USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Japanese yen ki kami ne traders ko yeh sochne par majboor kar diya hai ke bechain Japanese currency kitna gir sakta hai, wahi intervention ka khauf bhi hai. JPMorgan Chase & Co aur Bank of America Corp ke private banking unit ne USD/JPY currency pair ke liye agle potential stone ko 160 dekha hai, jo ke 34 saalon mein sab se zyada buland hogaya hai. T. Rowe Price Japanese yen ke girne ka khatra dekh raha hai takreeban 170 tak - ek level jo 1980s mein dekha gaya tha.

In levels tak ka rasta pehle se zyada saaf ho sakta hai agar haal hi ke market movements ko kisi bhi rehnuma kaar nazar se dekha jaye. Japanese yen ki keemat sirf peechle haftay mein 1% gir gayi, jab ke dar hai ke lambi arzi mein barhtay hue US ke karza daro ko dekhte hue dollar ki taraf bhaag gaya. Is ne umeedein kum kar di ke ek taqatwar Asian currency hogi bas ek mahine baad, jab Bank of Japan ne 2007 se pehli martaba interest rates ko barhaaya

Rozana chart ki performance ke mutabiq, US dollar ke keemat ke khilaaf Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ki amm trend mazboot aur upar ki taraf hai, aur is ke musalsal record izafaat ne sab technical indicators ko taqatwar satah par push kiya hai khareed ke liye, aur jaisa ke mein pehle keh chuka hoon, amm trend tab tak upar ki taraf rahega jab tak ke haqeeqatan Japanese intervention na ho jaye market mein taake aur girne... Japanese yen ke qeemat se bacha ja sake. Ye kisi bhi waqt ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, US dollar ke izafaat taqatwar aur musalsal hain, yaqeeni banate hue ke US dollar apne izafaat ko baqi bari currencies ke khilaaf hasil kar lega. Abhi, trend ke qareebi resistance levels 154.90, 155.40, aur 156.00 hain, mutawatar.

ke khabron ke manzar mein, humne teen sitaron ki category mein US dollar ke liye buland darja ghotai dekhi, lekin yahan hamare asbaab ke liye kuch khas nahi hua USD/JPY ke darje waqt ka samay barhne ka intezar kar raha hai, aur hum umeed kar sakte hain ke aane waale dino mein yeh haalaat aise ho jaayenge jis se khareeddaar ke harkat ke naye marhale ka ishaara milega, jo is maqam mein lead le rahe hain Khabron ka manzar is harkat ko stimlulate karne mein kirdar ada karega, aur yeh khubsoorat nahi hai ke khabron ka apna kirdar hai, balke aamad-e-khabron ka rukh hai, jo shumali taraf tajziya ko janib rukh kar raha hai Agar bull market market ka muqabla nahi kar sake, to bears inisiatve le lenge aur USD/JPY 150.04 ke darje tak tajziya shuru karega Magar agar bullish kamp apne positions ko mazboot karne mein kamyab hota hai, to uska aakhri maqsood darja 153.85 hoga, jabke 152.90 ke darje se bearish rukh ki ek palat ho sakti hai Abhi ke moqaif ke mutabiq, bazaar ke mahol ko ek aagayi rukh par dekha ja raha hai, aur khareeddaar se darkwast dhire-dhire barh rahi hai Mujhe ye mehsoos hua ke harkat sirf aagey ki taraf rahi hai, lekin kisi wajah se mere shak ho gaye aur maine faisle ka intezar karne ka faisla kiya Is natijay mein , maine khud ko kaafi faida mand moqam mein paaya, mehsoos kiya ke trend mein neechay dakhil hone ka moqa kam ho jayega Barabar ke dairay mein mukhtalif waqfa karne ke sath barhnay ki khaas salahiyat ho gayi hai Shayad, neeche phir se chali jane par, main chhote dairay ki harkat se faida utha sakta hoon Agar aap koi tehqeeq gawara kar den to waqt ke saath maftool ho jaata hai, isliye aap ko sirf mojooda waqt ke sath kaam karna hoga Hum foran statistics aur fa'alat darja ko nazar andaaz karenge Aaj, Yehi koshishen barhti hain, aur is silsile mein budhwar, jis se jumerat aur jumma ko iska samarthan hai Hum aise manzar ke samne hain jahan khareeddaar ko jeetne ka mukhtalif haq hai Haalanki, bull ko bazaar ka bohot bara faida hai har martaba jab woh support level tak pohanchte hain, woh zyada faal hote hain, bearish trend ko khatam karte hain Is se shumali taraf tajziya ki naye lehar uth jati hai, jo bullish trend ke liye samarthan ban jati hai Agar aise dynamics banaye jaate hain, to market ke darje USD/ JPY ke liye mazbooti se 152.89 ke darje tak buland ho sakti hain Usi waqt, waqt waqt par wapas aayega lekin barhte hue kam Nahi hone dena chahiye sab se ahem baat yeh hai ke 150.03 ke support level ke neechay giravat ko roka jaa

USDJPY, market ko ehtiyaat ke sath qareebi tarz par pesh karna zaroori hai aur mufeed khatra nigrani ke tareeqon par tawajjo dena ahem hai. Aik aisa tareeqa hai ke support level 153.107 ke upar stop-loss order lagaya jaye. Ye ghair-fa'ida mand market ke tabdeelon se bachane ke liye aik hifazati iqdamaat hai aur maqboli nuqsaanat ko kam karne mein madad karta hai. USDJPY currency pair, jo ke Amreeki dollar ko Japanese yen ke khilaf darust karta hai, forex market mein sab se zyada sargarm tareen pairs mein se aik hai. Iski buland liquidity aur taweel-e-muddat khatraat ke bais ho sakta hai. Isliye, karobari afrad ko aqalmandi se istemaal karne ki zaroorat hai aur risk management techniques ko apne asal maal ki hifazat ke liye istemal karna chahiye. Stop-loss order, traders ke liye aik risk management tool hai jo unke trade par potential nuqsaanat ko mehdood karne ke liye istemal hota hai. Support level 153.107 ke upar aik stop-loss order lagakar, traders apne positions ke liye ek pehle se tay shartan exit point sthapit karte hain. Agar market unki position ke khilaf chalti hai aur keemat stop-loss level tak pahunch jati hai, to trade khud-ba-khud band ho jati hai, mazeed nuqsaanat ko rokta hua. Support level 153.107 technical analysis ke zariye pehchana jata hai, jo ke tareekhi keemat data ko mutalia karke aur support aur resistance ke key levels ko pehchanne mein mufeed hai. Is mamlay mein, 153.107 aik level ko darust karta hai jahan buying pressure taqreeban hamesha mazeed kami hone se rok deti hai. Isliye, agar keemat is level ke neeche gir jaye, to ye aik mumkin trend reversal ya mazeed neeche ke rukh ko ishara kar sakta hai. Is support level ke upar aik stop-loss order lagana traders ko achanak market ke tabdeelon ke khilaf ek buffer faraham karta hai. Ye unhe nuqsaanat ko mazeed barhne se pehle apni positions se nikalne ki ijaazat deta hai, unke trading capital ko mustaqbil ke moqay ke liye mehfooz rakhta hai. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke stop-loss orders foolproof nahi hote aur kabhi-kabhi slippage ke shikaar ho sakte hain, khaaskar zyada taweel o am ertaqa ya kam liquidity ke doran. Is ke ilawa, traders ko baaqi risk management techniques ko bhi amal mein laana chahiye, jaise ke position sizing aur diversification. Position sizing, har trade ke liye sahi raqam ka tay karna hai jo ke risk ka darja aur trading account ka size ke mutabiq hota hai. Diversification, risk ko mazeed assets ya currency pairs par taqseem karna hai taake poora portfolio ka asar kisi bhi akele trade par kam ho. Ikhtitami tor par, USDJPY ki trading ko aik muntazim tareeqe se aur mufeed risk management strategies se karna zaroori hai. Support level 153.107 ke upar ek stop-loss order lagana potential nuqsaanat ko kam karne aur trading capital ki hifazat ke liye madadgar hai. Magar, traders ko bhi chaukanna rehna chahiye, market ke tajurbaat ke baray mein maloomat rakni chahiye, aur zaroorat ke mutabiq apne tareeqon ko adjust karna chahiye. Ye principles apne trading approach mein shaamil karke, traders forex market mein apni kamiyabi ke chances ko behtar bana sakte hain.

USD/JPY H-1:
Main hourly chart par USD/JPY ko dekh raha hoon. Jodi 154.665 ke support se umeed se oonchi raftar par hai. Main samajhta hoon ke Bank of Japan ki taqreer ke baad jodi oonchi raftar par jayegi. Main ye bhi samajhta hoon ke Bank of Japan sab kuch wahi rakhega, bina faiz dar mein tabdili ke, jo mazeed izafa ki taraf le jaega. Anay wale bonds ko wapas khareedna jaari rakho. Ye, be shak, jodi ko oonchi raftar par bhejta hai, jo 160.143 ke darjay tak pohnch gaya. Us nukta se, farokht karne wale ka qeemat ka hadood mein dakhil ho jata hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke ye kharidaroun ka munafa ka junoon hai, dalali ke darr se. 155.322 ke support level se shuru hote hue, kharidaroun ne volume barha diya. Main umeed karta tha ke jodi is darjay se mazeed oonchi raftar par jayegi apni peechli bulandiyon ko taza karne ke liye, lekin phir kharidaroun ne dobara munafa le liya aur jodi us waqt se mazeed gir gayi hai. Jab ye hota hai, to keemat mazeed gir jati hai, jo ek khatarnak lamha hota hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke jodi mazeed gir nahi sakti. Kyun ke yen ko mazid mazbooti hasil karne ka koi sabab nahi hai. Agar ye currency dalali samjha ja sake, to ye sirf yen ki mazid depreciaton ko rokne ke liye hai. Pehle, yen currency dalali ke baad mazboot hoti thi kyun ke wo umeed rakhte the ke Bank of Japan monetory policy ko mazid sakhti se amal mein layega, lekin ab koi wajah nahi hai. Halan ke Bank of Japan ne apni negative interest rate policy ko chhod diya hai, lekin isne market ke ilm ke baghair amal hone ka khayal diya hai, isliye yen ki mazbooti par koi asar nahi hoga.



USD/JPY H-4:

USD/JPY ne pichle haftay phir tezi se gir gaya hai, jahan bearers ne pehle global high 152.20 ko hit kiya hai. Agar ab keemat phir se oonchi hoti hai, to ye khaas kirdar nahi khelengi, kyun ke short sellers ke irade wazeh aur samajhne mein hain, aur unho ne apne apne natijay bhi darj kiye hain, aur jodi ne apna aakhri hadood dhoond liya hai.

Is liye, main yakeen karta hoon ke ab keemat ka izafa 153.95 resistance level ke aas paas khatam ho chuka hai aur 14-mah ke EMA oonch raha hai aur keemat wahan se izafa kar sakti hai. Global high ke neeche mazid milti julti aur 152 ke darjay se bahar nikalna baad mein jodi ke liye darmiyan muddat ka downtrend ka aghaz ban jayega.

Ye bhi wazeh hai ke Bank of Japan ne khud ke liye "red line" kheechi hai qareeb 160.00 ke darjay ke paas, jis ke upar Bank of Japan currency ko kamzor nahi honay dega, isliye jab bulls is level ko hit karenge, to Bank of Japan tawajjo se kaam karega, jis se us din kamzor ho jaega. China ke depreciation ke case mein.

Is ke ilawa, mukhtalif monetory dalali ke imkanat ke liye zyada monetory dalali nahi hogi aur market bas Fed ka intezaar karegi ke woh faiz dar ko kam kare (zahiran agle mulaqat mein), jo ek baar phir yen ko mazid mazbooti hasil karne ka naya sabab dega.

Is currency pair ki wave structure abhi tak apni tarteeb ko upar ki taraf banati ja rahi hai, MACD indicator dobara upper buy zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Pichli hafte ka sab se ahem waqiya yeh tha: 151.90 ka resistance level, jis par 15 din tak qeemat dabaai gayi thi, phir bhi ek upper impulse ke sath tor diya gaya, yeh USA se aaye khabron ke baad hua. Yeh level bohot lamba waqt tak apni jagah banaye rakha; mujhe yaad dilayen ke yeh 2022 aur 2023 ke maximums ka level hai. Kuch log samajhte hain ke level tor diya gaya hai aur hum ab ek lambay rastay ke zariye oopar ja rahe hain. Doosray log samajhte hain ke mazeed izaafa ke liye koi jagah nahi hai, tareekhi uroojat ko taza kar diya gaya hai aur ab girne ke qareeb hain. Agar pehli lehar par target Fibonacci grid ko laagoo karen, to aap dekh sakte hain ke is grid par target, level 161.8 hai, aaj yeh pehli lehar is tak pohanch chuki hai, jaise ke qeemat ka yeh level pohanchne ka intezaar tha. Is ke qareeb, mazeed barhne se qeemat ko fix kiya ja sakta hai aur ek neeche ki correction pichle tor di gayi mukhya resistance level 151.90 ki taraf ho sakti hai, jo ab support ka kaam karta hai. Is ke ilawa, CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche murawajah ho chuka hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke sirf tabhi bechna ka tasawwur kiya ja sakta hai agar yeh sahi tor par 151.90 ke neeche consolidate ho gaya, lekin jab tak qeemat is ke oopar hai, bechna bohot ziada risky hai. Agar kisi tarah ka koi tafreeq hota to girne ke ziada chances hote, lekin koi nahi hai. Magar jaise ke maine kaha, is level par khareedariyon ko fix karna bohot mukhtalif hai, khaaskar ke doosri currencies jald az jald US dollar ki mazeed mazbooti ke baad correction karna chahti hain. Aaj ke liye hum do ahem khabrein jo ek sath samay par aati hain, 15-30 Moscow waqt: Core retail sales index in the US aur Retail sales volume in the US ko highlight kar sakte hain.

mukhtalif nazar aur tajziya par mabni thi. Mangalwar ko ek khaas taqatwar bullish engulfing candle ka qaim hona dekha gaya, jo ke market mein buland buyer hissaari ka izhar karta hai. Ye candlestick pattern aksar peechle neechay ki raftar ka mukhalif karne ki mumkin tajwez deta hai, jahan kharidaron ne qeemat ke action ka kabu haasil kiya. Haftay ke aakhir mein, Budh se Jumma tak, USDJPY ke qeemat ko chart par dhaalne wale resistance level ke saath ghoomta dekha gaya. Ye resistance level pehle se hi aik ahem dilchasp rukawat ke ilaqa ke tor par pehchanaya gaya tha, taqreeban taareekhi ahmiyat ke liye, jo qeemat ke harkaat par asar andaz hoti hai. Magar, is resistance zone ke lambay interaction ke bawajood, Jumma ke trading session mein qeemat ka rukh palat gaya, jis se bearish candlestick ka qaim hona hua

Yeh qabil-e-zikar hai ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, jo qeemat ke momentum ki taqat aur rukh ke baare mein ahem wazihaat faraham karta hai. Haal hi mein kharidari ke faaaltu amal ke doran, RSI overbought darja tak nahi pohancha, is ka matlab hai ke shayad mazeed upar ka rukh muqarrar karne se pehle bhaari farokht dabao se mil sakta hai. Ye observation USDJPY ka resistance level tor sakta hai, mukhtalif mufeed kharid-o-farokht ke fauran ek naye buland momentum aur is dauraan naye unchaayi ke markaz ke tor par pesh karna. Takneeki tajziya ke daira mein, aik bullish engulfing candle ka qaim hona aur phir aik ahem resistance level ke qareeb mojoodgi aksar bullish nishaan ke tor par wazeh kiya jata hai. Ye yeh dawa karta hai ke kharidaron ne market mein apni qowwat ko sabit kiya hai aur qeematon ko buland karna ke liye mojood hain. Is ke ilawa, RSI ki extreme overbought shiraa'it ki kami ke tor par bullish outlook ko mazeed tasdeeq di jaati hai, is se darust hai ke mojooda uptrend mein mazid taqwiyat hai. Agay dekhte hue, USDJPY ko nigrani karne wale traders aur investors ko resistance level ke upar kisi bhi breakout par tawajjo deni chahiye. Aise ek harkat bullish bias ki tasdeeq ke tor par kaam aa sakti hai aur unke paas intahi munafa-khori ke moqaat ho sakte hain. Magar, barqarar rahne aur bazar ke sharte badalne ka dyaan rakhna ahem hai, kyun ke ghair mutawaqqi sorat-e-haal trajectory

USDJPY, market ko ehtiyaat ke sath qareebi tarz par pesh karna zaroori hai aur mufeed khatra nigrani ke tareeqon par tawajjo dena ahem hai. Aik aisa tareeqa hai ke support level 153.107 ke upar stop-loss order lagaya jaye. Ye ghair-fa'ida mand market ke tabdeelon se bachane ke liye aik hifazati iqdamaat hai aur maqboli nuqsaanat ko kam karne mein madad karta hai. USDJPY currency pair, jo ke Amreeki dollar ko Japanese yen ke khilaf darust karta hai, forex market mein sab se zyada sargarm tareen pairs mein se aik hai. Iski buland liquidity aur taweel-e-muddat khatraat ke bais ho sakta hai. Isliye, karobari afrad ko aqalmandi se istemaal karne ki zaroorat hai aur risk management techniques ko apne asal maal ki hifazat ke liye istemal karna chahiye. Stop-loss order, traders ke liye aik risk

management tool hai jo unke trade par potential nuqsaanat ko mehdood karne ke liye istemal hota hai. Support level 153.107 ke upar aik stop-loss order lagakar, traders apne positions ke liye ek pehle se tay shartan exit point sthapit karte hain. Agar market unki position ke khilaf chalti hai aur keemat stop-loss level tak pahunch jati hai, to trade khud-ba-khud band ho jati hai, mazeed nuqsaanat ko rokta hua. Support level 153.107 technical analysis ke zariye pehchana jata hai, jo ke tareekhi keemat data ko mutalia karke aur support aur resistance ke key levels ko pehchanne mein mufeed hai. Is mamlay mein, 153.107 aik level ko darust karta hai jahan buying pressure taqreeban hamesha mazeed kami hone se rok deti hai. Isliye, agar keemat is level ke neeche gir jaye, to ye aik mumkin trend reversal ya mazeed neeche ke rukh ko ishara kar sakta hai. Is support level ke upar aik stop-loss order lagana traders ko achanak market ke tabdeelon ke khilaf ek buffer faraham karta hai. Ye unhe nuqsaanat ko mazeed barhne se pehle apni positions se nikalne ki ijaazat deta hai, unke trading capital ko mustaqbil ke moqay ke liye mehfooz rakhta hai. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke stop-loss orders foolproof nahi hote aur kabhi-kabhi slippage ke shikaar ho sakte hain, khaaskar zyada taweel o am ertaqa ya kam liquidity ke doran. Is ke ilawa, traders ko baaqi risk management techniques ko bhi amal mein laana chahiye, jaise ke position sizing aur diversification. Position sizing, har trade ke liye sahi raqam ka tay karna hai jo ke risk ka darja aur trading account ka size ke mutabiq hota hai. Diversification, risk ko mazeed assets ya currency pairs par taqseem karna hai taake poora portfolio ka asar kisi bhi akele trade par kam ho. Ikhtitami tor par, USDJPY ki trading ko aik muntazim tareeqe se aur mufeed risk management strategies se karna zaroori hai. Support level 153.107 ke upar ek stop-loss order lagana potential nuqsaanat ko kam karne aur trading capital ki hifazat ke liye madadgar hai. Magar, traders ko bhi chaukanna rehna chahiye, market ke tajurbaat ke baray mein maloomat rakni chahiye, aur zaroorat ke mutabiq apne tareeqon ko adjust karna chahiye. Ye principles apne trading approach mein shaamil karke, traders forex market mein apni kamiyabi ke chances ko behtar

Salam, aj ka mera maqala USD/JPY market ke mojooda qeemat ka rawaya par hai. Waqt likhne par USD/JPY 154.33 par trade ho raha hai. Is chart par humare paas ek ideal wave structure hai, aur yahan par bechne ka tohfiq afzal lagta hai, lekin phir bhi, mujhe lagta hai ke abhi thora sa jaldi hai lab pe latka dena. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ab manfi nazar aata hai, is liye is par kharidne ka faisla karna mushkil hoga, lekin darmiyan lamba bullish trend afzal hai. Ek sath, yeh bhi hai ke moving average convergence divergence (MACD) ke moving averages dakheel hona shuru ho rahe hain, jo ke hamen hamari lambi muddat ke maqasid ko tasdiq karne ke liye zaroori manfi crossover faraham karenge. MA-50 se, keemat ne apni jagah ko EMA-20 ke oopar barqarar rakhne mein nakami ka samna kiya aur MA line ke neeche daba diya. Lekin mojooda mombati mukammal nahi hui hai, aur agar keemat EMA-50 ke neeche ho, toh yeh keemat ko kamzor kar dega nichle taraf

Aaj ke mamlay mein, mujhe umeed hai ke keemat ibtedai muqablay ke level 154.79 ki taraf jaegi. USD/JPY jodi ke liye jo nateeja ho sakta hai woh yeh hai ke agar keemat 154.79 par toot jaaye toh keemat 160.98 ki taraf ud jayegi. Uske baad, is level ke oopar se guzarna USD/JPY ko mazeed 165.87 ilaqa ki taraf jaane ki ijaazat dega jo ke 3rd level ka resistance hai. Dosri taraf, bhalu 153.74 level ko nishana banaye hue hain jo ke ibtedai support ka level hai. Agar keemat 153.74 ke support ke neeche toot jaaye, toh hum agle nishana muqarar kar sakte hain jo 152.61 hai. Uske baad, is time frame ka istemal karke, agar yeh mombati band hone wale support level ke neeche toot jaaye, toh market keemat apne support level ko toor kar ek naya bana sakegi. Mumkin ho toh, market keemat ka agla nishana 151.59 hoga. Yeh meri is subah ke tezi se taeyeer ka chand lamha hai, aur umeed hai ke yeh sab ke liye faida mand hoga

USD/JPY pair mein kal, pichle daily range ka minimum update karne ke baad, keemat ulta chal gayi aur ek uncertain northern movement shuru hui, jis se ek bullish candle ki shakal bani, jo ke ek nisbatan bara southern shadow ke saath thi, jo ke forming accumulation ke andar thi. Aaj, Asian session ke doran, keemat ko kaafi confident southern impulse ne neeche daba diya, lekin abhi ke liye, ek mazboot pullback shuru ho gaya hai aur dekhna dilchasp hoga ke din kaise band hota hai. Aam tor par, ek southern correction zaroor nazdeek hai, lekin abhi mujhe khud ke liye kuch dilchasp nahi lagta, isliye main nazdeek ke support levels ko nigrani mein rakhta rahunga. Aaj, main support level ko nigrani mein rakhta rahunga, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 152.589 par hai. Agar keemat is support level tak pohanch jati hai, to wahan ke qareeb do mansubey hote hain. Pehla mansuba, ek reversal candle ki shakal banane aur keemat ke upward movement ka dobara shuru hona hai. Agar yeh mansuba kaam karta hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat 156.000 par mojood resistance level ki taraf jaegi. Agar keemat is resistance level ke upar band hoti hai, to main mazeed northern movement ka intezar karonga, 160.400 par mojood resistance level tak. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup ki shakal ka intezar karonga, jo agle trading rukh ko tay karne mein madad karega. Beshak, main tasleem karta hoon ke keemat ke tajziya ke doran mukarrar northern target ki taraf keemat ki movement ke doran, southern pullbacks bante rahenge, jo main global northern trend ke andar growth ka dobara shuru hone ki umeed ke liye istemal karne ka mansubah banata hoon

Keemat 152.589 tak pohanchne par keemat ke movement ke liye ek alternatif mansuba, is plan ke saath, keemat is level ke neeche consolidate hone aur mazeed southern movement. Agar yeh mansuba kaam karta hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat 150.809 par mojood support level ki taraf jaegi. Is support level ke qareeb, main mazeed bullish signals ki talaash jari rakhoonga, upward keemat ki movement mein izafa ki umeed rakhta hoon. Beshak, mazeed door ki southern maqsad ko nishana banane ki mumkinat hai, lekin main is waqt isko ghor nahi kar raha, kyun ke main iski jaldi puri hone ki tawajo ke imkanat ko nahi dekh raha hoon. Mukhtasar tor par, aaj ke taur par, mujhe kuch dilchasp nahi lag raha. Aam tor par, main global northern trend ko jari rakhne ke liye muntazam hoon, is liye main nazdeek ke support levels se bullish signals ki talaash mein hoon

Salam dosto, haftay ka choutha din hai aur trading ka jaiza lene ka waqt aa gaya hai. Main USD/JPY market ka tajziya aapke sath share karunga. Price ki movement dekhtay hue, USD/JPY likha waqt 154.29 par trade ho raha hai. Market price 20 dinon ka exponential moving average ke upar chali gayi hai, jo chart par mazboot uptrend ka indicator hai aur dikhata hai ke hum resistance ki taraf ja rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka indicator barh raha hai aur 60 level tak pohanchne ke baad thora sa gira hai. Jab RSI 50 ke neeche jaata hai, toh yeh yeh darshata hai ke behtar waqt aa sakta hai bechne ka kyun ke market mein negativiti nazar aa rahi hai. Usi waqt, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator 0 ke neeche jaane ke baad barh raha hai. Isliye MACD kharidari ke liye ek musbat nazar hai. USD/JPY market price simple 50 EMA aur 20 EMA ke upar chali gayi hai aur agar resistance ko toora jaye, toh price mazeed barh sakti hai


Daily chart dekhtay hue, USD/JPY pair aage badhta ja raha hai aur Bollinger Bands Channel ke upper line ke qareeb rehta hai. Lekin jab woh 155 ke qareeb jaata hai, toh seemit hone lagta hai. Halankeh technical indicators ka rukh nahi badla, lekin ab woh aise zone mein hai jahan choti dair ke liye zyada buland hai. Humain ihtiyat baratni chahiye kyun ke choti dair mein girne ka khatra hai. Humain dekhna chahiye ke agar exchange rate 155 ke qareeb aa gaya, toh kya Japanese government kuch karti hai. Agar woh nahi ghalti, toh USD/JPY zyada barhne ki sambhavna hai takay dekha ja sake ke Japanese government kitna bardasht kar sakti hai

USD/JPY

USD/JPY currency pair ki rawaiyyaati tafseelat aur insights ki tajveez karne se pehle, ek baar iski behavior par ghaur karte hain. Yeh currency pair yen ke saath joda jaata hai aur Bank of Japan iski mazeed kami ki taraf le jaane ka aham factor hai. Jab yeh 155 ke aas paas kuch karvai ka daur daikha, toh maine bechnay ki moqay ko asani se dekha jo ke kuch zarai intervention ki wajah se 160 ke ooper gya. Uske baad, yeh pair apni neechay ki rukh par jaari raha hai, takreban 200 points gir chuka hai aur 152.58 ko target kar raha hai. Agar bhrast breakout ki sambhavna hai, toh ek mamooli recovery ka rasta bhi ho sakta hai, lekin overall trend bearish raha hai.



Aaj ke US statistics ne dollar ko yen ke khilaaf kamzor kar diya hai kyun ke non-farm payroll report weak thi aur Japani interventions bhi thi. Ek aur bearish daily candle aayi hai, jo ke yeh zahir karta hai ke Japani authorities ki interventions ka waqt bohot sahi raha. Haftay ki chart ko dobara dekhte hue, yeh zahir hota hai ke hamari kamiyabi ka umeed karte hue ek kami mumkin hai, lekin mazeed kami ka imkan kamzor ho chuka hai. Yeh wazeh nahi hai ke support neeche ki taraf rawana ho ya kya ek rebound hoga. Market ab waqt ke andar descending outlook ke andar hai hourly price chart par. Jab yeh pair kal kam hua, toh yeh channel ka neeche ka border tak nahi pohancha, jo ke aaj ek possible neechay ki taraf ka rukh ho sakta hai, shayad 150.17 tak. Agar yeh pair is level tak pohanchta hai, toh kam hone ka daur ruk sakta hai, jo ek upward reversal ka rasta ban sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar pair oopar jaane lagta hai, toh yeh descending channel ka upper border, jo ke 155.08 ke aas paas hai, tak pohanch sakta hai.

USD/JPY ke currency pair ki karobari harkat ko samajhne mein chalen aur is se mutaliq muntazim o tafteesh karen. Yeh currency pair yen ke saath aik numaya pattern dikhata hai, jahan Bank of Japan is ke zabardast kamzori ka sabab ban raha hai. Jabke maine 155 mark ke aas paas kuch action ka intezar kiya tha, lekin bank ki dakhalati ne keemat ko 160 se guzar diya. Uske baad se, yeh pair apni nichli raftar jaari rakhta hai, taqreeban 200 points kam kar ke 152.58 ki taraf rukh karta hai. Halankeh jhooti chhoot ka amal bhi mumkin hai, jo aik mamooli ubhaar tak pahunch sakta hai, lekin overall trend bearish raha hai.

Aaj ke US statistics ne dollar ko yen ke khilaf kamzor kar diya hai, ghair-kashti aamdani ka report aur Japanese interventions ke bina par. Ek aur bearish daily candle saamne aaya hai, jo darust karata hai ke Japanese authorities ke dakhalati ka waqt kamiyabi se hua hai. Haftay ki chart ka jaiza lene par saaf ho jata hai ke humari kamiyabi ka umeed war patan mumkin tha, lekin mazeed patan ke imkanat kam ho gaye hain. Yeh wazeh nahin hai ke support neeche ki taraf ke harkat ke liye mumkin hai ya agar ek rukh tezi se oopar ho ga. Market ab ek ghata hui nazar aurati ke daire mein hai. Jabke pair kal gir gaya, lekin channel ka neeche ka sarhad nahin pahuncha, jo ke aaj neeche ki taraf ek mumkin rukh ki taraf ishara karta hai, shayad 150.17 tak. Agar pair is darja tak pahunchta hai, to patan ruk sakta hai, jo ek oopri u-turn ka bais ban sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair oopar uthne lagta hai, to yeh channel ka oopri sarhad tak pahunch sakta hai, jo ke kareeb 155.08 par hai.

USD/JPY TAQREEBATI JAIZA

Jab USD/JPY 151.60 ke qareeb rehta hai, to hum keh sakte hain ke forokhton ko zyada dabao ka samna karna padega aur 151.00 tak gir jaayenge, jo agla shetra hai. Tail ke daam ka inhiraf hone par 150.55 ke nichle channel ke kshetra ko paar karne se tel ke daam mein khaas farq aane ki tawaqquh hai. Halankeh tail ka daam do hafton ke sab se kam star ke neeche hai, lekin yeh aage bhi gir raha hai. Hum is waqt vyapar cycle ke neeche hain. Yeh aksar 149.70 ke neeche shetra ke muwafiq ho jaata hai. Jaise ke aap dekh sakte hain, yeh trend tezi se jari hai. Dollar ke girne aur keemat ka 150.10 aur 149.60 ke baahar nikalne par, pehle session mein is range ke andar aur girne ka tawaqquq hai NFP report jaari hone se pehle aur 151.00 tak girne ka tawaqquq hai.

Is ke bawajood, keemat uchchi rahi aur wapas upper level ki taraf lautne ka tawaqquq tha. Sirf ek qareeb jaamaat thi jo yeh soochit karti thi ke 150.50 ke samarthan se agle hafte mein bearish trend wapas aaega. Halankeh, keemat samarthan star ko paar karne ke bawajood, thodi der baad 150.20 ke samarthan star ke oopar lauti. Is natije mein, jod ke mustaqbil ka rasta abhi tak tay nahi kiya gaya hai. Agar keemat ulta ho jaati hai, to aakhir mein woh uncha star ka samarthan shetra 151.70 tak pahunch sakti hai, jo rozana pivot point ko shamil karta hai. 151.45 agle hafte ke chaudi kamjorai tak pahunchne se pehle giravat ko khatm kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar hum 151.75 ke neeche toote ko dekhte hain, to hum shayad mazeed nuqsan dekhein. Is natije mein, talaab ka star 151.10 se 151.30 tak gir jaega, jo 151.90 ka fizai samarthan star hasil karta hai. tajziati taqreebat, global siyasat, aur maali siasat ke faislo mein izafa kar sakte hain. Ye factors bazaar ki jazbat aur takneekein ko mukhtalif kar sakte hain jo mukhtalif mudraon ke darmiyan munafa farq ko asar andaz bana sakte hain aane waale sessions mein. Is liye ehtiyaat se traders ehtiyaat se alert rahain aur apne khatron ko behtar taur par manain jab woh naye mouqay ka faida uthaate hain.

milta hai aur ek ahem support level ke sath, to yeh GBPUSD mein bullish reversal ya upward movement ka imkan ko barhata hai.
Muntazir Rise in GBPUSD

GBPUSD ke trading setup ka tajziya karne ke mutabiq, bohot zyada yeh ishaara milta hai ke currency pair ek bullish reversal ko mehsoos kar sakta hai aur phir se buland ho sakta hai. Traders is potential opportunity ka faida utha sakte hain ek makhsoos trading plan ko amal mein laake jo neeche diye gaye elements ko shamil karta hai:
Entry Strategy: Traders ko GBPUSD mein long positions (buy orders) enter karne ka tajziya karna chahiye jab price SMA 100 line par ya qareeb ho aur support level 1.25369 par ho. Yeh entry strategy bullish reversal ke umeed par hamil hai currency pair mein.
Risk Management: Forex trading mein mojoodaat ko kam karne ke liye moqarar risk management zaroori hai takay nuksan ko mehdood kiya ja sake aur trading capital ko mehfooz rakha ja sake. Traders ko support level ke neeche sahi stop-loss orders set karna chahiye ya phir ek pehle se mukarar risk hadood tay karna chahiye takay unki positions ko mehfooz rakha ja sake agar bazaar unke positions ke khilaf chalay.
Profit Target: Faida hasool karne ke liye aik profit target tay karna ahem hai aur upar ki keemat ke harkat ko faida uthane ke liye. Traders ko profit targets mukhtalif resistance levels ya pehle ke swing highs ke basis par tay karna chahiye, jo ke price ke buland hone ke sath sath potential faiday ko capture karne ke liye.
Monitoring aur Adjustments: Bazaar ko nazdeek se dekhte hue aur haqeeqat mein trade parameters ko tabdeel karke haqeeqat mein koshish karna zaroori hai takay bazaar ki tabdiliyon ka samna kiya ja sake. Traders ko price reversal ya trend continuation ke koi bhi ishaare ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye aur apni trading strategy ko mutabiq karne ke liye apni trading strategy ko munasib taur par adjust karna chahiye

In elements ko apne trading plan mein shamil karke, traders GBPUSD market mein behtareen taur par tajweez ki gayi trading setup ke saath barah-e-karam kar sakte hain. Magar, ehtiyat aur mojooda risks ko sahi tor par handle karne ke liye munasib risk management amal mein lena ahem hai taake trading capital ko mehfooz rakh sakein aur forex trading mein nihayat nateeja haasil kar sakein.

USD/JPY ne pichle haftay phir tezi se gir gaya hai, jahan bearers ne pehle global high 152.20 ko hit kiya hai. Agar ab keemat phir se oonchi hoti hai, to ye khaas kirdar nahi khelengi, kyun ke short sellers ke irade wazeh aur samajhne mein hain, aur unho ne apne apne natijay bhi darj kiye hain, aur jodi ne apna aakhri hadood dhoond liya hai.
Is liye, main yakeen karta hoon ke ab keemat ka izafa 153.95 resistance level ke aas paas khatam ho chuka hai aur 14-mah ke EMA oonch raha hai aur keemat wahan se izafa kar sakti hai. Global high ke neeche mazid milti julti aur 152 ke darjay se bahar nikalna baad mein jodi ke liye darmiyan muddat ka downtrend ka aghaz ban jayega.

Ye bhi wazeh hai ke Bank of Japan ne khud ke liye "red line" kheechi hai qareeb 160.00 ke darjay ke paas, jis ke upar Bank of Japan currency ko kamzor nahi honay dega, isliye jab bulls is level ko hit karenge, to Bank of Japan tawajjo se kaam karega, jis se us din kamzor ho jaega. China ke depreciation ke case mein

Is ke ilawa, mukhtalif monetory dalali ke imkanat ke liye zyada monetory dalali nahi hogi aur market bas Fed ka intezaar karegi ke woh faiz dar ko kam kare (zahiran agle mulaqat mein), jo ek baar phir yen ko mazid mazbooti hasil karne ka naya sabab dega.