USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

U.S. dollar ne aksar hafta mein tez girawat dekhi, magar 155 yen ka level support ke taur par mazboot lag raha hai. Yeh sirf ek important number hi nahi, balke ek psychological point bhi hai jis par bohot se traders nazar rakhte hain. Nateeja yeh hai ke market mein hammer khel raha hai. Agar qeemat is candle ke upar break kar leti hai, toh yeh 160 yen tak, aur shayad 162 yen tak bhi ja sakti hai.

Agar yeh levels clear ho jate hain, toh agla qadam USD/JPY pair mein hoga. Halankeh Bank of Japan waqt be waqt market mein dakhal deta hai, magar uske actions ka asar Japan ke high debt ki wajah se limited hai. Zyada interest rates Japanese economy ko bohot nuksan pahuncha sakte hain, jis se Japan ke paas zyada options nahi hain.

Doosri taraf, U.S. mein inflation ab bhi ek masla hai, jo yeh batata hai ke interest rates mazeed high rahenge. Agar rates kam bhi hote hain, toh woh sirf modest reduction hoga—shayad saal ke akhir tak 25 basis points tak. Aise choti changes in currencies ke buniyadi motivations ko badal nahi paayenge.

Asli sawal yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair rally se pehle sideways move karega ya foran rally ko continue karega. Dono surat mein outlook bullish hai aur is market ko short karne mein koi dilchaspi nahi hai. 155 ke level par support mazboot hai, aur jitni dair yeh held rahega, utna least resistant form nazar aayega.

Summary mein, USD/JPY pair ek significant signal par hai. 155 yen par support zaroori hai, aur agar current level se upar break hoti hai, toh upside potential hai. Japan ki financial crisis Bank of Japan ke intervention ko beasar banati hai, jabke United States mein inflation ek strong dollar ko support karti hai. Nateeja yeh hai ke pair bullish rehta hai, aur traders 160 aur 162 yen tak ke potential moves par focus kar rahe hain.

Jumay ko USD/JPY currency pair mein aik aham girawat dekhi gayi, jahan US dollar 1.6% gir kar New York trading mein 157.51 par band hua. Ibtidaai session mein yeh 157.30 ka low hit kar gaya, jo din ka sab se neecha level tha. Yeh tezi se girawat bazaar ki reports par hui ke Japanese authorities ne forex market mein intervene kiya taake USD/JPY pair ki depreciation ko tez kiya ja sake. Yeh intervention aik strategic move thi taake US dollar ki kamzori se faida uthaya ja sake.

Japanese Authorities ka Intervention

Bazaar mein yeh speculation hai ke Japanese government aur Bank of Japan ne USD/JPY exchange rate ko influence karne ke liye intervene kiya. Aise interventions aam tor par currency market ko stabilize karne aur specific economic objectives hasil karne ke liye hoti hain. Iss instance mein intervention ka maqsad yeh tha ke Japanese yen ki rapid appreciation ko rokha ja sake jo US dollar ke against ho rahi thi. Authorities ne mumkin hai ke US dollar ki kamzori ko ek moqa samjha ho taake yen ki strength Japan ki export-driven economy par negative asar na daale.

Forex Market par Asar

Japanese authorities ke intervention ne forex market par foran aur gehray asarat daale. Traders aur investors ne khabaron par react karte hue apni positions adjust ki, jisse heightened volatility aur USD/JPY pair mein significant movements hui. 157.30 tak sharp drop aur phir slight recovery ke baad 157.51 par close hona bazaar ki intervention news par response ko reflect karta hai. Aise moves underline karte hain ke central banks aur governmental actions currency pairs par kitna asar daal sakte hain.

US Dollar ki Kamzori

Broader weakness in US dollar ne bhi USD/JPY pair ki decline mein ahem kirdar ada kiya. Mukhtalif factors ne dollar ki kamzori mein contribute kiya, jin mein recent economic data bhi shamil hai jo US economy mein slowdown suggest kar raha tha aur Federal Reserve ke future interest rate cuts ke baare mein growing speculation thi. Iske ilawa, geopolitical uncertainties aur market sentiment jo risk-off assets ko favor karta hai, ne dollar ki depreciation mein bhi contribute kiya. Yeh sab cheezein Japanese authorities ke liye aik advantageous backdrop bana gayi ke woh effectively intervene kar sakein.

Market Reactions aur Future Outlook

Ab market participants closely dekh rahe hain ke US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan se aage kya signals aate hain. Koi bhi future monetary policy adjustments ya additional interventions USD/JPY pair ki direction ko significantly influence kar sakte hain. Traders bhi dono mulkon se aanewali economic data releases par nazar rakhein ge, kyun ke yeh unke respective economies ki health aur potential policy responses ke baare mein further insight provide karengi.

Short term mein market mein volatility barkarar reh sakti hai jab tak traders recent intervention ke impact ko digest karte hain aur apni strategies accordingly adjust karte hain. Long-term implications broader economic landscape par depend karengi, jismein growth prospects, inflation trends, aur central bank policies shamil hain.

Strategic Implications for Traders

Traders ke liye, recent movements in USD/JPY pair highlight karti hain ke central bank actions aur economic developments ke baare mein informed rehna kitna zaroori hai. Interventions ke piche ke motivations aur unka currency pairs par potential impact samajhna informed trading decisions banane ke liye crucial hai. Technical analysis ko fundamental insights ke saath use karte hue traders volatile forex market ko more effectively navigate kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY pair ki significant decline on Friday, driven by Japanese intervention aur broader US dollar weakness, complex interplay ko underline karti hai between central bank actions aur market forces. Traders ko agle dinon ke liye economic indicators aur policy signals par nazar rakhna key hoga taake forex market ko successfully navigate kiya ja sake.

USD/JPY Market Outlook

Assalam o Alaikum aur Subha Bakhair doston!

Kal humne USD/JPY market mein thori si tabdeeli dekhi. Yeh 156.60 ke qareeb pohanch gaya tha. Aur, US dollar ki achi khabron ne buyers ki value ko barhaya hai. Is liye, short-term traders ko ehtiyat se aur soch samajh kar trade karni chahiye. D1 chart bhi bepanah ahmiyat rakhta hai jo selling hints provide karta hai. Yeh chart valuable insights de kar market ki possible directions ko pehchannay mein madad karta hai, aur traders ko key levels of support aur resistance identify karne mein madadgar hota hai. D1 chart ko ghore se monitor karte hue, traders market trends ko zyada achi tarah samajh sakte hain aur apni strategies accordingly adjust kar sakte hain. Yeh khas tor par high-probability trading opportunities ko identify karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Anjaam-e-kar, USD/JPY market traders ke liye ek dynamic aur complex environment present karta hai. Selling pressure ka barhawa aur JPY news events ka asar, dono challenges aur opportunities paida karte hain. Is market ko successfully navigate karne ke liye, traders ko ehtiyat baratni hogi, genuine signals identify karne honge, aur aam ghaltiyon se bachna hoga. D1 chart ki insights aur news events ko monitor karne ki ahmiyat ek disciplined aur informed approach ko mazeed emphasize karti hai. Jaise jaise market evolve hoti hai, naye information par adaptable aur responsive hona trading success ke liye crucial hoga.

Hum short target 156.45 ke saath sell position open kar sakte hain. Traders ko long-term perspective ko maintain karna bhi zaroori hai. Jabke short-term market movements volatile aur unpredictable ho sakte hain, ek long-term view traders ko broader trends par focus karne mein madadgar hota hai aur temporary fluctuations se door rakhta hai. Yeh approach traders ko apni overall trading strategy par focused rehne mein aur emotional trading ke pitfalls se bachne mein madadgar hoti hai. Apni trading mein stop loss zaroor use karein aur US trading zone ke dauran ehtiyat baratien.





Aap sab ka Friday kamiyab guzray!

USD-JPY Pair Review

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY currency pair ka movement aaj bhi barhne ka rujhan rakhta hai aur 157.60 tak jaane ka imkaan hai. Iski wajah yeh hai ke H1 time frame par USDJPY currency pair ne bullish engulfing candle banayi hai jo ke BUY USDJPY ka bohot strong signal hai aur price ko 157.60 tak le jaa sakta hai. Lekin humein USDJPY ke downward correction se bhi hoshiyar rehna chahiye kyun ke meri RSI 14 indicator ke observation ke mutabiq, USDJPY price 157.46 par overbought ho gayi hai yaani bohot zyada khareedari ho chuki hai, isliye yeh bohot mumkin hai ke Asian market mein USDJPY kaafi gehri correction dekhe, 10-40 pips ke beech.

H1 timeframe par USDJPY bullish signal dikha raha hai ek strong bullish engulfing candle ke saath, lekin downward correction par bhi nazar rakhna zaroori hai kyun ke RSI par overbought conditions hain. USDJPY ko 157.00 tak SELL karne ki strategy SBR area aur potential correction ko madde nazar rakhte hue bohot aqalmandana lagti hai. H4 timeframe par USDJPY head and shoulders pattern banane ke asaar dikha raha hai jo ke reversal ka indication ho sakta hai agar neckline 157.00 ke aas paas break hoti hai. Yeh aapke mentioned SELL signal ko mazid mazbooti deta hai.

SELL USDJPY signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods bhi support karte hain kyun ke jab USDJPY price 157.46 par thi toh yeh SBR area yaani support become resistance mein thi, isliye bohot mumkin hai ke aaj USDJPY downward correction dekhe aur 157.00 tak pohonche. Meri technical analysis ke natayij ke mutabiq, main ne faisla kiya hai ke aane wale waqt mein USDJPY ko 157.00 tak SELL karun.

Japanese yen ne pichle kaam karne wale hafte mein neeche aane ke asar dikhaye hain aur ab kaafi mazbooti pakar li hai. Price ne recently pichle high ko 161.95 level ke qareeb chua tha lekin us tak pohanch nahi saka. Iske bajaye, price ulat gayi aur tezi se gir gayi, signal zone ko tor diya aur 158.43 level se neeche gir gayi. Yeh tezi se girawat yeh darshaati hai ke expected sustainable development ka scenario nahi ban saka.

Is waqt, price chart super-trending red zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai, jo ek strong selling trend ko darshata hai. Yeh move bearish momentum ka ishara de raha hai, jisme yen dusri currencies ke muqable mein mazboot ho rahi hai. 161.95 ke level ke oopar tikne mein nakami aur 158.43 ke neeche tezi se girawat market sentiment mein aik aham tabdeeli ko highlight karti hai.

Kayi factors yen ke recent performance mein hissa le sakte hain:

Technical Analysis:
1. Resistance aur Support Levels:161.95 resistance level ko breach karne mein nakami aur baad mein 158.43 se neeche girna yeh darshata hai ke yeh levels crucial pivot points hain. Signal zone ko breach karna bhi bearish trend ko emphasize karta hai, jo further downside potential ko darshata hai.
2. Trend Indicators: Super-trending red zone mein dakhil hona bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Yeh indicator, jo aam tor par strong selling pressure ko darshata hai, yeh ishara de raha hai ke market participants yen ke prospects ke liye zyada bearish hain.

Fundamental Factors:
1. Economic Data: Japan ke economic indicators, jaise ke GDP growth, inflation, aur employment figures, yen ke valuation mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Recent economic data yen ki mazbooti ko asar andaz kar sakta hai, khaaskar agar yeh ek healthy economy ya rising inflation ko indicate karta ho.
2. Monetary Policy:Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki monetary policy decisions bhi critical hain. Koi bhi indications of tightening monetary policy ya interest rates mein tabdeeli yen ko asar kar sakti hai. Dovish policies ise kamzor kar sakti hain. Recent BOJ ke moves yen ki mazbooti mein hissa le sakte hain.

Geopolitical Factors:
1. Global Risk Sentiment: Yen ko aksar ek safe-haven currency mana jata hai. Global uncertainty ya geopolitical tension ke doran, investors yen mein invest karte hain, jo iski value ko badhata hai. Moujooda global events, jaise ke trade disputes ya geopolitical conflicts, yen ki demand ko drive kar sakte hain.
2. Trade Relations:Japan ke trade relations major economies, khaaskar United States aur China ke sath, yen ko asar karte hain. Koi bhi positive developments ya setbacks in relationships yen ki strength ko asar kar sakte hain.

Conclusion:
Japanese yen ki recent performance, jo bottom formation aur significant strengthening se characterized hai, market dynamics mein aik shift ko darshati hai. 161.95 ke oopar tikne mein nakami aur 158.43 se neeche tezi se girawat critical resistance aur support levels ko highlight karti hai. Super-trending red zone mein dakhil hona strong selling pressure ko darshata hai, jo bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Traders ko economic data, BOJ policies, aur global geopolitical developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake is volatile period ko effectively navigate kar sake.

USDJPY ki movement ab correct lag rahi hai, kyunke pichle trading session mein sharp girawat ke baad, ab yeh middle weekly Bollinger band ko touch kar rahi hai aur 155.43 ke price par reject ho rahi hai. Fundamental perspective se dekha jaye to BOJ ki intervention abhi bhi USDJPY ke girne ka main factor lagta hai, Fed ki dovish interest rate policy ke ilawa. Bank of Japan ke data se pata chala hai ke Tokyo ne currency market mein intervene karte hue 2.14 trillion yen ($13.5 billion) kharch kiye hain, taake yen ko USD ke muqablay mein mazboot kiya ja sake.
Halankeh yen ko kuch rahat mili hai ke US Federal Reserve shayad September mein interest rates cut kare, magar yen ki bohot zyada mazbooti ke peeche shayad government intervention ka haath hai. Japanese officials ne clear signal nahi diya ke unhone intervene kiya hai. Magar, USD ne recent weeks mein sharp girawat dekhi hai, kyunki September mein rate cut ke speculation, kam inflation data aur Fed ke dovish signals ke wajah se. Ye sab cheezein future mein USDJPY par asar daal sakti hain.

Technical perspective se agar dekha jaye, to daily timeframe pattern ke mutabiq, price ne upwards correction kiya hai aur EMA 55 daily aur EMA 7 daily ko test karne ki potential rakhti hai. Yeh increase abhi bhi ek correction movement ke roop mein dekhi ja rahi hai, jo ke strong support 155.43 ke price par profit taking ke baad aayi hai. Filhal price EMA 55 daily resistance area mein consolidate ho rahi hai, jahan agar sell option reject hoti hai, to phir se consider kiya ja sakta hai. Indicators, jaise stochastic aur RSI, abhi bhi upward correction pattern dikhate hain, halankeh ye strong sell area mein hain, stochastic 80 area ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur RSI 70 area ke qareeb hai. In patterns ko dekhte hue, sell setup dhoondhna future mein USDJPY pair ke liye ek attractive trading option lagta hai.

potential withdrawal significant profits ka mauqa paida karta hai, especially un logon ke liye jo downward momentum ko capitalize karte hain. Magar, current market trends ek deceleration dikhate hain downward trajectory mein, jo ke possible reversal ki taraf ishara karte hain jo last Friday se manifest hona shuru hui thi. US dollar ka potential weakening yeh bullish outlook support karta hai. Mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments bhi dollar ke retreat ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage karte hue. Yeh approach hume market

Price Action Trading: USD/JPY Prices

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ki live price movements ko analyze kar rahe hain. Abhi ke liye mujhe downward position open karne mein hesitation ho rahi hai, lekin market ke indications se lagta hai ke decline aanay wala hai. Yeh hai ek tafsili breakdown current scenario aur potential strategies ka:

Current Market Sentiment:

- Downward Trend:
- Market ka primary direction downward hai, jahan bearish trend ke clear indications hain.
- Decline mein confidence strong hai aur key levels ko target kiya ja raha hai further downward movement ke liye.

Key Levels to Watch:

- Target Levels:
- Immediate Target:157.28
- Secondary Target: 157.89, agar 158.53 break hota hai to
- Yeh levels critical support points hain jahan price action temporarily halt ya rebound ho sakta hai.

- Resistance Levels for Potential Upward Correction:
- First Level:159.21
- Potential Extension:159.82
- Upward correction ek opportunity de sakti hai traders ko short positions enter karne ki agar yeh resistance levels test kiye jaate hain.

Trading Strategy:

- Downward Position:
- Current bearish momentum ko dekhte hue, primary strategy short positions ko dekhna hai.
- Price action ko closely monitor karein jab yeh 158.53 ke qareeb aaye. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to bearish trend reinforce hota hai towards 157.28 aur phir 157.89.

- Upward Correction:
- Jabke overall trend bearish hai, upward correction bhi possible hai.
- Agar price upward move karti hai, to 159.21 level se USD/JPY sell karne ka sochain. Yeh level resistance point ban sakta hai, jo ek naye downward movement ka aghaz ho sakta hai.
- Agar price 159.82 tak pohanchti hai, to yeh further validate karega selling opportunities ko jab upward correction apni peak tak pohanchti hai.

Conclusion:

USD/JPY currency pair currently strong bearish signals show kar rahi hai, jahan key levels further declines indicate kar rahe hain. Lekin potential upward corrections bhi opportunities present karte hain strategic selling ke liye. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur closely monitor karna chahiye price movements ko identified support aur resistance levels ke ird gird, taake entry aur exit points ko optimize kiya ja sake.

Foreign exchange market Japanese Yen (JPY) aur US Dollar (USD) ke asar mein hai. Tuesday ko Yen thoda sa 160.00 Yen per Dollar ke upar chal raha hai. Yeh sideways movement Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke bond market ke players ke sath chalti aham baat-cheet ke beech ho rahi hai. BoJ apni ultra-loose monetary policy se exit strategy dhoondhne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo policy pichle das saal se zyada se chali aa rahi hai. Unka maqsad yeh hai ke woh apne bond-buying program ko kaise scale back ya poori tarah se band kar sakte hain.
Is beech, US Dollar Index (DXY) ne Monday ko thoda hit liya. Yeh index US Dollar ki value ko chhe doosre bade currencies ke against track karta hai. Is hit ka source? France ke doosre round ke elections ke inconclusive results ke baad market mein relief. Lekin yeh relief zyada der tak nahi rahi kyunki market ka focus ab US par hai. Yahan, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell apni semi-annual monetary policy report Congress ke samne dene wale hain. Jabke koi major policy announcements expected nahi hain, agar Powell se koi pessimism ya September mein interest rate cut ka suggestion milta hai, to significant market movements ho sakte hain.

Yen-Dollar story par wapas aate hain, Yen ne 160.00 Yen per Dollar tak slight dip experience kiya. Yeh dip ek technical indicator, Relative Strength Index (RSI), ko "overbought" territory se bahar le aayi. Lekin Yen ko pichle hafte ke end mein jo momentum mila tha, uska faida uthane mein fail raha. Japan mein interest rates ko badhane ka pressure badh raha hai, BoJ ki bond market participants ke sath chalti discussions iske aham factors hain. Downside par, Yen ke liye ek crucial support level 160.32 Yen per Dollar ke around hai. Yeh level Monday ke rebound mein vital role play karta hai. Upside par, Yen 162.00 Yen per Dollar ke resistance face kar raha hai. Agar yeh level cross hota hai to Yen ke liye naye multi-decade highs tak pohanchne ka raasta khul sakta hai

Aane wale din Yen ke liye crucial honge. Agar current rally fizzle out hoti hai aur Yen phir se key support level 160.32 Yen per Dollar ko test karne lagta hai, to 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 157.37 Yen per Dollar tak decline first major downside support hoga. Yeh SMA pichle 55 dino mein average Yen-Dollar exchange rate ko represent karta hai, aur is level ke neeche drop hone par Yen ke liye ek significant decline ka signal ho sakta hai

Salaam!

Price movement ko dekhte hue, abhi faislay karne se pehle current range mein price ko observe karna zaroori hai. Specifically, humein 162.60 ke resistance level ya 161.70 ke support level ke break hone ka intezar karna chahiye. Filhal, price southern move ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin abhi tak sirf 162.45 ke resistance level tak pahunchi hai. Sab ko trading ke liye ek behtareen din ki dilli mubarakbad.

USD/JPY Pair Par Nazar Daliye:

Humari aakhri analysis aur theoretical considerations ke baad, Japanese yen ke liye trading environment dynamic tha situation ke clarity ke bawajood. Initial selling opportunities miss hone ke bawajood, humne apni plan ke mutabiq positions open ki bina strategy se hathe hue.
Main channel ke top par 162.26 ke aas paas higher instrument prices ka soch raha hoon, magar ye projections higher timeframes par based hain. Jab tak price 161.85 ke midpoint ke upar trade kar rahi hai, main buy positions maintain kar raha hoon. Agar price is midpoint ke neeche break karti hai toh buy position par shak ho jayega aur reversal ki zarurat pad sakti hai. Positive lock mein hedge karna ya 162.55 ke upar sell position lena wise ho sakta hai.

Technical Indicators:

• MACD: Filhal flat hai aur zero ke aas paas hover kar raha hai.
• Stochastic: 70 ke kareeb hai.

H4 chart par last high upward break hone ke bawajood, bullish traders ke liye caution advise karunga. Humein jald hi ek bullish movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Current market mein is move ki depth predict karna mushkil hai, lekin agle week H4 chart par ek downward zigzag anticipate kar raha hoon. Humein vigilant rehkar apni strategies ko accordingly adapt karna chahiye.





4o

Currency pair aik notable upward trend par hai aur hal hi mein apna all-time high 161.97 ko pichlay Thursday ko paar kar gaya, lekin market close hone tak 160.77 ke ird gird settle hua. Is impressive ascent ke bawajood, spot prices crucial 161.00 supply zone ke neeche hain, jabke traders is hafte ke key US macroeconomic data releases aur central bank announcements ka intezar kar rahe hain.
Traders filhal Japanese central bank ke agle qadam ke bare mein uncertainty mehsoos kar rahe hain, khaaskar monthly government bond purchases mein potential reductions ke hawale se. Yeh uncertainty ek weaker economy se bhi compounded hai, kyunki Cabinet Office ne first quarter mein 0.5% contraction aur year-over-year 1.8% decline report kiya hai. Yeh economic challenges, stable equity markets ke saath milkar, Japanese Yen (JPY) par negative asar daal rahe hain, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye ek supportive environment paida kar rahe hain

Monday ko ek brief uptick ke baad, ek subsequent decline mumkin hai. Yeh upward movement small traders ko lure kar sakta hai, jo significant drop ke baad dekha gaya. Yeh process prices ko months tak downward pressure mein rakh sakti hai, buyers ko shake out karke unhe lower levels par sell karne ke liye entice kar sakti hai. 161.30 par ek false breakout continued decline ka signal de sakta hai. Medium term mein selling likely hai, khaaskar 160.35 ko breach karne ke baad. 161.25 par ek false breakout, khaaskar bearish divergence formation ke sath, selling positions ko validate karega. Hourly chart yeh dikhata hai ke price descending channel ke andar hai. Kal, pair ne channel ki upper boundary 161.19 par test ki, jisse reversal aur downward movement shuru hua. Price Monday se decline karni chahiye, potential lower boundary 160.12 tak. Is level se ek bounce upward reversal shuru kar sakta hai, jiska target 160.87 par channel ki upper boundary ke ird gird ho sakta hai

JPY currency pair ko traders aur investors ne aak qareeb se dekha hai, khaaskar haal hi mein ke sessions mein. Abhi, main market mein dakhil hone ka moamla nahi ker raha hoon mojooda qeemat ke darajat ki wajah se. Mera tareeqa yeh hai ke main ek wazeh signal ka muntazir hoon, khaaskar agar qeemat ne woh utha hai jo ban gaya hai, neeche chala jata hai. Agar yeh kami hoti hai, to mehsool ki samajh hai ke bael zor se dakhil ho jayenge aur ahem support level 152.34 se bullish correction shuru karenge. Mere liye, behtar dakhil hone ki nakaaroot tab hogi jab yeh correction taqreeban hoti hai. Magar, yeh mumkin hai ke correction na ho. Agar yeh mamla hai, to main trading se fraz karon ga aur bina kisi harkat se market dynamics ko muntazir rahon ga. USD/JPY currency pair ne ek moderate giravat mehsoos ki. Pair ek waqt par tezi se gir gaya lekin phir jaldi se current weekly session ke opening levels par wapas aagaya. Yeh recovery ek lehaz se volatility ki darjaat ko darust karti hai aur yeh ishara karta hai ke market abhi naye trend mein set hone ke liye tayar nahi hai. Hal k movements ke peeche ek wajah yeh bhi hosakti hai ke investors US market opening ke pehle kuch munafa lock kar rahe hain. Munafa lock karna aam hai traders mein jo European session mein banaye gaye faiday ko secure karne ke liye karne ki ichha rakhte hain pehle US markets ke opening ke saath jo volatility ka saamna kar sakti hai. USD/JPY pair ka performance aksar mukhtalif factors se mutasir hota hai jaise economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Maslan, changes US economic indicators mein jaise employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions pair par bhaari asar daal sakti hai. isi tarah, Japan mein economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi aham role ada karte hain.
USDJPY ne Jumeraat (6/28/24) ko itihas mein record high qeemat banayi, currency pair mein tezi se izafa ho sakta hai jo ke munafa lenay ki saakh hai. Girawat ka mouqa ab bhi US session tak ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Bullish channel aur Moving Average par breakout jo ke chal rahi qeemat se oopar hain yeh bearish tajzia mein izafa karte hain.
Aik ghantay ki chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 M chart par upar bhasa di gayi hai. Is mein bhi girawat ka mouqa hai kyunke Moving Average chal rahi qeemat par hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai
USD/JPY pair apna bullish trend continue karega, mumkin hai ke ek higher zone tak upar move kare Iss hafte ka trend pattern ek uptrend indicate karta hai narrow range ke sath. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, mumkin hai ke increase agle hafte bhi continue kare, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karengi. Subah ke candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo suggest karta hai ke market trend rise kar

inflation data ke release ke baad hua, jo dollar par pressure dalta hai aur yeh expect kiya jata hai ke Federal Reserve apni interest rates ko near future mein cut kar sakta hai. Aisa hone se Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan ka interest rate differential kam ho jayega, jiska nateeja yeh hoga ke yen ki is saal significant depreciation mein kami aayegi. USD/JPY pair ka sharp rise 161.5 level se economic data releases ka forex markets par asar ko highlight karta hai. Khaaskar inflation data central bank policies ko direct influence karta hai. Recent weak US inflation figures ne market participants ko anticipate karne par majboor kar diya ke Federal Reserve ki monetary policy tightening se easing ki taraf shift ho sakti hai, jo dollar ki appeal yen ke muqable mein kam kar dega.

Technically, USD/JPY ka rebound 38 saal ke low se ek correction hai broader downtrend mein. Pair ka movement 157.41 ki taraf suggest karta hai ke market naye economic realities ko adjust kar raha hai aur interest rate policies ke baray mein expectations ko recalibrate kar raha hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake pair ke potential future direction ko behtar samajh saken. USD/JPY ka immediate resistance level 158.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh level sustain ho gaya to yeh yen mein mazid strength ko indicate karega, jo pair ko lower drive kar sakta hai. Conversely, support 156.00 level par hai. Agar USD/JPY is support ko break kar gaya to yeh dollar ki continued weakness aur yen ke further gains ko signal karega. Broader context mein, yen ka lagbhag 13% depreciation dollar ke muqable mein since beginning of the year divergent monetary policies ka asar hai. Bank of Japan ka commitment low interest rates maintain karne ka Federal Reserve ke pehle ke rate hikes se sharply contrast karta hai, jo interest rate spread ko widen karta hai aur yen ko historic lows par drive karta hai. Magar, Federal Reserve ke stance ke shift ka potential, weak inflation data se spur hota hai, yeh gap narrow kar sakta hai aur yen ko support de sakta hai. Aage dekhte hue, traders ko further economic data releases aur central bank communications par dhyan dena chahiye. Koi bhi indications of changes in monetary policy from either Federal Reserve or Bank of Japan USD/JPY par significant implications rakhengi. Technical analysis tools jaise moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators bhi pair ke future movements ke baray

sabse tezi se uchchak hone ke adhar par, USD/JPY quotes agle impulse zone tak 170.58 tak badh sakte hain. Lekin yeh zyada lagta hai, kyunke bull ne pehle hi 159.74 par dusre impulse zone par karne ki koshish ki hai. Be-rok kiye bina rahna asambhav lagta hai. Market dollar-yen ki vradhikaran ki anat mein anishchit rehta hai. Bear 159.74 ke neeche jam hone ke baad me stable sanket aane lage hain. Tab tak, uttar trend majboot rehta hai. Agar sahyog sthal 159.74 par sambhav hai, bear ke dwara neeche ki aur chalne ke pashchaat antar ki niyam 155.60 ke dusre sthal ki seema me smet hain.
Is mahaul me, USD/JPY ek punhachharan ka anubhav kar sakta hai. Ek bazar ke nazariye se jo ki bade roop se sudhar kar raha hoon, mujhe lagta hai ki bazar me sudhar ke charan me shaamil hone ke mauke ho sakte hain. Vartamaan mein, USD/JPY jodi upar ki or uttar trend rekha ke upar vyapar karta hai, H1 channel ke upper boundary par bounce hone ke baad 161.44-161.33 sahyog kshetr tak girte hain. Agar vartamaan star ke neeche giravat ho, to yeh ek jari rahegi neeche ki or chalne ke pashchaat. 161.04-160.87 ka volume kshetr vahin hai, yeh shuruati neeche ka lakshya darshata hai. Dusri or, agar is kshetr se punhachharan ho, to yeh sambhav hai ki 161.84-162.02 ka sahyog kshetr ki or vikas darshata hai. Yeh sahyog kshetr pehla upari lakshya ke taur par kaam aata hai.
aam tor par Treasury yields ke izafay ne Dollar ko support kiya hai. Ye ghair maanqool harkat ziyata tar market ke intezar ko dekhti hai ke Japanese hukoomat Yen ke tej girawat ko rokne ke liye mudakhlat kar sakti hai. Ye surat-e-haal aur bhi pecheeda hai kyunke US se mukhtalif maashiyat indicators mil rahe hain. Jab US Consumer Price Index (CPI) ka kamzor data Dollar ki taqat ko kamzor karne mein madadgar sabit hua, baad mein aane wale reports, jaise ke Michigan Consumer Confidence Index aur US Producer Price Index (PPI), se US maashiyat ke rawayye ke mutaliq Mazeed maloomat milne ki umeed hai. Yeh yaad rehna chahiye ke Japan ne pehle hi July 11th ko Yen ko mazbooti dene ke liye karooron kharch kiye hain. Hukoomati afsarane mazeed iqdamat uthane ke liye bhi taiyy

Japanese Yen ne haal hi mein US Dollar ke muqable mein achi mazbooti dikhayi hai, jabke aam tor par Treasury yields ke izafay ne Dollar ko support kiya hai. Ye ghair maanqool harkat ziyata tar market ke intezar ko dekhti hai ke Japanese hukoomat Yen ke tej girawat ko rokne ke liye mudakhlat kar sakti hai. Ye surat-e-haal aur bhi pecheeda hai kyunke US se mukhtalif maashiyat indicators mil rahe hain. Jab US Consumer Price Index (CPI) ka kamzor data Dollar ki taqat ko kamzor karne mein madadgar sabit hua, baad mein aane wale reports, jaise ke Michigan Consumer Confidence Index aur US Producer Price Index (PPI), se US maashiyat ke rawayye ke mutaliq Mazeed maloomat milne ki umeed hai. Yeh yaad rehna chahiye ke Japan ne pehle hi July 11th ko Yen ko mazbooti dene ke liye karooron kharch kiye hain. Hukoomati afsarane mazeed iqdamat uthane ke liye bhi taiyy







faisla monetary policy ka Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke paas hai, jo ke intezar hai ke apni aanewali July meeting mein inflationary pressures ko address karne ke liye interest rates barhaye. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, USD/JPY pair ne apne bullish momentum mein kamzori dikhayi hai, aur ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary se neeche gir gaya hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke kareeb hai, jo ke upward momentum ke kamzor hone ka ishara de raha hai. Immediate support pair ke liye 109.00 level par hai, jo ke psychologically significant hai. Agar yeh mark breach hota hai toh ziyata pronounced downward trend shuru ho sakti hai. Iske baraks, resistance 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke kareeb 109.82 par aur lower channel boundary 109.95 par hai. Agar pair channel ke andar trading wapas karta hai toh bullish sentiment ko dobara zinda kar sakta hai, aur pair ko channel ke upper limit ke kareeb 113.20 tak le ja sakta hai. Kul mila ke, USD/JPY exchange rate mukhtalif factors ke complex interplay se mutasir hai jinmein interest rate differentials, hukoomati mudakhlat ke imkanaat, aur economic data releases shamil hain. Traders ko in developments ko qareebi taur par monitor karna chahiye potential market volatility ke