USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global

JPY pair ne $150.29 ka high hit kiya, jo ek ahem resistance level tha aur kaafi traders ka dehaan is par tha. Magar, agar hum haali haalat ko dekhein to price thoda pullback kar chuki hai aur ab 149.84 ke ird gird hover kar rahi hai. Is recent high se retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho sakta hai, aur market mein upward trend mein potential exhaustion ke signs nazar aane lagay hain. Meri rai mein, USD/JPY pair is time frame mein bearish lag raha hai. $150.29 high se retreat yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ab control hasil kar rahe hain, ya kam az kam buyers ki pehle ki dominance ko challenge kar rahe hain. Haali sessions mein price ne mushkil se 150 ke upar push kiya aur wahan levels ko barqarar rakhne mein struggle kiya. Yeh extended bullish movement ke baad downward correction ke aghaz ko zahir kar sakta hai.Kayi factors is bearish outlook mein contribute karte hain. Pehla, 150.00 ka psychological barrier historically USD/JPY ke liye mushkil level raha hai jise lamba arsa barqarar rakhna challenging hota hai. Bohat se traders is level ko overbought territory samajhte hain, aur is wajah se market mein selling pressure ka silsila ho sakta hai, khaaskar un logon ki taraf se jo strong rally ke baad apne profits lena chahte hain.Is ke ilawa, fundamental factors ko bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Haal mein market sentiment mein tabdili, jo economic news, interest rate updates, aur geopolitical developments ki wajah se hui hai, USD par boojh dal sakti hai. Agar risk aversion barhta hai ya agar Federal Reserve interest rate hikes ko pause karne ka ishara deta hai, to yeh USD ko kamzor bana sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish view ko mazeed reinforce karega.Haalan ke 149.84 tak ka current pullback thoda moderate lagta hai, lekin zaroori hai ke hum dekhein ke price is level par kaisa behave karti hai. Agar yeh 149.80 ke upar qaim rehne mein nakam hoti hai aur 149.50 se neeche girti hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke bearish movement mazeed taiz ho jaye. Traders mumkin hai ke key support zones par qareebi nazar rakhein taake yeh andaza lagaya ja sake ke kya pair apni downward trajectory ko jari rakhay gi.USD/JPY pair H4 chart par recent high $150.29 ko hit karne ke baad bearishness ke signs zahir kar raha hai. 149.84 tak retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers influence hasil kar rahe hain, aur technical aur fundamental outlook dono hi possible correction ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders ko is environment mein ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur further price movement

USD/JPY pair ka analysis kaafi interesting hai. Daily timeframe par yeh saaf dikhai de raha hai ke market ek bullish trend mein hai. Price ne recent dinon mein Moving Averages (MA) ke upar close kiya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ne control apne haath mein le liya hai. Jo red line chart par dikhai de rahi hai, woh 50-period Moving Average hai, jab ke neeli line 100-period Moving Average ko show karti hai. Dono Moving Averages ke upar price ka trade karna yeh batata hai ke market mein abhi tak bullish momentum kaafi strong hai. Price ab resistance zone ke qareeb hai, jo lagbhag 152.50 ke aas paas hai. Yeh woh level hai jahan price pehle bhi ruk gayi thi, lekin agar is dafa buyers zyada strong rahe, tou yeh level break ho sakta hai. Agar 152.50 ka level break hota hai, tou price agay aur upar ja sakti hai, aur next major resistance level 153.50 ya 154.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

Lekin agar price ko resistance peh reject kiya jata hai, tou ek correction expected hai. Neeche do strong support levels hain — pehla 148.70 par aur doosra 147.50 par. Agar price in levels tak wapas aati hai, tou wahan se bounce kaafi possible hai, kyun ke yeh levels strong buyer zones ke taur par kaam kar chuke hain.

Stochastic oscillator bhi is waqt overbought zone mein hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market temporarily thoda pause le sakta hai ya ek chhoti si downward correction dekh sakti hai. Lekin jab tak Moving Averages ke upar price ka movement rahega, market ki overall bullish trend intact rahegi.

Is analysis ke mutabiq, agar aap trade karna chahtay hain, tou price action ko closely dekhna zaroori hai. Agar price 152.50 ka resistance break kar deti hai, tou long trades kaafi faidemand ho sakti hain. Lekin agar yeh resistance hold karta hai, tou short-term downward correction ka intezar karna aur support levels ke qareeb buying ka sochna ek achi strategy ho sakti hai.

Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein . Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal ki mazbut rally ke bad, aaj ke liye sab se zyada imkani scenario ya to ek sideways movement hai, jo keh mandi ki islah, ya 151.760 ilaqe me mamuli kami ka ishara karta hai.
Haqiqat me, D1 Stochastic indicator ne niche ki taraf palat kar apne izafe ko rok diya. Iska matlab hai keh dollar/yen ki jodi agle kuch dino me 151.760 ke ilaqe me aur mumkena taur par 151.300 ke qarib chadhte hue yaumiyah channel ki oopri line ki taraf jane ki ummid hai. Halankeh, aaj mazid taraqqi par gaur karna kafi relevant hai.
Takniki nuqtah nazar se, growth index ab bhi tezi ke ilaqe me hai. Pahle scenario ke mutabiq, mai Shumali America ke session ke qarib ek aur izafe ko mustarad nahin karunga. Takniki ishare kafi hadd tak tezi ke haq me hai. Halankeh, mukhtasar muddat me, Americi trade se pahle ek intraday kami ka bahut zyada imkan hai. Mukhtasran, European session ke dusre hisse me, ek tezi ke riversal ko pakadna aur dollar/yen ke jode par long positions kholna mumkin hai, lekin mahine ka ikhtetam qarib aa raha hai, lehaza mukhtasar muddat ki kharidari ek tarjih hai.

USD/JPY Price Reversal Watch

Hamari guftagu ka mawad USD/JPY currency pair ka tafsili price action outlook hoga. USD/JPY ka jorha tezi se aage barh raha hai, jahan tabdeeliyaan bohot tezi se ho rahi hain, zyada tar upar ki taraf. Yeh trend un logon ke liye behtareen hai jo trend-following strategy ko pasand karte hain, kyunki doosri approaches aise tezi se price movements ka samna karne mein pareshani mehsoos karti hain. Kal humne andaza lagaya tha ke kya yeh jorha 151.94 ke mashhoor resistance zone ko test karega. Lekin aaj, "wild" dollar-yen ne is level ko puri tarah nazarandaaz kar diya, isay tod diya aur upar ki taraf barhta raha. Ek local maximum 153.17 par qaim hua hai, aur decline ka koi nishan nahi hai. Yeh upar ki taraf ka movement taqat ikattha kar raha hai, aur yeh hairani ki baat nahi hogi agar daily swings 299-399 points tak dekhen. Behtar yeh hoga ke 153.611 ke resistance level par pending sell order rakhein, jiska profit target 149.985 hoga.

Rozana USD/JPY chart ko dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke ek mazboot bullish trend chal raha hai. 149.648 ka resistance tod diya gaya, aur price tezi se 150.775 resistance tak pahuncha. Bullish candle in levels ke upar close hui, jo ke aage ki upward momentum ka izhar karti hai. Mangal ko, maine 151.718 ki taraf growth par focus kiya, aur price din bhar dheere dheere chadhte raha. Bullish trend barqarar raha, price 150.775 ke upar close hui, aur maine Budh ke liye 151.718 ki taraf growth ka outlook rakha.

Aaj ka din bohot volatile raha, jisme strong upward momentum dekha gaya. 151.718 ka resistance tod diya gaya, aur pair ne 152.547 tak bhi pahuncha. Is resistance ko todne ke baad, price uske upar trade karte rahi. Agar aaj ka close is level ke upar raha, to main kal 153.728 ki taraf mazeed growth ki umeed rakhta hoon. Agar price 152.547 se neeche retrace hoti hai aur iske neeche close hoti hai, to tab decline hoga. Filhal, USD/JPY 152.843 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Jabke main upward push apne ikai ke kareeb hai, main naye sell orders kholne ka soch raha hoon. Lekin is faislay mein jaldi karne ki koi zaroorat nahi hai.

اکتوبر 24 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑا "پرچم" چارٹ پیٹرن سے باہر ہو گیا ہے اور اب 16 مئی کو 153.60 کی کم ترین سطح کو نشانہ بنا رہا ہے۔



جاپان کے پارلیمانی انتخابات اور مخلوط حکومت کی تشکیل کے خطرے کے ساتھ (جس کی وجہ سے تاریخی طور پر اکثر حکومتی استعفے ہوتے رہے ہیں)، ین کا مستقبل قریب (چند ہفتے) افراتفری کا شکار نظر آتا ہے۔ یہ ممکنہ طور پر 150.83-156.79 کی حد میں اتار چڑھاؤ آئے گا۔



ہفتہ وار چارٹ پر قیمت بیلنس اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن سے اوپر چلی گئی ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں بڑھ گیا ہے۔ جوڑے کا آؤٹ لک 163.22 کی طرف اشارہ کرتا ہے، جو نیلے 12 سالہ قیمت کے چینل کی اوپری باؤنڈری ہے۔



ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، قیمت دونوں انڈیکیٹر لائنوں سے اوپر بڑھ رہی ہے، جبکہ مارلن آسیلیٹراوپر کے رجحان والے علاقے میں قدرے کم ہو رہا ہے۔ قیمت 155.75 کی سطح کی طرف جانے سے پہلے 153.60 پر ہدف مزاحمت سے معمولی اصلاح دیکھ سکتی ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Forex Trading with USD/JPY Prices

Aaj ke maqale mein main USD/JPY currency market mein maujooda price activity ka jaiza loonga. H4 wave ko madde nazar rakhte hue, USD/JPY pair ne aaj ka FE161.8% target 152.82 par pahuncha. Main is move ki umeed kar raha tha, kyun ke price neeche se steadily upar ki taraf barh raha tha. Aaj ka upward momentum kaafi taqatwar tha, jabke kal 150.85 par badi monthly option liquidity ka markaz tha. Jab pair is level ke upar close hua, to yeh jaldi se primary resistance 152.65 ko test kar gaya. Halankeh yeh thodi der ke liye is se upar gaya, lekin 153.25 ke aas paas momentum ko barqarar nahi rakh saka aur ab tak 152.65 par wapas aakar retest kar raha hai.

Agar price is level ke upar close hoti hai, to 153.60-153.97 ke resistances ki taraf mazeed growth ka imkaan hai. Lekin agar yeh is level ko todne mein nakam rehta hai, to 150.85 ki liquidity zone ki taraf wapas jana aur 148.29 tak mazeed girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Jabke monthly options ke liye bohot se upside targets hain, lekin uchi levels tak pahuncha mushkil hota ja raha hai, aur bearish correction ka imkaan nazar aata hai, kyun ke weekly option contract 149.89 tak wapas aane ka sujhaav deta hai.

USD/JPY Weekly Price Analysis

Iss hafte ke hourly chart ko dekhte hue, Monday ka din thodi kami ke saath shuru hua, uske baad price 150.101 resistance ki taraf uthi. Price is level ke aas paas kuch waqt tak rahi, phir isko tod kar is ke upar stabilize ho gaya, jo buy signal ko trigger karta hai 151.737 resistance ki taraf.

Monday ko pair is level ke aas paas trade karta raha. Tuesday ko zyada range-bound activity dekhi gayi; lekin Wednesday ko pair ne aage barhkar is resistance ko tod diya aur is ke upar stabilize ho gaya. Is baar ek aur buy signal generate hua, jo 152.970 resistance ko target karta hai, jo successfully achieve hua. Lekin iske baad, pair ne 154.631 resistance ko todne ki koshish ki lekin nakam raha, jo ke false breakout ka sabab bana.

False breakout ke baad ek sell signal emerge hua hai, jisse price 151.737 ke neeche gir gayi hai aur wahan ban gayi hai, jo ke neeche ki taraf move ka imkaan darust karta hai.

USD/JPY

Aap ka analysis bohat focused aur technical hai, specifically resistance levels pe jo market ki next direction ka pata dein ge. Yahan kuch important highlights hain:

1. **153.20 Resistance Level:**
- Yeh primary hurdle hai; agar yeh tod di jaye toh yeh bullish breakout confirm karega.
- Is level ke upar buying pressure aur trading volume barhne ka imkaan hai, jo pair ko agle targets ki taraf push kar sakti hai.

2. **154.00 Psychological Barrier:**
- Agar 153.20 ka breakout hota hai, toh pehla target yeh level ho sakta hai, jahan traders apne profits secure karne ka sochen.
- Yeh psychological level kehte hain kyun ke yeh round number hai, jo traders ke behavior mein bias create karta hai.

3. **154.30 Supply Zone:**
- Yeh zone market consolidation ya pullback ka point ban sakta hai. Agar buyers ka momentum strong raha, toh price yeh hurdle bhi cross kar sakti hai.

4. **154.75 aur 155.00 Levels:**
- Yeh horizontal resistance levels hain jahan price pehle bhi react kar chuki hai.
- 155.00 ek aur psychological level hai jo sentiment aur volatility ka impact la sakta hai.

5. **July 30 Swing High – 155.20:**
- Yeh level critical hai, kyun ke kuch traders yeh maan sakte hain ke market overextended ho gaya hai aur wahan se price rejection dekhne ko mile.

**Key Indicators for Monitoring:**
- **Momentum Indicators:** Yeh dekhne ke liye ke kya trend sustain hoga ya nahi.
- **Volume:** Breakouts ka confirmation dene mein help karta hai. Agar volume increase karta hai, toh yeh breakout ko mazid validate karega.



Aapka analysis strongly suggest karta hai ke agar 153.20 ka breakout hota hai, toh momentum kaafi bullish ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh level hold karta hai, toh price consolidation ya reversal ka chance barh jata hai. Yeh levels critical rahenge next market moves judge karne ke liye.

USD/JPY Price Activity

Aaj ka markazi dhyan USD/JPY currency market ke haalati price trends par hai. Yeh jor pehle se behtar kaam kar raha hai, jabke maine iski girawat ki umeed ki thi. Chart yeh darshata hai ke yeh 153.24 level ko test kar chuka hai aur ab 152.78 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. RSI apne range ke darmiyan ki taraf ja raha hai, jo downward bias ka ishara deta hai, jabke AO sell ka signal de raha hai, aur jor kal ki trading range se upar hai. Yeh indicators mazboot momentum ki taraf ishara karte hain jo aage chal kar girawat ko darshata hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke price 151.19 support level ko test karega.

Hourly chart par, ek ascending channel nazar aa raha hai. Aaj subah, price ne channel se breakout kiya, lekin apne upward momentum ko barqarar nahi rakh paya, jiski wajah se reversal aur baad mein downward movement hui. Ab mujhe umeed hai ke price decline karti rahegi, aur shayad channel ki lower boundary 152.17 par pahunche. Is target ko milne par ek reversal ho sakta hai, jo price ko phir se upar ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jiski growth target 153.62 hai.

Yen aaj kafi zyada kamzor hua, poore session ke doran girta raha. USD/JPY jor ne lagbhag 199 points ka movement kiya, aur yeh sab kuch bina kisi khaas economic data ya statements ke hua. Resistance level 151.99 ko bina kisi dhyan ke breach kiya gaya. Aaj subah, maine kaha tha ke yeh jor 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (153.39) ke aas-paas pahunchega, aur waqai mein hum is level ke nazdeek ruk gaye. Is wajah se, mujhe ab medium term mein 149.39 area ki taraf ek corrective pullback ki umeed hai.

Hourly chart par, aaj ka upward movement ek Doji candle ke saath khatam hua, jo aksar reversal ka ishara hota hai. Main chahunga ke kal hum 151.99 level par wapas aayen taake corrective decline ke shuru hone ki tasdiq ho sake.

Thursday ki Asian session ke doran, Japanese yen (JPY) apne American muqablay mein fluctuated kiya, jo pehle din ke girawat ko mazid mazid karte hue 31 July ke baad se sabse neeche level par aagaya. Lekin, Japan mein intekhab se mutaliq uncertainty ki wajah se, short-term mein JPY bears ka rujhan zyada lag raha hai, jo Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki is saal interest rates ko barhane ki salahiyat par shak kar raha hai.

Iske ilawa, lower-yielding JPY ki gains ko US Treasury bond rates ke haal ke izafa se bhi rokne ki umeed hai, jo Fed ki kam aggressive policy easing ki umeed aur US intekhab ke baad ke deficit spending ke concerns se support hasil kar raha hai. USD/JPY pair ke liye sab se asaan rasta ab bhi upar ki taraf hai, jo ke US dollar (USD) ke liye mazboot positive sentiment ko darshata hai.

### Technical Analysis

Technically, Tuesday’s breakthrough above the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 150.65 confluence level signaled optimism for traders. However, the slightly overbought Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart suggests that any subsequent upswing may stall near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the July-September decline. The resistance above is situated around the 153.20 region, which is now a crucial turning point. If this level is decisively surpassed, it could pave the way for an upward trend lasting over a month.

Following this, the USD/JPY pair might attempt to reclaim the 154.00 level and approach the supply zone around 154.30. As it moves toward the psychological 155.00 level and the swing high of July 30 (approximately 155.20), momentum could push it into the 154.75 horizontal zone.

On the flip side, any significant corrective decline appears to find solid support near the 152.00 round number. While this drop might be perceived as a buying opportunity, a decisive break below could bring the USD/JPY pair closer to the 151.45–151.40 intermediate support, heading toward the 151.00 level. Near the previously mentioned confluence resistance that has now shifted to support around 150.65, this could help limit downside movement and provide a robust foundation for spot prices. However, sustained weakness below this level would indicate that the upward momentum has faded, shifting the short-term bias in favor of pessimistic traders.

Japan ki monetary policy shifts shaamil hain. U.S. dollar ki taqat traders ke liye aik ahem nuqta raha hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve ne aik hawkish stance qaim rakha, ye ishara dete hue ke interest rates lambay arsay tak buland reh sakte hain. Is ne dollar ko doosri currencies ke muqable mein mazid taqat di, jisme yen bhi shaamil hai. Is ke baraks, Bank of Japan apni accommodative monetary policy jari rakhey hue hai, jisme ultra-low interest rates shamil hain, jo economic growth ko barhawa dene ke liye hain. Ye monetary policy ka ikhtilaaf dollar ki taqat mein izafa karta hai, aur USD/JPY pair mein upar ki taraf harkat ke liye acha mahaul faraham karta hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, EMA8 aur EMA20 ke darmiyan jo abhi trading range hai, woh aik consolidation phase ki nishani hai, jo aksar kisi bade price movement se pehle dekhi jaati hai. EMA8 jo 147.11 par hai, wo immediate support ka kaam kar raha hai, jabke EMA20 jo 147.41 par hai, wo resistance ka kaam de raha hai. Agar is range ke upar breakout hota hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko zahir karega aur 149.81 ka target hasil ho sakta hai. Yeh target khaas tor par ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh key psychological levels aur pehle ke resistance areas ke saath milta hai.Is breakout ko hasil karne ke liye, market sentiment ko dollar ke liye optimistic rehna hoga. Agar economic indicators, jaise ke employment data ya inflation reports, U.S. economy ki taqat ko zahir karti hain, to traders is par positively react karenge, jo USD/JPY ko upar le jaane mein madadgar hoga. Is ke ilawa, agar Japanese economy mein kamzori ke koi asar nazar aate hain ya Bank of Japan apni policies taper karne ka ishara deti hai, to yeh bhi pair ke bullish outlook ko barhawa de sakta hai.Lekin bearish scenario ko bhi nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Agar downward movement hona hai, to pair ko EMA8 aur EMA20 ke banaye hue support levels ko breach karna hoga. Agar price EMA20 ke neeche jata hai, to yeh selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai aur price ko EMA50 jo 146 par hai, aur EMA200 jo 145.21 par hai, ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Ye levels critical support areas ko represent karte hain, aur trader s inhein buy zones ke taur par dekhte hain. Agar price in levels ke upar qaim nahi reh pata, to yeh current trend ke reversal ka

ahem nuqta raha hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve ne aik hawkish stance qaim rakha, ye ishara dete hue ke interest rates lambay arsay tak buland reh sakte hain. Is ne dollar ko doosri currencies ke muqable mein mazid taqat di, jisme yen bhi shaamil hai. Is ke baraks, Bank of Japan apni accommodative monetary policy jari rakhey hue hai, jisme ultra-low interest rates shamil hain, jo economic growth ko barhawa dene ke liye hain. Ye monetary policy ka ikhtilaaf dollar ki taqat mein izafa karta hai, aur USD/JPY pair mein upar ki taraf harkat ke liye acha mahaul faraham karta hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, EMA8 aur EMA20 ke darmiyan jo abhi trading range hai, woh aik consolidation phase ki nishani hai, jo aksar kisi bade price movement se pehle dekhi jaati hai. EMA8 jo 147.11 par hai, wo immediate support ka kaam kar raha hai, jabke EMA20 jo 147.41 par hai, wo resistance ka kaam de raha hai. Agar is range ke upar breakout hota hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko zahir karega aur 149.81 ka target hasil ho sakta hai. Yeh target khaas tor par ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh key psychological levels aur pehle ke resistance areas ke saath milta hai.Is breakout ko hasil karne ke liye, market sentiment ko dollar ke liye optimistic rehna hoga. Agar economic indicators, jaise ke employment data ya inflation reports, U.S. economy ki taqat ko zahir karti hain, to traders is par positively react karenge, jo USD/JPY ko upar le jaane mein madadgar hoga. Is ke ilawa, agar Japanese economy mein kamzori ke koi asar nazar aate hain ya Bank of Japan apni policies taper karne ka ishara deti hai, to yeh bhi pair ke bullish outlook ko barhawa de sakta hai.Lekin bearish scenario ko bhi nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Agar downward movement hona hai, to pair ko EMA8 aur EMA20 ke banaye hue support levels ko breach karna hoga. Agar price EMA20 ke neeche jata hai, to yeh selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai aur price ko EMA50 jo 146 par hai, aur EMA200 jo 145.21

Hafte ke aghaz mein, USD/JPY ne nayi khareedari ki dilchaspi dekhi, jisme Friday ke nuqsanat ka zyada hissa reverse ho gaya aur qeemat 150.30 ke qareeb trading kar rahi thi. Yeh woh level hai jo do mahinon se zyada arsay mein nahi dekha gaya. Guzishta Friday ko early European session mein spot prices lagbhag 149.53 par the, jo ke kaafi mazboot the kuch support denay walay asbaab ki wajah se, jin mein market ka jazba aur economic data releases shamil hain.
Haal hi ke price action se lagta hai ke USD/JPY ab ek chhoti muddat ke downtrend mein dakhil ho raha hai. Market ke bohot se logon ka kehna hai, "The trend is your friend," aur filhal ke indicators bearish outlook ko support karte hain. Yeh jo currency pair apne ahem resistance levels ko break nahi kar saka aur apni recent highs se peeche hat gaya, yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke mazeed neechey jaane ka imkaan zyada hai.

**USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:**

Aik bara market driver tha US Bureau of Economic Analysis ka aakhri data, jo ye dikhata hai ke Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index 2.5% year-over-year barha, jo ke peechlay mahine jaisa tha, magar 2.6% ke mutawaqae se neeche raha. Yeh data, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, 2.6% barha, jo ke umeedat ke barabar tha lekin 2.7% ke projection se kam tha. Yeh figures US inflation trends ke hawalay se market ke jazbat par asar-andaz hue, aur usi ke natijay mein USD/JPY pair ki movement par bhi farq pada.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Board Member Hajime Takata ne Japan ki economy aur policy direction par apni insights share ki. Takata ne kaha ke jabke Japan ki economy dheere dheere sehtmandi ki taraf barh rahi hai, kuch kamzor signs bhi dekhne ko milte hain. Lekin, unhone yeh yaqeen dilaaya ke BoJ apne inflation target ko haasil karne ke raaste par hai. Stock aur forex markets mein volatility ke bawajood, Takata ke comments ne Japan ke hawalay se market expectations ko mazboot kiya, jis se USD/JPY ki upar ki movement ko support mila.

**Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Hafte ke ikhtitami din par, price ne apni gains ko teesray din tak barhaya, aur 11 hafton ki high 150.37 tak pohch gayi. Traders ne pair ko aur zyada push kiya, jisme Friday ke ikhtitam tak 0.21% ka izafa dekha gaya. Is waqt, pair 149.50 ke qareeb settle hua, jo ke pehle ke sessions se lagbhag bila-tabdeel tha. Magar, 149.45 ke swing lows ke neeche break hone se trend mein bearish shift ka signal mila. Yeh development yeh dikhati hai ke sellers ab 139.57 ke ahem low ko target kar rahe hain, aur mazeed downside momentum ka imkaan bhi zyada hai aane

ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki