USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ne guzishta Jumma ko trading charts par 149.0 ke levels tak aik numaya izafa dekha, jo ke Bank of Japan ke aane wale monetary policy decision ke gird ummeeden afzai ke hoslon se mukhtalif investors aur analysts ne central banks stance ka tafteeshi nazara band rakha hai, jo ke is ki khas accommodative monetary measures ki jari jari parari ko jari rakhne ki umeed hai. Japanese economy mein kisi bhi ahem tanazaat ki na honay se interest rates ko manfi taraf ka janay ka imkan kam hogaya hai, jo ke mojooda loose monetary policy ka rukh ko mazeed mustaqil banata hai, USD/JPY pair ke bullish momentum ke sath sath, US dollar ne apni mazboot position ko barqarar rakha hai aur 103.50 ke mark ke aas paas tees hafton ki unchaai par teh qaim rakha hai. Is mazbooti ka sabab Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ki umeedon mein kami ka hai, jo ke dollar ki Japani yen ke muqablay mein mazbooti ko mazeed izafa faraham karta hai.

USD/JPY pair ki technical analysis ne roshni dali hai aik dilchasp pattern aur potential trading opportunities par, rozana candle ke band hone ke baad zone ke darmiyan mein 148.554 se 148.334 tak jab market ke shirakatdaron ne farokht ki tayyariyan karna shuru ki, magar tasawwur ki gayi girawat haqeeqat mein nahi bani jab qeemat ne haftay ke control zone ke neechay wale hadood tak nahi pohanchi jo 146.294 se 145.867 ke darmiyan hai. Hal hil recent price action ne nazar andaz kar diya hai, khas tor par Jumma ko zone ke darmiyan 148.751 se 148.973 ke bich band hone ke baad, is natija mein tawajjo ko kharidarion ke taraf mabaddala kiya gaya hai, jis ki nishandahi ka rukh upper weekly control zone tak hai jo 151.088 se 151.546 ke darmiyan hai. Price zones par strategic entry aur exit points ki pehchan karne ke liye jari lagaye gaye tajziya ke bawajood, taslees hai ke market dynamics ghaflat se badal sakte hain aur koi bhi strategy 100% kamiyabi ki guarantee nahi de sakti. Mojooda market sharaait aur technical indicators ke roshni mein, aik strategy ka tawun khaas tor par 150.0 ke psychological significant level par buy positions ki ibtida par rakha ja raha hai. Ye strategy ek islahi qadam par mabni hai jis ki umeed hai ke is se pehle daily candle ki 50% had tak ka retracement aik umeedwar 148.671 had tak asakti hai. Market analysis aur trading strategies ke complexities ke darmiyan, wazeh hota hai ke maqamiyat ko pesh karte waqt maqamiyat ko pesh karte waqt mukhtalif factors ke nuanayi samajh shamil hoti hai jo economic fundamentals, technical indicators, aur risk management principles shamil hotay hain, jabke market ke shirakatdaron apne tariqay ko adapt aur refine karte hain, wo naye moqaat ka faida uthane mein hoshyar rehte hain jabke finance trading mein mojooda uncertainty ko tasleem karte hain.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis:

USD/JPY ne pichle chaar dinon mein Japanese yen ke khilaaf kamzor hone ka aham trend dekha, jo is haftay mein 1.1% tak gir gaya hai. Japan ka bara tareen kaamgaar union Jumma ko announce kiya ke Japan ke bara firms ke kaamgaaron ko 5.28% izafa milega, jo kaamgaaron ke liye bara kamyabi hai. Ye wage increase 2023 ke 3% se zyada izafa se bohot zyada hai, jo ke peechle 30 saalon mein sab se zyada izafa tha. Wage agreement BOJ ke rate announcement ke kuch din pehle hua, jo ke 19 March ko hai, aur yeh darust hai ke BOJ negative territory se interest rates ko barha sakti hai. Bank of Japan ne interest rates ko pehli baar 2007 mein barha tha, is liye agar koi bhi rate hike hoti hai, toh yeh ek nihayat ahem policy change hogi aur yen ko buland kar sakti hai.

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, haal ki keemat ka tabadla bearish absorption pattern banaya hai, jo ke is hafte ke price action ne mazeed confirm kiya hai. Lekin, is pattern ko halke mein na lena wala, haal hi ki keemat mein upar 140.390 ke level tak aasakte hain, aur phir aik mukhtalif price trend ka mukhtalif jhalak aa sakta hai.

Jab keemat pehle barah ko chhoo jaye aur seedha barhti rahe, toh wahin par kuch aham resistance levels aa jate hain. Agar keemat 61.8% Fibonacci level aur trend resistance level ko paar karne mein nakam rehti hai, toh keemat mein neeche ki taraf jaane ka khatra bana rehta hai.

Ya toh keemat 149.23-149.57 ki range mein dakhil ho jaaye aur pehle barah ko upar nahi jaaye, toh ek peechak chahiye 38.2% aur 26.6% Fibonacci level par aamad. Baad mein, ek "s" wave ke sath upar ki taraf ka rukh ho sakta hai.

Saransh mein, USD/JPY ki technical analysis ek ihtiyaati approach ki salahiyat hai, jismein fundamental factors aur technical indicators ko dono ko shamil kiya gaya hai. Asli mein, traders ko muasharti aur maadni daramad ke tabadla ke sath sath Fibonacci ke muasharti levels aur trend resistance ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye. Aese mein, traders ko hosla aur un ke strategies ko badalne ki zaroorat hai, taake wo karobaar ke badalte mahol mein samarthy se safar kar sakein.

USD/JPY H4 Time Frame:

Subah bakhair dosto! USD/JPY Jumeraat ko 149.0 par chadh gaya, umeedon ke saath ke Bank of Japan Mangal ko apni kisi bhi had tak kholi hui monetary policy ko barqarar rakhegi. Bank of Japan ko ek ahem mudda wage-price spiral ki kami hai jo manfi interest darajat ki taraf ikhtiyaar ko saath le jaa sakta hai. Kam hone wale Fed darajat ke khatre ne US dollar ko 103.50 ke aas paas teen hafton ki unchi par banaye rakha hai. Rozana ki mombatti ne 1/2 zone 148.554-148.334 ke neeche band hone ke baad, farokht ko phir istikhara kiya gaya, lekin keemat haftay ka naab 146.294-145.867 tak nahi pohanchi. Ab keemat ne Jumeraat ko 1/2 zone 148.751-148.973 ke upar band hone ke baad, khareedne ki pehli shadool woh hogi upper haftay ka naab 151.088-151.546, lekin jaise hum dekhte hain, dosto, zones ko kamyaab karne ka hamesha ke liye koi bhi tareeqa nahi hota, ek aisa strategy nahi hota jo 100 feesad kaam karti ho. Main 150.0 ki taraf qareebi nishana lena shuru kar raha hoon, is ke liye mujhe intizaar hai ek tajziya 50% pehle ke rozana mombatti ke darja 148.671 aur ek pattern ka shakl bana.

USD/JPY Daily Time Frame:

Jee haan, aap ise jo marzi chaahein keh sakte hain, chaliye keh dein ek zaroori wapasat darja, lekin yeh bohot lamba hai, to forum wale isay bas aur wazeh taur par 'karz' kehte hain. To hamare paas 150.18-16 par M30 mein ek karz hai, lekin ek aur zyada khaas karz M30 mein nicha diya gaya tha 146.55 par, aur wazeh signalat aur model hain ke kam az kam 146.48 ko todein ge, sirf abadi sawaal rehta hai ke pehle woh isay le jayein ge? Ab ham pichli kharidaron ki zone 149.23-149.57 aur 61.8% ke darja 149.20 ke zone tak pohanch gaye hain, yahan trend rukawat bhi hai 149.12 par. Agar woh 61.8% 149.20 ke ooper nahi ja sakte aur turant neeche mude, to 5th tak 146-145.70 ja sakte hain. Agar woh 149.23-149.57 zone mein dakhil hote hain, to pehli baar ooper nahi ja sakte, phir ikhtiyaat ke liye ek waapasat ki zaroorat hai fibo area mein 38.2% 148.16 - 26.6% 147.53 aur phir "s" wave ke ooper ikhtiyaat ke zor par 150.18+-, aur phir wahan se girawat. Aam tor par, abhi ke liye soch hai ke pehle woh minimum ko todein ge, aur phir 150 par vapas aayein ge, mujhe agle teen dinon mein 151.94 tak pohanchne par shak hai, itna volume tak pohanchne ke liye nahi hai, aur karz 146.55 itna khaas hai ke ab 150 bara sawal hai.

USDJPY Jodi ki Takniki Tahlil
Daily Chart

Pichle hafte ke trading ke ant mein ek sakht closing ke saath, jabki poora hafta jodi ke movement ka amm trend ek oopri disha ka trend tha.
Upar ki ore ki lehar se pehle, jodi ka daam is maheene kharidari pattern ke andar trading shuru hua tha, jo peechle do mahino ke dauraan daam ke trend ko darshaata hai, sath hi daam ko mahine ke pivot level 148.91 se support mila tha, lekin phir daam ne ek mazboot niche ki leher shuru ki. Mahine ka pivot level toota, phir daam ke channels aur giraawat jaari rahi. Mahine ka support level 146.94, jo daam ko utaar chadhav mein sahaara diya, kyunke pichle hafte mahine ka pivot level ke upar band hua tha, aur daam is mahine ke opening level ke qareeb pahunch raha hai, aur is tarah aane waale dino mein aur oonchaai ke liye ek signal ke roop mein samjha jaata hai.

Arthik taur par, jodi ko US dollar ke daam ko dusre mukhya currencies ke khilaaf majbooti ke liye hafte bhar mein kiye gaye ilaanon ka sahaara mil raha hai. Mool bank niti ke bhavishya ke saamne, aur haal hi mein darj kiye gaye Japani mool bank ke signals ke bawajood, ant mein US dollar ke liye zyada momentum.
Moolya tahlil ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair arthik calendar data ke parinaamon se prabhavit trading kar raha hai. Pichle jumme ko, 8 March ko khatam hone wale haftay ke liye US ki pehli bekaar se pehle dawain 218,000 ki ummeedon ko paar kar gayi aur kul milaakar 209,000 dawain hui. Pichle haftay ke jari rakhne wale dawain bhi 1.9 million ki ummeedon ko paar kar gaye, kul milaakar 1,811 million dawain hui.
Japan mein, February ke liye Producer Price Index ne maheene ke tabadlaat ki 0.1% ki ummeed ko paar kiya, jabki (saalana) barabar bhi 0.5% ki tajwez ko paar kiya, 0.6% ki tabadlaat hui.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis:



Guzaarish hai ke soojhay, Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, hum ne 23.6 ke level ko guzar gaye, jo ke digital tor par 149.15 ke barabar hai, aur agle haftay me Ameriki dollar aur Japani yen ke liye ma'ashi calendar se bohot saare waqiyat muntakhib hain, ye kaafi taqatwar qarar diya ja sakta hai ke aane waale zyada ghumao mein kuch asar ho. Hafta ke dinon mein juma aur itwaar ko hum zaroor doosre hisson ka tajziya karenge, aamdani waqt ke mutabiq, jahan humein "Price Action" method istemal karke, low par candlestick model - "morning star" mila. Kul milake, humne 146.47 se uchhal liya, aur nateeja ye hua ke kal hum 270 points se oopar aa gaye, ye haftay mein is haalaat mein aik acha nateeja hai, support ne bohot bara kirdar ada kia, lekin 145.88 tak kami ka intezar tha, lekin humne upar zikr ki gayi muqami niche tak mehdood kiya. Asal mein, is support zone se dhakelne ke baad USD/JPY jora apni mazeed aglay harkat par jari raha. Main sirf abhi is harkat ko uttar ki taraf sirf ek sudhaar ke tor par samajhta hoon, jis ke baad aik mukammal harkat mazeed dakhil ki jaye gi. Ye mushkil hai ke main market mein dakhil ho ya na ho, kyunki main tab tak ye nahi karunga jab tak hum 149.70-149.92 ka resistance zone tak nahi pohanchein.


Hum is waqt currency pair ko bearish rakhte hain jab hum ne 148.50 ko saaf kar ke 149 par hafta khatam kia. Ye mazboot trend 150.60 tak izafa ki taraf ishara deta hai. Agar mazeed izafa na ho to wazir-e-aala ke paas 149.08 se upar na uthne ki koshish hogi, aur sellers ghaati ke rukh par qabu paane lagenge, jo ke 148.13 ki support level ki taraf jaayenge. Naye din ke trading session ke aghaz ke baad, uttar ki taraf maamla wazeh ho jaye ga, aur izafa na ho to girawat mazeed jari rahay gi. Nashr ki taraf rukh is shayad jari rahe ga jab bullish vector calendar ke mutabiq potential dikhata hai aur khareedne ka trend ehtiyat rehta hai, mera maqsad 150.90 ke level tak set karna hai. Haftay ke pahle din mujhe ye harkat jari rakhne ki umeed hai aur main 149.08 se upar uthne ki umeed rakhta hoon."

USD/JPY Technical Analysis:



Agar 150.60 ke resistance level se ek rebound hokar girawat ka aghaz hota hai, toh 148.13 ke support level ko is pair ke liye mukhya banaya jaega, neeche ki taraf jaate waqt. Moujooda haalaat ke mutabiq, girawat ka silsila zyada dair tak nahi chalega, khaaskar jab 148.50 par mukhya support level ko paar kiya gaya hai, jahan se umeed ki ja rahi thi ki trend ka palatwaar oopri raah mein ho jayega, aur agle haftay mein bullish movement ka mazboot hona mumkin hai. Maire khyal mein, is pair par short positions kholne se bachna chahiye Monday ko, kyunke ek mukhfi buland rukh ka imkaan hai.


150.60 ke resistance level se agar palatkar aur agle girawat ka silsila hota hai, toh 148.13 ke support level is pair ke liye mukhya banega, neeche ki taraf jaate waqt. Moujooda haalaat se yeh nahi lagta ke girawat ka silsila jaari rahega, khaaskar jab 148.50 par mukhya support level ko paar kar liya gaya hai, jahan par ek buland trend ki umeed thi, aur agle haftay mein izaafa darasal hota hai. Monday ko, main is pair par south ki position shuru karne mein ghabrahat mehsoos karunga, kyunke yeh wazeh hai ke bohot zyada imkaan hai ke keemat global south ke khilaaf ki taraf jaegi. Market trend khareeddaar ki raah par hai, isliye maine bullish trend par strategy par tawajjo dena zaroori samjha hai, khaaskar 150.20 ke oopri resistance level par mumkin hai. Is level ko paar karna naye imkaanat ko kholta hai aur market ko izafa karne deta hai.

Naye sabootat ye dikhate hain ke Japan ke Central Bank ki policy jald hi manfi maqami sato par se dafa ho rahi hai, jo ke dollar aur yen ke darmiyan currency pair, yaani USD/JPY, ko aaj neeche le gayi jismein nuqsan 149.62 ke support level tak phela, jo ke analysis likhne ke waqt stable hai, haftay ke doran 150.85 ke resistance level ke qareeb faida hone ke baad. Bank of Japan ke Board Member Hajime Takata ne taqatwar ishara diya ke Japan ke manfi sato ki policy khatam karne ka mamla taqat pakad raha hai, tajziyat ke mutabiq yen ke qeemat aur government bond yields ko barhaya.
Takata ne ek taqreer mein jo ke Thursday ko Shiga, maghribi Japan mein local business leaders ke samne di gayi, kaha: "Japani maeeshat par shak hai, lekin mera nazariya ye hai ke hadaf ki qeemat aakhir mein nazar aarahi hai." Unhone ye bhi kaha ke Japan "tanzeemi marhala mein hai, mustaqbil mein ujrat aur maal e tijarat barhne ka imkan nahi hai." Takata ne is payaam ko is dopahar ke ek news conference mein mazeed tafseel se bayan kiya jab unhon ne reporters ko kaha: "Monetary policy maqami shirae ke mutabiq ho, taake maeeshati sharaait ke mutabiq ho." Rasmi shakhs ne pehle se BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda aur Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dwara di gayi payaam ko dohraaya ke agar bank manfi sato ko khatam bhi karta hai to policy settings naram rahengi.

Is natije mein, dollar ke pair yen ke sath bechnay ke amal ka shikaar hua, jabke investors Japan aur America ke darmiyan sato ke farq ko kam hone ke liye tayar ho rahe hain. Government bond yields bhi barh gaye. Japanese yen ne apne faide ko kam kar diya Takata ke wada par ke wo monetary policy settings ko naram rakhega. Abhi taq raat bhar ke swaps 18-19 March ko hone wale Bank of Japan ki meeting mein 34% ke chance calculate karte hain ke sato mein izafa ho. Budh ke din, ye 21% tha

Hum dekh sakte hain ke GBP/USD ka market 1.2737 ke level par band hua. Aur, hum pichle haftay ka market performance analyze kar sakte hain. Hum dekh sakte hain ke sellers ne thoda sa pips kama liya hai kamiyaab taur par. Magar, Atlantic ke us paar, US Core CPI aur CPI data market expectations ko shape karne mein aham kirdar ada karenge. Mehengai ke pressures currency valuations par gehra asar daal sakte hain, aur in indicators mein unexpected readings GBP/USD pair mein tezi se lipti harkat ko trigger kar sakti hain. Is ke ilawa, 10-year Bond Auction aur 30-year Bond Auction ke nateejay US government debt ki demand par roshni daalenge, yield curve ko asar daalenge aur US dollar ke relative attractiveness ko mutasir karenge. Umeed hai ke GBP/USD ka market aane waalon dinon mein buyers ke favor mein rahega. Humne dekha ke Core Retail Sales aur Core PPI data US economy ke consumer-driven aspects mein nazar daalenge. Mazboot retail sales economic strength ka signal ho sakte hain, jo ke US dollar ko faida pohancha sakte hain. Aksar, ek disappointing retail performance consumer confidence aur overall economic health ke baare mein concerns paida kar sakti hai, jo ke GBP/USD market ko asar daal sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, Empire State Manufacturing Index aur Industrial Production figures manufacturing sector ke health aur US mein overall economic activity ke baare mein nateejay faraham karenge. Positive readings US economy mein confidence ko barha sakte hain, jo ke US dollar ko support kar sakte hain.
Is ke ulte, weak manufacturing data ek economic slowdown ke baare mein concerns paida kar sakti hai, traders ko apni positions ko dubara tajziya karne par majboor kar sakti hai GBP/USD pair mein. Hum apne nuksan ko cover kar lenge jo ke abhi zyada nahi hai. Aur, GBP/USD ke buyers aane waalon dinon mein level 1.2772 ko test ya cross karenge.

Jumeraat ko USD/JPY mein, thori si rukawat ke baad, keemat ne rukh badal kar bharpoor tawazun ke sath shumal ki taraf barhna shuru kiya, jo ke 149.205 par mark ki gai resistance level ke qareeb puray bullish candle ke banne ka natija tha. Aane wale haftay mein, mein bilkul mumkin hai ke kharidari wale zikar shuda resistance level ko azmaen, jis ke qareeb do suratahal ho sakti hain. Pehli surat mein keemat is level ke ooper mazid mustawar ho aur mazeed shumal ki taraf chalti rahe. Agar ye mansooba zahir hota hai, to mein keemat ka izafa 150.844 ya 151.908 par resistance level ki taraf dekhon ga. In resistance levels ke qareeb, mein trading setup ka intezar karon ga, jo aglay trading rukh ka taayun karne mein madad karega. Beshak, mumkin hai ke keemat 156.000 par resistance level ki taraf mazeed shumal ki taraf daba di jaye. Lekin, halat ka nigrani karna zaroori hai, aur agar diya gaya mansooba amal mein aata hai, to mein raste mein minor rukawaton ka intezar karta hoon, jo ke nazdeeki support levels se bullish signals ki talash karne ke liye istemal karna chata hoon, global shumali trend ke andar shumal ki taraf umeed hai. Keemat ke qareeb pohanchte waqt price movement ke liye ek mukhtalif mansooba ek reversable candle ke banne aur ek correctional junobi harkat ki shuruat par mabni ho sakti hai. Agar ye mansooba zahir hota hai, to mein keemat ka intezar karonga ke wo support level par 147.614 wapas jaye. Is support level ke qareeb, mein mazeed bullish signals ki talash jari rakhoonga, mazeed price movement ki aagahi ki umeed hai. Mukhtasaran, aane wale haftay ke liye, mein nazdeeki resistance level ka imtehan umeed karta hoon, aur agar kharidari wale usay establish kar lein, to apne targets ko mazeed door ki shumali maqasid ki taraf adjust karoonga

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

JPY ka giravat ruk gaya lagta hai jab strong support 146.48 par pohanch gaya. Magar, price ne ise clear nahi kiya aur correction shuru kiya. Pehli rebound ke baad, price ne kareeban 149.2 ke signal level ko chhua lekin turant wapas rebound kar gaya aur pehle support level par laut gaya. Phir se price ko support mila aur emerging corridor ke upper boundary tak rebound hua. Is doran, price chart super trend ke green zone mein hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke buying activity mein izafa hai. Price ne teesri martaba support level ko touch kiya aur ise break nahi kiya. Main is pair mein bull trend ka intezar karta hoon aur gold mein bearish trend ka. FOMC ke dauran agle haftay mein price barhegi. Hourly chart neeche dekhein:



D-1 Timeframe Analysis

Pair abhi bhi giravat mein hai, is liye pehle bullish continuation ka manzar mutabiq hai. Yeh correction phase khatam hone par mumkin hoga. Price ne trend line ko touch kiya aur ise break nahi kiya. Magar, technical tor par, mojooda downward correction ka abhi tak potential exhaust nahi hua hai. Kuch izafa ka scope 148.90 ke taraf ki taraf hai, jo central resistance ka area consider kiya ja sakta hai. Is area mein aane wale price action ko dekh kar rebound ke mumkinat par tawajjo di jaayegi jo agle giravat ka daur set kar sakta hai, jiska target 145.40 ke darmiyan ka area hoga. Agar resistance level toot jaata hai aur price 153.4 ke pivot level ke upar chadhta hai, toh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal mil jaayega. Chart neeche dekhein:

Japanese yen baray doray mein chauthay din amreeki dollar ke khilaf aur is hafte 1.1% gir gaya. Japan ka sab se bara labor union ne Jumma ko announce kiya ke Japan ke barray firms ke workers ko 5.28% izafay kiya jayega, kaamgaron ke liye bara kamyabi ka sabab. Ye 2023 mein 3% se zyada izafa hai, jo 30 saalon se zyada purani dor ka sab se zyada izafa tha. Mazdor ke liye ye izafa bohot ahem hai. BOJ ke rate announcement se pehle ye badi taraqqi hai, aur yeh darust karta hai ke BOJ negative territory se rates ko barha sakta hai. Bank of Japan ne aakhri dafa interest rates ko 2007 mein barhaya tha, iska matlab hai ke rate hike ek ahem policy ka tabdeel hoga aur zyada tar yen ko ooncha karega. Pichle haftay ne ek bearish absorption banaya tha, jo is haftay ki tarah rewrite nahi hua, isliye mein is pair ko kam karne ka pehle taraqqi ko darust samajhta hoon, lekin is se pehle mein 140.390 tak taraqqi ki umeed rakhta hoon aur phir ek rebound. Yeh kya keh raha hai yen ke mustaqbil ke baray mein amreeki dollar ke khilaf.

Ab hum pichli khareedariyon ke zone tak pohanch chuke hain jo 149.23-149.57 hai aur 61.8% level 149.20 bhi hai, yahaan trend resistance bhi 149.12 par hai. Agar wo 61.8% 149.20 ke oopar nahi ja sakte aur turant neeche mur kar chale gaye, toh wo 5th tak 146-145.70 tak ja sakte hain. Agar wo zone 149.23-149.57 mein dakhil ho gaye, toh pehli dafa oopar nahi ja sakte, phir ek rollback ki zarurat hoti hai fibo area tak 38.2% 148.16 - 26.6% 147.53 aur phir "s" wave mein mumkinah taraqqi tak 150.18+-, aur phir se kami.

Jab Federal Reserve apni maali siyasat ke faislon par guftago karta hai, market ke hissadaran taqreeban be sabar intezar karte hain ke khas taqreerain jaise ke Powell ki gawahi aur Mester ki raay mein tabdeel hone wale tafasil sunain. Ye taqreerain, sath hi chal rahe maali peshgoian jaise mazdoori ki muzakraat aur rozgar ke reports, market ke dynamics ko nihayat mutasir karne aur trading strategies ko dobara shakal dene ki taqat rakhte hain. Congress ke samne Powell ki gawahi aur Mester ki tanqeed Federal Reserve ki maali siyasat par aur arzi mehngai par unki nazriya ko samajhne mein aham darja rakhti hai. Karobarion ne her lafz aur isharay ko tafteesh ke liye kiya hai taake kisi bhi interest rates, assey kharidari ya dosre siyasat ke aalaon mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ke ishaaron ko pehchan sakein. Umeedon se kisi bhi khaas deviyo ko mukhtalif haraqat mein muzahmat ki aagahi hoti hai, jise investers ke liye hifazati taur par rehna zaroori hai aur sarfaraz rehna hai. Is ke ilawa, maali peshgoian bazaar ke jazbat aur invester itmenan ko mold karne mein kirdaar adaa karte hain. Mazdoori ki muzakraat aur rozgar ke reports mazdoori market, mehngai ke dabao aur kul mila kar arzi maali iqtisad ke sehat par qeemat dar muzahik hain.




Musbat data maqami maqami iqtisad ke dam aur ummedo ko taqat dene ke sath sath investers mein khatra barhane ki mumkinat hain. Khatarnaak shumarat se nazar andaz hone par sasti farogh, mehsoos ki gayi misaal ya mehngai ke khatraat, azeem faraagh ko janam de sakte hain. Ye waqe aur factors ka sath e aam trading aur invester ke liye ek din par din badalte hue manzar banate hain, jo ke barhtay huye unstable aur afraad ki taraf mutasir hote hain. Market ke hissadaran ko har ek development ke asrat ko wazan dena chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq kar dena chahiye. Lachak aur tarteeb ko har ek maqami aur arzi manzar mein safar karte waqt ehmiyat hai, jab ke traders naye mouko ko daryaft karne aur mumkinah khatraat ko kam karne ki koshish karte hain. Aakhri mein, maali markets ka rukh bohot se factors par mabni hai, jinmein policymakers ki khas taqreerain, maali peshgoian aur duniya bhar ki maazi ke durusti shaamil hai. Federal Reserve ke maali siyasat ke faislon ka asar, jo ke Powell ki gawahi aur Mester ki raay mein zahir hai, market sentiment aur trading strategies par asar dekhne ke liye nazron mein hai. Is ke ilawa, mazdoori ki muzakraat aur rozgar ke reports jaise maali peshgoian maqami iqtisadi sehat ke muqarar mein ahmiyat ki raoshni mein mukhtalif mozoat faraham karte hain.

Kal, USD/JPY ki trading mein local support level ka ek mahatvapurna test hua. Mere signals ke anusaar, yeh level 147.618 par sthit tha. Jab price ne is level ko upar se neeche tak test kiya, toh yeh ek mahatvapurna ghatna thi, khaaskar traders ke liye jo technical analysis ka istemal karte hain. Jab bhi ek currency pair ka price ek support level ko test karta hai, toh traders us level par dhyan dete hain kyunki yeh ek potential reversal point ho sakta hai. Agar price support level ke neeche jaata hai aur phir se upar aata hai, toh yeh ek bullish signal ho sakta hai. Is samay, khabron ka background bhi ek mahatvapurna factor tha jo USD/JPY ke movement ko influence kar sakta tha. Khabron mein kisi bhi desh ki arthik sthiti, central bank ke policy decisions, ya geo-political events shamil ho sakte hain, jo currency pairs ke prices par asar daal sakte hain.

Yadi price ne local support level ko neeche se upar kiya, toh yeh ek bullish indication thi. Iska matlab ho sakta hai ki traders ne support level ko strong mana aur ispar buying pressure dekha. Isse yeh bhi samjha ja sakta hai ki market sentiment positive tha aur traders ko ummeed thi ki USD/JPY ki kimat mein aur bhi tezi aayegi. Is palatvaar ke baad, traders ne mukhya resistance levels ko bhi dhyan mein rakha hoga, jaise ki 148.000 ya 148.500. Yadi price in levels ko paar kar leta, toh yeh ek aur bullish signal ho sakta hai aur market mein aur bhi tej harkat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.



Lekin, har ek trading decision ke saath, risk bhi juda hota hai. Agar price ne support level ko phir se toota aur neeche jaata, toh yeh ek bearish indication ho sakta hai aur market mein aur neeche ki taraf harkat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Is tarah se, kal ka USD/JPY ka trading session ek mahatvapurna mahina tha jisme technical analysis aur khabron ka background dono hi traders ke liye mahatvapurna factors the. Yah ek example tha kaise traders market ke movements ko analyze karte hain aur apne trading strategies ko adjust karte hain.

USD/JPY forex pair ke liye, jab price local resistance level ko niche se upar tak test karta hai, yeh ek important trading opportunity ho sakti hai. Resistance level ko breach karke, price kaafi bullish movement show kar sakta hai. Yeh ek potential buying opportunity provide karta hai, lekin isse pehle kuch zaroori considerations ko samajhna zaroori hai. Sabse pehle, jab price resistance level ko test karta hai, traders ko volume ka bhi dhyan dena chahiye. Agar volume bhi increase ho raha hai, toh yeh indicate karta hai ki buyers ki strength hai aur price ko higher levels tak push karne ki potential hai. Iske alawa, price action ko bhi closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar price resistance level ke upar close karta hai, toh yeh ek bullish signal hai aur buyers ki dominance ko confirm karta hai.

Market sentiment ko bhi analyze karna important hai. Agar overall market sentiment positive hai aur global economic indicators bhi strong hain, toh USD/JPY pair mein upside movement ka probability badh jata hai. Economic calendar par bhi nazar rakhna zaroori hai kyunki kuch major economic events hone par volatility increase ho sakti hai, jo ki trading decisions par asar daal sakta hai. Risk management ka bhi dhyan dena zaroori hai. Stop loss order lagana important hai taaki agar trade opposite direction mein move karta hai toh losses minimize ho sakein. Position size ko bhi sahi taur par manage karna zaroori hai taaki risk spread ho sakein.



Technical analysis tools ka istemal karke bhi trading decision ko support kiya ja sakta hai. Fibonacci retracement, moving averages, aur RSI jaise indicators ka istemal karke traders ko entry aur exit points decide karne mein madad milti hai. Overall, jab price USD/JPY pair mein local resistance level ko breach karta hai, toh yeh ek buying opportunity provide karta hai. Lekin, sahi taur par analysis aur risk management ke saath hi trading decisions lena zaroori hai. Iske alawa, market conditions aur global economic factors ko bhi samajhna important hai taaki trades ko successful banaya ja sakein.

USD/JPY taqatwar bullish momentum mein izafa dekh raha hai, khaaskar shimalli rukh ke maamle mein Japanese yen ke khilaf. Ye uptrend ahem hai kyun ke pair ne 150.89 par ahem rukawat se guzar kar, haftay ko 149.09 par mazbooti se mukammal kiya hai. Market analysts is uthaao harkat ko mukhtalif ahem factors ka hissa tasleem kar rahe hain jo investor sentiment aur trading dynamics ko mutasir kiya hai. USD/JPY bullish trend ke peechay aik ahem driver hai US ki mazboot economy ka numaindari jo mazeed taaqatwar iqtisadi nishanaat aur musbat data releases se numaya hai. Ye shamil hain encouraging employment figures, mazboot sarfeen ki spending, aur manufacturing activity mein behtar hone ka sauda, jo sab ne US dollar mein confidence ko barha diya hai. Market trends ne currency pair ki movement ko shakl di hai. Kuch khas ilaqon mein jaari geo-political tensions, sath hi geo-political uncertainties, ne investors mein safety ki taraf rujhan ko barha diya hai, jo US dollar ko safe-haven currency ke tor par pasand kiya jata hai. Is ke ilawa, risk appetite aur market sentiment mein tabdeeliyan ne USD/JPY pair mein fluctuations mein hissa dala hai, jahan risk-on sentiment ne yen ko apnay US counterpart ke khilaf neeche le gaya hai. Bank of Japan USD/JPY exchange rate par asar andaz hoti hai. Fed ki monetary policy par hawkish stance, jismein interest rate hikes aur asset purchases ka tawazun karna shamil hai, BoJ ke accommodative policies aur yield curve control measures se mukhtalif hai. Ye policy divergence US dollar ko faida pohanchata hai aur isay Japanese yen ke khilaf taqat mein izafa hota hai