USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Chaar lagataar trading sessions mein, US dollar ke Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ke muqable mein selling operations dekhne ko mili, jo isse support level 160.26 ki taraf push kar gayi. Yeh support level par hi stable hai jab yeh analysis likha ja raha hai, resistance level 161.95 se rebound kar raha hai, jo Japanese yen ka 38 saalon ka lowest price hai. Iski record gains ka karan clear discrepancy hai jo US Central Bank aur Bank of Japan ki strict policy mein hai, aur unke economic performance mein bhi farak hai. Stock trading companies ke platforms par... US stock futures Monday ko flat the, jab teeno major averages flat line ke aas paas hover kar rahe the, pichle week ke strong gains ke baad jo S&P 500 aur Nasdaq ko record closes tak le gaye. Ab traders key Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo is hafte aane wale hain aur earnings season ka bhi start ho raha hai.US Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell ka testimony bhi Congress ke saamne hone wala hai, jahan traders Fed ke plans ke baaki year ke liye further thoughts dekhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Iske alawa, French elections ke results, jisme koi party majority nahi jeet paayi, extreme fiscal policies ke concerns ko kam kar diye hain.Trading platforms ke mutabiq, Megacap shares pre-market trading mein mixed the, Apple (0.7%), Nvidia (0.7%), aur Meta (0.4%) rise kar rahe the, jabki Microsoft aur Amazon flat line ke aas paas the, aur Alphabet 0.7% down tha. Boeing stock 0.9% rise kar gaya opening bell se pehle jab company ne criminal fraud charge me guilty plead karne par agree kiya.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq... Japanese service sentiment expected se zyada higher hai.

Advertiser ke mutabiq, Japan ka services sector index June 2024 mein 47.0 par badh gaya jo May mein recorded lowest level ek saal aur aadhe mein 45.7 se tha, jo market estimates 46.3 ko exceed karta hai. Yeh pehli rise hai chaar mahine mein, jahan household budget trends ke measure badh gaya retail-related aur doosre relevant indicators ki wajah se. Employment measure bhi higher tha. Saath hi, corporate trends ka measure decline ho gaya non-manufacturing industry ke decline ki wajah se. Wahi, economic expectations index 47.9 par badh gaya jo April mein 46.3 se tha, jo pehli rise hai chaar mahine mein aur apne lowest level se November 2022 ke baad se upar aa gaya, optimism se supported hai ke economy continue karegi recover hone mein.

USD/JPY ke aaj ke expectations:
Daily chart ke neeche ke performance ke mutabiq, US dollar ka price Japanese yen ke muqable mein (USD/JPY) downward channel banane ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin yeh attempts successful nahi ho rahi hain jab tak currency pair support levels 159.20 aur 157.80 ki taraf nahi move karta hai. Currency pair shayad narrow range mein move karte rahega jab tak US inflation numbers ka announcement aur US Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell ka testimony ka content announce nahi hota. Doosri taraf, bulls wapas resistance level 161.80 ki taraf aa sakte hain, jo ongoing bearish channel attempt ko end kar dega.

• SD

rahi hai. D1 (daily) chart analyze karne par, hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY 168.470 support level ki strength test kar rahi hai D1 moving average line par. Current Market Dynamics: USD/JPY pair ne volatility show ki hai, jo broader market sentiment aur economic conditions ko reflect karti hai. Kuch factors jo current market dynamics mein contribute kar rahe hain, unmein shaamil hain: Economic Indicators: Recent economic data dono United States aur Japan se USD/JPY pair ko influence karne mein bara role play kar rahi hai. US Dollar ki strength positive economic indicators ki wajah se barh rahi hai, jismein robust employment data aur strong retail sales shaamil hain. Dusri taraf, Japanese Yen ko slower economic growth aur Bank of Japan ki zyada cautious approach towards interest rate changes ki wajah se pressure ka samna hai. Central Bank Policies: Federal Reserve ka monetary policy par stance, khas tor par interest rates ke hawale se, ek critical factor hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke recent comments economy ke performance aur central bank ke approach towards inflation par traders ne closely watch kiye hain. Meanwhile, Bank of Japan ki monetary policy, jo relatively dovish hai, bhi pair ki movements ko influence kar rahi hai. Geopolitical Factors: Geopolitical events aur uncertainties, jaise trade tensions aur international diplomatic developments, market volatility mei




]n13043724[/ATTACH]n contribute kar rahe hain. Yeh factors aksar investors ko safe-haven assets jaise Japanese Yen mein invest karne par majboor karte hain, jo iski value par asar dalte hain against the US Dollar. Technical Analysis:
Technical perspective se dekhte huye, D1 chart show karta hai ke USD/JPY critical support level 168.470 ko test kar rahi hai. Yeh level D1 moving average line ke sath coincide karta hai, jo traders ke liye ek significant point of interest banata hai. Moving average ek dynamic support level serve karta hai, jo specific period ke dauran average price ko indicate karta hai, is case mein daily chart. Support aur Resistance Levels: 168.470 level crucial hai kyun ke agar yeh support break hoti hai to yeh further downside potential signal kar sakta hai. Agar USD/JPY is level ke upar hold karne mein fail hoti hai, to yeh next support levels ki taraf ja sakti hai, potentially around 168.00 ya usse niche. Dusri taraf, agar support hold karti hai, to hum ek rebound dekh sakte hain, jismein pair previous highs around 168.70-169.00 ko test karne ki koshish kar sakti hai. Moving Averages: D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehti hai, to yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, sustained trading moving

• SD

rahi hai. D1 (daily) chart analyze karne par, hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY 168.470 support level ki strength test kar rahi hai D1 moving average line par. Current Market Dynamics: USD/JPY pair ne volatility show ki hai, jo broader market sentiment aur economic conditions ko reflect karti hai. Kuch factors jo current market dynamics mein contribute kar rahe hain, unmein shaamil hain: Economic Indicators: Recent economic data dono United States aur Japan se USD/JPY pair ko influence karne mein bara role play kar rahi hai. US Dollar ki strength positive economic indicators ki wajah se barh rahi hai, jismein robust employment data aur strong retail sales shaamil hain. Dusri taraf, Japanese Yen ko slower economic growth aur Bank of Japan ki zyada cautious approach towards interest rate changes ki wajah se pressure ka samna hai. Central Bank Policies: Federal Reserve ka monetary policy par stance, khas tor par interest rates ke hawale se, ek critical factor hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke recent comments economy ke performance aur central bank ke approach towards inflation par traders ne closely watch kiye hain. Meanwhile, Bank of Japan ki monetary policy, jo relatively dovish hai, bhi pair ki movements ko influence kar rahi hai. Geopolitical Factors: Geopolitical events aur uncertainties, jaise trade tensions aur international diplomatic developments, market volatility mei


n contribute kar rahe hain. Yeh factors aksar investors ko safe-haven assets jaise Japanese Yen mein invest karne par majboor karte hain, jo iski value par asar dalte hain against the US Dollar. Technical Analysis:
Technical perspective se dekhte huye, D1 chart show karta hai ke USD/JPY critical support level 168.470 ko test kar rahi hai. Yeh level D1 moving average line ke sath coincide karta hai, jo traders ke liye ek significant point of interest banata hai. Moving average ek dynamic support level serve karta hai, jo specific period ke dauran average price ko indicate karta hai, is case mein daily chart. Support aur Resistance Levels: 168.470 level crucial hai kyun ke agar yeh support break hoti hai to yeh further downside potential signal kar sakta hai. Agar USD/JPY is level ke upar hold karne mein fail hoti hai, to yeh next support levels ki taraf ja sakti hai, potentially around 168.00 ya usse niche. Dusri taraf, agar support hold karti hai, to hum ek rebound dekh sakte hain, jismein pair previous highs around 168.70-169.00 ko test karne ki koshish kar sakti hai. Moving Averages: D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehti hai, to yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, sustained trading moving

Market ne bearish turn le liya hai, aur ek downward channel khul gaya hai jo yeh indicate karta hai ke filhal sellers dominate kar rahe hain. Jaise hi downward momentum continue karta hai, main umeed karta hoon ke price 157.515 level tak decline karega. Yeh specific level bohot crucial hai kyunki mujhe umeed hai ke yahaan selling pressure kam ho jaye ga aur potential buying interest samne aayega. Aise levels par slowdown dekhna common hai kyunki buyers isko acha entry point samajh sakte hain positions accumulate karne ke liye. Agar price 157.515 tak pohanch jaye, main market ka reaction closely monitor karunga. Agar buyers is level par active ho jayein, to yeh current downtrend ke pause ya reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, jo ke ek temporary consolidation ya bullish rebound result kar sakta hai. Lekin, buying interest ki extent yeh determine karegi ke yeh level hold karega ya price break through karke apna descent continue karega
Doosri taraf, agar market bullish correction dekhta hai 157.515 level pohanchne se pehle, to yeh current channel ke upper part ke qareeb, 157.374 level ke aas paas resistance face karega. Yeh area critical hai kyunki yeh ek zone represent karta hai jahan pehle bears positioned ho sakte hain, aur unka selling pressure phir se aayega. Agar market apni upward correction ko 157.374 ke qareeb rokta hai aur reversal ke signs dikhata hai, to yeh ek potential selling opportunity hogi. Is point par, traders ko reversal signals dekhne chahiye, jaise ke bearish candlestick patterns, declining volume, ya doosre technical indicators jo bearish sentiment confirm karte hain. Agar yeh signals nazar aayein, to yeh short positions enter karne ka ideal moment ho sakta hai, betting on the resumption of the downward trend
Trading mein, market movements par vigilant aur responsive rehna essential hai. Dynamics bohot jaldi shift kar sakti hain, aur jo ek strong trend lagta hai, wo naye market participants ya unexpected economic news ke saath change ho sakta hai. Isliye, jabke main umeed karta hoon ke decline 157.515 par slow ho jaaye aur potential selling opportunities 157.374 ke qareeb ho sakti hain, stop-loss orders aur risk management strategies use karna zaroori hai taake unexpected market reversals se bacha ja sake
Economic indicators, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical developments sab market sentiment aur price movements ko shape karne mein bohot important role play karte hain. In factors par nazar rakhna broader context provide karega aur technical analysis ki effectiveness ko enhance karega. Market filhal ek bearish trend exhibit kar raha hai, jiska potential hai ke 157.515 level tak pohanch jaye jahan ek slowdown expected hai due to anticipated buyer activity. Agar ek bullish correction hota hai, to resistance 157.374 ke qareeb face hogi, jo ke ek potential selling opportunity provide karti hai agar reversal signals maujood ho. Jaise hamesha, traders ko sound risk management practices employ karni chahiye aur market developments
ke baare mein informed rehna chahiye taake forex trading ki complexities ko effectively navigate kar sakein.

Hello, colleague! Agree ke technique ko dekhne ke liye, sirf USD/JPY hi nahin, balke saari pairs har dosray din ajeeb chalti hain, ya kehna chahiye - samajh mein nahi aata kaise. Ab main kisi cheez par yaqeen nahi karta. Daily chart ke mutabiq, yeh wazeh hai ke USD/JPY abhi kuch ajeeb soch rahi hai daily pivot 158.50 ke aas-paas. Bunyadi taur par, layout ab is instrument par simple lagta hai:

- Humare paas ek ascending channel kaam kar raha hai. Iski neeche wali hadd iss saal February ke aakhir se ban rahi hai. Aur ab tak yeh saaf taur par kaam kar rahi hai. Aakhri dafa neeche wali hadd ko pichlay hafta ke aakhir aur is hafta ke shuru mein test kiya gaya. Toh umeed hai ke kuch nahi badlega, hum phir se north ki taraf jayenge. Qareebi calculated resistance phir se wazeh hai - yeh humare local MA18 ke level 160.25 par hai. Hum zaroor yahaan jayenge.

- MA100 modest bullish angle of fifteen degrees par space par kaam kar rahi hai.

- MA18 abhi bhi floor ke parallel space par kaam kar rahi hai - jese kuch nahi badal raha, matlab ab humare paas ek pattern hai do moving averages ke sath. Ek tarah ka - ek sideways trend ka visualization. Jis mein, theory ke mutabiq - jab hum upper bar se takraaye hain - hume neeche wali bar ki taraf jaana chahiye. Aur yeh mushkil hai. Kyunki in moving averages ke darmiyan space hai.

Yeh lagta hai ke hum consolidation phase mein hain, aur is pattern se nikalne ke liye significant market movement ya news ki zarurat hogi.

USD/JPY, D1
USD/JPY ka movement bullish pattern mein continue kar raha hai jahan yen ki kamzori aur USD ki mazbooti is pair ko naye highs par push karne ke liye kaafi hai. Abhi tak, isne 160.21 ka resistance bhi tod diya hai. Fundamentals ke hawale se, US Dollar doosri badi currencies ke muqable mein mazboot ho gaya hai market speculation ki wajah se ke Fed interest rates ko zyada aggressively raise karega taake high inflation se lad sake. Doosri taraf, Japanese Yen doosri badi currencies ke muqable mein kamzor ho gaya hai Bank of Japan ki dovish monetary policy ki wajah se, jo ke Fed ki aggressive monetary tightening policy ke contrast mein hai. US aur Japan ke interest rate difference USD/JPY movements ko drive karne wala main factor hai. Fed ka interest rates ko tez tar barhane ka amal Bank of Japan ke muqable mein USD ko investors ke liye zyada attractive banata hai, jo USD/JPY ko mazboot karta hai. Ye pair short term mein market speculation ke sabab mazid mazboot ho sakta hai ke Fed interest rate hike karega. Long-term prospects USD/JPY ke liye depend karte hain US aur Japan ke interest rate difference, dono mulkon ki economic growth, aur global risk sentiment par.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to daily timeframe pattern par, abhi price strong upward pattern mein continue kar raha hai jahan abhi bullish pattern kaafi dominant lag raha hai aur isne highest price resistance 160.21 ko penetrate kar liya hai. Abhi, price mein 162.00 ke psychological level tak barhne ka potential hai, jahan daily timeframe par kayi EMAs abhi bhi price se neeche hain, to buy option ko support kar rahe hain. Aakhri bullish candle bhi continuation pattern ka strong signal de rahi hai. Iske ilawa, kayi indicators, jaise ke stochastic aur RSI, upward signal dene mein kaafi strong nazar aa rahe hain. RSI level 30 ke upar successfully move kar chuki hai, aur stochastic bhi 20 area ke neeche decline nahi dikhata, jo ke bullish signal ko aur bhi mazboot bana raha hai.

Yen ke saath wali pair is haftay sab se zyada volatile thi. Aur isme kuch hairan kun nahi, kyun ke pehle, halan ke wo 161.70 se upar gaye, lekin phir bhi unhone maximums update nahi kiye. Aur unko inflation mili States mein, jo ke kam ho rahi hai, jis ne naturally dollar par pressure dala. Aur Bank of Japan ne bhi iska faida uthaya, jo ke noise ke cover mein intervention bhi kiya. Aur yeh note karna chahiye ke unhone foran sab targets hata diye aur 157.42 tak chale gaye, aur yeh 400 se zyada points hain. Lekin kal hum short initiative par kaam karne mein kamyab rahe, kyun ke unhone minimums update kiye aur 157.35 tak chale gaye. Halan ke doosri taraf, aur agar aap daily charts dekhen, to main nahi keh sakta ke hamara upward movement toota hai. Lekin main ab bhi khareedna nahi samajhta, halan ke main is possibility ko nazar andaaz nahi karta ke hum dobara upar jayen. Aaj ek chhota upward impulse bana, lekin iske baad, girawat ab bhi jari rahegi. Agar chhota upward impulse 158.45 ke range tak banane mein kamyab ho jata hai, to is range se girawat jari rahegi. Current se corrective growth ab bhi mumkin hai, lekin iske baad, girawat jari rahegi. 157.75 se ek chhota impulse ban chuka hai aur iske baad girawat jari rahegi. 159.35 ke resistance range se girawat ab bhi mumkin hai. Buyers price ko 158.50 se upar kheench sakte hain, lekin girawat phir bhi priority rahegi aur local minimum 157.40 ke break ke baad bechna behtar hai

Daily chart par, Japanese yen correction banane ke signs dikha raha hai. Price decline local seven-day low 160 yen per dollar tak mumkin hai. Agar yeh level hold karta hai, to price annual high 161.951 tak wapas aa sakti hai, jo 165 yen per dollar ka raasta kholta hai. Magar, bina deep corrections ke aise strong movements risky ho sakte hain. Is scenario mein humein kis correction level ka intezar hai, yeh uncertain hai. Kam se kam, ek corrective movement 151,001 se neechay ho sakti hai, jo ek nayi bearish trend ko indicate karti hai. Jitna zyada pair is continuous trend mein move karta hai, utna hi daunting correction levels ban sakte hain, jo shayad lambi duration tak chalein. USD/JPY pair par Japanese yen ke saath, situation abhi clear nahi, aur humein dekhna hoga ke agle trading week mein market kaise unfold hoti hai

Chaar lagataar trading sessions mein, US dollar ke Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ke muqable mein selling operations dekhne ko mili, jo isse support level 160.26 ki taraf push kar gayi. Yeh support level par hi stable hai jab yeh analysis likha ja raha hai, resistance level 161.95 se rebound kar raha hai, jo Japanese yen ka 38 saalon ka lowest price hai. Iski record gains ka karan clear discrepancy hai jo US Central Bank aur Bank of Japan ki strict policy mein hai, aur unke economic performance mein bhi farak hai. Stock trading companies ke platforms par... US stock futures Monday ko flat the, jab teeno major averages flat line ke aas paas hover kar rahe the, pichle week ke strong gains ke baad jo S&P 500 aur Nasdaq ko record closes tak le gaye. Ab traders key Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo is hafte aane wale hain aur earnings season ka bhi start ho raha hai.US Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell ka testimony bhi Congress ke saamne hone wala hai, jahan traders Fed ke plans ke baaki year ke liye further thoughts dekhne ki



koshish kar rahe hain. Iske alawa, French elections ke results, jisme koi party majority nahi jeet paayi, extreme fiscal policies ke concerns ko kam kar diye hain.Trading platforms ke mutabiq, Megacap shares pre-market trading mein mixed the, Apple (0.7%), Nvidia (0.7%), aur Meta (0.4%) rise kar rahe the, jabki Microsoft aur Amazon flat line ke aas paas the, aur Alphabet 0.7% down tha. Boeing stock 0.9% rise kar gaya opening bell se pehle jab company ne criminal fraud charge me guilty plead karne par

DJPY currency pair ke latest technical analysis ke mutabiq, ek mazboot bullish trend nazar aata hai. Ek technical indicator jo is manzur ko support karta hai woh EMA 50 ka position hai jo EMA 100 ke oopar hai. Ye shart aam tor par bullish signal ke tour par consider ki jati hai kyun ke EMA 50 jaldi time frame mein price movements ko reflect karta hai EMA 100 ke mukable. Jab chhota EMA lamba EMA se oopar hota hai, to yeh darshata hai ke chhote term ki momentum zyada hai aur price ko upar ki taraf le jaa sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, USD/JPY ne ahem resistance level 157.704 ko toorna hai. Is resistance ke tootne ka matlab hai ke kharidari ki takat kaafi mazboot hai jo price ko pehle upper limit ke tour par consider kiya gaya tha, woh paar karne mein madad kar rahi hai. Ek tootne wala resistance level aksar ek naya support level ban jaata hai, isliye price is level ke aas paas correction ya consolidation ka samna karna tend kar hai pehle apne upward movement ko jaari rakhne se pehle. Abhi, price pehle wale high point 160,174 ke neeche hai. Yeh high point bullish trend ke jaari rehne ke liye tootna zaroori hai. Agar price is high level ko paar kar leti hai, to phir aage ke izaafay ki bohot zyada mumkinat khuli huyi hain. Pehle wale high level ko tootna aksar yeh baat confirm karta hai ke bullish trend ab bhi mazboot hai aur jaari reh sakta hai. USDJPY currency pair H1 timeframe par ab kaafi mazboot bullish signs dikhata hai. Is bullish tendency ka ek main indication yeh hai ke price 159.901 resistance level par atkaa hua hai. Pehle, price ne 159.296 support level tak ek correction ka saamna kiya tha, jo EMA 50 ke aas paas hai. Yeh correction temporary selling pressure ko indicate karta hai jo price ko support area tak neeche kheench gaya tha. 159,296 support level tak pohanchne ke baad, price ne phir se bullish strength dikhayi aur barhti huyi. Yeh darshata hai ke 159,296 support ne price girne ko rokne mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai aur buyers ke liye phir se market mein daakhil hone ka modd hai. Is support ko chhootne ke baad huyi price increase darshata hai ke market sentiment abhi taak buying power dwara dominate ki ja rahi hai. Abhi, price phir se 159,901 resistance level ke qareeb ja raha hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke jaari rehne ko taay karta hai. Agar price 159,901 resistance ko toorna kaamyaab hoti hai, to yeh signal dega ke kharidari takat kaafi mazboot hai ke price ko upar ki taraf le ja sake. Is resistance ke tootne se price ke aur increase ke opportunities khul sakti hain. USD/JPY currency pair ki price action assessment ka mozu hai. USD/JPY currency pair mein ek potential intervention ke asar dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Pair ki price significant taur par nahi barh rahi. Japan ne apne stance ko reiterate kiya hai against a highly devalued yen, jo meri expectation ko support karta hai ke price increases limited rahenge. Current market trends aur economic indicators ke base par, main short term mein US dollar ki modest strengthening predict karta hoon, followed by a period of fluctuation aur potential weakening. Ye sirf meri perspective hai, aur market dynamics aksar unpredictable hote hain. Sirf waqt hi is forecast ki accuracy ko reveal karega. Market ne Bank of Japan ke representative ka skeptical view liya, jisne kaha ke Bank kisi bhi waqt intervene kar sakta hai aur ye likely 24/7 karega. Is announcement ne Friday ko yen mein brief spike ka sabab bana, lekin decline tab se stabilize ho gaya hai. Trading range 160.16 aur 159.31 ke darmiyan hai, aur pair significant US news ke ilawa is range mein rahne ka imkaan hai—jab tak Bank of Japan verbal warnings se zyada substantial interventions nahi karta. Agar growth 160.16 ko surpass karti hai, toh pair ko abhi buy karna risky hai despite technical indicators suggesting otherwise

Trading Overview aur USD/JPY ke liye Tips
Price test 158.63 par tab hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se rise hona shuru hi hua tha, jo ek achha entry point buy karne ke liye confirm karta hai. Despite upbeat US retail sales report, USD/JPY sirf 20 pips upar gaya. Upward trend ka progress stall ho gaya, aur major participants market se nikal gaye, sirf chhoti bearish correction chhod gaye. Yeh dekhte hue ke strong US data ke bawajood dollar ko support nahi mili, pair most likely channel mein trade karega, jahan bears ko slight advantage hoga. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada rely karunga scenarios No. 1 aur 2 ke implementation par.

Buy Signals:

Scenario No. 1. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko tab buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price entry point 158.27 ke aas-paas pohanchti hai, jo chart par green line se plotted hai, aur aim karunga growth ko 158.83 tak, jo thicker green line se plotted hai chart par. 158.83 ke aas-paas, main long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short open karunga, expecting 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein us level se. Aap pair ke aaj rise hone par count kar sakte hain, magar behtar hai ke jitna low possible ho act karein. Buy karne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur bas rise hona shuru hi hua hai.

Scenario No. 2. Main aaj USD/JPY ko do consecutive tests ke case mein bhi buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon 157.81 par jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur reverse market upturn lead karega. Aap growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 158.27 aur 158.83 tak.

Sell Signals:

Scenario No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY ko sirf tab sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab level 157.81 test ho jata hai, jo chart par red line se plotted hai, jo price mein rapid decline lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target 157.29 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein long open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein us level se. Pressure USD/JPY par kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, especially agar price intraday high ke aas-paas consolidate hone mein fail hoti hai. Sell karne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur bas decline hona shuru hi hua hai.

Scenario No. 2. Main aaj USD/JPY ko do consecutive price tests ke case mein bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon 158.27 par jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur reverse market downturn lead karega.

(USD/JPY) ke khilaaf 161.95 ke resistance level ki taraf barh gayi, jo ke 38 saalon mein Japanese yen ki sab se kam keemat hai. Currency pair ke fayde barh gaye hain jab ke Bank of Japan ke monetary policy ko normalize karne ke irade ke hawale se shak baqi hai aur US yields ke unexpected barhne se bhi. Guzishta mahine ke doran yen ke girawat mein koi kami nahi aayi, lekin currency ke depreciation ke is latest phase ke doran Japanese officials ke taraf se koi verbal warning nahi aayi.
Japan ke Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne apni mamool ki comment di ke hukumat market ko qareebi tor par dekh rahi hai, lekin koi wazeh warning nahi di ke wo intervene karenge. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke Suzuki koi action lena nahi chahte jab tak naye appoint hone wale Deputy Finance Minister for International Affairs, jo ke exchange rate policy ke in charge hain, 31 July ko office mein nahi aate. Yeh bhi ek indication ho sakti hai ke exchange rate ke hawale se unki tolerance level kya hai. Forex currency market intervention ki recommendations barh gayi hain.
Lekin yen ke liye kuch relief yeh hai ke currency doosri major currencies ke muqablay thori mazboot trade ho rahi hai, greenback ke khilaaf kamzori zyadatar greenback ki strength ki wajah se hai. Halanki investors abhi recent mein zyada confident ho gaye hain ke Fed is saal US interest rates do dafa cut kar sakta hai, dollar ne early June se shallow uptrend mein rehne ka silsila barqarar rakha hai, jab ke doosre central banks interest rates cut karne ke race mein agey nikal gaye hain
USD/JPY pair apna bullish trend continue karega, mumkin hai ke ek higher zone tak upar move kare
Iss hafte ka trend pattern ek uptrend indicate karta hai narrow range ke sath. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, mumkin hai ke increase agle hafte bhi continue kare, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karengi. Subah ke candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo suggest karta hai ke market trend rise kar sakta hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko surpass kar sakte hain, to bullish trend agle hafte bhi market ko dominate kar sakta hai
USD/JPY wapas se rise kare. Upar ek shoulder bhi hai jo abhi tak touch nahi hui hai, jo price 157.36 ke aas-paas hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo friends is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions open karne par focus karein. Jaise ke usual, target nearest resistance par place kiya ja sakta hai jo 157.34 par hai aur stop loss nearest support par place kiya ja sakta hai jo 155.66 par hai.

**USDJPY Paar Ki Technical Analysis**

**4-Hour Chart**

Iss haftay mein mazeed girawat ka intezar hai jabke qeemat ne blue channel ko tor diya. Qeemat ne is haftay ke aghaz mein girti hui price channels mein trading shuru ki jo ke pichle do hafton ke trend ko darsha rahe hain. Shuru mein, qeemat ko niche wale channel line se support mila, lekin jab qeemat weekly pivot level tak pohanchi, to yeh wapas niche chali gayi aur weekly pivot ke sath ek price peak banayi.

Is haftay ke trading mashware mein focus selling opportunities par rakhein, kyun ke hamare paas do levels hain jahan par sell kiya ja sakta hai. Pehla level current level hai jahan par qeemat ne channel tor diya aur kuch waqt tak sideways direction mein chal sakti hai aur phir girawat shuru hogi aur 156.26 level ko tor de gi. Dusra level sell ke liye 154.61 level ke niche hoga, jahan qeemat ne price channels ko downward tor diya.

Economic side par, Japanese yen ke price ne recent mein momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam raha jab authorities ne currency ki kamzori se nimatna shuru kiya. Yen ne khas tor par girawat dekhi aur policymakers baar baar yeh ishara de chuke hain ke woh currency ko support karne ke liye interven karne ko tayar hain. Lekin yeh kafi nahi hai, ya dair ho chuki hai?... Bloomberg News ke data ke mutabiq, Tokyo forex markets mein shayad doosri dafa daakhil ho ga Friday ko aur lagbhag $13.5 billion pump kare ga. Yeh tab hua jab Japanese officials ne qareeban $20 billion ke kareebi interven kiya ho ga. Forex market trading ke mutabiq, USD/JPY price 158.80 level par stabilize hui, recent selling operations ke baad jo ise 157.15 support level tak le gayi thi, lekin dobara se pair girawat shuru kar raha hai.

Japanese yen ke performance par comment karte hue, Hirofumi Suzuki, chief forex analyst Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation mein, ne Business News Network ke interview mein kaha: "Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke 2 trillion yen ke scale par intervention ka imkan hai." "Mujhe lagta hai ke strategy ka maqsad tha market participants ko movement ko pehle se parhne se rokna."

Akhir mein, agar yeh move sahi hai, to yeh recent step ek mahine baad aa raha hai jab currency regulators ne Forex foreign exchange markets mein $36 billion intervention ki thi. Mahireen ka kehna hai ke Tokyo ke leaders yeh measures istemal kar rahe hain jab US data aur foreign speculators ko release kiya ja raha hai. Lekin market watchers ka kehna hai ke yeh moves traders ko yeh signal dete hain ke yeh moves bohot choti hain, aur observers mazeed paise pump karne ka mashwara de rahe hain yen ko support karne ke liye.

USD/ JPY Price Review
Main USD/JPY currency pair ke haqeeqi waqt ki tashkeel par tafseeli tajziya kar raha hoon. H1 chart par, maine dekha ke 158.149 par bullish kharidne ka level activate hua hai, jo ke izafa ke rukh ko ishaarat karta hai aur bullish priority ko sthapit karta hai. Is level se 50 points se zyada izafa hua hai, jo ke H1 chart ke liye numaya izafa ko zahir karta hai, is tarah mera bullish kharidne ka level tasdeeq kiya gaya hai. Bullish priority jari hai, jo ke Bollinger line aur rukawat level 160.403 ke taraf mazeed potenti izafa ki taraf ishaarat karta hai. Mukhalifat mein, mera doosra bearish farokht level 157.709 par hai. Agar keemat ghatay aur yeh bearish farokht level mumkin ho, to main 157.039 support aur Bollinger line ki taraf ki mumkin kami ko muntazir karunga. Dollar-yen pair ko ghante ke chart par janchte hue, shuru mein mujhe yakeen tha ke trend line ko paar karne se izafa ke mazeed rukh ki taraf le jaega jis se kharidne ke limit activate ho sakte hain.

Jab pair ne 160.914 support ko bina kisi numaya seller volume ke todeya lekin ahem buyer volume ke sath, to mein muntazir raha ke izafa jari rahega, peechle urooj tak pohanchte hue. Jab pair trend line ke ooper trade kar raha tha, buyers ne munafa ikhtiyar karna shuru kar diya, jaisa ke mein pehle hi zikr kiya tha ke yen ki ahem kamzori ke baais se kabhi bhi ho sakta hai. Bank of Japan ko zyada yen ki kamzori pasand nahi hai aur wo lafzi aamal ki taraf le jaate hain. Currency intervention ke khauf ne buyers ko munafa ikhtiyar karne par majboor kiya, jise lagbhag 400 points tak pohanch gaya.

157.926 par kharidne ke limit activate hone ke bawajood, mein mazeed giravat ka muntazir tha, jo pehle phase ke baad doosra munafa ikhtiyar karne ka nishaan tha. Pair ne retracement kiya phir giravat jari rakhi. Mujhe shak hai ke pair seedha 156.752 tak gir sakta hai, jo ke trend channel ke asal se niche hai, bina kisi pullback ke.

Abhi ke liye mein pair ko halki si giravat ke saath kharid raha hoon, lekin mumkin giravat ke liye nazar andaaz karne ke liye jari rahunga.

# USD/JPY Pair Analysis

Aaj USD/JPY pair mein kaafi zyada activity dekhne ko mili, jo high levels par trade ho raha tha aur 168.39-168.69 ke range mein close hua. Filhal, pair ne thodi girawat dekhi hai aur ab 168.93-168.40 ke beech trade kar raha hai. D1 (daily) chart ko dekhte hue, hum dekhtay hain ke USD/JPY 168.470 support level ko test kar raha hai jo ke D1 moving average line par hai.

### Current Market Dynamics

USD/JPY pair ne volatility dikhayi hai, jo ke broader market sentiment aur economic conditions ka reflextion hai. Kuch key factors hain jo current market dynamics ko influence kar rahe hain:

#### 1. **Interest Rate Differentials**
- **Federal Reserve Policy**: U.S. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy USD/JPY pair ko influence karti hai. Recent indications jo interest rate hikes ya inflation concerns ke wajah se high rates ko steady rakhne ki hain, U.S. dollar ko yen ke muqable mein strong kar sakti hain.
- **Bank of Japan (BoJ) Policy**: Is ke opposite, Bank of Japan ka ultra-loose monetary policy, including negative interest rates aur yield curve control, yen ko kamzor kar deta hai. Federal Reserve aur BoJ ki monetary policies ka ye difference USD/JPY exchange rate par significant impact daal raha hai.

#### 2. **Economic Data Releases**
- **U.S. Economic Indicators**: United States se aane wale key economic data, jese GDP growth rates, employment figures, aur inflation data, directly U.S. dollar ki strength ko affect karti hain. Positive data aam tor par stronger dollar ko support deti hai.
- **Japanese Economic Indicators**: Japan mein bhi economic indicators, jaise industrial production, retail sales, aur inflation data, important hain, lekin inka impact BoJ policies ke comparison mein kam ho sakta hai.

#### 3. **Geopolitical Events**
- Geopolitical tensions aur events safe-haven assets jaise Japanese yen ki demand ko barha sakti hain. Lekin, recent times mein, U.S. dollar ko bhi safe-haven currency ke roop mein dekha gaya hai, jo yen ke saath interaction ko complex banata hai during geopolitical instability.

#### 4. **Risk Sentiment**
- Global risk sentiment, jo ke trade tensions, political developments, aur global economic outlook se influence hota hai, USD/JPY pair ko affect karta hai. Risk aversion ke waqt, investors typically safe-haven assets ki taraf ruk karte hain, jo yen ko strong kar sakti hai.

### Technical Analysis

Technical perspective se, USD/JPY pair filhal 168.470 support level ko daily moving average line par test kar raha hai. Ye level critical hai kyun ke ye pair ke next move ko determine kar sakta hai.

- **Support and Resistance Levels**: Immediate support 168.470 par hai. Agar ye level hold hota hai, to hum recent highs jo ke 168.69 ke aas-paas hain, ki taraf rebound dekh sakte hain aur potentially higher levels dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin, agar ye support level break hota hai, to further declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain.
- **Moving Averages**: Pair ki position key moving averages (jese 50-day aur 200-day moving averages) ke relative position ko dekh kar trend ke baare mein insights mil sakti hain. Filhal, support level ke aas-paas trade karna ek critical juncture ko suggest karta hai.
- **Volume and Momentum Indicators**: Volume aur momentum indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) ko monitor karna bhi current trend ki strength aur potential reversals ke baare mein clues provide kar sakta hai.

### Conclusion

USD/JPY pair abhi bhi highly active aur volatile hai, jo ke economic indicators, central bank policies, aur broader market sentiment ka mix hai. Filhal 168.470 support level ka test ek crucial technical point hai jo traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar is level se rebound hota hai, to ye upward trend ka continuation indicate kar sakta hai, jab ke is level ka break hone par further downside potential dikhai de sakti hai. Key economic data releases, interest rate decisions, aur global risk sentiment ko closely follow karna pair ke next moves ko anticipate karne ke liye zaroori hoga.

USD/JPY ka trading overview aur tips:

158.63 ke price test ke waqt MACD indicator zero mark se upar uthne ki shuruat par thi, jo dollar khareedne ka acha entry point confirm karta hai. US retail sales report ke bawajood, USD/JPY sirf 20 pips se zyada nahi barha. Upar ki taraf trend ke progress mein rukawat aayi, aur bari shirkatdaar market se chali gayi, sirf choti si bearish correction chhod kar. Dollar ko taqat nahi mili jab bhi majboot US data tha, is wajah se pair zyada tar channel ke andar trade karega, jahan bearish trend ki halki fayeedgi rahegi.

Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenario No. 1 aur 2 par zyada depend karunga.

**Buy signals (khareedne ki signals):**

Scenario No. 1: Aaj main USD/JPY khareedna chahta hoon jab price green line se chart par 158.27 ke qareeb pohanch jaye, jo chart par dikhai gayi hai. Mera target 158.83 hai, jahan thick green line se plot kiya gaya hai. 158.83 ke qareeb, main long positions ko exit karoonga aur short positions opposite direction mein open karunga, 30-35 pips ke movement ke liye opposite direction mein. Aaj pair ki upar ki taraf umeed hai, lekin better hai ki kam risk mein kaam kiya jaye. Khareedne se pehle yaqeeni ho jaye ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur abhi us par se uthna shuru hua hai.

Scenario No. 2: Aaj main USD/JPY khareedna plan karta hoon agar 157.81 level par do mukhtalif tests hon jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye pair ke neeche ke potential ko limit karega aur market ko upturn ki taraf le jayega. Ummeed hai ke price 158.27 aur 158.83 ke opposite levels tak barhega.

**Sell signals (bechnay ki signals):**

Scenario No. 1: Aaj main USD/JPY bechnay ka plan bana raha hoon sirf jab 157.81 level ko test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, aur jo price ko tezi se girne par le jayega. Sellers ke liye key target 157.29 hai, jahan main short positions ko exit karunga aur turant long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, 20-25 pips ke movement ke liye opposite direction mein. USD/JPY par dabao kabhi bhi wapas aa sakta hai, khaas karke agar price intraday high ke aas paas stable nahi hota. Bechne se pehle yaqeeni ho jaye ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur abhi us par se girna shuru hua hai.

Scenario No. 2: Aaj main USD/JPY bechnay ka plan karta hoon agar 158.27 level par do mukhtalif tests hon jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Ye pair ki upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko downturn ki taraf le jayega. Ummeed hai ke price 157.81 aur 157.29 ke opposite levels tak girayega.

Yeh strategies ke mutabiq, aapko price ke movement aur MACD indicator ke signals par zyada focus karna chahiye. Har trade ke liye stop-loss aur target levels ko bhi theek se set karein taaki risk management sahi tarah se ho sake.