usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

U.S. dollar ne peer subah Japanese yen ke khilaaf tezi se barhna shuru kiya, ab hum dobara 158 yen ko khatra mehsoos kar rahe hain. Sach kahoon toh, yeh market ka hissa hai jise aap chhote pasand nahi karte. Kam az kam aapko nahi karna chahiye kyunki haalaanki humein waqt waqt par withdraws milte hain, lekin koi bhi jo Japanese yen kharida hai, bilkul is market ke chalne se peet raha hai.

Ismein Bank of Japan bhi shamil hai. Kabhi kabhi market itna ek tarfa hota hai ke aap bas uske sath chal nahi sakte. Is market ka trend kaafi sakht hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh US. dollar ko Japanese yen ke muqable mein mazeed taqat de ga qareebi mustaqbil mein. Asal mein, log ab, kam az kam kuch, yeh soch rahe hain ke Federal Reserve shayad is saal rate cut hi na kare. Aur agar yeh hota hai, to aap in dono ko sambhal kar rakhne ke liye abhi bhi paisa kama rahe hain, isliye kuch khaas karna bekaar hai.

Agar aur jab hum 158 yen level ko paar kar sakte hain, aur main sach mein yeh nahi dekhta ke hum nahi kar sakte, to humein 160 yen level tak pahunchnay ka potential hai jo pichle saal kuch hafton ke liye Bank of Japan ne intervene kiya tha. To yeh badi ladaai ho sakti hai, lekin wahan kuch aisa hai jo is market ko agle kadam par le jaata hai.

158 yen level ke upar ek rally hone ka imkaan hai aur yeh market ko 160 yen level ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ek ahem resistance area hai jahan Bank of Japan ne pehle intervene kiya tha is rukawat ko paar karne ke liye aur ek aur upside dikha sakta hai dollar-yen pair ke liye.

Choti term mein, koi bhi pullback ko ek buying opportunity ke roop mein dekha jaana chahiye. 50-day EMA aur 155 yen level mazboot support provide karte hain, is market ke overall positive outlook ko mazboot karte hue. Yeh trend yeh dikhata hai ke yeh US. dollar ke sath hi nahi, balki doosri currencies bhi yen ke muqable mein achha perform kar sakti hain.



Maujooda trends ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke US. dollar ki taqat Japanese yen ke khilaaf jari rahegi, ek mustaqil, friendly interest rate environment ki wajah se. Traders ko neeche kharidne ke mauqe dhoondhne chahiye, jahan mazboot support levels honge aur yeh access points provide karenge. Jab tak Federal Reserve apni jagah pakadti hai, US. dollar kam az kam 100% kamzor rahega, jo traders ke liye attractive banata hai. Yeh jaari movement yeh dikhata hai ke dollar-yen pair yen aur doosri currencies ke muqable mein qeemat barhne ka imkaan hai.

Forex trading strategy
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum!
Kal, 157.96 ki muzahmati satah ka test karne ke bad, bears ne pahal ki aur US dollar/Japanese yen jodi ko niche dhakel diya. Natije ke taur par, jodi ne guzishtah roz niche ki taraf karobar kiya. Aaj, halankeh ibtedai karobar me qimat me tezi aayi. Chunkeh yah rebound abhi mukammal nahin hua hai, lehaza koi sell signal nahin hai. Ek bar jab yah tezi ka daud khatam ho jayega to, dollar/yen ki jodi ke 157.27 ki support satah ki taraf badhte hue nuqsanat dobara shuru karne ka imkan hai. Mutabadil ke taur par, agar bulls market par control hasil kar lete hain to, jodi faide me tausie karegi. Yah scenario tab mumkin hai jab qimat 157.96 ki muzahmati satah se ooper mustahkam ho jaye, jo 160.00 ki agli muzahmati satah tak mazid faida hasil karne ki rah hamwar karega.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ko Wednesday ko aur Bank of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence

hai ke filhal sellers dominate kar rahe hain. Jaise hi downward momentum continue karta hai, main umeed karta hoon ke price 157.515 level tak decline karega. Yeh specific level bohot crucial hai kyunki mujhe umeed hai ke yahaan selling pressure kam ho jaye ga aur potential buying interest samne aayega. Aise levels par slowdown dekhna common hai kyunki buyers isko acha entry point samajh sakte hain positions accumulate karne ke liye. Agar price 157.515 tak pohanch jaye, main market ka reaction closely monitor karunga. Agar buyers is level par active ho jayein, to yeh current downtrend ke pause ya reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, jo ke ek temporary consolidation ya bullish rebound result kar sakta hai. Lekin, buying interest ki extent yeh determine karegi ke yeh level hold karega ya price break through karke apna descent continue karega Doosri taraf, agar market bullish correction dekhta hai 157.515 level pohanchne se pehle, to yeh current channel ke upper part ke qareeb, 157.374 level ke aas paas resistance face karega. Yeh area critical hai kyunki yeh ek zone represent karta hai jahan pehle bears positioned ho sakte hain, aur unka selling pressure phir se aayega. Agar market apni upward correction ko 157.374 ke qareeb rokta hai aur reversal ke signs dikhata hai, to yeh ek potential selling opportunity hogi. Is point par, traders ko reversal signals dekhne chahiye, jaise ke bearish candlestick patterns, declining volume, ya doosre technical

indicators jo bearish sentiment confirm karte hain. Agar yeh signals nazar aayein, to yeh short positions enter karne ka ideal moment ho sakta hai, betting on the resumption of the downward trend
Trading mein, market movements par vigilant aur responsive rehna essential hai. Dynamics bohot jaldi shift kar sakti hain, aur jo ek strong trend lagta hai, wo naye market participants ya unexpected economic news ke saath change ho sakta hai. Isliye, jabke main umeed karta hoon ke decline 157.515 par slow ho jaaye aur potential selling opportunities 157.374 ke qareeb ho sakti hain, stop-loss orders aur risk management strategies use karna zaroori hai taake unexpected market reversals se bacha ja sake
Economic indicators, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical developments sab market sentiment aur price movements ko shape karne mein bohot important role play karte hain. In factors par nazar rakhna broader context provide karega aur technical analysis ki effectiveness ko enhance karega. Market filhal ek bearish trend exhibit kar raha hai, jiska potential hai ke 157.515 level tak pohanch jaye jahan ek slowdown expected hai due to anticipated buyer activity. Agar ek bullish correction hota hai, to resistance 157.374 ke qareeb face hogi, jo ke ek potential selling opportunity provide karti hai agar reversal signals maujood ho. Jaise hamesha, traders ko sound risk management practices employ karni chahiye aur market developments ke baare mein informed rehna chahiye taake forex trading ki complexities ko effectively navigate kar sakein

hum Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ko Wednesday ko aur Bank of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apne 13-14 June ke meeting mein koi khaas policy tabdeeli nahi ki, aur yeh tasdeek ki ke wo disapproved overnight calls ko 0.0%-0.1% ke qareeb rakhnay ki koshish karenge, jo faisla unhon ne apne March budget planning meeting mein kiya tha.
Aur budget statement mein yeh bhi shamil hai ke board apne bond kharidon ko 31 July ke meeting ke baad kam kar dega. Meeting ke baad ek press conference mein, Governor Kazuo Ueda ne kaha ke officials is process mein ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain, lekin tabdeelion ka scale "huge" ho sakta hai.

Hum yeh samajhte hain ke ek aur monetary policy normalization agay aayegi. Magar, humare nazar mein sust economic growth, inflation aur wage growth ke dekhte hue, BoJ ko policy mein dheemi approach apnani chahiye.

Hum apni raaye par qayam hain ke BoJ October tak intizaar karega agla policy rate hike dene ke liye,

jahaan hum 15 bps izafa ki tawakku karte hain unsecured overnight calls mein 0.15%-0.25% tak. Mazeed, hum yeh umeed karte hain ke BoJ April 2025 ke elan tak intizaar karega pehle 25 bps rate hike dene se pehle. Hum yeh bhi umeed karte hain ke BoJ apni bond kharidon ko dheere dheere kam karne ki policy ko rahega, jo hum samajhte hain ke BoJ kisi bhi policy increase ke waqt se baghair anjaam dega. Humare nazar mein, BoJ bond kharidon ke raftar ko 1 trillion yen tak kam karega, jo ke July se Q3-2024 ke dauran tak ~5 trillion yen kam hone ki tasdeek karega. Phir hum Q4-2024 mein ~4 billion yen ka izafa dekhte hain, Q1-2025 mein ~3 billion yen ka izafa dheemay raftar se aur Q2-2025 ke baad se ~2 billion yen ka izafa dekhte hain.

Technical analysis ke liye USD JPY 4 ghante ke time chart par
main trend neeche ki taraf hai jo ke top 160.20 se 151.85 tak gaya, uske baad pair raise kiya aur retracement bana kar 78 Fibonacci tak pohnch gaya, aur hum yeh umeed karte hain ke pair neeche gir kar bottom 151.87 ko tod dega aur naya bottom hit karega.

Hamari tafteesh ka mawad USD/JPY currency pair ke halat-e-hazra ke baray mein hai. Jab hum bazaar ko nazdeek se nazar andaaz karte hain, to maloom hota hai ke currency pair ab aik ahem level par hai. Hamari tafseeli jaanch ne darasal yeh zahir kiya hai ke mojooda levels se girawat shuru hone ka imkaan hai. Yeh tashkeel hum ne mukhtalif bazaar indicators aur maujooda ma'ashrati halaat ki tehqiqat ke zariye hasil ki hai. USD/JPY currency pair ne hafton ke andar range-bound rawaiya dikhaya hai, jo support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan harkat kar raha hai. Lekin haal hi ke bazaar ke trend ke mutabiq, is pair ki taraf se neechay ki taraf rawani mumkin hai. Yeh moghtalif factors is imkaan ke sath jura hain. Sab se pehle to, ma'ashrati mahaul ka kirdar ahmiyat rakhta hai. America dollar ke baray mein mukhtalif ma'ashrati indicators, jaise ke mehengai ke sharah, Federal Reserve ki interest rate decisions, aur overall bazaar ki jazbaat shamil hain. United States mein mehengai ke dabao ne umeedon ko mazboot monetary policy ki taraf le jane ke dawa ki hai, jo aam taur par dollar ko madad deti hai. Lekin haal hi ke data yeh isharah deta hai ke mehengai hosla afza hone ki sambhavna hai, jo Federal Reserve ki naram tashkeel ko le karne ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jis se dollar ki kamzori a sakti hailevels se girawat shuru hone ka imkaan hai. Yeh tashkeel hum ne mukhtalif bazaar indicators aur maujooda ma'ashrati halaat ki tehqiqat ke zariye hasil ki hai. USD/JPY currency pair ne hafton ke andar range-bound rawaiya dikhaya hai, jo support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan harkat kar raha hai. Lekin haal hi ke bazaar ke trend ke mutabiq, is pair ki taraf se neechay ki taraf rawani mumkin hai. Yeh moghtalif factors is imkaan ke sath jura hain. Sab se pehle to, ma'ashrati mahaul ka kirdar ahmiyat rakhta hai. America dollar ke baray mein mukhtalif ma'ashrati indicators, jaise ke mehengai ke sharah, Federal Reserve ki interest rate decisions, aur overall bazaar ki jazbaat shamil hain. United States mein

Hello, kaise hain aap? USD/JPY nay fresh selling pressure ke neechay aakar 157.50 ko test kiya, jo ke Tuesday ke Asian trading mein hua. BoJ Governor Ueda ke tanziaati tajziye ne Japanese yen ke neechay ek taaza bid ko shuru kiya, jis se USD/JPY ne neechay jaana shuru kiya. Amreeki dollar mein tezi se wapas aane se downside offset ho sakta hai. USD/JPY pair ne Monday ke US session mein qareeb 158.00 ko chhua tha. Is asset ko upside mein faida hua hai jab Federal Reserve ne interest rate outlook par apni dovish narrative ko mazboot kiya aur Bank of Japan ne taper tantrum plans ko postpone kiya. Japanese yen kamzor ho gaya hai. U.S. dollar index, jo greenback ki qeemat ko chhah mukhtalif currencies ke khilaaf dekhta hai, sideways trade kar raha hai lekin 105.56 ke qareeb faida mein hai. Federal Reserve sirf is saal ek rate cut dekh raha hai jab policymakers mahino tak inflation ko kam hotey dekhna chahte hain. Is dauran investors United States ke May mein retail sales data par tawajjo de rahe hain, jo Tuesday ko publish hoga. Mahana retail sales ka izafa 0.3 percent expected hai, April mein flat hone ke baad. Japanese yen BoJ ke July meeting mein bond-buying operations ko taper karne ke plans ke saath peeche reh gaya hai. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ne interest rates ko unchanged chhoda lekin July mein mazeed policy tightness ki expectations ko nahin khatam kiya. USD/JPY four-hour time frame par rising channel chart formation mein trade kar raha hai, jahan har correction move ko market ne buying opportunity ke taur par consider kiya hai. Asset 200-period exponential moving average ke oopar rehta hai jo ke 156.00 ke qareeb hai, iska matlab overall trend bullish hai.
14-period Relative Strength Index 60.00 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai. Agar oscillator 60.00 ke oopar establish ho gaya toh momentum upside mein tilt hoga. Agar asset June 14 high jo ke 158.26 hai, ko break kare toh further upside dekhne ko milega jo ke use multi-year high tak le ja sakta hai, 160.00 ke qareeb. Agar May 16 low jo ke 153.60 hai, ko break kare toh support expose ho sakta hai jo ke May 3 low 151.86 ke qareeb hai, uske baad psychological support 150.00 ke around.

Is tarah se, USD/JPY ke current market situation aur prospects ke baare mein yeh sab kuch detail mein bataaya gaya hai.

Markeet ne bearish turn le liya hai, aur ek downward channel khul gaya hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke sellers iss waqt dominate kar rahe hain. Jaise jaise downward momentum continue kar rahi hai, main yeh expect karta hoon ke price decline hogi jab tak yeh 157.515 level tak pohanchti hai. Yeh specific level crucial hai kyunki main yeh expect karta hoon ke selling pressure yahan ease hoga, aur potential buying interest emerge hoga. Aam tor pe aise levels par decline slow hota hai, kyunki buyers ise acchi entry point samajh kar positions accumulate karna shuru kar sakte hain.

Agar price waqai 157.515 level tak pohanchti hai, main market ke reaction ko closely monitor karunga. Agar buyers is level par active ho jate hain, toh yeh possible pause ya reversal of current downtrend ka signal hoga. Is se temporary consolidation ya bullish rebound bhi ho sakta hai. Magar buying interest ka extent yeh decide karega ke yeh level hold karega ya price break through karke apni descent continue karegi.

Dusri taraf, agar market 157.515 level tak pohanchne se pehle bullish correction experience karti hai, toh yeh current channel ke upper part ke paas, 157.374 level ke kareeb, resistance encounter karne ka imkan hai. Yeh area critical hai kyunki yeh zone darshaata hai jahan pe bears pehle se positioned ho sakte hain, aur unka selling pressure dobara aane ka imkan hai. Agar market apni upward correction ko 157.374 ke paas halt karti hai aur reversal ke signs dikhati hai, toh yeh potential selling opportunity present karegi. Iss juncture par traders ko reversal signals, jaise ke bearish candlestick patterns, dekhni chahiye.

Woh lagbhag 300 points tak neeche gaye the, lekin un mein zyada strength nahi thi. Ab phir se growth rise par hai. Zaroori hai ke hum America se aane wali news ko bhi madde nazar rakhein, magar aam tor par, thodi der mein 156.50 ke kareeb rise hona real lagta hai. Yeh dekha gaya hai ke USD/JPY pair confident upward trend maintain kar rahi hai, toh growth 157.50-157.75 aur is se bhi upar jaa sakti hai. Ideally, neeche se, kam az kam 154.80 se purchases enter karni chahiye thi, magar yen pairs yeh sabit karti rehti hain ke kabhi bhi buy karne ke liye dair nahi hoti. Lekin, abhi ke liye, yeh bhi excluded nahi hai ke ek attempt hoga ke next support zone, 152.00 number, tak pohanchne ka.

Aur yahan, hum aap se yeh agree karte hain ke states ke data ko bohot weak nikalna chahiye. Dekhte hain agar aap ne jo note kiya ke kaise early ADP numbers kisi had tak official statistics ko predict kar sakte hain, yeh work karta hai ya nahi. Halaanki aisa lagta hai ke calculation formula different hai, jaise ke maine upar note kiya, mujhe ziada interest price rising wale scenario mein hai, aur kam az kam mujhe lagta hai ke yeh resistance zone tak pohanchenge, aur phir main participants ke reactions ko dekhunga.

USD/JPY Pair Price Analysis: Tuesday Update
Aaj, mein USD/JPY pair price ka analysis share kar raha hoon. Aaj Tuesday hai, hafta ka doosra trading din. H4 chart par, USD/JPY pair is waqt 157.66 par move kar raha hai. 157.70 ka price level khaas tor par ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki isey pichlay hafte se bar-bar test aur reject kiya gaya hai, jo iski significance ko resistance level ke tor par zahir karta hai. USD/JPY pair ka major trend bullish hai. Price 155 aur 157 zones ke darmiyan fluctuate kar rahi hai, jo ek consolidation pattern ko zahir karta hai. Yeh behavior suggest karta hai ke pair shayad ek faislay ki move ka intezar kar raha hai taake ek long position initiate ki ja sake. Chart par 100 SMA (Simple Moving Average) ka istemal is bullish outlook ko support karta hai, jo ek buying opportunity ko zahir karta hai.

Iske ilawa, chart par stochastic indicator notable insights present kar raha hai. Yeh 80 level ke ooper cross kar gaya hai, jo aam tor par ek bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Magar, yeh crossover ek potential sell retracement ka signal bhi sath le kar aya hai. Iska matlab hai ke jabke overall trend upward hai, ho sakta hai ke short-term corrections hoon pehle ke price apni bullish trajectory ko continue kare. 157.70 level ke recurring tests iski importance ko highlight karte hain. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai to mazeed bullish momentum ho sakti hai.

Iske bar'aks, agar yeh level break nahi hota to price niche support zones ko test karne ke liye pull back ho sakti hai, jo 155 ke ird-gird hain. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein. Natije ke tor par, USD/JPY pair ek bullish trend dikha rahi hai significant resistance ke sath 157.70 par. 100 SMA ek buying signal indicate kar raha hai, magar stochastic indicator ehtiyat baratne ko kehta hai potential short-term sell retracements ke wajah se. Overall, jabke long-term outlook positive hai, traders ko optimal entry points dhundhne chahiye taake gains ko maximize aur risks ko effectively manage kar sakein. Yeh balanced approach USD/JPY pair ki price movements ko efficiently navigate karne mein madadgar hogi.

USDJPY Pair ka Technical Analysis

4-Hour Chart


Pair ki price ek strong resistance area ke qareeb hai, kyunke price weekly level 158.52 ka saamna kar rahi hai, jo ke red channel ki upper line ki mojoodgi ke mutabiq hai. Is haftay, price ne trading ka aghaz weekly pivot level 157.12 aur price channels ki middle lines ke support se kiya.
Is liye, price ka behavior current resistance area ke saath aglay trend ka taayun karega, aur agar price is resistance ko break karke uske upar stabilize ho jati hai, to is haftay further rise ka signal hai. Is liye, trading advice aaj aur kal ke liye sirf buying opportunities par focus karna hai, kyunke price ko current level aur mid-channel lines ke level se purchase ke liye available samjha jata hai agar price girti hai.
Economic side par, investors ne Bank of Japan ki monetary policy expectations ko evaluate karna jaari rakha hai unke recent decision ke roshni mein. Guzishta haftay, Bank of Japan ne interest rates ko unchanged chhoda, jaise ke umeed thi, aur kaha ke woh Japanese government bond purchases ke current pace ko barqarar rakhenge.
Magar, BOJ ne yeh bhi kaha ke woh apni bond-buying program ko scale back karne ka plan apni aglay policy meeting mein July mein release karenge. Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne bhi yeh warning di ke currency movements ka economy aur prices par significant asar hai, jo ke pehle ke comments se mukhtalif hai jahan weak yen ko inflation par koi significant asar nahi kaha gaya tha.
Currency trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq... Japanese yen ki value sharply giri aur apni lowest levels ke qareeb pohanch gayi teen daheyoon mein pehli martaba, is decision ke baad, pehle se un losses ko reduce kiya jab market participants ne apni focus ko expected reduction in bond purchases aur currency mein further intervention ke possibility par shift kiya.

Kal USD/JPY mein, pichlay daily range ke maximum ko update karne ke baad, price ne reverse kiya aur mazboot bearish impulse ke sath neeche chala gaya, jisse ek poori bearish candle bani jo asaani se support level ko tor kar uske neeche confidently close hui. Mere analysis ke mutabiq ye support level 156.786 par tha. Mojooda surat-e-haal ke madde nazar, mujhe poora yaqeen hai ke aaj chhoti si northward retracement ke baad southern movement dobara shuru ho sakti hai, aur is surat mein, mein support level par nazar rakhoonga, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq 153.61 par hai. Is support level ke qareeb do scenarios unfold ho sakte hain.
Pehla priority scenario reversal candle ke formation aur upward price movement ke dobara shuru hone se mutaliq hai. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, tou mein price ke resistance level 157.671 par wapas aane ka intezar karunga. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close karega, tou mujhe mazeed northward movement ki umeed hogi, jo resistance level 160.209 tak pohanch sakti hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein ek trading setup ki formation ka intezar karunga jo mazeed trading direction ka taayun karega. Aik aur possibility hai ke aur ziada northern targets tak pohanch sakay, jinmein se ek, mere analysis ke mutabiq, 164.500 par hai, magar situation ko monitor karna zaroori hai aur sab kuch news flow par depend karega ke price movement ke doran designated northern targets par kaise react karti hai.

Alternative scenario ke mutabiq jab price support level 153.601 ke qareeb aayega tou agar price is level ke neeche close hota hai, tou southern movement mazeed barh sakti hai. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, tou mein price ko support level 151.856 ya support level 150.809 tak jaane ki umeed karunga. In support levels ke qareeb, hum bullish signals ki talash mein rahenge taake upward price movement ki umeed ho sakay

Aam taur par, agar mukhtasir kaha jaye tou aaj mujhe poora yaqeen hai ke chhoti si northward retracement ke baad, southern movement dobara shuru hogi aur price qareebi support level ko test karne ke liye jaayegi. Wahan se, mojooda global bullish trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein northern signals ki talash mein rahunga taake upward price movement dobara shuru ho sakay

Japanese yen (JPY) do din se jeet rahi hai, shayad is ki wajah yeh hai ke speculation hai ke US Federal Reserve 2024 ke baad mein interest rates cut kar sakta hai. Is se US dollar kamzor hoga yen ke muqable mein. Lekin, abhi jo interest rate gap hai US aur Japan ke darmiyan, wo dollar ke haq mein hai, jis se yen ki appreciation par pabandi lagi hui hai (jo ke USD/JPY exchange rate mein nazar aati hai). Is ke ilawa, Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne ishara diya ke agar Japan ke long-term interest rates bohot ziada barh gaye toh wo intervene karne ke liye tayar hain. Iska matlab hai ke wo bonds zyada khareed sakte hain taake rates ko neeche rakha ja sake, jo yen ko aur kamzor kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, Ueda ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar inflation Japan mein barh gaya toh wo monetary policy ko tight karne ke liye bhi tayar hain. Us waqt, US Dollar Index (DXY) Tuesday ko mazbooti dikhai, jo ke US Treasury yields ke barhne ke barabar tha. Yeh cautious investor sentiment ki wajah se ho sakta hai jo ke Wednesday ke key US economic data releases ke intezar mein hain. Yeh data future Fed interest rate hikes ke expectations ko influence kar sakti hain, jo ke dollar par asar dalti hain. Jabke mazid Fed rate hikes amooman dollar ko kamzor karti hain, wo US Treasury yields ko bhi barha sakti hain, jo dollar ke value par conflicting pull create karti hain

Tuesday ko, USD/JPY 156.40 ke qareeb tha. Daily chart suggest karta hai ke yeh ek symmetrical triangle pattern ke andar consolidation ke period mein hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se thoda ooper hai, aur agar yeh gire toh bearish trend ka ishara de sakta hai. Price movements ke hawale se, agar USD/JPY 157.00 ke psychological level aur upper triangle border ke upar break karta hai, toh yeh multi-decade high 160.32 ko retest kar sakta hai. Is ke baraks, agar yeh triangle ke lower border ke neeche break karta hai toh yeh 156.00 ki taraf gir sakta hai, jo ke 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 154.69 par test kar sakta hai. Mukhtasir mein, agle kuch din USD/JPY pair ke liye ek tug-of-war dekh sakte hain expectations of US rate cuts, interest rate differential, potential Bank of Japan intervention, aur upcoming US economic data ke darmiyan. USD/JPY pair ka direction aksar is par depend karega ke kaunsa force aakhir mein prevail karta hai

Aaj subah ke Asian session mein USD/JPY currency pair mein notable decline dekha gaya, jo ke kai logon ki tawajjo ka sabab bana. US dollar ke recent strong hone ke bawajood, is dip ne logon ko hairan kar diya hai. Is pullback ke do potential factors ho sakte hain. Pehla, recent upswing ne kuch investors ko apni profits secure karne par majboor kiya hoga, jab spring ke end ka waqt qareeb hai. Jab market mein musalsal growth hoti hai, to profit-taking behavior natural hota hai. Dusra, USD/JPY pair mein correction chal rahi hai. Yeh pair ab consolidate kar raha hai aur significant upward trend ke baad kuch gains ko retrace kar raha hai. 'Support levels' woh price levels hain jahan ek currency pair historically mushkil se neechay girta hai. Is healthy correction ke natayej mein, naye support levels ban sakte hain, jo market ko overheating se bacha sakte hain. USD/JPY apne week ke shuruat wali position par wapas aa sakta hai.
Hum is waqt intezar mein hain ke upcoming American trading session mein important US economic data release ho. US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data ka pehla quarter iss currency pair ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai. Yeh data American economy ki sehat ke baray mein valuable insights deta hai aur USD/JPY exchange rate par kafi asar daal sakta hai. Ek aur critical data point jo dekhna zaroori hai woh initial claims for unemployment benefits hain. Yeh data investor sentiment par asar daal sakti hai US dollar ke lehaz se, aur US labor market ki halat ko zahir kar sakti hai

Iss waqt ke dip ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ke lehaz se market sentiment bullish hai. Analysts optimistic outlook rakhte hain aur expect karte hain ke upward trend US data ke initial market reaction ke baad dobara shuru ho jayega

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, pair ka potential turning point 156.15 hai. Agar price is level ke upar rehti hai to buy signal trigger ho sakta hai, aur possible targets 157.43 aur 158.00 tak ja sakte hain. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY 156.15 support level ko todta hai to aur downward correction mumkin hai. Is scenario mein pair 'consolidate' kar sakti hai, yani ke defined range mein trade kar sakti hai, jo ke 153.61 se 155.85 ke aas-paas ho sakti hai. USD/JPY market investors US economic data release hone ka intezar kar rahe hain. Short-term correction ke bawajood, US dollar long-term upward trend par hai

Maine bohot arse se is pair ka zikr nahi kiya. Aur yahan, agar aap daily chart dekhein, toh humein ek ahem din nazar aata hai. Kyunke USD/JPY ascending channel ki boundary aur EMA50 ka support, level 154.65 pe test kar raha hai. Agar din ka closure higher hota hai, toh humein buy ka signal milta hai aur pehla target level 155.55 hoga. Agar breakdown hota hai, toh humein channel se exit ka signal milta hai aur pehla target level 152 hoga. USD/JPY kaafi upar chala gaya hai, aur Central Bank of Japan shayad abhi bhi currency interventions karte rahenge rate ko stabilize karne ke liye, lekin pichle do mahine se dollar pressure mein hai aur market correction ho sakti hai, jo ke abhi bhi growth ko lead karegi. Isliye, hum level 154.65 ke beyond dekhte hain aur din ke closure ke background pe faisla kar sakte hain. Japan ne April mein $62 billion se zyada currency interventions par kharch kiya aur is mahine mein aise measures lene ke imkaan kam hain, jo ke phir bhi pair mein mazeed growth ko provoke kar sakta hai. Of course, maximum update expect nahi karna chahiye, lekin sideways trend ka transition expect kar sakte hain

USD/JPY ki price ab downward direction mein hai under the last impulse high - 155.82, jo ke ek key threshold hai. Main short position mein entry point consider karunga jab bears intermediate level - 154.59 ke neeche merge karenge. Jahan se pehle growth ke levels mere liye relevant honge - 158.90, jahan buyers ne historically price ko reverse kiya. Agar buyers' zone 154.30 pe break hota hai, aur bears is level ke neeche foothold gain karte hain, toh price decline continue karne ke liye sale mein dobara entry karna mumkin hoga. Downward mood ko cancel karne ke liye, important maximum - 155.99 ko break karna zaroori hai, with consolidation above it. Market ko buy karne ka signal, EMA indicator dena chahiye, parameters 50-13 ke sath