USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Shab bakhair dosto! Jab pair ek range mein trade kar raha tha, is range mein khaas tor par khareedari ka volume tha. Phir maine yeh samjha ke pair 153.377 tak resistance tak jaega, yani ke jab ke pair pichli uchayion ke qareeb trade kar raha tha, khareedaron ko pooray volume ka faida ho raha tha. Mujhe yeh bhi nahi socha tha ke yeh khareedari ke stops out ho jaenge, ke pair 150.889 tak jaega. Main yeh manta hoon ke yeh neeche ki harkat sirf khareedaron ke stops ko hataane ka natija thi; kuch unko execute kiya gaya aur palat gaya. Aur main samajhta hoon ke yeh ek bharai ka dobaara shuru hona hai, ke pair uchayi tak jaega. Abhi, abhi main ek pair bech raha hoon, bas ek technical pullback ke saath. Sirf yeh ke kabhi kisi waqt itihaas mein ek mushabeh haalat thi: jab pair 5-minute chart par trade kar raha tha, be-rozgaari ke data aaya tha. Woh ooncha gaya, phir wapas aaya aur phir lag raha tha ke woh bharai dobaara shuru ho raha hai, lekin us se pehle bechne wale ka volume tha. Lagta hai ke bechne wale ke stops us se pehle out ho gaye thay phir mazeed girawat. Is ke alawa, pound dollar bhi barh raha hai, yani dollar kam ho raha hai. Koi tajziya ho sakta hai. Main sochta hoon ke USD/JPY h1 currency pair ka silsila barqarar rahega. Pehle, barhne ke doran, keemat ne do mazboot levels - daily aur weekly ke qareeb 151.51 - ko tod diya aur level ke upar jam gaya, level ko support banane ke liye. Level ko torne ke baad, keemat ikhtraar mein gayi aur tooti hui level ko kayi baar test kiya gaya lekin neeche nahi gayi, khareedaron ne level ko qabza kiya aur is par keemat ko khareed rahe hain, yahan woh zyada tajweez ko barhane ke liye apni positions jama kar rahe hain. Teer nishan dene wala indicator kehta hai ke upar ki harkat jaari rahegi, jo ek aur upar ki lehar ko tasdeeq karta hai. Main yahan yeh samajhta hoon ke level se thori dair ke liye kharidari par ghor karna laazmi hai. Khareedari ke liye maqasid 152.30 mark ho sakti hain; is mark par rukawat hai aur rozana guzara ka darmiyanik raasta yahan khatam hota hai, yehan tak pohanch sakte hain bina kisi khaas mushkilat ke us tarah ki ikhtraar ke baad jo teesre din se shuru ho chuki hai, lekin pehli martaba guzarnay ke chances kam hain, main wahan se neeche ki umeed rakhoon ga

Hum USD/JPY ke qeemat mein tabdeeliyon ki tajziya karne par guftugu karenge. Currency pair ke liye naya hafta halki izafay ke saath shuru hua; din ka zyada hudda 154.76 par darj kiya gaya; pair ab 154.65 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai. Is tarah, qeemat ab bhi trend line ke neeche hai, halankeh ye pichle haftay ke 154.78 ke qareeb hai. Girawat mukhtalif dinon se chalti aayi range ke andar shayad jaari rahegi aur abhi tak qeemat un bulandiyon mein dilchaspi nahi dikhayegi. Har surat mein, kuch tajziyat banane ke liye zyada fa'al amal ka intezar karna laazim hai; halaat abhi tak ghalat hain, aur USD/JPY pair range mein hi chalay ga. Tasveer USD/JPY pair ke liye lagbhag sahi mein latak rahi hai, aur qeemat ko buland jaane nahi diya ja raha hai kyun ke shirakat dharak Bank of Japan taqreeban yaqeenan ghalt fehmiyon mein shamil hain ke wo market mein dakhil hon ge, isliye agar farokht kholte hain to 152.00 par unki wohi nahi hai. Is liye agle izafa ke liye kafi fuel nahi hai. 154.15–154.25 par support ko todne aur farokht hasil karne ki koshishen hain, lekin tasveer ke mutabiq, ab tak yeh tajziya kamyabi nahi mili hai, aur USD/JPY pair ki qeemat, aaj se shuru hone wale, ek baar phir 154.60-154.75 ke resistance level ko torne ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin ab tak yeh koshish bhi nakami ka shikar ho sakti hai.

Humare paas jo nateeja hai agar resistance level toot jata hai, to humein dekhna chahiye ke kya yeh ek aur formation hoga jisme consolidation hogi aur pair ka aur mazeed izafa hoga, ya phir yeh ek hairpin hoga, jisme keemat tootay hue level ke neeche wapas aayegi aur ek jhooti toot ke baad nichle rukh ki girawat hogi. Ya phir, wo maujooda range chhod kar 152.60-153.40 ke support zone mein dakhil honge, jahan humein bhi pratikriya ko dekhna hai aur yeh dekhna hai ke shirakatdaron ka kya rawayya hoga. Agar kharidar zyada faal amal hote hain, to USD/JPY pair ki keemat girne ka silsila jaari rahega. Pair ek wide channel mein apni upri harkat jaari rakhta hai, jo keval H4 chart aur us se oopar dekha ja sakta hai. Is waqt, qeemat 155.00 ke upar chadhne ke liye tayyar ho rahi hai, jo ek psychological level hai jo pichle haftay paar nahi kiya gaya. Shayad is haftay ki koshish kamyabi ke saath mukammal hogi, aur phir pair ko 162.00 ke level ki taraf rukh karwaya jayega. Bohat log samajhte hain ke yeh level hasil nahi ho sakta, lekin humein yaad rakhna chahiye ke market mein kuch bhi mumkin hai. Wada shuda interventions Bank of Japan se qeemat ke izafa ko rok sakti hain, lekin ab tak woh sirf zubani hain, aur JPY ko madad mein kuch nahi kiya gaya hai. Agar jald hi koi interventions na ho aur 26 April ko interest rate mein koi tabdeeli na ho, to pair izafa karna jaari rakhega. Jab qeemat ne 155.00 ke level ko par kiya hai, to aap ek surakshit stop ko us level ke neeche rakhte hue kharidar trades khol sakte hain.

USDJPY pair achi mood mein hai! one hour time frame ky chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai. Ye darust kharidar ko market mein dabao dal raha hai aur bechne walon par dabaav banata hai, jise kharidne ke mauqe paida hote hain. Is waqt farokht ka tawajjo is trend ke khilaaf jaana ka matlab hai, jo mukhtalif lambi kharidne ki manzil mein mukhtalif nuqsaanat ke liye kafi khatarnaak ho sakta hai. Isliye, stop loss set karne se trading plan ke khilaf market ka chalne par nuqsaanat ko mehdood kiya ja sakta hai, jahan stop entry point 154.613 ko par nahi jana chahiye. Mere mamlay mein, main qeemat ko neeche ke channel area tak girne ka intezar karunga, yakayak 154.613 ke qareeb. Is level ke qareeb, main 154.804 tak ka upper target haasil karne ka mauqa dekhunga. Farokht ka tawajjo upar channel ki hadood ke qareeb hona chahiye. Kharidne ka intezar ek correction banne tak kiya jana chahiye.

Ghante ke chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf ishaarat kar raha hai. M15 channel bhi ishi rukh mein hai. Dono channels ki ittelaat is instrument mein upar ki harkat ko zahir karti hain. Halankeh, mujhe is waqt kharidne ki ahmiyat hai. Main entry point ko neeche ke channel ke qareeb, yakayak 154.200 ke level par qarar deta hoon. Maloom hai ke market 154.841 - upper channel ki had ke qareeb ja raha hai, jahan market ka rukawat ka imkan hai. Agar market upper channel ki had ke qareeb lambe arse tak ruke rehta hai, to neeche channel ki taraf girne ka imkan hai. Main neeche channel ki taraf girne ke douran farokht ko skip karunga kyunke yeh trend ke khilaaf jaana ka matlab hai, aur agar koi pullback na ho aur uptrend jari rahe. Isliye, main pullbacks par market entry ka tareeqa istemal karta hoon. Main is tareeqe se ek strong player ke sath milta hua samjhta hoon jo izafa ke liye dabaav dal raha hai, resistance levels ko tor raha hai. Is surat mein oopar tak pohanchne ki sambhavna kafi zyada barh jati hai.

Levels jo mein ne dopahar mein pehchana, unka imtezaaj nahi hua. Jodi apne nuqsaanon ko bahal karne mein kamyab rahi, aur wo roozana ke unchaai ke qareeb rahi US session ke doran. Aise doran jahan zaroori US data ki kami hai, kharidaron ka tajurba hai ke kisi tarah wo current levels par kisi amal ka aghaz nahi lenge. Aaj, market mein kuch khas hone ka imkaan kam hai ke Bank of Japan hastaksar kare. Data ki ghair mojoodgi ne market ki sakhti ko barbaad kar diya hai, jo ke pair ko ek tang range mein rakhta hai, jahan kam trading volume aur kam ghair mustaqilat hoti hain. Mutasra strategy ke mutalliq, mein No. 1 aur No. 2 scenarios ki amali tareeqon par zyada bharosa karoonga.
Kharidari signals Scenario No. 1. Mein aj USD/JPY kharidna irada karta hoon jab qeemat chart par hara line ke dawara 154.79 ke qareeb dakhil ho, aur ummeed hai ke qeemat 155.29 tak chart par mote haree line ke dawara buland ho. 155.29 ke ilaqe mein, mein lambi positions ko khatam karonga aur ulte rukh mein chhoti positions kholonga, ummeed hai ke is level se ulte rukh ki taraf 30-35 pips ki movement hosakti hai. Aaj USD/JPY ke barhne ki umeed hai rozana ke unchai ko torne ke baad ke trend par dastaan. Kharidne se pehle, yaqeeni banaye ke MACD indicator zero mark ke ooper hai aur sirf abhi is se barhna shuru ho raha hai.

Scenario No. 2. Mein bhi aj USD/JPY kharidna irada karta hoon agar do musalsal tests 154.32 ke waqt ho jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai. Ye jodi ke nichle potential ko mehdood karega aur market ko ulte rukh par le jayega. Hum 154.79 aur 155.29 ke ulte levels ki taraf izaafat ki umeed kar sakte hain.

Farokht signals Scenario No. 1. Mein aj sirf us waqt USD/JPY bechna irada karta hoon jab qeemat chart par laal line ke dawara 154.32 ke imtezaaj ke baad, jo ke qeemat mein tezi se kami laayega. Kharidaron ke liye ahem maqam 153.93 hoga, jahan mein chhoti positions ko khatam karonga aur foran hi ulte rukh mein lambi positions kholonga, umeed hai ke is level se ulte rukh ki taraf 20-25 pips ki movement hosakti hai. Rozana unchai ke nakami aur central bank ke faal amal ke baad, USD/JPY par dabao wapas hosakta hai. Bechna se pehle, yaqeeni banaye ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur sirf abhi is se giraawat shuru ho raha hai.

Scenario No. 2. Mein bhi aj USD/JPY bechna irada karta hoon agar do musalsal tests qeemat ke 154.79 ke waqt ho jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hai. Ye jodi ke ooper ki potential ko mehdood karega aur market ko neeche ulta le jayega. Hum 154.32 aur 153.93 ke ulte levels ki taraf kami ki umeed kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY JORI JAIZA
USD dollar/JPY ne 19 April, 2024 ko keh diya keh ye 153.25 ke qareebi satha ka imtezaaj kar raha hai. Is liye, is maze ka ishaara upar ki taraf rawani ka hai, aur iska maqsood 153.46 hai. Mushahida ke nateejay dikhate hain ke relative strength index (RSI) par trend line ka imtezaaj karna currency pair ke liye upar ki taraf ka trend tasdeeq kar sakta hai. Magar agar ye 153.35 tak gir jata hai, to ye ye matlab hai ke yeh woh ummeed ke mutabiq nahi hoga. Balkay, ye apni kam unchai ke level se kam hota ja sakta hai aur 150.50 se kam ho sakta hai.

Technical analysis taaza qeemat ke tabdiliyon aur potential qeemat ke tabdeel hone par support level aur RSI ke level ke dairay mein base par kiya jata hai. Is update mein, ibtidaai TAWAJO support level 153.25 hai, jo mobile terminal ke ikhtitaam ke nazdeeki sokht ko nishan dahinda karega. Agar currency is level ko paar kar jata hai, to ye ek bullish trend ka dikhawa kar sakta hai, aur qeemat upar ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, qeemat bhi resistance ka potential level dikhata hai, 153.46, jo amal ka maqsood ka nishan hai. Resistance level ko tor dena tezi ka tasalsul ki taqat ko dikhata hai aur ye jodi ke liye aham resistance ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Trend bhi RSI ki monitoring ki ahmiyat ko wazeh karta hai. RSI aik dynamic accelerator hai jo ke qeemat ke transmission ki raftar aur tabdeeli ko nap sakta hai.

RSI par trend line ka imtezaaj karke aur isay USD/JPY jori mein shamil karke dikhata hai ke mazeed ubhaar ki raftar tezi se mehsoos hoti hai. Magar, tawajjo ke mutabiq, tasweer mein ek mushabehati surat-e-haal bhi paish ki gayi, jis ne ye kaha ke currency pair 153.35 tak kam ho sakta hai. Ziyada raftar ki nazar se, ye ma'ni afzai ka hissa hosakta hai aur tezi ka tasalsul par shak paida kar sakta hai. Is mushkil mein, karobariyon ko apni haisiyat ko dobara tashkeel deni aur apne strategies ko durust karna chahiye.

USD/JPY aham support level ko barqarar nahi rakh sakta aur 150.50 tak gir jata hai, to yeh trend ka mazeed resistance kam hone ka dikhawa kar sakta hai. Karobariyon ko tawajjo mein rakhna chahiye aur bazaar ki shara'ait mein kisi bhi tabdiliyon ke liye zimmedar rehna chahiye. Technical analysis qeemti wazahat faraham karta hai, lekin forex market mein karobar karte waqt mukhtalif factors ko mufakkirana ghoor se dekhna aur aqalmand risk management strategies istemal karna zaroori hai.

USDJPY tajziya:
USD/JPY ke liye haftay ka aghaz shandaar hai. Kyunki bullish trend sab se zyada mumkin scenario hai, to 154.12 tak izafa ahem nazar ata hai. Hum zyada tar trend rahenge aur 154.70 ke neeche move karenge, is ibtidaai izafa ko aakhri maqsad ki taraf pehla qadam samjha jaye. Mein 153.61 level se USD/JPY ko kharidne ke liye ek tehqiqati lehar ka intezar pasand karta hoon, shayad aakhir ki manzil tak bhi nahi. Ek ulte rukh mein tabdeeli ki umeed hai, aur USD/JPY currency pair is silsile ke baad jald hee aik naye nichle dairay mein dakhil ho jaye ga, jise ek ulte rukh mein tabdeel hone ka umeed hai. Magar, nuktah ab tak pohanchana zaroori hai. Haal hee ke trading week ke ikhtitaam tak, humain ab tak waqti hai ke hum woh maqasid ke mumkin natayej ko dhiyan se ghoorna chahiye jo waqe hone wale hain.

MACD oscillator H1 timeframe par intehaai izafa dikhata hai aur uchhalon aur nichlon mein intehaai izafa dikhata hai. Trend indicators 20 ke arsaat ke period ke saath moving averages hain jo ke qeemat ke oopar hain, jo ke dikhata hai ke kharidne wale kitne mazboot hain. Hum 153.60 ke qeemat se kharidne ki tajwez dete hain jahan pehla take profit 154.50 hai, doosra take profit 154.70 hai, aur dono orders ke liye stop loss 153.60 hai. Agar jodi 153.40 ke qeemat par fix hoti hai, to bazaar ki halat tabdeel ho sakti hai, aur phir farokht zaroori ho sakti hai. Aap seedha market se bech sakte hain ek bar wo mustahkam ho gaya hai, to is ka sabr na karein. Hum farokht ka take profit 153.00 par aur stop loss 153.60 par set karte hain. Take profit set hone ke baad, hamari farokht shuru ho sakti hai. Tasdiq ke liye

Market conditions jo niche diye gaye graph mein dikhaye gaye hain woh yeh darshate hain ke saal ke shuru se UsdJpy jodi ke liye trend Uptrend taraf ja raha hai. March ke shuru mein ek thaanv ka lamha tha jo lagta hai ke yeh bikriyon ki taraf se ek koshish thi jo mombatti ke sthal ko rokne aur neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe the taake yeh neeche jaaye, yeh koshish sirf keemat ko SMA 100 indicator ke neeche ya 146.53 ke sthal tak neeche la sakti thi. Magar April ke shuru se ab tak mombatti phir se oonchi ho gayi thi kyunki ab tak bazaar ke dam ka maamla 154.22 ke aaspaas hai. Magar bullish trend ko smooth taur par chalne ki dikkat nazar nahi a rahi hai kyunki aaj subah se ek neeche ki correction shuru hui hai

Agar mandi ke shuru ke maamla se lekar ab tak ke daam ke maamle ko naapa jaye jo bullish taraf ja raha hai kaafi wide range ke saath, is haftay ke daam safar ke halaat se yeh nateeja nikala ja sakta hai ke daam ek temporary correction ka saamna kar raha hai ek bullish safar ke darmiyan mein. Mumkin hai ke aaj bazaar phir se bullish taraf laut jaye aur agle kuch dinon tak jaari rahe. Ek mawazna ke taur par, mojooda mombatti ka sthal peechle haftay ki sabse neeche sthiti se door ja sakta hai. Daam ka andolan abhi bhi bullish taraf jaane ka mauka lagta hai jab tak aaj tak bazaar ke haalaat oonchi jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain

Magar jaise hamesha ke taur par abhi bhi shant Asian market session mein, yeh peshgoi kiya ja raha hai ke daam ke consolidation ke lamhaat honge jab tak American session shuru hone ke intezaar mein transaction volume ka izafa na ho. Agli UsdJpy jodi ke bazaar ki trend disha ke liye peshgoi kiya ja raha hai ke buyer ke control mein rahegi jiska maqsad daam ko oonchi keemat kshetra ko test karna hai. Ek Buy position kholne ke liye, aapko daam ko phir se 154.51 ke sthal tak oonch karne ka intezaar karna chahiye kyunki subah se sham tak aksar ek neeche ki correction hoti hai. Position kholne mein jaldi na karein kyunki bazaar correction aur consolidation andolanon ke prone hai

Main umeed rakhta hoon ke yeh manzil 156.23 par khatam hogi, lekin agar mansubay badal jayein, toh paidawar ka nishan 155.28 hoga. Mujhe yaqeen nahi hai ke yeh bilkul wahi hoga, lekin agar hamen mansubay ko tarteeb dena aur tahammul karna pare, toh tahsil 155.28 ke darje ko ahmiyat di jayegi USD/JPY jodi mein. Lagne lagta hai ke kharidaron ko bechnay walon par faiyda hai is potenshal harkat mein, is liye is point tak aik izafa ka intezar karen, lekin is ke baad aik ulta mutaqarar mumkin hai. Agar upar ki harkat ka nakami, toh hum ek neeche ki mansuba par chalain ge, jahan support darja 152.42 hoga. Yeh sirf aik rukawat hogi, is keemat par khareedna qabil-e-tareef ho sakta hai. Mujhe yeh tasalsul kaam kar sakta hai, aur main samajhta hoon ke isi tarteeb mein amal karna behtar hoga

Zyada tar trend ke upar jaane ka imkan hai, kyunki aik bullish trend mojooda marhale par sab se zyada mumkin hai, aur abhi ke liye 156.23 darja tak uthne ka izafi hissa lagta hai. Is se yeh nishan darust lagta hai ke upar ki harkat ka silsila jari rahega aur main hamen 154.33 darja ke upar chalne ko dekh raha hoon, is ibtidaai izafa ko muqarrar nishan tak pohanchne ka pehla qadam samjha ja sakta hai. Is lehaz se, main ek correctiv wave ka intezar karna pasand karunga takay main USD/JPY ko 153.42 darja se chalte hue khareed sakun, shayad na hi aakhri nishan tak. USD/JPY ke liye bullish trend ki manzil mein, yeh charhne ka hissa jazbati ho ga, jiske baad aik ulta mutaqarar ki taraf palat jayega, aur USD/JPY currency pair ek naye neeche darja mein dakhil ho ga, lekin yeh point abhi door hai. Mojoda trading haftay ke ikhtetaam tak, hamare paas waqt hai ke waqiyat ka mumkinah silsila tafakkur se ghoor karain

Mujhe shaam mein pehchanay gaye levels ke tests nahi dikhai diye. Jodi apni nuqsaan ko poora kar chuki thi, aur wo din bhar ke unchaai ke qareeb reh gayi tha US session ke doran. Aise haalaat mein, behtareen hota agar koi ahem US data hota, lekin yeh na honay ki soorat mein, kharidari kisi tarah se ab is waqt ke levels par mustaqil hoona mumkin nahi hai. Aaj, market mein kuch ahem hone ka ihtimal kam hai agar Bank of Japan beech mein aata hai. Data ki qasrat ki wajah se, market ki fa'aliyat band hai, jo jodi ko ek tang range mein aur kam trading volume aur kam volatility ke saath qaim rakhti hai. Intredai strategy ke liye, main No. 1 aur No. 2 scenarios par zyada bharosa karoonga.Khareedne ke signals Scenario No. 1. Aaj main USD/JPY khareedne ka irada kar raha hoon jab qeemat 154.79 ke qareeb pohanchay, jo chart par hare rang ki rekha se darust kiya gaya hai, ummed hai ke qeemat 155.29 ke liye barhao hone ki taraf rawana ho. 155.29 ke area mein, main long positions ko band karoonga aur uss bilkul ulte rukh mein short positions kholoonga, 30-35 pips ke ulte rukh se muta'arif hone ki ummed rakhta hoon. Aaj USD/JPY ki behtari ki umeed hai trend ke badalte hue baad. Khareedne se pehle, yeh zaroori hai ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur bas uss se uthna shuru ho.Scenario No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY khareedne ka irada kar raha hoon agar MACD indicator oversold area mein ho aur do musalsal 154.32 ke tests ke baad. Yeh jodi ke neechay ke potential ko mehdood karega aur market ka ulta rukh ho sakta hai. Hum 154.79 aur 155.29 ke barabar levels ki taraf umeed karte hain.Farokht ke signals Scenario No. 1. Main aaj sirf is surat mein USD/JPY farokht karne ka irada kar raha hoon jab qeemat 154.32 ke test ke baad ho, jo chart par laal rang ki rekha se darust ki gayi hai, jo ke jaldi se qeemat mein girao ko lekar aayega. Farokht karne walon ke liye markazi maqasid 153.93 honge, jahan se main short positions se bahar nikloonga aur foran uss ke bilkul ulte rukh mein long positions kholoonga, 20-25 pips ke ulte rukh se muta'arif hone ki umeed rakhta hoon. USD/JPY par dabao daily high ka nakam tootne ke baad aur markazi bank ke fa'al amalat ke baad wapas aa sakta hai. Farokht se pehle, yeh zaroori hai ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur bas uss se girna shuru ho.Scenario No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY farokht karne ka irada kar raha hoon agar MACD indicator overbought area mein ho aur do musalsal 154.79 ke price ke tests ke waqt. Yeh jodi ke upar ke potential ko mehdood karega aur market ka neeche ka rukh ho sakta hai. Hum 154.32 aur 153.93 ke barabar levels ki taraf girao ki umeed karte hain.

USDJPY currency pair market opening ke baad barhne ka silsila jari raha.

Ye jodi trends ko follow karne ki tend krta hai, jaise ke lambay arsay ki nazar se zahir hai. Magar, ye bhi zyada musafiron ko kharij karne ki tend krta hai, jaise ke pichle haftay kiya. Humne ek kafi technical izafa dekha, supports ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, aur aik buy signal ghantay ke waqt ke frame par bana. Grey bar signal level aur potential ko mark krta hai. Buy signal level par mukhtasaran ek choti si peshbandi ke baad, keematain tezi se gir gai aur khareedaron ke khatre wale zone ke neeche chali gai. Phir woh tezi se wapas chali gai. Is ke ilawa, trendline ne acha bounce point ka kaam kiya, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke ye zyada tar ek side effect tha, jaise ke range-bound market mein, kisi ko bhi us trendline se kharidne ka waqt nahi tha agar ke wo buy limit orders place kar raha hota, jo ke bohot kam traders karte hain. Abhi humare paas doosra buy signal ghantay ke frame par hai, pehle se zyada potential ke saath. Mazeed, resistance fractals mein break hai, jo ke uptrend ko dobara shuru hone ki nishaandahi karta hai.

Doosre chart par, main daily timeframe par switch karta hoon. Yahan, humein yaad dilane ke qabil hai ke hamare paas pehle se ek range ke shaklon mein keemat ke targets the. Range ka neeche ka target April 16 ko set kiya gaya tha, lekin upar ka target bhi pohancha ja sakta hai. Doosre chart par, main ne pichli southern correction ke baad pehli lehar par Fibonacci grid lagaya hai. Hamara nazdeeki target level 261.8% par hai, jo ke 155.305 par hai. Moving averages ke base par ghantay ke buy signals ke potentials ko tulanat mein laate hue, ye Fibonacci level ke saath milta hai. Lekin, market ka structure for growth toot gaya hai, khaaskar ghantay ke timeframe ki hawale se. Ye yehi matlab hai ke extreme market targets tak pohanchne ka kaam bohot challenging aur tanhai bhari ho sakta hai. Jab hum targets ke qareeb pohanchte hain, zyada shirakat daron, khaaskar bade trend followers, apne positions ko band karne shuru karte hain, jo ke upar ki structure ko tor dete hain.

Currency pair USD/JPY mahinay ke uchayi (154.8) ke ird gird jama ho raha hai. Is ke ooper breakout ek upri impulse ko amal mein laayega, keemat ko mazeed upar kheenchte hue, kyun ke upar ki taraf abhi bhi bohot zyada jagah hai, aur upar uthne wale channel ka uchayi ki had tak abhi tak nahi pohancha. Ek choti si tehqeeqat key lower channel ki boundary ke qareeb jo ke 153.923 ke qareeb hai, ki taraf ek minor correction ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai. Ye level ahem hai kyun ke ye mazeed trend ka development tay karega. Agar bounce hota hai, to uptrend dobara shuru hoga. Magar, agar is level ke neeche breakout ho jata hai, to keemat ko ascending channel se bahar nikal dega, upar ki trend ko khatam karke.

USD/JPY Jodi Ka Jaiza

US dollar/JPY ki tajziya jo 19 April, 2024 ko ki gayi, ke mutabiq ye 153.25 ke qareeb ka close support level test kiya. Is liye, yeh maze ki taraf ka ishaara hai aur iska maqsad 153.46 hai. Muhakamat ke natayej dikhate hain ke relative strength index (RSI) par trend line ka imtehan is jodi ke liye upar ki taraf ka trend tasdeeq kar sakta hai. Magar agar ye 153.35 tak gir jata hai, to ye yeh matlab hai ke ye jo umeed ki gayi thi wo nahi ho sakti. Balki, ye apni kam level ki kam karta rahega aur shayad 150.50 se bhi kam ho sakta hai.

Technical analysis taaza price tabadlaat ko aur support level aur RSI ke level ke base par maqboliyat ko qabalat par bethata hai. Is update mein, ibtedai support level 153.25 hai, jo ke mobile terminal ke ant tak nazdeek dhoondhne ka mark banaega. Agar currency is level ko paar kar leti hai, to ye bullish trend ka nishaandah hoga, aur keemaat upar ki taraf chal sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, keemat mein resistance ke potential level ko bhi dikhata hai, 153.46, jo ke aamal ka nishaandah hai. Resistance level ko tor dena tezi ka lazmi nishaandah hai aur ye jodi ke liye ahem resistance ka kirdar adaa karta hai. Trend bhi RSI ko nigrani rakhne ki ahmiyat par zor deta hai. RSI ek dynamic accelerator hai jo ke keemat ke transmission ke raftar aur tabadlaat ko nap sakta hai.

RSI par trend line ka imtehan lena aur ise USD/JPY jodi mein shamil karna dikhata hai ke mazeed behal ki raftar tezi mehsoos hoti hai. Magar tajziyat ne ek mushabeh manzar bhi pesh kiya, jis mein ye kaha gaya ke currency pair 153.35 tak kam ho sakta hai. Ziyada tezi ki nazar se, ye ma'ni rakh sakta hai aur tezi ke silsile ki jari rahni par shaq hota hai. Is mushkil mein, traders ko apni position ko dobara tay karna chahiye aur apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

Agar USD/JPY ahem support level ko maintain nahi kar sakta aur 150.50 tak gir jata hai, to ye trend ki mazeed resistance mein kami ko dikhayega. Traders ko nazar rakhna chahiye aur market conditions mein kisi bhi tabadlaat ke liye zimmedar rehna chahiye. Technical analysis qeemati insights faraham karta hai, lekin foreign exchange market mein trading karte waqt, mukhtalif factors par ghoor karna zaroori hai aur aqalmand risk management strategies ka istemal karna zaroori hai.

USDJPY Tajziya:

USD/JPY ke liye haftay ka shuru azeem hai. Keemat ki zyadatar scenarios ke mutabiq bullish trend hai, is liye 154.12 tak ki izafa zaroori lagti hai. Hum mutala jaari rakhein ge aur 154.70 level ke neeche chalein ge, jahan ye pehli izafa ka pehla qadam hai. Main pasand karta hoon ke ek corrector wave ka intezar karun aur USD/JPY ko 153.61 level se khareedun, shayad aakhir ka nishana tak bhi nahi. Ek ulta waqat ki taraf palat ishara hai, aur USD/JPY currency pair ko is ascending segment ke baad jald hi ek naye downward range mein shamil hona expected hai, jise ek ulta waqat ki taraf palat bhi followed karega. Lekin, ye point abhi tak pohancha jana zaroori hai. Is mohtaj doran, humare paas halat ke mumkin natayej ko ghaur se tayyar karna ka waqt abhi bhi hai.

MACD oscillator H1 timeframe par nihayat tezi se pohanchon ka izafa aur low aur high mein nihayat farq dikhata hai. Trend indicators 20 ke periods ke moving averages hain jo ke keemat ke oopar hain, jo ke khareedne walon ki taqat ko dikhata hai. Hum 153.60 ke price level se khareedne ka tajwez dete hain, pehla take-profit 154.50 aur doosra take-profit 154.70 aur dono orders ke liye stop loss 153.60 hai. Agar jodi 153.40 ke price level par fix hoti hai, to market situation badal sakti hai, aur phir farokht ki zaroorat hogi. Aap foran market se seedha farokht kar sakte hain jab wo mustaqil hojaye, is liye is ka intezar na karen. Hum farokht take-profit ko 153.00 par set karte hain aur stop loss 153.60 par set karte hain. Take-profit set hone ke baad, hamari farokht shuru ho sakti hai. Tasdeeq ke liye buniyadi banane ke liye M15 timeframe ka istemal karte hue, hum signal ko verify karne ke liye ek lower timeframe mein chale ja sakte hain. USDJPY ke 15-minute chart ka istemal karke aap dekh sakte hain ke Moving Average aur Oscillator indicators USDJPY ki khareed ke tasdeeq karte hain.

Hal haal mein market ke trends ka tajziya karte hue, 153.70 se 154.80 ke darmiyan taqreeban taizi se ghairat dekhi gayi hai. Aham signal 154.12 ke had se guzarnay par saamne aata hai, jo ke is ke neeche taqatwar hojata hai, iska matlab hai ke bechnay ka behtareen waqt hai. Ek mamooli izafi sudhaar ka intizaar karte hue, jald se jald giraftari ka daur dobara shuru hone se pehle, 153.15 ke darjat ke baad giravat ka agla hissa tasawwur kiya jata hai. Mazeed strategy ke insight mein 153.00 ke mark ki ahmiyat samne aati hai. Is maqami kam se kam par tootne aur is ke neeche jamne ka moqa bechnay ke liye moqa pesh karta hai, utsalar agar market mein ek neeche ki taraf ki trend nazar aaye. Ye juncture market ki manzil par faydahmand dakhil hone ka moqa pesh karta hai. Is ke ilawa, kisi bhi mumkinah upar ki impulse ke liye hoshmand rehna zaroori hai. Halan ke ek waqti taraqqi ho sakti hai, magar zyadatar trend ek independent niche ki taraf ishara karta hai. Market ko American session ke ibtida ke doran nigrani mein rakhna ahem hai, kyun ke kisi bhi upar ki raftar ki kami barqiye raftar ko dubara sabit kar sakti hai. Agar keemat in darajat ke qareeb aaye, toh waha se mukhalif ya upar ki raftar ka ikhtimal hai, jo ke trading ke faislon ko mazeed complicate karta hai. Waqt ki ahmiyat ko ujagar karte hue, bechnay ka waqt maqami minimum 153.70 ko tor kar aur us ke neeche darajat ko barqarar rehne par munasib hai. Ye strategy ka qareebi zameer market dynamics ko faida uthane aur trends ko behtar taur par istemal karne ke saath mutabiq hai. Aakhri mein, mojooda market ke manzar nama mein strategy ke mutabiq bechnay ke mukhtalif moqa maujood hain, jinhe careful analysis aur waqt se guzarish ke saath barqiye takmeel ke liye zyada faydah uthane wale investors apni jagah bana sakte hain.

USD/JPY pair mein, resistance level ke qareeb consolidation jaari hai, jo ke 151.818 par nishanakya gaya hai. Shakhsan, is aalaat ke hawale se mujhe is waqt koi dilchasp cheez nahi nazar aati. Kal, din khatam hone par, ek uncertainty ki shama jo halki bearish rujhan ke saath thi, bani, jo ke jama ho rahi ekjhut mein thi. Jaisa ke pehle zikar kiya gaya, 151.818 ke qareeb, do maqamat hosakte hain. Pehla maqam shamil hai ke qeemat mein uttar chal ke ek bhari harkat aur iska consolidation 151.818 ke resistance level ke ooper. Is maqam mein, main mazeed upri qeemat ki harkat ka intezar karunga. Is maqam mein, upri harkat ke liye maqsood 156.000 ke resistance level hoga. Agar qeemat is resistance level ke ooper consolidation karti hai, to main mazeed izafa 160.400 ke resistance level tak ka intezar karunga. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup ke banne ka intezar karunga jo trading ke mazeed rukh ka tayun karne mein madad karega. Durr ke mashriqi maqamat tak pohanchne ki bhi mumkinat hain, lekin main is waqt iska tezi se haqeeqat mein hone ka koi imkan nahi dekh raha. Qeemat ke resistance level ko test karte waqt qeemat ke liye ek ulat palat ki shama ya ulat palat ki chiraagh ki shakal ka husool ek plan ka doosra maqam bhi hosakta hai aur ek bhari durust karne ki harkat ka aghaz. Agar ye plan amal mein laaya jata hai, to main qeemat ka intezar karunga ke wo support level 149.205 par wapas jaye. Is support level ke qareeb, main upri qeemat ki harkat mein behtari ka intezar karta rahunga. Durr ke janoobi maqamat tak pohanchne ki bhi mumkinat hai, jo ke 146.484 aur 145.891 par nishanakya gaya hai, lekin agar muqarar shamil plan haqeeqat mein aata hai, to main in support levels ke qareeb bhi bullish signals ke talash mein jaari rahunga, upri qeemat ki Harkat mein behtari ka intezar karte hue. Aam tor par, aaj ke din ke hawale se mujhe kuch dilchasp nahi nazar aata. Aam tor par, main dunyawi mashriqi trend ko jari rakhne ki taraf mutawajji hoon, isliye main nazdeek ke support levels se bullish signals ki talash mein hoon

Jab sell position ke liye entry aur exit points ka tawazun karna ho, to qeemat ka chart dekhtay waqt support aur resistance ke mukhya darjat ko pehchan lena zaroori hai. Is maamlay mein, 148.70 se 149.80 tak ka range bechne ke liye ek moqaat pesh karta hai, kyunki yeh woh ahem resistance ke darjat ko shaamil karta hai jahan bechne walay zyada sakht ho sakte hain. Is range ke andar sell position mein dakhil ho kar, karobariyon ko potenshiyal bechnay ka dabao ka faida uthana hota hai aur woh apni tehleelat ko munasib qeemat darajat par shuru kar sakte hain.
USD/JPY mein mustaqil girawat ka tawakul rakhtay hue, karobari target ke liye bechnay ki position ke liye 151.35 par ek nishana qeemat tay ki ja sakti hai, jo ke woh darajat ko darust karta hai jahan par muntazir girawat mojood ho sakti hai. Yeh nishana qeemat market mein kele ke bias ke saath milta hai aur karobariyon ko ek wazeh maqsad faraham karta hai jab tak karobar ki harkat samne aa rahi hoti hai. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke aage chal kar market ke shartein mein tabdeeli aur anjaan ghatnaon se saabit honay wale asraat ko samajhna, kyun ke yeh currency pair ke raaste ko asar andaz ho sakte hain

Ikhtisar mein, USD/JPY ke 4 ghantay ka chart tajziya ek bearish trend ko zahir karta hai jo ke joj ka session ko Thursday ko darust karta hai, jis se kam harkat aur qareebi market girawat ki nishani hai. 148.70 se 149.80 tak ke range ke andar strategy se sell position mein dakhil ho kar aur 151.35 par ek nishana qeemat set kar ke, karobari apne aap ko currency pair ke tawakul girawat par faida uthane ke liye mukammal kar sakte hain. Lekin, maqool khatra nigrani aur lachari, Forex market ke pechidaghiyon ka saamna karne ke liye zaroori hai aur kamiyabi hasil karne ke liye

Forex, yaani Foreign Exchange, ek dynamic arena hai jahan currencies ko ek doosre ke khilaaf trade kiya jaata hai, jisme investors ko exchange rates ke fluctuations se faida uthane ka mauka milta hai. Ek sabse zyada trade ki jaane wali currency pair USD/JPY hai, jo US dollar ki keemat ko Japanese yen ke khilaaf darust karti hai. USD/JPY pair ko ek 4-hour chart ke zariye analyze karna ek bearish trend ko darust karta hai jo taiz hota jaa raha hai, jisme Thursday ke trading session mein ek side movement nazar aata hai jo hone waale market girawat ka sanket hai.
USD/JPY ke 4-hour chart ka jaaiza lena haal ki price action aur trend direction ke baare mein maqbool insights faraham karta hai. Ek bearish trend wazeh hai, jo lower highs aur lower lows ke silsile se nazar aata hai, jo market mein bechne ki dabav ki raaye ka mojooda mahaul darust karta hai. Ye neeche ki taraf jaane wala raasta ye suggest karta hai ke traders US dollar ko bechna aur Japanese yen ko khareedna zyada pasand karte hain, jo ki arthik data releases, geopolitical tensions, ya monetary policy mein tabdiliyon ke asraat se hosakta hai.

Thursday ke trading session ne USD/JPY ke liye bearish outlook ko mazeed mazboot kiya, jab ye ek side trend ko dikhata hai jisme koi zyada movement nahi hoti. Ye kuch hafto se nazar aane wala kam price action ek daira hai, jahan buyers aur sellers barabari mein hain, kisi ek disha mein market ko taizi se na le jaane mein. Magar bullish momentum ki kami sath hi mawjooda bearish sentiment ke sath ye nishaan karta hai ke market ne neeche ki taraf jaane ki taiyaari ki hai.

Thursday ke session ke band hone par, USD/JPY apni opening price ke neeche band hua, jo mojooda bearish sentiment ko darust karta hai. Ye bearish band ishaara karta hai ke sellers ko market par qabza karne ki ijaazat mili, jo prices ko neeche kheenchte hain aur aane waale dinon mein mazeed girawat ke liye manzar bichhate hain. Is tarah, USD/JPY mein ek bechnay ki position shuru karna mojooda trend aur market conditions ko madde nazar rakhte hue munasib nazar aata hai.

Bechnay ki position ke liye dakhil aur nikalne ke points ka tayyun karte waqt, price chart par ahem support aur resistance levels ka pehchan karna zaroori hai. Is maamle mein, 148.70 se lekar 149.80 tak ka range bechne ke liye ek moqa faraham karta hai, kyun ke ye ahem resistance levels ko shamil karta hai jahan sellers zyada sakriyat ho sakte hain. Is range ke andar bechne ke zariye, traders potential selling pressure ka faida utha sakte hain aur apne trades ko mufeed price levels par shuru kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY mein ek qadam se qadam girne ka aqeeda rakhte hue, traders apni sell position ke liye nishana price ko 151.35 par set kar sakte hain, jo ek darust hone wala giravat ka maqam hai. Ye nishana price market mein mawjooda bearish bias ke saath mel khaata hai aur traders ko trade ke bina par maqsad faraham karta hai. Magar, asbab o surat e haal ki tabdiliyon ka dhiyan rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke anjaan hawaale ya khabron ka asar currency pair ke rukh par asar dal sakta hai.

Ikhtisaar mein, USD/JPY ke 4-hour chart ka jaaiza ek bearish trend ko darust karta hai jise Thursday ke trading session mein ek side trading session ke saath mila kar darust kiya gaya hai, jo aane waale market girawat aur mazeed girawat ki ashaarat ko dikhata hai. 148.70 se lekar 149.80 ke range mein ek bechnay ki position mein stratejik dakhil hona aur 151.35 par ek nishana price set karna, traders ko currency pair mein muntazim hone waali neeche ki taraf raftar ka faida uthane ke liye apne aap ko qayam karne ki imkan faraham karta hai. Magar, maqool risk management aur lachari forex market ke complexities ko samajhne aur kamiyabi ke trading nataij haasil karne ke liye zaroori hai.

Japani Yen, US Dollar ke khilaf jaddo-jehad kar raha hai aur apne zayada saalon ke record kamzor point ke qareeb qaim hai. Is kamzori ka asal sabab do main factors se hai: Bank of Japan ke mustaqbil ki monetary policy ke ird gird shak aur Middle East ke tanazaat ke baray mein kam pareshaniyan. Aman ka safe-haven Yen geopolitical tensions ke doran investors ki hifazat ki talash mein mazid mazboot hota hai, lekin in tensions mein kami hone ke sath, Yen ki darkhwast mein kami aagayi hai. Dusray janib, US Dollar buland hai, pehli November se mukhtasir waqt ke liye apne zayada mazboot point par hai. Yeh is liye ke investors Federal Reserve se buland interest rates ko lamba arsa qaim rakhne ka intezar kar rahe hain. Buland interest rates US Dollar ko investors ke liye zayada attractive banate hain, jo ke Yen ko mukablay mein aur zayada kamzor kar deta hai.
Technical indicators ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair ke hal ki qeemat ke halaat ishara dete hain ke uptrend mein aik potential thahrao hosakta hai. Jabke overall trend bullish hai, currency pair mukhtalif se March se apni taqatwar izafaat ke baad ek consolidation phase mein dakhil hosakta hai. Ye consolidation haftay ke doran dekhi gayi sideways trading activity mein mazhar hai. Magar, chand dinon ke short-term pullback ka potential hone ke bawajood, analysts yakeen rakhte hain ke USD/JPY pair ka overall rukh ab bhi upar hai. Yeh is liye ke technical indicators ab bhi Dollar ke favor mein momentum dikhate hain. Agar correction bhi ho, toh yeh investors ke liye aik khareedne ka moqa paish kar sakta hai jo 154.30 ke aspas hai. Neeche ki taraf, 154.00 ke neeche girne se mazeed Yen ki qadar mazid hosakti hai, jo ke pair ko 153.00 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar uptrend dobara shuru hota hai, toh pair 154.75 ke aas-paas resistance ko torh sakta hai aur 155.00 ke psychology level tak pahonch sakta hai. Is level ke mazid barqarar hone se USD/JPY pair ke liye aik mazboot uptrend tasdeeq ho jayega