USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Analysis:

USDJPY market mein upward trend abhi bhi buyers ke dwara maintain kiya ja raha hai. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai bullish efforts se jo resistance area ke upar push kar rahe hain, jo ke 157.72 ke aas paas hai. Lekin, lagta hai ke bullish slowdown ho raha hai jo price ke neeche turn hone ka potential open karta hai agar yeh 157.72 level ke upar ek naya higher form karne mein nakam hota hai. Entry considerations ke liye, abhi bhi purchase transactions par focus karna interesting hai kyunke koi visible signs nahi hain sellers ke enter hone ke jo trend ke direction ko change karne ki koshish kar rahe hon. Buying plan ko tab tak focus kiya ja sakta hai jab tak price neeche support area 156.80 ke aas paas nahi girti. Agar price 156.80 level se neeche girti hai to yeh potential kholta hai ke RBS area ko test kiya jaye jo ke 156.45 ke aas paas hai.
Current entry considerations ke mutabiq, buying opportunities dekhna chahiye Zero area range aur demand level ke neeche 157.00 se 157.15 ke darmiyan. Is price level range mein increase ka target TP 1 ko level 157.45 tak reach karna ho sakta hai aur TP 2 ko crucial resistance area 157.72 ke aas paas test karna. Buy plan downside risk limit 156.80 level ke neeche place kar sakta hai. Naye sales ki possibility ko downward movement ka intezar karke below the level of 156.80 consider kiya ja sakta hai. Line conditions below this price level se sales transactions ko tp1 test karne ke liye rbs area 156.45 aur tp2 ko movement limit Ma 200 (blue) 156.10 par test karne ke liye target kar sakti hain. Agar price Zero area 156.00 ke neeche girti hai, yeh trend ke bearish phase mein enter hone ka confirmation degi. 156.00 ke neeche girawat ke liye, selling transactions ko long term mein 154.45 level tak reach karne ke liye consider kiya ja sakta hai.

Technical Reference: sell jab tak 156.780 ke neeche ho Resistance 1: 156.780 Resistance 2: 157.045 Support 1: 155.855 Support 2: 155.585

USDJPY US session mein aaj raat (12/6/24) neeche move hone ka mauka rakhta hai kyunke price June 5 se ab tak hone wale bullish channel ko break karne mein kamyab ho gayi. Moving Average indicator ke dwara diya gaya bearish signal running price ke upar hai, jo yeh matlab hai ke moving average price abhi bhi girne ke rujhan mein hai. Iske ilawa, OsMA jo negative area mein hai, USDJPY ko sell karne ka mauka barhata hai.
Ek hour chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 M chart upar bhi neeche jane ka mauka deta hai kyunke MACD histogram negative area mein shuru ho raha hai, jo selling process ke continue hone ko indicate karta hai. Agar scenario ke mutabiq, USDJPY ke paas support level 155.585 ko test karne ka mauka hai.

Forex trading strategy
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, US dollar/Japanese yen ka joda nayi bulandi par pahunchne me nakam raha hai lekin 157.228 ki muzahmati satah se piche hat gaya. Natije ke taur par, joda ooper ki taraf palatne aur apni asal satah par wapas aane se pahle 155.967 ki support satah tak gir gayi. Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh dollar/yen ka joda maujudah satahon se gir kar 155.967-155.577 ki support satah ki taraf badhega.



GBP/USD
Kal, pound/dollar ka joda 1.27462 ki support satah se wapas ucchla aur 1.28434 ki muzahmati satah par chadh gaya. Iske bad, qimat me girawat dobara shuru ho gayi. Filhal, Bartanwi pound niche ki taraf trade kar raha hai. Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh pound/dollar ka joda ooper ki taraf palat jayega, 1.27948 ki muzahmati satah par wapas aa jayega, is nishan ko tod dega aur faide ko badha dega. Mutabadil ke taur par, qimat tezi me badalne se pahle 1.27462 ki support satah tak gir sakti hai. Kisi bhi surat me, pound sterling ke 1.28735-1.29221 ki muzahmati satah ki taraf badhne ka imkan hai.

USDJPY Ka Takhmina
H4 waqt frame chart ki nazar:
USDJPY ka daam H4 waqt frame chart par ek oopri channel mein chal raha hai, jaise ke maine wazahat ke liye jura diagram mein dikhaya hai. Kuch ghanton pehle, USDJPY ne channel ke neeche ki taraf rabte mein aya. USDJPY dwara banai gayi mazboot bullish candle ne is ascending channel ke neeche ke level se nihayat keemat ki izafi barhawa dikhayi hai. USDJPY ka daam is waqt frame chart ke aakhri candle mein 12 aur 26 EMA lines ke oopar band hua, jo dikhata hai ke is trading asset mein buyers ki taqat barh rahi hai. Mojooda kharidari ke momentum ko dekhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke USDJPY jald hi is oopri channel ke sar par pohanch jayega. Is liye, aapko USDJPY ko kharidne ka ye mauqa istemal karna chahiye.





Daily waqt frame chart ki nazar:
Keemat ascending channel pattern ko follow karti hai, jo ke maine jura diagram mein dikhaya hai, aur H4 aur daily waqt frame charts ke technical patterns is waqt frame chart ke mutabiq hain. Pichle haftay se keemat 12, 26, aur 50 EMA lines ke qareeb ghoom rahi hai. Pichle haftay, keemat girawat ke doran USDJPY ne ascending channel ke neeche ke level ko chhua. Jab USDJPY ne 12 aur 26 EMA lines ko tor kar upar ki taraf rukh liya, to USDJPY ne aik pin bar candle banaya. Is pin bar candle ke banne ke saath buyers ki taqat barhi, is liye keemat ab mazeed barh kar is ascending channel ke oopri had ko test karegi.

USD/JPY: Aglay din ke trading session ka shuru bearish correction ke saath mumkin hai USD/JPY currency pair ke liye. Ye tajziya market ke band hone par buna gaya hai pichle hafte ke, jahan buyers ko ek ahem resistance zone mein sellers se mazboot rukawat ka samna tha. Ye zone 156.00 aur 156.30 ke daam levels ke darmiyan waqai ahem rukawat ka sabab bana, jo ke buyers ko keemat ko mazeed buland nahi karne diya. Is manzar ke mutabiq, bearish sellers ka zyada tar control market ko shuru mein lena mumkin hai, jinhon ne keemat ko neeche ki taraf le jane ka maqsad rakha hoga. In sellers ka main target buyers ka support area hoga, jo ke 156.46 aur 156.73 ke daam levels ke darmiyan waqai ahem hai. Ye support zone ahem hai kyun ke yeh ek level ko darust karta hai jahan buyers ne pehle se keemat ko mazeed girne se roka hai aur control dobara hasil kiya hai.
Agar sellers ko is support area ko torne mein kamiyabi milti hai, to market ke is nukta par reaction bohot ahem hoga. Agar sellers ko is support level ko torne mein nakami ka samna ho, to umeed hai ke buyers dobara action mein aayenge. Is support ko torne ki nakami bearish momentum ki kamzori ko darust karegi, aur buyers ko control dobara hasil karne ka mauqa degi. Aise mein, jahan buyer ka support area mazboot hai, keemat ulta aur upar ki taraf mud sakta hai. Agla ahem target bullish price movement ke liye sellers ka mazboot resistance area hoga, jo 156.00 aur 156.30 ke daam levels ke darmiyan waqai ahem hai. Ye area doosra ahem level hai jahan sellers ko advance kar rahe buyers ke khilaf mazboot mudafaqat ki ummed hai.





Jis tarah ke buyers ka support area 156.46-156.73 par mojood hai, Monday ke trading session ke shuru ke liye umeed hai ke pehli bearish correction is support ko torne ki sellers ki salahiyat par munhasir hogi. Agar ye support qaim rehta hai, to buyers ka control dobara hasil hoga, aur keemat ko aglay ahem resistance zone ki taraf buland kar sakta hai. In ahem levels ko nigrani mein rakhna traders ke liye zaroori hoga takay wo market ke dynamics aur price movements ko samajh sakein. Aam tor par, traders ko in ahem support aur resistance zones ke atraaf ke price action par nazar rakhni chahiye. Ye samajhna ke keemat in levels ka kis tarah react karti hai, market ke rukh ko samajhne mein madad karega aur zyada jaan boojh kar trading faislon ko lena mein madad karega.

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki current pricing movements ka analysis kar rahe hain. Agar 157.71 par ek false breakout hota hai, toh yeh decline ko continue kar sakta hai. Agar price 157.71 range se girta hai, toh focus 155.31 range tak pohanchne par shift ho jata hai. 157.11 par false breakdown bhi ek selling opportunity ka signal dega. Mein ek minor correction ke baad further decline ki umeed karta hoon. Yen ke H1 chart ko analyze karte hue, hum top three tak pohanch gaye hain, lekin uske baad decline ka silsila jaari hai. Yeh current rate se downward turn ke liye favorable conditions create karta hai. Hum 154.51 range tak pohanch sakte hain jahan support mojood hai. Ek upward momentum ke baad decline jaari rehne ki sambhavana hai. Resistance lagbhag 157.76 par hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke decline wahan se continue rehne ka chance hai. Agar price 154.51 se niche girta hai, toh yeh exchange rate mein ek significant fall ka signal hoga, aur sales ko initiate karna safe hoga


Din ka aghaz slight increase ke saath hota hai, uske baad ek decline, jo 156.06 trading level ko break kar deta hai. Baghair kisi clear signal ke, price 154.76 support ki taraf move karti hai. Phir yeh level se bounce back hoti hai, falsely 156.06 resistance ko break karti hai. Yeh false breakout ek sell signal banata hai, aur poore hafte ke dauran price fluctuations ke wajah se sirf false sell signals milte hain. Friday ko, 156.06 resistance break hota hai, jo Monday ke liye 158.30 resistance tak ek buy signal generate karta hai. Kal US dollar growth ke bawajood, is currency pair ke buyers ne bhi faida uthaya. Friday ko, USD/JPY price mein izafa dekha gaya, jo chart par ongoing uptrend ko reinforce karta hai. Yeh trend active buying ke saath profitable goals ko suggest karta hai. Mein expect karta hoon ke yeh instrument April highs ke level ki taraf grow karega, aur 160 yen per US dollar ke digital benchmark ko target karega

Japanese yen (JPY) abhi do dinon se tezi se aage barh raha hai, jis par tasawwur hai ke US Federal Reserve 2024 mein baad mein interest rates kam kar sakta hai. Ye US dollar ko yen ke muqablay mein kamzor kar sakta hai. Lekin abhi bhi US aur Japan ke darmiyan mojud interest rate ka farq dollar ke lehaaz se faida deta hai, jo USD/JPY exchange rate mein yen ki qadar ko mehdood rakhta hai. Is maslay mein mazeed complexity barhane ka sabab Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ne di hai, jinhon ne ishaara kiya ke agar lambay arsay ke Japanese interest rates tezi se barhain to wo intervene kar sakte hain. Is se maaloom hota hai ke woh mazeed bonds khareed kar rates ko low rakhne ki koshish kar sakte hain, jo yen ko mazeed kamzor kar sakta hai. Ulta, Ueda ne inflation Japan mein tezi se barhti hai to tight monetary policy ka darwaza bhi khula chhoda hai.
Ek dosri taraf, US Dollar Index (DXY) ne Tuesday ko mazeed mazbooti hasil ki, jo keh US Treasury yields mein izafa ke sath mutabiq tha. Ye cautious investor sentiment ke natayajay mein ho sakta hai jo keh Wednesday ko mazeed US economic data releases se mutassir ho sakte hain. Ye data future mein Fed interest rate hikes ke expectations ko influence karsakte hain, jo dollar par asar andaz hotay hain. Jab ke aam tor par mazeed Fed rate hikes dollar ko kamzor karne ka tasawwur hai, lekin ye bhi US Treasury yields ko buland kar sakta hai jo dollar ke qeemat par aik mukhalif dabaav dalta hai.

Tuesday ko USD/JPY 156.40 ke qareeb tha. Daily chart ke mutabiq yeh symmetrical triangle pattern ke andar aik consolidation phase mein hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke oper hai, aur aik mogheya girawat bearish trend ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Qeemat mein movements ke natayajay mein, agar USD/JPY 157.00 ke psychological level aur upper triangle border ko paar kar le to yeh 160.32 ke multi-decade high ki taraf dobara ja sakta hai. Mutasira tor par, agar triangle ke lower border ko paar kiya jaye to yeh 156.00 ke taraf gir sakta hai, jo ke baad mein 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 154.69 ko test kar sakta hai

Mukhtasar tor par, ane wale dino mein USD/JPY pair US rate cuts, interest rate farq, Bank of Japan ki intervention ki mumkinat, aur qareeb ane wale US economic data ke darmiyan aik jang ke shikaar mein phans sakta hai. USD/JPY pair ka raasta wo taraf muntaqil ho sakta hai jis force akhir mein numayan ho jaye

H4 Hour Time Frame Ki Tafseel Agar aap USDJPY market ke H4 time frame ki surat-e-haal dekhein, toh yeh haqeeqat mein ab bearish trend ki ibtida ke pehlu mein dakhil ho chuka hai. Yeh is waqt hota hai jab candle 200 Ma area ke neeche jaane mein kaamyaab hota hai. Magar, kharidaron ki taraf se trend ki raah ko phir se bullish banaane ki koshishen ka abhi bhi rukh hai. Mumkin hai ke bullish trend ki haalat phir se tasdiq hojaaye agar ma50 ke 156.48 ke darje ke qareeb moving area mein izafa ho. Waqtan-fa-waqt, bearish koshishon ka jari rakhna ka imkaan ab bhi kaafi khula hai aur is waqt selling opportunities dhoondhne mein zyada dilchaspi hai. Daakhil hone waale muamlaat ki tawajju dainay ke lehaz se, yeh lagta hai ke aap selling opportunities dhoondhne ka koshish kar sakte hain jis ki sambhavna hai ke bearish trend mazeed neeche jaari rahe. Maujooda sell entry area yeh nazar aata hai ke is range mein shamil kiya jaaye 155.60 se 155.80 tak. Is keemat ke darje ke liye neeche ka maqsood 155.00 ke aas-paas Zero area tak pohanchne ke liye Tp


1 ke tayyari hai aur Tp 2 support area ko 154.56 ke aas-paas test karne ki koshish hai. 154.56 ke neeche girna lagta hai ke ek mumkin base drop rally ke mauqay ko khol deta hai jo 150.00 ke range mein is ke neeche manasik zero area tak pohanchne ki koshish karta hai. Selling plan fazool hojaega agar trend phir se bullish hojaata hai jab keemat 156.50 ke level ke upar jaati hai. 156.50 ke upar kharidne ki tawajju phir se mumkin lagti hai takay upar ki taraf resistance area ko retest karne ki koshish ki ja sake jo 157.72 ke aas-paas hai aur base up ko jari rakhne ke liye saari unchi keemat ke had tak 160.15 ke aas-paas pohanchne ki koshish ki ja sake

**USD/JPY**
USD/JPY pair Thursday ki Asian session mein thoda higher tha, overnight gains maintain karne ki koshish mein jo 155.70 region se aaye the, jo multi-day low tha lower US consumer inflation data ke response mein. Spot prices abhi 156.75–156.80 range mein trade kar rahe hain, aur dhyan Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy meeting par hai. US Dollar (USD) ko Wednesday ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ki unexpected hawkishness se support mil raha hai, jo major central bank event risk ke pehle aayi hai aur ultimately USD/JPY pair ke liye tailwind ka kaam kar rahi hai. Authorities ko lagta hai ke inflation pehle socha gaya tha us se tez trend karega, isliye kam rate decreases zaroori honge is saal.


Fed ke forecasts ke change hone se USD strengthen hona chahiye aur USD/JPY pair ke value mein further increase ka likelihood barh jaana chahiye. Magar, BoJ ke faltering economy ke face mein monthly purchases of government bonds cut karne ki uncertainty ko dekh kar bulls hesitant hain. Isliye, sab ki nazar Friday ko hogi jab much-awaited two-day BoJ meeting ka conclusion announce hoga. Early North American session mein, traders Thursday ke US economic docket ko watch karenge, jisme Producer Price Index (PPI) aur customary Weekly Initial Jobless Claims data shamil hain, short-term trading possibilities ke liye. Iske ilawa, general risk attitude, jo safe-haven Japanese Yen (JPY) ke demand ko support karta hai, USD/JPY pair ko kuch momentum de sakta hai.

Wednesday ko aur Bank of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche rehne ke saath hume samajh hai ke buy karna behtar hai kyunki yeh giravat se bachata hai. Dusri mein higher drive karna chahiye, eventually recent high levels ke upar aur Bank of Japan ki kisi bhi intervention se ineffective hona chahiye.In wajaon se, mera focus Japanese yen aur US dollar par hai.

USD/JPY Dekhta Hai Girawat Jabke Japanese GDP Kam Hota Hai, Fed Rate Cut Ke Imkanaat Barhte Hain:
Thursday ke trading session ke douran, USD/JPY pair ne ek narmi ka rukh ikhtiyar kiya, aur 154.45 ke aas-paas hover karta raha. Yeh movement United States aur Japan se significant economic updates ke sath hui. Ek notable development Japan ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures ka release tha jo pehle quarter of 2024 ke liye tha. Data ne 0.5% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) contraction ko unveil kiya, jo fourth quarter of 2023 ke 0.1% contraction se ziada pronounced tha. Yeh contraction expectations se ziada tha, kyunke economists ne 0.4% decline project kiya tha. In disappointing GDP numbers ne Japanese yen par downward pressure dala, jo iski depreciation ka sabab bana against the US dollar.

Isi waqt, United States mein tawajju latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data par thi. Report ne anticipated inflationary pressures se kam dikhaya, jo yeh hint karta hai ke price increases itni robust nahi hain jitna pehle estimate kiya gaya tha. Is development ne investors mein speculation ko janam diya ke Federal Reserve (Fed) rate reduction 2024 mein ho sakta hai. Fed ke interest rates reduce karne se typically US dollar par dampening effect hota hai, kyunke yeh dollar-denominated assets ko investors ke liye kam attractive banata hai jo higher returns talash karte hain. Japan ke sluggish GDP figures aur potential Fed rate cut ke confluence ne USD/JPY pair mein heightened selling activity ko lead kiya, jo Thursday ke trading mein retreat ka sabab bana.

Aage dekhte hue, market participants expect kar rahe hain ke further economic indicators dono nations se vigilant rahenge, aur koi bhi updates regarding monetary policy decisions by Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan bhi dekhne layak hain. Yeh factors USD/JPY exchange rate ki trajectory ko coming sessions mein shape karte rahenge.

Technical Analysis aur Trading Strategy:

Aaj ke trading session mein, price mein significant downward movement dekhi gayi, khaaskar lower time frames mein. Is waqt, price ek critical support level ke qareeb hai jo Fibonacci retracement par 61.8% par identify hua, jo 153.25 par located hai. Agar price is level ko breach karta hai, toh yeh further selling pressure ko attract kar sakta hai, jo price ko 100% Fibonacci level tak le ja sakta hai jo 152.03 par hai. Traders is situation ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, kyunke 61.8% Fibonacci support ke neeche break karna downward trend ke continuation ka signal de sakta hai. Aise scenario mein, sellers market ko dominate karne ki umeed hai, jo price ko aforementioned 100% Fibonacci level tak push karegi.

JPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen). Technical analysis ke mutabiq, H1 time frame par yeh kaafi reasonable lagta hai ke lower quotes ki taraf trade karein. Algorithms jo ke achi returns hasil karne ke nazariye se sabse attractive select karte hain, unmein kuch important preconditions ka combination hota hai. Pehle, aapko higher H4 time frame par current trend ka sahi direction determine karna hoga, taake market sentiment ko sahi se establish kar sakein aur financial losses se bach sakein. To chaliye, apne instrument ka chart 4-hour time frame par open karte hain aur important condition check karte hain – trend movement H1 aur H4 periods mein match hona chahiye. Jab yeh pehla principle fulfill hota hai, to hum believe karte hain ke aaj ka market humein short trade exit karne ka best opportunity de raha hai.
Agle analysis mein hum teen working indicators par focus karenge – HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color. Hum us moment ka intezar kar rahe hain jab Hama aur RSI indicators red ho jayenge, jo yeh confirm karega ke market mein filhal sellers dominate kar rahe hain. Jaise hi yeh hota hai, hum ek sell trade open karte hain. Hum apni position ko magnetic surface indicator ke signal par exit karte hain. Aaj, signal processing ke highest possible levels kuch yeh hain - 155.347. Phir hum chart par carefully monitor karenge ke jab price selected magnetic level tak pahunchegi to kaisa behave karti hai, aur phir decide karenge ke next magnetic level tak position ko market mein rakhein ya pehle earned profit ko lein. Potential earnings ko barhane ke liye, aap trolls bhi add kar sakte hain
USD/JPY karansi jodi ne aaj lagbhag 180 pips ka bara girawat ka samna kiya. Uss waqt shama RBS zone se guzar nahi saki. 154.72 ke qeemat tak girne ke baad, USD/JPY achanak se budh ko lagbhag 180 pips upar chali gayi. Tehqeeq se maloom hua ke USD/JPY ka upar ana is liye tha kyunke shama demand area mein atak gayi thi. Aaj USD/JPY ne 156.07 pe trading ka aghaz kiya. Opening position kuch mehdood hai kyunke USD/JPY phir se neeche ja raha hai.

H1 timeframe ka tajziya karte hue, shama ab tak supply area ko paar nahi kar saki, jo ke 156.38 pe hai. Filhaal, USD/JPY apni barhawa mein kamyab nahi raha. Jodi ke barhne ke liye, shama ko zikar shuda supply area se guzarna hoga. Agar nahi guzri, to yeh phir se neeche ja sakti hai. USD/JPY dheere dheere gir raha hai. In scenarios ke darmiyan, main yeh tajziya karta hoon ke USD/JPY ke barhne ka mauqa ab bhi hai kyunke upar ek shoulder hai jo ab tak nahi touch hua, jo ke 157.28 ke qeemat range mein hai. Yeh wo waqt hai jab USD/JPY ne apni direction badalni shuru ki.
Filhaal, stochastic indicator yeh darshata hai ke USD/JPY maqool tor pe oversold hone wala hai kyunke yeh apne lowest level 20 ke kareeb hai. Direction filhaal neeche ki taraf hai, to upar jane ka signal ab tak nahi aya. Jab lowest level touch hoga, to mumkin hai ke USD/JPY apni barhawa phir se shuru kare. Ab yeh sirf intizar karne ki baat hai ke yeh upar ki taraf turn le.

Aaj ka tajziya yeh suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY apni bullish trend ko jaari rakhega, to yeh dubara barh sakta hai. Upar bhi ek shoulder hai jo ab tak touch nahi hua jo 157.36 ke aas paas hai. Is liye, main tajwez karta hoon ke is jodi mein traders buy positions pe focus karen. Target nearest resistance level pe set kiya ja sakta hai jo ke 157.34 pe hai, aur stop loss nearest support level pe set kiya ja sakta hai jo ke 155.66

USDJPY (H4) ke market mein haalaat ke baray mein baat karte hue, haalaat dekha gaya ke bearish koshishen hain jo abhi tak buyers ke muqablay mein mazbooti se guzarti hain taake bullish trend ka rukh qaim rahe. Ye is liye hota hai kyunkay aik nichlay haalaat hai jo ma200 (neela) ke movement range mein support area se guzar nahi pa raha 155.85 par. Mazeed izafa filhal SBR area ko test kar raha hai 156.40 se 156.50 tak. Misal ke taur par, agar is price level range mein bullish rejection ka haal ho, to trend ka rukh badalne ki koshish aur jaari rakhne ka imkaan hai. Bullish trend ka jaari rehne ka imkaan haqeeqatan ma50 (surkh) movement area se guzarna hai aik bullish koshish ke saath 157.00 level ke ooper. Is price level ke ooper izafa hone se opportunities khul jati hain mazeed bullish koshishen ke liye ke is ke ooper resistance area se guzar jaye, peechle haftay ke buland tareen price ki had ke qareeb 157.72 par. Is Tuesday ke trading session ke dakhilay ke liye entry plans ki tawajjo par, lagta hai ke aap phir se bechnay ke mouqa dhoondh sakte hain SBR area ke range se 156.40-156.50 tak. Is price level range ke niche target tay karna ho sakta hai TP 1 ko isay pohanchnay ke liye Aarya Zero tak neeche 156.00 ke aas paas aur tp2 ko jari rakhna Ma 200 (neela) ke had tak pohanchne ke liye 155.40 ke aas paas. Bechne ke plan mein nuksan ke risk ka had 157.00 level ke ooper rakh sakta hai. Jabke kharidnay ke mouqa le sakte hain jab 157.00 level ke ooper izafa ho aur tp1 ko target karna hai resistance area ke qareeb 157.70 ke aas paas aur tp2 ko Aarya area ke qareeb pohanchnay ki koshish karna 158.00 ke aas paas. Kharidnay ka plan nuksan ke risk ka had 156.35 level ke neeche rakh sakta hai. Japan ke Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), jisay Jumma ko jaari kiya gaya, May mein 2.2% barh gaya saal ke mutabiq, April ke 1.8% ke barhne ke baad. Agar Japan mein mukhtalif shahron mein inflation giray, toh yeh shayed Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko interest rates ko barhanay se rokay. Japan aur doosray mulkon ke darmiyan ka qabil-e-zikr interest rate farq ab bhi Japanese Yen par dabao daalta hai, USD/JPY pair ko support karta hai
US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke US Dollar (USD) ko chhe aur ahem currencies ke muqablay mein naqad ki qeemat ka andaza lagata hai, Federal Reserve ke pasandida US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data ke izafa ke baad, maazi ke april mein keemat ke dabaav mein izafa dikhane par zameen khoo gaya
Pichle haftay, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke afraad ne andaza lagaya ke central bank bina mazeed interest rate hikes ke apna 2% saalana inflation target haasil kar sakti hai. Yeh stand US Treasury yields par neeche dabaav dalta hai, Greenback ko kamzor karta hai

USD/JPY mein kal, peechle din ka maximum range taaza karne ke baad, qeemat ulta chali gayi aur taqatwar bearish jhatka ke saath neeche ja rahi thi, jis se ek mukammal bearish candle ban gayi jo asani se tod gayi aur pur asar support level ke neeche confidenti se band hui, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 156.786 par tha. Mausam ke halat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main bilkul tasleem karta hoon ke aaj, ek chhoti uttarward retracement ke mukammal hone ke baad, southern movement jaari reh sakti hai, aur is surat mein, main support level par nazar rakhne ka irada rakhta hoon, jo meri tajziya ke mutabiq 153.61 par hai. Is support level ke nazdeek, do manazir samne aa sakte hain. Pehla tarjeeh wala manzar ulta candle ke banne aur upar ki taraf qeemat ke manzoor hone ka taluq rakhta hai. Agar yeh mansuba paish kiya gaya, to main qeemat ko resistance level 157.671 par wapas ane ka intezar karonga. Is resistance level ke upar qeemat band hone par, main mazeed uttarward movement ka intezar karonga, jab tak ke resistance level 160.209 par na pahunche. Is resistance level ke nazdeek, main ek trading setup ke banne ka intezar karonga jo aagey trading ka rukh tay karega. Durr ke uttarward maqasid tak pohnchne ki bhi ek mumkinah sambhavna hai, jisme se ek, meri tajziya ke mutabiq, 164.500 par waqif hai, lekin halat ka nigrani mein rehna hoga, aur sab kuch khabar flow ke tehat aur qeemat ke designated durr ke uttarward maqasid par reaction ke mutabiq tawajjo deni hogi. 153.601 par support level ke qareeb qeemat ke nazdeek qeemat ka ek alternative mansuba ho sakta hai jab qeemat is level ke neeche band hoti hai aur mazeed southern movement hoti hai. Agar yeh mansuba paish kiya gaya, to main tawaqo karta hoon ke qeemat support level 151.856 ya support level 150.809 ke taraf jaayegi. In support levels ke qareeb, hum uttarward price movement ka intezar karte rahenge. Aam tor par, ise chand alfaz mein kahen to aaj main bilkul tasleem karta hoon ke ek chhoti uttarward retracement ke mukammal hone ke baad, southern movement phir shuru hoga, aur qeemat nazdeek ki support level ko test karne ki taraf jaayegi. Yahan se, mojooda global bullish trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main uttarward signals ka intezar karonga, upar ki taraf qeemat ke movement ka muntazir
USD/JPY ke aaj ke trading session ka in American market se maaloomat ki riwayaat par mabni hai. Ye riwayaat tay karengi ke pair kya ek waqtanfaraz pullback ka saamna karta hai jise upar ki taraf jari rakhne ka silsila hota hai, ya agar ye nichle taraf jaata hai aur ek mawafiq phase mein dakhil hota hai jahan mazeed giravat ka imkaan hota hai

gaya. Lekin, jab hum Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ko Wednesday ko aur Bank of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche rehne ke saath hume samajh hai ke buy karna behtar hai kyunki yeh giravat se bachata hai. Dusri mein higher drive karna chahiye, eventually recent high levels ke upar aur Bank of Japan ki kisi bhi intervention se ineffective hona chahiye.In wajaon se, mera focus Japanese yen aur US dollar par hai. Dollar ke muqable mein yen high rehta hai. Overall economic fundamentals aur interest rate differentials strongly support karte hain continued growth ko. Is natije mein, mujhe umeed hai ke pair apne recent highs ko break karega, aur Japanese stock market ki koshishon ko market ko influence karne mein piche chhor dega. Yeh approach in mulkon ki relative financial strength aur monetary policy par mabni hai, jo in dono currencies mein downward trend ko reinforce kar rahi hai.

sahi direction determine karna hoga, taake market sentiment ko sahi se establish kar sakein aur financial losses se bach sakein. To chaliye, apne instrument ka chart 4-hour time frame par open karte hain aur important condition check karte hain – trend movement H1 aur H4 periods mein match hona chahiye. Jab yeh pehla principle fulfill hota hai, to hum believe karte hain ke aaj ka market humein short trade exit karne ka best opportunity de raha hai. Agle analysis mein hum teen working indicators par focus karenge – HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color. Hum us moment ka intezar kar rahe hain jab Hama aur RSI indicators red ho jayenge, jo yeh confirm karega ke market mein filhal sellers dominate kar rahe hain. Jaise hi yeh hota hai, hum ek sell trade open karte hain. Hum apni position ko magnetic surface indicator ke signal par exit karte hain. Aaj, signal processing ke highest possible levels kuch yeh hain - 155.347. Phir hum chart par carefully monitor karenge ke jab price selected magnetic level tak pahunchegi to kaisa behave karti hai, aur phir decide karenge ke next magnetic level tak position ko market mein rakhein ya pehle earned profit ko lein. Potential earnings ko barhane ke liye, aap trolls bhi add kar sakte hain
USD/JPY karansi jodi ne aaj lagbhag 180 pips ka bara girawat ka samna kiya. Uss waqt shama RBS zone se guzar nahi saki. 154.72 ke qeemat tak girne ke baad, USD/JPY achanak se budh ko lagbhag 180 pips upar chali gayi. Tehqeeq se maloom hua ke USD/JPY ka upar ana is liye tha kyunke shama demand area mein atak gayi thi. Aaj USD/JPY ne 156.07 pe trading ka aghaz kiya. Opening position kuch mehdood hai kyunke USD/JPY phir se neeche ja raha hai.

H1 timeframe ka tajziya karte hue, shama ab tak supply area ko paar nahi kar saki, jo ke 156.38 pe hai. Filhaal, USD/JPY apni barhawa mein kamyab nahi raha. Jodi ke barhne ke liye, shama ko zikar shuda supply area se guzarna hoga. Agar nahi guzri, to yeh phir se neeche ja sakti hai. USD/JPY dheere dheere gir raha hai. In scenarios ke darmiyan, main yeh tajziya karta hoon ke USD/JPY ke barhne ka mauqa ab bhi hai kyunke upar ek shoulder hai jo ab tak nahi touch hua, jo ke 157.28 ke qeemat range mein hai. Yeh wo waqt hai jab USD/JPY ne apni direction badalni shuru ki.
Filhaal, stochastic indicator yeh darshata hai ke USD/JPY maqool tor