usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

ka samna kar raha tha. Bulls ki koshish ke bawajood, candlestick is critical zone ko break karne mein kamiyaab nahi hui, jo dikhata hai ke yeh abhi bhi further gains ke liye ek strong barrier hai. Technical charts dikhate hain ke USD/JPY ne mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments




ki wajah se kai fluctuations face kiye hain. 155.76 par bounce yeh suggest karta hai ke substantial buying interest mojood hai, jo support provide karta hai aur further decline ko rokta hai. Bullish traders ke liye yeh bounce ek pivotal moment hai, jo upward trend ko resume karne ke liye ek potential turning point signal karta hai. Lekin, candlestick ka 155.76 zone ko break na kar paana yeh dikhata hai ke bears abhi bhi considerable pressure exert kar rahe hain. Yeh aik aise scenario create karta hai jahan market participants ko strength ya weakness ke signs closely dekhne chahiye. Agar pair is resistance level ko break karta hai, toh yeh ek nayi upward move lead kar sakta hai, jo higher resistance levels ko target kar sakti hai. Fundamental factors bhi USD/JPY ke behavior mein ek crucial role play karte hain. Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments sab pair ke movements ko influence karte hain. Misal ke taur par, US Federal Reserve ka interest rates par stance US dollar ki strength ko significantly impact karta hai, jabke Japan ki economic outlook aur Bank of Japan ki policies yen ki performance ko affect karti hain. Iske ilawa, market sentiment aur risk appetite bhi pair ke trajectory ko influence karte hain. Global uncertainty ke dauran, yen aksar US dollar ke against safe haven ki tarah strengthen hota hai. Iske muqabil, optimism aur risk-taking ke periods mein, US dollar yen ke against gain karta hai. Traders aur investors jab USD/JPY pair ko monitor karte hain, toh technical analysis tools jaise ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels provide valuable insights kar sakte hain potential future movements ke bare mein. Yeh tools trends, overbought ya oversold conditions, aur key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madadgar hote hain.

Japanese yen ne musalsal girawat ka samna kiya hai, bawajood iske ke Japanese currency officials ne yen ke slide ko rokne ke liye bohat koshish ki hai mass yen purchases ke zariye. Ye girawat zyada tar structural issues ki wajah se hai, khas tor par Japan aur United States ke beech me significant interest rate differential. Is saal ke shuruat me, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne interest rates ko negative zone se nikal kar raise kiya, lekin ye measure Japan me near-zero rates aur US me 5.25 rates ke darmiyan ke substantial gap ko fill karne me nakam raha hai.Recent notable drop in USD/JPY pair ne Tokyo se ek aur round of yen purchases ki speculation ko janam diya hai. Pehle jo pair 160.00 ke upar comfortably trade kar raha tha, ab 155.00 support level ko target kar raha hai, aur agla important support level 151.90 hai. Ye shift Japanese officials me yen ki musalsal depreciation ke baare me barhati hui fikar ko darshata hai aur unki tayyari ko indicate karta hai ke wo currency ko stabilize karne ke liye market me intervene karne ko tayyar hain.

Tokyo officials is baat pe pur umeed hain ke recent decline in the US dollar se USD/JPY pair me downtrend ka silsila barh sakta hai, khas tor par jabke lower US inflation ne Federal Reserve ke andar sentiment ko behtar banaya hai. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne recent data ke hawale se optimism zahir kiya, aur agar ye trend barqarar rehta hai to unhe interest rates cut karne ke faisle ka confidence mil sakta hai.Musalsal interest rate differential Japanese yen ke liye ek bara challenge bana hua hai. BoJ ke attempts ke bawajood interest rates ko adjust karne ke liye, Japanese aur US rates ke darmiyan ka farq significantly reduce nahi ho saka hai. Ye gap yen par pressure dalta rehta hai, Japanese authorities ke liye stable exchange rate achieve karna mushkil bana deta hai.Yen ki decline structural issues se driven hai, zyada tar Japan aur US ke interest rate differential ki wajah se. Jabke Japanese currency officials ne yen ko stabilize karne ke liye interventions ki koshish ki hai, ye measures underpinning economic conditions ki wajah se limited success hasil kar paye hain. Tokyo se future me zyada yen purchases ka potential high hai jabke officials ongoing market volatility ke dauran currency ko support karne ka aim rakhte hain. Yen ka outlook significant tor par depend karega future interest rate decisions pe, dono BoJ aur Federal Reserve ke, aur broader economic trends pe bhi.

USD/JPY pair choti gap ke sath khula, jo ke Asian session mein pehle hi fill ho chuka hai. Abhi ka current price Friday ke daily range ke andar trade ho raha hai. Jaisa ke maine pehle bhi bataya, mera aaj ka primary focus support level ko hold karna hai. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, yeh critical support 157.501 par located hai.

Is support level ke aas-paas do potential scenarios unfold ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke ek reversal candle form ho, jo ke upward price movement ke resumption ka signal ho. Is case mein, main expect karunga ke bullish reversal pattern, jaise ke hammer ya bullish engulfing pattern, form ho, jo yeh indicate karega ke buyers selling pressure ke baad control wapas le rahe hain. Key support level par reversal candle ek strong indication hogi ke downward momentum weaken ho raha hai aur bullish trend shayad resume ho. Agar yeh scenario play out hota hai, toh main price ko resistance zone ki taraf move karte dekhunga, jo ke maine identify kiya hai ke 157.22 aur 156.84 ke darmiyan hai.

Dusra scenario yeh hai ke price 157.501 support level ke neeche break kare. Agar aisa hota hai, toh yeh market mein significant bearish sentiment ko indicate karega. Is case mein, main further downside movement expect karunga. Is support level ka break hona bullish reversal scenario ko invalidate karega aur yeh suggest karega ke sellers control mein hain aur price ko neeche push kar rahe hain. Sustained break ke neeche yeh support extended decline ko lead kar sakta hai, potentially lower support levels ko target karte hue.

Mera aaj ka plan yeh hai ke main 157.501 support level ke aas-paas price action ko closely monitor karunga. Agar mujhe bullish reversal candle form hoti nazar aati hai, toh main long position enter karne ka sochunga, targeting the resistance zone at 157.22-156.84. Lekin agar price support level ke neeche break karti hai aur hold karti hai, toh main apni strategy ko reassess karunga aur possibly short position enter karne ke opportunities dekhoonga, downward momentum ka faida uthane ke liye.

USD/JPY pair ne weakening bullish momentum ke signs show kiye hain, lower boundary of an ascending channel pattern ke neeche break karte hue. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke qareeb hover kar raha hai, jo potential loss of upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Pair ke liye immediate support psychologically significant 109.00 level ke aas-paas hai, jiska breach more pronounced downward trend trigger kar sakta hai. Conversely, resistance 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 109.82 par aur lower channel boundary ke qareeb 109.95 par hai. Channel ke andar wapas trading bullish sentiment ko rejuvenate kar sakta hai, potentially pair ko channel ke upper limit near 113.20 ki taraf propel karte hue. Overall, USD/JPY exchange rate multiple factors ke complex interplay se influenced hai, jisme interest rate differentials, potential government intervention, aur economic data releases shamil hain. Traders ko yeh developments closely monitor karni chahiye for potential market volatility.

# USD/JPY H-4 Analysis at 163.00

USD/JPY ke currency pair ne H-4 chart par dilchasp price behavior dikhaya hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan complex interplay ko highlight karta hai. Shuru mein, pair ek upward trend channel mein tha, jo bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Magar, recent movements se market dynamics mein potential shifts ka pata chalta hai.

Is upward channel ke andar trading ke bawajood, lower boundaries par significant pressure dekhne ko mila, jo potential reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara deta hai. Notably, is period ke doran strong seller volume ka ghum hona, jo typically bearish sentiment ko indicate karta, nahi dekha gaya. Is ke baraks, buyer volume mazboot rahi, jo market participants ke future price movements ke baray mein optimistic hone ka pata deti hai.

Customer limit orders ka trigger hona is bullish outlook ko aur reinforce karta hai, jo strong demand base ko indicate karta hai jo price ko support kar sakta hai. Magar, expectations ke baraks, pair ne decline experience kiya, crucial support level 160.966 ko break karte hue. Is break ne upward trend ki sustainability ke baray mein concerns raise kiye, magar persistent buyer volume underlying strength ko indicate karta hai.

### Technical Indicators aur Patterns

**Support aur Resistance Levels:** Pair ki movement 160.966 support level ke ird gird crucial hai. Pehle, ye level strong support ka kaam karta tha, magar recent breach potential vulnerability ko suggest karta hai. Upside par, 163.00 level ek significant resistance point ban gaya hai. Pair ko apni upward trajectory resume karne ke liye, is level ko break aur sustained trading zaroori hai.

**Moving Averages:** 50-period aur 200-period moving averages H-4 chart par essential indicators hain. Pair dono moving averages ke upar trade kar rahi thi, jo long-term bullish trend ko signify karta hai. Magar, recent price decline ne pair ko in moving averages ke qareeb le aya, jo crossover ki possibility ko raise karta hai. Bearish crossover ek significant signal hoga ek potential trend reversal ka.

**Relative Strength Index (RSI):** RSI 70 mark ke qareeb fluctuate kar raha tha, jo overbought conditions ko indicate karta hai. Recent price decline ne RSI ko neutral levels par wapas la diya hai, jo suggest karta hai ke pair correction ya consolidation ke liye due ho sakti hai before trend ko resume karte hue.

### Market Sentiment aur Volume Analysis

**Buyer vs. Seller Volume:** Recent decline ke bawajood, buyer volume strong rahi. Ye persistent demand suggest karti hai ke market participants abhi bhi pair ke long-term bullish prospects par confidence rakhte hain. Magar, initial phase ke doran strong seller volume ka ghum hona indicate karta hai ke selling pressure utna intense nahi jitna price movement suggest karta hai.

**Customer Limit Orders:** Lower levels par customer limit orders ka trigger hona pair ke liye kuch support provide karta hai. Ye orders strong demand base ko indicate karte hain, jo further declines ke against cushion ka kaam kar sakte hain. Magar, in limit orders ki effectiveness current downtrend ko reverse karne mein dekhna baqi hai.

### Potential Scenarios

**Bullish Scenario:** Agar pair 163.00 resistance level ke upar regain aur sustain kar leti hai, to ye upward trend ke resume hone ka indication ho sakta hai. Strong buyer volume aur customer limit orders ka trigger hona is scenario ko support karega, jo new highs tak le ja sakta hai.

**Bearish Scenario:** Agar pair 160.966 support level ke neeche trade continue karti hai, to ye extended correction ya even trend reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Moving averages ka bearish crossover aur declining RSI is outlook ko further reinforce karenge.

### Conclusion

USD/JPY pair ka price action H-4 chart par ek market ko crossroad par dikhata hai. Recent 160.966 support level ka break upward trend ki sustainability ke baray mein concerns raise karta hai. Magar, strong buyer volume aur significant customer limit orders ki mojoodgi underlying strength ko indicate karti hai. Agle kuch trading sessions crucial honge pair ki direction determine karne mein, jahan 163.00 resistance level aur 160.966 support level future movements ke liye key benchmarks ka kaam karenge.

currency pair ka price action dynamics abhi scrutinize kiya ja raha hai. Yeh indications hain ke kuch interventions ho sakti hain jo iski movement ko influence kar sakti hain. Lekin, significant upward movement ki umeed Japan ki consistent stance ke wajah se tempered hai, jo ke significantly weakened yen ke against hai. Yeh stance align karta hai limited price increases ki anticipation ke sath USD/JPY mein.
Bari market perspective aur economic indicators ko dekhte hue, US dollar ke liye ek cautious outlook hai. Short term mein, yen ke against modest strengthening ka possibility hai. Yeh various factors jaise ke US economic data releases, Federal Reserve policy decisions, aur global market sentiment se influence ho sakta hai.
Aage dekhte hue, volatility aur US dollar mein potential weakness ka expectation hai. Market dynamics inherently unpredictable hain, aur factors jaldi se sentiment aur direction ko change kar sakte hain. Isliye, short term mein modest USD strength ka perspective hai, lekin sustained trends aur outcomes initial forecasts se different ho sakte hain.
USD/JPY ke liye nearest resistance levels 161.75, 162.30, aur 163.00 hain. Yeh levels crucial hain kyunke yeh woh points hain jahan upward momentum significant hurdles face kar sakti hai. Traders aur investors in levels ko closely monitor karenge taake ongoing upward trend ki strength ko gauge kar sakein aur apni positions enter ya exit karne ka faisla le sakein.
Yeh note karna zaruri hai ke kal ke din US job numbers ka announcement hoga jo ke US dollar ke performance par profound impact dal sakta hai. Employment data economic health ka critical indicator hai, aur strong job numbers typically dollar ko bolster karte hain kyunke yeh economic strength aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate hikes ke expectations ko reinforce karte hain. Isi tarah, agar job data expectations se weak hota hai to dollar ki strength undermine ho sakti hai, jo ke USD/JPY pair mein volatility increase kar sakti hai.
Is trend ka backdrop US aur Japan ki broader economic aur monetary policy landscape hai. US mein, Federal Reserve ek challenging environment navigate kar raha hai jo ke high inflation aur robust labor market se characterized hai. Central bank ke actions aur communications regarding interest rates market expectations ko shape karne aur dollar ki value ko influence karne mein pivotal hain.

USD/JPY currency pair is currently facing a significant resistance level at 157.37. Yeh khas level traders aur investors ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai, aur currency pair ke liye yeh ek rukawat hai jo isay torhna mushkil lagta hai. Jab market participants closely price action ko monitor karte hain, toh buyers ka primary focus yeh hota hai ke established resistance ko torh dein. Agar buyers kamiyab ho jate hain 157.64 resistance level ko paar karne mein, toh yeh further upward momentum ka raasta khol sakta hai. Is soorat mein, USD/JPY pair ke liye agla price target higher resistance level 1.5123 par hoga. Is level tak pohanchna bullish trend ke continuation ko suggest karega, jo strong buying pressure aur ek mumkinah sustained upward trajectory ko indicate karta hai.
Multiple resistance levels ko torhna substantial buying volume aur strong bullish sentiment ko require karta hai. Traders supporting factors ko dekhenge, jaise ke favorable economic data, positive market sentiment, aur doosre technical indicators jo bullish outlook ke saath align karte hain. Yeh tamaam elements mil kar currency pair ko resistance points se aage push karne ke liye zaroori momentum provide kar sakte hain.

Technical analysis ke context mein, resistance levels critical hain kyun ke yeh price points ko represent karte hain jahan selling pressure buying pressure se zyada hota hai, jo price ko rokta hai ya temporarily reverse karta hai. Ek resistance level ko torhna aksar bullish signal mana jata hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market ke paas selling pressure ko is level par overcome karne ki strength hai.

USD/JPY pair ke liye, 157.37 resistance level ko torhna buyers ke liye ek significant achievement hoga, jo market sentiment mein US dollar ke liye zyada preference ko signal karega Japanese yen ke muqable mein. Agla step hoga untested 157.64 resistance level par focus karna, jo agar torh diya gaya, toh bullish outlook ko reinforce karega aur price ko 1.5123 resistance level ki taraf drive karega.

USD/JPY KARANSI JOḌĪ KĀ TAJZIA: Japani Yen (JPY) ko barkarar zawaal ka samna hai bawajood iske ke Japani karansi ma’amarin ne yen ke zawaal ko roknay ke liye baray paimany par yen kharidne ki koshish ki hai. Ye zawaal zyada tor par buniyadi masail, khaaskar Japan aur America ke darmiyan bara sood ka farq ki wajah se hai. Is saal ke shuru mein, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne sood ko manfi ilake se nikal kar barhaya, magar ye iqdam Japan ke nazdeek sood aur 5.25% sood America ke darmiyan bara farq kam karne mein nakafi raha.

USD/JPY joḍī mein halia qabil-e-zikar girawat ne Tokyo se mazeed yen kharidne ke umeed ko barhawa diya hai. Arsa se 160.00 se upar rehnay ke baad, joḍī ab 155.00 himayat satah ko nishana bana rahi hai, jab ke agla aham himayat satah 151.90 hai. Ye tabdeeli Japani ma’amarin ke yen ke zawaal ke hawalay se bharhati hui fikr aur bazar ko mustahkam karne ke liye mudakhlat ki taiyari ko zahir karti hai.

Tokyo ke ma’amarin is umeed mein hain ke US dollar ke halia girawat USD/JPY joḍī ke nichay jane ko madad de sakti hai, khaaskar jab ke kam US inflation ne Federal Reserve mein jazba behtar kar diya hai. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne halia data ke hawalay se umeed ka izhar kiya hai, jo ke agar barqarar raha to sood ko kam karne ke aham faisla lene mein confidence de sakta hai.

Barkarar sood ka farq Japani yen ke liye aham challenge bana hua hai. BoJ ki sood ko adjust karne ki koshishon ke bawajood, Japani aur US sood ke darmiyan farq ko ahmiyat nahi kam kiya ja saka. Ye farq yen par dabao banaye rakhta hai, jo ke Japani authorities ke liye mustahkam tabadla iksaar hasil karna mushkil bana deta hai.

Yen ka zawaal buniyadi masail, khaaskar Japan aur US ke darmiyan sood ke farq ki wajah se hai. Japani karansi ma’amarin ne yen ko mustahkam karne ke liye mudakhlat ki koshish ki hai, magar ye iqdam buniyadi iqtisaadi haalat ke bawajood kamyab nahi ho sake. Tokyo se mazeed yen kharidne ke imkanaat baray hain jab ke ma’amarin bazar mein mazeed utar chadhaav ke doran karansi ki himayat karne ka irada rakhte hain. Yen ka mustaqbil zyada tor par BoJ aur Federal Reserve ke sood ke faislay aur wasee-tar iqtisaadi rujhanat par mabni hoga.

Pichle haftay, USD/JPY pair ne ek aham correction ka samna kiya, jo 161.94 se 155.36 tak gaya. Magar, is ke baad yeh recover kar gaya. Is haftay, initial bias neutral hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market abhi apne agle move ka intezar kar raha hai. Is recovery ke bawajood, agla girawat expected hai jab tak resistance 158.85 par barkarar hai. Agar pair 155.36 se neeche jata hai, toh agla significant level 153.65 hoga, jo 140.25 se 161.94 range ka 50% retracement hai. Agar pair 158.85 resistance ko tor leta hai, toh bias phir se upside ki taraf shift ho sakta hai, jo ek mazid strong rebound la sakta hai.
USD/JPY pair ko recent mein considerable pressure ka samna karna para hai kuch factors ki wajah se, jisme interest rate differentials ka farq hai America aur Japan ke darmiyan. High of 161.94 se significant correction market sentiment mein ek bara tabadla dikhata hai. Initial move 155.36 tak girna strong bearish pressure ko dikhata hai, lekin subsequent recovery dikhata hai ke bulls poori tarah se out of picture nahi hain.

Technical indicators ko dekhte huye, is haftay ke liye neutral bias yeh imply karta hai ke traders clear signal ka intezar kar rahe hain pehle koi agla action lene se pehle. Key level jo dekhna hai wo 158.85 par resistance hai. Agar yeh level hold karta hai, toh yeh bearish outlook ko reinforce karega, aur recent lows 155.36 ka retest hoga aur phir mazid neeche 153.65 tak ja sakta hai. Yeh level significant hai kyunke yeh 50% Fibonacci retracement ko represent karta hai previous uptrend 140.25 se 161.94 tak. Agar yeh support break hota hai, toh mazid declines ke liye rasta khul sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar 158.85 ke upar ek decisive break hota hai, toh yeh suggest karega ke correction phase khatam ho gaya hai aur pair apna previous uptrend resume karne ke liye tayaar hai. Yeh mazid strong rebound la sakta hai, jo high 161.94 ko phir target kar sakta hai. Traders ke liye key yeh hoga ke price action ko closely monitor karein in critical levels ke aas paas taake agla direction determine kar sakein.

USD/JPY pair ek crucial juncture par ha




i. Jabke initial bias neutral hai, outlook mazid downside ki taraf lean karta hai jab tak 158.85 resistance hold karta hai. Agar pair 155.36 ke neeche break karta hai, toh yeh bearish view ko confirm karega, jo 153.65 ko target karega. Iske muqable mein, agar pair 158.85 ke upar break karta hai, toh bias phir se upside ki taraf shift hoga, jo potential resumption of the uptrend ko indicate karega. Traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake agla move gauge kar sakein.

Aaj, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements ka tajziya karenge. Heiken Ashi candlesticks aur RSI indicators ke signals is currency pair ya instrument ke liye bullish market trend ka imkaan zahir karte hain. Traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein, Heiken Ashi candlesticks ek smoothed aur averaged price value dikhate hain, jo technical analysis ko asaan banaata hai aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko enhance karta hai. Price channel indicator, jo red, blue, aur yellow lines ke sath support aur resistance lines construct karta hai, twice-smoothed moving averages par mabni hota hai, aur instrument ki current movement boundaries ko wazeh tor par dikhata hai. Iske ilawa, basement RSI indicator ek filtering oscillator hai, jo Heiken Ashi ke sath mil kar positive results deta hai. Ab tak decline shuru nahi hua, senior half ke mutabiq. Main filhal locally sell karne ka rujhan nahi rakhta.

In corrections ki extent hamesha uncertain hoti hai. Red boxes puranay fractals ko highlight karte hain, jo ab tak unbroken hain, aur continued growth trend ko zahir karte hain. Trend line ka breakout mumkin hai kyunke isse mukhtalif tareeqon se draw kiya ja sakta hai, jo iski slope ko tabdeel kar sakta hai. Main trending topic ko sirf observe karne ke liye mark karta hoon. Pichli dafa jab touch aur minor rebound hua tha, market mazeed upar move karne mein nakam raha aur is line ko break kiya. Yeh false breakout hai ya genuine, yeh maloom nahi. Iss uncertainty ki wajah se interest develop ho sakta hai. Sellers shayad isse sell karne ka sochen, jab ke buyers ek correction ka intizar karen. Yeh decline mukammal ho sakta hai. Maine Fibonacci grid ko last growth expectation impulse par apply kiya, jahan buyers trend line se reaction ka intizar kar rahe the. Yeh range, jo 200% level ke sath mil kar support ka kaam de rahi thi, growth momentum ke 161.9%-176.5% tak support thi. Agar yeh ek complex false breakout hai, hum mazeed attractive growth targets anticipate kar sakte hain, jo buyers ke previous impulse se expectations ko pura karte huye 159.906 ke mark tak pohonch sakta hai.

USD JPY is waqt taqatwar area mein hai aur yeh daily candle ke upar ke side par dikhai de raha hai ke yeh pehle ke high candle area se nikal raha hai. Ab niche ki taraf correction ka intezar karein aur buy entry tab karein jab yeh previous day ke daily candle area se 38% weakening par ho. Is waqt buy entry ke liye sahi waqt nahi hai kyun ke price ab tak kal ke close candle area mein hai, is liye aaj European session ya US session mein intezar karein ke price phir se kamzor ho aur aaj ke movement ke baad buying entry karein jab ke price thoda kamzor ho jaye aaj ke movement se jo estimate kiya gaya hai ke weekly resistance point 2 tak taqatwar hoga jaise ke following picture mein dikhaya gaya hai.

USDJPY ab trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo humein buyers ki taqat dikhata hai, aur trend line support hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ko Resistance - 162.15 ko torhna hoga, jahan se trading channel open ho jayega, jahan se Bulls ke movement ke continuation ke possibilities hongi. Pehla target Supply Zone - 160.47 hoga, yeh woh jagah hai jahan se history mein Sellers ne price ko accelerate kiya tha. Main reverse movement to Short ko bhi exclude nahi kar raha, lekin pehle Bears ko support - 160.24 ko torhna hoga, jahan se price bohot baar bounce hua hai. Bears ki taqat ki confirmation price ka broken level - 160.31 ke neeche fix hona hoga. Yeh humein taqat mein kamzori ko dikhayega.

USDJPY ab tak downtrend mein hai. Price ne 155.48 level par support paya, jahan se bounce hua. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, four-hour time frame par price cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche, Chikou span line price chart ke neeche, aur ek "dead cross" active hai. Relative strength index 50 ke value ke neeche hai, aur "trend filter" oscillator red mein colored hai, jo bearish market sentiment ko signal kar raha hai. Mazeed decline ka potential abhi bhi hai. Agar price 155.48 level ke neeche breakthrough aur successful consolidation kare, to naye sales consider karna samajh mein aata hai. Is scenario mein, agla potential target support level 154.70 hoga. Ek alternative scenario prepare karne ke liye yeh hoga ke jab price cloud ke upar trade kar raha ho, aur signal lines ke formation ke sath ek "golden cross" ho.

Jj7
regulator, ne yeh accept kiya ke bullish sentiment ko turn off karna zaroori hai aur opposite side par jana, yeh khas tor par aaj ke Asian session mein noticeable hai, lekin yahan hum yeh assume kar sakte hain ke Bank of Japan khud bearish side play kar raha hai taake apni national currency ko strengthen kare. Jaise hi USD/JPY pair ke price selected format ke lower limit ke qareeb aaye, usko torhna yeh clear kar dega ke yahan kaun lead kar raha hai. Highs determine ho chuki hain aur aap do highs ke sath ek downtrend line draw kar sakte hain aur phir next week se USD/JPY price ka behavior dekhein jab yeh unke qareeb aaye. Lekin abhi, hum yeh clarify karenge ke price humein bottom par kya build kar raha hai, ek horizon ya ek slope, uske baad hum ek descending channel ya ek pennant draw karenge. Ek figure kaam karega.

USD/JPY H1 Analysis

Abhi ke liye, USD/JPY pair flat trade kar rahi hai at 158.368, chart ke upper half mein. Instaforex company indicators ke mutabiq, pehli group of buyers ko thoda advantage hai with a profit margin of 53.11%. Dusri part of the indicator southward trend suggest kar rahi hai.
Key Observations:

1. Current Trading Status:
   • Pair flat trade kar rahi hai at 158.368.
   • Buyers ko thoda advantage hai with a 53.11% profit margin.
2. Market Sentiment:
   • Indicator southward trend dikhata hai, despite buyers' advantage.
   • Japan se aaj koi significant news expected nahi hai.
   • United States se crude oil reserve data release hogi.

Strategy:

Short-Term Strategy:


Agar aap short-term trading mein interested hain, to yeh strategy apna sakte hain:

• Support aur Resistance Levels: Pehle, support aur resistance levels identify karein. Agar USD/JPY 158.000 ke niche break karti hai, to bearish trend ho sakta hai.
• Trend Analysis: H1 chart pe trend ko dekhte hue, agar southward trend continue hota hai, to selling opportunities explore kar sakte hain.
• Entry aur Exit Points: Agar price resistance level ko test karti hai aur phir se niche jaati hai, to entry point consider kar sakte hain. Stop-loss ko proper level pe set karein, jaise 158.500 ke upar, aur take-profit level ko support level ke around set karein.
• Economic Data: Crude oil reserves data ka impact dekhna zaroori hai, jo USD/JPY par influence kar sakta hai.

Yeh strategy market ke trend aur indicators ko dhyan mein rakhte hue adjust kar sakte hain.



Technical Analysis:

• Technical Focus: Significant news na hone ki wajah se technical analysis par focus karein.
• Expected Moves: Pehla expected move north ki taraf correction hai, jo 158.95 tak ja sakta hai. Uske baad, southward correction 156.70 tak anticipate ki ja sakti hai.
• Market Monitoring:
  • U.S. crude oil reserves data ka impact monitor karein, jo market sentiment aur price action ko influence kar sakta hai.
  • Kisi bhi unexpected news ya events par nazar rakhein jo current technical outlook ko badal sakti hain.
• Risk Management:
  • Sudden market reversals se bachne ke liye stop-loss orders implement karein.
  • Real-time market developments aur technical signals ke mutabiq positions adjust karein.

Conclusion:

USD/JPY pair filhal 158.368 par flat trade kar rahi hai, aur buyers ko thoda advantage hai. Significant news na hone ke bawajood, technical analysis suggest karta hai ke short-term correction 158.95 tak ho sakti hai, uske baad potential move south 156.70 tak dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Market ko closely monitor karein, khaaskar U.S. crude oil reserves data ko, aur trading strategies accordingly adjust karein. Sabko best of luck!

Japanese yen (JPY) do din tak girawat ke baad mazbooti ki nishaniyan dikha raha hai. Ye tabdeeli agle hafte hone wali Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki aham policy meeting se pehle aayi hai, jahan possible interest rate hike ke zariye yen ko mazboot karne ka plan hai. Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ke mutabiq, BoJ ki ultra-loose monetary policy ko normal karna Japanese economy ko sustainable growth model mein tabdeel karne ka ek zaroori qadam hai. Iss mumkin policy change ne currency traders ko bhi mutasir kiya hai, jo yen ke against heavy betting (short positions) kar rahe the. Data yeh batata hai ke yen ke speculative short positions apni doosri sabse buland satah par pohanch gayi thi. Magar, Japanese authorities ke suspected intervention ke baad, jinhon ne market mein yen khareeda, yeh positions unwind hone lagi. Isne traders ko surprise kiya aur yen ki decline ko reverse karne mein madad di. Badi tasveer dekhen to US dollar (USD) apni challenges ka samna kar raha hai. US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut ke rising bets aur US labor market ke concerns dollar ki appeal ko kamzor kar rahe hain. Markets filhal Fed ke rate cut ki near-certain chance ko dekh rahe hain, jo USD/JPY pair par aur pressure daal raha hai

USD/JPY chart ki technical analysis bhi dollar ke liye potential downside ko suggest kar rahi hai. Ye pair filhal ek key short-term moving average ke niche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Ek aur technical indicator, RSI, bhi iss bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. USD/JPY ke liye support June low ke qareeb mil sakti hai, magar is level ke niche break hone par ye May low ki taraf steep decline ko trigger kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY ek key resistance level ke upar chadh jata hai, to usse psychological 162.00 level ke qareeb dusri hurdle ka samna ho sakta hai. Conclusion mein, Japanese yen apni weak period ke baad recovery ki nishaniyan dikha raha hai. Aane wali BoJ meeting aur mumkin policy shift, sath hi weakening US dollar, is trend mein contribute kar rahe hain. Technical indicators bhi near term mein USD/JPY pair ke liye potential downside ko suggest kar rahe hain. Traders BoJ meeting aur broader economic developments ko closely watch karenge yen ke direction ke further cues ke liye

Pichle haftay ke akhri din, pair ne positive note par close kiya, jo ke poore haftay ke doran dekhi gayi general upward trend ko jari rakhta hai. Iss mahine ke shuru mein, pair ne buying pattern ke andar trading shuru ki jo ke pichle do mahino ke doran price trend ko reflect karte hue ascending channels mein tha. Price ne pehle monthly pivot level 158.10 se support hasil kiya lekin phir downward solid wave mein chala gaya, monthly pivot level ko break karte hue aur girta raha. Price ko 157.50 ke monthly level par support mili, jo isse rise karne aur pichle haftay ko monthly pivot level ke upar close karne mein madad mili. Jese hi price iss mahine ke opening level ke qareeb aata hai, yeh aane wale dinon mein potential further rise ko signal karta hai.

Main foresee karta hoon ke decline middle line of the channel ke qareeb 155.56 price level par ho sakta hai. Recent exchange rate ke rise ke baad, fall ab jari hai. Ek anon appear hui hai, jiske baad decline barqarar rahega. Main significant upward impulse ki umeed nahi rakhta; decline corrective growth ke baad continue hoga. Main 159.36 ka test expect karta hoon, jiske baad decline dobara shuru hoga. Waqt ke sath, price ko neeche kheenchti rahegi, buyers ko market se gradually force karte hue aur unhein lower levels par sell karne ke liye convince karte hue. Hum 159.44 par ek false breakout dekh sakte hain, jiske baad continued fall ho sakta hai. Priority ye hogi ke exchange rate ko lower kiya jaye aur medium term mein sales open ki jaye, khas tor par agar 157.29 ka range likely hai.



Jumeraat ko, Japanese yen ne US dollar ke muqablay 157.41 par surge kiya, jo ke pehle 38 saal ke lowest level 161.5 se sharply rebound karta hai. Yeh reversal weak inflation data release hone ke baad aya jo ke United States mein tha, jisne dollar ko pressure mein dala aur yeh reinforce kiya ke Federal Reserve nazdeek future mein US interest rates ko cut kar sakta hai. Aisa move Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan substantial interest rate differential ko narrow karega, jinki ultra-accommodative stance ne is saal yen ke significant depreciation mein contribute kiya hai. USD/JPY pair ka sharp rise 161.5 level se economic data releases ke forex markets par impact ko highlight karta hai. Inflation data, khas tor par, central bank policies ko directly influence karta hai. Recent weak US inflation figures ne market participants ko Federal Reserve ke monetary policy mein potential shift anticipate karne par majboor kar diya hai, tightening se easing ki taraf move karte hue, jo ke dollar ke appeal ko yen ke muqablay mein kam karega. Technically, USD/JPY ka rebound apne 38 saal ke lowest level se ek correction ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai jo ke broader downtrend mein hai.

Stochastic curve bhi bearish direction mein move kar rahi hai, jo yeh indicate kar rahi hai ke trend bearish hai. Open price aur SMA5 resistance level ke darmiyan jo gap hai, uski wajah se price dynamic resistance level tak correct kar sakti hai pehle ke apni decline continue kare. Yeh scenario sell positions ke potential entry points present karta hai, jo ke demand ke likely decline par focus karke capitalize kiya ja sakta hai.

Evening analysis H4 chart ka yeh reveal karta hai ke ek triangle pattern form hua hai. Is pattern mein ek break tha, jo ke temporary price increase ka sabab bana, jo ek umeed ki kiran aur direction ka hint provide karta hai. Northern path ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko H4 ke upward reversal levels ko break karna hoga, specifically 161.55 level ko overcome karna hoga. Yeh level H4 zigzag ke low se trend line aur remaining triangle support se supported hai.

Ultimately, agar D1 price zone south ko break karti hai, toh mera sell decision solidify ho jayega. Main agle hafte aur details provide karunga.

Meri analysis aur subah ke horoscope ke mutabiq, mujhe apni deal ko 160.75 par stop karna hoga, kyun ke potential win meri position se paanch guna zyada significant hoga. Agar market meri desired goals ki taraf move nahi karti, toh main exit karunga aur kal dubara evaluate karunga. Aane wala din hamesha uncertain hota hai, aur news events is uncertainty mein significant role play karte hain. Behtar hai ke caution ke sath trade karein bajaye ke losses risk karein.

USD strengthen hui following dovish comments from Fed's Williams aur weak current account data from Japan, jo ke USD/JPY ko 36 pips upar 161.30 par close karne ka sabab bana.

USD/JPY currency pair.

Chalo, ab hum pehli din ki daily chart dekhein - USD/JPY currency pair. Pichle trading week mein, US dollar ne sellers ko zyada khushi di jab iska zordar girawat dekhne ko mila. US se aayi news ne indicators ko umeed se bohot kam dikhaya, aur price tezi se neeche chali gayi. Lekin, sirf Japanese currency ne hi nahi, balki market ke aam spectrum ne bhi American currency ko kamzor kiya. Sirf Canadian dollar ne apni position barqarar rakhi hai.

Lagbhag 400 points tezi se neeche chale gaye. Girawat ke dauran, price ne ek ascending support line ke saath support paaya jo wave ke base ke along banayi gayi thi aur upar ki taraf bounce kiya. Phir se neeche jaakar bounce kiya aur phir se is line ke saath dabav mein aayi. Lekin wave structure upar ki taraf ban raha hai, MACD indicator upper buy zone mein hai, lekin signal line ke neeche hai. Ab do options hain. Ya to price phir se upar chalegi aur horizontal resistance level 160.30 ke aaspaas pahunch jayegi, ya phir neeche jaakar ascending line ko tod degi. Main upar jane ke haq mein hoon kyunki CCI indicator lower overheating zone mein hai aur wahan ek bullish convergence ka signal hai.

Aur is raste ke hisaab se, ye ek achha signal hai. Aur aam taur par ye bhi nahi hai ki uptrend poori tarah se khatam ho chuka hai aur ab deep correction aane wali hai. Shayad, jyada sellers ko attract karne ke liye jo soch rahe hain ki reversal ho gaya hai, price yahan ek din ke liye sideways move karti rahegi. Position accumulate hongi aur ise upar le jaana asaan ho sakta hai, jab resistance level 160.32 ko todti hai. Har haal mein, agar hum sales ki baat karein, to abhi ka samay acha nahi hai. Lekin main kharidne bhi nahi chahta, kyunki is line ne kaafi achhe deviations diye hain upar ki taraf, lekin yahan ek horizontal support level bhi hai 157.72.

USD/JPY pair ne week ko positive note par khatam kiya, Bank of Japan ke interest rates ko unchanged rakhne aur Federal Reserve ke hawkish outlook se support mila. Jabki pair 159.06 par trade kar rahi hai, strong market fundamentals aur technical indicators ke saath supported hai, BoJ aur Fed ke darmiyan monetary policy ka divergence pair ki upward momentum ko drive karta rahega. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ke saath saath upcoming economic data ko monitor karna chahiye, taaki pair ke future movement ko gauge kiya ja sake.