USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Kal USD/JPY pair mein, thodi si upar jaane ke baad, price ne ulat kar phir se neeche jaana shuru kar diya, jisse poori bearish candle bani jo asaani se peechlay din ke range ke low ke neeche close hui. Aaj, Asian session ke doran, phir se thodi si upar ki taraf retracement hai, magar mujhe lagta hai ke sellers phir bhi qareebi support level tak ponch sakte hain jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 153.601 par hai. Jaisa ke maine pehle kaha tha, is support level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla priority scenario mein ek reversal candle ya reversal candlestick pattern ban sakti hai aur price phir se upar jaane lagti hai. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to mein expect karta hoon ke price wapas resistance level 157.671 tak jaayegi. Agar price is resistance level ke upar close hoti hai, to phir aur upar movement expect karoon ga towards resistance level 160.209. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein ek trading setup banne ka intezar karoon ga jo aagey ka trading direction tay karega. Zaroori nahi ke aur door ke northern objectives target karoon, kyunki filhal mujhe unke jaldi poora hone ki umeed nahi. Ek alternative scenario jab price 153.601 ke support level ke qareeb hoti hai, yeh ho sakta hai ke price is level ke neeche close ho aur phir se neeche jaari rahe. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to phir mein price ko 151.856 ya 150.809 ke support level tak jaane ki umeed karoon ga. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals dhoondta rahoon ga, umeed karoon ga ke price phir se upar jaaye gi within overall bullish trend. Mukhtasir mein, aaj ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke price neeche qareebi support level tak ja sakti hai, aur phir global northern trend ko dekhte hue, traders bullish signals dhoondenge ke price wapas upar jaane ki anticipation mein

Forecast of USD/JPY Market ki situation ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY agle hafte ki main trading me zyadatar buy position dhoondhne ka chance hai. Jo cheez mujhe concern kar rahi hai wo hai market ki condition 4-hour time frame me. Market band hone se kuch ghante pehle tak correction nazar ayi jo ke 155.64 zone tak pohonch gayi thi. Isliye, agar agle hafte price 155.88 position ke upar move karne me kamyab hoti hai, to mai ek Buy trade place karunga.

Market ki condition ke mutabiq, pechle hafte ka Uptrend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Market abhi bhi buyers ke control me hai, meri raaye me yeh is baat ka signal hai ke prices ke paas upward trend me run karne ka mauka hai. Is hafte market ne 155.76 position pe open kiya, aur price 156.79 position tak barh gayi. Agar hum 4-hour time frame chart ke zariye price movements ka development dekhen, to meri raaye me agle kuch dino tak market bullish side par move karne ka chance rakhti hai.

Meri prediction yeh hai ke agle price movements barh sakti hain, aur yeh ek significant impact push trigger karegi jisse candlestick 100 period simple moving average zone se dur higher move karegi. 5,3,3 stochastic indicator 80 zone ko touch kar gaya hai, jo ke buyer control ka signal hai. Chhoti time frame yani 1 hour me, yeh clear hai ke price journey 100 period simple moving average line ke upar stop kar rahi hai, shayad strong momentum ka intezar kar rahi hai taake weekly journey Uptrend side par continue ho sake.

Upar di gayi analysis aur explanation se hum yeh conclusion nikal sakte hain ke mahine ke end tak trading me, market ke paas bullish journey par wapas aane ka mauka hai, target around 156.26 zone set karke. Jab tak buyers price ko 155.04 zone ke upar rakh sakte hain, meri raaye me increase ka mauka Downtrend side ke mukable zyada hai. USD/JPY bullish rahte hue aaj raat ke US trading session tak barh sakta hai, buyer dominance abhi bhi barkarar hai kyunke Moving Average abhi bhi running price ke neeche hai, jo ke indicate karta hai ke price abhi bhi barhne ki taraf hai. MACD ka histogram jo positive area me mazboot hai yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke increase ka mauka abhi bhi open hai. One hour chart analysis ke mutabiq, 15 M chart me bhi USD/JPY buy signal show kar raha hai kyunke Zigzag indicator ne upward pattern form karna shuru kar diya hai increasing peaks aur valleys ke saath. Agar scenario ke mutabiq dekha jaye, USD/JPY ke paas resistance level 156.260 ko test karne ka mauka hai.

USDJPY BAZAR TEHQIQ

Yen dollar ke khilaf mazboot hua aur yeh teen hafte ki unchai tak pahunch gaya, jab dollar/yen late trading mein 0.8% gir kar 154.74 tak pahunch gaya. Ye raftar Bank of Japan ke afsoosan ko rokne mein kirdar ada karti rahi. Is ke ilawa, Bloomberg News ki ek report ne pesh kiya ke Bank of Japan agle hafte hone wale policy meeting mein bond khareedne ki tezi par guftagu kar sakti hai.

Bank of Japan ke maamlaat mein aane waale kisi bhi muamle ka kam hona, qareebi mustaqbil mein Japan ke benchmark bond yieelds mein izaafa la sakti hai, jise ke July mein umeed ki ja rahi dar badhane ka agla qadam hoga. Is se, yen interest rates normal levels par wapas laya jaye ga. Is nateejay mein, yen ne carry currencies ke khilaf short covering ki wajah se numaya faide hasil kiye hain.

Technical analysis ke lihaz se, daily chart par dekha gaya ke dollar/yen ne do mukhtalif dinon mein musbat movement dekha hai aur Bollinger Bands ke middle track ke neeche gir gaya hai. Technical indicators bhi neeche ki taraf mud gaye hain, jo dollar/yen par bhari selling pressure ki nishani hai.

Is ke bawajood, moving averages ab bhi bullish formation mein arrange hain, jahan ke price teenon ke upar hai. 50-period MA ne dynamic support ke taur par kaam kiya hai, jo zorawar bullish momentum ki alaamat hai.

Short-term hourly chart par dekha gaya ke dollar/yen oversold hai, jiski wajah se short-covering correction ho rahi hai. Magar agar correction exchange rate ko 156 ke upar nahi le jaati, to downside ki taraf ulta chakkar hone ka khatra hai.

ki thi. Is position ka mahatva market ke liye bhari hai, aur hume yeh dekhne ko mil raha hai ke value investors is mauqe ka faida uthane mein daakhil ho rahe hain. 2. 50-day EMA Ke Reversal Ka Sujhaav


Market settle hone ki alamat ke roop mein 50-day EMA ko chhoo gaya, jo ke ek mumkin reversal ka sujhav deta hai. Haalaanki, kuch negative economic data US se aaye hain, lekin yaad rakhna mahatva hai ke hum abhi tak woh stage se bohot door hain jahan Federal Reserve ko rate cut ka tajurba karna padega.
3. U.S. Dollar Aur Japanese Yen Ke Interest Rates Ka Antar


Chahe Federal Reserve interest rates ko kuch bhi karle, U.S. dollar-to-Japanese yen ke interest rates ke darmiyan ka farq buland hai, jo is pair ko hold karne ke liye attractive banata hai. Haal hi mein hui giravat ne trading mein panic ka sabab banaya, lekin yeh do currencies phir bhi khaas tor par attractive hain.
4. Aane Waale Mouqe Ka Tajziya


Agar hum 158 yen ko paar kar sakein, to agla target 160 yen ho sakta hai. Agar keemat 50-day EMA ke neeche gir jaaye, to main 152 yen ke aas paas kharidne ki mumkin tajweezon ki talash mein hoon.
5. Nihayat


Sarasar, jabki U.S. dollar ne yen ke khilaaf kuch trading pressure ka saamna kiya hai, pair ko support karne wale asli tareeqe mazboot hain. 155 yen ka level ahem hai, aur 158 yen ke upar ek rukawat aur zyada faayde daayak ho sakta hai. Upar se, interest rates ki seedhi harkat ko dekhte hue, 50-day EMA ke kisi bhi giravat ko 152 yen ke aas paas kharidne ka mauqa samjha jaana chahiye.
Nayi Jannaati Sawalat (FAQs)

1. Kya U.S. dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan ka interest rate farq asal mein itna buland hai

Haan, Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko lekar U.S. dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan ka farq bohot zyada hai, jo ki in currencies ko hold karne ke liye attractive banata hai.
2. Kya U.S. dollar-to-Japanese yen ke pair mein trading karne ka koi faida hai?


Ji haan, interest rate farq ki wajah se, yeh pairs institutional traders ke liye bohot attractive hote hain aur unhein better pass-through, pay-per-day trading ki suvidha milti hai.
3. Kya 50-day EMA ka reversal trading opportunities ko darust kar sakta hai?


Haan, 50-day EMA ka reversal ek mumkin buying opportunity provide kar sakta hai agar pair 152 yen ke aas paas gir jaaye.
4. Kya U.S. dollar ke yen ke khilaaf giravat mein bhi trading opportunities hain?


Ji haan, yeh giravat bhi trading opportunities offer kar sakti hai, khaaskar jab market 152 yen ke aas paas gir jaata hai.
5. Kya U.S. dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan ki giravat mein kya asli tareeqe mazboot hain?

ki thi. Is position ka mahatva market ke liye bhari hai, aur hume yeh dekhne ko mil raha hai ke value investors is mauqe ka faida uthane mein daakhil ho rahe hain. 2. 50-day EMA Ke Reversal Ka Sujhaav


Market settle hone ki alamat ke roop mein 50-day EMA ko chhoo gaya, jo ke ek mumkin reversal ka sujhav deta hai. Haalaanki, kuch negative economic data US se aaye hain, lekin yaad rakhna mahatva hai ke hum abhi tak woh stage se bohot door hain jahan Federal Reserve ko rate cut ka tajurba karna padega.
3. U.S. Dollar Aur Japanese Yen Ke Interest Rates Ka Antar


Chahe Federal Reserve interest rates ko kuch bhi karle, U.S. dollar-to-Japanese yen ke interest rates ke darmiyan ka farq buland hai, jo is pair ko hold karne ke liye attractive banata hai. Haal hi mein hui giravat ne trading mein panic ka sabab banaya, lekin yeh do currencies phir bhi khaas tor par attractive hain.
4. Aane Waale Mouqe Ka Tajziya


Agar hum 158 yen ko paar kar sakein, to agla target 160 yen ho sakta hai. Agar keemat 50-day EMA ke neeche gir jaaye, to main 152 yen ke aas paas kharidne ki mumkin tajweezon ki talash mein hoon.
5. Nihayat


Sarasar, jabki U.S. dollar ne yen ke khilaaf kuch trading pressure ka saamna kiya hai, pair ko support karne wale asli tareeqe mazboot hain. 155 yen ka level ahem hai, aur 158 yen ke upar ek rukawat aur zyada faayde daayak ho sakta hai. Upar se, interest rates ki seedhi harkat ko dekhte hue, 50-day EMA ke kisi bhi giravat ko 152 yen ke aas paas kharidne ka mauqa samjha jaana chahiye.
Nayi Jannaati Sawalat (FAQs)

1. Kya U.S. dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan ka interest rate farq asal mein itna buland hai

Haan, Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko lekar U.S. dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan ka farq bohot zyada hai, jo ki in currencies ko hold karne ke liye attractive banata hai.
2. Kya U.S. dollar-to-Japanese yen ke pair mein trading karne ka koi faida hai?


Ji haan, interest rate farq ki wajah se, yeh pairs institutional traders ke liye bohot attractive hote hain aur unhein better pass-through, pay-per-day trading ki suvidha milti hai.
3. Kya 50-day EMA ka reversal trading opportunities ko darust kar sakta hai?


Haan, 50-day EMA ka reversal ek mumkin buying opportunity provide kar sakta hai agar pair 152 yen ke aas paas gir jaaye.
4. Kya U.S. dollar ke yen ke khilaaf giravat mein bhi trading opportunities hain?


Ji haan, yeh giravat bhi trading opportunities offer kar sakti hai, khaaskar jab market 152 yen ke aas paas gir jaata hai.
5. Kya U.S. dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan ki giravat mein kya asli tareeqe mazboot hain?

USD/JPY Analysis:

Pichle hafte ke trading period tak, USD/JPY pair ne bullish journey maintain ki hui hai. Yeh predict kiya ja raha hai ke yeh uptrend continue karega kyun ke monthly time frame mein bullish candlestick form hui hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ki strength abhi bhi majority mein hai compared to sellers. Yeh predict kiya ja raha hai ke buyers prices ko upar le jane ki koshish karenge. Isse hum 4-hour time frame ke graph pe monitor kar sakte hain. Prices 100 simple moving average zone ko cross kar sakti hain, jo signal hai ke market bullish condition mein hai.

Mera khayal hai ke agle kuch dino mein prices bullish side pe 157.58 area tak ja sakti hain, agar hum weekly aur daily time frames ka reference lein jahan trend uptrend pe hai. Buyers prices ko 157.48 tak le ja sakte hain. Is hafte ke journey ko monitor karte hue, yeh lagta hai ke prices uptrend ke sath chal rahi hain. Mere khayal se, agle trend ke liye mauka hai ke bullish trend continue ho.

Trading Focus

Agli trading focus yeh hai ke ek area dhoonda jaye jahan Buy position open ki ja sakti hai. Stochastic indicator 5,3,3 80 zone ko touch kar raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers ka control hai. Agar price movement pattern dekha jaye, toh USD/JPY market zyada bullish run kar raha hai, lekin market abhi quiet hai aur volatility increase nahi hui. Isliye, is hafte mein Buy trading option prefer karta hoon kyun ke candlestick upar move kar rahi hai 100 simple moving average zone se door.



Summary

Aaj ki trading session USD/JPY pair ke liye US manufacturing data release par depend karti hai. Weaker reading uptrend ko fuel kar sakti hai, jabki stronger reading correction trigger kar sakti hai. 156.85 level ek key pivot point hai jo dekhne layak hai, aur price action ke hisaab se buying aur selling strategies ko determine kiya jayega.

wo hai market ki condition 4-hour time frame me. Market band hone se kuch ghante pehle tak correction nazar ayi jo ke 155.64 zone tak pohonch gayi thi. Isliye, agar agle hafte price 155.88 position ke upar move karne me kamyab hoti hai, to mai ek Buy trade place karunga.

Market ki condition ke mutabiq, pechle hafte ka Uptrend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Market abhi bhi buyers ke control me hai, meri raaye me yeh is baat ka signal hai ke prices ke paas upward trend me run karne ka mauka hai. Is hafte market ne 155.76 position pe open kiya, aur price 156.79 position tak barh gayi. Agar hum 4-hour time frame chart ke zariye price movements ka development dekhen, to meri raaye me agle kuch dino tak market bullish side par move karne ka chance rakhti hai.

Meri prediction yeh hai ke agle price movements barh sakti hain, aur yeh ek significant impact push trigger karegi jisse candlestick 100 period simple moving average zone se dur higher move karegi. 5,3,3 stochastic indicator 80 zone ko touch kar gaya hai, jo ke buyer control ka signal hai. Chhoti time frame yani 1 hour me, yeh clear hai ke price journey 100 period simple moving average line ke upar stop kar rahi hai, shayad strong momentum ka intezar kar rahi hai taake weekly journey Uptrend side par continue ho sake.

Upar di gayi analysis aur explanation se hum yeh conclusion nikal sakte hain ke mahine ke end tak trading me, market ke paas bullish journey par wapas aane ka mauka hai, target around 156.26 zone set karke. Jab tak buyers price ko 155.04 zone ke upar rakh sakte hain, meri raaye me increase ka mauka Downtrend side ke mukable zyada hai. USD/JPY bullish rahte hue aaj raat ke US trading session tak barh sakta hai, buyer dominance abhi bhi



barkarar hai kyunke Moving Average abhi bhi running price ke neeche hai, jo ke indicate karta hai ke price abhi bhi barhne ki taraf hai. MACD ka histogram jo positive area me mazboot hai yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke increase ka mauka abhi bhi open hai. One hour chart analysis ke mutabiq, 15 M chart me bhi USD/JPY buy signal show kar raha hai kyunke Zigzag indicator ne upward pattern form karna shuru kar diya hai increasing peaks aur valleys ke saath. Agar scenario ke mutabiq dekha jaye, USD/JPY ke paas resistance level 156.260 ko test karne ka mauka hai. Was

trading me zyadatar buy position dhoondhne ka chance hai. Jo cheez mujhe concern kar rahi hai wo hai market ki condition 4-hour time frame me. Market band hone se kuch ghante pehle tak correction nazar ayi jo ke 155.64 zone tak pohonch gayi thi. Isliye, agar agle hafte price 155.88 position ke upar move karne me kamyab hoti hai, to mai ek Buy trade place karunga.
Market ki condition ke mutabiq, pechle hafte ka Uptrend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Market abhi bhi buyers ke control me hai, meri raaye me yeh is baat ka signal hai ke prices ke paas upward trend me run karne ka mauka hai. Is hafte market ne 155.76 position pe open kiya, aur price 156.79 position tak barh gayi. Agar hum 4-hour time frame chart ke zariye price movements ka development dekhen, to meri raaye me agle kuch dino tak market bullish side par move karne ka chance rakhti hai.

Meri prediction yeh hai ke agle price movements barh sakti hain, aur yeh ek significant impact push trigger karegi jisse candlestick 100 period simple moving average zone se dur higher move karegi. 5,3,3 stochastic indicator 80 zone ko touch kar gaya hai, jo ke buyer control ka signal hai. Chhoti time frame yani 1 hour me, yeh clear hai ke price journey 100 period simple moving average line ke upar stop kar rahi hai, shayad strong momentum ka intezar kar rahi hai taake weekly journey Uptrend side par continue ho sake.

Upar di gayi analysis aur explanation se hum yeh conclusion nikal sakte hain ke mahine ke end tak trading me, market ke paas bullish journey par wapas aane ka mauka hai, target around 156.26 zone set karke. Jab tak buyers price ko 155.04 zone ke upar rakh sakte hain, meri raaye me increase ka mauka Downtrend side ke mukable zyada hai. USD/JPY bullish rahte hue aaj raat ke US trading session tak barh sakta hai, buyer dominance abhi bhi barkarar hai kyunke Moving Average abhi bhi running price ke neeche hai, jo ke indicate karta hai ke price abhi bhi barhne ki taraf hai. MACD ka histogram jo positive area me mazboot hai yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke



increase ka mauka abhi bhi open hai. One hour chart analysis ke mutabiq, 15 M chart me bhi USD/JPY buy signal show kar raha hai kyunke Zigzag indicator ne upward pattern form karna shuru kar diya hai increasing peaks aur valleys ke saath. Agar scenario ke mutabiq dekha jaye, USD/JPY ke paas resistance level 156.260 ko test karne ka mauka hai.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY currency pair ne notable decline experience kiya hai, jo prolonged downward trend ko suggest karta hai. Iska movement consistently apne pehle ke significant peak 155.85 ke niche raha hai, jo ek crucial level hai jo traders aur analysts closely monitor karte hain trend strength aur direction ko assess karne ke liye. Ye sustained downtrend market sentiment aur economic factors ko reflect karta hai jo US dollar aur Japanese yen ke exchange rate ko influence karte hain. Traders apni strategies ko accordingly adjust kar sakte hain taake is evolving market dynamic ka faida utha saken. Click image for larger version


Support aur resistance ke ilawa, kuch aur technical indicators bhi USD/JPY dynamics ka nuanced picture paint kar rahe hain. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) clear trend direction provide karta hai, 50-day EMA abhi 200-day EMA ke upar trend kar raha hai, jo bullish market sentiment ko signal kar raha hai. Bollinger Bands dikhate hain ke pair upper band ke kareeb trade kar raha hai, jo heightened volatility aur potential reversal ko indicate karta hai agar price is extreme ko hit kar le. Zigzag indicator recent highs aur lows ko identify karne mein madad karta hai, current price action ka upward trend confirm karta hai occasional pullbacks ke saath. Demand Index, jo market demand aur supply dynamics ko reflect karta hai, rising trend dikhata hai, bullish outlook ko support karte hue. Stochastic Oscillator, jiska reading 75 hai, overbought territory ke kareeb pohanch raha hai, jo caution suggest karta hai kyunke potential correction imminent ho sakta hai. Aakhir mein, Average True Range (ATR) indicator increased market volatility ko highlight karta hai, jo abhi 0.70 par reading kar raha hai, jo traders ko stop-loss aur take-profit levels set karne ke liye consider karna chahiye taake risk ko effectively manage kar saken. Ye indicators collectively USD/JPY market ka comprehensive view provide karte hain, traders ko fluctuating market conditions mein informed decisions lene mein guide karte hain

South on the pair. Aaj ke liye kuch important new ka release dekhte hain. US labor market ke job openings data release hue hain, aur yeh negative hain. US weekly crude oil inventories ke data ka release expected hai. Japan se koi important news expected nahi hai. Mera khayal hai ke aaj pair me southward movement expect karna chahiye. Sales 154.40 ke support level tak possible hain. Purchases 155.20 ke resistance level tak ki ja sakti hain. To, main south on the pair expect kar raha hoon. Yeh aaj ke liye approximate trading plan hai. Sab ko good luck.

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Japanese yen akhri trading week ke end par strong hui, kyun ke new price range mein stabilize karne mein fail hui. Price week ke shuruat se thodi upar gayi or new highs 157.50 ke around banaayi. Lekin, move sustain na ho saka or prices gir gayi, support 156.54 ke neeche break hui aur sharp decline complete hui. Saath hi, price chart super-trend red zone mein move kar gayi, jo sellers ki activity ko indicate kar rahi hai.

Technically, prices aaj bhi 50-day simple moving average ke upar hain aur hum dekh rahe hain ke stochastics temporary weakness ko overcome karne ki koshish kar rahe hain additional momentum gain karne ke liye, jo early resumption trigger karne ke liye kafi ho sakti hai. To, intraday uptrend sabse popular ho sakti hai, lekin ehtiyat karna chahiye aur 157.60 ko pehla target banaye, breakout aur consolidation ko dekhte hue jo chances ko increase karega 158.00 tak pohanchne ke. Hum yaad dilate hain ke intraday trading stability 156.60 ke upar fundamental condition hai bullish scenario activate karne ke liye, jiska breakout short-term attempts ko end kar dega, aur hum higher move karte rahenge. Agli koshish se pehle hum 155.55 ka retest dekhne ko mil sakta hai.



Prices abhi weekly lows ke neeche clearly hain. Key support area par heavy pressure tha aur almost break hui, jo preferred vector ki downward correction zaroori banati hai. Confirmation ke liye price 154.75 ke level ke neeche break aur consolidate karni chahiye. Is level ka retest aur subsequent rebound next wave ke liye raasta banayega, jo area 151.80 aur 150.76 ko target karegi.

Agar resistance overcome hota hai, aur price 156.54 ke reversal level ko break karti hai, to current scenario cancel hone ka signal mil jayega.

USD/JPY, US dollar aur Japanese yen ki jodi, foreign exchange market mein ek popular currency pair hai. Recent mein, ye pair 157.47 ki satah tak badh gaya tha, jo ki kaafi significant hai. Aayiye, dekhte hain kya wajah thi is sudden spike ki, aur kya is rate ka wapis aana sambhav hai.
Wajah Badhat Ki

1. Monetary Policy Divergence: US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policies mein farak USD/JPY pair par direct asar dalta hai. Jab Federal Reserve apni interest rates badhata hai aur Bank of Japan unhe kam rakhta hai, to investors US dollar mein invest karna zyada profitable samajhte hain. Yeh divergence USD ko majboot banata hai aur yen ko kamzor karta hai.

2. Economic Data: US ke positive economic data, jaise strong GDP growth, low unemployment rates, aur inflation control karne ki kaamiyabi, dollar ko aur majbooti deti hai. Iske ulat, Japan ka economy ab tak deflation aur slow growth ke issues se joojh raha hai, jo yen ko kamzor karta hai.

3. Geopolitical Tensions: Global uncertainties aur geopolitical tensions ke samay, dollar ek safe haven asset ke roop mein kaam karta hai. Investors aise waqt mein dollar ko prefer karte hain, jis se USD/JPY pair ki value badh jati hai.

Kya Wapis Aana Sambhav Hai?

1. Central Bank Intervention : Bank of Japan ne pehle bhi yen ki excessive weakness ko control karne ke liye market interventions kiye hain. Agar yen bohot kamzor ho jata hai, to Bank of Japan phir se intervene kar sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ko neeche laa sakta hai.

2. Economic Policy Shifts: Agar Japan apni economic policies mein badlav karta hai, jaise ki higher interest rates ya fiscal stimulus, to yen majboot ho sakta hai. Saath hi, agar US economic data mein girawat hoti hai ya Federal Reserve interest rates kam karta hai, to dollar weak ho sakta hai.

3. Technical Corrections: Financial markets mein, bade price movements ke baad technical corrections aam baat hai. Agar USD/JPY overbought territory mein hai, to naturally ek pullback ki ummed ki ja sakti hai.

4. Global Risk Sentiment: Agar global risk sentiment improve hota hai aur investors high-risk assets mein invest karte hain, to safe haven currencies jaise yen demand mein aa sakte hain, jis se USD/JPY ki value neeche aa sakti hai.

Conclusion

USD/JPY ka 157.47 ki satah tak badhna market dynamics, economic indicators, aur geopolitical factors ka natija hai. Lekin, wapas aana bhi sambhav hai, kyonki currency markets bahut volatile hote hain aur inhe central bank interventions, policy shifts, technical corrections, aur global risk sentiment jese factors asani se prabhavit kar sakte hain. Traders aur investors ko yeh sab factors nazar mein rakhte hue apni strategies banani chahiye, taki wo risk ko effectively manage kar saken.

### Aaj Ka USD/JPY Utar Chadhav Ka Guide

USD/JPY karansi jor ne Aisiya ki trading session ka aghaz Wednesday ko aik wazeh ooper ki taraf hilti ke sath kiya. Ye kal ki girawat ke baad hai jahan Japanese Yen ne kuch arsa ke liye mazbooti hasil ki thi. Magar, yad rahiye ke ye mazbooti shaayad arzi ho. Yen mukhtalif asraat ke tehat kafi dabao mein hai. Aik aham factor Bank of Japan ka currency exchange market mein mudakhlat hai.

Bank sakri tor par Yen ki qeemat ko manipulate karne ki koshish kar raha hai, magar iska asar kitna hai, ye sawal baqi hai. Jese hi Aisiya session khatam hone ko hai, tamam nigahain ab Amreeki market ke khulne par hain. Yahan se cheezain dilchasp hoti hain. Aaj kuch aham maqami iqtisadi data release hone hain, jo USD/JPY jor par kafi asar daal sakte hain. Meri tajziya yeh batata hai ke trading ke pehle hisse mein jor mein moderate downward correction ho sakti hai.

Magar, overall trend phir bhi upwards rehnay ki tawaqo hai. Aik aham level dekhne ka 154.75 hai. Agar jor is level se ooper rehne mein kamyab rehta hai, to yeh aik acha buying mauqa pesh karta hai. Mera target range is soorat mein 156.65 se 157.55 ke darmiyan hai. Doosri taraf, agar downward correction 154.75 support level se toot jata hai, to jor aik consolidation phase mein daakhil ho sakta hai.

Is se aage girawat ke liye raasta khul jata hai jo 154.25 aur shaayad 153.75 tak ja sakta hai. Asal mein, aaj ka trading session USD/JPY ke liye Amreeki market ke data releases par mabni hai. Ye releases yeh tay karenge ke jor temporary pullback ke baad uptrend ko jaari rakhta hai, ya neeche toot kar consolidation phase mein daakhil hota hai aur mazid girawat ka imkaan paida karta hai.

U.S. dollar ne Tuesday ke aghaz mein Japanese yen ke muqable mein tez girawat dekhi, aur 155 yen ke ahem level ko test kiya, jo maine pehle highlight kiya tha. Yeh position market ke liye critical hai, aur hum dekh rahe hain ke value investors is mauqe ka faida utha rahe hain. 50-day EMA tak pohanch gaya, jo potential reversal ko suggest karta hai jabke market settle hota nazar aa raha hai. U.S. se kuch negative economic data ke bawajood, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke hum abhi bhi us scenario se door hain jahan Federal Reserve rate cut consider kare.

Agar Fed interest rates cut bhi kare, to bhi U.S. dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan interest rates ka faraq zyada rehta hai, jo is pair ko hold karne ke liye attractive banata hai. Haal hi ki girawat ne trading mein panic paida kiya ho sakta hai, lekin yeh dono currencies phir bhi kaafi attractive hain. Ab, mein is withdrawal ko aagey barhne ka mauqa samajhta hoon. Agar hum 158 yen ke upar break karte hain, to agla target 160 yen ho sakta hai.

Agar price 50-day EMA se neeche girti hai, to mein 152 yen mark ke aas paas potential buying opportunities dekhta hoon. Yeh pairs khas tor par attractive hain kyunke yeh better pass-through aur pay-per-day trading offer karte hain due to interest rate differentials, jo institutional traders ko bohat pasand hain, isliye hum dekhte hain ke traders is dip ka faida uthate rahenge.

Summary mein, jabke U.S. dollar ko yen ke muqable mein kuch trading pressure ka samna hai, fundamentals is pair ko support karte hain. 155 yen level ahem hai, aur agar 158 yen ke upar pause hota hai, to additional gains mil sakte hain. Dusri taraf, interest rates ke smooth movement ko dekhte hue, koi bhi girawat 50-day EMA ke neeche buying opportunity ke tor par dekhi jani chahiye, around 152 yen

USD/JPY H-4


Agar hum daily chart par EURJPY ke price movement pattern ko dekhte hain, to hum dekh sakte hain ke raat bhar ek neeche ki correction hui, jo peechle kuch dino se mukhtalif thi. Lekin agar hum is haftay ke trend ko dekhte hain jo barhne ki taraf ja raha hai, to prices ko bullish strengthening ka samna lag raha hai. Aam tor par, market ka trend ab bhi ek upward trend dikhata hai jiska range zyada wide nahi hai. Monday ko market 160.07 par open hua aur Thursday evening ke session tak 161.00 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab raha, jahan price ab kareeban 171.36 par hai. Thursday ke band hone wale price bhi Monday ke opening level ke upar tha, aur is haftay ke trading candle ne 171.75 level ko todne ki koshish ki, jis se yeh zahir hota hai ke bullish trend ka agla kadam bhi liya ja sakta hai.
Mazeed tafseeli analysis ke liye, aaiye indicators par nazar dalte hain. MACD (12,26,29) par, dotted yellow line ko upar ki taraf point kiya gaya hai, aur histogram zero level ke upar bada amplitude ke sath hai. RSI indicator (14) mein Lime line jo ke pehle October mein level 50 par thi, ab level 70 ki taraf ja rahi hai. Yellow Simple Moving Average 60 bhi Simple Moving Average 150 ke upar hai jo red hai, is ka matlab hai ke daily timeframe par market ka trend ab bhi bullish hai.
H4 timeframe par dekha jaye to, September se EURJPY ke price movements ko mainly bullish candlesticks ne dominate kiya hai, jo ke ek upward trend ko darshate hain. Halanki peechle mahine ke beech mein ek downward correction hua tha jo yellow Simple Moving Average 60 ke neeche tha, is mahine price ne ise paar kar liya. Is se daily closing price ko unchi mili, jo ek bullish trend ko darshata hai. Wednesday aur Thursday ko buyers ne taqat dikhayi jo prices ko upar push karne mein kamiyab rahe.
170.53 resistance level ke aas paas price action agla kadam tay karne mein ahem sabit hoga EUR/JPY ke liye. Agar bullish breakout hota hai to yeh ek upward trend ka aage ka kadam darshayega, jabke bearish rejection ek support level ka dubara test karne tak le ja sakta hai. Traders ko price behavior ko nazdeek se monitor karna chahiye aur upcoming market movements se nikalne ke liye munasib risk management strategies istemal karni chahiye.