usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY currency pair ke technical analysis se lagta hai ke downward trend jaari rahega, jo ke Triangular Moving Average (TMA) channel indicator se clearly zahir hota hai. Yeh southward movement Zigzag indicator aur auxiliary technical tools jaise Laguerre aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke zariye bhi support hoti hai, jo ke overbought zone mein hain, aur yeh short-selling opportunities ke potential ko darshata hai. Market mein bearish sentiment filhal prevail kar raha hai, aur analyst ka plan hai ke open position ko -23.6% Fibonacci support level par close kiya jaye, jo ke price 144.694 par hai. Risk ko kam karne ke liye, analyst stop-loss order ko breakeven level par move karega jab position profitable territory mein chali jaye. Yeh approach trader ko bearish momentum se faida uthane ki ijazat deti hai aur potential price reversals se bachav bhi karti hai.

Recent US labor market data ke release ne USD/JPY price ko southward move de diya hai. Yeh development trader Dmitry ke liye khushi ki baat hai, jo ab is bearish trend se faida utha raha hai. Lekin analyst ka kehna hai ke Japanese yen shayad lambe waqt tak vertically strengthen na ho sake, aur price eventually stabilize ho sakti hai, jisse consolidation ka period ya northward move dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Halankeh filhal bearish sentiment hai, analyst warn karta hai ke US dollar ko puri tarah se ignore nahi karna chahiye. American currency apni resilience ke liye jani jati hai aur kisi point par comeback kar sakti hai, chahe woh USD/JPY pair mein reversal ke zariye ho ya doosre currency pairs mein strength ke zariye. Analyst market conditions ko closely monitor karega aur trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karega taake kisi bhi potential opportunities ka faida utha sake.

Yeh zaroori hai ke foreign exchange market mein trading inherent risks ke sath hoti hai, aur investors ko hamesha thorough research karni chahiye, risk management strategies implement karni chahiye, aur professional guidance leni chahiye investment decisions lene se pehle. Agle Federal Reserve meeting tak poora mahina hai, aur is dauran is currency pair ki price mein significant izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh isliye hai ke dollar ki strength ko drive karne wale underlying factors, jaise US economy ki robust performance aur Fed ki hawkish monetary policy stance, fundamentally change nahi hui hain. Recent economic data release ke bawajood, jo kuch speculate karte hain ke government agencies ne elections ke qareeb rosier picture paint karne ke liye manipulate kiya, dollar ki long-term trajectory bullish hi rahegi.

karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident



hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage karte hue. Y USD/JPY pair ke recent trend line break aur continued bearish momentum strong bearish sentiment ko highlight karte hain. Technical aur fundamental analysis ko combine karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain, key levels aur broader economic trends ko leverage karte hue, aur risks ko appropriately manage karte hue

hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho



jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage karte hue. Y USD/JPY pair ke recent trend line break aur continued bearish momentum strong bearish sentiment ko highlight karte hain. Technical aur fundamental analysis ko combine karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain, key levels aur broader economic trends ko leverage karte hue, aur risks ko appropriately manage karte hue

USD/JPY ne record high touch kiya, jo rapid increase ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh profit-taking ka potential opportunity suggest karta hai. US session se pehle decline ka chance bhi ho sakta hai. Furthermore, moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout bearish pressure ko indicate karta hai. Hourly chart analysis ke mutabiq, aur 15-minute chart pe, decline ka possibility bhi hai kyunki moving average current price ke upar hai, jo bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai for USD/JPY pair, potentially higher zone mein move karne ka. Iss week ka trend pattern uptrend aur narrow range ko indicate karta hai. Relatively modest upward rally ke madde nazar, yeh increase agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karenge. Morning candlestick 100-period simple moving average ke upar close hui, jo market trend ke rise ko suggest karti hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone surpass kar sakein... Is waqt, USD/JPY trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko show karta hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke continue hone ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance break karna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke movement ke continuation ka potential dega. Pehla target supply zone hoga 160.47 pe, jahan historically sellers ne price down push kiya tha. Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support break karna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce back hoti hai. Bears ki strength tab confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke neeche consolidate ho jaye, jo price weakness ko indicate karega.
USD/JPY market mein. Yeh khas tor pe pichlay Wednesday ko evident tha, jab price significant downward movement experience hui thi us trading session ke doran.
Chhoti timeframe mein, price position monitor hui hai aur abhi Simple Moving




Average line ke upar hai 50 period ke liye aur slight correction upward hui hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke around consolidate kare gi, kyun ke aise conditions aksar Tuesday ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions H1 timeframe mein dekh kar yeh kaafi clear hai ke yeh abhi downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, jab ke USD/JPY pair ka trend upar ki taraf move hua tha July 2024 ke shuruat ke trading session ke baad. Iska matlab yeh hai ke is haftay ke market conditions abhi bh

Mazboot movements ke bawajood, yeh har technical level ko test karta hai. Aaj subha ke liye, price 148.82 level ke upar consolidate ho rahi hai. Marlin oscillator ka signal line upar ki taraf mur raha hai, jo correction ka ishara de raha hai. Target range 150.83-151.23 iske mukammal hone ka acha maqam hai. Hourly chart par MACD line bhi yahin mojood hai. Jab correction khatam ho jayegi, to hum expect karte hain ke price 146.50 tak ja sakti hai, jo March ka low tha. 4-hour chart par, Marlin price ko upar ki taraf le ja raha hai, jald se jald correction khatam karne ki koshish mein. MACD line, jo target range 150.83-151.23 ke bilkul upar hai, is range ko mazeed reinforce karti

Yeh potential withdrawal significant profits ka mauqa paida karta hai, especially un logon ke liye jo downward momentum ko capitalize karte hain. Magar, current market trends ek deceleration dikhate hain downward trajectory mein, jo ke possible reversal ki taraf ishara karte hain jo last Friday se manifest hona shuru hui thi. US dollar ka potential weakening yeh bullish outlook support karta hai. Mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments bhi dollar ke retreat ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage

USDJPY currency pair. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke is pair ki price ka mustaqil girawat jaari hai. Mein soch sakta hoon un bechne walon ka haal jo apne paas kaafi paisa nahi rakh sakay taake is pair ki girawat ko bardasht kar saken, kyun ke intezar ka zamana khatam ho gaya hai aur girawat ka silsila shuru ho gaya hai, price hamesha ke liye upar nahi ja sakti thi. MACD indicator ne girawat ka ishara diya tha, jis par ek bara bearish divergence bana, jo itne bara time interval par kafi kam hota hai, yeh ek saal mein sirf ek martaba hota hai, ya phir is se bhi kam. Maximum ke akhri update par bhi, second istamal honay wala indicator CCI par ek bearish divergence bana. Yeh sab us waqt tasdeek hui jab price ne reversal figure se niche nikala - ek ascending wedge. Iske baad price gir gayi, apne raste par sab obstacles ko torhti hui, aur un par sirf thode waqt ke liye rukki. Pehle yahan ka main support level 152.16 tha, halan ke upar rebound hua, magar phir bhi sellers ke pressure se gir gaya. Uske baad, jaisa ke expect kiya gaya tha, hum ascending support line tak pohnche, lekin yeh koi khas rebound nahi de sakti thi, yeh niche dhakel di gayi largely due to US mein Friday ke bure khabar ki wajah se, US dollar market mein kamzor ho gaya. Non-agricultural employment rate waqi se kafi bura tha. US mein unemployment rate ek dam se 0.2 points barh gaya. Nai hafta shuru hui aur price ne aage niche ka rukh liya bina kisi upward correction ka sochay. Hum horizontal support level 140.81 ke kareeb pohnch gaye. Thoda kam tha, well, shayad ab bhi is level ka pass aur specific test ho sakta hai. Iske qareeb, mere khayal se hum choti period par upwards entry consider kar sakte hain taake ek possible upward correction ka part le sakein. Aaj ki noteworthy news: 16-45 Moscow time: US Services Business Activity Index, US Composite Business Activity Index (PMI) from S&P Global. 17-00: US Non-Manufacturing Employment Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Price

Support touch karne ke baad price ka increase market sentiment ko buying power se dominated dikhata hai. Abhi, price dubara resistance level 159.901 ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke continuation ko determine karne mein crucial hai. Agar price 159.901 ke resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh signal hoga ke buying power strong enough hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. Yeh resistance breakout opportunities khol sakti hai price ke further rise hone ki aur possibly next resistance levels ko reach karne ki. USD/JPY currency pair narrow trading range mein stuck hai Asian trading hours ke doran is Wednesday ko, jabke briefly 34-year high ko touch kiya tha is hafte ke shuru mein. But, USD/JPY has limited upside potential due to potential intervention by Japanese authorities, specifically the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Japan ne excessive currency fluctuations ke bare mein concerns express kiye hain aur measures hint kiye hain Yen ko support karne ke liye. Yeh stance sharply contrast karta hai hawkish Federal Reserve ke sath US mein, jo dollar ko higher drive kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recently ek key resistance level 158.34 ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke thoda neeche hover kar raha hai. Jabke pair ne recent days mein resistance around 159.80 face kiya hai, agar crucial 159.00 level ke neeche break hota hai to yeh potential downside correction signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold karta hai, to further rise ka chance abhi bhi hai. USD/JPY currency pair par paisa kamane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aaj mein is instrument ki volatility ko dekh raha hoon aur yeh andaza hai ke yeh 157.164 ke support level tak decline karega, jahan se khareedna bohot munasib hoga. Baaki sab kuch instrument ki aaj ki volatility par mabni hoga. Kyunki mujhe 159.023 level tak growth ki umeed hai, main stop loss ko zyada door nahi rakhunga, lagbhag 157.139 ke level par. Expected profit aur limiting losses ka behtareen ratio hasil ho jayega. Agar stop loss level hit hota hai, to growth ke saath saare plans cancel kar dunga aur aaj ke liye bina profit ke reh jaunga. Main yeh bhi dekhna chahta hoon ke price 158.076 level par kaise react karega. Yeh bhi ek ahem role ada kar sakta hai. Agar aaj humein ek upward impulse milta hai, 158.00 range tak, to uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. Choti upward impulse 159.70 range tak ho sakti hai, phir wahan se fall continue hoga. Current level se corrective growth abhi bhi mumkin hai, lekin uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. 156.06 se choti impulse pehle hi ho chuki hai aur uske baad fall continue hoga

Dusray din bhi lagataar, US dollar ne Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ke khilaaf apni halia nuksanat se ubharne ki koshish ki, jo isay 141.68 ki support level tak le gaya tha, jo ke January 2024 ke baad se is ka sab se kam hai. Yeh us waqt hua jab Japanese yen ne dosray baraay currencies ke bazaaron mein, khaaskar US dollar ke muqable mein, zabardast izafa dekha. Halia rebound mein fayda 147.89 ki level tak pohanch gaya. Dollar yen mein yeh rebound us waqt aaya jab Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ne kaha ke agar bazaar na mutma'in hue toh wo sood ki sharah nahi barhayein ge. Magar bazaaron mein yeh umeed hai ke Japanese central bank sood ki sharah mein mazeed izafa karega kyun ke mulk mein barhti hui domestic wages mehengai ko barha rahi hain. Peer ke din yen apne aakhri saat maheenon mein sab se buland satah par pohanch gaya, jab Tokyo ki currency interventions aur Bank of Japan ke monetary policy mein hawkish tabdeeli se yen trading mein bara farq dekha gaya.

Isi dauran, is harkat ne US mein recession ke khauf ko barhawa diya aur disappointing tech earnings ne duniya bhar ke riskier assets mein sell-off ka sabab bana, jis se US Federal Reserve se emergency rate cut ki umeed barh gayi. Lekin, market ka jazba ab kuch stabil ho gaya hai, aur analysts keh rahe hain ke shayad halia global sell-off kuch zyada hi tha.

Ek aur daira jis ne investor sentiment par asar dala... benchmark 10-year Japanese government bond ka yield budh ke din takreeban 0.86% tak gir gaya jab Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ne kaha ke agar market unstable hui toh wo sood ki sharah nahi barhayein ge. Magar, bazaaron mein umeed hai ke central bank sharah mein mazeed izafa karega kyun ke barhti hui domestic wages inflation ko barha rahi hain. Halia data ne dikhaya ke Japan ne apni pehli dafa 27 maheenon mein real wages mein izafa dekha, jab ke nominal wage growth inflation ko peechay chorr gayi

USD/JPY currency pair, jo abhi 146.03 par trade ho raha hai, bearish trend dekh raha hai. Yeh neeche ki taraf ka movement dheere dheere ho raha hai, jo market sentiment ko Japanese yen ke haq mein aur U.S. dollar ke khilaaf dikhata hai. Halanki recent sessions mein pair ne koi significant volatility nahi dikhayi, lekin qareebi future mein ek substantial movement ka potential notable hai, current market conditions ko dekhte hue. Kai factors hain jo USD/JPY pair mein ek significant movement ka sabab ban sakte hain. Pehla, broader macroeconomic environment U.S. dollar ki strength ko Japanese yen ke khilaaf determine karne mein crucial role ada karta hai. U.S. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy decisions, khaaskar interest rates ke hawale se, USD strength ke liye ek key driver hain. Agar Fed ke stance mein koi tabdeeli, jaise ke rate hikes mein pause ya phir ek dovish approach ki taraf shift, ka signal milta hai, to yeh USD/JPY pair mein further weakness ka sabab ban sakta hai, aur current bearish trend ko tez kar sakta hai.

Doosra, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne kaafi arsay se ultra-loose monetary policy maintain ki hui hai, jis se yen traditionally doosri major currencies ke muqable mein kamzor rehti hai. Lekin agar BoJ ke policy mein koi tabdeeli, jaise ke tightening ki taraf ya phir unexpected interest rate adjustment, ka indication milta hai, to yeh yen ko mazid mazboot kar sakti hai, aur USD/JPY pair ko neeche dhakel sakti hai.

Ek aur ahem factor global risk sentiment hai. Japanese yen ko aksar safe-haven currency samjha jata hai, jo ke investors ko market uncertainty ke doran attract karti hai. Agar global economic conditions kharab hoti hain, ya phir agar koi geopolitical tensions hoti hain, to yen mazid strength gain kar sakti hai, jis se USD/JPY pair mein sharp drop dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Technical analysis bhi yeh suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY pair ek significant move ke liye poised ho sakta hai. Current bearish trend yeh dikhata hai ke sellers control mein hain, lekin volatility ka na hona yeh suggest karta hai ke market shayad kisi bara movement se pehle consolidate kar raha hai. Key support levels ko ghor se dekhna chahiye; agar yeh levels breach hote hain, to yeh ek substantial sell-off ko trigger kar sakta hai, jis se pair mein rapid decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Iske bar'aks, agar pair ko strong support milta hai, to yeh wapas bounce kar sakta hai, halan ke iske liye current market sentiment mein shift zaroori hai

agar resistance area cross nahi hota, toh USDJPY wapas neeche aa sakta hai. Guzishta Thursday ko, USDJPY ke girne ke baad, uski movement phir se upar gayi thi. Yeh us waqt hua jab candle RBS zone mein phansi hui thi. Us waqt ki movement bhi kaafi tez thi kyun ke yeh lagbhag 150 pips tak upar chala gaya tha. Meri upar ki analysis ke mutabiq, yeh wazeh hai ke USDJPY ke mazeed barhne ke chances hain kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko cross kar liya hai. Lekin aapko hoshiyar rehna hoga kyun ke candle abhi tak MA50 line ko cross nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se rebound ho sakta hai jo isko girne par majboor kar sakta hai. Aakhir mein ho sakta hai ke yeh kaam kar jaye aur is trading instrument ke further price distribution ke liye yeh option kaam karne lagay agar yahan par puppeteer ziada market participants ko yeh yakeen dilata hai ke ab corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai aur ab se is pair ko sell karna shuru karna chahiye, kyun ke agar dekha jaye toh price upar janay ko tayar nahi lag rahi, shayad ziada market participants yeh samajhte hain ke yeh price yahin se neeche gira kar form ki gayi minimum se bhi neeche ja sakti hai.
Agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar gaya, toh is scenario ke mutabiq USDJPY pair initial key mein seedha yahan se baghair kisi rollback ke 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar yeh sach mein hota hai, toh phir is scenario ke mutabiq wahan se, 159.13 level se neeche girne ka imkaan hai jo ke form ki gayi minimum se bhi neeche ja sakta hai. Main khud yeh tasavvur karta hoon ke USDJPY mazeed barhega kyun ke h1 support jo ke 145.88 price par hai, abhi tak break nahi hua. Is liye, main sab ko yeh tajwez deta hoon ke jo is pair mein trading karte hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target resistance ke price 151.20 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss support ke price 145.4 par rakh sakhain

Agar hum USD/JPY ko H4 ke large timeframe main dekhein, toh is haftay aisa lagta hai ke yeh bullish trend jo kay kuch hafton se chal raha tha, usay khatam karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aur agar hum mazeed ghor karein, toh abhi yeh dikhayi de raha hai ke USD/JPY EMA50 ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo agar kamiyabi se break ho gaya, toh ek bari bullish movement ka mauqa zaroor mil sakta hai. Lekin, buyers ko bohot ehtiyaat se kaam lena hoga kyun ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe mein phir se overbought position main aa chuka hai.
Chhoti timeframe yani H1 main, kal USD/JPY ne girne ka ek mauqa hasil kiya tha jab price EMA50 H1 ke neeche chala gaya tha, lekin USD/JPY ki taqat ne usay sambhalne diya aur yeh dubara American session ke dauran upar chala gaya. Yeh move aaj subha tak barqarar raha aur ab yeh pair 147.7 ke resistance area ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jahan se is pair ke liye ek aur bada upward movement ka chance ban sakta hai.

Abhi price 147.25 par trade ho raha hai aur yeh MA120 hourly period ke average moving line aur XamaSystem indicator ke upar hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke buyers ko sellers par priority mil rahi hai. Is liye, aaj meri umeed hai ke price XamaSystem indicator ke hourly period ke lower border, yani 169.69 ya phir MA120 ke around 146.08 tak halka sa rollback karega. Iske baad mujhe rebound aur reversal ki umeed hai. Phir mujhe lagta hai ke asset Thursday ke maximum 147.60 tak barhega aur is maximum ko update karega. Dusra target growth ke liye Wednesday ka maximum 147.90 hai, aur teesra target resistance 148.48 par hai.

Yeh jorha 149 se gira aur jald hi lagbhag 800 points ke lagbhag gir gaya, jo ek bara girawat thi, isliye ek pullback shuru hua. Misal ke taur par, GBP/USD 1.13 se 1.0340 tak gira aur phir niche ki taraf tezi se waapas aaya. JP Morgan Chase Bank ne kaha ke sirf aadhay arbitrage trades liquidate hue hain, aur abhi bhi girawat ki kuch jagah hai, lekin asal mein hum level out kar sakte hain, turant nahi. Takneeki taur par, agar mai sahi hoon aur yahan ek black channel aata hai, to jorha 148 se upar nahi jayega aur girawat jaari rahegi, lekin iske liye zaroori hai ke kam se kam 146 tak ya behtar 145 tak wapas aaye taake bechne ke liye jagah ho aur sabse zaroori hai ke stop losses ke liye jagah ho. Agar jorha uptrend channel aur 149 level ko todti hai, to zyadatar correction jaari rahegi ya koi wide flat banega. Misal ke taur par, main 152-145 range mein koi quotes nahi dekh raha hoon.
---

USD/JPY H-4

Sab ko namaste!

USD/JPY currency pair ne Asian session ke dauran trading volume mein ek significant izafa dekha. Jorha rally hui, shuruat ke hafte mein jo low the, unse rebound karti rahi. Investors profits le rahe hain. Yen ki demand bhi gir rahi hai. World markets panic se recover ho rahe hain. Bank of Japan phir se currency rates ke saath khel raha hai. Pehle half of the day mein pair thoda down correction dekh sakta hai, lekin overall mujhe lagta hai ke uptrend jaari hai. Expected reversal point 145.75 hai aur main us point ke upar buy karunga with targets at 148.65 aur 149.55. Agar pair apni downtrend resume karti hai, 145.75 level ko break karti hai aur merge hoti hai, to yeh 145.25 aur 144.75 tak raasta khulega

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis Pichlay do dinon mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne mukhtalif ma'ashi aur geopolitical factors ki wajah se kafi zyada fluctuation dekhi. 5 August ko, yen ne saat maheenay ka sab se uncha level achieve kiya jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein dakhla diya aur takreeban 5.53 trillion yen kharch kiye currency ko support dene ke liye. Yeh dakhla is wajah se tha ke 10-year Japanese government bond ka yield 0.8% se kam ho gaya tha, jo ke US jobs data ke kamzor hone ki wajah se tha aur aise mein Federal Reserve ke zyada aggressively interest rates cut karne ki umeed thi.
Usi din, Bank of Japan ne ek ghaflati rate hike announce kiya, benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% tak barhaya aur yeh bhi signal diya ke agar ma'ashi halaat supportive rahe to wo rate hikes continue karenge. Yeh move Japan ki ma'ashi challenges ke bawajood aya, jismein declining private consumption aur contracting economy shamil hain.

Us ke muqablay mein, US ko kuch disappoint karne wale economic data mila, jismein kamzor manufacturing PMI aur economic slowdown ke concerns shamil hain. Yeh factors aur US earnings reports se kam ummeed ki wajah se, US stock futures mein girawat aayi aur USD/JPY pair par pressure badh gaya. Federal Reserve ke comments ne bhi US labor market ko protect karne ki baat ki, jo ke aggressive rate cuts ko delay kar sakti hai.

Aam tor par, hawkish stance aur Fed ke cautious approach ne USD/JPY pair ke liye ek volatile environment create kar diya hai. Investors central bank policies aur economic data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain taake future movements ko samjha ja sake, jismein US jobs report aur central banks ki monetary policy adjustments pe zyada tawajjo di ja rahi hai.

Forecast & Trading Strategy: Aaj, US dollar index acchi value par hai. Is wajah se, USD/JPY ne 146.00 ka high break kiya. Is level ko break karne ke baad, quote ne broken resistance tak girawat dekhi aur is level ko respect karte hue rebound kiya. Iska matlab hai ke US dollar Japanese yen ke muqablay mein mazid strong ho raha hai. Daily chart pe do bottoms dikhayi dete hain jo currency price ke resistance hain. Agar 146.80 ko break kiya jaye, to humein buying opportunity mil sakti hai

USD/JPY ki qeemat ka tajziya Aaj, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki karkardagi ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Zawal ke ilawa mukhtalif scenarios ko mad e nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Filhaal, ek upward movement sab se zyada mumkin nazar aata hai, jo kafi barhoti ke moqay faraham kar raha hai. Is imkaniat ke sath, hum 155.35 ka level hasil kar sakte hain, halan ke yeh abhi door hai. Jab 154.03 mark ko paar kar lenge, to hum agle level 154.67 ko target kar sakte hain. Jab ke izafa wazeh nazar aata hai, zawaal ka scenario zyada specific hona chahiye. Bearish side ki taraf ek correction 152.74 ke level tak la sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ke liye ek behtareen buying opportunity pesh kar raha hai.

Iske ilawa, 153.42 se ek bullish position enter karna bhi mad e nazar rakha ja sakta hai, kyun ke ek slight pullback ho sakta hai. Main aam tor par USD/JPY growth ko support karta hoon, magar ummed hai ke hum 156.55 tak pohonch sakte hain. Envelopes ke mutabiq, hourly scale par current growth cycle ka target resistance 155.29 hai. Agar USD/JPY pair current 154.65 level se is resistance tak barhta hai, to main selling ko rokne ka irada rakhta hoon aur support 152.21 ki taraf qeemat girne ka intezar karunga.

Main umeed karta hoon ke hafta bhar mein trading 152.22 aur 155.29 ke darmiyan rahegi. 152.15 support level se rebound karne par, growth ke liye aik khas candlestick formation nazar aayi hai, jisme hammer ya pin bar shamil hain. CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar jane ke liye tayar dikh raha hai, aur ek bullish divergence nazar aati hai. Closing prices ke mutabiq, main samajhta hoon ke qeemat horizontal resistance level 156.04 tak barh jaegi. Is higher level ke kareeb, lower periods of M15-M30 mein selling ke formations dekhe ja sakte hain, jahan support resistance mein badal sakti hai. Is point se rebound hone par, support level 152.15 ko paar karte hue ek poora zawaal mumkin hai. Aaj ki noteworthy news mein shamil hain: 16:00 Moscow time par Composite Housing Price Index in the USA, US Consumer Confidence Index from CB, aur USA mein labour market (JOLTS) mein khuli hui vacancies ki tadad.
nazariya share karna chahta hoon. Technical analysis shuru karne ke liye, mein chart pe ek indicator lagata hoon jo Heikin Ashi candles ke zariye pair ki movement ka dynamics dikhata hai. Iska sabse bada faida ye hai ke ye market noise ko smooth kar deta hai. Heikin Ashi ka price bars banane ka ek khaas tareeqa hai jo price chart ke delay ko kaafi kam kar deta hai. Channel indicator TMA (Triangular Moving Average) working chart pe support aur resistance lines draw karta hai aur current channel boundaries dikhata hai jiske andar instrument is waqt move kar raha hai. Aakhri oscillator jo transactions ko filt

USDJPY pair mein ek growth dekhi gayi, lekin yeh local maximum 147.91 ko nahi tod saka, aur wahan se rollback mein chala gaya, aur bearish TF M15 par shift ho gaya. Iska break tab hoga jab pair 147.71 ke level ko tod kar upar jayega. TF H1 abhi bhi bullish hai, aur iska break tab hoga jab pair zone (143.10-141.50) ke neeche gir jaye.

Bearish TF H4 ko bullish mein badalne ke liye, growth chahiye jo pivot H1 (150.00) ko breakout kare, aur zone (151.50-pivot H1 1/8 (153.12)) ke upar consolidate kare. Daily TF bearish hai, aur iska break tab hoga jab growth hote hue zone (155.20-156.80) ke upar consolidation ho jaye.

Pair ne ek zone define kar liya hai - bullish TF H1 ke break aur bearish TF H4 ke break ke darmiyan, aur ab sab kuch TF M15 par depend karega. Abhi yeh bearish hai, lekin agar growth ke saath yeh bullish ho jata hai, toh pair local maximum tak upar jayega, jiska break growth ko TF H4 ke break tak le jayega. Waisa hi - agar bearish TF M15 maintain reh gaya, toh pair ke decline ka silsila jari rahega, aur bullish TF H1 ke break zone tak pohonch jayega. Agar yeh break hota hai, toh bearish TF H4 aur Daily TF isko support karenge, aur phir hum decline ko jari rakhenge.
Is baat ke bawajood ke USD/JPY pair ke liye 147.300 ka level ek rukawat ban gaya hai, aur jese ke hum dekh sakte hain, Japanese yen ab bhi is level ko mazbooti se pakar kar American dollar ka muqabla karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur phir se 141.500 ke rate par wapas aane ki koshish kar raha hai. Halanki, mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh scenario develop hoga ya poora hoga, main ab bhi yeh samajhta hoon ke American session mein 147.300 ka level break hoga aur yeh 151 yen per American dollar ke Japanese yen rate tak upar jayega. Yeh, apni jagah par, humein ek upward trend continue karne ka moka faraham karega