USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY H-4 Timeframe Ki Tafteesh: Ek Emotional Jaiza


USD/JPY H-4 Timeframe Analysis:
1. Stochastic Indicator Ki Roshni Mein:


Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, EMA 13-150 ke doran ek upward trend nazar aata hai. Aaj tak 157.70 ke range ko todna mumkin nahi tha, lekin wahan se giravat jaari rahegi.
2. Kharidar Asani Se Nahi Haarte:


Kharidar itni aasani se haarte nahi hain aur yeh sabit hota hai ke izafa jaari hai. Shayad 157.70 par ek jhooti toot jaaye, aur giravat jaari rahegi.
3. Sambhav Giravat Ki Sambhavana:


Mumkin hai ki giravat mojoodon se jaari rahe, aur hum 155.80 ke range ko tod sakein, phir giravat jaari rahegi. Shayad 157.70 ke range ko todne ke baad giravat jaari rahe.
4. Bechnay Ka Signal:


Agar hum 156.33 ke range ko tod kar iske neeche consolidate kar lein, to yeh ek bechnay ka signal hoga. 157.70 ke range mein rukawat hai, yahan se giravat jaari ho sakti hai.
5. Giravat Ka Maan:


Main 156.35 ke range ke tootne ka iqraar karta hoon, lekin iske baad bhi giravat jaari rahegi. 156.40 ke range mein support hai, aur shayad iske neeche giravat jaari rahe.
6. Giravat Ki Pesh Bandi:


Mujhe abhi 155.30 ke range tak giravat ka intezar hai. Shayad 155.20 ke range ko tod kar iske neeche consolidate kar lein, to yeh ek bechnay ka signal hoga.
7. Munafa Ka Mauqa:


157.70 ke range mein rukawat hai aur wahan se giravat jaari ho sakti hai. 155.25 ke range ko todne ke baad, giravat aur bhi jaari ho sakti hai. Agar aap 156.30 ke tootne ke baad bechtein hain, to yeh munafa ka acha ikhtiyaar hoga.

Yeh tafteesh humein dikhata hai ke bazaar mein kya ho raha hai. Giravat ki sambhavanaon ke bawajood, hamein apne faislon ko samajh kar amal karna chahiye, aur munafa haasil karne ke liye intezar karna chahiye.
Nayi Jannaati Sawalat (FAQs)

1. Kya USD/JPY H-4 Timeframe Analysis Ki Kya Ahmiyat Hai?


USD/JPY H-4 Timeframe ki tafteesh humein bazaar mein hone wale mukhtalif rukhon aur mauqe ka andaza lagane mein madad karti hai.
2. Kya Giravat Ka Mauka Zaroori Hai?


Haan, giravat ka mauka bazaar mein munafa haasil karne ke liye zaroori hai aur iske liye humein sahi waqt ka intezar karna chahiye.
3. Kya Rukawat Mein Giravat Ki Sambhavana Zyada Hoti Hai?


Ji haan, rukawat mein giravat ki sambhavana zyada hoti hai aur iske faisle ko samajhna bazaar mein kamyabi ke liye zaroori hai.
4. Kya Giravat Mein Kharidari Ka Behtar Waqt Kya Hai?


Giravat mein kharidari ka behtar waqt giravat ke baad jab bazaar neeche aata hai aur support level par aa jata hai.
5. Kya False Breakout Kiya Jaa Sakta Hai?


Haan, false breakout hamesha ki tarah hota hai aur iske baad bhi bazaar giravat jaari rakh sakta hai.

USD/JPY H-4 Timeframe Tafteesh: Ek Nazar-e-Mukhtasar

1. Bearish Impulse aur Price Movement:

1.1. Maximum Range Ki Tazkira:


Kal USD/JPY mein, pichle daily range ka maximum update karne ke baad, keemat ne palat kar neeche ki taraf tawajjo dila di, ek mazboot bearish impulse ke saath. Iska natija ek poori bearish candle ka ban na tha, jo aasani se tor kar, support level ke neeche confidenti se band ho gaya, jise meri tafteesh ke mutabiq 156.786 par tha.
2. Halat Ki Tasweer Aur Aane Wale Aasar:

2.1. Choti Uttari Retracement:


Maujooda manzar ke mutabiq, aaj, ek choti uttari retracement pura hone ke baad, southern movement jaari reh sakti hai, aur is halat mein, mein support level par nazar rakhne ka iraada karta hoon, jo meri tafteesh ke mutabiq 153.61 par hai.
3. Mukhtalif Manazir:

3.1. Priority Scenario aur Resistance Level:


Is support level ke qareeb, do mukhtalif manazir samne aa sakte hain. Pehla priority scenario, aik reversal candle ka ban na hai aur upward price movement ka dobara shuru hona hai. Agar yeh plan nafiz ho gaya, to mein price ka intezar karoonga ke woh resistance level par wapas jaye, jo 157.671 par hai.
4. Conclusion:


Kal ki tafteesh ke mutabiq, choti uttari retracement ke mukammal hone ke baad, southern movement dobara shuru hoga, aur keemat nearest support level ko check karne ki taraf jaegi. Wahan se, maujooda global bullish trend ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, mein uttari signals ka intezar karonga, keemat ke dobara uttari movement ka aghaaz hoga.

Jawad787 ki di gayi tajurbaat mein, USD/JPY currency pair ki keemat ki disha par zyada tawajjo di gayi hai. Hafta ek bullish candle ke saath mukammal hua, jo upward momentum ko darust karti hai. Magar, rozmarra ki wakalat "b" ke baare mein shak hai, jo ek bara zigzag pattern ke ander ek sudhaar wave hai, jo daily timeframe par hai. Jab tak yeh sudhaar wave jaari hai, isko mukammal samjha jana abhi jaldi hai, jo further izafa ke liye manzoor hai. Magar, teesri wave ka zyada takhmeen naye karne ka koi zikar nahi hai, jo ke wave layout ko dobaara dekhnay par majboor karta hai. Hafta ke timeframe par, ek maqsood final diagonal wave "C" ek chadhta hua zigzag ka diya gaya hai, jo peak par ek bearish two-fractal pattern ke saath hai. Yeh pattern pair ke liye ek darmiyaan-muddati bearish manzar ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Overall, tajurbaat ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ke liye ek mushkil tasveer zahir hoti hai, jahan bullish short-term momentum ko potential medium-term bearishness ne kam kar diya hai.

Is haftay, USD/JPY apni upar ki manzil ki taraf jari rahi, 157.65 ke resistance tak pahunch kar phir thori si wapas 157.36 tak aayi. Ab sawal ye hai ke kya mazeed izafa mumkin hai. Signals suggest karte hain ke 157.67 ki taraf ek potential push ho sakta hai pehle ke ek pullback ya correction ka hona. Agar somwar ko correction ka mukammal hone ka daur shuru kiya gaya, toh bullion ne shayad control wapas hasil kiya, jo pair ko bullish karta hai. Daily chart par ek jumeraat ka pullback dikha gaya, phir juma ki taraf ka upward movement, magar nishaan tak pahunch gaya. Uptrend shayad jaari raha ho, jo ke shayad ahem resistance tak 158.05 tak pahunch sakta hai. Koi correction shayad buy opportunities ke saath aayi hogi, jab ke maine pair ko bechnay ka khayal nahi kiya. Agar ek pullback sloping support tak hua, toh main buy opportunities talash karunga. Jab maine haftay ke doran ek buy position kholi, maine use jald band kiya, jo ek mamooli munafa hasil hua.

Samajhna M15 Chart Dynamics
Sellers' Assertiveness:

Sellers Ki Mazbooti:


M15 chart mein market dynamics ka dilchasp manzar saamne aata hai. Sellers ka tajurba aur tawanai ek dum numaya hai jabke linear regression channel nihayat dheere dheere neeche ja raha hai. Magar, inki taqat ka samna karke, bull bhi haari nahi man rahe. Unka mustaqil koshishen market ko buland karne ka ishara deti hain ke unka dil mazbooti se unchi keemat par kharidnay ki taraf hai.
Bullish Signals Tanhai Mein:

Ghair Yaqeeni Ke Darmiyan Bullish Signals:


Market linear regression channel ke oopar ki hudood par mazid mazid mazboot hoti ja rahi hai jahan 157.008 par pohanchti hai. Yeh moqa eham hota hai, tajruba kar traders ke liye kharidne ki positions ka ghoor parne ka. Lekin, 157.708 ke zaroori darja tak pohanchne par ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Yahan, muawinata ki inteha darja eftakhar hai, jahan sellers ko moqa mil sakta hai ke woh palat pher karai shuru kardein.
Strategy Ki Ehamiyyat:

Munafa Ki Chuninda Khauf:


Munafa ki chuninda khauf mozu banjaye ke is waqt loota jata hai, to is darja mein faida uthana waqt barbad hota hai, positions ko mamooli term movements ke faide uthane ke liye rakna beshakiyat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin, 156.561 ke mustahkam darja ka tootna, jahan kharidar ki mazboot madad mojood hai, 157.708 ke khwahishmand nishaan par uthane ke raste par shak ka saaya daal deta hai.
Hourly Chart Se Faisle:

Kharidaron Ki Taaqat:


Hourly chart mein, linear regression channel ka upar ki manzil par ek rangin tasveer hai, jo kharidaron ki hukoomat ka tasawur deta hai. Unka mil kar qadam rakhna unchi sarhad ke qareeb hone ke bajaye, jahan 156.561 ka darja mojood hai.
Bullish Signs Barhane Par Tawajju:


Yeh kharidne ki taqat ki ikhtisaar hone wala hai, jo ke bullish tareen hawao ka ghana aasar hai, prices ko hasool e maqsood 157.708 ke darja tak rakh sakti hai. Mazeed se, M15 chart ki tasdiq, channel ke oopar ki hadood ko 157.008 par tooti hui, market ke imraani shoq ko samajhane ka lazmi samraa hai.
Zahmat Ke Darmiyan Ehtiyaat:


Lekin, is khushi ke beech, ehtiyaat ki zaroorat hai. 156.561 ke mustahkam darja ka tootna, bullish tawaqo ko naqis kar sakta hai. Iss waja se, muwaqo ki do palat pher par nazar rakhna, traders ko kisi bhi nishaan e moquf ki alamat par amal ke liye mashwara kiya jata hai, khas tor par maujooda market ki jazbati hawain aur khabrein.
Maujooda Market Ki Halat Ko Samajhna:

Pichle Jumme Ke Market Ki Gardishain:


Pichle Jumme, USD/JPY ne ek tahleelte neeche ki aur ab 157.31 ke qareeb kar raha hai. Mojooda hawain ek narm tor par farokht ke faaide aur kamzor GDP data ke dabaav ke nichore par mabni hain.
Bairooni Dabao Aur Haqeeqi Mazi Ki Mazbooti:


Is ke ilawa, bairooni asraat, jaise ke Bank of Japan ke afsoon e hawai ahwal par guftagu, market dynamics ka chakra naksha ko shakhsiyat de rahi hai. Iss peesh raftar par, tawajju 157.50 ke zaroori darja par muntashir hoti hai, jahan 156.00 ke darjaiyat mutasir hoti hain.
Nateeja: Market Ki Hawaon Ka Samna Karna


Akhri tor par, USD/JPY ki tareekh e subh se guzarne mein ehtiyaat aur nazar ki taqat zaroori hai. Jabke sellers ki taqat se bharpur tawajju bullish signals dene ki taraf ishara karte hain, hawain aur strategy ki samajh, market ke samandar mein lucritive moqa par qadam uthane mein zaroori hai.

USD/JPY currency pair mein haal hi mein kuch aisenishaanat samnay aaye hain jo is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke iska bullish momentum kamzor parh raha hai. Aakhri do dino se, is currency pair ki qeemat ka rawayya kuch aise raha hai ke usne 156.63 ke aas paas resistance level ko bar bar test kiya hai. Yeh resistance level 4 ghanton ka Envelopes indicator ka ooperi hadd hai. Envelopes indicator aik technical analysis tool hai jo do parallel moving averages par mabni hota hai aur qeemat ke extremes ko highlight karta hai. Is resistance level ke test karne ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki qeemat ko wahan se barhawa nahi mil saka. Is cheez se ye sabit hota hai ke bulls, jo ke qeemat ko barhawa denay ki koshish kar rahe hain, ab thakawat mehsoos kar rahe hain aur bears, jo ke qeemat ko niche le jaane ki koshish karte hain, apni position mazboot kar rahe hain.
Agar hum technical indicators ka ghor se mutala karen, toh Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bearish crossover show kar raha hai, jo ke aik ahem signal hota hai ke uptrend khatam ho raha hai aur downtrend shuru ho sakta hai. MACD ka bearish crossover tab hota hai jab MACD line signal line ke neeche cross karti hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi overbought zone se wapas aate hue nazar aa raha hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke qeemat short term mein overextended thi aur ab correction ka waqt hai. Fundamental factors bhi is technical weakness ko support kar rahe hain. Aam taur par, agar koi bhi currency pair overbought hota hai, toh market participants apni profit taking shuru kar dete hain. Iska matlab hai ke woh apni buy positions ko close karna shuru kar dete hain, jo ke selling pressure create karta hai aur qeemat ko niche laane ka sabab banta hai
USD/JPY pair mein aik aur factor jo nishan de raha hai ke bullish momentum kamzor parh raha hai, woh hai market sentiment. Agar global financial markets mein risk-off sentiment hota hai, toh investors yen mein shift karte hain kyun ke yen ek safe haven currency hai. Agar aise halat ho rahe hain, toh yeh USD/JPY ke liye bearish signal hai. Kul mila kar, is waqt ke technical aur fundamental nishanaat yeh suggest karte hain ke USD/JPY ka bullish momentum ab kamzor ho raha hai aur humein agle chand dinon mein ya hafton mein is pair mein downward correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Jo log trading karte hain, unhein ab apni positions ko dekh kar decide karna chahiye aur zaroorat parne par risk management tools ka istimaal karna chahiye taake woh potential losses se bacha sakein

JPY/USD currency pair ne predictably apne corrective channel se breakdown kiya jo ke higher degree zigzag subwave "b" ka hissa tha aur ab apni subwave "c" form karna shuru ki hai. Nateeja tor par, higher daily timeframe par humein 4th corrective wave ki umeed rakhni chahiye. Pair ki quotes mein decline ko US dollar ki local kamzori ne support diya.

MACD indicator ka histogram confidently negative territory mein cross kar gaya hai. Zigzag ki decreasing subwave "c" ka target area, kam az kam, uski subwave "a" ke minimum value ke update hone par hai. Aur yeh price level 152 se neeche hai. Higher daily timeframe par, hum wave formation dekh rahe hain jo ke ending diagonal ki shakal mein hai.

Yeh development indicate karti hai ke market mein ek significant shift hone wala hai. Subwave "c" ke formation ka matlab hai ke humein further bearish movement dekhne ko milegi. US dollar ki kamzori is waqt key driver hai, lekin macroeconomic factors aur central bank policies bhi is trend ko influence kar sakti hain.

Subwave "b" ke breakdown ne market ko ek clear direction di hai, aur ab traders ko subwave "c" ke target areas par focus karna chahiye. Wave theory ke mutabiq, yeh expected hai ke subwave "c" apne pichle subwave "a" ke minimum levels ko breach karegi. Yeh threshold level 152 se neeche hai, jo ke ek significant bearish milestone hai.

Trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karna zaroori hai, especially agar aapki positions JPY/USD par hain. Current market sentiment aur technical indicators is baat ki tasdeeq karte hain ke abhi bhi bearish pressure baqi hai. Agar price 152 level ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh further downside momentum ko trigger kar sakti hai.

Aur MACD ka negative territory mein move karna yeh indicate karta hai ke momentum bhi bearish hai. Yeh indicator generally longer-term trends ko highlight karta hai, aur iska negative territory mein cross karna ek major bearish signal hai.

Wave theory aur technical indicators ka mix is waqt ek clear bearish scenario paint kar raha hai. JPY/USD ka ongoing pattern aur US dollar ki weak positioning yeh dikhati hai ke humein future mein aur bhi downside dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Traders ko market dynamics par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apni trading strategies ko is ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye.

Overall, yeh analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke JPY/USD pair mein bearish trend dominate kar raha hai aur 152 ke level ke neeche break hone par further decline expected hai. Is waqt market sentiment aur technical indicators is bearish outlook ko support karte hain, aur traders ko cautious approach apnana chahiye. Subwave "c" ka formation aur MACD ka negative signal ek strong indication hain ke further downside possible hai, aur traders ko apni positions accordingly manage karni chahiye.

[H]USD/JPY[/H]

Hello colleagues. Daily chart par dekhne se maloom hota hai ke pair mein doosray din se sales chal rahi hain. Aaj bhi movement south ki taraf ja rahi hai. Dekhte hain ke pair ko aage kya intezar hai, kya yeh movement south ki taraf continue karegi ya humein dusre options ke liye intezar karna chahiye. Chaliye technical analysis ko dekhte hain aur recommendations ka jaiza lete hain.

Moving averages - neutral hain, technical indicators - actively selling ko dikhate hain, conclusion - sell hai. Aisa lagta hai ke pair mein south ka intezar karna chahiye. Ab dekhte hain ke aaj ke din ke liye important news release kya hain jo pair ko asar daal sakti hain.

US labor market ki job openings data release ho chuki hai, jo negative hai. Aaj weekly crude oil inventories data US se release hone ki umeed hai. Japan se koi important news expected nahi hai. Mera khayal hai ke aaj humein pair mein southward movement ka intezar karna chahiye.

Sales ko 154.40 ke support level tak dekha ja sakta hai. Purchases 155.20 ke resistance level tak ki ja sakti hain. To, mein southward movement expect kar raha hoon pair mein. Yeh ek approximate trading plan hai aaj ke din ke liye. Sab ko good luck.

Is waqt, technical analysis yeh batata hai ke selling pressure barh raha hai aur iske wajah se price south ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Moving averages abhi tak neutral hain, lekin technical indicators actively sell signal de rahe hain, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke selling ka pressure zyada hai aur price neeche ja sakti hai.

Important news releases bhi is movement ko support kar rahe hain. US labor market ki negative data ne sentiment ko bearish banaya hai. Japan se koi khas news nahi hai jo yeh trend badal sake. Isliye, aaj ke din ke liye southward movement ka hi zyada chance hai.

Trading plan ko follow karte hue, aap 154.40 ke support level tak sell positions ko hold kar sakte hain. Agar price is level tak pohanchti hai, to aapko wahan par profits book karne ka mauka mil sakta hai. Agar price 155.20 ke resistance level tak retrace karti hai, to yeh ek acha mauka ho sakta hai new sell positions enter karne ka.

Is approach ke sath, aap trading ke doran market ki conditions ko closely monitor karte rahen aur apni strategy ko adjust karte rahen. Good luck to everyone with their trading endeavors.

U.S. dollar ne early Tuesday trading mein Japanese yen ke against sharp decline dekha, testing the crucial 155-yen level, jo maine pehle highlight kiya tha. Yeh position market ke liye critical hai, aur hum dekh rahe hain ke value investors is opportunity ka fayda uthane ke liye stepping in kar rahe hain. 50-day EMA ko touch kiya gaya, jo potential reversal ka suggestion de raha hai as market appears to settle. Despite some negative economic data from the US, yeh yaad rakhna zaruri hai ke hum abhi bhi us scenario se door hain jahan Federal Reserve rate cut consider kare.

Agar Fed interest rates cut bhi karta, tab bhi U.S. dollar-to-Japanese yen interest rates ka gap high rahega, jo pair ko hold karne ke liye attractive banata hai. Recent decline ne trading mein panic cause kiya hoga, lekin yeh dono currencies ab bhi particularly attractive hain. Ab, main is withdrawal ko ek opportunity ke taur par dekhta hoon to go further. Agar hum 158 yen ko break kar sakte hain, to next target 160 yen ho sakta hai.

Agar price 50-day EMA se neeche girti hai, main potential buying opportunities dekhunga around the 152 yen mark. Yeh pairs particularly attractive hain kyunki yeh better pass-through, pay-per-day trading offer karte hain due to interest rate differentials, jo institutional traders ko bahut attractive lagta hai, is liye hum likely continue dekhenge traders ko is dip role ka fayda uthate hue.

Summary mein, jab ke U.S. dollar ne yen ke against kuch trading pressure face kiya hai, fundamentals supporting the pair remain strong. 155 yen level significant hai, aur 158 yen ke upar ek pause additional gains yield kar sakta hai. Conversely, given the smooth movement of interest rates, koi bhi decline below the 50-day EMA buying opportunity ke taur par dekha jaana chahiye around 152 yen.

USD/JPY:

M30 chart par, USD/JPY ne apne aap ko ek buy zone mein stabilize kar liya hai jab ke haftay ke aghaz mein descending channels ke andar tha. Abhi price in channels ke upper limit ke qareeb hai aur pivot level 156.80 ke ooper hai. M30 chart par yeh pivot level consistently har decline ki koshish par support provide karta raha hai. Recent tor par, descending channels se upward breakout ke baad, price ko daily level 157.70 par resistance ka samna karna para. Us ke baad se, price gir rahi hai, lekin weekly pivot level se dobara rise hone ki potential retain karti hai.

M30 chart par pivot level 156.80 ne critical support zone sabit hua hai. Har dafa jab price ne decline karne ki koshish ki, is level par support mila aur zyada downward movement nahi hui. Yeh suggest karta hai ke 156.80 USD/JPY pair ke liye ek strong psychological aur technical barrier hai. Haftay ke aghaz mein descending channels ke andar hone ke bawajood, price ne resilience show ki aur pivot level ke ooper hold kiya. Is resilience ne upward momentum ka indication diya. In descending channels se breakout ne is upward potential ko confirm kiya. Magar, daily level 157.70 par rally ko significant resistance ka samna karna para, jahan upward momentum rok gaya.

157.70 par resistance ke baad, USD/JPY girne lagi. Iss downward movement ke bawajood, price action yeh suggest karta hai ke rise hone ki potential ab bhi maujood hai. Weekly pivot level ek critical support zone offer karta hai jo ke ek aur upward attempt ke liye launchpad ban sakta hai. Traders aur analysts is level ko closely watch kar rahe hain, kyun ke weekly pivot se rebound buying interest ko indicate kar sakta hai.


USD/JPY ke price movements key pivot levels aur resistance points ki importance ko highlight karte hain. 156.80 pivot level ke declines ko support karne ki ability iski crucial support zone ke tor par role ko emphasize karti hai. Usi tarah, daily level 157.70 par resistance upward movement ke liye barrier ki significance ko underscore karta hai. USD/JPY pair M30 chart par abhi buy zone mein hai jab ke pivot level 156.80 ke ooper stabilize kar chuka hai aur descending channels se breakout kar chuka hai. Pair ne 157.70 par resistance face ki, jo pullback ka sabab bana. Magar, weekly pivot level ek potential support area provide karta hai ek aur upward move ke liye. Traders ko in key levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake potential trading opportunities identify ki ja sakein aur USD/JPY pair ke movements ki strength assess ki ja sake. In pivot aur resistance levels ka interplay currency pair ke near-term direction ko likely dictate karega.

point hai jahan se kharidari ko barqarar rakhne ka maqsad hai, aur stop loss ko 154.52 par set kiya ja sakta hai. Is mauqe par, nishana lagane ki umeed hai jo ke 155.73 par hai. Agar yeh nishana haasil kiya gaya, to munafa ki ummeed hai. Ek aur support level 154.80 par hai, jise ke chhote darje ke hain, lekin iska bhi ahmiyat hai. Haalaanki, aaj ka din 154.96 par naye urooj ki koshish ki gayi thi, lekin yeh ek neeche ki taraf se murawwat se mutaliq tha, jo ke girawat ka aghaz darust karta hai. Rozana ke chart ke mutabiq, 149.54 ke qareebi target hai. Yeh ek ahem hadaf hai jo ke currency pair ki girawat ki sambhavnaon ko darust karta hai. Is mauqe par, investors ko mohtaj munafa aur nuksan ka tafteeshi jaaiza lene ki zaroorat hai, taake sahi faisla liya ja sake. Mujhe lagta hai ke aapke analysis mein gehraai aur tajziya kaafi hai, aur aapne currency pair ke mukhtalif asraat ko ahemiyat di hai. Lekin, zaroori hai ke market ke taza signals aur economic indicators ko bhi mad e nazar rakha jaye taake sahi faisla kiya ja sake.Bilkul, yeh dollar ki qeemat ki barhti hui trend kai factors ki wajah se hai. Sab se pehle, dollar ki mazbooti ka aik ahem sabab hai, jo ke US economy ki sargarmi aur taraqqi se juda hai. Amooman, jab US ki arziyat behtar hoti hai, to dollar ki qeemat mein izafa hota hai. Iske ilawa, dollar ki mazbooti ka ek aur sabab hai, jo ke global maqroozai darjaat aur mukhtalifshehron ke investors ki raai mein aata hai. Dollar ko safe haven maana jata hai, yaani ke jab bhi global economic ya siyasi dabao barhte hain, log dollar ko aik mehfooz maqamiyat ki surat mein dekhte hain, jo ke us ki qeemat ko barha deta hai. Dusri taraf, Japani yen ki qeemat girne ki wajah bhi kuch ahem sababon se mutalliq hai. Japan ki economy mukhtalif challenges ka samna kar rahi hai, jaise ke jumla mukhtalif darjaat ki deflation, jis ki wajah se Japani sarkar ne mukhtalif monitory aur fiscal policies ko istemal kiya hai. Yeh policies Japani yen ki qeemat ko kam karne ka asar daalti hain. Iske ilawa, Japani yen ki qeemat ko asar andaz hone wale ghair mulki masail bhi hota hain. Misal ke tor par, agar global economic uncertainty ya siyasi instability hoti hai, to log apna paisa Japani yen mein mehfooz maante hain, jis ki wajah se yen ki qeemat mein izafa hota hai. Lekin jab global maahol stable hota hai, to yen ki qeemat girne lagti hai. Is halat mein, jab dollar ki mazbooti aur Japani yen ki kamzori ka samna hai, to dollar ki qeemat yen ke muqable mein barhti hai. Yeh situation, dollar ko yen ke muqable mein taqatwar banati hai aur 154.76 resistance level tak pohanchne ka rasta banati hai, jo ke 34 saalon ki unchi qeemat hai. Japan ki taraf se bhi, sirf zubani dakhili intikhabat ke baad bhi, yen ki qeemat ke girne ka rasta jaari raha hai, jo ke dollar ke liye aur zyada fawaid mand hai. Toh, mukhtalif maqasid aur maamlat ke sabab se dollar ki qeemat Japani yen ke muqable mein rekord tor par buland hai

ke qareeb milne ki umeed hai, agar koi unforeseen factor US dollar ko mazeed weaken na kare. Ye support level crucial hai kyun ke yeh rebound ka foundation ban sakta hai. Is support ke baad main 156.79 level ki taraf move anticipate karta hoon. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to agla target 157.27 hoga, jo notable hai kyun ke Bank of Japan ne pehle yahan intervene kiya tha taake currency market ko influence kar sake. Ye levels traders ke liye bohot significant hain. 151.87 support level ek key area hai jahan buying interest emerge ho sakta hai, aur further declines ko roknay mein madad mil sakti hai. Agar USD/JPY pair is level ko hold karta hai, to yeh suggest karta hai ke downward pressure stabilize ho raha hai, aur buyers ke liye rebound ka faida uthaanay ka potential entry point ban sakta hai. Jab 156.50 support confirm ho jata hai, to focus 157.30 level par shift hoga. Yeh level sirf psychological barrier nahi, balki technical resistance bhi hai jo selling interest ko attract kar sakta hai. Is resistance ko overcome karna bullish trend ke strength ko indicate karega, aur 158.30 ki taraf move ka stage set karega. 158.63 level khaas taur par significant hai kyun ke yeh Bank of Japan ki previous intervention ka area hai, jo market sentiment aur potential future interventions ke context mein important haiMain price ko closely monitor kar raha hoon, aur wait kar raha hoon ke yeh ek strategic level ko reach kare jahan main buying opportunity seize kar sakoon. Khaaskar, main 155.333 lower channel boundary par apna entry point dekha raha hoon. Jab price is mark ko hit karegi, to main ek buy order initiate karunga, aur 155.982 ka target price aim karunga. Is target ko achieve karna, aur uske baad further upward movement, ek robust uptrend ko signal karega. Lekin, 155.982 level se ek correction hone ka likelihood hai, given the bullish momentum. Subsequently, bulls expected hain ke market par control dobara hasil karne ki koshish karenge. Agar price entry point 155.333 ke niche breakdown hoti hai, jo bearish sentiment ko indicate karta hai, to main apni trading plan reconsider karunga, aur buying positions ki taraf shift hote hue overall market conditions ko dobara assess karunga

Mozoo se lagta hai ke yeh kisi khaas market ke trends par guftagu hai, khaaskar kuch khas ilaqon mein farokhtoN ke hawale se. Istemaal shuda zabaan se ye financial ya invest kiya ja sakta hai, jisme "bearish price movement" ki guftagu ho rahi hai jo shayad ek "bullish phase" mein tabdeel ho rahi hai. Ye ishara market ke hosla afzai aur umeed afza hawale ki taraf, jo asseyon ke qeemat ko barhne ka intezar karta hai. Bayan mein trading pair ka opening price par nazar rakhne ki ahmiyat ka zikr hai, aur agar wo ek had tak kam hota hai aur kisi khaas darje ke neeche rehta hai (sambhavat ek support level ya pehle se tay ki gayi minimum), toh ye dobara tajziya karne ki zaroorat ko ishara karta hai. Ye ek tarteebi tor par market ki harkaton ka tajziya karne ka zikr karta hai, jahan traders ya investors mukhtalif shiray ko faislay karne ke liye khaas shirayat par bharte hain, balke sirf intution ya jazbaat par bharosa karne ki bajaye. "Bearish" aur "bullish" jese terminologies ka istemal technical analysis ke mutabiq ko darust karne ke liye kiya gaya hai, jo traders ki taraf se aage chalne wale price movements ko pehchane mein madad karti hai. Ye historical data par tajziya karke future ke price movements ka andaza lagane ke liye istemal hoti hai. Kul milake, ye bayan market ke dynamics ko samajhne ka ehtiyaati lekin tajziyati tareeqe ka izhar karta hai. Ye maan leta hai ke ghalat ho bhi sakte hain aur naye maloomat ke sath apne faislay ko tabdeel karna zaroori hai. Ye financial market ki complexities ka realistic samajh aur tabadlaat ke sharae sharae mein adapt hona ka ahmiyat ko samajhne ki alamat hai. Behtar hone ki taraf, mazeed context ya mukhtalif misaalon ka farahmi asar ke taur par izhar ko wazeh karne mein madad karega. Masalan, guftagu mein mukhtalif ilaqon ya asseyon ka zikr karna aur tasweer ya data faraham karna tajziya ko tasdiq karega. Mazeed, faislon ke piche ke rationale ko wazeh karna aur market sentiment ko mutasir karne wale factors ko bayan karna tajziya ko gehraai aur informative banayega.

mein USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein kuch signs diye hain ke iska bullish momentum shayad kamzor par raha hai. Pichle do dinon se, price action lagataar four-hour Envelopes indicator ke upper boundary ko test kar raha hai, jo 156.63 par hai. Yeh level ek important resistance point hai, jo pair ko aur upar jaane se rok raha hai. Pichle kuch dino mein USD/JPY pair ki price action bulls aur bears ke darmiyan ek kashmakash ko zahir karti hai. Bulls ne price ko upper boundary tak pohanchane mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai, lekin 156.63 ke upar breakout karne mein kafi momentum generate nahi ho pa raha. Iska natija ek consolidation period mein nikla hai, jahan price is critical level ke qareeb oscillate kar rahi hai.Doosri baat yeh hai ke market participants aham economic data ya geopolitical developments ka intezar karte hue zyada ehtiyaat barat rahe hain jo USD/JPY pair ko asar kar sakti hain. Maslan, Federal Reserve ya Bank of Japan ki aanewali announcements market mein nai volatility introduce kar sakti hain, jo traders ko bade directional bets lene se rokti hai. Yeh uncertainty consolidation period ko janam de sakti hai jab tak traders ko clearer signals na mil jayein. Iske ilawa, broader market sentiment bhi pair ki price action mein ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Agar risk appetite mein tabdeeli aati hai, jahan investors safer assets ki taraf rujhan karte hain, to Japanese yen ki demand barh sakti hai, jo USD/JPY pair par downward pressure dal sakti hai. Bar'aks, agar risk appetite behtar hoti hai, to pair ko naya strength mil sakta hai, lekin yeh dynamic filhal 156.63 ke technical resistance se overshadowed hai.Aakhir mein, USD/JPY pair ki haali price action jo four-hour Envelopes indicator ke upper boundary 156.63 par hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum shayad ruk gaya hai. Is resistance level ko bar bar torne mein naakam rehna yeh zahir karta hai ke pair consolidation period ya possible pullback ke liye poised ho sakta hai. Traders ko is level ko qareebi nazar mein rakhna chahiye, kyun ke iske upar ya neeche ka decisive break pair ki agle move ke liye clearer direction provide kar sakta hai. Technical resistance, market sentiment, aur aanewale economic events ka interplay bohot zaroori hoga yeh tay karne ke liye ke USD/JPY pair apni upward trajectory resume kar sakta hai ya lower levels tak retrace karega.

ANALYSIS OF USD/JPY CURRENCY PAIR 05 JUNE 2024
05 June 2024 ke USD/JPY currency pair ki tafteesh:

Tajziyati tajwez kisi currency pair/instrument ki harkat ke baray mein hoti hai jo Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicator ki signals, sath hi classic RSI (14) aur standard settings ke MACD indicators ki roshni mein hai. Trade mein dakhil hone ke liye, aap ko intezar karna chahiye jab tak teeno working indicators ki signals aapas mein tasalsul na karen aur ek hi rukh mein mukhtasir na ho. Tehreek se bahar nikalne ka amal optimal aur zyada mumkin Fibonacci correction levels ke mutabiq hota hai, jabke Fibo grid mojooda peechle trading periods (din ya hafta) ke muqamal extreme points ke mutabiq phailaya jata hai.
Chart par muntakhib time frame (time-frame H4) ke linear regression channel ka slope upar ki taraf directed hai, jo market mein mojood ek mazboot buyer ki mojoodgi ka wazeh nishan hai, jo bechnay walon par kafi numaya dabao dala hai. Barah-e-rast, nazuk channel (convex lines) jo qareebi mustaqbil ki taraf direction ka andaza lagane ke liye istemal hota hai, mein kafi zahir upward slope hai. Ghair linear regression channel ne golden line ko linear channel ki niche se ooper cross kiya hai aur quotes mein izafa ka ishara deta hai.

Technical Reference: Sell jab tak 155.975 ke neeche hai
Resistance 1: 155.975
Resistance 2: 156.350
Support 1: 154.060
Support 2: 153.755

USDJPY ko aaj raat (4/6/24) US session mein neeche jaane ka mauka hai kyunki price action (daily support breakout) aur Moving Average (MA) indicator ke bearish signals hain, jo ke abhi current price se ooper hai, ye darust karta hai ke moving average abhi bhi neeche ki taraf inclined hai. Is ke ilawa, MACD par histogram bhi bearish signal deta hai kyunki ye negative zone mein hai.

Aik ghante ki chart analysis ke mutabiq, 15 minute ki chart bhi neeche jane ka mauka faraham karta hai kyunki price ne bullish channel ko tod diya hai. Agar scenario ke mutabiq ho, to USDJPY ka support level 154.060 ko test karne ka mauka hai.

Thursday ke trading session ke douran, USD/JPY pair ne ek narmi ka rukh ikhtiyar kiya, aur 154.45 ke aas-paas hover karta raha. Yeh movement United States aur Japan se significant economic updates ke sath hui. Ek notable development Japan ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures ka release tha jo pehle quarter of 2024 ke liye tha. Data ne 0.5% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) contraction ko unveil kiya, jo fourth quarter of 2023 ke 0.1% contraction se ziada pronounced tha. Yeh contraction expectations se ziada tha, kyunke economists ne 0.4% decline project kiya tha. In disappointing GDP numbers ne Japanese yen par downward pressure dala, jo iski depreciation ka sabab bana against the US dollar.
Isi waqt, United States mein tawajju latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data par thi. Report ne anticipated inflationary pressures se kam dikhaya, jo yeh hint karta hai ke price increases itni robust nahi hain jitna pehle estimate kiya gaya tha. Is development ne investors mein speculation ko janam diya ke Federal Reserve (Fed) rate reduction 2024 mein ho sakta hai. Fed ke interest rates reduce karne se typically US dollar par dampening effect hota hai, kyunke yeh dollar-denominated assets ko investors ke liye kam attractive banata hai jo higher returns talash karte hain. Japan ke sluggish GDP figures aur potential Fed rate cut ke confluence ne USD/JPY pair mein heightened selling activity ko lead kiya, jo Thursday ke trading mein retreat ka sabab bana.

Aage dekhte hue, market participants expect kar rahe hain ke further economic indicators dono nations se vigilant rahenge, aur koi bhi updates regarding monetary policy decisions by Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan bhi dekhne layak hain. Yeh factors USD/JPY exchange rate ki trajectory ko coming sessions mein shape karte rahenge.

Technical Analysis aur Trading Strategy:

Aaj ke trading session mein, price mein significant downward movement dekhi gayi, khaaskar lower time frames mein. Is waqt, price ek critical support level ke qareeb hai jo Fibonacci retracement par 61.8% par identify hua, jo 153.25 par located hai. Agar price is level ko breach karta hai, toh yeh further selling pressure ko attract kar sakta hai, jo price ko 100% Fibonacci level tak le ja sakta hai jo 152.03 par hai. Traders is situation ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, kyunke 61.8% Fibonacci support ke neeche break karna downward trend ke continuation ka signal de sakta hai. Aise scenario mein, sellers market ko dominate karne ki umeed hai, jo price ko aforementioned 100% Fibonacci level tak push