USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Yeh wazeh hai k aakhri arsay mein USD/JPY par rozana chart par tamam faa'liyat hai. Agar aise ke mujooda dour mein roozana aham sataahon par aik tooti na hoti, to yeh tahaffuzi daur kabhi na hota. Aur unhon ne pehli lehar mein kam hone par rozana sataah tak pohanch gaye, jahan se do din ki tasheeh ke baad taaqat se girne lage. Is girawat ke raste mein abhi se pehlay se he manqool ho gaya hai. Ab aap ko us gufa mein dakhil hona hai jahan se aap gir gaye the aur isay ahal karna hai. Aur bas is mein dakhil hona aagey ki bunyaadi nishandahi ke liye aik mazboot bullish signal hoga taakay istiqbal mein izafa ho aur aala sataah corridor ki tahaffuz se guzar ke 151.20 par pohnchein. Sirf yehi tasalli haasil karna hai moaqqif ke liye ke muqami shumali 152.50 ke liye jo asal maqsad hai, ko paaya ja sake. currency pair ne aik lambay dono taraf ki tend ki taraf se bahar chali gayi thi, jo aala tarteeb ki waqt ke time frame par acha lagta hai -

chart analysis:



H4, main ne khaas tor par is harkat ko aik rectangle ke saath wazeh kiya tha, phir aik taaqatwar girawat hui, aur jaisa ke aap wave theory se dekh sakte hain, zyadatar ihtemam ke bais hum ab tajziyaar ke samne hain, yahan agle haftay mein bohot kuch US dollar par mabni ho ga, main ab tafsiliyat se iqtidar ki calendar ki taqreebat ka tajziya nahi karun ga, hum isay haftay ke dino par karen ge, kyun ke kabhi kabar khabar isay shamil ya kharij kar di jati hai. Technical tajziya ke mutabiq, Fibonacci grid ka maqam ahem hai jis ki range 100 161.8 hai jab unhen pehli dafa giraya gaya tha unho ne yeh nahi sirf kiya, balkay unho ne 261.8 bhi hasil kiya tha, main Monday ke liye scalping ke shauqeen ke liye wazeh pivot sataah dikhao ga, hisaab kitab ki rehnumai aaram se humein bata rahi hai ke hum kis channel mein kaam jari rakh sakte hain. Unho ne bohot dair se 150 ke markay ke ird gird tehreer ki hai.
Agar hum wahan pohnch sakte hain, to buland imkaaniyat ke saath hum 152.00 tak agay barhne ke liye jari rahenge. Main ab bhi yeh umeed rakhta hoon ke bael ke paas wazeh paas ke oopar theharne ke liye kafi taqat nahi hogi jo ke 149.70-149.92 ke keemat sataahon par mojood hai. Har surat mein, main wahan bechnay ka intezar karta hoon ummedwar honay ki bazu, jo ke head aur shoulders shakal ki sahi bazu ki tashkeel ke intezar mein hai. Is halat mein, dakchini mein maqami sahara ke qareeb hadaf ko aasani se rakh sakte hain jo ke 144.79 ke sahara sataah par waqai rakha ja sakta hai. Asal mein, baazaar ke khulne ke baad sirf intezar karna hoga aur dekhna hoga ke keemat keemat saahil sataahon tak pohanchti hai ya nahi; yahan hum pehle se he ek aik ko neechay mudde ki mukhaalif nahi kar sakte. Aam tor par, asal mein, bael ne yahan sirf do shumali lehron ka tajziya kiya, is liye mumkin hai ke baazaar ke khulne ke baad bhi keemat ek tasleeh ke liye neechay jaaye.

Pichle haftay se Japanese Yen US Dollar ke khilaf neeche ki taraf gir raha hai, ek haftay aur adhe mein apni kamzori ka darja hasil karte hue. Ye kamzori Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki jari monetary policy se hai. Governor Ueda ke hal hil ki be-tasalli ma'ashiyati tajziya aur BOJ ke ghair-mansooba bond operations ne Yen ko aur bhi kamzor kar diya hai, jo ke USD/JPY joray ko haal he mein 149.00 ke ooper se bahar nikalne ka imkan bhi hai. Magar, kuch factors hain jo USD ki qadari ko mehdood kar sakte hain. Bahar-e-bahar ke mua'wadah mausam ki behtar fauri mehngai aur tajarbaton ki kamiyat BOJ ko akhir kar apni kamar bandh karne aur karz dar maqarirat ko barhaane ki ijazat de sakti hai, shayad agle mahine tak. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve ka apna ghair yaqeeni karz dar maqarirat ka rasta aur US dollar ke kamzor tawanai bhi USD/JPY ke mazeed izafay ko rok sakte hain.



Tekniki darajat par, hal hil ki keemat ki harkat ek mumkin jari izafa ke liye ishara deti hai USD/JPY ke liye. Ek ahem Fibonacci retracement level ke ooper se guzarne aur rozana ke charts par musbat momentum indicators 149.75-149.80 tak ke resistance zone ke taraf mazeed izafay ki alamat hain. Faisla kun tor par 150.00 ke nafsiyati level ke ooper se guzar jaana ek taraqqi ko ghaur se izafa ho sakta hai, shayad February ki bulandiyon tak pohanch jaaye 151.00 ke qareeb. Magar, 149.00 ke qareeb ki ta'aeed levels halat mein neeche ka check kar rahe hain. Agar is point se neeche koi numaya girawat hoti hai, to kuch khareedari karne walon ko munfarid kar sakti hai, jis se girawat ko 148.30 ke qareeb mehdood kiya ja sakta hai. 148.00 ke gol number ke saaf tor par guzar jaana ek gehri kami ko janam de sakta hai, shayad USD/JPY ko apni 100-day moving average ke qareeb 147.65 ke qareeb khinchna pad sakta hai. Agar yeh ta'aeed rasta de, to aik jazbaati tabdeeli ke neeche dekhne se joray 147.00 ke darja ke taraf gir sakte hain aur mahinay ke nizam ke giranay ki imtehan kar sakte hain 146.50 ke qareeb.

USD/JPY Currency Pair ka Trend Monitor Karna: 4 Ghanton Ka Timeframe
USD/JPY currency pair ka market trend dekhne ke liye, Extended Regression StopAndReverse linear regression indicator ka istemal karte hue, sath hi RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators ki tasdeeqi readings ka bhi madad lenge. Ye mukammal approach humein trade mein shaamil hone ke liye aqalmand faislay karne mein madad karega.

Hamara pehla shart ek trade position shuru karne ke liye ye hai ke sab teen indicators se signals milen. Agar kisi bhi indicator ka kisi aur se ikhtilaaf ho, to hum faida ka guman ke bais trade ko mansookh kar dete hain. Jab hum market mein dakhil hote hain aur quotes ko musbat territory ke qareeb dekhte hain, to hum nafa ke lehaaz se sab se munafa bakhsh exit point ka intekhaab karte hain. Is mein extreme points ko chart par pehchan karne aur un par Fibonacci grid banane ka shamil hai, khaaskar jab keemat tajweez ki gayi correction Fibonacci levels ke qareeb aati hai.

4 ghanton ke timeframe chart ko dekhte hue, ye wazeh hai ke pehla darja ka regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke asbab ka rukh aur mojooda trend ko darust karti hai, tez zawiya se neeche ki taraf mudi hui hai. Ye ek mazboot dakshini trend ko darust karta hai jo ke izafa kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, nonlinear regression channel (convex lines), nazdeeki mustaqbil ke liye istemal hoti hai, jo ke golden channel line ko neeche se oopar chali gayi hai.

Jab keemat ne linear regression channel ka blue support line 2nd LevelSupLine ko tor diya, 146.443 ki kam keemat tak pohanch gayi, phir usne apni giraft mein rok di aur dhire dhire barhne lagi. Halankeh, ab aalaat 149.225 ke daam par trade ho rahi hai. In tajziyaat ke dastoor par, main umeed karta hoon ke market price phir se uchhal karegi aur 61.8% Fibonacci level ke 2nd LevelSupLine channel line (149.160) ke oopar wazeh ho jaegi, aur phir aage chal kar golden average line LR of the linear channel par 150.839 ke daam par chalegi, jo ke 100% Fibonacci level ke saath milta hai.

Dilchasp baat hai ke zaree alaamat RSI (14) aur MACD, oversold territory mein waqe hain, jo ke instrument ke daam mein izafa hone ki buland sambhavna ko signal karte hain, jo hamari bullish tawaqqaat ko mazeed taeed faraham karta hai.

USD/JPY: Ek Karobar Karne Wale Ka Rehnuma Price Action Ke Liye
Ham USD/JPY currency pair ke daam ke haliya ka tabeyati tajziya karenge. 149.05 ke range ke andar ek ibtedai trading daur ne aane wali girawat ki ishaarat di hai. Bazaar ka oopar ki taraf rawana oonchaai barhne ki tarah taqwiyati tarruf e sarfiya hai, aur farokht mashwara hai. 148.80 ki taraf ek nichli janib ka impulse mawjud hai, jo mazeed girawat ki ishaarat deta hai. Halankeh thori si oonchi rawani ho sakti hai, lekin mukhtalif girawat mumkin hai. Thori si oonchi harkat ke baad, kisi mutabiq 149.10 tak, nichle rukh ka agla rawana tajawaz karega. 149.15 ke oopar se guzar aur jamawar nazer aane ki ishaarat hai jabke 148.75 ke range se guzar kar girawat jari rahegi. 148.05 ke niche toot jaane ka matlab hai ke mazeed girawat ki tawaqqaat hai, aur 146.85 ke tootne se pehle tashreef ghair sambhav hai, jiska girawat ke baad shuru hota hai. 149.10 par rukawat sakht hai, aur 148.55 ke neeche se guzar kar qaim ho jaane se ek farokht ki mauqa mil sakti hai. Thori si keemat barhne se pehle mazeed girawat ho sakti hai.



Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh peechay ka background information Amreeki currency ko madad faraham karega. 4 ghanton ka chart dekhtay hue, jodi ne ek naye u-turn ko Amreeki currency ke lehaaz se banaya hai aur 148.79 ke darje ke ooper mazbooti se jamaya hai. Is tarah, ab growth process aglay tehqiqati level 100.0% (151.95) ki taraf ja sakti hai. 148.79 ke darje ke neeche darjay ki mazbooti Japanese yen ke lehaaz se kaam karegi aur giravat ko dobara shuru karegi tehqiqati level 76.4% (146.14) ki taraf. Ascending trend corridor ke neeche jamay hone ke baad, bear apni barqarar hawas mein zyada faiyda mand hain.

Market ke jazbat aur investors ka rawayya ke insights. Yeh tajwez karta hai ke umeed aur ihtiyat ke darmiyan ek nafees mawazan hai, jab market ke shirakat dabaavon ka samna karte hain aur apni positions ko dobara dekhte hain. Ye is tasfiyah daur ko ek ahem muqam par laata hai, jo agle upar ki raah par safar shuru karne se pehle jamayi se mushahidat ka moqa deta hai.
Asal mein, haal ki market harkat mein dekha gaya tootkhana aik istaqlal ka natija hai, jo kehniki aur nafsiati doono factors ka ek milaap hai, jo conventional hudood ke paar chalne ki lehr ko dhaaka deta hai. Ye bullish jazbat ki himmat ko darust karte hain jo taqatwar market dynamics ke beech me mutaghayyar hoti hain aur volatile halat mein safar karne ki taqat ko zahir karte hain.

Aage dekhte hue, tootkhana ke natije par aur tafteesh aur jaanch ki zaroorat hai, jab market ke shirakat future trends ko shape karne wale asal bunyadi karkun ko samajhne ki koshish karte hain. Tootkhana ke daur mein dikhai gayi istaqlal aage ki manfi taraqqi ki barqarar hone ki itmenan deta hai, haan magar raste mein kabhi kabhi rukawat ke saath

Akhri taur par, shumali ilaqon mein mukhtalif satah par dekha gaya tootkhana market dynamics mein ek paradigm shift ko darust karta hai, jo istaqlal, tarteeb aur bullish jazbat ka ek nayi paidaish ko darust karta hai. Jab market mazeed tabdeel hoti rahegi, tootkhana samundar ke raste ko samajhna aik zaroori hoga gahraaiyon ko samajhne ke liye aur nazuk manzar mein phelne wale moujuda moqaat ka faida uthane ke liye

Aaj ke trading mein, buyers seem kar rahe hain ke woh market ko bahar se peechay chor denay ki koshish kar rahe hain. Keemat 149.07 par khuli hai, yeh ilaqa na sirf aaj ka open hai balkay is haftay ka bhi weekly open hai. Qareebi upper aur lower resistance ke tor par support aur resistance levels market opening area ke qareeb bantay hain jo keemat 148.78 par hai jo ke 633 H1 EMA ke barabar hai aur 149.37 par hai. Keematien 200 EMA ke upar chal rahi hain aur buyers ke dwara penetrate kiye gaye hain sath hi EMA 12 aur EMA 36 jo ke upar ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain jese ke H1 time frame par trend bullish hain jis se keemat ko barhne ki sambhavna aur bhi zyada khul jati hai. Aaj ka plan asaan hai kyun ke haftay ke pehle din ko market aksar jaal bhari hoti hai, halaankay yeh doosray dinon ki tarah hi hota hai.



Ji haan, agar keemat 149.37 ke oopar resistance ko tor deti hai, to khareed ka tawazo kiya jayega. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ab bhi upar ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain aur 149.85 ke qareeb potential ko madde nazar rakhtay hue mazid mazbooti ka intezar kiya jata hai. Dusra, agar keemat 148.78 ke neechay resistance ko tor deti hai, jo ke EMA 633 H1 ke barabar hai, to mumkin hai ke bikri karachi ki taraf jaye, isliye qareebi keemat ka izafa 148.30 tak ka samjha jata hai. Opsiyonal stop loss sirf order area se 15 se 20 pips door rakha jaye. Rozana ke time frame ke trend shorat ko dekhte hue, meray khayal mein USD-JPY ka trend bullish hai, isliye khareedne ka waqt behtareen option hai. Bas sahi waqt ya shart ka intezar karein jo ke khareedne ka waqt ban jaye, ya phir USD-JPY mein bullesh movement ka intezaar karein jo ke zyada takatwar ho.

Market Dynamics ke liye Mufassil Strategy:
Moujooda tashkhees ne keemat ko ek tehqiqati neeche ki taraf ki raftar mein girne ka imkan tanqeed kiya hai jab tak wo qareebi support level tak na pohunchay. Ye tawaqo jodo ka agla u-turn ka pehlu banata hai jo ke aagay barhti bullish momentum ki nashrati se pehlay hai. Is strategy ke andar, markazi point sabar aur tez nazar par hai, ek faisla saz farmaane ki talaash hai jo ke market dynamics ke raaste ko tabdeel kar sakta hai.

Ahem Support Level aur Visual Signals:

Ahem support level 147.614 par, aage ke liye do pehlu darjye hue candlestick chart patterns ke signs ko tashrih karna hai. Is mohim mein mutmaeen u-turn is ahem maqam par sargarmi barhane ka manzar hai, jis se ke ek dillchasp bullish bharak ko aagahi milti hai. Ye approach tehqiqati tajziya ki ahmiyat ko izhar karta hai, jo ke sirf ek musarrif giravat ki raftar ko support tak le ja sakta hai lekin aane wala bullish dor ke ho sakte kuch ke mutabiq bhi tasawwur kar sakta hai.

Kamyabi ke Liye Strategy ka Taweel Majmooa:

Mufassil strategy sabar aur durust nazar ke ek dhundla jaye ke tajziya ka azeem mishran shamil karta hai, jahan 147.614 support level par ek wazeh tor par nazar churana ko pehchan karne ka tawajju ka markaz banata hai. Is ahem muqamiyat ke nazdeek pohnchna hota hai, candlestick chart u-turn pattern ki tawaqo ko barhaata hai ek bullish bharak ke liye. Khulasa mein, moujooda tajziya approach ne keemat tak neeche ki taraf barhte hue isharay ko tasleem kiya hai jab tak qareebi support level tak na pohuncha jaye. Baad mein, manzar kaaraar milta hai ek u-turn se, ek taza wave bullish momentum ko shuru karne ka. Is strategic fraimwork ka mehfooz rup se mukabla karne se, traders market ke tabdeel hone wale raaston mein itminan aur durustgi ke saath chal sakte hain.

Main D1 timeframe chart par nazar daalne ki salahiyat deta hoon. Pichle trading haftay mein bullish raha. Wave structure mukammal rahi aur bullish rehti rahi, haalaankay haftay ke ibtida mein peechlay wave aur peechlay uptrend wave ke kam se kam darjaat ke neeche girne ki mumkinat thi. Magar, market spectrum mein mukhtalif currency pairs par US dollar ki overall mazbooti ne is ko roka. Main qeemat mein izafa ki umeed kar raha tha takreeban antim giravat tak, kyunke 2022 aur 2023 ke tareekhi urooj bohot qareeb they, qareebi tor par milte julte they. Jab qeemat 2022 ke urooj tak pohanchi, to is ne usay paar nahi kiya aur girne lag gayi. Main samajhta tha ke qeemat aakhir mein is urooj ko paar kar le gi kyunke ye sirf aise hi gir jaye gi bina is ke paar karne ki koshish kiye. Haalaankay haal hi mein bechnay walay ka dominan tha, lekin main ab bhi umeed rakhta hoon ke qeemat qareebi mustaqbil mein muntakhib urooj 151.90 tak pohanchegi. Maujooda sorat-e-haal ke mutabiq, yeh honay ka zahir hai kyunke qeemat ne peechle haftay taizi se barhavat ki, aur mujhe koi wajah nazar nahi aati ke is barhavat ka rukh kyun badal jaye. CCI indicator par bullish milti thi us se pehle barhavat ki. Ab bechnay walon ka sirf ek umeed hai, jo ke 149.78 par resistance level hai, jo qeemat ke izafay mein rukawat daal raha hai. Magar, mujhe sirf yeh umeed hai ke yeh sirf chhota sa bounce oopar ki taraf karay ga, phir qeemat is se guzar kar apnay maqsood 151.90 aur us se agay ki taraf barhay gi. Pehlay, 161.8 level ko target qarar diya gaya tha jo pehle wave par Fibonacci extension lagaya gaya tha, aur yeh barhavat ka maqsood bana raha hai. Haalaankay, agar hum oopar jaayein, to main qeemat ko 2022 aur 2023 ke uroojon se thori si buland rehti dekh kar qareebi position band karne ka sochonga, bina 161.8 level ka intezaar kiye. Mujhe lagta hai ke chhote dakhilay sirf tab hi ke laiq hain jab level ko update kiya jaye, 149.78 ke resistance level se nahi. Aaj koi ahem iqtisadi khabron ka koi aitbaar nahi hai.

Main organization aur mere dost logon ko khush aamdeed kehta hoon. Aaj, main USD/JPY market ke halat par tajziya likh raha hoon. Waqt-e-tajziya mein USD/JPY 149.10 par hai. Halat ke mutabiq, USD/JPY mazboot ho sakta hai kyunke ab US dollar phir se mazboot hai aur 103.97 tak pohanch chuka hai. Is graph mein ab khareedaron ke liye mawafiq hai. Is liye main is jodi ko bechnay ke barhe mein zyada fikr nahi karta. Overall Strength Index (RSI-14) ne 34.5666 ko chhua hai, is liye qeemat overbought nahi lag rahi, is wajah se main samajhta hoon ke USD/JPY qeemat ko durust karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Ek sath, moving average convergence divergence (MACD-12,26, aur, 9) oscillator indicator musbat domain mein dakhil ho raha hai. Agar hum is graph mein USD/JPY market ko dekhein, to USD/JPY 44-period aur 20-period lines ke neeche hai. Is doraan USD/JPY achi lag raha hai magar 149.67 ke liye stability ke ilaqe tak pohanch chuka hai. Line ko tor dena qeemat ko 151.88 ke level tak le jayega jo doosra darja-e-rukawat hai. Is ke baad, 153.76 agla ahem rukawat ka nishan hai jo teesra darja-e-rukawat hai. Dosri taraf, is doraan USD/JPY acha lag raha hai lekin 148.77 ke liye mazbooti ke ilaqe tak pohanch chuka hai. Line ko tor dena qeemat ko 147.20 ke level tak le jayega jo doosra darja-e-sahara hai. Is ke baad, 146.27 agla ahem sahara ka nishan hai jo teesra darja-e-sahara hai. Umeed hai ke agle haftay market tajziya ke mutabiq chalega. Aapki maujoodgi aur raayat ka shukriya aur aap ko ek khushgawar din guzarna hai.

Aaj ke trading ke shuru se ab tak, keemat mein ek taraf ki taraf, mukhtalif price channels ke andar, jo ke do darust hain, ek laal mein barhti hui hai, jo ke peechle haftay ke dauraan keemat ka rukh darust hai, aur doosra neela channel, jo ke bechaara hai, jo peechle do hafton ke dauraan keemat ka rukh darust hai. Keemat ne neela channel ko upar se torh liya hai, aur ye keemat ke upar ki taraf rukh darust karne ki mumkinat ka matlab hai laal channel ke andar haftawar ka rukh keemat ka 149.99 ke hafte ki rukh ko nuqsaan de.
Aap moujooda candle ko band hone ka intezaar kar sakte hain, phir agle candle par 4 ghante ka chart dekh sakte hain, agar peechle candle ki sab se zyada keemat ko torh diya gaya hai, to aap kharidne ke liye dakhil ho sakte hain.

Iqtasadi Pehlu Par, jodi ki keemat ne upar ki taraf rukh liya, jo ke markazi bankon ke policy shift ke signals ki asar hai. Ye bhi is hafte ko jodi ka agla rukh mukarrar karne mein ahem bana deta hai.
Sab se ahem cheez jo dollar ki keemat ko asar daalay gi, wo is haftay ki iqtasadi calendar ke data ke mutabiq hogi. Amriki markazi bank ki elaan karne wale waqiaat honge. Mehangaai aur tanqaa data ki raseed ke baad, jo Amriki dollar ka agla bara waqia hai, wo Amriki monitory policy ka faisla hai March ke liye, jo ke agle Budh ko 18:00 GMT ko jaari kiya jayega. Mehdi ko ummed hai ke Amriki faaiz darain be tajwiz rakhein ge aur haal hi mein "Mustaqil" mehangaai aur mazboot data ke baare mein tajzia karain ge.

Assalam-o-Alaikum sabko! Aaj main dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan baat karna chahta hoon. Dosto ke saath guftagu karte hue, unka kehna tha ke bechne ki peshkash hai. Magar, jaldi karne ke bajaye, chalo hum ghaur karte hain dollar/Japanese yen currency pair ki puri tasveer par ghaur karte hain ghante ke chart par. Yah note kiya jana chahiye ke hum ek pur-aitemad upar ki taraf ki harkat dekh rahe hain, aur trend line faal hai. Aaj ki fa'alat dekh kar, hum ye nateeja nikal sakte hain ke koshish hai ke 149.283 ke resistance level ke upar band kiya jaye. Agar hum is level par ek bhi update dekhte hain, to main khareedne ke sath jari rahunga. Main ek aur khareed khulwane ki soch raha hoon aur updated high ke liye ek stop loss set karunga. Is tarah, hum upar ki rukh jaari rakhenge. Magar main apne dosto ke soch aur sujhavon ko madde nazar rakhte hue, jald hi bechne ki mumkinat ka zikr nahi kiya ja sakta. Is liye, main nisbatan tajziya ke sath kaam karne ke shartein sakht karne ki tawajjo dena chahta hoon, jaari upar ki rukh ko yaad rakhte hue. Pehle, hum ne 148.653 level ke neeche band hone par bechne ka ghor kiya tha aur uske baad kam az kam ek update kiya gaya tha. Mujhe lagta hai ke maujooda harkat ke madde nazar, sabse qareebi level jo do candles ke jismo dwara tay kiya gaya hai, jo ke 148.969 hai, is par tawajjo dena laiq hai. Ab main samajhta hoon ke is level ke neeche band hone aur kam az kam ek update hone par bechna qareebi ki soorat aur tajziya ki jari rahne ki tasdiq karega. Phir main us minimum ki taza karwai par khareedne band karunga aur ek aakhri oonchai par ek stop loss set karke bechunga. Main stop loss ko waqiyat ke har pehlu par qareeb se qareeb kheenchunga. 148.969 ke qeemat ke neeche band hone ka matlab hai ke upar ki taraf ki harkat ke doran shakal banne wali kam az kam ek minimum ko taza karne ka aghaz, jo ke upar ki rukh ke parameters se mutabiq nahi hota aur tajziya ki mumkinat ka andaza ho sakta hai.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY

USD/JPY ke technical tajziyah mein, dekha gaya hai ke yeh ab green-white candle ko test kar raha hai aur 146.65-148.28 ke resistance range ko tod raha hai. 200 dinon ka simple moving average ne late February ki uchayion se correction ko rok diya hai. Technical taur par, momentum indicators hal hil mein ki gai downside correction ko support karne ka zahir ho raha hai. Average Directional Index (ADX) side mein trade kar raha tha lekin 25.0 ke level ke upar raha, haal hi ke nuqsanat ke baad kamzori ka ishara dete hue. Relative Strength Index pehli martaba teen mahinon mein 50 ke equilibrium line ke neeche raha. Lekin ek aur bear bottom mumkin hai, or zyada ahem tor par, stochastic oversold territory mein hai or moving averages se door hai.



Agar jodi 146.65-148.28 ke muqayyad crossover range ke ooper toot jati hai aur 150.15 ki bulandi ko choo leti hai Oct 3, 2023 ko, ek breakout ke baad, darwaza 151.94 ke qareeb khul jayega 2024 mein or October 30 ko ek naya urooj choo sakta hai. Mukhtasir taur par, USD/JPY ka manzar-e-amal mustaqbil mein mazid behtar hai, jahan jodi apni hal ki kuch nuqsanat ko tor karne ki umeed rakhti hai, lekin market aane wale haftay mein mutawaqqa asaasi taraqqiyat ka intezar kar rahi hai.

Rozana ki chart ki dynamics ke mutabiq, amreeki dollar Japanese yen ke khilaf ooper ja raha hai (USD/JPY). Agar yeh ooper band hota hai, to bullish trend par inka control mazid tight hoga. Agar Fed is haftay kisi dovish lehje mein guftagu karta hai, to bullish investors agle resistance level ki taraf barhenge. Aakhri had 151.50 hai. Agar Fed apni dovish lehja chhod deta hai, to USD/JPY ke haal ke faiday khatam ho sakte hain, or 147.60 ki support ki taraf wapas ana namumkin hai. Kul mila kar, main ab bhi har dip par USD/JPY khareedna pasand karta hoon.

Mujhe lagta hai aaj humein pair ke liye ek shumali rawaj ka intezar karna chahiye, lekin zyada tar mumkin hai ke yeh sideways range ke andar hi rahega. Kharidne ke moqay 150.70 tak aane ke imkaanat hain, jabke bechne ke moqay 150.10 tak mumkin hain. Is liye, main umeed karta hoon ke pair nishchit ki gayi sideways range ke andar uttar ki taraf move karega. Ye baaqi rehne wale trading time ke liye aik sakht trading plan hai. Sab ko kamyabi ki duaen Technically, USD/JPY kuch hafton se ek trading range mein phans gaya hai. Jab kuch analysts isay December 2023 ke lows ke baad bullish consolidation samajhte hain, toh ek tasalli bhari tor par 150.75-150.85 ke aas paas resistance zone ke upar saaf toor par guzar jaana aham hai ek bar qaim rehne wale upward move ke liye. Agar yeh hota hai, toh pair 152.00 ke level tak tezi se barh sakta hai, jo ke ek multi-decade high hai. Doosri taraf, girawat se yeh 148.40 par support ko test kar sakta hai, jo ke mazeed kamzori ko trigger kar sakta hai. Aage dekhte hue, USD/JPY ka mustaqbil mukhtalif ahem waqiyat par mabni hai. BOJ aur Fed ke izhaar, special interest rate policies ke mutaliq, tawajjo se dekhe jayenge. Mazeed, aane waale US economic data releases market sentiment ko dollar ke liye influence karenge. Agar data dikhata hai ke US ki maeeshat kamzor ho rahi hai aur Fed rate cuts ke liye case mazid mazid mazboot hota hai, toh yen dollar ke khilaaf mehngaai ho sakti hai. Baraks, Fed se hawkish signals ya musbat US economic data yen ko wapas favor mein le ayeinge, jo ke yen par neeche ki taraf dabao dal sakte hain

Kal kai dakhil hone ke market mein mukhtalif entry points peda hue. Chalo 5-minute ka chart dekhte hain aur dekhte hain ke wahan kya hua. Meri pichli tajwez mein, mai ne 147.57 ke darje par tawajjo di aur market mein dakhil hone ke faislon ka faisla wahan se karna tha. Haqeeqat mein, USD/JPY ne nichay ki taraf jaaya, lekin mukarrar ki gayi manzil ke imtehan ka koi moqa nahi mila. Is wajah se market mein munasib entry points pakarne mein mumkin nahi tha. Dopahar mein, 147.57 par aik jhooti breakout ne aik acha khareedne ka signal diya. Natije mein, pair ko 60 pips se zyada tak izafa hua. 148.15 ki hifazat aur is darje se bechna zyada munafa nahi laaya. Is liye, 148.15 ke breakout aur ulta imtehan ke baad, main ne market se bahar nikal kar bullish scenario ke taraqqi mein lambi positions kholi, jo mujhe taqreeban 20 pips aur hasil karne ka mauqa diya.

Upbeat American statistics ne US dollar ko mazbooti di. Sab log foran bhool gaye ke Bank of Japan ne apni ultra-loose monetary policy mein hawkish palat ka ishara diya tha. Central bank is mahine tabdeeliyan laane ke liye tayyar hai. Aaj, behtareen tareeqa hai ke uptrend ke mutaabiq tijarat ki jaye. Nearest support area 148.08 mein jhooti breakout, jahan moving averages mojood hain, bull ke saath khel kar, is ke liye aik munasib shart hogi. Bullish target 148.63 par resistance hoga, jo aaj Asian trading ke doran test kiya gaya tha. Sirf is range ke oopar breakout aur consolidation kharidne walon ko market mein apni positions ko mazboot karne ka mouqa denge, jo lambi positions ko 149.06 ke target ke saath kholne ka mauqa de ga. Sab se door ka target 149.42 par hoga, jahan main munafa haasil karunga. Agar pair mein girawat aur 148.08 par kharidne ki koi gatividhi na ho, to USD/JPY phir se bechne ke dabav mein aayega. Is halat mein, main market mein kareeb 147.48 ke darje par dakhil hone ka koshish karunga. Magar sirf wahan jhooti breakout ko lambi positions kholne ke liye aik munasib shart hogi. Main 147.11 se turant USD/JPY kharidna chahta hoon, ek din ke andar 30-35 pips ki tameeri ko mad e nazar rakhte hue.

Aik qareebi jaiza char ghantay ke andar ki tajziya mazeed tafseelat ke bare mein bata sakta hai jo USD/JPY ke shift honay wale pattern ke mutalliq hai. Khaas tor par, qeemat ne 200-period Moving Average (MA) ko tor diya, aik ahem technical indicator jo trends ko pehchanne ke liye mashhoor hai. Natural tor par, mazeed dori shumool karne ke liye dairini uttari maqamat ke tareeqay hain, lekin filhal, mujhe unhe execute karne ke koi foran tareeqay nahi nazar aate. Doosri taraf, qeemat ki harkat aik candle ki shakal banane aur aaj 149.24 ke resistance level ko jaa kar apni nichli raftar ko dobara shuru karne ka ishara de sakti hai. Is halat mein, koi bhi umeedwar jaa sakta hai ke qeemat ka izafa ya to 147.47 ke support level par ya 146.484 ke support level par hone wala hai, agar strategy ko amal mein laaya jaaye. Keemat mein hosla afzai ke potential harkat ka intezaar karte hue, main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ke liye khayal rakhoonga. Filhal, koi cheez meri dilchaspi ko nahi jagati. Mera maqsad dobara shumali rukh shuru karna hai, is liye main us maqsad par tawajjo dena chahta hoon.

USD/JPY taqatwar bullish momentum mein izafa dekh raha hai, khaaskar shimalli rukh ke maamle mein Japanese yen ke khilaf. Ye uptrend ahem hai kyun ke pair ne 150.89 par ahem rukawat se guzar kar, haftay ko 149.09 par mazbooti se mukammal kiya hai. Market analysts is uthaao harkat ko mukhtalif ahem factors ka hissa tasleem kar rahe hain jo investor sentiment aur trading dynamics ko mutasir kiya hai. USD/JPY bullish trend ke peechay aik ahem driver hai US ki mazboot economy ka numaindari jo mazeed taaqatwar iqtisadi nishanaat aur musbat data releases se numaya hai. Ye shamil hain encouraging employment figures, mazboot sarfeen ki spending, aur manufacturing activity mein behtar hone ka sauda, jo sab ne US dollar mein confidence ko barha diya hai. Market trends ne currency pair ki movement ko shakl di hai. Kuch khas ilaqon mein jaari geo-political tensions, sath hi geo-political uncertainties, ne investors mein safety ki taraf rujhan ko barha diya hai, jo US dollar ko safe-haven currency ke tor par pasand kiya jata hai. Is ke ilawa, risk appetite aur market sentiment mein tabdeeliyan ne USD/JPY pair mein fluctuations mein hissa dala hai, jahan risk-on sentiment ne yen ko apnay US counterpart ke khilaf neeche le gaya hai. Bank of Japan USD/JPY exchange rate par asar andaz hoti hai. Fed ki monetary policy par hawkish stance, jismein interest rate hikes aur asset purchases ka tawazun karna shamil hai, BoJ ke accommodative policies aur yield curve control measures se mukhtalif hai. Ye policy divergence US dollar ko faida pohanchata hai aur isay Japanese yen ke khilaf taqat mein izafa hota hai