USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Adaab! US market ke khulne ke baad se, 155.70 resistance level par asar rukna nahi hai. Aaj subah bhi isay torne ki koshish ki gayi magar kamyabi nahi mili. Hum yahan se durust karenge. Neeche ki taraf 155.17 ki taraf daur chal raha hai, jo ek umeedwar murawwat ka aghaz hai aur asya mein sabit hota hai; 30-minute chart par, volume bearish ilaqon mein dakhil ho raha hai, lekin growth index buland satah par hai. Iska kya matlb hai? Mustaqbil ke harkatain rukh mein mukhtalif hogi, lekin ghanton ke chart ke mutabiq, mojooda growth pehli tafreeq hai.
Keemat ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, 4-hour growth index bullish ilaqon mein dakhil hone mein kamiyab nahi hui hai, aise aham teen dinon ke faiday ke sath, isliye darmiyan-i-muddat ke kharidaron ka USDJPY ke faiday ko support nahi hai aur woh jor-tor par majmooi currencyon ke ulat-phir ki taraf dekh rahe hain. Magar mukhtalif baat hai, kyun ke bari currencyon mein abhi bhi wahi position hai, jabke US dollar Euro ki kamzori ke darmiyan barh raha hai.

Asal mein, aaj tak rozana ke line ka uppertari chaannel toota nahi hai, trend abhi bhi bullish hai; mazeed is ke, 4-hour growth index ne kal lambay ilaqon mein barhna shuru kiya tha, aur agar aaj giray na toh yeh lambay ilaqon mein barh jayega. Yeh pair ko zor se ungliyon par utha sakta hai; bilkul yeh nahi ke keemat sahi nahi hogi, magar index aur volume ke muttahid barhne ka ishaara uttar ki taraf hota hai. Mukhtasar, aaj ki had 155.70/155.17 hai, aur kisi ek taraf toot jaane par, mukhtasir lehron ka rukh hoga

Kal, USD/JPY currency pair ke mustaqbil mein aage barhne ka silsila jari raha aur 155.68 ke qareeb local low par band hua. Aaj, thora sa rujhaan ke baad, keemat woh bulanday test kar rahi hai aur mazeed barh sakti hai, ab naye be-tawazun ilaqay tak pohanch gayi hai, jo 156.08-157.38 hai. Yeh ilaqa wide hai aur agar keemat barh jati hai toh palat bhi sakti hai. Isi ilaqe mein aik trend line bhi hogi, jo aik dynamic rukawat ka kaam karegi aur keemat par asar daal sakti hai. Agar hum neeche ke taraf kya intizar kar rahe hain, toh H4 mein hum dekhte hain ke haal hi mein be-tawazun ilaqa 154.75-154.88 ke aas paas hai aur poori uppertari line ke saath itni liquidity ikhatti ho rahi hai, jald hi keemat ko isay ikhatta karna padega aur isay aik achha pullback dena padega magar us ke liye, ek wajah di jaani chahiye khabron ya kisi aur bunyadi factor ke roop mein jo market ko dara sake aur USD/JPY ko kamzor kar sake

Kal USD/JPY jodi ek shaant din tha, thori si izafa ke saath, sir ke oopar halki si phailti. Aaj bhi sar ko thoda sa neeche dabaya gaya, abhi tak bearish logon ke liye umeedon ka koi zyada sabab nahi hai. Unho ne bhi keemat ko samjha aur sab se oopar hi rahay. Girne ki koshishen foran rok di gayi hain. Lehar ki tarteeb apne order ko oopar ki taraf bana rahi hai, MACD indicator upper buy zone mein badh raha hai aur apne signal line ke upar hai. Magar CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche aata ja raha hai, sirf haal hi mein upper zone se neeche se cross kiya hai, yeh girawat yahan se barhne ki imkaan ko barha deti hai. Magar shayad woh ab bhi thoda sa maximum ko update kar sakte hain. Girne ki koshish hui jismein keemat ne pehle ahem support level 153.40 tak lagbhag pohanchi aur jaise hi kaante se kaat gayi, keemat is ilaqe se phir se upar tezi se chali gayi. Main ab bhi ek taalukati girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon jo 151.90 ke ilaqe ke qareeb ho, yeh sirf ek level nahi hai, balki yehan ka aham watershed level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ke liye maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat ne ek mahine tak ise neeche dabaya tha, is se bahar jaane ki himmat nahi hui

Magar ab woh chali gayi aur ab wapas nahi jaana chahti. Magar main ab bhi yeh samajhta hoon ke woh ise ek magnet ki tarah is level tak khenchenge, breakdown ke baad ek ulta test karna zaroori hai, chahe hum naye unchaaiyon tak bhi jaayein jo terminal ke puri tareekh mein kabhi dekhi nahi gayi hoon. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hota, aap kharid nahi sakte; aap bazaar ke top ko pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahan ek qatati inteha hai, taar phail gaya hai aur ek shiddat bhari girawat ho sakti hai. Meri raye mein, yahan par H4 ya kam az kam H1 par ek aaina darjaat ki shakal mein intezar karna chahiye, taake support resistance mein badal jaye aur ek taalukati rollback ko 151.90 ke ilaqe ki taraf nishaan bandh sake. H4 par, jab mojooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gaya hai, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, to aap ko bilkul bhi kharidna nahi chahiye. Aaj ki iqtisadi taqweem ahem iqtisadi khabron ke baghair hai

USDJPY ki movement Fibonacci levels par mabni hai. Market price 154.279 abhi 0% level (153.961) aur 50% level (154.321) ke darmiyan hai jo Fibonacci grid se banaya gaya hai. 100% level ka upper point kal ke Daily HIGH par set hai jo 154.681 price par hai. 0% level ka lower point Daily LOW - 153.961 par hai. Daily candle ke lower hisse par hona ek bearish pattern banata hai, 23.6% (154.131), 38.2% (154.236) se lekar extreme bearish resistance 50% (154.321) tak. Is se oopar control ko barqarar rakhna zaroori hai taake market ko upar na le jaaye. Market consolidation 50% level (154.321) ke oopar ek bullish direction mein developlower point Daily LOW - 153.961 par hai. Daily candle ke lower hisse par hona ek bearish pattern banata hai, 23.6% (154.131), 38.2% (154.236) se lekar extreme bearish resistance 50% (154.321) tak. Is se oopar control ko barqarar rakhna zaroori hai taake market ko upar na le jaaye. Market consolidation 50% level (154.321) ke oopar ek bullish direction mein develop hoti hai jo 100% level (154.681) ki taraf jaati hai. Is manzarnama mein 50% level (154.321) se mukhalif taraf market ka lautna ek buying entry point dhoondhne ki ijazat hai. Bechnay ke liye faida hasil karne ke liye take profits levels -23.6% (153.791) aur -38.2% (153.686) par rakhe gaye hain jahan price rukti hai, kyunki market mukhalif rukh mein chalne lagti barqarar rakhna zaroori hai taake market ko upar na le yes. Market consolidation 50% level (154.321) ke oopar ek bullish direction mein develop hoti hai jo 100% level (154.681) ki taraf jaati hai. Is manzarnama mein 50% level (154.321) se mukhalif taraf market ka lautna ek buying entry point dhoondhne ki ijazat hai. Bechnay ke liye faida hasil karne ke liye take profits levels -23.6% (153.791) aur -38.2% (153.686) par rakhe gaye hain jahan price rukti hai, kyunki market mukhalif rukh mein chalne lagti hai, jisse mae'eshat ki manzoori ho jati Hi.

se yeh darust karta hai ke market ke khilari shayad Asia ke authorities ki seriousness ko test kar rahe hain, khas tor par Japan ke, jo verbals intercession ki koshish ki hai. Aise interventions ab tak asarmand sabit nahi hue hain, Japan aur Korea ke darmiyan tanzeem shuda intercession ka imkan zyada barh jata hai, khas tor par agar USDJPY currency pair 157.00 ka ahem level guzar jata hai. Japani hukumat ka Yen ki kamzori ka inkaar Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki ek interest rate increase ke nakami ko izhar karta hai jo march mein hui thi. Ye harkat investors ko doosre mumalik mein ziada munafa dene ki talaash mein rok nahi sakti. BOJ ko mustaqbil ki meetings mein policy tightening ka zyada mazboot commitment dikhani chahiye. Agar ye nahi kiya gaya to unhe foreign exchange intercession pe wapas jana pad sakta hai, jo ke aik limited long-term effectiveness ka rasta hai
H1 mein baray time frame ka tajziya karte hue, mujhe nazar aata hai ke linear regression channel urooj par hai. Mere liye, ye M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai. Ye yeh darust karta hai ke bulls mazboot hain. M15 channel se aane wala signal kharidnay ka darust karta hai, jo ke meri khwahish ko mazeed taqwiyat deta hai. Mujhe bas sahi jagah par keemat ka intezar karna hai aur wahan se kharidnay ka moqa talash karna hai. Jahan tak ke mai mojooda surat haal mein kharidnay ka moqa talash karta hoon, wo hai 154.125 mein nichlay channel ki hadood. Wahan se, mai phir se 155.065 tak kharidnay ki koshish karta hoon. Maqsood ko musalsal izafa ke saath hasil karna, aik mazboot uroojat ka saboot hai. 155.065 se ikhtiyarat ka moqa banane ka imkan buland hai, jabke bullish movement intikhab ki gayi hai. Agla, bulls apni harkat ko dobara mustehkam karne ki koshish karenge. Agar 154.125 ka dakhli point neechay

Maujooda surat-e-haal jo Bank of Japan aur uske currency market mein mukhtalif dakhilay par mabni hai, bohot uljhanjanak hai. Mujooda maloomat aur haal hi ke muamlaat ke baare mein shak o shubaat hone ke bawajood, is masle par kisi final rai ka ikhtitam karna mushkil hai. Jo humein pata hai woh ye hai ke currency market ko mutasir karne ke liye kafi resources hain, aur agar yen dollar ke muqable mein mazeed kamzor hoti hai to kya bank dobara mudakhlat karega, yeh ek ahem sawal hai.
Amreeki Khazane Wazir ne mudakhlat ke khilaf tanbeeh ki hai, jo United States ke is tarah ke amal se mutalliq fikron ka izhar karti hai. In tanbeehon ke bawajood, yen apni qeemat mein kami jaari rakh rahi hai, jis se bohot se logon ne BoJ ke mustaqbil ki mudakhlaton par tajwezat dena shuru kar diye hain. Bank of Japan ke peechle amal, sath hi maujooda market ke harkat, mazeed fa'al harkat ka mawaqah dikhate hain jab USD/JPY taqreeban 156.52 ke qareeb ho raha hai. Tajarbaton ke mutabiq agar mubadalat dar is satah ko guzar gaya, to yeh bikri ke liye ek moqa ka paigham paish karta hai. Agar mahalli market shirakat daron mein yen ki mustaqilgi par yaqeen na rakhe, to yeh currency ke baray market ke aitmaad par sawalon ko uthata hai. USD/JPY jodi ki raftar ko dekhte hue, ye wazeh hai ke ye ek urdu channel ke andar move kar rahi hai, jo kayi martaba takneeki tajziyat ki kitabon mein aam hai. 152.0 ke ird gird ke potenti tezabi hone ka imkan hai ya phir ek tay zor se guzar sakta hai, jo mabain ki gayi trend ke mutabiq USD/JPY ko 156 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Dopahar mein mein jo satahain mention ki gayi thi, un par koi imtehanat nahi hue. Hum bohot qareeb pohanch gaye the 155.66 ko imtehanat dene ke liye, jahan humein dollar bechnay ka acha mauqa mil sakta tha. Amumtan, umeedwar trend intahi rahe. Aaj, Japan ne mohtasib roport jari ki hai average cash earnings aur mulk ka leading economic index, lekin market ne in roporton ko nazar andaz kiya hai. Zyada tar, bullish bias barqarar rahega, kyunke iske palatne ke liye asal ziruriyat nahi hain, agar Bank of Japan mudakhlat na kare. Zyada tar traders kisi bhi palatne ka faida uthayenge, agar koi bhi, aur trend ko jari rakhne ke liye lambi positions banayenge, jo main bhi par zor dene wala hoon. Kharidari signals Scenario No. 1. Aaj main USD/JPY kharidunga jab keemat chart par hari line se 155.96 tak pohanchti hai, ummed hai ke 156.43 ki taraf izafa hoga jo chart par zyada moti hari line se darj kiya gaya hai. 156.43 ke ilaqe mein, main lambi positions se bahar nikalunga aur mukhalfat ki taraf short positions kholunga, umeed hai ke us satah se 30-35 pips ka movement mukhalfat ki taraf ho. Aaj USD/JPY ke istiqbal par umeed ki ja sakti hai upar ki taraf chalne ke trend ka. Kharidne se pehle, yeh yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se oopar hai aur abhi sirf uske oper se uthna shuru hua hai

Maujooda qeemat ki karwai D1 chart par ye dikhata hai ke keemat ek trend line se muqabla kar rahi hai. Ye rukawat market ke dynamics mein mazeed ahmiyat ka izafa karti hai, jo upri harkat mein kami ki mumkinah hadood ko zahir karta hai. Trend line se rukawat ka mojood hona ye ishara karta hai ke keemat ko is se guzarna mushkil ho sakta hai, jis se muddat-e-muwazna ya durusti ka dor shuru ho sakta hai. Dorustiyan Mukammal Hone Ke Imkanat:

Trend line se rukawat ke doran, keemat ki dorustiyon mein durustiyan mukammal hone ka intezar karna aam tor par tawaqqa ki jati hai. Ye dorustiyan bari trend ke andar mukhtalif waqt ke liye thamne wale naram durustiyon ko darust karti hain aur traders ko apni positions ko dobara tajziyah karne ka moqa deti hain. Jabke dorustiyan kharidne ya farokht karne ke moqaat faraham kar sakti hain aghazat ke sath, lekin naye positions kholne se pehle tasdeeqi isharon ka intezar karna ahem hai.

Ulat Phir Ki Tasdeeqi Ahmiyat:

Maujooda manzar mein, keemat ka pattern ek upar ka trend darusti ko dikhata hai. Magar, ek position kholne se pehle, ulat phir ki tasdeeq ka intezar karna nihayat zaroori hai. Ulat phir ki tasdeeqi isharay market ke jazbat mein ezafi tabdeeli ko zahir karte hain aur traders ko unke trading faislon mein ziada itminan faraham karte hain. Tasdeeqi isharon ka intezar khatre ko dafa karne mein madad karta hai premature positions mein dakhil hone ka khatra kam kar ke aur moujooda market ki raah ke sath milta julta banata hai

Aage dekhte hue, agar pair ane wale dino mein 154.25 ke rukawat darja ko tor leta hai, to ye market ki raay mein tabdeeli ka ishara ho sakta hai. Aise achanak darusti ko darusti ki barhao ki nishani samjha jayega aur ye JPY ko 154.60-155.20 tak le ja sakta hai. Traders ko is ahem darusti ke ird gird ke keemat ki harkaton ko tawajjo se dekhte rehna chahiye takay ulat phir ke imkan ki taqat ko samjha ja sake aur apni trading strategies ko mutabiq bandobast kiya ja sake

Maujooda USD/USD market ki halat mein wazeh giraawat ka trend nazar aata hai, khaaskar H1 time frame par, jahan candlesticks hamesha moving average line ke neeche hain. Iss ke bawajood, Bearish activity mein rukawat ki nishaaniyan mojood hain, jo Relative Strength Index (RSI) mein oversold shiraa'at se zahir hoti hain. Yeh ek mojooda bearish jazba ko darust karta hai jo USD ke khilaaf apne aap ko kamzor karne ki taraf hai

Technical analysis mein gehrayi se ghor karte hue, H1 time frame par candle ki neeche ki taraf giraawat ka rukh mojooda bearish jazba ko mazbooti deta hai, halankeh oversold RSI readings ke ishaare se neeche ki raftar mein mumkinah dhimi rukh ki subtil nishaniyan bhi hain. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur tajziye ko qareeb se dekhte rehna chahiye. Ulat pher ki tasdeeq signals bazaar ki jazbaat mein numaya tabdili ko dikhate hain aur traders ko unke trading decisions par zyada itminan faraham karte hain. Tasdeeq ka intezar pehle se positions mein dakhil hone ka khatra kam karta hai aur bazaar ke mawafiq rukh ki itaat ko yaqeeni banaata hai

Mustaqbil ke mansoobe ke hawale se, mera tawajjo 160.400 ke resistance level par rakhna hai. Agar keemat is level ke ooper jam jati hai, to mein mazeed izafa ka intezar karunga 164.500 ki taraf, rukh ki tasdeeq ke liye trading setups ka intezar karta hoon. Main nazdeeki support levels ki taraf laute hue pullbacks ke liye tayar rahunga, ek mumkin uptrend continuation ke liye bullish signals ka pehchanne ki koshish karta rahunga. Dusra tareeqa, agar 160.400 ke qareeb ek reversal candle ho, to mein neeche ki taraf raftar ka intezar karunga 156.000 ke support level ki taraf, mumkinah targets 153.587 aur 152.589 par. Halaat ke bawajood, mein apni strategy ko bazaar ki surat haal ke mutaabiq adjust karta rahunga. Jodi ke volatality behtareen trading opportunities pesh karti hai, khaaskar tawajjo recent downward cycle aur potential corrective pullbacks par hai. Fibonacci levels ko hidaayat ki tool ke tor par istemaal karna, pair apni fluctuation jari rakhta hai aur USD/JPY currency pair ka mutanasib jaiza deta hai, jis mein dono 4-hour aur daily charts par crucial resistance aur support levels hain. Tafseeli analysis yeh ishaara deti hai ke agar mojooda resistance tooti, to 155.37 aur 157.59 ki taraf potential upward movement mumkin hai

USD/JPY ke market mein khareedne walon ke lehaz se nazar aati hai. Unho ne 154.66 zone tak pohanch gaye hain. Yeh ek rukawat ka ilaqa hai jahan se khareedne walay apna safar jari rakh sakte hain. Mazeed, aaj ke market ka manzar dekhne mein aata hai ke khareedne walon ka dominion nazar aa raha hai, ek phenomenon jo market ke shirakat daron ke liye strategic mauqe pesh karta hai. In paniyon mein safar karne wale khareedne walon ke liye, zinda rehne ka zariya incoming news data ka shrewd nigrani karna hai, ek practice jo khaaskar news-driven trading strategies mein shamil logon ke liye behad ahem hai. Maqwiyat se mutalliq news ka real-time assimilation traders ke liye ek compass ka kaam karti hai, jo unhe market ke complexities mein rehnumai karta hai. Breaking developments ka faida uthakar, hum apne aap ko faida mand taur par position mein daal sakte hain, market sentiment ko unke faislon ki rehnumai ke liye istemal karte hue. Overall, USD/JPY ke market ab bhi khareedne walon ke lehaz se rahega. Unhe baad mein 154.87 ke level ko guzar sakte hain. Magar, market mein mojood volatility ihtiyaat aur risk management ko zaroori banata hai.


Tides jaldi aur bina soche samjhe palat sakti hain, mazeed khareedne wale market mein bhi. Is liye, stop-loss mechanisms ka prudent adoption mazidar tor par mashwara diya jata hai. Stop-loss orders ko trading strategies mein shaamil karna ek hifazati dhaman ka kaam karta hai, accounts ko abrupt market reversals aur unforeseen downturns ke khatron se bachata hai. USD/JPY ke case mein, yeh proactive approach sirf capital ko nahi bachata balki trading practices mein bhi nazar rakhta hai. Mazeed, technical indicators ka istemal contemporary trader ke weapon mein ek ahem asar hota hai. Ye analytical instruments traders ko market dynamics ka detailed understanding faraham karte hain, raw data ko par karke mool trends aur sentiment ko wazeh karte hain. Indicators ke insights ka istemal karke, traders market ke terrain ko barhawa aur itminan ke sath tay karte hain. Yaad rakhen ke trend hamara dost hai. Is liye, USD/JPY par trading karte waqt stop loss ka istemal zaroori hai.

Dopahar mein jo levels maine zikr kiye, un par koi test nahi hua. Hum 155.66 tak bohot qareeb pohanch gaye thay, jahan se humein dollar bechnay ka acha entry point mil sakta tha. Aam tor par, urooj darust trend barkarar hai. Aaj, Japan ne mo'tazilah reports jari kiye hain aam taur par cash earnings aur mulk ka leading economic index ke hawale se, lekin market ne in reports ko nazar andaz kiya. Bohat zyada mumkin hai ke bullish bias jari rahega, kyun ke iske palat k liye koi haqeeqi shara'it nahi hain, agar Bank of Japan dakhal andazi na kare. Zahir hai ke traders kisi bhi pullbacks ka faida uthayenge, agar koi ho, aur trend ko jari rakhne k liye long positions banaenge, jis par main bhi tawajjo doonga. Muqarar ghari k liye tajziati strategy par, main No. 1 aur No. 2 ke scenarios ka zyada bharosa doonga.

Khareedne ki alamat Scenario No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY khareedna chahta hoon jab qeemat 155.96 tak pohanch jaye jo chart par sabz line se darust kiya gaya hai, umeed hai ke qeemat 156.43 tak barh jaye jo chart par zyada moti sabz line se darust ki gayi hai. 156.43 k ilaqe mein, main lambi positions ko band karunga aur mukhalfat mein short positions kholunga, umeed hai ke is level se mukhalfat mein 30-35 pips k saath movement hogi. Aap aaj USD/JPY ki urooj darust trend mein izafa ka intezar kar sakte hain. Khareedne se pehle, yeh yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur sirf is mark se uthne lag gaya hai.

Scenario No. 2. Main bhi aaj USD/JPY khareedna chahta hoon agar do muzafati tests 155.52 ke waqt hoti hain jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hota hai. Ye jodi ke neeche ki potential ko mehdood kar dega aur market ko palatne ki taraf le jayega. Hum umeed kar sakte hain ke 155.96 aur 156.43 ke mukhalfat level tak izafa hoga.

Farokht ki alamat Scenario No. 1. Main aaj sirf 155.52 ke level ko test karne k baad USD/JPY bechna chahta hoon jo chart par surkhi line se darust kiya gaya hai, jo qeemat ki tezi se girawat la sakti hai. Farokht karne walon ka markazi nishana 155.07 hoga, jahan main short positions band karunga aur foran mukhalfat mein long positions bhi kholunga, umeed hai ke is level se mukhalfat mein 20-25 pips k saath movement hogi. USD/JPY par dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar qeemat aaj ke uncha nahi set hoti. Farokht karne se pehle, yeh yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur sirf is mark se gira hai.

Scenario No. 2. Main bhi aaj USD/JPY farokht karna chahta hoon agar do muzafati tests 155.96 ke price ke waqt hote hain jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hota hai. Ye jodi ke upar ki potential ko mehdood kar dega aur market ko neeche ki taraf palat dega. Hum umeed kar sakte hain ke 155.52 aur 155.07 ke mukhalfat level tak girawat hogi.

USDJPY currency pair ki taraf rukh ka dor hai. H1 waqt frame par, significant extreme urooj darja, zig zag indicator ki madad se dikhaya gaya hai, jaise ke qeemat mein ahem kam aur urooj darja. Trend indicator aik moving average hai jis ka dor 120 hai jo qeemat ke neeche hai, yeh buyers ki taqat ko darust karta hai. Aaj behtar hai ke 153.90 ke level se khareedari ka tajziyah kiya jaye, pehla take profit 154.30 ke qeemat ke level par rakhna behtar hai, dosra take profit 154.70 ke level par rakhna hai, aur do orders ke liye stop loss 153.60 ke level par set kiya gaya hai. Agar pair 153.30 ke qeemat par mustawi hojata hai, toh market ki situation tabdeel ho sakti hai, phir bechna ka tajziyah karna zaroori ho ga. Aap foran market par bechna ki koshish kar sakte hain baad ki thabat ke liye. Ham bechnay ke liye take profit ko 152.90 ke level par aur stop loss ko 153.60 ke level par set karte hain. Signal ko tasdeeq karne ke liye hum ne niche waqt frame mein jaana hai; M15 kafi munasib hai. USDJPY ke pandrah minute ke chart par, instrument ki khareedari ko Moving Average aur Zig Zag indicators tasdeeq karte hain. USDJPY currency pair ab maqbulon ke mazboot asar ke tahat hai (mawjudah qeemat 153.895), jo market orders ka istemal kar ke market par asar dal rahe hain aur aset ki qeemat ko barha rahe hain. Magar aap ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye, kyunke mawjudah market situation se faida utha sakte hain. Mashwara hai ke aik short position par tayyar rahein takay quote ko kam karein aur mufeed nateeja hasil kar sakein. Khareedaron ke istiqamat ke bawajood, aik waqt zaroor ayega jab forokhtaron ko halaat par qabu pane ka moqa mil jaye ga aur ek munsalik nichle rukh ka dor shuru ho ga. Yeh zaroori hai ke dekha jaye ke agar bullock ka mukabla bhi mazboot hai, toh aik nichli tabadli lazmi hai. Aaj, mera behtareen mansooba ek mazboot rukh ka intezar karna hoga jo ek takmeel ka arzoo rakhta hai. Aur beshak - 152.365 ke niche support level ka kaam.

Aaj, hum do currency pairs: USD/JPY aur USD/CAD ke dilchasp dynamics par ghaur karenge. Shuruat mein, chalo hum USD/JPY pair par tawajjo den, jo hal kuch waqt mein dekhne layak buland harkat ki hai. Rozana waqt ke frame ko janchne par zahir hota hai ke pair ne guzishta maheenay mein khas farogh ki taraf ek wazeh raftar ka samna kiya hai, jis mein takreeban 950 points ke hasoolat hain. Is qadr ke izafay mein pair ki qeemat ka tawazun aboori haalat mein USD/JPY pair ki taqat ko wazeh karta hai.

Ek ahem tajziya rozana waqt ke frame chart se hai ke USD/JPY pair ne na sirf ek mazboot urdu trend ka aghaz kiya hai balkay 155.80 ke qeemat ke qareebi haftai intiqaal ke muqam ko bhi paar kar liya hai. Ye breakout pair ke mazeed buland harkat ke liye ek ahem ishara hai, kyunke yeh zahir karta hai ke kharid-dar ab is bazaar mein urooj par hain. Halankeh intiqaal ke ilawa, kisi qisam ka ulta karobaar ke isharaat ka koi fori nishana mojud nahi hai. Iska saboot yeh hai ke kharidari dabi hui dabao ka jari rehna, jo pair ki buland raftar ko qaim rakhta hai.

Maujooda bazaar ki shiraiyat ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, mera nazariya USD/JPY pair par mustaqil hai. Jama hoti kharidari ka husool naqad pair ke liye mazboot support ki tawfiq deta hai, jabke kharid-dar qeemat ko mazeed buland kartay hain. Bazaar ko qareeb se nigrani karna ahem hai kisi bhi mozu par mujooda momentum mein tabdeeli ke nishan ke liye, kyunke bechne walon ka kisi bhi baray dakhil honay se unchayi ya palat sakta hai. Magar, isharaat ke baghair, mera rujhan hai ke USD/JPY pair ko muntazim karne ka aurat taur par jari rakhen jab tak ke qeemat 154.30 ke neeche rahe.

Ikhtitami tor par, USD/JPY pair ab mazboot buland harkat dikhata hai, aur haftai intiqaal ke muqam ka tootna mazeed izafay ke liye ek umeed afroz nishani hai. Mera tajruba hai ke pair par bullish stance ko barqarar rakha jaye jab tak ke 154.30 ke neeche rahe, jabke sambhal kar rahain aur bazaar ke dynamics mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ke liye tayar rahai

Di gayi maloomat ke mutabiq, bazar ke trends par guftagu hai, khaaskar kuch khaason mein farokht ke hawalay se. Istilah jo istemal ki gayi hai woh mali ya sarmaya kari se mutalliq lagti hai, jahan "bearish price movement" ko "bullish phase" mein tabdeel hone ki guftagu hai. Yeh ishaarat bazar ke jazbat mein badalti rutubat ko darust karti hai, jo assest ke qeemat mein izafa ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Bayan mein zikar hai ke trading pair ka aghazati daam ka nigrani karna kitna ahem hai, aur agar woh kisi khaas darje ya pehle se mutayyan minimum ke neeche khulta hai aur wahan qaaim rehta hai (shayed kisi sahara darje ya pehle se taayun ki gayi kami), to yeh ishara karta hai ke guman ko dobara ghor karna chahiye. Yeh ek nazar band tareeqe se bazar ke halat ka tajziya karne ka doar hai, jahan traders ya sarmaya daron ko faislay karne ke liye khas shraiton par bharosa karte hain, balkay sirf intuitions ya jazbat par bharosa nahi karte.


"I bearish" aur "bullish" jaise terminologies ka istemal technical analysis ke mutalliq tasavvur ki jati hai, jise traders ke zariye aane wale qeemat ke movement ko pehchanne ke liye istemal kiya jata hai. Yeh charts aur patterns ke mutalla ki buniyad par aane wale trends ko pehchanna aur mukhtasir andaza lagane ki tareeqa hai.
Bilkul, yeh bayan bazar ke dynamics ko samajhne ka ehtiyaati aur tehqiqi tareeqa dikhata hai. Isme galat hone ki mumkinat ko qubool kiya gaya hai aur naye maloomat ke mutabiq guman ko dobara ghor karne ki zaroorat ko ishara kiya gaya hai. Yeh mali bazaar ki complexities ko samajhne ka asal samajh aur changing conditions ka jawab dene ka ehtiyaati tajziya hai.
Is tajziye mein izafa karne ke lehaz se, mazeed context ya khaas misaalein dene se tajziye ko mazeed wazeh karne mein madad mil sakti hai. Maslan, mukhtalif khaason ya assest ko zikar karna aur tajziye ko support karne ke liye charts ya data faraham karna tajziye ki itmenan ko barhawa de ga. Mazeed, guman ke peechay ke tajziye ke wajahat ko samjha dena aur bazar ke jazbat ko mutasir karne wale factors ko wazeh karna tajziye ko gehraayi aur readers ya sarmaya daron ke liye informative banana ka asal zariya hai.

USD/JPY

Dopahar mein maine mention ki gayi levels par koi test nahi hua. Hum bohot qareeb aaye the testing ke 155.66, jahan humein dollar ko bechne ka acha entry point mil sakta tha. Aam tor par, upar ki taraf trend intehai darust hai. Aaj, Japan ne maqool reports nikali average cash earnings aur mulk ke leading economic index ke mutalliq, lekin market ne in reports ko ignore kar diya. Zahir hai ke bullish bias jari rahega, kyunke iske u-turn ke liye koi asal shorouat nahi hai, agar Bank of Japan beech mein dakhal na de. Zahir hai ke traders kisi bhi pullbacks ka faida uthayenge, agar koi ho, aur lambay positions ko jari rakhenge trend ko jari rakhne ke liye, jise mein bhi main tawajjuh doonga. Intikhabi strategy ke tor par, main No. 1 aur No. 2 ke manzar ko aghaaz karne par zyada bharosa karunga.

Buy signals Manzar No. 1. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko khareedne ka irada karta hoon jab qeemat entry point tak pohanche ga jo chart par hari line se 155.96 par plot ki gayi hai, is ka nishana 156.43 hai jo chart par moti hari line se plot ki gayi hai. 156.43 area mein, main lambi positions se bahar nikalunga aur uske ulte rukh mein chhoti positions kholunga, 30-35 pips ke ulat rukh ke movement ka intezar karte hue us level se. Aap USD/JPY ke aaj ke izafe ki ummid kar sakte hain upar ki taraf trend ko jari rakhne ke liye. Kharidne se pehle, yeh dekhein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur sirf is se uthne lag gaya hai.

Manzar No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko khareedne ka irada karta hoon agar do musalsal tests ho 155.52 ke waqt jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki neeche ki potential ko mehdood karega aur market ka ulta rukh le aaye ga. Hum ummid kar sakte hain ke qeemat ulte level ki taraf 155.96 aur 156.43 ke raaste mein izafe ki taraf jaye.

Sell signals Manzar No. 1. Main aaj sirf USD/JPY ko bechne ka irada karta hoon jab testing ho level ke 155.52 jo chart par laal line se plot ki gayi hai, jo ke qeemat mein tezi se kami la sakta hai. Sellers ke liye mukhya nishana 155.07 hoga, jahan main lambi positions se bahar nikalunga aur foran ulte rukh mein bhi chhoti positions kholunga, 20-25 pips ke ulat rukh ke movement ka intezar karte hue us level se. USD/JPY par dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar qeemat aaj ke unchayi ke qareeb settle nahi hoti. Bechne se pehle, yeh dekhein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur sirf is se girne lag gaya hai.

Manzar No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko bechne ka irada karta hoon agar do musalsal tests ho 155.96 ke price ke waqt jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upar ki potential ko mehdood karega aur market ka neeche rukh le aaye ga. Hum umeed kar sakte hain ke qeemat ulte level ki taraf 155.52 aur 155.07 ke raaste mein kam ho.

Bank of Japan ki haal mein yen ke muratabat ko stabilize karne ke liye paisay daal kar intervention ka koshish sirf kamiyabi ki had tak pohanchi hai. Jabke yeh temporarily ruswaai ko rokne aur volatility ko kam karne mein kamyab rahi, khaas karke USD/JPY jodi mein, bunyadi manzar mein koi tabdeeli nahi aayi hai. Yeh ishaarat deti hai ke bank ka intervention sirf waqtan-fa-waqtan ka araam faraham kar sakta hai, jab tak monetary policy mein koi maamooli tabdeeliyan na ho.

Intervention ke bawajood, yen ke muratabat ko dhaalne wale asal factors par koi dawaa nahi ki gayi hai. Agar monetary policy ko khaanchoon ya roka na jaye, to USD/JPY jodi 150.28-151.92 ki support zone ko guzar kar gehri islah ke aghaz ka samna kar sakti hai. Yeh is islah ke baad tezi mein izafa ke saath aghaz ho sakta hai, kyun ke jodi ko chalane wale asli dynamics aam tor par wahi rahenge.

Magar agar Bank of Japan ki monetary policy mein maamooli tabdeeliyan ho ya agar 137.56-142.38 ke support zone ka technical tor ho, to USD/JPY jodi ko mazeed shadeed girawat ka samna ho sakta hai. Aise surat mein, jodi 125 ke daam ya mazeed neechay gir sakti hai, jo ke ek naye girawat ka aghaz ki ishaarat hai.

Mukhtasar mein, jabke Bank of Japan ka intervention yen market mein waqtan-fa-waqtan halat ko stabilize kar gaya hai, wahan ke muratabat ko dhaalne wale asli factors wahi hain. Agar monetary policy mein maamooli tabdeeliyan na ho, to USD/JPY jodi ki koi islah sirf mukhtasar arsa ke liye ho sakti hai, jabke policy ya technical tor ke kisi bhi baray support level ke tor par mazeed girawat ke imkaanat hai. Traders ko monetary policy aur market dynamics ke taraqqiyati imaaraton ko qareeb se dekhte rehne aur USD/JPY jodi mein potential harkaton ka aghaz ko pehle se samajhna chahiye, aur apni trading strategies ko is ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye.

USD/JPY currency pair ab aik consolidation ka dor guzar rahi hai, jis ka aghaz ek halki barhti hui halat ke doran hua tha. Traders is ki harkaton ko nazdeek se dekh rahe hain jab ye ek tang range ke andar trade kar rahi hai, jis ka position descending trend ke nichle had ke qareeb 155.07 par hai. USD/JPY market mein mojooda sceanrios aur ahem levels ko samajhna traders ke liye bohot zaroori hai jo potential trading opportunities par faida uthane ki talash mein hain.
Agar sellers dollar ko 155.57 ke critical level ke neeche rakhte hain, to ek girawat 155.92 ke early support level ki taraf muntazir hai. Ye level aik ahem support barrier ke tor par kaam karta hai, aur agar is ke neeche kamiyabi se tor ho jaye, to mazeed niche ki taraf chalne ka rasta khul sakta hai. Traders ko is support level ko torne ki koshish ka intezar hai, jahan sellers ke liye agle rukawat 155.06 par hai. Is level par, traders ko kharidne ka intezar kar sakte hain jab market potentially apni girawat ka rukh badalne ke imkaanat hain.

Doosri taraf, traders ko bullish sceanrio ka bhi imkaan ka andaza lagana chahiye. Agar ghante ke mombati 155.07 ke level ke ooper band ho jaye, to ye ek tezi ke trend ka jari rahne ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Is sceanrio mein, traders ko ek tezi 155.47 ke resistance level ki taraf muntazir hai. Is resistance level ko tor kar aur tezi mein mazeed izafa karne se, USD/JPY jodi mein traders ke liye potential buying opportunities saamne aasakti hain.

Traders ko hoshyar rehna chahiye aur USD/JPY market ko potential trading opportunities ke liye nazdeek se nazarandaz karna chahiye. Maamoolat jese ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy mein tabdeelian market sentiment par asar daal sakti hain aur currency ki harkaton ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Technical analysis tools aur indicators ka istemal kar ke traders ko ahem support aur resistance levels ko pehchanna chahiye, sath hi unke trades ke liye potential entry aur exit points ko bhi samajhna chahiye.

Ikhtitam mein, USD/JPY currency pair ab ek tang range ke andar trade kar rahi hai, jis ka position descending trend ke nichle had ke qareeb hai. Traders ko dono bearish aur bullish sceanrios ka ghor karna chahiye, aur ahem support aur resistance levels par nazdeek se nazar rakhna chahiye. Maamoolat ko samajh kar aur market ke tabdeeliyon ke mutabiq adaptable reh kar, traders apne aap ko dynamic USD/JPY market mein potential trading opportunities par faida uthane ke liye tayar kar sakte hain.