usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY,H4

Yeh currency pair aik noteworthy upward trend par tha, jo recently apni all-time high 161.97 ko last Thursday cross kar gaya, aur market close hone tak 160.77 ke aas paas settle hua. Is impressive ascent ke bawajood, spot prices abhi tak crucial 161.00 supply zone ke neeche hain, kyunke traders is week ke key US macroeconomic data releases aur central bank announcements ka intezar kar rahe hain.




Short-term returns buying opportunities ke tor par dekhi ja sakti hain. 160 yen ka figure khaas taur par noteworthy hai, ek important conceptual aur historical contribution figure ke tor par. Yahan par Bank of Japan ne pehle intervene kiya tha, jo "market memory" ko is martaba bhi intense bana raha hai. Is segment mein koi bhi pullback high performance ka nateeja de sakta hai. Agar pair 160 yen se neeche bhi chala jaye, to weekly aur daily charts par kaafi support levels hain.

Monday ko aik brief uptick ke baad, aik subsequent decline ka imkaan hai. Yeh upward movement chhote traders ko lured karne ke liye thi, uske baad aik significant drop aaya. Yeh process prices ko mahino tak neeche daab sakta hai, buyers ko shake out karte hue aur unhein lower levels par sell karne par majboor kar sakta hai. 161.30 par aik false breakout continued decline ka signal de sakta hai. Medium term mein selling ka imkaan hai, khas tor par 160.35 ko breach karne ke baad. 161.25 par aik false breakout, khaaskar jab aik bearish divergence formation bhi ho, selling positions ko validate karega. Hourly chart dikhaata hai ke price descending channel ke andar hai. Kal, pair ne channel ki upper boundary ko 161.19 par test kiya, jo reversal aur downward movement ka sabab bana. Price Monday se decline karni chahiye, potentially channel ki lower boundary tak 160.12 ke aas paas pohnch sakti hai. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to yeh upward reversal ko initiate kar sakta hai, jo channel ki upper limit ke aas paas 160.87 ka target bana sakta hai.

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis

Thursday ko Japanese yen ne US dollar ke muqable mein 157.41 par surge kiya, jo pehle 38 saal ke low 161.5 se sharp rebound tha. Yeh reversal United States mein weak inflation data ke release ke baad aayi, jo dollar par pressure daal rahi thi aur yeh expectations barha rahi thi ke Federal Reserve nazdeek future mein US interest rates cut kar sakta hai. Aisa hone se substantial interest rate differential kam ho jayega jo Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan hai, jiska ultra-accommodative stance iss saal yen ke significant depreciation ka sabab bana hai.

USD/JPY pair ka 161.5 level se sharp rise economic data releases ka forex markets par impact ko highlight karta hai. Khaaskar inflation data ek crucial role play karta hai kyunke yeh central bank policies ko directly influence karta hai. Recent weak US inflation figures ne market participants ko anticipate karne par majboor kiya hai ke Federal Reserve ke monetary policy mein potential shift a sakta hai, jo tightening se easing ki taraf jaayega, jo dollar ki yen ke muqable mein appeal ko reduce karega.




Technically, USD/JPY ka 38 saal ke low se rebound ko broader downtrend mein correction ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Pair ka 157.41 ki taraf movement yeh suggest karta hai ke market new economic realities ko adjust kar raha hai aur interest rate policies ke hawale se expectations ko recalibrate kar raha hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake pair ke potential future direction ko behtar samajh sakein.

USD/JPY ke liye immediate resistance level 158.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh level sustained move ke saath cross hota hai, to yeh yen mein further strength ka indication ho sakta hai, jo pair ko neeche drive kar sakta hai. Conversely, support 156.00 level par dekha ja sakta hai. Agar USD/JPY is support ko break karta hai, to yeh dollar ki continued weakness aur yen ke further gains ka signal ho sakta hai.

Broader context mein, yen ka year ke start se 13% ke qareeb depreciation dollar ke muqable mein divergent monetary policies ka impact ko underscore karta hai. Bank of Japan ka low interest rates ko maintain karne ka commitment sharply contrast karta hai Federal Reserve ke pehle ke rate hikes se, jo interest rate spread ko widen karte hue yen ko historic lows tak le gaya. Lekin, weak inflation data se spur hone wala Federal Reserve ke stance mein potential shift yeh gap ko narrow kar sakta hai aur yen ko support provide kar sakta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, traders ko further economic data releases aur central bank communications par nazar rakhni chahiye. Federal Reserve ya Bank of Japan se monetary policy mein changes ke indications USD/JPY ke liye significant implications rakhte hain. Technical analysis tools jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators bhi pair ke future movements ke valuable insights provide kar sakte hain.

Nateejatan, recent rebound jo yen ne dollar ke muqable mein kiya wo forex markets ki fluid nature aur economic data ke market expectations ko shape karne ki importance ko highlight karta hai. Technical analysis ko macroeconomic trends ke samajh ke saath combine karke, traders USD/JPY pair ke complexities ko behtar navigate kar sakte hain aur more informed trading decisions le sakte hain.

Bawajood ke USD/JPY mein sell-off hua, USD/JPY 160.33 level tak gir gaya aur last trading week ke end par close hua. Pair ne 38 saal mein apne highest gain ko 161.95 resistance level ke qareeb chhor diya. Trading week 160.75 mark ke qareeb stable raha. Performance tab tak flat rehne ki umeed hai jab tak Japan forex market mein intervene nahi karta taake yen exchange rate ke further decline ko roka ja sake aur US inflation data aur Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell ke statement ka reaction nahi aata.




Is hafte ke economic calendar mein sab se pehle data hai. US mein focus June CPI aur PPI data ke release par hai, jiske baad Wednesday ko Senate Banking Committee ke samne Fed Chairman Powell ki semi-annual monetary policy confirmation hogi. Iske ilawa, investors US consumer confidence report from Michigan par bhi nazar rakhenge.

Channel breakout ke liye intezar kar rahe hain. Baghair iske, mein honestly pair mein sales aur decline ki umeed nahi rakhta. Channel lagbhag aadha saal se hai, to kyon na isay aur 1-2 mahine extend kar diya jaye?! Mutabiq, humein channel aur 158-158.50 level ka downwards breakout ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir December se growth ke tamam correction ka rasta khul jayega. Downside targets 150-152 honge, lekin agar pair channel ke andar rise karta rahta hai, to targets aur breakout levels mukhtalif ho sakte hain. Waves ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke pair ko potential decline se pehle ek new high banana chahiye. Yeh pair ko buy karne ka reason nahi hai kyunke new high ke baghair bhi decline ho sakta hai. Yeh worth noting hai ke 160 ke baad koi strong growth nahi hai, sirf creeping rise hai. Market Bank of Japan se wary hai, aur kam az kam verbal intervention ka intezar hai. Agar intervention hota hai, to hum surge upwards dekh sakte hain followed by collapse. General mein, mujhe sell karna hai, lekin sirf channel ke downwards breakout ke baad.

USD JPY filhal mazbooti ke ilaaqay mein hai aur yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke yeh rozana ke candle ke upper side par pehle se high candle area ko tod chuka hai. Phir nichey ki taraf correction dekhein aur jab yeh pichle din ke daily candle area se 38% kamzor hota hai to buy entry ka sochain. Iss waqt buy entry ke liye theek nahi hai kyun ke price abhi bhi kal ke close candle area mein hai, to isliye aaj European session ya US session ka intezar karen jab tak price phir se kamzor ho jaye. Technical analysis ke lehaz se har waqt pichli history ko dekhte hain jo ke aaj ke price movement ka reference banegi. Analysis ke lehaz se, mai buy entry ka sochta hoon jab price aaj ki movement se thori si kamzor ho jo ke weekly resistance point 2 tak pohanchne ka andaza hai. USDJPY ab trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki taqat ko dikhata hai, aur trend line support hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, buyers ko resistance 162.15 ko todna hoga, jahan se trading channel khul jayega aur bulls ki movement continue ho sakti hai. Pehli level jo target hogi, woh supply zone 160.47 hai, jahan se history mein sellers ne price ko tej kiya tha. Main reverse movement ke development ko short ke lehaz se exclude nahi karta, lekin pehle bears ko support 160.24 todna hoga, jahan se price kai martaba bounce kar chuka hai. Bears ki taqat ki tasdeeq price ka broken level 160.31 ke neeche fix hone se hogi. Jo hamein kamzori ko dikhayegi.
USDJPY, ab bhi downtrend mein hai. Price ne 155.48 ke level par support mila, jahan se bounce hua. Technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke price, chaar ghante ke time frame par, cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche, Chikou span line price chart ke neeche, aur ek "dead cross" active hai. Relative strength index 50 se neeche hai, aur "trend filter" oscillator red hai, jo bearish market sentiment ko signal kar raha hai. Mazeed girawat ki potential mojood hai. Agar price 155.48 ke level ke neeche breakthrough aur successful consolidation karti hai, to naye sales ke sochna munasib hoga. Iss scenario mein, agla potential target support level 154.70 hoga. Ek alternative scenario ke tayari yeh hogi jab price cloud ke upar trade kar rahi ho, aur signal lines "golden cross" banaye

**Stochastic aur Price Analysis:**

Stochastic curve bearish direction mein move kar rahi hai, jo trend ki bearish nature ko indicate karta hai. Open price aur SMA5 ke resistance level ke beech gap ke madde nazar, price is dynamic resistance level tak correct ho sakti hai pehle apne decline ko continue karne se pehle. Yeh scenario sell positions ke liye potential entry points ko present karta hai, jahan demand ke girne ki ummeed par focus karke capitalize kiya ja sakta hai.

H4 chart ke evening analysis ne ek triangle pattern reveal kiya. Is pattern ka break hua, jis se temporary price increase hui, jo direction ka ek hint de raha hai. Northern path ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko H4 ke upward reversal levels ko break karna hoga, specifically 161.55 level ko overcome karna hoga. Yeh level H4 ke zigzag ke low se trend line aur bache hue triangle support se supported hai.


Agar D1 price zone ke south mein break hota hai, to mere sell decision ko solidify karega. Main agle hafte mein aur details provide karunga. Mere analysis aur subah ke horoscope ke mutabiq, mujhe 160.75 par deal ko stop karna padega, kyunki potential win mere position se paanch guna zyada hoga. Agar market mere desired goals ki taraf move nahi karti, to main exit karunga aur kal dobara evaluate karunga. Aane wale din hamesha uncertain hote hain, aur news events is uncertainty mein significant role play karti hain. Losses ka risk lene se behtar hai caution barqarar rakhna. USD dovish comments from Fed's Williams aur Japan ke weak current account data ke baad mazboot hua, resulting in USD/JPY ka 161.30 par 36 pips upar close hona.

Hello, colleague! Well, jaise ke hum history se dekh sakte hain, USDJPY ne grow karne ki koshish ki - kal ka maximum 157.40 tha. Aur aaj humne din ki shuruaat ki kal ke growth ko extend karne ki koshish se - maximum 157.53 par tha. Chalo dekhte hain ke humare indicators daily chart par wave technique ka istemal karte hue kya dikhate hain MA100 north ki taraf pull kar raha hai ek modest trend angle twenty degrees par. Lekin baat yeh hai: angle modest ho sakta hai, lekin fact yeh hai ke hum pehle din se April ke is constantly ascending channel mein hain jo bohot stressful hai. Abhi ke liye humare paas ek bohot bullish trend market hai.
MA18 however - jo shayad un bears ke asar mein hai jo kabhi kabar pair par nazar aate hain - currently down ki taraf pull kar raha hai ek modest trend angle of five degrees par. Kisi na kisi tarah - forecast perspective mein, yeh moving averages humein volume compression aur unki bands ka intersection, dead cross ka formation - ek sell signal dikhate hain.
waise, Ichimoku Cloud bhi itna bullishly convincing nahi lag raha. Abhi ke liye, yeh kaafi compressed hai, depicting ek bullish trend. Phir yeh thoda apne volumes expand karta hai, uske baad - phir se narrow ho jata hai - clearly wanting to go bears' side par.

Chaar mein se teen basement indicators sell signals dete hain. Iska matlab yeh hai ke resistance zone of 157.80 se - aap sell karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Abhi tak, yeh pata chala ke USDJPY ka decline kuch waqt ke liye suspended hai. Main yeh nahi keh sakta ke ab humein sirf growth expect karni chahiye, lekin mujhe kal hi sell karne ka mann nahi tha, yaani ke, phir se, height ki zaroorat hai iske liye. Current situation mein, maine southern zigzag 161.81 - 155.39 ko base banaya hai aur yeh clear hai ke humare paas abhi tak test nahi hai of even nearest correction level, jo ke 157.84 hai. Main definitely iska test wait kar raha hoon, aur phir hum short position kholne ka soch sakte hain. Abhi ke levels se act karne ka plan nahi hai. Generally, jaise maine kal likha tha, yeh better hota ke hum 158.60 ke kareeb jatein. D1 par ek attempt hai FE 61.8 level se rebound karne ka, lekin yeh abhi tak reason nahi hai sochne ka ke hum ab northern trend ke continuation ka wait kar rahe hain. Kam se kam, H1 par humare paas northern zigzag ka formation nahi hai.

Pichlay trading week mein, American dollar ne sellers ko apni zabardast kami se khush kiya. US ki khabrein samne aayi, indicators umeed se bohat kam the aur price neeche gir gayi, magar sirf Japanese currency ke muqablay mein hi nahi, balke lagbhag poore market spectrum mein American dollar gir gaya. Canadian dollar ke ilawa, jo ab tak mustahkam hai. Lagbhag 400 points bohat tezi se neeche gir gaye. Kami ke doran, price ko support mila, ek ascending support line ki shakal mein jo waves ke bottoms ke sath bani thi aur wahan se upar rebound kiya, phir dobara ek descent aur rebound aur phir line par pressure dala. Magar wave structure apna order upar ki taraf banata hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai, magar apni signal line ke neeche hai. Aur ab do options hain. Ya to dobara grow kare aur horizontal resistance level 160.30 ke area tak pohonch jaye, ya neeche jaaye aur ascending line ko break kare. Main growth ke haq mein hoon kyunki CCI indicator lower overheating zone mein hai aur is par ek growth signal nazar aa raha hai - ek bullish convergence. Aur line ke base par, ye ek acha signal hai. Aur aam taur par, ye koi fact nahi ke upward trend mukammal tor par khatam ho gaya hai aur ek deeper correction follow karega. Shayad, zyada sellers ko recruit karne ke liye jo soch rahe hain ke, achi baat hai, ek reversal aagaya hai, price yahan ek din ke liye sideways jaayegi. Positions ka accumulation hoga aur wo asaani se unhe wapas top tak le jaa sakte hain, jabke resistance level 160.32 ko break karte huay. Har surat mein, agar hum sales ko consider karein, abhi seedha line par bechna achi jagah nahi hai. Magar main khareedna bhi nahi chahta kyunki is line ne pehle hi do baar decent departures diye hain, magar yahan sirf line nahi hai, balkay horizontal support level 157.72 bhi hai.

Regulator ne maan liya hai ke bullish sentiment ko band karna aur opposite side par move karna zaroori hai, ye aaj ke Asian session mein khaaskar dekhne ko mil raha hai, magar yahan hum ye maan sakte hain ke Bank of Japan khud apni national currency ko mazboot karne ke liye bearish side ko khel raha hai. Jaise hi USD/JPY pair ki price selected format ke lower limit ke qareeb aati hai, isay break karna clear karega ke yahan kon circular dance lead kar raha hai. Highs tay kiye gaye hain aur aap do highs ke sath ek downtrend line draw kar sakte hain aur phir aglay hafte se, USD/JPY price ka behavior dekh sakte hain jab wo inke qareeb aati hai. Magar filhal, hum ye wazeh karenge ke price hume niche kya build karti hai, ek horizon ya slope, uske baad hum ek descending channel ya ek pennant draw karenge. Ek figure kaam karegi.

Achha din! Hamari tajziyaat jari rakhte hue, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki chaar ghante ke chart par tashkeel-e-siroch ka mushahidah kar rahe hain. Ye tajziya in do sets ke nichlay uchhalte aur nichlay low ke qaim hone par mabni hai, jo tashkeel-e-iroch ki mojudgi ko tasdeeq karte hain. Halanki, abhi momekinon ne 155 figure ke beech markaz ke ird gird mazeed chhota intraday low qaim kiya hai. Technical nazar se, yeh ishaara dete hain ke ek mumkin wapas rawani takliqa hai, jaisa ke chaar ghante ka stochastic oscillator ishara karta hai.
Magar, umeed ki jati hai ke USD/JPY pair 157.20 level ke aas paas rukavat ka samna karega, jo tashkeel-e-siroch ke ooperi sarhad ke sath milti hai. Umeed ki jati hai ke jab yeh rukavat tak pahunche, to pair apna neeche ki rah jaari rakhega. Is momekin uthne ke bawajood, pair ki quotes ab bhi active selling zone ke andar rengne ki sanad dene ka imkan hai, jo bare guddon ko unka asar barqarar rakhne ki ijazat deta hai.

Agar zigzag indicator dawara agla qareebi ziyata se ziyata darja ka pata lag jaata hai, yeh pair ko khareedne ke liye aik mauqa bhi paish kar sakta hai. Magar, fiqa stop-loss istemal karne ki mashwara di jati hai kyun ke asli sabab jo US dollar ko Japanese yen ke khilaf hoslon mein taqat dene wale hain, unka itmina nahi huwa hai. Meri trading strategy asaan hai: main aik purbharosa crossover talash karta hoon, khas tor par 156.220 ke price level par, takay mera dakhil ho jaye.

Dakhilay ke hawale se, main mojooda price ka istemal karne ke liye moddajar hota hoon. Agar keemat wapas hoti hai, to 9 aur 22 minimum levels zoroori taur par maujooda halaat par mazeed wazihaayi dete hain. Ye tools traders dawara mashhoor aur wasee istemal kiye jate hain.

Chalo apne chart par ek nazar daalte hain taake hamain mumkinah trading signals ka pata chale. Chaar ghante ka stochastic oscillator nazdeek wallpapers ka taqreeban ishaara deta hai, jise yeh maane ja sakta hai ke ek chand muddawali harkat ho sakti hai. Magar, overall lehja ghaate zada hai, aur tashkeel-e-siroch yeh dikhata hai ke kisi bhi upri harkat ki rukavat sirf 157.20 rukavat ke saath mehdood ho sakti hai. Zigzag indicator, jo ahem keemati harkat aur trends ka pata lagane me madad deta hai, yeh ishara deta hai ke pair jald hi rukavat ka samna kar sakta hai. Ye hamari afsosakrt iltija ke sath miltahai ke ek chota wapasawar ke baad ek aptayeda kami hoti rehi hogi. Ye ahem ha ke ye levels nazdeek se nigaah baand rakhti hai takay short positions ke liye behtareen dakhilay ke point taye kiye ja sakein.

Aaj hum kuch ahem khabrein receive kar rahe hain jo mukhtalif currencies par asar dal sakti hain aur market mein significant volatility create kar sakti hain. High-impact events ke ilawa, kuch low aur medium-impact news items bhi calendar par hain. Yeh combination multiple currency pairs mein increased activity ka baais banega, aur traders ko fast-moving price movements ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Khabron Ka Waqt Aur Asar
Traders ko in news releases ke specific times aur nature par khas tawajju deni chahiye, kyun ke yeh market sentiment aur trading decisions par gehra asar daal sakti hain. Misal ke taur par, announcements jo interest rates, employment data, aur economic growth figures se mutaliq hoti hain, wo achanak currency values ko shift kar sakti hain. Is liye, in news items ke timing aur expected impact ko jaanna zaroori hai effective trading ke liye.
Effective Money Management
In situations mein effective money management bohot zaroori hai. Is mein appropriate stop-loss orders set karna shamil hai taake potential losses ko limit kiya ja sake aur position sizing strategies ko use karna taake risk manage ho sake. Is tarah, traders apne capital ko potential losses se protect kar sakte hain during market volatility aur saath hi potential opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain. Ye bhi mashwara diya jata hai ke over-leveraging positions se bachain, kyun ke yeh unpredictable market movements ke dauran losses ko amplify kar sakti hain.
Forex Market Mein Trading Ka Ehtram
Forex market mein trading ke waqt ehtiyaat bohot zaroori hai, jahan rapid aur sudden changes aasakte hain. Traders ko impulsive decisions lene se bachna chahiye based on short-term fluctuations aur apni long-term trading strategy par focus karna chahiye. Yeh involve kar sakta hai confirmation ka intezar karna trends ya patterns ka pehle trades enter karne se, bajaye ke news par immediately react karna.
Aaj Ke Din Ki Volatility
Overall, aaj ke high-impact news events, combined with low aur medium-impact news, significant volatility create karne ki umeed hai forex market mein. Traders ko ehtiyaat se trade karna chahiye aur sound money management practices adopt karni chahiye taake yeh situations successfully navigate ki ja sakein. Detailed information ke liye specific news events aur unke timing par, neeche di gayi image refer karen. Yeh visual aid aaj ke key news items ka overview provide karti hai jo market ko influence kar sakti hain, helping traders plan their strategies accordingly.
Conclusion
Aaj ke din ki ahem khabron aur market volatility ko dekhte hue, traders ko zaroori ehtiyaat aur planning ke sath trading karni chahiye. Market movements par nazar rakh kar aur effective money management practices ko use karke, traders apne capital ko protect kar sakte hain aur market ke opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain. Apni long-term strategy par focus rakhein aur impulsive decisions se bachain, taake trading mein kamiyabi hasil kar sakein.
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جولائی 20 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

کل، امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑے نے روزانہ کینڈل کے نچلے سائے کے ساتھ 155.75 پر سپورٹ کو چھیدا اور بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن پر توقف کرتے ہوئے 156.79 کی سطح سے اوپر اٹھ گیا۔ جوڑی نے 116 پپس حاصل کیے۔



جب تک قیمت 156.79 کی سپورٹ لیول سے اوپر رہے گی، ین کے ایک طرف جانے کا امکان ہے۔ اس کی وجہ یہ ہے کہ اصلاحی ترقی کے کسی بھی اہم ہدف تک پہنچنا درمیانی مدت میں رجحان کے ہدف تک پہنچنے سے زیادہ آسان نہیں ہے- کلیدی اصلاحی ہدف کافی زیادہ ہے، ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن پر 159.60 نشان کے ارد گرد ہے۔ قریب ترین مزاحمت 29 مئی کی چوٹی 157.72 پر ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر ٹرپل کنورژنس بن گیا ہے۔ چونکہ آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن حال ہی میں تیزی کے علاقے میں داخل ہوئی ہے، اس لیے کنورجنس کا اثر جاری ہے۔ اگر بیرونی حالات جاپانی مارکیٹ میں ڈالر کے حق میں ہیں تو قیمت 157.72 پر قابو پا کر 158.48 کے قریب ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی طرف بڑھ سکتی ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD/JPY abhi mazbooti ke ilaqe mein hai aur yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke daily candle ke upper side par yeh pichle high candle area se barh raha hai. Phir downward correction dekh kar aur buy entry dhoondhein jab yeh daily candle area se 38% weak ho jaye jo ke pichle din tha. Is waqt buy entry ke liye sahi waqt nahi hai kyun ke price abhi bhi kal ki close candle ke area mein hai. Isliye aaj European session ya US session mein intezar karein jab price phir se kamzor ho aur aam tor par technical analysis ke movements ko dekhein jo ke peechle history side ko reference banati hai aaj ke price movement ke liye. Analysis ke hisaab se, main buy entry ko tab consider karunga jab price aaj ke movement se thoda kamzor ho jo ke weekly resistance point 2 tak mazboot hone ki umeed hai, niche di gayi tasveer mein.

USD/JPY abhi trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke Buyers ki mazbooti dikhata hai, aur trend line Support hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ko Resistance - 162.15 todna hoga, jisse trading channel khul jaye ga, aur Bulls' movement ke continuation ka imkan ho sakta hai. Pehla target Supply Zone - 160.47 hoga, jahan se history mein Sellers ne price ko barhaya tha. Reverse movement ka bhi imkan hai Short side ki taraf, lekin pehle Bears ko support - 160.24 todna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce hoti rahi hai. Bears ki mazbooti ka tasdeeq hoga jab price broken level - 160.31 ke niche fix ho jaye ga, jo ke price ki kamzori dikhaye ga.


USD/JPY ka downtrend ab bhi maujood hai. Price ne support level 155.48 par paya, jahan se bounce hua. Technical analysis dikhata hai ke price four-hour time frame par cloud ke niche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke niche hai, Chikou span line price chart ke niche hai, aur "dead cross" active hai. Relative strength index value 50 ke niche hai, aur "trend filter" oscillator red color mein hai, jo bearish market sentiment signal karta hai. Mazid decline ka imkan barqarar hai. Agar price level 155.48 ko todti aur successful consolidation karti hai, to nayi sales ko consider karna munasib hoga. Is scenario mein, next potential target support level 154.70 hoga. Alternative scenario ke liye tayyar rahna hoga jab price cloud ke upar trade kar rahi ho, aur signal lines ka "golden cross" banta ho.

potential withdrawal significant profits ka mauqa paida karta hai, especially un logon ke liye jo downward momentum ko capitalize karte hain. Magar, current market trends ek deceleration dikhate hain downward trajectory mein, jo ke possible reversal ki taraf ishara karte hain jo last Friday se manifest hona shuru hui thi. US dollar ka potential weakening yeh bullish outlook support karta hai. Mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments bhi dollar ke retreat ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage karte hue. Yeh approach hume market

USD/JPY currency pair ek interesting rasta par hai jab yeh apni upward momentum regain karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Haal hi mein, yeh pair 155.76 level par significant resistance ka samna kar raha tha. Bulls ki koshish ke bawajood, candlestick is critical zone ko break karne mein kamiyaab nahi hui, jo dikhata hai ke yeh abhi bhi further gains ke liye ek strong barrier hai. Technical charts dikhate hain ke USD/JPY ne mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments ki wajah se kai fluctuations face kiye hain. 155.76 par bounce yeh suggest karta hai ke substantial buying interest mojood hai, jo support provide karta hai aur further decline ko rokta hai. Bullish traders ke liye yeh bounce ek pivotal moment hai, jo upward trend ko resume karne ke liye ek potential turning point signal karta hai. Lekin, candlestick ka 155.76 zone ko break na kar paana yeh dikhata hai ke bears abhi bhi considerable pressure exert kar rahe hain. Yeh aik aise scenario create karta hai jahan market participants ko strength ya weakness ke signs closely dekhne chahiye. Agar pair is resistance level ko break karta hai, toh yeh ek nayi upward move lead kar sakta hai, jo higher resistance levels ko target kar sakti hai.
Fundamental factors bhi USD/JPY ke behavior mein ek crucial role play karte hain. Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments sab pair ke movements ko influence karte hain. Misal ke taur par, US Federal Reserve ka interest rates par stance US dollar ki strength ko significantly impact karta hai, jabke Japan ki economic outlook aur Bank of Japan ki policies yen ki performance ko affect karti hain. Iske ilawa, market sentiment aur risk appetite bhi pair ke trajectory ko influence karte hain. Global uncertainty ke dauran, yen aksar US dollar ke against safe haven ki tarah strengthen hota hai. Iske muqabil, optimism aur risk-taking ke periods mein, US dollar yen ke against gain karta hai. Traders aur investors jab USD/JPY pair ko monitor karte hain, toh technical analysis tools jaise ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels provide valuable insights kar sakte hain potential future movements ke bare mein. Yeh tools trends, overbought ya oversold conditions, aur key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madadgar hote hain.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, US dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi ne tawaqqo ke mutabiq 157.40 ki muzahmati satah tak badhat hasil ki. Aaj, yah jodi ya to is nishan se ooper ja sakti hai aur tezi ke islah ke hisse ke taur par 158.90 ki satah tak badhat hasil kar sakti hai, ya 157.40 ki muzahmati satah se piche hat kar niche ki taraf badh sakti hai.



Agar qimat 157.40 ki muzahmati satah se ooper mustahkam ho jati hai to, dollar/yen ki jodi ke 158.90 ki kaledi muzahmati satah tak badhne ki tawaqqo hai. Iske bad, qimat ke niche ki taraf palatne aur 155.00 ki nafsiyati support satah tak girne, is se niche tootne aur 152.70 ke agle bade support satah ki taraf badhne ka imkan hai. Halankeh, is hafte itni gahri girawat shayad hi dekhne ko mile, balkeh agle hafte ke dusre haiise me aisa hone ka imkan zyada hai. Agar qimat 157.40 ko tod deti hai aur iske ooper mustahkam ho jati hai to, dollar/yen joda badhta rahega, lekin iski tezi ki islah mumkena taur par 158.90 ke nishan tak mahdud rahegi. Jodi ke manfi hone ki tawaqqo hai, jis se 155.00 ki satah tak girawat ki tawaqqo me short positions kholna mumkin ho jayega. Mutabadil taur par, agar qimat 158.90 ki muzahmati satah ko tod deti hai to, dollar/yen joda apni tezi ko 160.00 ki aham muzahmati satah tak badha dega. Iske breakout ke bad 163.40 ke nishan tak mazid izafa is bat ka ishara dega keh mandi ka rujhan ab barqarar nahin hai.

JPY pair buying trend show kar raha hai jo ke 161.50 ka target favor karta hai. Yeh analysis guzishte haftay ke Support-Become-Resistance (SBR) levels par mabni hai. Recent price movement 50-Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar cross kar chuki hai, jo ke bullish momentum ka potential dikhati hai. Yeh development un traders ke liye ek favorable scenario set up karti hai jo ke current trend ka faida uthana chahte hain. Support-Become-Resistance (SBR) concept price dynamics ko samajhne mein bohot important hai. Jab ek support level break hota hai, to aksar yeh resistance level ban jata hai agar price dobara rise karne ki koshish kare. Isi tarah, jab ek resistance level break hota hai, to yeh support level ban sakta hai. Is context mein, pichle haftay ka SBR USD/JPY ke price movements ko predict karne ke liye ek solid foundation provide karta hai. Recent price action dikhati hai ke USD/JPY ne in levels ko use karte hue ek naya trend direction establish kiya hai.
50-SMA ka cross hona technical analysis mein ek significant indicator hai. Simple Moving Average ek widely used tool hai jo price data ko smooth out karta hai aur specific period ke over trends ko identify karta hai. Jab price 50-SMA ke upar cross karti hai, to aksar yeh ek bullish signal maana jata hai, jo recent price trend ki strength ko indicate karta hai. USD/JPY ke case mein, is average ke upar cross karna yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers control mein hain aur bullish trend likely continue karega.
Maujooda market conditions ke madde nazar, Take Profit (TP) 161.500 par set karna aur Stop Loss (SL) 165.81 par set karna ek strategic decision nazar aata hai. 161.500 par TP observed trend aur SBR levels ke sath align karta hai, jo ke aaj ki trading session ke liye ek realistic aur achievable target hai. Dosri taraf, 165.81 par SL risk ko effectively manage karta hai, ensuring ke agar market unexpectedly reverse kare to potential losses minimize ho jayein





Risk management successful trading ka ek crucial aspect hai. Ek well-calculated SL set kar ke, traders apne capital ko significant losses se protect kar sakte hain. Is scenario mein, 165.81 par SL ek safety net provide karta hai, jo traders ko bullish trend ko pursue karne mein confidence deta hai bina excessive risk ke. Yeh balance TP aur SL ke darmiyan profitable aur sustainable trading strategy ko maintain karne ke liye essential hai.
Summary mein, USD/JPY pair abhi ek strong buying trend exhibit kar raha hai, jo ke fundamental events aur technical indicators se supported hai. 50-SMA ka cross aur pichle haftay ke SBR levels price movements ko predict karne ke liye ek robust framework provide karte hain. 161.500 par TP aur 165.81 par SL set karna current trend aur risk management principles ke sath align karta hai, jo ke bullish momentum ka faida uthane ke liye ek strategic approach offer karta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur market mein kisi bhi change ke mutabiq apne trades ko adjust karna chahiye taake apne trading outcomes ko optimize kar sakein.