USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

tak price upar push hui, aur 147.96 ka resistance level hit kiya. Ek breakout ki koshish hui, magar yeh nakam rahi. Uske baad yeh dobara range ke beech mein aayi aur phir se barhne lagi. Aam tor par, unhone accumulation area ko kaat diya, magar yeh khatam ho gaya. Yeh is liye khatam hua kyunke pichle haftay ke darmiyan bohat saari taja khabrein aayi, jis ne price ko uski neend se jagaya. Yeh upar gayi, aur ab wave structure apni sequence ko upar ki taraf bana raha hai, aur MACD indicator upper buy zone mein hai. United States ki khabrein positive hain, aur indicator ke results umeed se behtar hain, jo ke dollar ki current strength ko zahir karte hain. Agar aap first wave par target Fibonacci grid ko superimpose karein, to aap iss grid par expected growth ka target dekh sakte hain - 161.8 ka level. Yeh target level aam daily technical level 151.90 ke mutabiq hai. Market ne broken resistance level 147.96 ka pullback kiya aur ab yeh ek support level ke tor par serve kar raha hai. Friday ki trading mein, unhone ise niche push karne ki koshish ki, magar filhal hum ise level par aik ghalti samajh sakte hain, khaaskar jab hum niche se wave ke bottom ke sath ek ascending support line construct kar sakte hain. Pehli wave ke zariye set ki gayi target Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, specified target - 161.8 level tak upar ki taraf trend develop hone ka achi chance ab bhi hai. Agar price 147.96 ke level aur marked ascending line ke neeche merge hoti hai, to yeh mumkin hai ke price at least range ke neeche toot jaye jisme price move kar rahi thi, 146.00 se neeche, aur aage ke declines phir mushkil honge.Lambi muddat mein, agar dollar ka weakness barqarar rehta hai, to hum yen ko na sirf dollar ke muqable mein, balki doosri bari currencies ke against bhi appreciate karte dekh sakte hain. Yeh global forex markets ke liye bara asar dal sakta hai aur trading strategies par bhi farq daal sakta hai

USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage karte hue. Y USD/JPY pair ke recent trend line break aur continued bearish momentum strong bearish sentiment ko highlight karte hain. Technical aur fundamental analysis ko combine karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain, key levels aur broader economic trends ko leverage karte hue, aur risks ko
appropriately manage karte hue



USD/JPY currency pair par paisa kamane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aaj mein is instrument ki volatility ko dekh raha hoon aur yeh andaza hai ke yeh 157.164 ke support level tak decline karega, jahan se khareedna bohot munasib hoga. Baaki sab kuch instrument ki aaj ki volatility par mabni hoga. Kyunki mujhe 159.023 level tak growth ki umeed hai, main stop loss ko zyada door nahi rakhunga, lagbhag 157.139 ke level par. Expected profit aur limiting losses ka behtareen ratio hasil ho jayega. Agar stop loss level hit hota hai, to growth ke saath saare plans cancel kar dunga aur aaj ke liye bina profit ke reh jaunga. Main yeh bhi dekhna chahta hoon ke price 158.076 level par kaise react karega. Yeh bhi ek ahem role ada kar sakta hai. Agar aaj humein ek upward impulse milta hai, 158.00 range tak, to uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. Choti upward impulse 159.70 range tak ho sakti hai, phir wahan se fall continue hoga. Current level se corrective growth abhi bhi mumkin hai, lekin uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. 156.06 se choti impulse pehle hi ho chuki hai aur uske baad fall continue hoga. Current range se fall abhi bhi mumkin hai. Buyers price tag ko upar 158.80 se upar le ja sakte hain, lekin fall abhi bhi priority hai

USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage karte hue. Y USD/JPY pair ke recent trend line break aur continued bearish momentum strong bearish sentiment ko highlight karte hain



USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:
Market ke participants BoJ ke taraf se mumkin foreign exchange intervention ke liye high alert par hain, jo Yen ki girawat ko roknay ka sabab ban sakta hai. Central bank apna dovish stance barqarar rakha hai, magar kamzor Yen se hone wale inflationary pressures ke barhtay asraat ne policymakers ko apne options dobara dekhne par majboor kar diya hai. Rising bond yields ke risks ko kam karne ke liye, Japanese hukumat reportedly aik naya floating-rate bond introduce karne par ghoor rahi hai. Yeh move suggest karta hai ke officials BoJ ke mazeed interest rate hikes ke liye taiyar ho rahe hain, jo akhir kar mazboot Yen ka sabab ban sakta hai.
Doosri taraf, US Dollar ne mixed signals show kiye hain. Aik taraf, Federal Reserve officials ke dovish comments ne Greenback ko neeche rakha hai. Magar, rising US Treasury yields ne kuch support provide kiya hai. Jese economic landscape evolve ho raha hai, traders ADP Employment Change, ISM Services PMI, aur FOMC Minutes jaise key economic indicators ko closely dekh rahe hain

**USD/JPY Price Activity: Bullish Momentum Mein Economic Uncertainty Ko Samajhte Hue**

Aaj ka focus USD/JPY currency pair ke ongoing price movements ka analysis karna hai, jo ke daily Pivot level ke ird-gird consolidation dikhate hue bhi upward trend mein hai. In market opportunities se faida uthana ke liye aik well-structured trading plan ki zarurat hai, lekin is ke liye thorough analysis aur accurate forecasting zaroori hai. Continuous learning aur improvement forex market mein aage rehne ke liye bohot important hai.

### Key Resistance Levels aur Bullish Potential

Haal hi mein, USD/JPY pair ne 147.74 ke kareeb ek key resistance level ko test kiya hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, to aage aur gains ke liye raasta khul sakta hai, jisme aglay potential targets 148.52 aur 151.19 ho sakte hain. Is setup ko dekhte hue, current strategy yeh suggest karti hai ke buying opportunities par focus kiya jaye, aur risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye stop loss 145.35 level ke niche lagaya jaye. Yeh approach particularly relevant hai jab pair abhi 146.98 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke 145.40 aur 145.79 ke darmiyan support zone ki taraf clear path dikha raha hai.

### Short-Term Outlook: Consolidation aur Potential Downside

Overall upward trend ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair abhi consolidation mode mein lagta hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke short term mein selling pressure barqarar reh sakta hai. Yeh scenario tab zyada amplify ho sakta hai jab U.S. inflation data mein growth na ho ya phir decrease ho, jo ke U.S. Dollar par intense selling pressure dal sakta hai. Yeh khas tor par tab significant ho sakta hai jab Bank of Japan inflation ke response mein interest rates badhane par consider karega. Yeh situation Eurozone se contrast karti hai, jahan rate adjustments slower hain, aur U.S. Federal Reserve, jahan future rate cuts anticipate kiye ja rahe hain.

### Technical Indicators: Bullish Continuation Par Nazar

Hourly chart par kuch key indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke bullish correction abhi ke liye continue ho sakta hai. Price abhi 75% support level 145.68 ke just upar hai aur 1/12 angle ke kareeb hai, jo ek crucial area hai jahan bearish forces emerge ho sakti hain. Agar bulls control wapas le aate hain, to yeh 1/7 angle ko immediate next step ke tor par target kar sakte hain. Agar bullish momentum build hoti hai, to pair 50% resistance level 151.11 ki taraf push kar sakta hai, jo peechlay bearish trend se ek significant correction complete karay ga.

### Economic Factors: U.S. Inflation aur Market Sentiment

Aane wala U.S. inflation data USD/JPY pair ke aglay move ko determine karne mein aik critical factor hoga. Agar data lower-than-expected inflation reveal karta hai, to U.S. Dollar par significant selling pressure ho sakta hai, jo pair ko neeche le jayega. Doosri taraf, agar inflation stable rehti hai ya badhti hai, to pair apni upward trajectory continue kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan ka domestic inflation ke response mein interest rate hikes ka potential bhi pair ko influence kar sakta hai, jab traders Japan aur U.S. ke contrasting monetary policies ko weigh karte hain.

### Conclusion: USD/JPY Market Ke Liye Strategy Banana

Conclusion yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair aik pivotal point par hai, jahan bullish aur bearish dono factors khel mein hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, key resistance aur support levels par focus karte hue, aur upcoming economic data, khas tor par U.S. inflation figures, par nazar rakhni chahiye. Current strategy buying opportunities dhoondhne ki recommendation deti hai, jab ke market developments ke response mein positions adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Informed aur adaptable reh kar, traders USD/JPY market ki complexities ko better navigate kar sakte hain aur aglay significant move se potentially faida utha sakte hain.

USD/JPY ka specialized analysis
Ab market ke buyers ke side wapas aane ka waqt qareeb hai, jab ke bears apna corrective phase mukammal kar chuke hain. Agar hum pall (cloud) mein chalein, toh hum bears ke tamam posterior swells ko cancel kar sakte hain aur ek reversal mein chalein, aaram se highs par wapas jaate hue. Pechli dafa is position ke saath aik glass image tha, magar us waqt wo resistant tha. Ab jab ke bears breakthrough karne mein nakam rahe hain, toh market aasani se buyers ki taraf move karega, aur hum pall ke upar rise karenge. Jab hum top par wapas jaayenge, toh progress karenge. Buyers bina kisi tezi ke aise izafa ko guarantee kar sakte hain. Unhein ek verified position par concentrate karne ki zaroorat nahi hai kyun ke dollar ki abecedarian strength mazboot hai. Halankeh dollar weak hai, magar phir bhi yeh mojooda JPY se zyada mazboot hai. Market mein bohat se logon ka yeh maanna hai ke dollar ruble ke muqable mein gir chuka hai aur yeh ek weak currency hai, magar yeh such nahi hai.

Russians ab tamaam goods aur services ke liye zyada paise is liye de rahe hain kyun ke ruble dollar ke muqable mein barh gaya hai. Is ke bawajood, hum kisi bhi surat mein economically superior rahenge. Dollar ab bhi wazan rakhta hai, is liye main 1.1 long-term target se highs tak buy karta rahunga. Qareebi targets 150-210 points par adjust ho sakte hain. Agar aap "qareeb" barhain, toh ise mukammal karna mumkin hai. Agar 147.50 tak ke kisi bhi top levels ne aapki tawajju hasil nahi ki, toh aap Fibonacci grid ko map par drag kar sakte hain.

Daily chart par, USD/JPY do ahem levels dikhata hai jo ongoing decline se rebound ka sabab ban sakte hain. Pehla 147.19 hai; aur zyada ahem, weekly level 146.29 hai, jis se neeche koi significant weekly price consolidation nahi hui hai. Agar market is level ki weakness par react karta hai, toh bearish trend unpredictably continue kar sakta hai. Main dekhunga ke market in levels par kaise react karta hai jab naya trading week shuru hoga, taake mujhe current market direction ko behtar samajhne mein madad mil sake aur main informed trading decisions le sakoon. Yeh lagta hai ke bearish trend jaari rahega, aur last week ka bullish correction sirf aik temporary rebound tha daily price chart ke qareeb. Pair ne Friday ko 150.0 resistance zone se aggressively bounce kiya, aur Thursday ke daily candle ko absorb kar liya. Yeh mazeed downward movement ka ishara de sakta hai, aur shayad support 141.73 par break ho, jaisa ke lower moving average ek bearish continuation suggest karta hai.

USD/JPY pair mein ek aham girawat dekhi gayi, jo sirf aik chhoti si pullback nahi thi balki ek khaas kami mein tabdeel ho gayi. Agar hum daily timeframe ka tajziya karein, to ye wazeh hai ke price wapas us point ke qareeb aa chuki hai jahan yeh Thursday ke aghaz mein thi. Halankeh ye girawat ziada badi nahi thi, lekin is ne price ko lower moving average (MA) ke neechay dhakel diya, jo abhi 147.75 par hai. Iske ilawa, RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur stochastic indicators bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahe hain, magar unki signals itni mazboot nahi hain, jo yeh zahir karti hai ke bearish momentum filhal ziada taqatwar nahi hai.
Jab hum naye trading haftay mein dakhil hote hain, kuch scenarios par ghour karna zaroori hai. Agar downward trend jari rehta hai, to price lower Bollinger Band ke qareeb aa sakti hai, jo abhi 142.29 par hai. Bollinger Bands ek useful tool hain jo potential support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madad karte hain. Jab price lower band ke qareeb hoti hai, to aksar yeh is baat ka ishara hota hai ke asset oversold hai, jo buying ka ek moka ya kam az kam downward movement mein rukawat ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price Monday tak wapas upar chali jaye. Lower moving average ke neeche girawat itni mazboot nahi thi, jo yeh zahir karti hai ke shayad is lower movement ko sustain karne ke liye taqatwar selling pressure nahi hai. Agar price wapas lower MA ke upar chali jati hai, to yeh recovery ka ishara ho sakta hai. Is halat mein, hum price ko upper moving average aur middle Bollinger Band ki taraf move karte dekh sakte hain, jo abhi 149.98 par hain.

Key levels jin par nazar rakhni chahiye woh hain lower moving average 147.75, middle Bollinger Band 149.98, aur upper Bollinger Band 157.67 par. Agar price recover karke lower MA ke upar chali jati hai, to yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke kya yeh middle Bollinger Band ko bhi breach kar sakti hai. In levels ko paar karne mein kamiyabi ek mazboot upward movement ka ishara degi.

Agar price middle Bollinger Band ko breach kar ke upper Bollinger Band ke qareeb jati hai, jo 157.67 par hai, to yeh confirm karegi ke bullish momentum mazid taqat pakar raha hai. Upper Bollinger Band aksar uptrend mein ek target ke tor par kaam karta hai, aur is taraf move karna yeh zahir karega ke bullish trend jari rehne ke imkanaat hain.

Iske bar'aks, agar price recover karne mein nakam hoti hai aur girawat jari rehti hai, to humein ek gehri girawat ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Aisi surat mein, lower Bollinger Band 142.29 par aik critical support level ban jayega. Is level ke neeche move karna mazid downside potential ka ishara de sakta hai, aur hum price ko naye lows par test karte dekh sakte hain. In key levels par price action ko qareebi nazar se dekhna zaroori hoga taake behtareen trading decisions liye ja sakein.

Technical indicators ek mixed picture de rahe hain. RSI aur stochastic indicators dono downward movement dikha rahe hain, jo bearish sentiment ko reflect karte hain. Magar unki weak signals yeh zahir karte hain ke shayad selling pressure kam ho raha hai. Yeh aik aisi surat e haal paida kar raha hai jahan price ya to current levels ke ird gird consolidate kar sakti hai ya phir buying interest wapas aane par potential rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Technical indicators ke ilawa, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke kisi bhi aane wale economic data ya events ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye jo USD/JPY pair ko influence kar sakte hain. Economic releases, geopolitical developments, ya central bank actions currency movements par aham asar dal sakte hain. Relevant news aur economic reports par nazar rakhna additional context faraham kar sakta hai aur trading decisions ko behtar banane mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Akhir mein, USD/JPY pair mein haaliya girawat ne price ko key moving averages aur indicators ke neeche move kar diya hai, jo bearish trend ka ishara dete hain. Magar, rebound ka imkaan bhi maujood hai, khas tor par agar price lower moving average aur middle Bollinger Band ke upar recover kar sakti hai. Traders ko in key levels ke ird gird price action ko qareebi nazar se dekhna chahiye aur dono simt mein mumkin movements ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Bollinger Bands aur moving averages ke sath price ke interaction ko dekhna zaroori hoga taake is currency pair ke liye agle qadam ka pata lagaya ja sake

USD/JPY currency pair ke H4 chart ko Heiken Ashi candles, TMA (Triangular Moving Average), aur RSI indicators ke sath analyze karne par yeh lagta hai ke market abhi upar ki taraf jaane ka rukh rakhti hai aur buying strength mein bohot izafa ho raha hai. Heiken Ashi candles market noise ko smooth kar deti hain aur market ke dynamics ko behtar nazar aati hain, jo ke technical analysis ko enhance karti hain aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko improve karti hain.
TMA indicator, jo ke red, blue, aur yellow lines par mabni hota hai, support aur resistance levels ko do bar smooth kiye gaye moving averages ke base par define karta hai. Yeh indicator price movement ke current boundaries ko outline karta hai, traders ko potential price action ka behtar idea deta hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index), jo Heiken Ashi ke sath complementary oscillator ke tor par use hota hai, buying signals ko effectively confirm karta hai.

Chart ko dekhte hue, Heiken Ashi candles ne blue color le liya hai, jo ke strong bullish trend ka indication hai. Price ne channel ke lower boundary (jo red dashed line se dikhai gayi hai) ke niche cross kiya aur lowest price level se bounce kar ke channel ke middle line (yellow dashed line) ki taraf wapas move kar rahi hai. Yeh movement suggest karti hai ke price Heiken Ashi candles se milne wale bullish signal ke sath align ho rahi hai.

RSI oscillator bhi buying signal ko support karta hai, kyunki iska curve upar ki taraf move kar raha hai aur overbought level ke qareeb nahi hai. Indicators ka yeh alignment ek long position enter karne ke liye favorable opportunity ko suggest karta hai. Is trade ka target channel ke upper boundary par hoga, jo blue dashed line se indicate kiya gaya hai, aur iska price level 151.611 hai.

Summary yeh hai ke current analysis Heiken Ashi candles, TMA, aur RSI indicators ke combination ke base par ek profitable long trade ka strong potential suggest karta hai. Bullish signals aur price ke channel ke middle line ki taraf movement is baat ko support karti hai ke upward trend significant ho sakta hai. Isliye, long trade place karna aur channel ke upper boundary tak reach karna promising strategy lagti hai

USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements ka analysis kafi interesting hai. Monday ko, trend line ke liye jo ongoing battle hai, wo continue rehne ki umeed hai, jisme dono taraf ki parties ka mukhtalif success ho sakta hai. Is waqt market main entry lena aise hai jaise coin toss karna, kyunki bears is trend line ko resistance ke tor par use kar sakte hain, jo ke growth ko breakout zone se reject karne ke tor par interpret kiya ja sakta hai. Dono sides ke equal chances hain, is liye Monday ko main market main jaldbazi nahi karunga. Balki, is crucial area main price movement ko closely observe karna behtar hoga.

Pichle hafte main ne bulls ko favor kiya tha, jisse pair 164.09 price zone tak push kiya gaya. Lekin pair resistance level ke upar hold nahi kar saka. Yeh failed breakout false tha ya natural occurrence, yeh abhi tak clear nahi hai, lekin ab agay barhna zaroori hai. Agar pair phir se is zone ko break karta hai, toh agle hafte mein continued growth ki umeed hai.

Dollar ki current weakness ko madde nazar rakhte hue, pair ka trend bearish ho sakta hai. Monday ke market activity se zyada clarity milegi. Jumma ke din, pair ne ek strong bearish move experience kiya. Daily chart ka sideways movement questions raise karta hai ke kya pair bearish move continue karega ya phir isi sideways range main rahega.

Monday ke liye technical analysis downward movement continue hone ka ishara deta hai. Moving averages sell ka signal de rahi hain aur technical indicators bhi is outlook ko confirm karte hain. Recommendation hai ke sell kiya jaye. Monday ko important news main US index of leading economic indicators ka release hai, jo negative hone ki umeed hai. Japan se koi significant news nahi hai. In sab factors ko dekhte hue, main further declines ki umeed kar raha hoon, jisme sales 146.59 support level tak ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar koi buying opportunity mile, toh wo 148.24 resistance level tak ja sakti hai. Main anticipate kar raha hoon ke ek bearish move hoga, lekin wo sideways trend ke andar hi rahega, aur yeh hi mera rough trading plan hai Monday ke liye.

USD/JPY pair mein upward movement ho raha hai, lekin abhi bhi yeh bohot patla hai. 151.90 ka support ek significant zone hai jo potential decline ke liye lower boundary ka kaam karta hai, kyunki is area mein rejection observe ki gayi hai, jisne price ko abhi tak rise karne diya hai. Yeh bohot likely hai ki price phir se MA 100 level ko test karega, jo 157.19 ka price hai. Ya phir, ek longer target 160.24 ke qareeb ho sakta hai, fresh supply area mein.

1. Candlestick ki current position 200 period ke Simple Moving Average indicator line se neeche hai, jo USD/JPY pair mein sellers ki strong influence ko darshata hai, jo price ko consistently neeche dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur bearish trend ko maintain kar rahe hain jo kai hafton se chal raha hai.
2. Dusri taraf, 5-period ke Relative Strength Index indicator ki conditions ko monitor karne ke baad, jo abhi bhi level 70 se thoda neeche hai, yeh bhi ek strong signal hai ki price abhi bhi neeche ja raha hai. Market mein high volatility ho rahi hai, jo kai dinon se observe ki gayi hai, kyunki sellers ki taraf se USD/JPY market mein zyada sales transactions ho rahe hain. Yeh khaskar last Wednesday ko evident tha, jab price ne us trading session mein significant downward movement experience kiya.
3. Smaller timeframe mein price position ko monitor kiya gaya hai, jo abhi 50 period ke Simple Moving Average line se upar hai aur thoda correction upward kar raha hai. Yeh likely hai ki aaj ka price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area mein consolidate hoga, kyunki aisi conditions aksar Tuesdays ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai.
4. H1 timeframe mein marke trend conditions ko dekhne ke baad, yeh bohot clear hai ki yeh abhi bhi downward phase mein hai, lekin range bohot wide nahi hai. Is week ki trend thoda bearish hai, jabki USD/JPY pair ki trend July 2024 ke shuru mein trading session ke baad upward move kar rahi hai. Yeh matlab hai ki is week ki market conditions abhi bhi monthly trend ke sath consistent hain

Good morning doston jo is waqt Investsosial forum pe online hain, aap sab kaisay hain is Monday ko? Umeed hai hum sab hamesha sehatmand rahain aur aaj hum sab trading mein achay munafa hasil karain. Kal mere journal ko dekhne ka bohot shukriya, umeed hai ke wo maloomat aur analysis hum sab ke liye mufeed sabit ho. Aaj subha mein USDJPY currency pair ki movement ko fundamental aur technical analysis ke zariye discuss karun ga taake aagey ka order dene mein madad milay.
Aaj subha USDJPY currency pair ki movement lagta hai ke abhi bhi apni girawat par markoza hai aur yeh shayad 147.55 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh girawat is liye hai kyunke aaj subha yen ka exchange rate mazid mazboot ho gaya hai jab se Japan mein cast machinery orders mein 2.1% ka izafa dekhne ko mila hai, jis se USDJPY currency pair ka rate wapas gir ke 147.60 par aa gaya. Iske ilawa, is waqt US dollar ka exchange rate bhi kaafi kamzor hai inflation ke spike ki wajah se jo ke abhi bhi 2% se zyada hai, yani is mahine mein 2.9%. Iske saath saath, America mein building permits bhi kam hoke 140M par aa gayi hain, jis ki wajah se aaj USDJPY ke liye 147.55 tak kaafi gehri girawat ki umeed hai. Mere fundamental analysis ke natayij ke mutabiq aaj ke din ke liye maine faisla kiya hai ke USDJPY ko SELL karun ga 147.55 par.

Dosri taraf, meri technical analysis ke mutabiq USDJPY currency pair ki movement abhi bhi 147.50 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh is liye ke H1 time frame mein USDJPY currency pair ne bearish candle engulfing form ki hai jo ke ek bohot strong signal hai ke USDJPY ko 147.50 tak SELL kiya jaye. Iske ilawa, maine RSI 14 indicator pe observation ki to pata chala ke USDJPY ka rate 147.60 par oversold nahi hai ya sales se zyada saturated nahi hai, is liye USDJPY ke 147.40 tak girne ke kaafi chances hain. SELL USDJPY ka signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke zariye bhi support karta hai kyunke jab USDJPY ka rate 147.92 par aya to yeh already SBR area mein tha, is liye Asian market mein SELLERS abhi bhi USDJPY currency pair par dominate karte nazar aate hain. Mere technical analysis ke natayij ke mutabiq aaj ke din ke liye maine faisla kiya hai ke USDJPY ko SELL karun ga 147.40 tak

USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka analysis humara topic hai. Monday ko, main yeh expect karta hoon ke trend line ke control ke liye chalne wali jang jaari rahegi, lekin is kaamiyabi ke chances mukhtalif ho sakte hain. Market mein is stage par enter karna bilkul jaise ek coin flip karna hai. Magar, bears is trend line ko resistance ke tor par use kar sakte hain, aur is waqt ke growth ko breakout zone ko reject karne ke tor par dekh sakte hain. Dono sides ke chances barabar hain, is liye main Monday ko market mein jaldi karne ka irada nahi rakhta. Iske bajaye, main is important area mein price movement ko closely observe karunga. Pichle haftay, main bulls ko favor kar raha tha, jinhon ne pair ko 164.09 price zone tak push kiya tha. Magar, pair resistance level ke upar hold nahi kar saka. Yeh failed breakout false tha ya natural, yeh abhi clear nahi hai, magar agey barhna zaroori hai. Agar pair is zone ko dobara break karta hai, toh main expect karta hoon ke agli hafte growth continue hogi.

Lekin, dollar ki current weakness ko dekhte huye, pair bearish trend kar sakta hai. Monday ki market activity zyada clarity provide karegi. Friday ko, pair ne ek strong bearish move experience kiya. Daily chart sideways move kar raha hai, jo yeh sawal uthata hai ke kya pair bearish movement continue karega ya is sideways range mein hi rahega. Monday ke liye, technical analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke downward movement jaari reh sakti hai. Moving averages ek active sell signal kar rahe hain; technical indicators bhi is outlook ko confirm karte hain. Recommendation clearly sell karne ki hai. Monday ko important news mein US index of leading economic indicators ka release shamil hai, jo ke negative expected hai. Japan se koi significant news nahi hai. In factors ko dekhte huye, main expect karta hoon ke further declines honge, aur sales 146.59 support level tak ho sakti hain. Dusri taraf, purchases 148.24 resistance level tak extend ho sakti hain. Main anticipate karta hoon ke bearish move hoga lekin ek sideways trend ke andar, aur yeh mera rough trading plan hai Monday ke liye.

Japanese Yen (JPY) ki taqat barh rahi hai kyunki BoJ ke zyada rate hike ke chances badh gaye hain. Lekin, political uncertainty ki wajah se Yen ko challenges ka samna karna pad sakta hai; Prime Minister Fumio Kishida September mein dobara election ke liye nahi chaleinge, jo unki prime ministership ko effectively khatam kar dega.

US Dollar (USD) ko pressure ka saamna karna pad raha hai, jiska sabab US Treasury yields ka girna aur Fed rate cut ke badhte hue bets hain. Japanese Yen (JPY) ne Friday ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein rebound kiya, jo shayad Japan ke second-quarter GDP ke recent growth ki wajah se hua, jo BoJ ke near-term interest rate hike ke possibility ko support karta hai.

Lekin, JPY ko Japan mein political uncertainty ke wajah se challenges ka samna karna pad sakta hai, kyunki reports ke mutabiq Prime Minister Fumio Kishida September mein party leader ke liye dobara election nahi karenge, jo unki prime ministership ka term khatam kar dega.

USD/JPY pair ne niche move kiya hai kyunki US Dollar ne lower Treasury yields ke beech apni ground kho di hai. Iske ilawa, traders CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq September ke liye 25 basis point rate reduction ko fully price in kar rahe hain.

Phir bhi, Greenback ko recent better-than-expected US economic data se support mila hai, jo US mein recession ke concerns ko kam karta hai. Iske alawa, preliminary US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August aur Building Permits for July ko North American session ke doran dekha jayega. USD/JPY ne trend ko reverse kiya hai aur ab short-term mein upar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Halankeh isne abc correction complete kiya, lekin iske baad decline nahi hui, balki higher break kiya.

USD/JPY ne shayad apne short-term downtrend ko reverse kar diya hai aur ab higher highs aur higher lows ka naya sequence establish kar raha hai. "Trend is your friend" ke mutabiq, yeh suggest karta hai ke short-term mein bullish bias maujood hai. Trend ka change tab hua jab pair ne abc correction ke complete hone ke bawajood rise karna jaari rakha, jo normally pullback ke end aur dominant downtrend ke resume hone ka signal hota hai. Lekin, USD/JPY ke case mein, pair decline karne mein fail hua aur sideways trade kiya, phir August 15 ko decisive higher break kiya. Friday ko USD/JPY 148.80 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq, pair nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar hai, jo short-term bullish trend ko signal karta hai. Phir bhi, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche hai, aur ek additional rise bullish momentum ko confirm karega.

Support levels ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ko immediate support nine-day EMA par mil sakta hai, jo lagbhag 148.09 ke aas-paas hai. Agar pair is level se niche girta hai, to bearish outlook ko majbooti mil sakti hai aur pair ko seven-month low 141.69 ke taraf le ja sakta hai jo 5 August ko record hua tha. Agar decline continue hoti hai, to pair next support level 140.25 ke kareeb aa sakti hai.

Upside ke liye, USD/JPY pair 50-day EMA ko 153.08 par target kar sakta hai, aur resistance level 154.50 ko test karne ki possibility hai, jo pehle throwback support se current pullback resistance mein transition ho gaya hai.

Wave c ke top ke upar break karne se indicate hota hai ke short-term trend shayad bullish hai aur isliye rise continue hone ke zyada chances hain. 100-period Simple Moving Average (blue) abhi gains ko cap kar raha hai lekin iske upar close karne se probably continuation higher ko confirm kiya jayega target 150.90 (August 1 swing high), uske baad 151.94 (July 25 swing low) aur phir shayad 155.22 (July 30 swing high)

Good morning doston jo abhi investsosial forum par online hain. Aap sab ko is Monday ki subah ka salam, umeed hai aap sab khair makdam mein honge aur aaj trading mein achi kamai ho. Kal meri journal ko visit karne ke liye shukriya, umeed hai jo knowledge aur analysis share kiya, woh sab ke liye faida mand sabit hogi.

Aaj subah main USDJPY currency pair ki movement par discussion karunga, jismein main fundamental aur technical analysis dono ko madde nazar rakhoonga. Aaj subah USDJPY ki movement abhi bhi decline par focused lagti hai aur ho sakta hai ke yeh 147.55 tak gir jaye. Yeh decline yen ke exchange rate ke strong hone ki wajah se hai, kyunki Japan mein machinery orders data 2.1% se barh gaya hai, jiski wajah se USDJPY 147.60 tak gir gaya hai. Iske ilawa, US dollar exchange rate bhi abhi weak hai kyunki inflation abhi bhi 2% se upar hai, is mahine 2.9% hai aur America mein building permits bhi 140M tak kam ho gaye hain, isliye aaj USDJPY ke 147.55 tak girne ki puri umeed hai. Mere fundamental analysis ke mutabiq, aaj USDJPY ko 147.55 tak SELL karne ka faisla kiya hai.

Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY ki movement abhi bhi girne ki taraf hai aur yeh 147.50 tak ja sakti hai. H1 time frame mein USDJPY ne bearish candle engulfing bana liya hai, jo SELL USDJPY ke liye ek mazboot signal hai aur iski price 147.50 tak ja sakti hai. RSI 14 indicator ke mutabiq, USDJPY ki price 147.60 par oversold nahi hui, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke USDJPY 147.40 tak gir jaye. SELL USDJPY signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods bhi support karte hain kyunki USDJPY ki price jab 147.92 tak pohnchi, woh SBR area mein thi, aur Asian market mein SELLERS ka dominance abhi bhi dekhne ko mil raha hai. Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY ko aaj 147.40 tak SELL karne ka faisla kiya hai.

USD/JPY ki trading par nazar daali jaye to, aaj ka din 147.23 par khula. H1 timeframe mein, candle abhi bhi resistance area mein phansi hui hai. Agar yeh area successfully break ho jata hai, to USD/JPY mazeed upar move kar sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh resistance area cross karne mein nakam hota hai, to USD/JPY dobara gir sakta hai. Pichle Thursday ko, USD/JPY mein rise dekhne ko mili thi ek decline ke baad, khaaskar jab candle RBS zone mein phansi hui thi. Us waqt, uski movement kaafi high thi, kyun ke yeh takreeban 150 pips tak upar chala gaya tha.

Mere analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke upward move karne ka chance abhi bhi maujood hai kyun ke candle middle Bollinger Band line ke paar chuki hai. Lekin hamesha ehtiyaat zaroori hai kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line cross nahi kar payi hai. Is level par ek rebound ho sakta hai jo akhir kar decline ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Aakhir mein, agar market ke puppeteer ne zyada market participants ko yeh convince kar diya ke corrective rollback khatam ho chuka hai, to price distribution shuru ho sakti hai is trading instrument mein, aur log is pair ko bechna shuru kar sakte hain. Yeh mumkin hai ke kai market participants yeh samajhte hon ke yeh price yahan se gir sakti hai.
USD/JPY market wishful thinking ko reality samajh raha hai. Haan, FOMC ka sath chalta statement aur Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ki press conference mein speech mein September mein Fed ki monetary policy ko ease karne ke bohot hints diye gaye the. Magar sab decisions data-dependent honge. Iss backdrop mein, 2024 ke end tak rate cuts ke teen acts mein derivatives mein confidence kuch zyada lagta hai. Agar aisa hai, to U.S. dollar ke comeback ka acha chance hai.

Powell ne yeh indicate kiya ke FOMC ne July meeting ke dauran rates ko lower karne par socha, lekin overwhelming majority officials ne yeh behtar samjha ke sab kuch waise hi rehne diya jaye. U.S. economy inflation aur unemployment ke mamlay mein acha kaam kar rahi hai, aur disinflationary processes ka development aur labor market ka further cooling monetary policy easing ke liye rasta khol sakti hai. Yeh issue September mein Fed ki agle meeting par dobara discuss ho sakta hai.
USD/JPY bulls iss waqt $161.56 barrier ko attack kar rahe hain. Price pehle resistance level ko cross kar sakti hai aur anticipate ki gayi doosri resistance level par 167.65 tak pohnch sakti hai. Iss chart par, supply/resistance area jo ke price range 172.54 mein hai, bohot strong area hai jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai. Doosri taraf, USD/JPY ke liye initial support level 137.33 par hai. Price pehle support level ko cross kar sakti hai aur anticipate ki gayi doosri support level par 102.37 tak pohnch sakti hai. Iss chart par, demand/support area jo ke price range 76.15 mein hai, ek strong area hai jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Ab dekhte hain kuch ghanton mein kya hota hai. Is risky pair par trading karte waqt hamesha ehtiyaat baratni chahiye.

Main aaj ek essay likh raha hoon ke USD/JPY market mein iss waqt prices kis tarah behave kar rahi hain. USD/JPY iss waqt 147.57 par trade kar raha hai. USD index 102.37 support level ko test kar raha hai. Iss liye yeh asaan hai analyze karna ke agar USD/JPY bullish hai is time frame ke sath. USD/JPY iss time frame par bullish lag raha hai. Kal ki trading mein USD/JPY market mein sellers ka ghalba tha, jis ne USD/JPY ki price ko neeche dhakel diya. Iss time frame chart par, USD/JPY ki price overbought nahi lagti kyun ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ne 70 ko touch nahi kiya. Sath hi, technically, USD/JPY ki price overbought nahi lagti kyun ke moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator ne 0.0065 ko touch nahi kiya. Jab ke price iss time frame chart par 50 EMA line ke upar hai, iss liye iska trend bullish hai, aur issi liye main samajhta hoon ke yeh resistance level ko test karega jo maine diagram mein dikhaya hai.
USD/JPY currency pair ne Monday ko kuch positive movement dikhayi, magar yeh apni upward momentum ko sustain karne mein kamiyab nahi hua. Jo cheez further gains ko rok rahi hai, woh Bank of Japan (BoJ) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke darmiyan policy expectations ka farq hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ): BoJ ne ek ultra-loose monetary policy rakhi hui hai, negative interest rates ke sath aur yield curve control ke zariye economy ko stimulate karne ke liye. Yeh kam hi chances hain ke BoJ apni policy ko jald tight karega.

Federal Reserve (Fed): Iske bar’aks, Fed inflation se ladne ke liye zyada aggressive rate hikes kar raha hai, jis se US dollar strong ho raha hai. Yeh divergence aisi surat e haal paida karta hai jahan yen Japan ke low-interest rates ki wajah se pressure mein rehta hai, jab ke dollar ko Fed ke higher rates se support milta hai. Magar market mein ehtiyaat hai, jo USD/JPY pair ke significant gains banane ki ability ko limit kar raha hai.

Japanese yen ko traditionally safe-haven currency ke taur par dekha jata hai. Jab global market sentiment positive hota hai, to investors yen ko hold karne ke bajaye zyada risky assets ko pasand karte hain. Monday ko, global markets mein overall positive risk tone ne yen ko undermine kiya, jo USD/JPY pair ko kuch support diya.

Resistance Levels: Pair 146.50 ke qareeb resistance ka samna kar raha hai, jo halya dinon mein gains ko roknay ka level raha hai.

Support Levels: Neeche ki taraf, 145.00 par support dekhi ja sakti hai, jahan buyers us waqt aage barh sakte hain agar pair weak hota hai. Magar USD/JPY pair ne kuch traction gain kiya hai, BoJ aur Fed policies mein ongoing divergence ke sath, positive market sentiment ke milne se yeh pair significant move higher banane mein kamiyab nahi ho raha. Traders ko key technical levels aur central bank policies mein kisi bhi update par nazar rakhni chahiye, further direction ke liye.