USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Yeh USD/JPY ka H4 timeframe chart hai jo 7 May se 14 June tak ka data dikhata hai. Chart mein dekh sakte hain ke price ne strong upward trend follow kiya hai. Initial phase mein, 7 May se 13 May tak, price ne downward movement dikhayi aur 153.920 ke level tak gir gayi.

13 May ke baad, price ne ek strong recovery dikhayi aur consistently higher highs aur higher lows banate hue 157.960 ke level tak pohnch gayi. Yeh bullish trend 22 May tak chala, jahan se price ne consolidation phase mein entry ki. Is phase mein, price 157 aur 155.380 ke levels ke beech mein move karti rahi. Yeh consolidation phase indicate karta hai ke market participants naye direction ke liye wait kar rahe hain.

28 May se 4 June tak, price ne ek pullback dikhaya aur 155 ke level ke neechay gir gayi. Lekin, 5 June ke baad phir se ek bullish reversal dekha gaya jahan price 157.708 tak recover hui. Yeh bullish reversal indicate karta hai ke market mein buying interest abhi bhi strong hai.

10 June ke baad, price ne consistently higher highs banate hue 157.960 ke resistance level ko breach kiya aur 158.540 tak pohnch gayi. Yeh breakout ek significant bullish signal hai jo indicate karta hai ke agle kuch trading sessions mein aur bhi upside potential ho sakta hai.

14 June ko price ne 157.960 ke level ko retest kiya aur uspe support liya, jo ke bullish sentiment ko aur confirm karta hai. Overall, yeh chart ek strong bullish trend ko indicate karta hai jahan price consistently higher highs aur higher lows bana rahi hai. Lekin, hamesha jaise market mein hota hai, proper risk management aur analysis bohot zaroori hai.

Agar price 157.960 ke support level ko hold karti hai, to aane wale sessions mein aur bhi upward movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh level break hota hai, to price phir se lower levels ko test kar sakti hai.

Aaj subha ke Asian session mein USD/JPY currency pair mein ek notable decline dekha gaya, jo kayi logon ki tawajju ka markaz ban gaya. Halanki haal hi mein US dollar ki taqat barh rahi thi, yeh dip surprise karne wali hai. Is pullback ke do mumkina asbab ho sakte hain. Pehla, recent upswing ne kuch investors ko apne profits secure karne par majboor kar diya ho sakta hai. Aise market mein jo barh rahi ho, profit-taking ek natural reaction hai. Dusra, USD/JPY pair mein ek correction chal raha hai. Yeh pair ab consolidation karega aur kuch gains retrace karega jo significant upward trend ke baad hota hai. 'Support levels' woh price levels hain jahan se currency pair ne historically niche girne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya ho. Is healthy correction ke natije mein naye support levels ban sakte hain jo market ko overheating se bacha sakte hain. USD/JPY apni hafta ke shuru ki position par wapas aa jayega.
Hum is waqt intezaar kar rahe hain crucial US economic data ke release ka jo aanewali American trading session mein hoga. US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ka pehla quarter release is currency pair ke liye badi ahemiyat rakhta hai. Yeh data American economy ki sehat par qeemti insights provide karta hai aur USD/JPY exchange rate par kafi asar dal sakta hai. Ek aur ahem data point jo dekhna hai, woh hai initial claims for unemployment benefits. Yeh data US dollar ke investor sentiment ko influence kar sakta hai, jo US ke labor market ki haalat ko roshan kar sakta hai.

Halaanki abhi dip chal raha hai, market sentiment USD/JPY pair ke liye bullish bana hua hai. Analysts optimistic outlook maintain kar rahe hain, expecting ke upward trend wapas shuru ho jayega jab US data ka initial market reaction khatam ho jayega

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, pair ka potential turning point 156.15 hai. Agar price is level ke upar hold karta hai to ek buy signal trigger ho sakta hai, aur possible targets 157.43 aur shayad 158.00 tak ho sakte hain. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY 156.15 support level todta hai, to ek further downward correction ka imkaan hai. Is scenario mein pair 'consolidate' karega, matlab yeh ek defined range mein trade karega, jo 153.61 se le kar 155.85 tak ho sakti hai. USD/JPY market investors US economic data release ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Short-term correction ke bawajood, US dollar ab bhi long-term upward trend par hai

Hello. Main ne bohot arsay se is pair par baat nahi ki hai. Aur yahan, agar aap daily chart dekhein, humein aik important din milta hai. Kyunke USD/JPY ascending channel ki boundary ko test kar raha hai, aur support EMA50 ke sath, level 154.65 par hai. Agar din ka closure higher hota hai, toh humein buy ka signal milega aur pehla target level 155.55 hoga. Agar breakdown hota hai, toh humein channel se exit ka signal milega aur pehla target level 152 hoga. USD/JPY kaafi upar chala gaya hai, aur Central Bank of Japan currency interventions ko continue kar sakta hai rate ko stabilize karne ke liye, magar pichlay do maheenon se dollar pressure mein hai aur market correction ho sakti hai, jo phir bhi growth ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Is liye, hum level 154.65 par nazar rakhenge aur din ke closure ke basis par faisla kar sakte hain. Japan ne April mein $62 billion se zyada currency interventions par kharch kiya tha aur is mahine aise measures lene ka imkaan kam hai, jo phir bhi pair mein growth ko badha sakta hai. Bilkul, maximum update ki umeed nahi karni chahiye, lekin sideways trend mein transition ki umeed kar sakte hain.
USD/JPY H-1

Ab USDJPY ka price downward direction mein hai last impulse high - 155.82 ke neeche, jo aik key threshold hai. Main short position mein entry point consider karunga jab bears 154.59 ke intermediate level ke neeche merge karte hain. Jahan se mere liye pehle growth ke levels relevant honge - 158.90, jahan buyers ne history mein price ko reverse kiya tha. Agar buyers' zone 154.30 par break hoti hai, aur bears is level ke neeche apna maqam banate hain, toh price decline continue karne ke liye dubara sale mein re-enter karna mumkin hoga. Downward mood ko cancel karne ke liye, important maximum - 155.99 ko break karna zaroori hai, consolidation ke sath. Market mein buy ka signal, EMA indicator market ko signal dena chahiye, parameters 50-13 ke sath

Afsoos ke sath, kharidar kal 156.00 zone ko qaim nahi kar sake. Balkay unho ne 155.82 ke fizai hadood bhi khoya. Ye naya market manzar amreeki dollar se mutaliq naqabil-e-aetbaar maalumaat ki wajah se paida hua hai. Hum jante hain ke USD/JPY market ne is hafte ke shuru se bechne ki dabao mein izafa kiya hai. Mukhtalif wajoohat is trend mein shamil hain, khas tor par JPY ki khabron ne jo ke kharidar ke liye wazeh madad faraham ki hai. Ye surat-e-hal aisi maharat talab mein mahaul paida karta hai jahan traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye, kyun ke amreeki dollar jald aamad par hai. USD/JPY ke liye resistance levels ko paar karne ki mumkinat buland shiddat aur bulandi se hai, isliye mahtat trading strategies ki zaroorat hai. Is tarah ke halat mein, munasib signals aur trends ko pehchan lena munfarid mafaad aur mushkilat se bachne ke liye aham hai

USD/JPY

Aaj USD/JPY market kharidar ke liye mazeed faidemand reh sakta hai. Wo baad mein 155.65 zone ko bhi paar kar sakte hain. Jhootay aur asli signals ke darmiyan farq ko pehchan lena bhi zaroori hai. Asli trends mazeed munafa ki sambhavana dete hain, lekin inhe samajhne aur istemal karne ke liye taqatwar nazariya aur muzayyan approach zaroori hai. Faislay mein ghaltiyan ya karwai mein khataishai mushkilat ko mazeed bhara sakti hain, jis se traders ke liye zaroori hai ke unhe apne aap par qabu qaim rakhna aur ghaltiyan kam karna chahiye. D1 chart ne aaj selling ki ishara di hai, jis se is bechne ki surat-e-haal mein buy karne ka faisla nuqsan-deh sabit ho sakta hai. Balkay, sellers zyada tar daily high zone se market mein dakhil honge aur daily low point ki taraf jhokenge. Magar ye strategy market ke dynamics par munhasir hai jo ki ummeed ke parameters mein rehne par munhasir hai. Ummeed hai ke USD/JPY market aaj US Core PPI data release ke dauran kharidar ke haq mein mazeed reh sakta hai

USD/JPY

current market dynamics are reflective of a broader trend that has been developing over recent weeks. The USD/JPY pair has been on an upward trajectory, supported by various factors including favorable economic data from the United States, hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve, and relative stability in the Japanese yen. The interplay of these factors has created an environment where buying interest remains robust, and the momentum continues to drive the market higher.

A closer analysis of the market shows that the bullish movements are not just sporadic bursts of buying activity, but rather a sustained effort by market participants to capitalize on the prevailing trend. Technical indicators further support this view, with moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) all pointing towards continued bullish sentiment. The alignment of these technical indicators suggests that the market has solid support at lower levels, and any dips are likely to be met with renewed buying interest.

In addition to technical factors, fundamental aspects are also playing a crucial role in maintaining the bullish momentum in the USD/JPY pair. Economic data releases, particularly those indicating strong economic growth and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, have bolstered investor confidence in the US dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen's stability amid global uncertainties has provided a favorable backdrop for USD/JPY buyers.

Overall, the combination of technical strength and supportive fundamentals suggests that the USD/JPY pair is poised to continue its upward movement in the near term. Traders are advised to monitor key technical levels and economic announcements closely to navigate potential trading opportunities aligned with the prevailing bullish trend.



USD/JPY H4 chart par, Ameriki dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan, mojooda tashkeel nihayat wazeh bearish nazar ati hai. Hiken Ashi mumkin hai jis se keh hawaishi candlestick indicator istemal kiya jata hai, jo qeemat ke barabar mein aam candlesticks ke mukhalif hai. Ye zyada saaf aur average qeemat dikhata hai. Hiken Ashi istemal kar ke technical analysis ka amal asan hota hai aur trading ke faislay ko durust karne ki itni asani hoti hai. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) ke tawazun channel indicator, jo Moving Average ke zariye harkat ke muqarar hudood dikhata hai, trading mein aik acha madadgar sabit hota hai.

Trading ke faislay par intikhaab karne ke liye, RSI (Relative Strength Index) oscillator bhi istemal kiya jata hai, jo aset ke overbought aur oversold zones ko dikhata hai. Tashkeel par diya gaya chart is douran ek manazir ko dikhata hai jahan candlesticks laal rang mein hain, jisse keemat ke southern rukh ko zahir karte hain. Market ke qeemat ne linear channel ke upper had (neeli dotted line) ko guzara, lekin maksad ke pohanchne ke baad unhone niche wapis mur kar channel ke darmiyan ki madhy line (peeli dotted line) tak. Aur RSI indicator (14) jo signal-filtering base ke taur par istemal hota hai, woh bhi bechne ka signal tasdeeq karta hai, kyun ke yeh short position ke intikhab se mukhalif nahi hai - is ki curve abhi neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai aur oversold level se door hai.

Is tashkeel ke hawale se, sirf bechna hi maqbul samjha jaa sakta hai, is liye hum aik

USD/JPY:
Kal USD/JPY ke liye, ek choti si southern pullback ke baad, price ne rukh badla aur north direction mein push karti rahi, jis ka nateeja ek bullish candle ki shakal mein nikla, jo resistance level ke upar consolidate kar gayi. Mere markings ke mutabiq, ye level 157.671 par tha. Meri tawakku ke bar'aks, Friday ke turning signal ne kaam nahi kiya aur mojooda surat-e-haal mein, main maanta hoon ke aaj ke din bhi is instrument ka growth jari reh sakta hai. General tor par, main apni nazar agle northern target par daal raha hoon, jo mere markings ke mutabiq 160.209 par hai.

Is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario ye hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate ho aur mazeed northward movement kare. Agar ye plan kaam kar jata hai, to main expect karunga ke price 164.500 par maujood resistance level ki taraf barhe. Is resistance level ke qareeb main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga, jo mazeed trading ke direction ka taayun karega. Yaqeenan, main maanta hoon ke jab price designated far northern target ki taraf barhe, to southern pullbacks ban sakti hain, jinhe main nearest support levels se bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye istemal karne ka plan banata hoon, global bullish trend ki formation ke hisson mein renewed growth ki umeed mein.



Alternative option ye hai ke jab price 160.209 ke resistance level ke qareeb pahuche, to ek turning candle banne ka plan ho aur southern movement ka agaz ho jaye. Agar ye plan kaam karta hai, to main price ke support level 157.671 par wapas aane ka intezar karunga. Main is support level ke qareeb bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga, upward price movement ke agaz ki umeed mein. Yaqeenan, ek option hai ke mazeed dur southern targets par kaam kiya jaye, jo mere markings ke mutabiq 154.524 aur 153.601 par hain. Lekin agar ye indicated plan implement hota hai, to in support levels ke qareeb bhi, bullish trend ki formation ke hisson mein, main northern signals dhoondne ka plan banata hoon, upward price movement ki restoration ki umeed mein.

Aam tor par, mukhtasir mein, aaj main maanta hoon ke price locally northward push kar sakti hai towards the nearest resistance levels, aur wahan se market situation ke mutabiq agay ka plan banaya jayega.

USD/JPY Pair Price Analysis: Tuesday Update

Aaj mein USD/JPY pair ki price analysis share kar raha hoon. Aaj Tuesday hai, hafta ka dusra trading din. H4 chart par, USD/JPY pair filhal 157.66 par move kar raha hai. Price level 157.70 khaas ahemiyat rakhta hai kyunke pichle hafta se is level ko baar baar test kiya gaya aur reject kiya gaya hai, jo isay ek mazboot resistance level banata hai. USD/JPY pair ke liye major trend bullish hai. Price 155 aur 157 zones ke darmiyan fluctuate kar rahi hai, jo ek consolidation pattern dikha rahi hai. Ye behavior suggest karta hai ke pair ek decisive move ka intezar kar raha hai taake ek long position initiate kiya ja sake. Chart par 100 SMA (Simple Moving Average) ka istemal bhi is bullish outlook ko support karta hai, jo ek buying opportunity ka signal hai.

Aur, chart par stochastic indicator notable insights present karta hai. Ye 80 level ke upar cross over kar gaya hai, jo aam tor par ek bullish trend ka ishaara hai. Magar, ye crossover ek potential sell retracement ka signal bhi saath le kar aata hai. Iska matlab ye hai ke jab overall trend upward hai, to short-term corrections bhi ho sakti hain pehle ke price apni bullish trajectory ko continue kare. 157.70 level ke recurring tests iski ahemiyat ko highlight karte hain. Is level ke upar break hone se further bullish momentum aasakti hai.



Ulta, agar ye level break nahi hota, to price pull back kar ke lower support zones around 155 ko test kar sakti hai. Traders ko in levels ko qareebi nigrani mein rakhna chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein. Nateeja ye hai ke USD/JPY pair ek bullish trend dikha rahi hai with significant resistance at 157.70. 100 SMA buying signal de raha hai, magar stochastic indicator potential short-term sell retracements ki wajah se ehtiyaat ka mashwara de raha hai. Overall, jab long-term outlook positive hai, traders ko optimal entry points talash karne chahiye taake gains ko maximize aur risks ko effectively manage kiya ja sake. Ye balanced approach USD/JPY pair ke price movements ko efficiently navigate karne mein madadgar hogi.

Forex trading strategy
Assalam Alaikum! US dollar/Japanese joda 157.40 ki support satah tak pahunch gaya hai aur filhal is se ucchalne ki koshish kar raha hai.



Aaj, mai ummid karta hun keh jodi ooper ki taraf palat jayegi. Agar qimat 157.40 ke nishan se ucchal jati hai aur ooper ki taraf raftar hasil karti hai to, imkan hai keh dollar/yen ka joda 158.90 tak badh jayega. Iska breakout 160.00 ki nafsiyati muzahmati satah ka rasta khol dega. Ek mutabadil scenario se pata chalta hai keh jodi me kami aayegi. Kamzori ko badhane ke liye, qimat ko 157.40 ki support satah ko todne aur fir 156.72 ke nishan ko paar karne ki zarurat hai. Is surat me, dollar/yen ki jodi ke 156.10 ki support satah tak girne ki ummid hai. Iska breakout mazid nuqsanat ki rah hamwar karega.

Hello, kaise hain aap? USD/JPY nai selling pressure mein aagaya hai, aur Tuesday ke Asian trading mein 157.50 ko test kar raha hai. BoJ Governor Ueda ke defamatory comments ne Japanese yen ko fresh bid di, jo USD/JPY ko niche le aayi. US dollar mein sharp rebound downside ko offset kar sakti hai. USD/JPY pair ne Monday ko US session mein lagbhag 158.00 ko touch kiya. Asset mein upside gain dekhne ko mili hai kyunke Federal Reserve ke dovish narrative ne interest rate outlook ko mazboot banaya hai aur Bank of Japan ke taper tantrum plans ko postpone karne se Japanese yen weak ho gaya hai.

U.S. dollar index, jo greenback ki value ko chhe major currencies ke against track karta hai, sideways trade kar raha hai magar 105.56 ke qareeb apni gains ko hold kiya hua hai. Fed sirf ek rate cut dekh raha hai is saal kyunke policymakers inflation ko mahinon tak ease hota dekhna chahte hain. Daramiyan, investors ka focus United States ke May ke retail sales data par hai, jo Tuesday ko publish hoga. Monthly retail sales mein 0.3 percent ka rise expected hai, jo April mein flat thi. Japanese yen back foot par hai kyunke BoJ apni July meeting mein bond-buying operations ko taper karne ke plans ko aage badha raha hai. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ne interest rates ko unchanged rakha magar July mein further policy tightening ke expectations ko rule out nahi kiya.



USD/JPY ek rising channel chart formation mein trade kar raha hai four-hour time frame par, jahan har correction move ko market buying opportunity ke tor par consider kar rahi hai. Asset 200-period exponential moving average ke upar hai jo ke 156.00 ke qareeb hai, jo suggest karta hai ke overall trend bullish hai.

14-period Relative Strength Index 60.00 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai. Momentum upside ki taraf tilt karega agar oscillator 60.00 ke upar establish ho jaye. Further upside tab dekhi jayegi jab asset June 14 ka high 158.26 ko break karega, jo ise multi-year high 160.00 tak le jayega. Iske breach hone se pair uncharted territory mein expose ho jayega. Doosri taraf, agar May 16 ka low 153.60 break hota hai to May 3 ka low 151.86 support expose hoga, followed by psychological support at 150.00.

USD/JPY Currency Pair Analysis

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke current pricing behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Market ko closely monitor karte hue yeh saaf hai ke yeh pair aik ahem maqam par hai. Hamari analysis ke mutabiq, yeh currency pair ke current levels se decline shuru hone ke imkanaat hain. Yeh forecast mukhtalif market indicators aur economic conditions ka thorough examination par mabni hai.

USD/JPY pair ne recent weeks mein range-bound behavior dikhaya hai, support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan oscillate karte hue. Magar recent market trends suggest karte hain ke pair downward movement ke liye tayar hai. Yeh potential decline currency pair ko critical 155.39 range se neeche le ja sakti hai. Aisa breakdown market dynamics mein significant shift ko zahir karega, jo ke USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish trend ko suggest karta hai.

Kai factors is anticipated decline mein contribute kar rahe hain. Sab se pehle, macroeconomic environment ka aik crucial role hai. U.S. dollar various economic indicators, including inflation rates, interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve, aur overall market sentiment ki wajah se pressure mein hai. United States mein inflationary pressures ne tighter monetary policy expectations ko janam diya hai, jo traditionally dollar ko support karta hai. Magar recent data suggest karta hai ke inflation moderate ho sakta hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ko softer stance lene par majboor kar sakta hai, aur is se dollar weak ho sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, Japanese yen ne resilience ke asar dikhaye hain. Bank of Japan ki monetary policy, jo ke doosri central banks ke muqable mein relatively dovish thi, ab dheere dheere shift ho rahi hai. Aisay indications hain ke Bank of Japan inflationary pressures ko combat karne ke liye apni policy tighten karne ka soch rahi hai. Aisa move yen ko dollar ke muqable mein mazboot karega, jo ke USD/JPY currency pair mein potential decline ko contribute karega.



Technical analysis bhi impending decline ka view support karti hai. USD/JPY pair ne 155.39 level ke qareeb strong resistance face ki hai. Multiple attempts is level ko breach karne mein fail hui hain, jo ke lack of bullish momentum ko suggest karti hain. Furthermore, mukhtalif technical indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), bearish signals show kar rahe hain. RSI overbought territory ke qareeb hover kar raha hai, jo ke potential reversal ko indicate karta hai. Saath hi, MACD bearish crossover dikhata hai, jo ke downward movement ke imkanaat ko reinforce karta hai.

Market sentiment bhi USD/JPY pair ko influence karne wala aik critical factor hai. Investors ka risk appetite fluctuating raha hai due to global economic uncertainties, including geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, aur ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Aisi uncertainties safe-haven currencies jaise yen ko favor karti hain, jo ke USD/JPY pair par downward pressure add karti hain.

In conclusion, hamari analysis suggest karti hai ke USD/JPY currency pair ke current levels se decline shuru hone ke imkanaat hain, aur potential breakdown 155.39 range ka ho sakta hai. Yeh expectation macroeconomic factors, technical indicators, aur market sentiment ka combination support karta hai. Traders ko hamesha vigilant rehna chahiye aur mukhtalif scenarios ko consider karna chahiye pehle ke trading decisions banayein. Foreign exchange market bohot dynamic hai, aur unforeseen events hamisha expected course of action ko alter kar sakte hain. Nonetheless, yeh current analysis factors ka aik comprehensive view provide karti hai, jo USD/JPY currency pair ke liye informed trading strategies ko guide kar sakti hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apne 13-14 June ke meeting mein koi meaningful policy changes nahi kiye, aur is baat ko reaffirm kiya ke wo disapproved overnight calls ko 0.0%-0.1% ke around rakhne ko encourage karte rahenge, jo ke unhone March budget planning meeting mein decide kiya tha.

Budget statement mein yeh bhi include tha ke board apni bond purchases ko 31 July ke meeting ke baad kam kar degi. Meeting ke baad press conference mein, Governor Kazuo Ueda ne kaha ke officials is process mein cautious approach le rahe hain, lekin changes ka scale "huge" ho sakta hai.

Hum yeh maante hain ke ek aur monetary policy normalization ahead hai. Magar, slow economic growth, inflation aur wage growth ke bare mein humari views ko dekhte hue, hum yeh maante hain ke BoJ ko policy accuracy ke liye ek gradual approach adopt karni chahiye.

Hum apne view par qayam hain ke BoJ October tak wait karegi ek aur policy rate hike ke liye, jahan hum expect karte hain ke 15 bps ka increase unsecured overnight calls ko 0.15%-0.25% tak le jaayega. Iske ilawa, hum expect karte hain ke BoJ April 2025 ke announcement tak wait karegi pehle ke 25 bps rate hike issue kare. Hum yeh bhi expect karte hain ke BoJ apni bond purchases ko gradually reduce karne ki policy ko moderate karegi, ek move jo hum believe karte hain ke BoJ independently enact karegi jab bhi koi policy increases hongi. Humare view mein, BoJ bond purchases ka pace 1 trillion yen at a time reduce karegi, confirming a decline of ~5 trillion yen bond purchases through the rest of Q3-2024 starting in July. Phir hum dekhte hain ke ~4 billion yen acceleration Q4-2024 mein, ek slowdown to ~3 billion yen acceleration Q1-2025 mein, aur ~2 billion yen acceleration Q2-2025 onwards hoga.



Technical Analysis for USD/JPY on 4-hour time chart:
Main trend downtrend hai jo ke top 160.20 se 151.85 tak start hua. Uske baad pair ne raise kiya retracement banane ke liye aur 78 Fibonacci tak pohonch gaya. Hum expect karte hain ke pair neeche giraayega aur bottom 151.87 ko break kar ke ek naya bottom hit karega.

Profit Potential in USD/JPY

Humari discussion USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ke live examination par hai. USD/JPY pair ne trading 157.35 par close ki. Mera target last week 158.07 tha, jo briefly surpass kar gaya tha Friday ko collapse hone se pehle. Is liye, 158.07 ka phir se target karna zaroori nahi hai, lekin yeh mumkin hai. Aam tor par, 158.07 se, sell positions open kar sakte hain jo 153.46 ko aim karengi. Agar USD/JPY pair market opening se immediately 156.54 - 157.07 zone ke neeche gira to yeh fall ko fast kar dega aur 158.07 tak kisi bhi rise ko negate kar dega. Abhi yeh 157.56 ke lower low ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish direction ko confirm karta hai. 157.72 level ko side channel ke andar break karna further price growth ke liye essential hai. Yeh currency channel ko upper limits tak open kar dega, jo around 157.88 ya higher ho sakta hai. Buyer strength ka confirmation is broken range ke upar consolidation se milega.



Conversely, 157.55 se, main reversal towards minimum of 176.50 ko rule out nahi karta hoon liquidity collect karne ke liye ya market direction ko entirely shift karne ke liye. Sell position ke liye ideal entry tab hogi jab price curve 157.64 support level ke neeche drop karega. Yeh 157.56 ke minimum ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish trend ko reaffirm karta hai. 156.61 level ko side channel ke andar break karna crucial hai is growth ko sustain karne ke liye. Yeh currency channel ko upper limits tak push kar dega, around 158.38 ya higher. Buyer strength ka confirmation likely is broken range ke upar consolidation ke through hoga. Conversely, 157.46 se, reverse direction towards minimum of 156.78 develop ho sakti hai liquidity gather karne ke liye ya market ko entirely reverse karne ke liye. Sell position ke liye optimal entry tab hogi jab price curve 156.94 support level ke neeche dip karega.

USD/JPY Currency Pair Analysis

USD/JPY currency pair ke kuch important resistance aur support levels hain jin par traders ko closely watch karna chahiye. Filhal, high resistance level 157.13 hai, aur ek aur significant resistance 155.76 par hai. Ye levels strong barriers sabit hue hain jahan sellers ne successfully price ko higher move karne se roka hai.

Is situation ko dekhte hue, yeh mumkin hai ke price strengthen ho kar ek new supply area ki taraf move kare jo ke around 155.298 hai, jo ek aur resistance level hai. Agar price yahan pohanchti hai, to sellers try kar sakte hain ke price ko wapas niche push karen, aur yeh ek critical level ho sakta hai potential reversals ke liye.

Support side par, low support level 157.20 par position hai, jabke high support level 156.81 par hai. Ye support levels past mein effective rahe hain downward movements ko halt karne mein, jahan buyers ne step in kar ke further declines ko roka aur control regain kiya. Activity around in support levels ko closely monitor karna crucial hoga future price direction ko samajhne ke liye.

Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke USD/JPY price further weaken ho kar ek new demand area ki taraf move kare jo ke around 156.31 hai, jo ek aur important support level hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke price shayad 156.53 level ko phir se test kare, jahan main resistance area lies.

Traders ko is baat par close attention deni chahiye ke price in key levels par kaise react karti hai. Agar price strengthen ho kar 155.298 resistance area ki taraf move karti hai, to yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke sellers control maintain kar ke price ko wapas niche push kar sakte hain ya nahi. Conversely, agar price weaken ho kar 156.31 support area ke qareeb aati hai, to buyer activity ko monitor karna essential hoga yeh dekhne ke liye ke kya woh is level ko defend kar ke price ko wapas upward drive kar sakte hain ya nahi.



In resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan interaction market sentiment aur potential future movements ke baare mein valuable insights provide karega. Misal ke taur par, agar price high resistance level 157.13 ko test kar ke breakthrough karne mein fail hoti hai, to yeh strong selling pressure indicate kar sakta hai jo ke lower levels ki taraf reversal lead kar sakta hai. On the other hand, agar buyers effectively 156.31 support area ko defend kar sakte hain, to yeh ek bullish reversal signal kar sakta hai, jo price ko wapas higher resistance levels ki taraf push kar sakta hai.

Japanese Yen ka USD ke Muqablay Mein Girta Hua Qaem

Japanese yen USD ke muqablay mein kaafi kamzor ho raha hai. Iski wajah kuch factors hain, jismein US mein high interest rates ki expectations aur Japanese economy ki weak position shamil hain. Ek taraf, US Federal Reserve interest rates ko kam karne mein ehtiyaat barat raha hai, halaan ke inflation ka pressure kam hota nazar aa raha hai. Yeh isliye ke woh monetary policy ko dheela karne se pehle inflation par poori tarah qaboo paana chahte hain. US mein high interest rates dollar-denominated assets ko investors ke liye ziada attractive bana deti hain, jo ke foreign capital ko khincha kar dollar ko mazid mazboot karte hain.
Dousri taraf, Japan ki economy kuch challenges ka samna kar rahi hai. Japan mein real wages pichle do saal se gir rahi hain, jis ka matlab hai ke thodi bohat mehngai ke bawajood logon ki purchasing power kam ho rahi hai. Yeh weak consumer spending suggest karti hai ke Japan ki inflation ziada tar external factors ki wajah se ho rahi hai, jo ke yen ki historically low value ki wajah se import costs barh gayi hain.



Japanese hukoomat yen ki girti hui qeemat par fikrmand hai aur ho sakta hai ke currency market mein intervene karein taake yen ko support mil sake. Bank of Japan ke data se bhi pata chalta hai ke woh April aur May mein yen ko stabilize karne ke liye kuch qadam utha chuke hain. Technical indicators ke mutabiq USD/JPY pair ka future direction abhi clear nahi hai. Pair is waqt potential resistance level ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur abhi koi definitive trend nazar nahi aa raha. Kuch indicators potential rise ko suggest karte hain, jabke kuch potential decline ki hint dete hain.
Agar exchange rate kisi specific level ke upar break karta hai, to yeh dollar ke yen ke muqablay mein aur appreciation ka rasta khol sakta hai. Lekin, kuch significant resistance points bhi hain jahan market ko push through karne mein mushkil ho sakti hai. Overall, USD/JPY exchange rate ko US aur Japan ke contrasting situations influence kar rahe hain. Aane wale dinon aur hafton mein US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy aur Japan ki economy ki health key factors rahengi jo yen ke future trajectory ko determine karengi.

USD/JPY Ki Price Action: Tajaaza Analysis

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke current price movements ka analysis kar rahe hain. Is chart par, maine black rectangle se woh zone mark kiya hai jahan shayad USDJPY ki estimated liquidity top pe thi aur recent price movement ne isse upar ki taraf remove kar diya hai. Agar top liquidity ko is upward move se poori tarah remove kar diya gaya hai, to aage price ko upar le jaana faidemand nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh interest ko attract nahi karega. Aise halat mein, bearish scenario unfold ho sakta hai, aur market ke khulne ke baad is pair ki price gir sakti hai.
Agar hum 157.62 ki accumulation dekhte hain aur phir price 156.86 level tak neeche jati hai, to humein 157.21 ki accumulation closely monitor karni hogi, jo 156.86 se touch ho sakti hai. Agar 156.86 se 157.21 tak rise hota hai aur USDJPY is level ko cross nahi kar pati, to price 156.09 level tak gir sakti hai accumulated volumes ke sath.



Decline ka silsila false breakdown ke baad 157.69 ke neeche continue rahega, kyun ke growth bearish divergence formation ke dauran hui thi. Agar false breakout 158.24 par hota hai, to yeh girawat dobara shuru ho sakti hai. Aaj humne 158.29 ka false breakout dekha, jo sell opportunity signal kar raha hai. Agar price 158.14 ke current range se girti hai, to hum 155.69 range ko target kar sakte hain. Ek minor correction ke baad further decline dekha ja sakta hai. H4 chart par yen ka analysis karte hue, hum top-three pattern form karenge, jiske baad decline ka silsila continue rahega. Yeh conditions current rate se downward shift ke liye favourable hain. Aakhir mein, hum 155.69 range ko touch kar sakte hain, jahan support present hai. Pehle upward momentum dekhne ke baad, continued decline hoga. Resistance 158.19 range mein hai, aur yeh decline continue rahega.