USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

JPY Price Trend Assessment Hamari guftagu ka markaz USD/JPY currency pair ki live price movements ko decode karna hai. Local resistance breakout 156.95 par hai, jo ke daily trend ka continuation suggest karta hai, aur aim karta hai resistance level 160.18 par — jo ke daily range ka upper limit hai. Sellers ne is area mein ek “Double Top” reversal pattern form kiya hai. Maine is scenario ke liye prepare karte hue 160.18 par sell limit order set kiya tha. Magar market reverse hote hue breakout area se neeche gir gaya, jo previous trading idea ka return indicate karta hai ke ek local top 1-2-3 reversal pattern ke andar form kar raha hai.
Market ke frequent false signals ke bawajood, main cautious rahunga aur sell position enter nahi karunga jab tak pattern fully develop nahi hota. Aaj, maine USD/JPY positions analyze kiye, noting changes since the first half of the day. Participants ne pair ko 155.42-97 support zone se kharida, hoping ke pullback ho aur uptrend resume ho. Magar, initial long positions kaafi significant the ke ek breakdown trigger kar diya, jo decline lead kiya. Jaise jaise price girti gayi, participants ne dobara buying shuru kar di. Agar woh in positions ko hold karte hain, toh price consolidation ke baad decline kar sakti hai. Long positions reduce karna aur shorts ko pullback par increase karna ek aur low lead kar sakta hai, uske baad upward movement ho sakti hai.

Ab tak broken zone ke around 155 par rollback nahi hua, jahaan initial buyers likely hain. Agar rollback hota hai, toh yeh sellers ko invite kar sakta hai, creating a potential bear trap. USD/JPY pair complex dynamics exhibit karta hai with potential reversals aur traps. Key levels to watch are 156.97 for resistance and 155.42-97 for support. In areas ko monitor karna crucial hoga for making informed trading decisions. Yeh analysis ek structured approach provide karta hai market ki movements aur potential traps ko navigate karne

CHF, din giriftar hone ke saath khatam hua. Pehle toh 0.90723 ke qareeb barhao dekha gaya, phir is qareeb se wapas aaya aur 0.90250 ke saath se guzargaya. Din is support ke neeche band hua, is liye Monday ko, maine 0.89826 ke qareeb girao ko pehle darja par rakha. Kam az kam, maine umeed ki is support ko imtehan diya jaye ga, aur zyada se zyada, maine umeed ki ke qeemat in darjaon ke neeche band ho jaye gi. Qeemat 0.89256 ke nazdeek band hui, is liye aaj, main 0.88849 ke support ke taraf girao ko pehle darja par rakhta hoon. Kam az kam, main umeed karta hoon ke 0.89256 ke support ko imtehan diya jaye ga. Main char ghantay ke chart par USD/CHF jodi ke liye ek bearish pattern dekhta hoon, jo ek neeche ki taraf trend ka izhar karta hai. Chhoti position mazboot hai, aur maine do sell signals ka pehchan kiya hai. Sab se pehle, MACD oscillator histogram musbat se manfi shetra mein chala gaya hai, aur Alligator lines dakshin ki taraf ishara kar rahi hain. Yeh manzar yeh suggest karta hai ke qeemat 0.8920 ke zariye se gir jaye gi. H4 chart par USD/JPY ke baray mein, peechle haftay mein koi numaya harkat nahi dikhai gayi, aur is haftay ka aghaz halki girao ke saath hua. Halaanki, main ab bhi ek bullish manzar ki taraf hai. Maahwari timeframes, mahine ke down se lekar H4 muddat tak, sab bullish hain. Pichli barhao ka urooj tor kar, teesra barhao upar ki taraf rukh karne laga. Pehle

barhao par Fibonacci retracement tool ka istemal karte hue, potential izaaf ki nishaandahi 161.8% level par ki ja sakti hai, jo ke 160.16 ke haal ke tareekhi urooj ke qareeb hai. Agar qeemat is darje tak pahunchti hai, toh zyada shumaar urooj par jaayegi, jo ke wahan rukh karne ke liye naqabil e amal ban jayega. Is liye, momenti trading par kam timeframes par, abhi zyada ummeedwaar hai ke urooj par tawajju di jaye. Doosri currency pairs bhi nazdeek mustaqbil mein mazboot

se zyada traded currency pairs me se ek hai. Ye pair financial markets me bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai, aur iska asar global economic conditions aur investors ke decision making par hota hai. Iss maqale me hum USD/JPY ki current situation aur iske technical patterns par baat kareinge.

Currency Pair Ka Mafhoom

USD/JPY ka matlab hai ke ek US Dollar ke muqablay me kitne Japanese Yen milte hain. Yeh pair global trade aur investments ke liye bohot important hai, kyunki United States aur Japan, dono hi duniya ki bade economic powers hain. Dono mulkon ki monetary policies aur economic conditions ka is currency pair par seedha asar hota hai.

USD/JPY Ki Current Technical Analysis
Triangle Pattern

Aaj kal, USD/JPY me ek notable triangle pattern form ho rahi hai. Triangle pattern wo technical formation hoti hai jisme price action lower highs aur higher lows banata hai, jisse converging trendlines banti hain. Ye pattern aksar market me consolidation period ko dikhata hai, jahan buyers aur sellers dono ke darmiyan koi clear trend nahi hota.

Downtrend Channel

Is waqt, USD/JPY ek downtrend channel me trade ho raha hai jo ke H1 (one-hour) timeframe par dekha ja sakta hai. Downtrend channel do parallel trendlines se mil kar banta hai, jahan upar wali trendline resistance ka kaam karti hai aur niche wali trendline support ka. Yeh channel USD/JPY ko lower peaks aur troughs banane par majboor karta hai.
Jab price upper border of the downtrend channel ko touch karta hai, to selling pressure barh jata hai aur bearish sentiment reinforce hota hai. Ab, jab triangle pattern ka downward break upper border of the downtrend channel se coincide kar raha hai, to yeh ek significant bearish signal ban gaya hai.

USD/JPY Daily Time Frame Analysis
USD/JPY currency pair ko agar daily timeframe par dekha jaye to bohot si bullish signs nazar aati hain. Ek main indicator jo is view ko support karta hai woh hai 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ka 100-day EMA se upar hona. Yeh crossover strong bullish trend ko dikhata hai kyunki 50 EMA recent price movements par zyada tezi se react karta hai, jabke 100 EMA slower hota hai, jo ke sustained upward trend ko confirm karta hai. Pehle, USD/JPY ne aik correction face ki thi, magar yeh correction 50 EMA level ke aas paas ruk gayi, jo ke 154.691 ke price range mein tha. Yeh dikhata hai ke 50 EMA aik strong dynamic support level ka kaam kar raha hai aur price ka is level par hold karna yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers market ko dominate kar rahe hain aur apni positions ko is support area ke aas paas maintain karna chahte hain.



Iske ilawa, aik bullish rejection candle ka formation bhi strong signal deta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain. Yeh candle ek lambi lower tail aur choti candle body se characterized hoti hai, jo yeh indicate karti hai ke selling pressure ke bawajood, buyers ne price ko wapas upar push kiya pehle ke close hone se. Yeh pattern strong buying interest ko demonstrate karta hai is support level ke aas paas, jo future mein bullish potential ko reinforce karta hai. In sab technical indicators aur price action patterns ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY ke aage badhne ka potential kaafi zyada hai aur agla target pehle ke high level 157.716 par ho sakta hai, jo ke aik strong resistance level hai.

currency pair ned hāl hī mei ek potenshul downtrend ke shurū'ātī āsrāt dikhāye hai. Yeh harkat currency pair ke chart kī technical analysis mei wāzeh nazar ātī hai, jahān kai patterns aur signals bearish outlook kī taraf ishāra kartē haiñ. Filḥal, USD/JPY kā price ek aham support level, jo 156.195 hai, ko breach karne kī koshish kar rahā hai. Is critical threshold ke neeche girnā ek aham development hogī, jo mazeed declines ke liye rāstā saaf kar saktī hai. Haaliya trading sessions meiñ, market participants ne dekha ke pair apnī upward momentum ko qā'im rakhne meiñ mushkilāt kā shikār hai, jo weakening bullish strength ko zāhir kartā hai. Price action meiñ consolidation ke āsrāt dekhne ko milte haiñ, jo aksar ek potential reversal se pahle hotī hai. Technical analysts ghore se pair ke behavior ko is critical support level ke aas-pās dekh rahe haiñ, kyunke 156.195 ke neeche ek decisive break downtrend ke shuru hone ko confirm kar sakta hai.Market sentiment aur geopolitical developments bhī USD/JPY pair ke movement ko asar dāl sakte haiñ. Investors ghore se global events ko dekh rahe haiñ, jaise ke trade tensions, economic sanctions, aur political uncertainties, jo currency



markets par significant impacts dāl sakti haiñ. In areas meiñ koi bhī negative developments USD/JPY pair par downward pressure ko badha sakti haiñ. Iske ilāwa, traders aur investors central banks, special Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan, ke actions par tawajjo de rahe haiñ. Interest rates meiñ tabdeelī, monetary policy adjustments, aur in institutions kī taraf se forward guidance currency values ke critical drivers haiñ. Federal Reserve kā stance interest rates par utsalilar US dollar kī dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi ek chadhte hue channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai. Filhal, mai short positions kholne par gaur nahin kar raha hun. Short positions sirf us surat me relevant hongi jab qimat 155.811 ki support satah se niche gir jayegi. Is surat me, dollar/yen ka joda channel ko chor dega aur niche ki taraf jayega. Is dauran, ooper ka rujhan barqarar hai, jiska matlab hai keh short positions kholna tarjih hai. Qimat 156.79 ki muzahmati satah ki taraf badh rahi hai. Is nishan par, channel ki oopri hadd se pullback par short positions kholna ek danishmandana faisla hoga. Mutabadil ke taur par, agar qimat muzahmati satah se ooper toot jati hai to, dollar/yen ka joda faida badhayega strength par gehera asar dalta hai. Fed kī taraf se kisī bhī tarah kī dovishapproach ki

Haal hi mein USD/JPY currency pair mein kuch aise nishaanat samnay aaye hain jo is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke iska bullish momentum kamzor parh raha hai. Yeh currency pair pehle bohat tez se barh raha tha, magar aakhri do dino se iske rawayye mein kuch tabdeeli dekhne ko mili hai. 156.63 ke aas paas ka jo resistance level hai, usko yeh currency pair bar bar test kar raha hai magar usay tod nahi paa raha.

Resistance level woh mukam hota hai jahan per qeemat ko aage barhne mein mushkil hoti hai. Jab bhi qeemat us mukam par pohanchti hai, sellers market mein zyada ho jate hain aur qeemat niche gir jati hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke 156.63 per zyada tar log sell kar rahe hain is wajah se yeh mukam ek strong resistance ban gaya hai.

Jab currency pair resistance level ko bar bar test karta hai magar usay break nahi kar pata, to yeh is baat ka nishaan hota hai ke buyers ab itni taqat mein nahi hain. Bullish momentum tab hota hai jab buyers zyada hote hain aur qeemat ko upar le jaate hain. Magar agar buyers mein taqat nahi hai to phir qeemat aage barh nahi sakti.

Doosri cheez jo dekhne ko mili hai woh yeh ke price action mein consolidation nazar aa rahi hai. Consolidation ka matlab hota hai ke qeemat ek hi range mein idhar udhar ho rahi hai, na to bohot upar ja rahi hai na bohot niche. Yeh bhi is baat ka nishaan hai ke market mein uncertainty hai aur log abhi clear nahi hain ke aage kya hoga.

Iske ilawa, technical indicators bhi yeh bata rahe hain ke bullish momentum kamzor parh raha hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) jo ek mashhoor indicator hai, wo bhi ab overbought zone se nikal kar neutral zone mein aane laga hai. Jab RSI overbought hota hai to iska matlab hota hai ke qeemat bohot upar ja chuki hai aur ab wapas niche aane ke chances hain.

Akhir mein, market sentiment bhi thanda ho gaya hai. Economic data aur geopolitical factors bhi ab waisi positive news nahi de rahe jo pehle de rahe the. Yeh sab cheezein mil kar yeh signal de rahi hain ke USD/JPY pair ka bullish momentum ab sustain nahi ho pa raha aur ho sakta hai ke aane wale dinon mein yeh pair niche ki taraf move kare.

In sab baaton ko dekh kar yeh kehna galat nahi hoga ke USD/JPY pair ka bullish trend ab kamzor parh gaya hai aur yeh pair shayad ab consolidation phase mein enter ho gaya hai. Traders ko ab is baat par nazar rakhni chahiye ke kya yeh pair apna current resistance level break kar pata hai ya nahi, aur agar nahi, to yeh niche ki taraf kitna move karta hai.

Adaab. Meri tajziya ke mutabiq, maine ummeed ki hai ke USD/JPY jodi ke liye ek upar ki taraf ki harkat hogi. Main woh ahem rukawat leval par tawajjo dene wala hoon jo 156.83 par mojood hai. Agar qeemat is leval ko H1 timeframe chart par paar kar leti hai, to main mazeed upar ki taraf ki harkat ka intezar karunga.
Is manzarnama mein, main qeemat ko agle resistance leval ki taraf barhte hue dekhunga, jo 156.90-157.40 par mojood hai. Agar qeemat is leval ke upar jam jati hai, to yeh ek mojooda shumara ke liye ek qarar diya gaya manzar banayega upar ki taraf ke liye.

Maujooda resistance leval ke qareeb, hawaalat ke taraqqi ke do mumkinah manazir hain. Pehla manzar yeh hai ke qeemat 156.83 resistance leval ko paar karke aur mazeed barhti hai. Is surat mein, qeemat ka barhav agle resistance leval ki taraf hoga jo 156.90-157.40 par hai, yeh mera asli tawajjo ka markaz hoga. Main is leval par nazar rakhoonga ke dekhoon ke qeemat apne upar ki taraf ka rukh barqarar rakhe aur is ke upar jam jaye.

Doosra manzar yeh hai ke qeemat shayad foran 156.83 resistance leval ko paar na kar sake. Is surat mein, main mazeed taraqqi ke liye intezar karunga ke dekhoon ke qeemat bas is leval ke neeche jamti hai ya phir kuch waqtanah rukawat ka samna karta hai. Agar qeemat resistance leval ke neeche hi jamti hai, to yeh ishara karta hai ke qeemat dobara paar karne ke liye himmat ikattha kar rahi hai, jabke ek rukawat ka matlab hai ke ek doranay ke baad dobara upar ki taraf ki koshish hogi.

Chunancha, jo manzar kholne wala hai, woh beshak, 156.83 ke resistance leval par nazar rakho. Yeh leval upar ki taraf ki harkat ke liye aik ahem ishara ka kaam karega. Agar qeemat is leval ko paar karke aur is ke upar jamti hai, to yeh upar ki taraf ke rukh ki taqat aur mazeed faida dene ki sambhavna ko tasdeeq karega, agle target ke tor par resistance zone 156.90-157.40 ho sakta hai. Karobariyon ko is resistance leval par nazar rakhtay rahna chahiye aur do mumkinah manazir ke liye tayar rahna chahiye jo ho sakte hain.

Agar USD/JPY ke qeemat 156.88 ke upar chadhti hai, to yeh ishara hai ke kharidari karne wale naye upar ki taraf tawajjo kar rahe hain jo ke 157.23 ka ahem rukawat ka darja rakhta hai. Yeh leval ahem hai kyun ke yeh mazeed qeemat ke barhne ka rukh banata hai. Agar qeemat is leval ko guzar jati hai, to yeh ek taqatwar bullish momentum ki nishaandahi karta hai, jis se yeh maloom hota hai ke kharidari karne wale qaboo mein hain aur zyada kharidari karnay ke liye mustaid hain. Yeh qeemat barhne ki taraf mazeed izafa ki taraf le jaye ga. Jab qeemat in resistance levalon ke zariye barhti hai, to yeh upar ki harkat mein market ki itminan ko darust karta hai. Karobari yeh izhar ko musbat nishaandagi ke tor par dekhte hain, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke kharidari karne wale taqat hasil kar rahe hain aur apni qeemat ko mazeed barha saktay hain. 157.30 ke leval par kharidari karne wale khasi taqatwar hote hain, aur unka mojoodgi market mein bullish janibdaari ko mustaid karti hai. 156.88 ke leval ko paar karne se USD/JPY jori ke liye ek naye upar ki taraf rukh ki ibtida hai. Karobari is harkat ko khaas tor par dekhte hain jab yeh 157.23 ke rukawat leval ke qareeb pohanchti hai. Agar yeh leval guzarta hai, to yeh taqatwar bullish momentum ki nishandahi karta hai aur kharidari karne walon ki market mein itminan ko mustaid karta hai. Yeh resistance levalon ke zariye barhne ki progres, kharidari karne walon ki taqat mein izafa ko dikhata hai, jahan par 157.30 ke leval ke mojoodgi par khaas tor par zor diya jata hai.
Maujooda market shirayat ke mutabiq USD/JPY ke liye kharidari karne walon ke liye kuch mutasir signs dikhate hain, khaas tor par 156.67 zone ke aas paas. Yeh leval ek potenshal kharidari mauka lagta hai, jo aik halka upar ki tehqeeq ya ek waqtanah support area ko darust karta hai. Aaj ke liye 156.63 ke target ke saath aik kharidari ka mojooda markaz wazeh hai. Yeh yaqeeni banane ki zaroorat hai ke kisi bhi tabdiliyon ka jawab diya ja sake taake USD/JPY market mein kamiyabi ke chances ko behter banaya ja sake. Maujooda shirayat kharidari karne walon ke liye 156.78-157.20 zone ke qareeb haqiqat mein faida dainay wale hain, lekin ahem levalon aur market indicators par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Is tarah, traders apne imkaanat ko behter banate hain ke sahi waqt par positions ko shuru aur khatam kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ab aik dilchasp qeemat ka rawiya dikhata hai, jise traders ko tahlil karne ke liye ek peshawar sa pattern diya gaya hai. Abhi, isne ek tircha pattern bana liya hai, jiska neeche ka toot H1 timeframe downtrend channel ke upper border ke saath mil raha hai. Patterns ke is ittefaq ne keemat ke amal mein aham muddat paida ki hai, khaaskar jab yeh joda 156.94 aur 156.85 ke darmiyan resistance mein mubtala hota hai. Yeh zone ek se zyada trading sessions ke doran mazboot sabit hua hai, jo ke bhadne wale tircha model ka neeche ka kinara hai. Yeh isharaat dete hain ke aik toot aasman hai. Agar keemat is muqablay se oopar stable hoti hai, to market participants mazeed urooj ke momentum ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo shayad 157.43 se lekar 157.57 ke darmiyan ke upper had tak ja sakte hain. Mutasira tor par, is zone se palatna ek mujma nishan dene wala hai jis ka matlab niche rukh ki taraf hai, jo 156.43 se lekar 156.26 ke darmiyan ke support zone tak pohanch sakta hai
Aakhri dino ke hourly chart par, halqay ki harkatein ne kharidaron ki takat ko taaza kar diya hai local unchaaiyon ko update kar ke. Yeh bullish daawa oopar ki manfi rukh ki tafseelat ko zahir karta hai, shayad 158.35 se lekar 159.64 ke daraje ko nishana banate hue. Magar, ehtiyaat mashwara di jati hai kyun ke is range mein ahem farokht dabaav mojood ho sakta hai. Aik wasee nazariya lete hue,

USD/JPY pair ne ek arsy ke liye aik samta raftar ki muddat guzari hai, jo aik nazdeeki toot ka ishaara deta hai. Is ke bawajood, overall trend bullish hai, jo munafa ko jama karne ke liye aik pechidaat ko zaroori banata hai
Unchi timeframes par tawajjo di jati hai, pair ke haal ki rawayat haftay ke pivot level ke ird gird darust hai, jahan keemat ke amal ko aik tang range mein mehdood kiya gaya hai. Magar, 4 ghante ke chart par, aik uptrend wazeh hai, jahan pair aaram se Ichimoku badal ke upar trading kar raha hai, jo bullish jazbaat ko zahir karta hai. Mazeed, Stochastic indicator bhi oopar ki raftar ki isharaat faraham kar raha hai
Pichli trading session mein, bullish momentum jari raha, kharidaron ne apne position ko palatne wale level ke oopar mazboot kiya, jo ab 156.95 par mojood hai. Agli taraf dekhte hue, waqtan-fa-waqt barhne ki maqsad ko classic pivot points ke resistance levels bana sakte hain, jahan pehli resistance 157.61 ko toorna mazeed urooj ki harkat ko janam de sakti hai, jo 158.25 ke aas paas ke resistance line ki taraf tezi se





phelanay ki tarah. Mutasira tor par, bazaar ke neeche chalne ke moqa par, tawajjo ko 155.93 par mojood support level par di jani chahiye

Forex trading strategy
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum!
US dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi ne naye karobari ka aaghaz mazid faide ke sath ki aur filhal 157.42 ki muzahmati satah ki taraf badh rahi hai. Is tarah, market tezi ke mood me hai. Market participants me tezi ke jazbat ke bawajud, ham is imkan ko mustarad nahin kar sakte keh bears market par dobara se control hasil kar lenge. Tezi ki surat me, agar qimat 157.42 ki muzahmati satah se ooper jati hai to, ham musalsal ooper ki taraf movement ki tawaqqo kar sakte hain. Mutabadil ke taur par, agar bears bartari hasil kar lete hain to, market me niche ki taraf reversal dekhne ko milegi, jis me qimat qadre piche hategi ya mandi ki islah me dakhil hogi. Pullback ki surat me, dollar/yen ki jodi ke 156.45 ki support satah tak girne ki ummid hai. Is dauran, yaumiyah chart ek oopri rujhan ki nishandahi karta hai.

Alaikum! US dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi ne naye karobari ka aaghaz mazid faide ke sath ki aur filhal 157.42 ki muzahmati satah ki taraf badh rahi hai. Is tarah, market tezi ke mood me hai. Market participants me tezi ke jazbat ke bawajud, ham is imkan ko mustarad nahin kar sakte keh bears market par dobara se control hasil kar lenge. Tezi ki surat me, agar qimat 157.42 ki muzahmati satah se ooper jati hai to, ham musalsal ooper ki taraf movement ki tawaqqo kar sakte hain. Mutabadil ke taur par, agar bears bartari hasil kar lete hain to, market me niche ki taraf reversal dekhne ko milegi, jis me qimat qadre piche hategi ya mandi ki islah me dakhil hogi. Pullback

پر 7% تک کمائیں۔ currency pair ned hāl hī mei ek potenshul downtrend ke shurū'ātī āsrāt dikhāye hai. Yeh harkat currency pair ke chart kī technical analysis mei wāzeh nazar ātī hai, jahān kai patterns aur signals bearish outlook kī taraf ishāra kartē haiñ. Filḥal, USD/JPY kā price ek aham support level, jo 156.195 hai, ko breach karne kī koshish kar rahā hai. Is critical threshold ke neeche girnā ek aham development hogī, jo mazeed declines ke liye rāstā saaf kar saktī hai. Haaliya trading sessions meiñ, market participants ne dekha ke pair apnī upward momentum ko qā'im rakhne meiñ mushkilāt kā shikār hai, jo weakening bullish strength ko zāhir kartā hai. Price action meiñ consolidation ke āsrāt dekhne ko milte haiñ, jo aksar ek potential reversal se pahle hotī hai. Technical analysts ghore se pair ke behavior ko is critical support level ke aas-pās dekh rahe haiñ, kyunke 156.195 ke neeche ek decisive break downtrend ke shuru hone ko confirm kar sakta hai.Market sentiment aur geopolitical developments bhī USD/JPY pair ke movement ko asar dāl sakte haiñ. Investors ghore se global events ko dekh rahe haiñ, jaise ke trade tensions, economic sanctions, aur political uncertainties, jo currency markets par significant impacts dāl sakti haiñ. In areas meiñ koi bhī negative developments USD/JPY pair par downward pressure ko badha sakti haiñ. Iske ilāwa, traders aur investors central banks, special Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan, ke actions par tawajjo de rahe haiñ. Interest rates meiñ tabdeelī, monetary policy adjustments, aur in institutions kī taraf se forward guidance currency values ke critical drivers haiñ. Federal Reserve kā stance interest rates par utsalilar US dollar kī dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi ek chadhte hue channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai. Filhal, mai short positions kholne par gaur nahin kar raha hun. Short positions sirf us surat me relevant hongi jab qimat 155.811 ki support satah se niche gir jayegi. Is surat me, dollar/yen ka joda channel ko chor dega aur niche ki taraf jayega. Is dauran, ooper ka rujhan barqarar hai, jiska matlab hai keh short positions kholna tarjih hai. Qimat 156.79 ki muzahmati satah ki taraf badh rahi hai. Is nishan par, channel ki oopri hadd se pullback par short positions kholna ek danishmandana faisla hoga. Mutabadil ke taur par, agar qimat muzahmati satah se ooper toot jati hai to, dollar/yen ka joda faida badhayega strength par gehera asar dalta hai. Fed kī taraf se kisī bhī tarah kī dovishapproach ki

USD/JPY

Japanese Yen (JPY) ne pichle kuch dino mein rollercoaster ride dekhi hai. Do din ki decline ke baad, Yen ki future uncertain nazar aa rahi hai. Ek taraf, US Dollar (USD) mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke last Friday ko release hone wale positive US employment data se buoyed hai. Yeh USD/JPY exchange rate ko strong kar raha hai. Lekin, Monday ko Japan se release hone wale data se yeh bhi lagta hai ke Yen ka girna limited ho sakta hai. Japan ke economic reports mixed bag offer karte hain. Pehle quarter ki GDP contracted hui hai, lekin decline expected se kam tha. Yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke economy utni buri haalat mein nahi jitna pehle dar tha.

Lekin, rising US debt yields se US Dollar Index (DXY) up ja raha hai, matlab USD dusri major currencies, including Yen, ke against value gain kar raha hai. Yen ke problems mein aur bhi izafa ho raha hai kyunki US mein hawkish Federal Reserve ka expectation hai. Strong employment report un logon ko aur zyada bold banati hai jo interest rates ko raise karne ke advocate hain. Yeh USD ko investors ke liye aur bhi attractive banata hai, jo Yen par aur zyada downward pressure dalta hai.

Phir bhi, Yen ke rebound hone ka chance abhi bhi hai. Market analysis tools ke mutabiq, September mein significant Fed rate hike ke odds slightly decrease huye hain. Yeh USD ko weaken kar sakta hai aur Yen ko thodi breathing room de sakta hai.

Technical indicators ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair abhi 157.10 ke around trade kar raha hai. Chart analysis upward trend suggest karti hai, aur currency ascending channel mein consolidate ho rahi hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) 50 se upar hai, jo potential upward movement ka dusra sign hai.

Lekin, aage hurdles hain. Agar USD/JPY psychological barrier 158.00 ko break karta hai, to yeh USD/JPY ko soaring kar ke 158.60, jo 30 saal ki high hai, tak le ja sakta hai. Usse bhi upar resistance 160.32 par hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY dip hota hai, to support lagta hai 154.90 par, jo 50-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) ke saath coincide karta hai. Aur zyada decline se pair ko bearish support area 152.80 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai.

Conclusion mein, Yen ka future trajectory abhi bhi unclear hai. Jabke US Dollar abhi strong hai, Japan ka economic data aur potential Fed policy shifts Yen ko thodi support de sakte hain. Agle kuch din crucial honge yeh determine karne mein ke USD/JPY exchange rate kaunsi direction leta hai.

Financial market ne haali mein aik ahem tabdeeli dekhi hai, jo ke ab ek bilkul bearish (niche jaane wali) soorat-e-haal mein tabdeel ho gayi hai. Yeh jazba (sentiment) ka tabdeeli ek downward channel ko janam de rahi hai, jo ke ek technical pattern hai aur yeh dikhata hai ke bechne wale (sellers) market par abhi bohot ziyada qaboo rakh rahe hain. Is bearish trend ki pehchaan ek series of lower highs aur lower lows se hoti hai, jo ke is baat ki nishandahi karte hain ke yeh niche ki taraf ka rujhan qareebi future mein barqarar rehne wala hai.
Technical analysis mein, downward channel ka nazar aana ek saaf signal hota hai ke market neechay ja rahi hai. Yeh pattern tab banta hai jab price musalsal lower highs aur lower lows ko hit karti hai, aur do parallel trendlines ko banati hai jo ke neeche ki taraf jhuki hoti hain. Upper trendline resistance ke tor par kaam karti hai, jabke lower trendline support ke tor par. Jab price is channel ke andar move karti hai, to yeh dikhata hai ke sellers dominate kar rahe hain, har rally par dobara selling pressure aata hai aur price ko neeche dhakel deta hai.

Is waqt, market bohot strong downward momentum dikhati hai, aur lagta hai ke yeh trajectory barqarar rahegi. Mukhtalif indicators aur market signals is outlook ko support karte hain, aur traders aur investors mein bearish sentiment ko mazid mazbooti dete hain. Ek ahem pehlu is trend ka yeh hai ke price ko resistance line ke upar break karne mein naakamiyabi hoti hai. Har rally ke koshish par selling pressure aata hai, jo ke price ko phir se niche dhakel deta hai aur downward trend ko reinforce karta hai.

Jab hum current market conditions ka tajzia karte hain, to yeh wazeh hota hai ke price aur bhi neeche girne ke imkaanat hain. Is waqt ke downward momentum ko dekhte hue, yeh ba-mamool hai ke price girti rahegi jab tak ke yeh ek significant support level ko nahi choomti. Is silsile mein, 157.515 level ek ahem target ban kar samne aata hai. Yeh level historical price action aur technical indicators par mabni hai, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh current downtrend ka potential floor ho sakta hai

157.515 level bina kisi wajh ke nahi chuna gaya; yeh ek critical support level hai jo ke guzishta market behavior se derived hai. Tareekhi tor par, yeh level ek significant pivot point ke tor par kaam kiya hai, jahan prices ne pehle support paaya tha aur phir reverse hui thi. Jab price is level ke qareeb aayegi, to yeh ummed hai ke buying interest barh sakti hai, jo ke downward momentum ko temporary tor par rok sakti hai. Magar, agar bearish sentiment strong rehta hai, to yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price is support level ke neeche gir jaye, jo ke mazeed girawat ko janam de sakti hai

Usd/jpy

Agar USD/JPY ke qeemat 156.88 ke oopar chadhti hai, to iska matlab hai ke kharidar naye trend ki taraf rawana hain jo ke ahem 157.23 resistance level ki taraf ja raha hai. Ye level ahem hai kyun ke ye mazeed qeemat barhane ko rukawat deta hai. Agar qeemat is level ko paar kar leti hai, to ye ek mazboot bullish momentum ko darust karta hai, jisse ke kharidar qaboo mein hain aur zyada khareedari jari rakhne ke qabil hain. Ye qeemat mein mazeed izafa ka sabab banta hai. Jab qeemat in resistance levels se guzarti hai, to ye market ki umeed ko upward movement mein dikhata hai. Traders is taraqqi ko ek musbat alamat ke taur par dekhte hain, jis ka matlab hai ke kharidar ki taqat barh rahi hai aur wo apni qeemat ko mazeed barha sakte hain. 157.30 level par, kharidar khaas tor par mazboot hain, aur unki maujoodgi market mein bullish sentiment ko mazboot karti hai. 156.88 level ko paar kar dena USD/JPY pair ke liye aik naye upward trend ka aghaz darust karta hai. Traders is harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaaz karte hain jab ye 157.23 resistance level ki taraf ja rahi hoti hai. Agar ye level paar kiya jaata hai, to iska matlab hai ke mazboot bullish momentum hai aur kharidar ki market mein umeed ko mazboot karta hai. In resistance levels ke guzarnay se kharidar ki taqat mein izafa dikhata hai, khaas tor par unki maujoodgi ka zikar 157.30 level par hai. Mahaz ye kehna ke resistance ko tor diya gaya hai aur ek naye ooncha range ko qaim kiya ja raha hai. Chahe jo scenario pesh aaye, 156.83 resistance level par qareebi nazar rakhna intehai ahem hai. Ye level potential upward movement ka aik ahem peshgoi karne wala nishan hai. Agar qeemat is level ko paar kar leti hai aur is ke oopar mazboot ho jata hai, to ye upward trend ki taqat ko tasdiq karega aur mazeed resistance levels ki taraf rawana hone ki sambhavna darust karega. Maqami resistance level ke qareeb, halat ke taraqqi ka do mumkin scenarios hain. Pehla scenario ye hai ke qeemat 156.83 resistance level ko tor kar mazeed barh rahi hai. Is halat mein, qeemat ka rawana ko 156.90-157.40 ke qareeb ka resistance level meri sarahat hogi. Main is level par nazar rakhoonga ke dekhoon ke qeemat apna upward trajectory banaye rakhti hai aur is ke oopar jamaye rahe.