usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USDJPY


USDJPY abhi mazboot bearish pressure ke neeche hai, jo is currency pair mein downtrend ko ab bhi dominant batata hai. Jab 155.601 ke peechle low ko todh diya gaya, toh price ne apni girawat jari rakhi aur 151.922 ka naya low banaya. Ye breakout significant bearish strength ko dikhata hai, kyunki ek important support level break ho chuka hai aur mazeed girawat ke liye rasta khul gaya hai.

151.922 ka low reach karne ke baad, USDJPY ne ek upward correction experience ki. Ye correction ek natural market reaction hai tezi se girawat ke baad, jahan kuch market players profits lete hain ya technical buying hoti hai jo price ko thoda upar push kar deti hai. Lekin, ye correction limited lagti hai aur bearish outlook ko change nahi karti.



Abhi, USDJPY apne last downward movement ke 50% Fibonacci retracement zone mein enter hoti nazar aa rahi hai. Ye zone technical analysis mein aksar ek important area hota hai, jahan prices ko strong resistance milta hai. Ye 50% Fibonacci retracement zone peechle base area ke sath coincide karta hai jo 154.416 - 154.988 ke aas paas hai. Ye base area wo level hai jahan price pehle consolidate hui thi ya pause hui thi apne main trend ko continue karne se pehle. Is context mein, ye area ek strong resistance ka kaam kar sakti hai jo aage ki upward movement ko block karne ka potential rakhti hai.

50% Fibonacci zone aur peechle base area ke confluence ke sath, ye chance high hai ke price ko is level ke aas paas significant selling pressure milega. Traders is area ko sell position enter karne ka ek mauka dekh sakte hain, is expectation ke sath ke price apni downtrend ko resume karegi jab upward correction khatam ho jayegi. Iske ilawa, 154.988 level ke upar ek wise stop loss placement better risk management de sakta hai agar price predictions ke against move kare.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, US dollar/Japanese yen jodi ne guzishtah hafte tashkil kardah sideways range me karobar kiya tha. Yah dekhte hue keh asset istehkam ke marhale me hai, market ki suratehal balkeh ghair yaqini hai aur jodi ki mustaqbil ki simt ki peshan goi karna kafi mushkil hai. Halankeh, aaj ke macroeconomic calendar me America se khabron ki release ka ek batch shamil hai jo dollar ki harkiyat par bada asar dal sakta hai. Shayad yah awamil jodi ki mustaqbil ki simt muqarrar karega. Yah dekhte hue keh hal hi me marujah rujhan mandi ka shikar raha hai, imkan hai keh Bears qimat ko niche khinchte rahenge. Agar qimat 153.38 ki support satah se niche fix hoti hai to, dollar/yen jodi ke nuqsanat me tausie ki tawaqqo ki jati hai. Agar bulls market ka control hasil kar lete hain aur qimat 154.65 ki muzahmati satah se ooper mustahkam hoti to, dollar/yen ka joda mumkena taur par oopri raftar hasil karegi. Sirf waqt hi batayega keh yah kitna mazbut hoga. Yah islah ka gahra hona ya iska reversal bhi ho sakta hai.

Is important week ke trading ke start pe, Japanese yen US dollar ke khilaaf kariban 153 yen tak barh gaya, jab ke pichle hafta 2% se zyada barh chuka tha. Ye speculation barh rahi hai ke Bank of Japan apni aanewali meeting mein interest rates barhane wala hai taake inflation ko control kar sake aur apni currency ka difa kar sake. Financial markets yeh bet laga rahe hain ke central bank is hafta interest rates ko 10 basis points barha ke 0.1% kar dega, aur yeh wide expectation hai ke woh apni tightening monetary policy ke plans ko outline karega.

Japanese yen mid-July se barh raha hai, shayad Japanese authorities ke intervention ki wajah se. Is move ne short-term positions ke forced unwinding ko boost kiya, aur global stocks ke sell-off ke baad safe-haven buying ko bhi lift kiya. Is ke ilawa, expectations ke US Federal Reserve jaldi interest rates cut karna shuru karega, dollar pe weight dala aur doosri major currencies ko lift kiya.

Overall, investors is interesting hafta ke trading ke shuruaat mein desperate hain answers ke liye, regarding global monetary policy ke near-term path ke bare mein, jab ke major economies ke mixed signals ne markets ko ulat-pulat kar diya. Major central banks Tokyo aur Washington mein Wednesday ko aur London mein Thursday ko milne wale hain, aur traders struggle kar rahe hain decide karne mein ke Bank of Japan interest rates barhaye ga ya nahi, aur phir Federal Reserve aur Bank of England kab aur kitna cut karenge. Yeh sab recent gains in yen aur pound, aur falling short-term US Treasury yields ke liye stakes high kar raha hai. Bohat se markets pichle hafta nervous dikhai diye due to the uncertain outlook for policy aur economic growth.

USD/JPY bias abhi bearish hai aur yeh lift ho sakta hai agar BoJ market ke expectations ko meet nahi karta regarding Japanese rate hike, agar US jobs numbers stronger than expected aate hain aur Fed ka tone hawkish rehta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh main 160.00 ke psychological resistance area tak wapas jane ko rule out nahi karunga. Warna, 15.00 support level ka break ek easy target hoga bears ke liye.

USD/JPY pair resistance level 155.20-155.50 ko break karne mein nakam rahi, jo ke potential reversal ko zahir karti hai. Is resistance level ko surpass na kar paane ka matlab hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho raha hai aur girawat ki tawaqo hai. Pair ke pehle 154.73 level tak girne ka imkaan hai, aur phir support range 155.20-154.83 tak. Yeh movement market sentiment mein shift ko zahir karti hai, jahan sellers buyers par zyada taqatwar ho rahe hain.
Is scenario ko dekhte hue, humein pair ke 154.83-155.16 level ki taraf move karne ke signals milte hain. Yeh range critical hai kyun ke yeh potential area hai jahan pair stabilize ho sakta hai ya mazeed pressure face kar sakta hai. Agar pair is range mein develop karta hai, tou yeh persistent bearish trend ko indicate karega, jo ke sellers ke market mein control ko highlight karta hai. Traders ko is range mein price action ko qareebi tor par dekhna chahiye kyun ke yeh pair ke future movements aur potential reversal points ke baray mein essential clues faraham karega.

Is waqt, behtar hoga ke European session ke khulne ka intezar kiya jaye. European session aksar zyada trading volume aur volatility lati hai, jo ke zyada definitive market movements ko lead kar sakti hai. Is session ka intezar karke, traders ko market ke direction ke baray mein behtar insights mil sakti hain aur sales ke liye optimal entry points identify karne mein madad mil sakti hai. Is waqt market ko observe karna madadgar hoga ke anticipated decline materialize hoga ya nahi, aur trades ko execute karne ke liye clearer signals faraham karega.

Khulasah yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair ka resistance level 155.20-155.50 ko break na kar paana potential reversal aur 154.73 tak girne aur phir support range 155.20-154.83 tak girne ko zahir karta hai. Yeh anticipated movement market sentiment mein shift ko indicate karta hai jo ke sellers ko buyers par zyada taqatwar bana raha hai. Traders ko 154.83-155.16 range par focus karna chahiye taake pair ke future direction ko behtar samajh sakein. European session ka intezar karke additional clarity aur robust trading opportunities mil sakti hain. In key levels aur market developments ko monitor karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur USD/JPY pair mein potential bearish trend ka faida utha sakte hain.

Recent collapse ke baad, USD/JPY currency pair mein recovery ke signs dekhe gaye hain, lekin iski future direction abhi bhi uncertain hai. Agar pair 155.50 level ke beyond move karta hai, tou growth ka potential hai. Agar upward momentum continue karta hai, tou target range 154.72-154.93 hogi. Yeh yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers ke liye ek opportunity ho sakti hai agar pair current resistance level ko break karta hai.
Doosri taraf, agar pair apni upward movement ko sustain nahi kar pata aur wapas girta hai, tou sales ka target range 155.28-155.63 hoga. Yeh bearish outlook ko suggest karta hai agar pair 155.50 level ke upar nahi rehta. Traders ko dono scenarios ke liye prepared rehna chahiye aur price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne transactions ke best entry points identify kar sakein.

Trading recommendation ke liye, market ki direction ko consider karna aur suitable entry points ko identify karna zaroori hai. Agar pair strong bullish momentum ke sath 155.50 level ke beyond move karta hai, tou traders ko long positions enter karne par ghoor karna chahiye jo ke 154.72-154.93 range ko target karengi. Yeh strategy anticipated growth ko capitalize karegi aur upward trend se profit aim karegi.

Conversely, agar pair decline karna shuru karta hai aur current levels ke neeche break karta hai, tou short positions enter karna targeting 155.28-155.63 range viable strategy ho sakti hai. Yeh approach bearish sentiment ka faida uthayegi aur pair ki value mein further decline ko capitalize karegi.
Summary mein, USD/JPY pair ki direction recent collapse ke baad uncertain hai, jismein upward aur downward movements dono ke potentials hain. Traders ko key levels 155.50, 154.72-154.93, aur 155.28-155.63 ko closely dekhna chahiye taake apne trades ke best entry points determine kar sakein. Vigilant aur market signals ke responsive rehte hue, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur apne trading strategies ko optimize kar sakte hain.

Greetings! USD/JPY pair par, Friday ko price D1 envelope ki middle line cross nahi kar payi. Yeh pair ko apni recent high ko phir se break karne ka mauka deta hai. Lekin agar yeh is level ke upar move karne mein nakam hota hai to 163.50 ke area mein wapas aa sakta hai aur is level ke neeche breakdown aur consolidation ho sakti hai. Maujooda levels ko dekhte hue, price ko 163.45 ke neeche rise aur consolidate karna chahiye, aur 163.10 ke current level se 163.68 tak further drop bhi ho sakta hai. Akhir kar, price apni upward movement ko ongoing trend ke mutabiq resume kar sakta hai, lekin bears 163.70 ke resistance level par challenge karenge. Hamari primary focus instrument ki volatility aur sellers' activity par hai. Sellers price ko 163.15 ke second support level aur mumkin hai 162.50 ke third support level tak push kar sakte hain, lower prices par liquidity par depend karta hai. Pivot center ko break karna avoid karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh bearish plans ko disrupt kar sakta hai. Shorter time frames mein jab bhi mumkin ho, nearest trend structure ke sath align rehna behtar hai

Price ne pehle 163.75 ke fighting level ko nearly reach kiya tha. Yeh exact level nahi hai, lekin yeh ek zone ko represent karta hai, aur chart scale ko dekhte hue, yeh ek rough estimate hai. Price ne apna recent high refresh kiya hai, aur square aur resistance level par significant divergence nazar aa rahi hai, jo ek potential reversal ko indicate karta hai. Iske ilawa, oscillator overbought territory mein enter kar gaya hai, jo ke downward correction ko suggest karta hai. Is base par, ek downward correction hua, jo ke choti chart par visualize kiya gaya hai. Is correction ke baad price dobara rise kar sakti hai

USD/JPY currency pair ne moderate decline experience kiya hai. Ek point par, pair significant drop hua tha lekin phir quickly current weekly session ke opening levels par wapas aaya. Yeh recovery indicate karti hai ke market abhi tak new trend establish karne ke liye tayar nahi hai Ek possible reason recent movements ka yeh ho sakta hai ke investors US market opening se pehle profits lock kar rahe hain. Profit-taking aam hai traders ke beech jo European session ke dauran banaye gaye gains ko secure karna chahte hain pehle ke US markets open ho, jo volatility face kar sakte hain. USD/JPY pair ka performance aksar various factors se influence hota hai jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. For instance, US economic indicators mein changes, jaise ke employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke decisions, heavily impact kar sakte hain pair ko. Isi tarah, Japan ke economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi crucial role play karte
Thursday (6/28/24) ko, USD/JPY ne record high reach kiya, indicating a rapid increase, jo ke potential opportunity for profit-taking suggest kar sakta Hi. Ab bhi chance hai ke decline ho US session ke lead up mein. Furthermore, ek breakout above the moving averages aur bullish channel indicate karte hain bearish pressure in the analysis
Hourly chart analysis ke mutabiq, 15-minute chart par described, decline ka possibility bhi hai kyunki moving average current price se above hai, suggesting ke bullish trend for USD/JPY pair continue kar sakta hai, potentially higher zone mein move karte hue. Trend pattern for this week uptrend indicate karta hai narrow range ke saath. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, chance hai ke yeh increase next week tak continue kar sakta hai, aur prices expected hain uptrend maintain karne ke. Morning candlestick closed above the 100-period simple moving average, suggesting ke market trend rise ho sakta hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko surpass kar sakte hain
Currently, USD/JPY trend line ke above trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki strength show karta hai, aur yeh trend line support serve karti hai. Bullish rally continue karne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko resistance at 162.15 break karna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke movement ke continuation ka potential allow karega. Pehla target hoga supply zone at 160.47, jahan historically sellers ne price ko push down kiya hai. Ek reverse movement towards the short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle support at 160.24 break karna hoga, jahan price ne aksar bounce back kiya hai. Bears ki strength confirm hogi agar price successfully 160.31 ke broken level ke below consolidate kar sake, indicating price weakness
USD/JPY ka downtrend abhi bhi present hai. Price ne support at 155.48 find kiya, jahan se yeh bounce back hua. Technical analysis dikhati hai ke price four-hour time frame par cloud ke below trade kar raha hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke saath below, Chikou span line price chart ke below, aur ek active "dead cross." Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke below hai, aur "trend filter" oscillator red mein, signaling bearish market sentiment. Further declines likely hain. Agar price level 155.48 ke below break aur successfully consolidate karta hai, toh prudent hoga new sales consider karna. Iss scenario mein, next potential target support level is 154.70.

Japanese yen ne Tuesday ko doosray din bhi apni girawat ka silsila US dollar ke muqablay mein jaari rakha. Market ke shirka waqt BoJ ke monetary policy meeting ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Wednesday ko hai. Andaze lagaye ja rahe hain ke central bank ek choti si interest rate hike 10 basis points tak 0.1% kar sakta hai aur apne bond purchasing program ko kam karne ka elan kar sakta hai. Jabke Japanese hukumat ne BoJ ke saath apni qareebi ta'awun ko tasleem kiya hai, usne ye bhi wazeh kiya hai ke monetary policy ke specifics central bank ki domain mein hain. Dusri taraf, US dollar, Federal Reserve ke Wednesday ke anticipated rate hold se mumkin headwinds ka samna kar raha hai, lekin year ke aakhir tak ek ziada aggressive rate cut trajectory ki umeedon se support hai. US mein softening inflation aur labor market conditions ne 2024 ke aakhir tak ek bari interest rate reduction ke imkanaat ko barha diya hai

Technically, USD/JPY pair filhal descending channel ke andar consolidating kar raha hai, jo ek bearish bias darshata hai. Magar, pair ke recent price action aur relative strength index (RSI) jo oversold conditions ko darshata hai, ek potential short-term rebound ka ishara de rahe hain. Foran support neechay descending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb 153.00 par hai, mazeed support levels 151.86 aur psychologically significant 151.00 par hain. Upper side par, resistance 154.50 level par hai, phir 9-day EMA 155.13 par aur descending channel ki upper boundary 156.20 ke qareeb hai. Jaise jaise hafta guzarta hai, focus bila shubah BoJ ke policy decision aur kisi bhi sath lagne wale bayanat par rahega. Kisi bhi market expectations se inhiraf significant volatility ko USD/JPY pair mein trigger kar sakta hai

Global economic landscape filhal kafi volatile hai, jo ke inflationary pressures, central bank policies, aur geopolitical tensions se mutasir hai. Ye sab cheezein market sentiment ko asar dalti hain. Khaaskar, US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke monetary policy decisions ka US dollar (USD) par gehra asar hota hai. Jab Fed hawkish stance adopt karta hai—jaise ke interest rates barhana ya future rate hikes ka ishara karna—ta USD aam tor par dusri currencies ke muqablay mein mazid strong hota hai, including New Zealand dollar (NZD). Baraks, agar Fed dovish stance rakhta hai, jo ke lower interest rates ya zyada cautious approach se hota hai, to USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur NZD/USD pair ko upar le ja sakta hai.
New Zealand mein, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) bhi NZD ko significantly influence karta hai. RBNZ ke interest rates ke faislay, unka economic outlook, aur policy statements kafi ahmiyat rakhte hain. Haal hi mein, RBNZ ne interest rates ko barhaya hai taake inflation ko manage kiya ja sake. Agar RBNZ future rate changes ka hint de ya economic growth ke baare mein concerns zahir kare, to NZD kamzor ho sakta hai.

Economic data releases bhi currency movements ko determine karne mein crucial hoti hain. Key indicators jaise GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, aur trade balances US aur New Zealand dono ki economic health ke bare mein insights dete hain. Strong economic data New Zealand se NZD ko support kar sakti hai, jabke robust US economic figures USD ko mazid barhawa de sakti hain. Is liye, upcoming data releases NZD/USD currency pair mein significant fluctuations trigger kar sakti hain.

Geopolitical developments aur market sentiment bhi currency markets mein ahm role play karte hain. Major geopolitical events, jaise ke trade tensions ya conflicts, investors ko safe-haven currencies, jaise ke USD, ki taraf le ja sakte hain. Baraks, agar tensions kam hoti hain ya positive geopolitical news aati hai, to risk-taking ko encourage kiya ja sakta hai, jo higher-yielding currencies, jaise NZD, ko faida de sakta hai

Pehle W1 period chart dekhte hain - USDJPY currency pair. Guzishta trading hafta sellers ke liye kaafi successful raha aur iske technical reasons bhi the. Pehle, MACD indicator par ek bara bearish divergence tha, itna achha nahi tha lekin tha. Dusre indicator CCI par bhi ek bearish divergence tha, lekin chhota tha. Iske ilawa, ye sab ek downward breakout ke saath confirm hua jo ek ascending wedge ka reversal figure tha. Nateeja ye hua ke price ne neeche ki taraf jhoolan bhari aur ek hafta mein takreeban 590 points chali gayi. Target ko achieve kiya gaya jo ke 152.16 ke horizontal support level par tha, jahan se sales ki positions ko fix kiya gaya aur purchases ki gayi, price thodi upar gayi. Mera andaza hai ke thodi aur growth hogi, phir ek possible decline aayega jisme last week ke minimum se neeche jayega aur wave ke bottoms par banaye gaye ascending line tak pohnchega, jahan se shayad ek upward rebound hoga. Pehle haftay ke pehle hisse mein growth hone ki umeed hai, phir decline, do movements - upar aur neeche.
Daily chart. Yahan support level 152.16 se rebound par candles ka ek khas formation ban gaya, jisme ek hammer ya pin bar bhi hai. CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar jaane ke liye ready hai aur uspe ek bullish divergence bhi nazar aa raha hai. Mera andaza hai ke price horizontal resistance level 156.05 tak upar jayegi jo ke closing prices par banaya gaya hai. Is higher level ke paas M15-M30 periods par aap sale ke formation ko dekh sakte hain, wahi mirror level jahan support resistance mein tabdeel hota hai. Aur wahan se kam se kam ek downward rebound expected hai. Ye rebound ek full-fledged decline mein bhi tabdeel ho sakta hai aur support level 152.16 se neeche bhi ja sakta hai. Aaj ke liye kuch important news hain: 16:00 Moscow time - Composite index of housing prices in the USA. 17:00 - US Consumer Confidence Index from CB, Number of open vacancies in the labor market (JOLTS) in the USA

Japanese Yen (JPY) tezi se barh raha hai. Teen din se lagataar yeh mazboot hota ja raha hai, shayad isliye kyunki investors apne paisay safe havens mein invest kar rahe hain. Yeh tab ho raha hai jab Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki agle haftay ke policy meeting mein interest rates barhane ki umeed hai. Is policy shift ki wajah se short sellers apne positions chhod rahe hain, jo Yen ko aur bhi mazboot kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ki ruling party ke senior figures BoJ se keh rahe hain ke woh apni monetary policy ko dheere-dheere normalize karne ke plan ko zyada transparent banayein. Yeh Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ki growth-based Japanese economy ke vision ke sath align karta hai, jise woh central bank ke policy normalization ke sath maante hain. Is waqt, US Dollar (USD) ko kuch problems ka saamna hai. Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke potential par badhti hui speculation ke wajah se USD ko kuch challenges mil rahe hain.

Agar Bollinger Bands indicator ko Daily timeframe par dekha jaye, to yeh nazar aata hai ke price Middle Bollinger Bands area ke neeche hai aur abhi bhi sellers ke control mein hai jo Lower Bollinger Bands area ke paas pahuncha hai. Yeh bearish sellers ke liye potential target area ho sakta hai aaj ke trading mein. Market support bhi bearish candlesticks ke dominance se mil rahi hai, jo yeh darshati hai ke USD/JPY market pair abhi bhi strong bearish trend mein hai. Agar Lower Bollinger Bands area 155.24-155.20 ko validly break kar diya jaye, to USD/JPY ki price aur bhi kam ho sakti hai aur next target buyer's demand support area ki taraf ho sakta hai.

Trading Wednesday subah Asian market session mein buyers ne resistance ka effort dikhaya hai ke price ko wapas bullish banaya jaye aur nearest seller resistance area 156.60-156.62 ko penetrate kiya jaye. Agar yeh successfully penetrate hota hai, to USD/JPY ki price aur bhi upar soar kar sakti hai aur next target seller's supply resistance area 157.45-157.47 ki taraf ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh fail hota hai, to USD/JPY ki price phir se sellers ke control mein aa jayegi jo 155.22-155.20 support area ko test karne ki koshish kareinge.

USD/JPY/H1/ 155.22-155.20.

Japanese Yen (JPY) ki qeemat barh rahi hai. Teesre din se yen mazid mazboot ho raha hai, shayad isliye ke investors apne paise ko suraksha ke liye nikal rahe hain. Yeh ummed ke saath ho raha hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni agle hafte ke policy meeting mein interest rates barhane wala hai. Is policy ke tabdeeli ki wajah se short sellers apne positions chhod rahe hain, jo yen ko aur bhi mazboot kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ki ruling party ke senior afraad BoJ se keh rahe hain ke woh apni monetary policy ko dheere-dheere normal karne ke plan ko zyada wazeh kare. Yeh Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ke growth-based Japanese economy ke nazariye ke mutabiq hai, jo unka kehna hai ke iske liye central bank ki policy normalization zaroori hai. Dusri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ko kuch mushkilat ka saamna hai. Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke zyada daawon se USD ko nuksan ho raha hai.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ko monitor karte huye dekha ja sakta hai ke price Middle Bollinger bands area ke neeche hai aur abhi bhi price sellers ke dwara maintain ki ja rahi hai jo Lower Bollinger bands area ki taraf barh rahi hai. Yeh area bearish sellers ke liye target ban sakta hai aaj ke trading mein. Market support bhi bearish candlesticks ke dominance se dekhi ja rahi hai jo yeh dikha rahi hai ke USD/JPY market pair ab bhi kaafi strong bearish trend mein hai. Agar Lower Bollinger bands area, jo ke 155.24-155.20 ke aas-paas hai, ko validly break kiya jaata hai, to USD/JPY pair ki qeemat aur bhi kam ho sakti hai, aur agla target buyers ke demand support area ki taraf ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY/H1/ 155.22-155.20.

Wednesday subah Asian market session mein buyers ne price ko upar le jaane ki koshish ki hai, bullish movement ka target yeh hai ke wo nearest seller resistance area, jo ke 156.60-156.62 ke aas-paas hai, ko penetrate kar sake. Agar yeh strong penetration se ho jaata hai, to USD/JPY pair ki qeemat aur bhi zyada barh sakti hai, aur agla target seller's supply resistance area, jo ke 157.45-157.47 ke aas-paas hai, ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh fail ho jaata hai, to USD/JPY pair ko phir se sellers control karenge jo ke price ko niche le jaake support area, jo ke 155.22-155.20 ke aas-paas hai, ko test karne ka plan bana rahe hain.

[strong]USDJPY[/strong]

Hello doston! USDJPY currency pair ko dekhte hue, main ye observe kar raha hoon ke M15 chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo ke market mein strong buying pressure ko indicate karta hai. Buyers ki activity ek acchi opportunity deti hai lower channel boundary se 154.029 par buying consider karne ke liye. Agla expectation yeh hai ke market 154.902 tak uthegi, uske baad ek correction aayegi. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hogi, jahan phir se buying opportunities ko consider karna chahiye. Agar lower boundary break kar gayi, to fall continue hoga, aur buying positions ko cancel karna padega. Market aise hi channels ke along grow karti hai jab upward trend hota hai. Upper channel boundary se 154.902 par sales ka intezar karna chahiye, aur entry bhi possible hai. Mere liye important hai ke lower boundary ke paas pullback par enter karoon.

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Higher timeframe H1 ko analyze karte hue, main dekh raha hoon ke linear regression channel bhi upar ki taraf directed hai. Yeh mere liye M15 se zyada important hai. Iska matlab hai ke bulls strong hain. M15 channel se buying ka signal milta hai, jo mere buying ka iraada mazid mazboot karta hai. Mujhe bas price ka sahi jagah par intezar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jo jagah main buying opportunities ke liye dekh raha hoon wo hai lower channel boundary 152.813 par. Wahan se phir se buy karne ki koshish karunga 155.097 tak. Target achieve karne aur subsequent growth se strong upward movement ka indicator milta hai. 155.097 se correction hone ki ummed hai, kyunki bullish movement select kiya gaya hai. Bulls phir se apni movement restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar 152.813 par entry point break ho jata hai, to yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Is case mein trading plan ko buying ke liye reconsider karna padega aur market situation ko dobara assess karna padega.

Japanese yen ne US dollar ke muqablay mein dusre din ke liye girawat ka silsila jari rakha. Market ke shiraakshak ehtiyaat barat rahe hain jab woh Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy meeting ke liye tayar hain, jo ke Wednesday ko hone wali hai. Andazay lagaye ja rahe hain ke central bank ek modest interest rate hike kar sakta hai, jo ke 10 basis points se 0.1% tak ho sakta hai, aur shayad bond purchasing program mein bhi kami ka elan kiya jaye. Jabke Japanese government ne BoJ ke sath nazdik tawanai ki tasdeeq ki hai, lekin isne bhi ye wazeh kiya hai ke monetary policy ke tajwez sirf central bank ke paas hain. Dusri taraf, US dollar, halankeh Federal Reserve ke Wednesday ko rate hold karne ke intezar mein kuch mushkilat ka saamna kar raha hai, lekin iski ummed hai ke baad mein saal ke dauran zyada aggressive rate cut ki ummed hai. US mein kam hoti hui inflation aur labor market conditions ne is baat ki imkaan ko barha diya hai ke 2024 ke akhir tak zyada bara interest rate reduction dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Technical tor par, USD/JPY pair filhal ek descending channel mein consolidation kar raha hai, jo ke bearish bias ka ishara de raha hai. Magar, pair ki recent price action aur relative strength index (RSI) jo oversold conditions ko darshata hai, short-term mein rebound ka ishara kar raha hai. Turant support 153.00 ke aas-paas lower boundary of descending channel par hai, jabke mazeed support levels 151.86 aur psychologically significant 151.00 par hain. Upside par resistance 154.50 level par hai, uske baad 9-day EMA 155.13 par hai aur descending channel ke upper boundary 156.20 ke aas-paas hai. Jaisay hi hafta aage barhega, focus zaroor BoJ ke policy decision aur kisi bhi accompanying statement par hoga. Market ke expectations se koi bhi deviance USD/JPY pair mein significant volatility ko trigger kar sakti hai.

**USD/JPY**

**Japan Ke Mahireen Ko Salaam!**

USD/JPY currency pair ke movement ke bare mein kehna hai ke ham filhal price ke reversal ka intezaar kar rahe hain, kyunki price abhi existing local maximum ke qareeb hai, aur four-hour Stochastic indicator bhi overbought area mein enter kar chuka hai.

**Market Situation:**

Agar hum pichli baar ke bears ke attempt ko dekhen, to “Zigzag” indicator ne naya minimum show nahi kiya tha. Is se ye samajh aata hai ke bulls shayad existing maximum ko upar ki taraf break kar denge. Lekin filhal tak, jab tak H4 trend ko ascending mein change nahi kiya jata, yeh bahut door hai. Isliye, agar price 154 figure ko break nahi karti, to USD/JPY ki price phir se niche ki taraf gir sakti hai aur 152.20 ke existing minimum ka retest kar sakti hai, aur phir 152 figure ko break kar ke niche ja sakti hai.

**Overall Analysis:**

Chaar ghante ka trend bilkul zahir hai aur mere trading system ke mutabiq isay bar-bar confirm kiya gaya hai. Filhal, pair ek retracement phase mein hai, jo ke normal hai jab tak descending channel ke boundaries violate nahi hoti. Isliye, is waqt ki rise bears ke liye koi serious threat nahi hai.

**Conclusion:**

Hamari analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ki movement abhi ek retracement phase mein hai aur bears ko abhi koi serious concern nahi hai jab tak price descending channel ki boundaries ko violate nahi karti. Bulls ko agar 154 figure ko break nahi milta, to price ke niche aane ke chances hain aur 152 figure ke niche bhi gir sakti hai. Isliye, current rise bears ke liye koi significant threat nahi hai.