waisa nahi hua. Iske bajaye, ek buyer ne achanak se bearish momentum ka counter kiya aur bullish correction phase shuru kar diya. Ye movement koi khatarnaak nishani nahi hai, lekin sellers shayad zyada capital chah rahe hon. Filhal, mujhe lagta hai ke bearish trend jari rahega. Kal ke uptick ke baad, USDJPY ne aaj kursi hi raasta badal diya, magar koi zyada kamzori nahi dikhayi. Jab correction extend hui, to price 145.13 tak aa gayi, lekin ye level tabhi critical hai jab bears isse aur neeche le jayein. Aaj ke downward movement ne support level 145.93 ko tor diya, aur ab price uske neeche stabilize karne mein struggle kar rahi hai. Agar price stabilize ho jati hai to sell entry point tayar ho sakta hai, jo pair ko agle support level 144.73 tak le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar bulls wapas upper hand le lein, to price 145.93 ke upar stabilize ho sakti hai aur bullish trend ko continue kar sakti hai. 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, bulls ne abhi tak 50% resistance level 149.62 tak advance complete nahi kiya hai, aur bears intervene kar rahe hain, bearish market ko redirect karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Chart dikhata hai ke price thoda rebound hui hai 1/8 angle se aur 1/13 angle ke upar hai. Agar bearish movement momentum gain karti hai, to bear price ko aur neeche le ja sakte hain, shayad ek full bearish cycle resume

Yeh currency pair abhi downward trend ke mutabiq move kar raha hai agar hum current event ko dekhen. Pehli movement ko madde nazar rakhein to main yeh andaza laga sakta hoon ke price lower limit ki taraf ja rahi hai, aur agar yeh breakout hota hai to iska matlab hoga ke price mazeed neeche jane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Jab test ho raha hoga, main rebound pe northern direction mein entry ka mauqa dhoondunga, aur agar kisi chhoti frame mein buying ka pattern nazar aaya to usay identify karunga.
Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke regulator ne is haftay intervene kiya jab price bina kisi wazeh wajah ke decline karna shuru hui, us waqt jab buyers ne heavy EMA 120 ke upar apni position secure karli thi. Is hafte main ghaur se dekhunga ke price narrowing formation mein kaise behave karti hai aur haftay ke aakhir mein movement ke natayej ke mutabiq kya priorities samne aati hain. Ab tak, direction dono sides ki taraf ho sakti hai, lekin preference ab bhi southern side ko hi hai.

Main weekly chart par dollar yen pair ko dekh raha hoon. Yeh pair ascending trend line ke upar trade kar raha tha. Jab buyer ne apna profit fix karna shuru kiya, to pair ne decline karna shuru kar diya. Yeh kafi actively gir rahi thi, aur phir yeh 141.508 tak gir gayi. Chhoti timeframes, jaise ke daily chart par, main yeh samjha ke yeh buyers ke stops ko hit kar rahi thi.

Weekly chart par bhi yeh sab kuch future growth ke continuation jaisa lag raha tha. Phir bhi, mujhe koi wazeh wajah nazar nahi aayi thi ke pair kyun decline kar rahi thi. Ueda ne kaha ke Bank of Japan ki policy, jo wo pursue kar rahe hain, ka maqsad yen ko mazid strong karna nahi hai, balki sirf yen ke strong devaluation ko rokna hai. Mazid devaluation supply aur demand ke imbalance ko nahihai

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke current pricing behavior par baat kar rahe hain. Aaj USD/JPY pair ne decline kiya aur apne target ko pohanch gaya, support level 145.44 ko test kiya aur ab 145.81 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. RSI middle range mein move kar raha hai aur upwards trend dikhata hai, jabke Awesome Oscillator (AO) oversold condition ko signal kar raha hai. Pair abhi bhi pehle din ke trading range ke neeche hai, jo ke possible reversal ka ishara hai. Ab price resistance level 146.94 ko test karega. Filhaal, main USD/JPY pair ko 4-hour time frame mein dekh raha hoon, jahan sellers ne price ko kafi neeche push kiya hai, lekin unki momentum ab kam ho rahi hai. Mujhe buying ka ek mauqa 144.063 par nazar aa raha hai, jahan profit ka target upper resistance level 146.778 par hai. Yeh setup favorable risk-to-reward ratio offer karta hai, jo ke agar market conditions achi rahin to achi profit de sakta hai.
Pair ne daily chart par kayi din se upward move kiya hai, lekin aaj bearish movement nazar aa rahi hai. Abhi yeh clear nahi ke downtrend jaari rahega ya humein kisi aur scenario ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Aaj ki news ke mutabiq, US se positive data aya hai, lekin mazeed significant news ki umeed nahi. Japan se bhi koi bari update nahi aayi hai, jab 10-year Japanese bond auction khatam hui. Zyada clarity ke liye, chaliye technical analysis par nazar dalte hain. Moving averages selling ka ishara kar rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi sell recommendation ke sath align karte hain, jo ke aur bearish movement ka ishara hai. Lekin ek decisive move ki zarurat abhi bhi hai.

Current conditions ke mutabiq, main aaj ke din sideways movement dekh raha hoon, jahan sales ka imkaan 145.49 ke support level tak ho sakta hai aur buys 146.29 ke resistance level tak. Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke pair near future mein sideways trade karega

Sab ko subh bakhair aur guzishta hafta ke liye umeed hai ke aapka waqt mufeed raha hoga! USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai.
Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega.

Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain.

Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai

## Japanese Yen Trading Analysis aur Tips

**Price Test aur MACD Indicator:** Jab price 144.60 ka test kiya, MACD indicator already zero mark se kaafi niche aa chuka tha, jisne pair ke aage ke downward potential ko limit kar diya. Is wajah se maine dollar nahi becha aur pair ke downward movement ko miss kar diya. Halankeh US se acchi data ke bawajood, American dollar ko zyada support nahi mila. Pair ki decline kal se poori tarah se offset ho gayi, aaj ke Asian session ke dauran purchases se. Aisa lagta nahi ke yen ka strengthening Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino ke speech ki wajah se hai, isliye dollar ke bears shayad European session ke dauran jaldi se back karenge. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 144.69 ke entry point par buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, with the goal to rise to 145.32, jo thicker green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai. 145.32 ke area par, main long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction. Aaj pair ke upward correction ke framework mein rise karne ki ummeed hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur us se rise karna shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.30 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ke upward turnaround ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.69 aur 145.32 ke opposite levels tak growth ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj sirf tab bechne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 144.30 ka level test ho, jo pair mein tezi se decline laayega. Sellers ke liye key target 143.76 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction. USD/JPY par pressure kabhi bhi wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hue hain. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se niche hai aur decline hona shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi bechne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.69 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ke downturn ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.30 aur 143.76 ke opposite levels tak decline ki ummeed kar sakte

#panese Yen Trading Analysis aur Tips

**Price Test aur MACD Indicator:** Jab price 144.60 ka test kiya, MACD indicator already zero mark se kaafi niche aa chuka tha, jisne pair ke aage ke downward potential ko limit kar diya. Is wajah se maine dollar nahi becha aur pair ke downward movement ko miss kar diya. Halankeh US se acchi data ke bawajood, American dollar ko zyada support nahi mila. Pair ki decline kal se poori tarah se offset ho gayi, aaj ke Asian session ke dauran purchases se. Aisa lagta nahi ke yen ka strengthening Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino ke speech ki wajah se hai, isliye dollar ke bears shayad European session ke dauran jaldi se back karenge. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 144.69 ke entry point par buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, with the goal to rise to 145.32, jo thicker green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai. 145.32 ke area par, main long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction. Aaj pair ke upward correction ke framework mein rise karne ki ummeed hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur us se rise karna shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.30 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ke upward turnaround ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.69 aur 145.32 ke opposite levels tak growth ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj sirf tab bechne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 144.30 ka level test ho, jo pair mein tezi se decline laayega. Sellers ke liye key target 143.76 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction. USD/JPY par pressure kabhi bhi wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hue hain. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se niche hai aur decline hona shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi bechne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.69 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ke downturn ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.30 aur 143.76 ke

USDJPY H1 (US Dollar/Japanese Yen) ki 1-hour chart ko dekhte hue, maine conclude kiya hai ke sell karne ka option mumkin hai. Mere short position ke haq mein kuch points yeh hain:

Price abhi MA200 ke neechay hai, jo ke downward momentum ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Guzishta din ke doosre hisse mein, pair ne din ke aaghaz se neechay trade kiya aur trading day ko bhi neechay hi khatam kiya.
Market ki prices middle Bollinger Bands se neechay gir chuki hain, jo bearish trend aur instrument ki price mein mazeed girawat ke imkaan ko zahir karta hai.

Trading mein, main Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator (14) use karta hoon. Yeh overbought (70 se upar) ya oversold (30 se neeche) condition ko indicate karta hai. Iss period mein, RSI ki value short trade ke liye acceptable hai.
Target ke liye, main Fibo level 211% par take profit set karunga, jo 141.539 ki price point par hai. Yeh target hit hone ke baad, main position ko breakeven par le jaunga aur price ko mazeed southern Fibo marks tak move karunga. RSI indicator bhi sell signal ko accept karta hai, kyun ke yeh short position ke selection se tazad nahi rakhta - iska curve downward hai aur oversold level se door hai.

In sab ko dekh kar, mujhe lagta hai ke sell abhi sab se behtar option hai, is liye ek quick deal kholna theek hoga. Mera profit expectation channel ke lower limit (blue dotted line) par hai jo ke price quote 141.642 par hai. Jab order profitable zone mein chala jaye, toh position ko breakeven par lana behtar hoga, kyun ke market aksar humari expectations ko false moves se disrupt karne ki koshish karta hai.

US ke latest negative macroeconomic data ke peeche, USDJPY currency pair aaj decline hui hai aur abhi 144.00 level ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Kal US se ane wale important economic data ke release se pehle, main abhi market se door reh raha hoon. Positive US data pair ke increase ke imkaan ko reconsider karne ka mauka dega, lekin abhi is bare mein baat karna jaldi hoga. Dusri taraf, agar 142.00 ke support level se sustained break hota hai, toh yeh scenario invalidate ho jayega.

USD/JPY currency pair abhi ek mushkil aur ahem mor par hai, jahan mukhtalif forces uski direction par asar daal sakti hain. Bearish pressure ziada hai, jis ki waja Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki hawkish stance hai. Kuch mahinon ma BOJ ne apni ultra-loose monetary policy se hattne ke ishare diye hain, aur inflation ke barhne par tightening measures bhi le sakti hai. Is hawkish outlook ne yen ko mazboot kiya hai kyunke investors expect kar rahe hain ke Japan ma interest rates zyada honge, jo yen ko U.S. dollar ke muqablay ma zyada attractive banata hai.

Doosri taraf, Federal Reserve ki dovish outlook bhi ek counterforce hai jo USD/JPY ko ooper le ja sakti hai. U.S. economy slow ho rahi hai aur inflation bhi control ma hai, jis par Fed ne apne rate-hiking cycle ko pause karne ya end karne ke ishare diye hain. Is dovish stance aur U.S. economic outlook ki waja se dollar kamzor ho gaya hai, jo USD/JPY ki upward movement ko bhi rok raha hai. Yeh mukhtalif forces mil kar ek aisay mahal ko janam de rahi hain jahan yeh pair ya toh apne downward trend ko continue karega ya phir technical rebound ke liye koi mauka milega.

Technical nazariay se, USD/JPY abhi key support levels ke qareeb hai, jo iske aglay move ko tay kar sakte hain. Agar yeh levels hold karte hain, toh technical rebound mumkin hai, khas taur par agar market yen ki recent strength ko overextended samajhti hai. Traders isko ek mauka samajh sakte hain dip ko buy karne ka, khas taur par agar Fed ki dovishness U.S. dollar ko mazid kamzor karne lagti hai. Lekin, risk yeh bhi hai ke pair mazeed toot sakta hai, khas taur par agar BOJ ne tightening mein tezi dikhaai ya U.S. economic data mazeed negative raha. Is scenario mein, USD/JPY support levels ko breach kar sakta hai, jis se ek pronounced bearish trend shuru ho jayega.

Is uncertain environment mein, traders ko vigilant rehne ki zaroorat hai aur market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna hoga. BOJ aur Fed ki policy shifts ko monitor karna aur economic indicators par nazar rakhna bohat zaroori hoga taake potential volatility ko manage kiya ja sake. Technical aur fundamental signals par tawajjo de kar flexible rehna trading decisions ko sahi banane mein madadgar hoga is critical time par.

Japanese yen abhi bhi US dollar ke against apni strengthening trend ko jaari rakhe hue hai, aur weekly chart par USD/JPY mein clear downtrend form ho raha hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq sales signals dominate kar rahe hain, aur mein in par capitalize karne ka plan kar raha hoon. MACD histogram positive zone se bahar aa gaya hai, jabke RSI lines strongly bearish trend ki taraf ja rahi hain. Yeh indications significant downside potential ki taraf ishara karte hain, aur price 140.24 level ko test karegi. Indicators suggest karte hain ke price ka new low 141.694 par pohanchne ke chances high hain. Yen ki strengthening, US dollar ki weakening ki wajah se ho sakti hai, jo current market conditions ko dekhte hue increasingly plausible lag raha hai. Bullish movement ke chances hain, lekin mera focus decline par hi rahega, khas taur par descending trend line ke resistance level ke neeche, jo 161.620 high se start hui hai. Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka analysis karenge. Pair ke chart se upward price trend dikh raha hai, jo batata hai ke bulls is waqt bears par haavi hain. Zigzag line bhi upward point kar rahi hai, jisse long positions sabse zyada sensible strategy lagti hai. Auxiliary oscillators, MACD aur TNT bhi yeh confirm karte hain kyun ke yeh buyers ke liye favorable positions mein hain. Mera plan yeh hai ke position ko 61.8% Fibonacci level, jo 152.299 par hai, tak hold karoon. USD/JPY pair ke liye, mein continued sales ko consider kar raha hoon. Lekin, current levels se direct drop hona mushkil nazar aa raha hai. Agar pair upward correct hoti hai, toh mein selling opportunity dhundunga. Mera pehla sales target 143.84 hai, aur secondary target 143.49 par set kiya hai. Iss waqt, mein buying consider nahi kar raha. Pair ke paas abhi bhi girne ki jagah hai, potentially 140.19 ko target karte hue, lekin yeh level kuch der tak reh sakta hai. Main sell ke liye ek favorable entry point ka wait kar raha hoon, khas taur par jab move 146.49 ki taraf ho jaye, wahan main apni sales ladder setup karunga

USD/JPY pair ab aise nishaan dikhata hai ke buyers agle waqt mein dominate kar sakte hain. Jabke buyers ke samne challenges hain, wo apni positions ko barqarar rakhe hue hain. Maujooda conditions ko dekhte hue, umeed hai ke prices waqt ke sath barh sakti hain. Lekin, sellers abhi bhi significant influence rakhte hain aur apne control ko asaani se nahi chhodenge.
Current Market Dynamics

Is waqt, buyers struggle kar rahe hain lekin persist kar rahe hain, jo ke near future mein bullish shift ka ishaara hai. Agar current conditions waisa hi rahengi, to prices ke barhne ki strong likelihood hai. Fundamental data releases par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki ye market ke direction ko determine karne mein important role play karenge. Economic statistics ka impact bullish trend confirm karne mein key hoga.

Key Considerations for Traders

- Buyer Persistence: Challenges ke bawajood, buyers apni positions ko maintain kar rahe hain. Ye persistence is baat ki indication hai ke agar conditions favorable rahengi, to higher prices ki taraf shift ho sakti hai.
- Seller Influence: Sellers abhi bhi active hain aur market par influence daal rahe hain. Unki price action control ki ability ko aane wale economic data se test kiya jayega.
- Fundamental Data: Aane wale economic releases se market par significant impact padega. Positive data market ko bullish trend ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Wahi, weak data current bearish sentiment ko sustain kar sakta hai.
- Technical Correction: Agar market bullish direction ki taraf shift hoti hai, to corrections ke doran buying opportunities dekhna achha hoga. Bullish trend ke shift mein temporary dips aa sakti hain jo traders ko upward movement ka faida uthane ka mauka de sakti hain.

Long-Term Outlook

Historically, USD/JPY pair mein sustained downward movement ki kami rahi hai. Current downward trend ek temporary phase lagta hai, jo ke ek "tail" banane se pehle ka phase ho sakta hai. Ye perspective is baat ke sath align karta hai ke current bearish movement shayad ek stronger upward trajectory ka precursor ho sakti hai.

Conclusion

Summary ke tor par, USD/JPY pair bullish movement ke liye poised hai, buyers ki persistence aur aane wale fundamental data ke impact ko dekhte hue. Jabke sellers abhi bhi influence daal rahe hain, unka control favorable data aur market conditions se challenge ho sakta hai. Traders ko bullish signals ka intezaar karna chahiye aur corrective phases ke doran market mein enter karne par ghoor karna chahiye agar trend positive hota hai. Current downward

**USD/JPY Pair Ki Technical Analysis**

Haal filhal hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. Aam tor par ek musalsal bullish surge aik dilchasp aur pechida pattern pesh karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, breakdown zone ke andar aik technical rejection expect kiya ja raha tha jab trend line breach hui thi. Yeh event bilkul waise hi hua jaisa anticipate kiya gaya tha, aur standard logic ke mutabiq tha. Iske baad, bearish momentum ka expect tha ke woh 141.787 ke qareebi local minimum ki strength ko challenge karega aur phir 139 figure ka breakdown hoga. Lekin, yeh scenario waise unfold nahi hua. Iske bajaye, aik buyer achanak se samnay aaya, jo bearish momentum ka muqabla karte hue aik bullish correction phase start kar gaya. Yeh movement koi catastrophic situation nahi dikhata, lekin ho sakta hai sellers mazeed capital dhoond rahe hon. Filhal, main expect karta hoon ke bearish trend jaari rahega.

Technically, USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend ka ishara karta hai.

Kal ke uptick ke baad, aaj USD/JPY ne apna rukh badla, lekin abhi tak significant weakness nahi dikhayi. Jab correction extend hui, toh price 145.13 tak aa gayi, lekin yeh level tabhi critical banega agar bears is pair ko mazeed neeche push karte hain. Aaj ka downward movement support level 145.93 ko breach kar chuka hai, aur ab price ko iske neeche stable karna mushkil ho raha hai. Agar yeh hota hai, toh aik sell entry point establish ho ga jo ke pair ko aglay support level 144.73 tak lay ja sakta hai. Lekin agar bulls phir se upper hand le lete hain, toh price 145.93 ke ooper stabilize ho sakta hai, aur bullish trend continue kar sakta hai. 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, bulls abhi tak apni advance 50% resistance level 149.62 tak complete nahi kar paye, aur bears ne intervene karte hue market ko wapas bearish rukh mein lanay ki koshish ki hai. Chart dikhata hai ke price thori rebound hui hai angle 1/8 se, aur abhi angle 1/13 ke just uper rest kar rahi hai. Agar bearish movement mazeed momentum hasil karti hai, toh bears price ko neeche le jaa sakte hain, aur poora bearish cycle wapas shuru ho sakta hai.

MACD indicator already zero mark se kaafi niche aa chuka tha, jisne pair ke aage ke downward potential ko limit kar diya. Is wajah se maine dollar nahi becha aur pair ke downward movement ko miss kar diya. Halankeh US se acchi data ke bawajood, American dollar ko zyada support nahi mila. Pair ki decline kal se poori tarah se offset ho gayi, aaj ke Asian session ke dauran purchases se. Aisa lagta nahi ke yen ka strengthening Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino ke speech ki wajah se hai, isliye dollar ke bears shayad European session ke dauran jaldi se back karenge. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.
**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 144.69 ke entry point par buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, with the goal to rise to 145.32, jo thicker green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai. 145.32 ke area par, main long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction. Aaj pair ke upward correction ke framework mein rise karne ki ummeed hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur us se rise karna shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.30 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ke upward turnaround ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.69 aur 145.32 ke opposite levels tak growth ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj sirf tab bechne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 144.30 ka level test ho, jo pair mein tezi se decline laayega. Sellers ke liye key target 143.76 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction. USD/JPY par pressure kabhi bhi wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hue hain. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se niche hai aur decline hona shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi bechne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.69 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ke downturn ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.30 aur 143.76 ke opposite levels tak decline ki ummeed kar sakte

Sab ko subh bakhair aur guzishta hafta ke liye umeed hai ke aapka waqt mufeed raha hoga! USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai.
Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega.

Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain.

Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai

Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, okay fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin sikke se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte