USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Ka Tajziya

Dollar aur yen ka hourly chart dekhein toh, itwaar ko guzishta haftay ki shuruaat girawat se hui. Yeh 148.636 ka support todta hai, aur is level ke neeche consolidation dekhi gayi. Iske baad 147.102 ke support par bechne ka signal mila. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh selling signal Tuesday ko kaam kiya, halankeh price is support ko nahi chhui, lekin yeh iski adha rasta tay kar gayi. Yeh in marks ke nazdeek bounce hui aur 148.384 ke resistance tak pahuncha. Isne is resistance ko tod diya, aur 151.738 ke resistance par kharidne ka signal diya. Yeh buying signal ab bhi relevant hai, kyunki Thursday ko price ne breakout confirm kiya aur is level par wapas aayi. Aur Friday ko, price poore din range mein trade hui. Monday ke liye yeh kharidne ka signal ab bhi maujood hai, yeh 151.738 ka resistance hai. Kharid ko sirf tab cancel kiya ja sakta hai agar price 148.636 ke support ke neeche chali jaye aur wahan consolidate kare.




Hourly chart par, main dekhta hoon ke pair ascending channel ke andar move kar raha hai. Friday ko, price is channel ki upper border se palti aur neeche ki taraf chalna shuru kiya. Ab mumkin hai ke Monday se pair girawat continue kare aur price is channel ki lower border tak, yani 148.65 tak pahunche. Agar yeh is level tak pahuncha aur channel ke neeche chali gayi, toh pair girawat continue karegi. Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price channel ki lower border se palti kare aur upper border ki taraf, yani 149.48 ki taraf barh jaaye.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

Forex community ko salam! Umeed hai ke aap meri recent analysis se faida utha rahe hain. Dollar index 149.40 se ghir raha hai aur filhal US dollar 149.12 par trade ho raha hai. Dollar index mein neeche ki taraf movement dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Agar yeh upar ki taraf barhta hai, toh dollar ko 149.50 aur 148.50 par resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai. Dollar price mein girawat primary aur secondary supports 149.67 aur 149.90 ko tod sakti hai. Momentum oscillator 147.70 par neeche ja raha hai, aur jab momentum girta hai, toh market prices bhi neeche aate hain. USD/JPY pair ab 147.95 par hai.




Daily time frame par bullish price movement nazar aa raha hai. Agar market price girti hai, toh primary support 146.40 aur secondary support 146.35 tooti sakti hai. Agar market upar ki taraf move kare, toh resistance level 146.90 aur 147.35 ke beech toota ja sakta hai. Jaise jaise 110–50 periods ki moving averages market price ko cross karti hain, price 149.30 aur 149.45 ke resistance lines ko cross kar sakti hai. Halankeh MACD indicator abhi -149.10 par hai, jabke negative volume bar ke neeche hai. RSI-14 indicator ke oversold aur overbought areas ke darmiyan sirf chhota sa gap hai jo 147.50 par hai. Candle ki 200SMA line aur 200SMA line 149.25 par touch kar rahi hai. CCl (14) indicator ye batata hai ke market 149.30 par overbought hai. Stochastic indicator se yeh pata lagta hai ke market overbought ya oversold hai. Stochastic jab 85.70 ke aas paas ho, toh market overbought condition mein hoti hai.

Dusri taraf, agar price aage barhne mein nakam hoti hai aur phir se bearish trend dikhati hai, toh support level 146.40 pehla level hai jo test kiya ja sakta hai aur agar price aage nahi barhti toh lower levels tak gir sakti hai.

USD/JPY ke liye Outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Mai mukammal taur par muttafiq hun keh yen shayad hi numaya taur par mazbut hoga. Halankeh, 4-ghante ke chart par, ham mumkena reversal dekh sakte hain. Abhi ke liye, yah ek mazbuti ke marhale ki tarah lagta hai. Aaiye intezar karein aur dekhen.
Filhal, qimat mamuli kami ke sath Peer ki hadd ke andar hai, jis ka abhi zyada matlab nahin hai. Halankeh, agar joda kal ki nichli satah 148.870 se niche toot jata hai to, yah tausie ke sath ek sideways movement ki nishandahi karega, jaisa keh 4-ghante ke chart par dekha gaya hai, jo haftawar muddat ki numaindagi karta hai.
Ab, aaiye aaj ke aaghaz me simt ko samajhne ke liye 1-ghante ke chart ko dekhen. Takniki taur par, suratehal mukammal taur par mandi ka shikar hai. Kal ke Americi trading session se volume aur growth index sell zone me hai. Agar aaj dollar/yen kal ki buland tarin satah 149.780 tak nahin badhta hai aur 148.870 se niche girna shuru kar deta hai to, ham tawaqqo kar sakte hain keh yah joda 148.55 ke ilaqe ki taraf badhega aur mumkena taur par 147.600 ke haftawar support tak niche jayega.
Meri khawahish hai keh aap munafa baksh karobar karein.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY

Pichle trading week mein, Japanese yen ne aakhirkar apna rukh badla aur kamzor hota raha. 143.53 ke level ke upar thoda waqt guzarne ke baad, price ne recovery ki aur apni pehli uptrend ko continue kiya, jo 149.19 ke aas-paas local highs tak pahuncha. Yahan par breakout hua, lekin target area tak nahi pahuncha ja saka kyunki ummed ki gayi recovery ka senario nahi bana. Is darmiyan, price chart supertrend ke green zone mein chala gaya hai, jo buyers ka control dikhata hai.

Technical nazar se dekhein toh, aaj 240-minute chart par hum positive hain lekin cautious bhi, simple moving averages se milne wale positive momentum aur short-term intervals par milne wale positive signals par rely karte hue. Isliye, 144.00 ke upar trades ki consolidation humein positive outlook rakhne ki taraf encourage karti hai, kyunki agar 145.55 ke upar confirmed break hota hai toh pair ke gains continue honge. Is se raasta 146.00 aur 146.50 tak khulta hai, aur baad mein 147.00 tak bhi upar ja sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, agar hourly chart par price 144.00 ke neeche close hoti hai, toh upar ki taraf koshishen ruk jayengi aur trading session negative territory mein chala jayega, jiska pehla target 143.40 hoga.




Filhal prices weekly highs ke paas clearly rise ho rahi hain. Key resistance zone toota hai bina pair ko iske limits mein rokne ke, jo upar ki taraf preferred vector ka shift dikhata hai. Isay confirm karne ke liye, 147.45 ke upar consolidation ki zarurat hai, jo filhal ek major support area se ghira hua hai. Is level ka retest aur baad mein neeche ki taraf reversal nayi wave ka raasta kholega jo 151.80 aur 153.35 ke beech target karega.

Agar support ke upar break hota hai aur 144.97 ke pivot level ke neeche consolidation hoti hai, toh yeh current scenario ka reversal ka signal dega.

Haal ke hafton mein, USD/JPY ne volatility ka muzahira kiya hai, jo kai factors se mutasir hui hai, jin mein economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policy shifts shaamil hain. U.S. dollar ki taqat traders ke liye aik ahem nuqta raha hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve ne aik hawkish stance qaim rakha, ye ishara dete hue ke interest rates lambay arsay tak buland reh sakte hain. Is ne dollar ko doosri currencies ke muqable mein mazid taqat di, jisme yen bhi shaamil hai. Is ke baraks, Bank of Japan apni accommodative monetary policy jari rakhey hue hai, jisme ultra-low interest rates shamil hain, jo economic growth ko barhawa dene ke liye hain. Ye monetary policy ka ikhtilaaf dollar ki taqat mein izafa karta hai, aur USD/JPY pair mein upar ki taraf harkat ke liye acha mahaul faraham karta hai.
Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, EMA8 aur EMA20 ke darmiyan jo abhi trading range hai, woh aik consolidation phase ki nishani hai, jo aksar kisi bade price movement se pehle dekhi jaati hai. EMA8 jo 147.11 par hai, wo immediate support ka kaam kar raha hai, jabke EMA20 jo 147.41 par hai, wo resistance ka kaam de raha hai. Agar is range ke upar breakout hota hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko zahir karega aur 149.81 ka target hasil ho sakta hai. Yeh target khaas tor par ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh key psychological levels aur pehle ke resistance areas ke saath milta hai.Is breakout ko hasil karne ke liye, market sentiment ko dollar ke liye optimistic rehna hoga. Agar economic indicators, jaise ke employment data ya inflation reports, U.S. economy ki taqat ko zahir karti hain, to traders is par positively react karenge, jo USD/JPY ko upar le jaane mein madadgar hoga. Is ke ilawa, agar Japanese economy mein kamzori ke koi asar nazar aate hain ya Bank of Japan apni policies taper karne ka ishara deti hai, to yeh bhi pair ke bullish outlook ko barhawa de sakta hai.Lekin bearish scenario ko bhi nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Agar downward movement hona hai, to pair ko EMA8 aur EMA20 ke banaye hue support levels ko breach karna hoga. Agar price EMA20 ke neeche jata hai, to yeh selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai aur price ko EMA50 jo 146 par hai, aur EMA200 jo 145.21 par hai, ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Ye levels critical support areas ko represent karte hain, aur traders inhein buy zones ke taur par dekhte hain. Agar price in levels ke upar qaim nahi reh pata, to yeh current trend ke reversal ka ishara de sakta hai, jo traders ko apni positions dobara evaluate karne par majboor kar sakta hai, aur ek badi sell-off ka sabab ban sakta hai.

USD/JPY ki Price Action par Base: USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka analysis hamaray liye aaj ka central topic hoga. USD/JPY ne trading week ko 146.69 ke area par correction ke sath khatam kiya, aur upward trend ko continue rakha. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend dikha rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hold kar rahi hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh bhi ke current levels se growth ka potential maujood hai. Iss point par hum ek potential price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.01 ke qareeb test ho sakta hai. Agar is ke baad rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka signal hoga, aur possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai. Bull ne trend line break hone ke baad dobara control lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki efforts sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdoood rahi, aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka. Dosri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain aur uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. General movement of average prices neeche ki taraf hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support de rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows ke indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, neeche ki taraf turn ho rahe hain, halankeh dynamic RSI abhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho rahi hai, jab ke day aur week RSI neeche hain, aur downward trend ke sath aligned hain.
Predict karna mushkil hai ke agli downward move mein price kitni neeche ja sakti hai, lekin sabse qareebi target 145.51 hai. Iske baad ka direction abhi uncertain hai
USD/JPY currency ki wave structure ko dekhen, toh direction ab kaafi clear hai ke yeh bearish trend mein hai. Jo waves ban rahi hain, wo impulsive waves hain, jo wave one ke shuru honay se start hoti hain. Wave one ke andar paanch waves hain aur wave three bhi waisi hi hai, jo sabse lambi wave hai. Lekin, jo structure sahi tarah se nazar nahi aa raha wo correction wave ka movement hai, yani wave two. Wave two ka movement flat hai aur zyadah monowave lagti

USD/JPY ka jo jor hai, wo waqai mein kuch arse se buland rahe hai, lekin 149.96 ka resistance level isay rukawat de raha hai. Agar ye level tor diya gaya, to yeh 150.64 ki taraf tez udaan bhar sakta hai. Agar hum 149.96 ko mazbooti se tor dete hain, to isse market mein izafa hoga aur 151.25 tak jaanay ki sambhavna hai.

Dusri taraf, agar yeh jor 149.32 se neeche girta hai, to yeh kamzori ka ishaara dega aur ek gehri girawat ka silsila shuru kar sakta hai. Yeh level un traders ke liye ek acha stop-loss point ban sakta hai jo upar ki taraf chalne ki umeed rakhte hain, kyunke agar yeh level tor diya gaya, to market ka jazbaat badal jayega.

Agar hum upar ki taraf aage barhte hain, to 151.25 ka target ek nihayat ahem marahil ban sakta hai. Is level tak pahunchnay se shayad mazeed kharidari ka shauq badhega, jo baad mein ek retracement ka maqsad bana sakta hai. Tab yeh umeed ki ja rahi hai ke USD/JPY 148.03 ki taraf girayega, taake is upar chadhai se munafa hasil kiya ja sake.

Bunyadi tor par, aisa lagta hai ke upar ki taraf chalne ke liye sabab maujood hain. America ke economic indicators shayad mazboot dollar ki hifazat karen, khaaskar agar recent data zyada growth ya inflation ke masail ki taraf ishara kare, jo Federal Reserve ko interest rates barhane ya barqarar rakhne par majboor karega. Yeh aam tor par USD ki demand ko barhata hai, khaaskar jab yeh JPY ke muqablay mein hai, jo Japan ki low interest rate environment ka shikaar hai.

Lekin traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Agar upar ki taraf chalanay ki umeed na poori hoti aur market peechay hat jati hai, to 149.32 ka level bechne ka trigger ban sakta hai. Agar yeh level tor diya gaya, to yeh lambi positions se nikalne aur shayad USD/JPY par short karne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Khulasa ye hai ke USD/JPY ke aas paas ki market dynamics dono mauqe aur khatarat pesh karti hain. Agar 149.96 ka breakout hota hai, to yeh mazeed izafa ka rasta khol sakta hai, jiska maqsad 150.64 aur baad mein 151.25 hai. Lekin traders ko 149.32 ke neeche girawat par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo bearish trend ka ishara dega aur 148.03 ki taraf bechne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Bunyadi tajziya, technical levels, aur market ke jazbat ko samajhna is pair ko agle dor mein samajhne ke liye ahem hoga.

اکتوبر 16 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑے نے گزشتہ دو دنوں کے دوران 149.38 کی سطح سے اوپر جانے کی کوشش کی، لیکن اس کے بجائے، روزانہ چارٹ پر مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ تھوڑا سا ڈبل ڈائیورجن بن گیا۔ فی الحال، قیمت 149.38 کی سطح سے نیچے کمی کو فروغ دینے کی کوشش کر رہی ہے۔



اگر اسٹاک مارکیٹ میں نمایاں تبدیلی کے بارے میں ہمارا قیاس درست ہے تو یہ جوڑا 139.70-140.27 کے ہدف کی حد کی طرف بڑھے گا۔ ابھی کے لیے، قریب ترین ہدف 147.22 ہے۔ اس سطح سے نیچے مضبوط ہونے سے ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (144.33) پر ہدف کھل جائے گا، جو 143.60 کے دوسرے ہدف کے قریب ہو رہا ہے۔

قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے نیچے اور چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر 149.38 کی سطح پر مستحکم ہو گئی ہے۔ اب اسے صرف بیلنس لائن کے نیچے مضبوط کرنے کی ضرورت ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے کی حد کے نیچے آباد ہو گیا ہے۔ قریب ترین ہدف، 147.22، قریب قریب پہنچ گیا ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD/JPY ka halat is waqt ek ahem marahil par hai. Aisa lagta hai ke hum ek wedge pattern bana rahe hain, jo ke 149.95 ke haal ke high se upar jaane par tooti ja sakti hai. Jab tak yeh threshold tor nahi di jaati, yeh pair neeche girne ke liye khula hai, aur wedge formation ye darshata hai ke kisi bhi lamhe mein neeche ki taraf ja sakta hai.
Technical nazariye se dekha jaye to, US dollar ke liye 1-1.5% ka correction bilkul ripe hai. Yeh USD/JPY ki girawat ko darshata hai, jahan 147-148 ke targets kaafi dilchasp lag rahe hain. Yeh girawat US trading session ke doran ho sakti hai, khaaskar agar dollar kamzori dikhata hai.

Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 149.95 ka mark tor deta hai, to humein 151-153 ki taraf ek bullish rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin yeh upward movement tabhi mumkin hai jab yen mazeed kamzor ho. Recent market dynamics ne kaafi tabdeeli dekhi hai, khaaskar dollar ke izafe ke baad. Japan ka Central Bank (BOJ) interest rate barhane ka ishaara de raha hai, jo yen ko mazboot kar sakta hai. Agar BOJ is taraf kadam uthatay hain, to yeh USD ke liye bullish jazbaat ko counter kar sakta hai.

Jo log trading ka signal talash kar rahe hain, unke liye 148.83 ke neeche girawat ek acha indicator ban sakta hai. Agar yeh level tor diya gaya, to traders short positions lene par ghور kar sakte hain, jiska stop-loss 149.95 par set kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh ek pure technical strategy hai, aur yeh maujooda market structure ka faida uthatay hai. 150 ka level ek ahem aur psychological barrier hai, aur isay convincingly torna mushkil hoga.

USD dollar aur yen ke darmiyan ka taluq closely economic data aur central bank policies se hai. Market participants ko aane wale economic reports par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh currency movements par gehra asar daal sakti hain. Agar US economic data umeed se peechay reh jata hai, to yeh dollar mein girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ki girawat ko mazeed support dega.

Khulasa yeh hai ke maujooda market dynamics ek naazuk tawazun ka darshata hai jo upar ki taraf jaane ki sambhavnayein aur girawat ka khatara dono ko sametay hai. Wedge ka formation yeh darshata hai ke traders ko dono taraf breakouts ke liye hamesha tayyar rehna chahiye. Agar 149.95 ka breakout hota hai to yeh 151-153 ki taraf ek bullish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jab ke 148.83 ke neeche girawat bearish reversal ka signal de sakti hai.



Tabdeeli se bhari is halat ke chalte, jahan BOJ ke interest rates mein tabdeeli ho sakti hai, market participants ko volatility ke liye tayyar rehna hoga. Is environment mein strategic position banana zaroori hoga, jisme technical signals aur buniyadi developments dono ka dhyan rakhna hoga. Jaise hi hum aage barhte hain, traders ko key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye aur market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategies adjust karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

mein economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policy shifts shaamil hain. U.S. dollar ki taqat traders ke liye aik ahem nuqta raha hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve ne aik hawkish stance qaim rakha, ye ishara dete hue ke interest rates lambay arsay tak buland reh sakte hain. Is ne dollar ko doosri currencies ke muqable mein mazid taqat di, jisme yen bhi shaamil hai. Is ke baraks, Bank of Japan apni accommodative monetary policy jari rakhey hue hai, jisme ultra-low interest rates shamil hain, jo economic growth ko barhawa dene ke liye hain. Ye monetary policy ka ikhtilaaf dollar ki taqat mein izafa karta hai, aur USD/JPY pair mein upar ki taraf harkat ke liye acha mahaul faraham karta hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, EMA8 aur EMA20 ke darmiyan jo abhi trading range hai, woh aik consolidation phase ki nishani hai, jo aksar kisi bade price movement se pehle dekhi jaati hai. EMA8 jo 147.11 par hai, wo immediate support ka kaam kar raha hai, jabke EMA20 jo 147.41 par hai, wo resistance ka kaam de raha hai. Agar is range ke upar breakout hota hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko zahir karega aur 149.81 ka target hasil ho sakta hai. Yeh target khaas tor par ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh key psychological levels aur pehle ke resistance areas ke saath milta hai.Is breakout ko hasil karne ke liye, market sentiment ko dollar ke liye optimistic rehna hoga. Agar economic indicators, jaise ke employment data ya inflation reports, U.S. economy ki taqat ko zahir karti hain, to traders is par positively react karenge, jo USD/JPY ko upar le jaane mein madadgar hoga. Is ke ilawa, agar Japanese economy mein kamzori ke koi asar nazar aate hain ya Bank of Japan apni policies taper karne ka ishara deti hai, to yeh bhi pair ke bullish outlook ko barhawa de sakta hai.Lekin bearish scenario ko bhi nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Agar downward movement hona hai, to pair ko EMA8 aur EMA20 ke banaye hue support levels ko breach karna hoga. Agar price EMA20 ke neeche jata hai, to yeh selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai aur price ko EMA50 jo 146 par hai, aur EMA200 jo 145.21 par hai, ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Ye levels critical support areas ko represent karte hain, aur traders inhein buy zones ke taur par dekhte hain. Agar price in levels ke upar qaim nahi reh pata, to yeh current trend ke reversal ka ishara de sakta hai, jo traders ko apni positions dobara evaluate karne par majboor kar sakta hai, aur ek badi sell-off ka sabab ban
sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators .

Is waqt hum USD/JPY currency pair ki pricing dynamics ka review kar rahe hain. Currency pair ki dynamics ek consolidation ka daur aur ehtiyaat se trading ko reflect karti hain. Pichle hafte ke resistance level 149.98 ke baad, pair ko upward momentum hasil karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai. 148.85 par ek notable double bottom pattern bana hai, jo ek possible support level ko dikhata hai, jab ke pair ne 149.56 par resistance ka samna kiya. Yeh price actions buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan ek jaddo-jahad ko zahir karte hain, jahan market 148.85 level ke ird gird oscillate kar raha hai. Pair ki recent movement resistance level se retreat ko dikhati hai, jo yeh batlata hai ke filhal sellers ka asar zyada hai. Jab pair phir se is local resistance ki taraf ja raha hai, toh yeh ek crucial point par hai.America se aane wale bara economic data release ki intezaar bhi market ke current stagnation mein ek layer of complexity dal raha hai. Traders ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain, shayad is data ka intezaar kar rahe hain taake yeh andaza laga sakein ke dollar ki strength yen ke muqable mein kis tarah effect ho sakti hai, khaaskar halia fluctuations ko dekhte hue jo wider economic landscape mein chal rahi hain.
Aage dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair ki trajectory kuch critical price levels par mabni hai. Agar pair 149.56 se upar breakout karta hai, toh yeh ek naya buying opportunity ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo ek rally ko janam de sakta hai jo upper resistance 149.98 ko challenge karega, jo kayi arsey se mazboot bana hua hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 148.85 ke support se neeche girta hai, toh yeh selling pressure ko aur barha sakta hai, jo 147.00 ke psychological level ki taraf ek deeper correction ka sabab banega. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi neutral territory mein hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye.
Yeh market ki duality traders ko yeh signal deti hai ke unhein ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur price action aur economic indicators ko qareebi taur par dekhte rehna chahiye. Sabir ka rasta apnana zaroori hoga, kyun ke direction ki wazehat kaafi bara market events ke baad hi saamne aayegi. Iss liye, jab tak clearer signals nahi milte, ek wait-and-see strategy hi behtareen lagti hai.

USD/JPY ki Price Action par Base: USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka analysis hamaray liye aaj ka central topic hoga. USD/JPY ne trading week ko 146.69 ke area par correction ke sath khatam kiya, aur upward trend ko continue rakha. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend dikha rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hold kar rahi hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh bhi ke current levels se growth ka potential maujood hai. Iss point par hum ek potential price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.01 ke qareeb test ho sakta hai. Agar is ke baad rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka signal hoga, aur possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai. Bull ne trend line break hone ke baad dobara control lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki efforts sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdoood rahi, aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka. Dosri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain aur uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. General movement of average prices neeche ki taraf hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support de rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows ke indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, neeche ki taraf turn ho rahe hain, halankeh dynamic RSI abhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho rahi hai, jab ke day aur week RSI neeche hain, aur downward trend ke sath aligned hain.
Predict karna mushkil hai ke agli downward move mein price kitni neeche ja sakti hai, lekin sabse qareebi target 145.51 hai. Iske baad ka direction abhi uncertain hai
USD/JPY currency ki wave structure ko dekhen, toh direction ab kaafi clear hai ke yeh bearish trend mein hai. Jo waves ban rahi hain, wo impulsive waves hain, jo wave one ke shuru honay se start hoti hain. Wave one ke andar paanch waves hain aur wave three bhi waisi hi hai, jo sabse lambi wave hai. Lekin, jo structure sahi tarah se nazar nahi aa raha wo correction wave ka movement hai, yani wave two. Wave two ka movement flat hai aur zyadah monowave lagti hai. Jab ke wave four mein aik tezi se wave ka formation hota hai jo flat aur lamba lagta hai.

USD/JPY pair ki haalat is waqt ek crucial mor par hai. Aisa lagta hai ke hum ek wedge pattern bana rahe hain, jo ek decisive move ke zariye recent high 149.95 se upar break ho sakta hai. Jab tak yeh threshold cross nahi hoti, pair ek decline ke liye vulnerable hai, aur wedge formation yeh suggest karta hai ke kabhi bhi downward movement ho sakta hai.
Technical analysis ke lehaz se, U.S. dollar mein 1-1.5% ki correction expected hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke USD/JPY mein ek potential drop ho sakta hai, jahan targets 147-148 ke ird gird appeal karte hain. Yeh decline U.S. trading session ke duran realistic lagta hai, khaaskar agar dollar weakness dikhata hai.
Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY 149.95 mark ko cross kar leta hai, toh hum ek bullish rally dekh sakte hain jo 151-153 range tak ja sakti hai. Lekin yeh upward movement yen ki depreciation par mabni hai. Hali mein market dynamics mein kafi tabdeeli aayi hai, khaaskar jab se dollar grow hua hai. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne interest rate hikes ka ishara diya hai, jo yen ko mazboot kar sakti hai. Agar BOJ is rukh par chalta hai, toh yeh USD ke bullish sentiment ko khatam kar sakta hai.
Jo log ek clear trade signal ka intezaar kar rahe hain, unke liye 148.83 se neeche break hona ek solid sell position ka indicator ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh traders short positions enter kar sakte hain, aur stop-loss 149.95 par set kar sakte hain. Yeh ek purely technical strategy hai, jo ke current market structure par mabni hai. 150 ka level ek significant aur psychological barrier hai, aur isay convincingly breach karna mushkil hoga.U.S. dollar aur yen ka rishta economic data aur central bank policies se closely tied hai. Market participants ko ane wale economic reports ko qareebi taur par monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh currency movements par zabardast asar dal sakte hain. Agar U.S. economic data expectations se neeche rahta hai, toh yeh dollar mein ek sell-off trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke decline ke case ko aur mazboot karega current market dynamics ek delicate balance dikhati hain between potential upward movement aur decline ka risk. Wedge formation yeh batata hai ke traders ko breakouts ke liye har waqt tayar rehna chahiye. Agar 149.95 ke upar break hota hai, toh ek bullish trend 151-153 tak ja sakti hai, jab ke 148.83 ke neeche move ek bearish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY technical analysis

USD/JPY pair ne kuch waqt se kafi strong bullish trend dikhaya hai, lekin 149.96 par resistance ek critical level hai jo isay rok raha hai. Is level ke upar ka break zyada aggressive upward movement ki nishani ban sakta hai, jiska agla target 150.64 ho sakta hai. Agar hum 149.96 ka mazboot breach dekhte hain, to yeh 151.25 ki taraf jaane ka imkaan barha dega, kyunke market mein momentum mil sakta hai.

Iske baraks, agar pair 149.32 ke neeche girta hai, to yeh kamzori ka darshana karega aur is se ek zyada pronounced decline shuru ho sakti hai. Yeh level un traders ke liye ek achha stop-loss point ban sakta hai jo upward move ka intezaar kar rahe hain, kyunke is level ke neeche girna market sentiment mein tabdeelion ki nishani ho sakta hai.

Agar hum upar ki taraf chalne mein kamiyab hote hain, to 151.25 ka target ek pivotal point ban sakta hai. Is level ko hasil karna additional buying interest ko janm de sakta hai, jo baad mein ek retracement ke liye stage tayyar kar sakta hai. Umeed yeh hai ke phir USD/JPY 148.03 ki taraf girega, jo upward movement ke baad profit-taking ke liye mauqa dega.

Bunyadi tor par, factors upward move ke haq mein lagte hain. U.S. se aane wale economic indicators strong dollar ko support kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar recent data robust growth ya inflation concerns ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo Federal Reserve ko interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ya barhane par majboor kar sakta hai. Yeh aam tor par USD ki demand ko barhata hai, khaaskar aisi currency ke muqablay mein jese JPY, jo Japan ke low interest rate environment ka shikaar hai.

Lekin, traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye. Agar umeed ki ja rahi upward move nakam hoti hai aur market palat jata hai, to 149.32 ka level selling ka trigger ban sakta hai. Is mark se upar positions ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami hone se kafi significant pullback aane ka imkaan hai, jo traders ko long positions se nikalne aur pair ko short karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

Khulasah yeh hai ke USD/JPY ke aas paas ki current market dynamics dono, mauqe aur khatarat, pesh kar rahi hain. 149.96 ke upar ka breakout aage ki gains ke liye raasta saaf kar sakta hai, jiska target 150.64 aur aakhir mein 151.25 ho sakta hai. Lekin, traders ko 149.32 ke neeche girne par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo bearish trend ka signal de sakta hai aur 148.03 tak sell-off ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Buniyadi analysis, technical levels, aur market sentiment ka balance is pair ko nazar rakhne mein aane wale waqt mein bohot ahem hoga.

ek wazeh bullish trend pattern bana liya hai, jo ke higher highs aur higher lows se pehchana ja sakta hai. Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko dikhata hai. Meri raaye mein, ye haalaat ek strong directional signal faraham kar rahe hain. Buland bullish trend ke formation aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke breakthrough ke bawajood, ye waqt ek aur significant bullish movement ko trigger karne ka potential rakhta hai. Weekly timeframe par candlestick pattern bhi ye suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY is hafte apna bullish trend barqarar rakhega. Agar ye trend jaari rehta hai, to hum trading opportunities se faida utha sakte hain jo is dauran samne aayengi. Humein hamesha kisi bhi price fluctuation par nazar rakhni chahiye jo ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Apne decisions ko doosray indicators aur key levels ke zariye verify karna zaroori hai taake hum apni accuracy ko barha sakein aur success ke chances ko mazid improve kar sakein. Is liye, zaroori hai ke hum USD/JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur jab moqa mile to fauran action len. USD/JPY pair is waqt bullish continuation ka signal de raha hai, khaaskar jab ke kal raat ke buying volume ne price ko 144.85 resistance area ki taraf push karne ki koshish ki thi. Iss scenario ke madde nazar, mera khayal hai ke market ab bhi upar janay ki koshish kar raha hai, kyunki movement ab bhi upward phase mein hai. Meri agli trading plan ke liye, main 145.16 ke aas paas buy entry ko consider kar raha hoon. Market ke movement