USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Chaar Dinon Se Barhta Hua Hai:
Wednesday ke tor par, USD/JPY pair ne chaar mubarak dinon se musalsal urooj ka maza uthaya hai. Ye musalsal urooj wale movement ne market ke analysts aur traders ka tawajjo hasil kiya hai, jo currency markets ke taraqqi par nazar rakhte hain. Kayi ahem ma'ashiyati waqiyat is USD/JPY pair ke aas paas ke mahol ko asar andaz hone ka imkan rakhte hain. United States ko Wednesday ke din Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report jaari karne ka intezar hai. Ye report tawanai ka ahem pehloo hai, jo istihkak maal-o-khidmat ki qeemat mein tabdiliyon ko darust karti hai. Zyada tawanai aam tor par Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ko kashid karta hai, jo USD ko mazid mazbooti faraham kar sakti hai. Analysts umeed karte hain ke CPI data America ki ma'ashi maahol mein tawanai ke rujhanat par aham daleel faraham karega aur USD/JPY exchange rate par asar daalega.

Federal Reserve Ki Sood Ki Faisla Ke Elaan: Wednesday ko, Federal Reserve apni taaza sood ki faisla jaari karne wala hai. Fed ki monetary policy ka rukh, khaaskar haal ki ma'ashi dastawizat ka jawab dete hue, USD/JPY pair ke rukh ka tay karna mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar Fed tawanai ke mukablay mein sood daro mein izafa karne ka zyada sakhit rukh ishara karta hai, to ye USD ko mazid mazbooti faraham kar sakta hai, USD/JPY pair ke urooj mein izafa karte hue.

Bank of Japan Ki Policy Faisla: June ke Jumma ko, Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni policy faisla jaari karne ki umeed hai. Wasee tor par tawaqqa kiya ja raha hai ke BoJ apni qaribi muddat ke sood daro ko 0-0.1% par barqarar rakhega. BoJ ki ek sahara mand monetary policy stance, Federal Reserve ke mumkin tanzimat se mukhalif hai. America aur Japan ke darmiyan monetary policy ke tareeqay mein ye farq USD/JPY pair ke haal ki mazbooti ke peeche ka aham sabab raha hai. USD/JPY pair mein musalsal urooj ka jari rehna, market ke expectations ko nisbatan hai ye ma'ashi ma'ashiyati waqiyat. Traders aur investors United States ki CPI report aur Fed ki sood ki faisla ke nateejay ko tawajjo se dekh rahe hain, kyun ke ye factors currency pair ke movement ke lehaz se tone ko tay kar sakte hain. Isi tarah, BoJ ki policy stance ko tabdeel hone ke kisi nishan ke liye nazar rakha jayega, halan ke is jalsa mein kisi tabdili ki umeed nahi hai.

Magar, USD/JPY pair ki is haftay ki karkardagi, ma'ashiyati ahem tajawezat aur central bank policies ke asar ko wazeh kar rahi hai. America aur Japan se aham updates ke sath, aanay wale dinon mein USD/JPY exchange rate ki mukhtalifiyat ko tay karne mein shayad hi koi kami hogi.

Is haftay trading ke doran kayi price limits resistance ke taur par banaaye gaye, jo mere khayal mein dobara test honge prices ke lower limit of price support se, jo 155,931 ke range mein hai. Aur main trend ke direction par bhi tawajjo dein, jo dobara mazboot hui hai aur prices ab bhi 720-period moving average ke upar move kar rahi hain, jo is dafa ek current big trend ke indicator ke taur par kaam kar rahi hai. Agle trading plan mein, main umeed rakhta hoon ke price pehle support range 155,931 par wapas aaye gi pehle buy area ke liye. Aur dusra support limit baad mein doosra buy target ke tor par rakha ja sakta hai agar pehla support successfully break ho jaye, doosra support limit ko madde nazar rakhte hue, jo abhi price range 155,931 par hai. Is haftay ke aakhir mein trading ke doran, candle kaafi strong rise kar rahi thi aur highest price ke qareeb pahunch gayi thi, pehle ke price se zyada. Maine decision liya hai ke buy option action ko support karoon bullish trend ko continue karne keliyeUSDJPY pair ke agle trade mein. H4 timeframe chart par is level ke upar, main aur upward movement anticipate karoon ga.

Is scenario mein, main dekh raha hoon ke price agle resistance level ki taraf move kare, jo 156.90-157.40 par located hai. Agar price is level ke upar consolidate hoti hai, to ye confirm karegi ke ek priority scenario continued northward movement ke liye hai. Ye consolidation signal karegi ke price ne successfully resistance ko break kar diya hai aur ek naya higher range establish kar rahi hai. Chahe koi bhi scenario unfold ho, resistance level 156.83 par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Ye level potential upward movement ke liye ek key indicator ke tor par serve karega. Agar price successfully break through kar ke is level ke upar consolidate hoti hai, to ye upward trend ki strength ko confirm karega aur higher resistance levels ki taraf likely continuation ko indicate karega. Current resistance level ke qareeb, situation ke development ke liye do potential scenarios hain. Pehla scenario involve karta hai ke price 156.83 resistance level ko break kar ke rise continue kare. Is case mein, price movement towards agla resistance level 156.90-157.40 mere primary focus mein hoga. Main is level par nazar rakhunga ke dekhoon ke price apna upward trajectory maintain kar sakti hai aur is ke upar consolidate kar sakti hai. USD/JPY pair upward movement ke potential ko show kar raha hai. Resistance level 156.83 ko monitor karna critical hai.

Technical Analysis USD/CHF:
USD/CHF currency pair ab aik ahem marhala par hai jahan resistance aur support levels mustaqbil ki keemat ke harkaat ka faisla karenge. Filhal, resistance level kareeb 0.9215 hai, jo mazeed izafay ko rok raha hai. Support level 0.9110 par hai. Agar qeemat resistance rukawat ko paar karti hai, to agle ahem resistance tak jo ke 0.9225 hai, buland ho sakti hai. Mutasir support level ki surat mein, qeemat neeche gir sakti hai taake 0.8989 aur 0.8801 ke targets tak jaye.

USD/CHF ki qeemat ke dynamics ko mukhtalif technical indicators ke zariye tajziya kiya jata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) zaayada khareedari ya farokht ke haalaat nahi dikhata, jo ke darust hawa bhaari ho sakti hai agar index 50 ke ooper rehta hai. Chart par notice kiye jane wale zigzag patterns choti tabdiliyon ko filter karte hain, jo ke trends samajhne mein madad karte hain. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) apne upar ki manzil ke raste mein buland trend ka ishaara deta hai. Qeemat ka Bollinger Bands ke upper band ke qareeb hona ek mukhtalif ya bullish trend ka jari rehne ka ishaara hai. Demand Index aur Stochastic Oscillator mazeed market ke haalaat ko analyze karte hain. Kharidne walon ke paas farokht karne walon ke muqablay mein thori si fiza hai ke lehaz se kharidari aur farokht ka dabaav barabar hai. Stochastic Oscillator jo aik muqarrar keemat range ke khilaf band hone ka hawala deta hai, zaayada khareedari ya farokht ke sarhadat ko dikhata nahi, jo ke qeemat ko kisi bhi raaste mein chalne ki ishaarat hai aur ek buland trend ko tasdeeq karta hai. Is ke ilawa, market volatility ko naapne wala Average True Range (ATR) bhi ahmiyat rakhta hai. Traders ATR ke zariye darust stop-loss aur take-profit levels set kar sakte hain, is tarah ke moderate volatility ko dhoond karke USD/CHF ke liye risk management strategies ko adjust kar sakte hain.

Yeh indicators ek saath USD/CHF market mein bullish jazbaat ko dikhate hain. Umeed hai ke aage ki muddat mein ko achi khabar aayegi jo ke buyers ki quwwat ko darust karti hai.

Maujooda Market Sentiment:

USD/CHF currency pair apne resistance level ke kareeb hai aur ek potential neeche ki taraf ka harka karkun lagta hai. RSI, zigzag pattern, exponential moving average, Bollinger Bands, Demand Index, Stochastic Oscillator, aur ATR mil kar qeemati market ka aham insight faraham karte hain. Yeh mukammal analysis ehtiyaat aur hoshiyari ki ahmiyat ko highlight karta hai jab resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan ke taluqat ko nazar andaz nahi kiya jata, mukhtalif indicators ka istemal kiya jata hai upcoming qeemati harkaat ke liye aur trading strategies ko behtareen nataij ke liye saheh kiya jata hai.

USD/CHF currency pair ne aaj aik ahem buland harkat ka samna kiya, jo 0.8970 ke qareeb pohanch gaya. Yeh buland rukh market sentiment mein aik ahem tabdeeli ko darust karta hai jab kharidne wale qeemat ko buland kartay hain, process mein kareeb 50 pips haasil karte hain. Yeh izafa mera pehle se mutallaq take profit point ko par karne mein kamiyab raha, jo ke is market phase mein buyers ki quwwat ko darust kar raha hai. Tafsili analysis ke liye maalumat samajhne ki zaroorat hai jaise ke is harkat ke peechay kis tarah ke tajaweez aur maalumat ke kis asraat hain. USD/CHF

trading me zyadatar buy position dhoondhne ka chance hai. Jo cheez mujhe concern kar rahi hai wo hai market ki condition 4-hour time frame me. Market band hone se kuch ghante pehle tak correction nazar ayi jo ke 155.64 zone tak pohonch gayi thi. Isliye, agar agle hafte price 155.88 position ke upar move karne me kamyab hoti hai, to mai ek Buy trade place karunga. Market ki condition ke mutabiq, pechle hafte ka Uptrend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Market abhi bhi buyers ke control me hai, meri raaye me yeh is baat ka signal hai ke prices ke paas upward trend me run karne ka mauka hai. Is hafte market ne 155.76 position pe open kiya, aur price 156.79 position tak barh gayi. Agar hum 4-hour time frame chart ke zariye price movements ka development dekhen, to meri raaye me agle kuch dino tak market bullish side par move karne ka chance rakhti hai.

Meri prediction yeh hai ke agle price movements barh sakti hain, aur yeh ek significant impact push trigger karegi jisse candlestick 100 period simple moving average zone se dur higher move karegi. 5,3,3 stochastic indicator 80 zone ko touch kar gaya hai, jo ke buyer control ka signal hai. Chhoti time frame yani 1 hour me, yeh clear hai ke price journey 100 period simple moving average line ke upar stop kar rahi hai, shayad strong momentum ka intezar kar rahi hai taake weekly journey Uptrend side par continue ho sake.

Upar di gayi analysis aur explanation se hum yeh conclusion nikal sakte hain ke mahine ke end tak trading me, market ke paas bullish journey par wapas aane ka mauka hai, target around 156.26 zone set karke. Jab tak buyers price ko 155.04 zone ke upar rakh sakte hain, meri raaye me increase ka mauka Downtrend side ke mukable zyada hai. USD/JPY bullish rahte hue aaj raat ke US trading session tak barh sakta hai, buyer dominance abhi bhi barkarar hai kyunke Moving Average abhi bhi running price ke neeche hai, jo ke indicate karta hai ke price abhi bhi barhne ki taraf hai. MACD ka histogram jo positive area me mazboot hai yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke

increase ka mauka abhi bhi open hai. One hour chart analysis ke mutabiq, 15 M chart me bhi USD/JPY buy signal show kar raha hai kyunke Zigzag indicator ne upward pattern form karna shuru kar diya hai increasing peaks aur valleys ke saath. Agar scenario ke mutabiq dekha jaye, USD/JPY ke paas resistance level 156.260 ko test karne ka mauka hai.

Agar hum daily chart par EURJPY ke price movement pattern ko dekhte hain, to hum dekh sakte hain ke raat bhar ek neeche ki correction hui, jo peechle kuch dino se mukhtalif thi. Lekin agar hum is haftay ke trend ko dekhte hain jo barhne ki taraf ja raha hai, to prices ko bullish strengthening ka samna lag raha hai. Aam tor par, market ka trend ab bhi ek upward trend dikhata hai jiska range zyada wide nahi hai. Monday ko market 160.07 par open hua aur Thursday evening ke session tak 161.00 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab raha, jahan price ab kareeban 171.36 par hai. Thursday ke band hone wale price bhi Monday ke opening level ke upar tha, aur is haftay ke trading candle ne 171.75 level ko todne ki koshish ki, jis se yeh zahir hota hai ke bullish trend ka agla kadam bhi liya ja sakta hai. Mazeed tafseeli analysis ke liye, aaiye indicators par nazar dalte hain. MACD (12,26,29) par, dotted yellow line ko upar ki taraf point kiya gaya hai, aur histogram zero level ke upar bada amplitude ke sath hai. RSI indicator (14) mein Lime line jo ke pehle October mein level 50 par thi, ab level 70 ki taraf ja rahi hai. Yellow Simple Moving Average 60 bhi Simple Moving Average 150 ke upar hai jo red hai, is ka matlab hai ke daily timeframe par market ka trend ab bhi bullish hai.
H4 timeframe par dekha jaye to, September se EURJPY ke price movements ko mainly bullish candlesticks ne dominate kiya hai, jo ke ek upward trend ko darshate hain. Halanki peechle mahine ke beech mein ek downward correction hua tha jo yellow Simple Moving Average 60 ke neeche tha, is mahine price ne ise paar kar liya. Is se daily closing price ko unchi mili, jo ek bullish trend ko darshata hai. Wednesday aur Thursday ko buyers ne taqat dikhayi jo prices ko upar push karne mein kamiyab rahe.
170.53 resistance level ke aas paas price action agla kadam tay karne mein ahem sabit hoga EUR/JPY ke liye. Agar bullish breakout hota hai to yeh ek upward trend ka aage ka kadam darshayega, jabke bearish rejection ek support level ka dubara test karne tak le ja sakta hai. Traders ko price behavior ko nazdeek se monitor karna chahiye aur upcoming market movements se nikalne ke liye munasib risk management strategies istemal karni chahiye.

Kal USD/JPY jodi mein ek shaant din tha, thoda sa izafa ke saath sar par halka sa barhne wali maahol. Aaj top ko bhi thoda neeche daba diya gaya, lekin abhi tak bears ke liye koi umeed nahi hai. Unhone bhi keemat samajh li aur woh bilkul top mein ruk gaye. Kami koshishen girne ki turant rok di gayi. Wave structure apne upar order build kar rahi hai, MACD indicator upper buy zone mein badh raha hai aur apne signal line ke upar hai. But CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai, haal hi mein upper zone se neeche se cross kiya hai, isse giravat ka aasar yahaan se shuru hone ke zyada chance hain. Lekin aisa lagta hai ke woh abhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche rehne ke saath hume samajh hai ke buy karna behtar hai kyunki yeh giravat se bachata hai. Dusri MACD indicator hamare buying stance ko aur bhi majboot banata hai, oscillator ka histogram 0 ke upar profit potential ki suchi kar raha hai. Hum 154.48 se ek bullish trend-based trajectory ka aane ka anumaan lagate hain, aur yeh sahi samay hai market mein dakhil hone ka profit ke liye. Hum 154.29 par ek stop set kar ke nuksan ko rokne ka sujhav dete hain, jo take profit level 155.08 se tin guna kam hai. Pichhle kuch ghanton mein, USD/JPY pair ne ek consistent upward trend dikhaya hai, special hourly time frame mein. Uska rasta shandar raha hai, aur aaj ka performance naye uchaiyon ko dekhte hue dikha gaya hai.

Shuru mein, US dollar Japanese yen ke muqable mein mazbooti dikha raha tha aur barhta gaya. Lekin, jab hum Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ko Wednesday ko aur Bank of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche rehne ke saath hume samajh hai ke buy karna behtar hai kyunki yeh giravat se bachata hai. Dusri mein higher drive karna chahiye, eventually recent high levels ke upar aur Bank of Japan ki kisi bhi intervention se ineffective hona chahiye.In wajaon se, mera focus Japanese yen aur US dollar par hai. Dollar ke muqable mein yen high rehta hai. Overall economic fundamentals aur interest rate differentials strongly support karte hain continued growth ko. Is natije mein, mujhe umeed hai ke pair apne recent highs ko break karega, aur Japanese stock market ki koshishon ko market ko influence karne mein piche chhor dega. Yeh approach in mulkon ki relative financial strength aur monetary policy par mabni hai, jo in dono currencies mein downward trend ko reinforce kar rahi hai.

Maine USD/JPY currency pair ki haqeeqati daam mein tabdeeliyon ko tajziya kiya hai aur dekha hai ke D1 time frame mein is waqt ek uptrend hai. Ye pair kafi aggressive aur tezi se volatility dikha raha hai. Jumeraat ko, ye 158.30 ke darja tak pahunch gaya; ye ek tareekhi zyada hai jo ab tak taareekh mein nazar nahi aya, aur ab hum sirf aasmaan ki taraf ungli utha kar dekh sakte hain ke hamari junubi qeemat ka ulat pher kahan hoga, ya agar hum aage ki taraf tezi se badhte rahenge. USD/JPY currency pair ke is haftay ke harkaat ka jaiza lene ke baad, aur natural tor par Jumeraat ko, hum keh sakte hain ke Japan Bank ne bas rasi chhodi aur ab American ghoda pahad chadh raha hai bina peeche dekhe, jo Jumeraat ke Japan Bank ki mulaqat ke natayej ke asar mein hua, jab wo interest dar barhane ka aghaaz nahi kiya, mulk mein darustfi kam hone ki wajah se. Halat ke hawale se, main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke agle haftay shumali harkaat jaari rahegi aur qeemat resistance level ko mukammal karegi, jo meri nishandahi ke mutabiq 160.40 par waqai hai. Is liye wazeh hai ke in interest rates ke darmiyan ka bara farq US Federal Reserve aur Japan Bank ke bich amrici currency ko faal taur par barhne aur japani yen ko uske 0.0-0.1% dar ke sath dabane ki ijaazat deta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, halat ke taraqqi ke do mansoobe ho sakte hain. Main samajhta hoon ke asal mein, aapko is currency pair ki qeemat mein kisi bhi sakht kami ka intezar nahi karna chahiye jab tak Japan Bank kam se kam, currency interventions ko bazariya nahi karta.

Agar hum thori tajziyaat ke saath istemal karein, to agar USDJPY jodi mein flaat muddat tak jaari rahe, to hum rozana ke chart par ek diamond reversal pattern bana sakte hain. Lekin ye sirf tab kaam karega agar Amerika mein April mein muashiyati inflation mein numaya kami zahir ho. Peshghedari mein amm aur bunyadi inflation mein kami shamil hai, lekin sirf saalana buniyadi par 0.1% ki kami hai. Ye USDJPY jodi ko palatne ke liye kafi nahi hai, hatta ke kamzor data ka gehra islaah ke liye bhi. Lekin agar Amerika mein inflation foran 0.3% ya zyada kam ho gayi, to kharidaron ke liye ek hairat ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Halaanki, humein dekhna hoga ke Japanese officials apni lafzana interventions (aur shayad currency ke maamlaat) ko rokne ke liye kya karte hain. Adaab. Aur beshak, main yeh bhi nahi aushtaraf karta ke hum yen ke saath jodi ko palat sakte hain, ya iski tawaqo bhi rakh sakte hain. Aur yahan par kai options ho sakti hain, aur Bank of Japan khud bhi dobara kaam shuru kar sakti hai, khaaskar ke is ke mawaqay mojood hain. Iske ilawa, ye note karne ke qabil hai ke umeed muddat thori rok gayi hai, kyun ke Jumeraat ko pehle din ke unchaayiyon ko update nahi kiya gaya. Lekin abhi tak kuch nahi badla, kyun ke oopar ka harkat baqi hai, lekin short initiative abhi bhi qaim hai. Is ke ilawa, har soorat mein ahem hai ke dollar kaise karobaar hoga, khaaskar ke humare paas pehle se kafi ahem statistics hain. Halankeh mere liye kuch nahi badla aur main abhi bhi ye nahi aushtaraf karta ke hum 156.50 se oopar chadh sakte hain aur sirf wahan chhoti time frames mein signals ki talaash karoonga.

bana sakte hain. Lekin ye sirf tab kaam karega agar Amerika mein April mein muashiyati inflation mein numaya kami zahir ho. Peshghedari mein amm aur bunyadi inflation mein kami shamil hai, lekin sirf saalana buniyadi par 0.1% ki kami hai. Ye USDJPY jodi ko palatne ke liye kafi nahi hai, hatta ke kamzor data ka gehra islaah ke liye bhi. Lekin agar Amerika mein inflation foran 0.3% ya zyada kam ho gayi, to kharidaron ke liye ek hairat ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Halaanki, humein dekhna hoga ke Japanese officials apni lafzana interventions (aur shayad currency ke maamlaat) ko rokne ke liye kya karte hain.
Adaab. Aur beshak, main yeh bhi

Tajziya mode ke zariye currency pair ki ahem support rekha 155.65 ke neeche tootne ka imkaan hai aur phir 155.35 aur phir 155.15 ki taraf ja sakta hai. Kisi surat mein ye 155.00 ke sab se ahem mazboot level ko paar nahi karega kyunki ye bara downtrend ka ishara ho sakta hai. Ye ahem levels hain jo asani se market mein ziada risk aur positioning tabdeeliyan laa sakte hain. Ye note karna acha hai ke currency pair ko Japani regulator ya siyasi o social khabron se asar andaazi ho sakti hai. Is liye zyada se zyada flexibility aur tayar rehna kisi bhi mumkin upside ya downside contingency ke liye bohot zaroori hai. Currency pair USD/JPY ne is din Asian session mein Japan Bank ke interest rate ko change na karne ki hairat angez faisla ke sath acha taraqqi dikhaya hai. Ye central bank ka hairat angez faisla tha jo ke hairat angez tha. Asal mein, pechle hafto mein yen ne dollar ke khilaf apni sab se kamzor level tak pohncha hai, is se sabit hota hai ke taraqqi itni ziada dollar ki taraf mael ho gayi hai. Is se downside correction ka khula mauqa rehta hai kyunke traders apne munafe ko book kar lenge aur market dynamics mein mumkin tabdeeliyon ke liye apne portfolios ko dobara tarteeb denge

Ab, tamam nigahein Japani regulator ki taqreer par hain jo ke Asian waqt mein 18:30 baje hogi. Japan Bank ke sarbarah, Haruhiko Kuroda ke bayanat ko central bank aur mustaqbil ke siyasi tabdeelion ke bare mein ghor se jaancha jayega. Doosra bohot ahem fikar jo ke siyasi o social events ko shiddat se mutasir kar sakte hain, America market ka khulna, aur mukhtalif currencies mein aane jane ki flow hai. Phir bhi, pehle half mein indicator mein chota sa taqreeri giravat dikhayi ja sakti hai. Intihaai manfiyat ne bullish drivers aur technical signals ke asar se taraqqi ko jari rakhta hai. Ab waqt ke liye, situation pair ke liye bullish hai, aur mumaany bandish ka mojooda point 155.65 par hai. Ye level bohot se sessions tak pair ki raftar ko roka hua hai; is liye, is ke upar acha tootna dikhata hai ke momentum ka tabadla bulls ke saath hai. Traders is level ke upar khareedne ki mumaany imkano ko talash kar rahe honge, 156.75 aur 157.25 ki taraf nishana banate hue. Ye levels technical aur strategic hain, is liye ye shayad bullish dynamics ke mazeed taraqqi ko support karenge

USD/JPY, US dollar aur Japanese yen ki jodi, foreign exchange market mein ek popular currency pair hai. Recent mein, ye pair 157.47 ki satah tak badh gaya tha, jo ki kaafi significant hai. Aayiye, dekhte hain kya wajah thi is sudden spike ki, aur kya is rate ka wapis aana sambhav hai. Wajah Badhat Ki

1. Monetary Policy Divergence: US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policies mein farak USD/JPY pair par direct asar dalta hai. Jab Federal Reserve apni interest rates badhata hai aur Bank of Japan unhe kam rakhta hai, to investors US dollar mein invest karna zyada profitable samajhte hain. Yeh divergence USD ko majboot banata hai aur yen ko kamzor karta hai.

2. Economic Data: US ke positive economic data, jaise strong GDP growth, low unemployment rates, aur inflation control karne ki kaamiyabi, dollar ko aur majbooti deti hai. Iske ulat, Japan ka economy ab tak deflation aur slow growth ke issues se joojh raha hai, jo yen ko kamzor karta hai.

3. Geopolitical Tensions: Global uncertainties aur geopolitical tensions ke samay, dollar ek safe haven asset ke roop mein kaam karta hai. Investors aise waqt mein dollar ko prefer karte hain, jis se USD/JPY pair ki value badh jati hai.

Kya Wapis Aana Sambhav Hai?

1. Central Bank Intervention : Bank of Japan ne pehle bhi yen ki excessive weakness ko control karne ke liye market interventions kiye hain. Agar yen bohot kamzor ho jata hai, to Bank of Japan phir se intervene kar sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ko neeche laa sakta hai.

2. Economic Policy Shifts: Agar Japan apni economic policies mein badlav karta hai, jaise ki higher interest rates ya fiscal stimulus, to yen majboot ho sakta hai. Saath hi, agar US economic data mein girawat hoti hai ya Federal Reserve interest rates kam karta hai, to dollar weak ho sakta hai.

3. Technical Corrections: Financial markets mein, bade price movements ke baad technical corrections aam baat hai. Agar USD/JPY overbought territory mein hai, to naturally ek pullback ki ummed ki ja sakti hai.

4. Global Risk Sentiment: Agar global risk sentiment improve hota hai aur investors high-risk assets mein invest karte hain, to safe haven currencies jaise yen demand mein aa sakte hain, jis se USD/JPY ki value neeche aa sakti hai.

Conclusion

USD/JPY ka 157.47 ki satah tak badhna market dynamics, economic indicators, aur geopolitical factors ka natija hai. Lekin, wapas aana bhi sambhav hai, kyonki currency markets bahut volatile hote hain aur inhe central bank interventions, policy shifts, technical corrections, aur global risk sentiment jese factors asani se prabhavit kar sakte hain. Traders aur investors ko yeh sab factors nazar mein rakhte hue apni strategies banani chahiye, taki wo risk ko effectively manage kar saken.

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke haqeeqati samay par qeemat ka tajziya karne par mabni hai. Aaj, USD/JPY currency pair ne aik naye haftay ka naya low hit kiya. Daily candle bechnay walon ko favour karta hai, jis se agle trading session mein naya low hone ka imkan hai. Char ghante ke chart par, pair ek downtrend mein hai, Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko zahir karta hai. Is ke natije mein, chhote positions munasib ho sakti hain. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic indicator neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai. Aaj ke session mein, pair apni giravat ko barqarar rakhta hua, teesri support level ke neeche stabil hota hai 154.95 par. Intaraday giravat ke liye reference point classic pivot level hai. Mein umeed karta hoon ke keemat ke giravat aj ke star se 154.27 ke support level tak barqarar rahegi. Agar keemat is point ke neeche mazboot hoti hai, to ye aik naye giravat ke jhale ko trigger kar sakti hai, jo pair ko mazeed bearish taraf push kar sakta hai 152.18 ke aas paas ke support area ki taraf. Mukhtalif, agar bull wapas laut aaye, to resistance level 157.84 aj ke hisse ki harkat ko rehnumai karega.

Jabke mein wave analysis mein mahir nahi hoon, lekin 157.78 ke uncha band se mojoodah neeche ki impulse ki nishandahi se, H1 chart par bearon ka target 154.28 ke doosre impulse zone par ho sakta hai. Market ka rukh is haftay ke doosre hisse mein buniyadi asas par mabni ho ga. Agar agle pullback ke baad uncha time frames ke zariye bearish trend mumkin hai, to dollar-yen pair apni giravat ko doosre zone ke lower boundary tak barha sakta hai 153.74. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY ke quotes pehle impulse zone ke oopar lautte 155.55 par, to bearish pullback khatam shuda samjha ja sakta hai, aur yen phir se ooper ki taraf ja sakta hai. Chhoti douran mein, market ka rad-e-amal pehle zone ke lower had 155.08 par expectations ko adjust karne ke liye ahem hoga. USD/JPY pair bearish momentum ka nazar aata hai, jahan primary support aur resistance levels uski harkat ko rehnumai karte hain.

Aaj ki trading focus USD/JPY pair ke liye shayad shuru mein 10-year Bond Auction par ho, lekin zyada ahmiyat US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, Producer Price Index (PPI), aur Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ka hoga. Ye events kafi important hain kyun ke ye US economic outlook aur monetary policy par insight dete hain, jo currency market par bohot asar dal sakte hain.
In expected economic events ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair mein ek bounce ki umeed hai, jisme 157.65 zone se upar move hone ki potential hai. Ye movement short term mein bullish trend ko suggest karti hai. Key resistance level jo traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye, 156.83 par hai. Ye level ek critical barrier ki tarah kaam karta hai, aur agar ye breach ho jaye, to upward momentum ke continuation ka signal mil sakta hai.

Agar price successfully 156.83 resistance level ko break karke H1 (one-hour) timeframe chart par consolidate kar leti hai, to ye further upside potential ka strong indication hoga. Is level ke upar consolidation ka matlab hai ke price sirf briefly spike nahi kar rahi, balke ek naya higher base establish kar rahi hai, jo aksar additional upward movements se pehle hota hai. Is scenario mein, traders ko agla resistance zone dekhna chahiye, jo 156.90 aur 157.40 ke darmiyan hai. Ye zone agla area of potential selling pressure represent karta hai, jahan price dobara resistance face kar sakti hai.

In levels ke aas paas price action ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar USD/JPY 156.83 resistance ko break karke uske upar hold kar leti hai, to ye bullish sentiment ko validate karta hai aur 156.90 se 157.40 resistance zone ko target karne ki likelihood increase karta hai. Ye zone ek cap ki tarah kaam kar sakta hai, lekin agar momentum strong hai, to price isay push through karke aur bhi higher levels ko aim kar sakti hai

Lekin, traders ko is possibility ke liye bhi prepared rehna chahiye ke price shayad 156.83 ke upar break karne mein struggle kare. Agar USD/JPY is resistance ko clear karne mein fail hoti hai aur wapas reverse karti hai, to ye suggest karta hai ke sellers ab bhi control mein hain, aur bullish move short-lived ho sakta hai. Aise case mein, traders ko support levels dekhne chahiye ke price kahan base find karti hai jahan se ye dobara rally karne ki koshish kar sake

Japanese yen kamzori ke asar dikha raha hai aur yeh chauthay din bhi girawat par hai. Yeh Federal Reserve ke ahem faislay aur aaj America ke inflation data ke jari hone se pehle ho raha hai. Yahan tak ke yen ko producer price data ke umeed se zyada hone par kuch temporary support mil sakta hai, lekin baray tasveer mein mushkilat barqarar hain. Yen ki kamzori ka asli sabab America aur Japan ke darmiyan faasla barhta interest rate hai. Bank of Japan Friday ko apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ka imkaan hai, interest rates ko zero ke qareeb rakhega. Iske baraks, Federal Reserve inflation se larne ke liye interest rates ko barhane ka irada rakhta hai. Yeh significant farq US dollar ko yen ke muqable mein zyada dilchasp investment banata hai. Technical point of view se, USD/JPY currency pair is waqt 157.20 ke qareeb trading kar raha hai. Analysts daily chart par upward trend dekh rahe hain, jahan pair ascending channel ke andar consolidate kar raha hai. Indicators jaise ke RSI aur Stochastic Oscillator is upward momentum ko barqarar rakhne ka ishara de rahe hain. Agar psychological barrier 158.00 ko tor diya jata hai, toh yeh dollar ko mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai aur pair ko 158.80 ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. Naye multi-decade highs 160.32 tak bhi pohanchne ka imkaan hai.




Magar, dollar ke dominance ke liye kuch potential roadblocks hain. Ascending channel ka lower boundary 155.03 ke qareeb hai, jo 50-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) ke sath milta hai. Agar yeh level tor diya jata hai, toh reversal trigger ho sakta hai, jo pair ko 152.80 ke support area ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Choti timeframes par dekhte hue, technical indicators short-term bias positive hint kar rahe hain. 20-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) 156.30 pe initial resistance ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai, pehle ke potential peak 157.70 tak. Iske baad, Fibonacci retracement levels aur historic high 160.20 traders ke liye key points ban jate hain. Overall, Japanese yen ko US aur Japan ke diverging monetary policies ki wajah se continued downward pressure ka samna hai. Kuch technical indicators dollar ke liye short term mein potential upside suggest karte hain, magar yen ke liye long-term outlook ab bhi uncertain hai.

USD/JPY currency pair conflicting forces face kar raha hai. Ek taraf, weak Japanese yen, jo Bank of Japan ki ultra-loose monetary policy ke pressure mein hai, ne USD/JPY pair ko strengthen kiya hai. Yeh weakness ne speculation ko fuel kiya hai ke Bank of Japan shayad expected se pehle interest rates raise kar sakta hai, jo further yen ko weaken kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar khud filhal flat hai economic data ki kami ki wajah se. Magar, rising US fiscal yields kuch support provide kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve inflation ke bare mein cautious hai aur 2024 mein lower tax rates ki possibility ko lekar bhi, jo long run mein dollar par downward pressure daal sakti hai.

Technically, USD/JPY daily chart ek interesting formation dikhata hai - ascending triangle. Yeh, bullish RSI indicator ke saath mil kar, yeh suggest karta hai ke pair shayad upper trendline of the triangle ko retest karne ki koshish kare near the psychological barrier of 157.00. Agar yeh level ke upar decisively break hota hai, to pair 160.32 ki taraf surge kar sakta hai, jo level 1990 se nahi dekha gaya.

Support levels bhi consider karna zaroori hai. Agar price immediate support ke neeche girti hai at the lower end of the triangle, uske baad key 155.50 level, to yeh aur neeche slide kar sakti hai test karne ke liye 21-day EMA at 155.25. Iss level ke neeche break ek potential reversal indicate karega aur USD/JPY par downward pressure daalega.

Overall, upcoming price action for USD/JPY 156.60 level par hinge karta hai. Agar 157.00 ke upar decisively close hota hai, to focus shift ho jayega resistance zone between 157.83 aur 158.70 par. Iss area ko conquer karna door khol sakta hai for a surge above 159.10 aur potentially even ek retest of the 34-year high at 160.20. Agar yeh level bahut strong sabit hota hai, to next potential upside targets ho sakte hain in the 161.53 to 162.50 range, jo potentially June 2023 resistance line ka break lead kar sakte hain.