USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USDJPY ka price abhi 149.52 ke level par hai, aur bulls ko apni position mazid mazboot karne ke liye 149.77 ka level torhna zaroori hai. Iske ilawa, market ke hissa daaran ko broader macroeconomic mahal ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye, jo iss waqt bullish outlook ke haq mein hai. Positive economic indicators—jaise ke GDP growth, employment data, aur consumer confidence—ne market ke overall jazbaat ko khareedari ke liye behter bana diya hai.
Central bank policies, khaaskar wo jo interest rate ke faislay ke mutaliq hoti hain, market ke jazbaat par aham asar dalti hain. Agar central banks se dovish signals ya economic growth ko barhawa denay wali policies aati hain, to yeh aksar risk-on behavior ko promote karti hain, jahan investors equities ya risky currencies ko safe havens par tarjeeh deti hain. Yeh risk-on jazba bullish momentum ko barhata hai, kyunke zyada se zyada investors gains hasil karne ke liye market mein aa rahe hain.
Jo log pehle hi macroeconomic cues ke madad se long positions mein hain, unke liye substantial profits ki umeed hai jab market ke bullish underpinnings zyada waazeh ho jayein ge broader market community ko. Main tajwez deta hoon ke USDJPY ka market aaj dopahar mein 149.92 ke resistance level ko test karega.
Bulls ke liye, iss waqt ka USDJPY market un traders ke liye waqai umeed afza scenario paish kar raha hai jo bullish hain, aur waazeh signals hain ke market upar ki janib jaane ka imkaan hai, halanke buyers abhi tak apni positions ko puri tarah mazboot nahi kar sake. Overall market bullish outlook ki taraf jhuki hui hai, aur underlying conditions buyers ke haq mein hain. Yeh zaroori nahi ke bulls foran se tezi se aage barh rahe hain, lekin yeh phase zyada strategic accumulation ka hai, jahan buyers ahista ahista apni jagah bana rahe hain. Jaise jaise woh momentum barhate jaenge, market mein zyada decisive push bulls ke haq mein nazar aa sakta hai, khaaskar jab technical aur fundamental indicators favorable conditions paida karte hain upward price movement ke liye.

USDJPY ka price is waqt 149.52 par hai, aur bulls ko apni position mazid mazboot karne ke liye 149.77 ka level torhna zaroori hai. Iske ilawa, market ke hissa daaran ko broader macroeconomic mahal ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye, jo abhi ke daur mein bullish outlook ke haq mein hai. Positive economic indicators, jaise ke GDP growth, employment data, aur consumer confidence ne overall market sentiment ko khareedari ke liye mazid mazboot bana diya hai.bank policies, khaaskar jo interest rate ke faislay karti hain, market ke jazbaat par zyada asar dalti hain. Agar central banks dovish signals deti hain ya economic growth ko barhawa denay wali policies lagati hain, to yeh aksar risk-on behavior ko promote karti hain, jahan investors equities ya risky currencies ko safe havens par tarjeeh dene lagte hain. Yeh risk-on jazba bullish momentum ko mazid barhata hai, kyunke zyada se zyada investors apne gains hasil karne ke liye market mein shamil ho jate hain.Jo traders pehle hi macroeconomic cues ko dekhte hue long positions mein hain, unke liye substantial profits ki umeed hai jab market ke bullish elements mazid waazeh ho jayein. Main tajwez karta hoon ke USDJPY ka market aaj dopahar mein 149.92 ka resistance level test karega.Bulls ke liye, current market scenario mazid bullish traders ke liye umeed afza hai. Halankeh buyers ne abhi apni positions ko poori tarah se mazboot nahi kiya, overall market bullish outlook ki taraf hai. Yeh phase strategic accumulation ka lagta hai jahan buyers dheere dheere momentum gain kar rahe hain. Jaise jaise momentum barhta hai, market mein ek decisive push bulls ke haq mein aane ki umeed hai.Technical analysis ke mutabiq, pichlay din 20 MA 50 MA se neeche gaya hai, jo USDJPY ke bearish condition ko dikhata hai. Immediate support level 147.30 hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai, to pair 149.50 tak gir sakta hai, jabke 148.75 ek mazboot resistance level hai, jisko break karna gains ko trigger karega, aur pair ko 148.30 tak le ja sakta hai.Risk management ke liye, stop losses ko apne plan ke mutabiq adjust karna zaroori hai. USDJPY abhi bullish trend mein hai 4-hour period par, aur price Ichimoku cloud ke upar hai jo upward momentum ko dikhata hai. Stochastic indicator bhi upwards point kar raha hai. Recent session mein pair ne north ki taraf move kiya aur second resistance level ko tor diya, ab yeh 148.96 par trade kar raha hai.Agar bulls yeh momentum barqarar rakhte hain, to main target 149.51 par set hai, jisko breakout karke pair mazid north ki taraf move kar sakta hai, aur local maximum ko resistance area 151.17 par update kar sakta hai. Agar bears waapas market mein aate hain, to 140.66 ka support level reference point hoga. Japan ke Prime Minister Ishiba ki dovish stance ka sabab shayad aane wale snap elections mein Liberal Democratic Party ke liye electoral support hasil karna ho sakta hai. Technically, JPY ki weakness mein ek pause ka imkaan lagta hai, jaise ke JPY Implied Volatility Index USDJPY ke saath dikhata hai.

USD/JPY apne earnings ko retrace karte hue Monday ke Asian trading mein 149.00 ke upar mazbooti se qaim hai. Yeh pair nayi quwwat se milta hai, kyunke bazaar mein geopolitical tensions ke dar ke saath ehtiyaati trading ho rahi hai. Magar, Japan aur US ke darmiyan US dollar ki quwwat ke sabab yeh tension kam ho sakti hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh pichle hafte 50-day simple moving average ke upar pehli dafa mid-July ke baad se move aur July-September Fibonacci retracement ke 38.2% level se upar rehna bulls ke haq mein hai. Sath hi, oscillators bhi daily chart par positive traction gain kar rahe hain aur abhi overbought zone se door hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY pair ka raasta downside ki taraf kamzor hai.

Isliye, agar koi agla decline hota hai, toh nayi buying ko attract karne ka zyada chance hai, aur yeh girawat 148.00 mark ke qareeb limited rehni chahiye. Yeh mark ek crucial point ke taur par kaam karega, jo agar break ho gaya, toh technical selling ka signal milega aur USD/JPY pair ko 147.00 mark aur 146.50 area tak le ja sakta hai, jahan 147.35 intermediate support hai. Doosri taraf, 149.00 ka round figure ab foran ek resistance ke taur par kaam kar raha hai, jo overnight high ke qareeb 149.55-149.60 region tak hai. Iske upar bulls ka target 150.00 psychological mark ko wapas haasil karna hoga, jisse momentum mazeed barh kar 150.75-150.80 region ke 50% Fibo level tak pohanch sakta hai.

Japanese yen ne apne US counterpart ke muqable mein Friday ko girawat dekhi, jo August ke aghaz ke baad se apne sabse neeche level se recovery ko kaat diya. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke financial policy par blunt comments ke saath, Japan ki real wages mein teen mahine mein pehli baar girawat dekhi gayi, domestic spending slow hui, aur raw material ke costs mein pressure kam hone ke asar dikh rahe hain. Yeh sab Bank of Japan ke rate hike plans par shak paida karte hain. Yeh wajah se JPY kamzor hota hai aur USD/JPY pair ko kuch neeche se buyers ka support milta hai, jabke US dollar mein thoda si rise hai.

Ise ke saath, yakiniyat hai ke Federal Reserve interest rates mein cut karega kyunke labor market ke weakness ke asaar hain, lekin traders ne aggressive policy easing ka prospect rule out kar diya hai. Yeh USD ke near two-month peak se corrective withdrawal ko limit karne mein madad karta hai aur USD/JPY pair ko kuch support deta hai. Halankeh, ek softer risk tone safe-haven JPY ke losses ko limit karta hai aur currency pair ko US Producer Price Index ke data ke aage limit kar sakta hai. Magar, fundamental backdrop yeh suggest karta hai ke spot prices ka raasta downside ki taraf hai.

USD/JPY pair ki haalat is waqt ek crucial mor par hai. Aisa lagta hai ke hum ek wedge pattern bana rahe hain, jo ek decisive move ke zariye recent high 149.95 se upar break ho sakta hai. Jab tak yeh threshold cross nahi hoti, pair ek decline ke liye vulnerable hai, aur wedge formation yeh suggest karta hai ke kabhi bhi downward movement ho sakta hai. Technical analysis ke lehaz se, U.S. dollar mein 1-1.5% ki correction expected hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke USD/JPY mein ek potential drop ho sakta hai, jahan targets 147-148 ke ird gird appeal karte hain. Yeh decline U.S. trading session ke duran realistic lagta hai, khaaskar agar dollar weakness dikhata hai.
Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY 149.95 mark ko cross kar leta hai, toh hum ek bullish rally dekh sakte hain jo 151-153 range tak ja sakti hai. Lekin yeh upward movement yen ki depreciation par mabni hai. Hali mein market dynamics mein kafi tabdeeli aayi hai, khaaskar jab se dollar grow hua hai. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne interest rate hikes ka ishara diya hai, jo yen ko mazboot kar sakti hai. Agar BOJ is rukh par chalta hai, toh yeh USD ke bullish sentiment ko khatam kar sakta hai.
Jo log ek clear trade signal ka intezaar kar rahe hain, unke liye 148.83 se neeche break hona ek solid sell position ka indicator ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh traders short positions enter kar sakte hain, aur stop-loss 149.95 par set kar sakte hain. Yeh ek purely technical strategy hai, jo ke current market structure par mabni hai. 150 ka level ek significant aur psychological barrier hai, aur isay convincingly breach karna mushkil hoga.U.S. dollar aur yen ka rishta economic data aur central bank policies se closely tied hai. Market participants ko ane wale economic reports ko qareebi taur par monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh currency movements par zabardast asar dal sakte hain. Agar U.S. economic data expectations se neeche rahta hai, toh yeh dollar mein ek sell-off trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke decline ke case ko aur mazboot karega current market dynamics ek delicate balance dikhati hain between potential upward movement aur decline ka risk. Wedge formation yeh batata hai ke traders ko breakouts ke liye har waqt tayar rehna chahiye. Agar 149.95 ke upar break hota hai, toh ek bullish trend 151-153 tak ja sakti hai, jab ke 148.83 ke neeche move ek bearish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.

Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators .

Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke price ka tajzia kar rahe hain, aur mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY mazeed upar jaayega, kyun ke yeh 141.51 ke support level se rebound kar chuka hai. Yeh baat wazeh hai ke pair kaafi waqt se upar ki taraf chal raha hai, lekin 148.04 ek ahem resistance bana hua hai, jo mazeed progress ko rok raha hai. Agar price is level ko break kar leta hai, to hum USD/JPY ko 148.72 ki taraf barhte hue dekh sakte hain, jahan stop-loss level 147.40 rakha ja sakta hai. Is surat mein, 149.33 ka target munasib lagta hai, jiske baad pair reverse ho sakta hai aur 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh correction long positions enter karne ka moka de sakti hai, aur technical indicators bhi is move ko support kar rahe hain.

Aane wale Tuesday ko, USD/JPY market ek critical challenge ka samna karegi, jab yeh 148.00-149.29 range ke upar apni position banaye rakhne ki koshish karegi. Yeh zone ahem hai jo ke agle price movement ka direction tay karega, khaaskar bulls ke liye. Agar price is range ke upar rehta hai, to bulls ko momentum mil sakta hai taake wo price ko aur upar push kar sakein. Ek ahem level jo dekhna hoga wo 147.90 ka support hai. Agar price is support ke upar rehti hai, to yeh bulls ko mazeed strength aur confidence de sakta hai taake wo psychological round mark 148.00 ko target kar sakein.

148.00 ka level intehai ahem hai, aur agar yeh cross ho jata hai, to yeh mazeed upar ke levels ka rasta khol sakta hai, khaaskar 148.70 aur 149.63. Yeh levels historically important resistance zones hain, aur agar price in par upar chali jati hai, to yeh market mein mazeed bullish momentum ka ishara ho ga. Long positions ke liye traders ke liye yeh levels critical milestones ka kaam karenge. Agar yeh resistance points successfully break aur close ho jate hain, to yeh is baat ki nishandahi hogi ke market continued upward trend ke liye tayar hai.

Magar market ki movement is baat par bhi munhasir hogi ke bulls key support levels par apna control bana kar rakh sakte hain ya nahi. Agar price 149.00 mark se neeche girti hai, to yeh ek reversal ya kam az kam short-term retracement ka ishara ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur bears ko market mein wapas la sakta hai, jo ke price ko neeche ki taraf drive kar sakte hain. Aisi surat mein, traders ko 147.90 ke support level ko dekhna hoga. Agar yeh support breach hota hai, to yeh market mein ek deeper correction ka signal de sakta hai, jahan neeche ke levels ko test karne ka imkaan ho sakta hai.

JPY pair ne Asian session mein tight range mein trade kiya, jo ke kal ke closing levels ke qareeb tha. Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aayan walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk appetite ko boost karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech closely watched hoga kisi bhi hint ke liye jo Fed ke approach ke hawalay se ho, utsalilar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke bare mein. Fed ki balance sheet reduction, jo assets ko sell karne par mabni hai, bhi ek important factor hai.

Yen (JPY) naye haftay ke aghaz mein dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein defaa par tha, aur yeh Europe ke pehle hissay ke dauran August ke aghaz se apne sab se neechey level ke qareeb gir gaya. Beshak koi khaas buying nahi hui, magar yen abhi bhi koi aham faida karne mein muskil ka shikar hai, jo ke Bank of Japan ke sood ki sharah barhane ke mansoobon ke hawale se paish aane wali ghair yaqeeniyat ki wajah se hai. Iske ilawa, aam tor par risk-on mahol bhi safe-haven yen ke harakat ko roknay mein madadgar hai.
Isi doran, Federal Reserve ke easing ke taper hone ki umeed aur November mein 25bp ki sood kam karne ki qayaas ne US Treasury yields ko barhaye rakha. Is ne US dollar ko apne do mahinay ke buland points ke qareeb rakha aur kam sood walay yen ke faidah ko rokne mein madad ki. Iss liye, USD/JPY mein mazeed girawat ko ab bhi buying ka mauqa samjha ja sakta hai aur girawat mehdood reh sakti hai.

Technically, mazeed girawat bargain hunting ko 149.00 level ke qareeb attract kar sakti hai, jo USD/JPY ke neechey girnay ko 148.55-148.50 ke qareeb rok sakti hai. Ye akhri level aik ahem pivot point ban sakta hai, aur agar iske neeche break hoti hai toh sell-off trigger ho sakti hai aur spot prices 148.00 ke neeche, guzishta haftay ke swing lows (147.35-147.30) tak le ja sakti hai.

USD/JPY 149.71 par teen aur aadha maheenay ke buland level tak barh gaya, aur yeh lagataar paanchwe chaar-ghantey ke session mein green mein trade kar raha hai. Agla bara muqabla 150.00 ke psychological level par ho sakta hai, magar agla resistance 151.90 par hai, jo 25 July ka andarooni swing low hai. Yeh 151.20 par hai. Warna, agar tezi se barhne wali short-term uptrend line aur 20-period moving average 149.00 se neeche break hoti hai, toh bears 50-period moving average ke qareeb 148.05 tak ja sakte hain. Is se neechey, traders 147.20 ka support level haasil kar sakte hain aur phir wapas medium-term uptrend line 145.90 tak ja sakte hain.

Yen (JPY) naye haftay ke aghaz mein dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein defaa par tha, aur yeh Europe ke pehle hissay ke dauran August ke aghaz se apne sab se neechey level ke qareeb gir gaya. Beshak koi khaas buying nahi hui, magar yen abhi bhi koi aham faida karne mein muskil ka shikar hai, jo ke Bank of Japan ke sood ki sharah barhane ke mansoobon ke hawale se paish aane wali ghair yaqeeniyat ki wajah se hai. Iske ilawa, aam tor par risk-on mahol bhi safe-haven yen ke harakat ko roknay mein madadgar hai.
Isi doran, Federal Reserve ke easing ke taper hone ki umeed aur November mein 25bp ki sood kam karne ki qayaas ne US Treasury yields ko barhaye rakha. Is ne US dollar ko apne do mahinay ke buland points ke qareeb rakha aur kam sood walay yen ke faidah ko rokne mein madad ki. Iss liye, USD/JPY mein mazeed girawat ko ab bhi buying ka mauqa samjha ja sakta hai aur girawat mehdood reh sakti hai.

Technically, mazeed girawat bargain hunting ko 149.00 level ke qareeb attract kar sakti hai, jo USD/JPY ke neechey girnay ko 148.55-148.50 ke qareeb rok sakti hai. Ye akhri level aik ahem pivot point ban sakta hai, aur agar iske neeche break hoti hai toh sell-off trigger ho sakti hai aur spot prices 148.00 ke neeche, guzishta haftay ke swing lows (147.35-147.30) tak le ja sakti hai.

USD/JPY 149.71 par teen aur aadha maheenay ke buland level tak barh gaya, aur yeh lagataar paanchwe chaar-ghantey ke session mein green mein trade kar raha hai. Agla bara muqabla 150.00 ke psychological level par ho sakta hai, magar agla resistance 151.90 par hai, jo 25 July ka andarooni swing low hai. Yeh 151.20 par hai. Warna, agar tezi se barhne wali short-term uptrend line aur 20-period moving average 149.00 se neeche break hoti hai, toh bears 50-period moving average ke qareeb 148.05 tak ja sakte hain. Is se neechey, traders 147.20 ka support level haasil kar sakte hain aur phir wapas medium-term uptrend line 145.90 tak ja sakte hain.

Hello. Is waqt USDJPY ka chart kaafi yaqeen ke saath bearish price movement dikhata hai, jo ke kal ke band hone se pehle aik bearish impulse ke baad shuru hua. Yeh bearish impulse bohot zyada volume ke sath paanch-minute ke time period ke chart par bohot wazeh hai. Guzishta bearish impulse ne ishara diya ke market ke bohot se participants ko buying trading positions mein ****ne ke liye puppeteer ka trap kaamyaab raha, kyun ke daily chart par price growth ka signal theek tha aur is wajah se aksar log ghalat taraf gir gaye.
Kam az kam is scenario ki nishandahi graphical model "Head and Shoulders" ke right shoulder ke formation se hoti hai, jiska base 140.150 ke support level ke qareeb hai. Jab tak price global trend line (orange, inclined line) ke neeche hai, mein is option ko asliyat samajhta hoon. Agar price trend line ke upar wapas phenk di jati hai aur left side par stable ho jati hai, to market bulls ke haq mein redrawn ho sakti hai, aur pattern ko aik false formation kaha jaega. Guzishta downward price movement ke sath, hum 149.23 ka accumulation push kar chuke hain, aur agar price girawat jari rehti hai aur zyada tar market participants samajhte hue ke trend bullish hai purchases mein izafa karte hain, to price shayad wapas upar na ja sake, ya phir...

bagair kisi rollback ke, wild tareeqay se zyada tar logon ke khilaaf neeche gir jaye, aur 140.65 mark ke paas accumulated volumes ke area mein aa jaye. Agar waqai aisa hota hai aur in haalaat mein USDJPY 140.65 ka level is trading instrument ke price ko neeche jaane nahi deta, to is scenario ke mutabiq, 140.65 ke accumulation se neeche se wapas upar jaa sakti hai aur maximum level ke upar chal sakti hai.

Hello. Is waqt USDJPY ka chart kaafi yaqeen ke saath bearish price movement dikhata hai, jo ke kal ke band hone se pehle aik bearish impulse ke baad shuru hua. Yeh bearish impulse bohot zyada volume ke sath paanch-minute ke time period ke chart par bohot wazeh hai. Guzishta bearish impulse ne ishara diya ke market ke bohot se participants ko buying trading positions mein ****ne ke liye puppeteer ka trap kaamyaab raha, kyun ke daily chart par price growth ka signal theek tha aur is wajah se aksar log ghalat taraf gir gaye.
Kam az kam is scenario ki nishandahi graphical model "Head and Shoulders" ke right shoulder ke formation se hoti hai, jiska base 140.150 ke support level ke qareeb hai. Jab tak price global trend line (orange, inclined line) ke neeche hai, mein is option ko asliyat samajhta hoon. Agar price trend line ke upar wapas phenk di jati hai aur left side par stable ho jati hai, to market bulls ke haq mein redrawn ho sakti hai, aur pattern ko aik false formation kaha jaega. Guzishta downward price movement ke sath, hum 149.23 ka accumulation push kar chuke hain, aur agar price girawat jari rehti hai aur zyada tar market participants samajhte hue ke trend bullish hai purchases mein izafa karte hain, to price shayad wapas upar na ja sake, ya phir...

bagair kisi rollback ke, wild tareeqay se zyada tar logon ke khilaaf neeche gir jaye, aur 140.65 mark ke paas accumulated volumes ke area mein aa jaye. Agar waqai aisa hota hai aur in haalaat mein USDJPY 140.65 ka level is trading instrument ke price ko neeche jaane nahi deta, to is scenario ke mutabiq, 140.65 ke accumulation se neeche se wapas upar jaa sakti hai aur maximum level ke upar chal sakti hai.

USD/JPY pair par mazeed dabao daal raha hai. Saath hi, BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne tasdeeq ki hai ke bank FY2025 tak interest rates ko barhane ka plan bana raha hai, jo Fed ke umeed ke mutabiq rate cut ke bilkul baraks hai, aur yeh pair ke neeche ki taraf trend ko mazeed barhawa de raha hai. Traders filhal ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur koi faisla karnay se pehle US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke Fed ke agle policy qadam ke hawale se ahem maloomat faraham karega aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko mutasir karega. Technical Tajziya: Technical lehaz se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair mein waazeh bearish signals dekhnay ko mil rahe hain. Is waqt, yeh pair apne roz ke opening level 143.20 se neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke qareeb hai. Qeemat moving average trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ek ahem level hota hai jahan volume distribution aam tor par hoti hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko zahir karta hai. Agar qeemat 143.20 level ke upar chali jati hai, to mazeed izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo resistance levels 143.69 aur 143.75 tak jasakta hai. Agar qeemat 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to umeed hai ke yeh aur neeche jaegi aur support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh pair apne monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke neeche bhi trade kar raha hai, jo ek corrective mood ko zahir karta hai. Hourly chart mein, yeh pair apni pehle ki range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers filhal bazar mein haawi hain. Lekin traders ko ek mumkin false breakout se ehtiyaat karni chahiye. Kul mila kar, technical indicators ek bearish outlook ko support karte hain, aur agar pair key support levels ke neeche trade karta raha, to mazeed girawat dekhne k USD/JPY ne do mukhtalif directions mein move kiya
USD/JPY ki strength ka mazeed confirmation deta hai. Jab tak price is level ke ooper rehti hai, bullish scenario valid rahega, aur traders dips par buying opportunities dhoondh sakte hain. Agar price apna current level barqarar rakhti hai aur apni upward trajectory continue karti hai, to pair higher levels ka aim kar sakta hai.Magar traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur kisi bhi potential reversal par nazar rakhni chahiye, khaaskar agar future sessions mein price 143.40 ke support level ke neeche gir jata hai. Agar price is key level ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh bearish momentum mein wapas shift ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo lower price targets ka retest la sakta hai. Filhal ke liye, USD/JPY ka intraday outlook bullish lagta hai, jab ke price key levels ke ooper stabilize ho raha hai aur mazeed upward movement ke signs dikhata ha

### USD/JPY Market Analysis

USD/JPY ne haal hi mein ek bullish breakout dekha, jiss ne 149.29 ke significant resistance level ko test kiya, jo pehle mid-August mein price action ko reject kar chuka hai. Is surge ka sabab strong U.S. Dollar fundamentals hain, jo mazboot economic data aur Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance se supported hain. Iske muqablay, Bank of Japan ki dovish policy ne Japanese Yen ko kamzor rakha hai. Jab pair ne 149.29 ka level touch kiya, toh buyers ne profits lena shuru kiya, jiss se halka sa retracement dekhne ko mila. Abhi USD/JPY dheere dheere 147.29 ke support level ki taraf waapas aa raha hai, jahan ye critical low 145.92 ki taraf aur gir sakta hai. Ye zone bulls ke liye ek aham entry point ban sakta hai, khaaskar jab overall trend bullish hai. Ye pullback ek consolidation phase hai, jo buyers ko mauqa deta hai ke wo regroup karein pehle se upar jane ki koshish karne se pehle.

Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ko support de rahe hain, lekin buyers ab bhi market par pressure daal rahe hain. Is wajah se bullish momentum dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke traders ek news-based strategy ka istemal karein aur market ka technical analysis bhi karein. Is approach se traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne aur market dynamics mein tabdeeli ki umeed karne ka mauqa milta hai. Global perspective rakhne wale traders ko samajh aata hai ke U.S. monetary policy mein tabdeeliyon ka international economies, commodities, aur equities par kya asar hoga. Ye shifts diverse investment strategies ke liye mauqe faraham karte hain.

Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY market 142.75 ke resistance zone ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ki speech, jo higher interest rates ki possibility ka ishara deti hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges pesh kar sakti hai jo foreign capital inflows par reliant hain. Tighter monetary policy ke doran, capital aksar higher-yielding U.S. assets ki taraf flow hota hai, jo emerging markets par pressure daal sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve ek zyada dovish stance apnata hai, toh ye emerging markets par pressure ko kam kar sakta hai aur global risk appetite ko barha sakta hai. Harker ki speech ko Fed ki future approach ke hawale se, khaaskar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke liye, nazar se dekha jayega. Fed ki balance sheet ka reduction, jo assets bechne ko shamil karta hai, market dynamics ko influence karne wala ek aur important factor hai. Traders ko dekhna hoga ke ye sab kaise develop hota hai, khaaskar global markets ki interconnectedness ko dekhte hue.

USD/JPY market ko 143.00 ke level ke ooper rehne ka challenge ho ga. Agar ye level support deta hai, toh bulls ke liye mazeed price upar dhakelna asaan ho jaye ga, aur wo 144.00 ke round mark ka target karein ge. Agar price 144.00 se upar jata hai, toh levels 144.70 aur 145.00 ke bhi exposed hone ka imkan hai. Magar agar price 143.00 ke neeche chali jati hai, toh bears ke paas acha mauqa hoga ke wo price ko neeche le jayein. Is surat mein pehla target 142.60 ho ga, aur agla target 142.00. Agar price 142.00 se neeche jata hai, toh levels 141.50 aur 141.30 ke exposed hone ka imkaan hai.
Daily trading chart ke signals upward movement ko indicate kar rahe hain, aur umeed hai ke price accordingly move karega. Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajzia kar rahe hain. 4-hour chart pe buying ka acha mauqa lag raha hai. Current price 142.168 pe hai, aur yeh level entry point ban sakta hai. Profit-taking ka target 145.450 set kiya gaya hai, jo buyers ke support se achieve ho sakta hai.
Jumeraat ko options ka expiration bhi nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai. Friday ko market ka comfort zone future growth ke liye support de raha tha, magar Monday aur Wednesday ke options call ke target tak nahi pohanch sake. Monday ke options ke liye agle strike levels current level se teen strike upar hain, jo mazid growth ka ishara dete hain. Magar Wednesday tak growth ke liye target karna theek nahi, kyun ke zero mark par expiration ho sakta hai, jo entry point ke liye ek confirmation tha. Resultant, pair mein 50 pips ka upward movement dekha gaya, lekin 143.49 ka target achieve nahi ho saka.
Japan ke Manufacturing PMI ke weak reports ke bawajood, retail sales ke behtar figures ne yen ke against bullish dollar market ko support diya. Lekin yaad rahein ke hum ek bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna upar pair jata hai,
expected movement nahi hui aur market ne channel resistance strength ko test kiye bina pullback kiya. Maine market mein hastily entry se bacha aur cautious raha. Isliye, jab ke maine Friday ko bearish pullback ko sahi se identify kiya, maine isko trade nahi kiya aur poora decline market ke bahar dekha. Mujhe 160.06 level ke neeche price secure nahi karne ka afsos hai. Lekin, main maanata hoon ke shayad maine zyada der tak intezar kiya aur sab kuch tez se nahi hua. Isliye, main apni downward movement ki outlook ko barqarar rakhta hoon, aur samajhta hoon ke ab hume 154.57 se 161.97 tak ke growth cycle mein corrective movement par focus karna chahiye. Agar yeh reasoning sahi hoti hai, to hume 38.2 level (159.14) ka test dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

**USD/JPY Analysis: October Ki Shuruat Aur Market Dynamics**
USD/JPY ne Monday ko chouthi consecutive din upar ki taraf harkat ki, jo ke 0.58% ka faida darust kiya jab October ka aghaz hua. North American session ke doran low liquidity ke bawajood, yeh pair 149.01 ke daily low se upar uth kar 149.86 par trade kar raha tha jab yeh article likha gaya. Yeh musalsal upar ki taraf jaane wali harkat market ke ongoing dynamics ko darust karti hai, jo ke Japanese yen aur US dollar ko asar andaz karne wale domestic aur international economic factors se driven hai.

**USD/JPY Ke Fundamentals:**

Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data agle significant move ko drive karne ke liye tayyar hai, jo ke US dollar par asar dalega. Yeh data market speculation ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policy decisions ke hawale se guide karega jo October mein honge. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke September mein policy normalization ki taraf rukh karne ki umeed hai, lekin agle interest rate cuts ke darjae par abhi tak uncertainty hai. 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing tool ka kehna hai ke 50 basis points (bps) rate reduction ka 34.5% imkaan hai, jab ke zyada traders chhote 25 bps cut par daawa kar rahe hain.

Halaanki Fed ki agle meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ki umeed hai, lekin market is reduction ke daira-e-karar par divided hai. Kaafi traders 25 bps cut ki umeed rakhte hain, lekin kuch minority abhi bhi zyada aggressive 50 bps cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Yeh division global economy mein uncertainty ko darust karta hai, jo currency markets par heavy asar dal raha hai, khaaskar USD/JPY ke liye.

**Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Yeh pair apne 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko test kar sakta hai, jo ke lagbhag 149.78 par hai. Is ke baad, ek key downtrend line 148.27 ke qareeb hai. Agar pair in levels ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh 148.00 ke monthly low tak ja sakta hai, jahan par further support 147.36 par hai. Yeh levels traders ke liye dekhne ke liye bohot ahem hain, kyunki yeh currency pair ke agle directional move ka ishara de sakte hain.

Aam tor par, USD/JPY ki current movements aur upcoming economic data releases market ki overall direction ko tay kareinge. Traders ko chahiye ke yeh critical levels monitor karein, kyunki yeh kisi bhi potential breakout ya breakdown ka pata dene wale hain. Aise waqt par informed trading strategies apna kar hi market ke fluctuations se faida uthaya ja sakta hai.
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USD/JPY ka exchange rate iss waqt 149.705 par hai, jo ke aik bearish trend ko zahir karta hai kyun ke market ahista chal rahi hai. Halan ke rujhan dheema lagta hai, kuch aise asar hain jo yeh dikhate hain ke USD/JPY agle dino mein aik bara harkat kar sakta hai.
Kai factors is soorat-e-haal ko badalne mein kirdar ada karte hain. Pehla, broader economic context bohot ahm hai jab currency ke harkat ki baat hoti hai. U.S. Federal Reserve ka interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth ka rukh seedha taaluq rakhta hai U.S. dollar ki qeemat ke sath. Agar Federal Reserve interest rates barhata raha ya hawkish policies ka signal diya, toh dollar mazid mazboot ho sakta hai, jo ke iss waqt ke bearish trend ko ulat sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar inflation thanda hota hai ya Fed rate hikes ko rokne ka ishara karta hai, toh dollar mazid kamzor ho sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ke bearish trend ko barqarar rakhega.

Doosra, Japan ki economic soorat-e-haal aur uski central bank ki policy bhi bohot ahm hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne kai saalon se ultra-loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakha hai, jisne yen ko U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor rakha hai. Magar agar BoJ apni policy mein kuch tabdeeli karta hai, jaise ke inflation ko control karne ke liye tightening, toh yen mazboot ho sakta hai, aur USD/JPY neeche aa sakta hai. BoJ ke chhote signals bhi bazar mein tezi se radd-e-amal paida kar sakte hain kyun ke yen ab bhi doosri major currencies ke muqablay mein undervaulation ka shikaar hai.

Iske ilawa, geopolitical events aur global risk sentiment bhi currency ke utar-chadhav mein kirdar ada karte hain. Agar global trade mein tensions barh jaati hain ya financial markets mein instability hoti hai, toh Japanese yen aik "safe haven" currency ka kirdar ada kar sakta hai. Is surat mein, investors yen ki taraf bhaag sakte hain, jo USD/JPY rate ko tezi se neeche le ja sakta hai agar global risk barhta hai.

Technical analysis bhi volatility ke ishare deta hai. USD/JPY iss waqt ahm support aur resistance levels ke kareeb hai, aur agar ye levels breach hote hain, toh market mein tez harkat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Agar 149.705 se neeche ke support levels toot jate hain, toh ye mazid bearish trend ki nishani ho sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar resistance level cross hota hai, toh yeh currency pair rally kar sakta hai.

Nateejatan, USD/JPY ke slow bearish trend ke bawajood, agle dino mein aik bara harkat dekhne ko mil sakta hai. U.S. Federal Reserve ke faislay, Bank of Japan ki policies, aur global market ke rujhan USD/JPY ke volatility ko badha sakte hain. Traders ko tayar rehna chahiye ke yeh currency pair kisi bhi taraf tezi se hilaak sakta hai.