USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Strategic Forex Trading: USD/JPY
Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke current pricing behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Pichle hafte USD/JPY pair mein ek noticeable sell-off dekha gaya. Weekly chart par trend downward move kar raha hai. Agle hafte ke liye meri analysis ke mutabiq, moving averages ek active sell ko signal kar rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi ek strong sell ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo ke overall sales recommendation ki taraf le jaate hain. Yeh indicators agle hafte ke liye ek bearish trend ka pata dete hain. U.S. se kuch significant news ki umeed hai, lekin forecast neutral hai. Wednesday ko U.S. ke important data ka neutral impact hoga, aur Japan mein bhi kuch ahem reports aane wali hain, jisme GDP ka release Monday ko hoga, jo bhi neutral effect layega. In sab factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle hafte mein aur bearish movement ki umeed karta hoon, jahan sales price ko 141.01 ke support level tak le ja sakti hain. Upar ki taraf, resistance 143.41 par maujood hai, jahan buying ho sakti hai, lekin overall sentiment bearish hi rahega.

Aik possible rollback ke hawale se, meri prediction hai ke pair 146.66 tak retrace kar sakta hai, kyun ke monthly contract ki liquidity 149.19 aur 147.33 ke darmiyan hai. Agar pair 142.25 aur 142.00 ke key support levels ke upar rehta hai, toh 147.33 ki taraf pullback hone ke chances hain. Lekin agar price 142.00 ke neeche break kar jata hai, toh pair aur gir kar 141.47-141.08 ke support range tak ja sakta hai. Wahan se ek chhoti bullish correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai, ya price aur neeche gir kar 140.62-140.08 tak ja sakta hai, jahan se phir ek rebound ho sakta hai. Agar pair 142.00 se neeche nahi girta, toh ek bullish pullback 142.51-142.91 ke resistance zone tak ho sakta hai, uske baad dobara selling pressure aa sakta hai. Agar 143.08 se upar break ho aur price hold kare, toh ek aur bara pullback 147.33 ki liquidity tak ho sakta hai. Lekin technical signals primary bearish scenario ko support karte hain, jisme sirf ek chhoti si correction ki guzarish hai.

Trading Analysis 9 September, 2024 USDJPY

Agar hum pichlay do mahino ka jaiza lain, toh Japanese Yen (JPY) mein musalsal mazbooti dekhnay ko mili hai. Iska bearish movement July ke aghaz mein shuru hua jab market trend reversal ki koshish hui, jo pehlay bullish tha magar usko barhawa nahi mil saka. USDJPY currency pair ne ek significant girawat dekhi aur 141.79 ke level tak pohanch gaya, lekin aaj subah ka movement ziada niche nahi ja saka kyun ke market trading activity se ab tak khaali hai.

Analysis ke mutabiq, market movements yeh dikhate hain ke USDJPY pair ka bearish movement jari reh sakta hai aur 142.00 ke support area ko test kar sakta hai. Hafte ke aghaz mein market abhi upward correction phase mein hai. Graph par developments sellers ki dominance ko dikhati hain, jo downward trend ke barhawa ko mazid barqarar rakhti hain. Ongoing bearish trend ko 96 Moving Average ki position support karti hai jo sellers ki positive momentum ko dikhata hai. Iske ilawa, jo current price hai wo Moving Average se neeche hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke bearish signal abhi tak mazboot hai. Yeh dono factors dikhate hain ke downward trend mazeed arse tak jari reh sakta hai.

RSI indicator bhi upward direction ko confirm karta hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bullish trend ka mazeed barqarar rehna mumkin hai. Magar yeh dhyan mein rakhna zaroori hai ke price level 70 ke qareeb hai, jo overbought zone hoti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke market mein overbought honay ka imkan barh raha hai, jo trend reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai. Isliye, jab tak trend indication positive hai, humein hooshyar aur ehtiyaat se kaam lena hoga taki market direction mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchana ja sake.

Agar next bearish movement 142.00 ke support level ko break karne mein kaamiyab ho jati hai, toh downward trend weekend trading session tak stable reh sakti hai. Stochastic indicator 5.3.3 ke perspective se dekhain toh hum parameters ko zone 20 ke qareeb pohanchtay hue dekh sakte hain, jo ke strong SELL ka ishara hai. Aaye hum August ke aghaz mein market ko monitor karein, jahan pehle bhi selling pressure ne isi support level ko touch kiya tha, magar bearish market ka silsila jari nahi raha tha aur price ne ek significant izafa dekhne ko diya. Kya is martaba breakout aur bearish continuation hoga ya phir price wapas uchhal kar barh jaye gi jaise pehle hua tha?

USDJPY market mein Trading Options: "SELL"

Technical analysis ki roshni mein, is hafte ke liye trading plan USDJPY pair mein sell option par ghoro fikar karna chahiye, pichlay mahine ke market trend ko dekhte hue. Lekin humein intezar karna chahiye ke price pehle support level ko break kare, taki humein ideal position entry zone mil sake, aur ek valid signal mile jo bearish price ke continuation ko confirm kar sake aur loss ke risk ko minimize kar sake.

Sell entry zone ko level 141.96 par place kiya ja sakta hai, aur najdiki profit target area 141.52 ho sakta hai. Agar yeh target level successfully penetrate hota hai, toh hum ek aur sell position entry 141.45 par daal sakte hain. Stop loss ka miktar transaction level se 35 pips door rakha ja sakta hai. Pichlay kuch hafton ke trend aur movement pattern ke mutabiq, USDJPY price trend ka potential ab bhi bearish lagta hai.

Trading Analysis 9 September, 2024 USDJPY

Agar hum pichlay do mahino ka jaiza lain, toh Japanese Yen (JPY) mein musalsal mazbooti dekhnay ko mili hai. Iska bearish movement July ke aghaz mein shuru hua jab market trend reversal ki koshish hui, jo pehlay bullish tha magar usko barhawa nahi mil saka. USDJPY currency pair ne ek significant girawat dekhi aur 141.79 ke level tak pohanch gaya, lekin aaj subah ka movement ziada niche nahi ja saka kyun ke market trading activity se ab tak khaali hai.

Analysis ke mutabiq, market movements yeh dikhate hain ke USDJPY pair ka bearish movement jari reh sakta hai aur 142.00 ke support area ko test kar sakta hai. Hafte ke aghaz mein market abhi upward correction phase mein hai. Graph par developments sellers ki dominance ko dikhati hain, jo downward trend ke barhawa ko mazid barqarar rakhti hain. Ongoing bearish trend ko 96 Moving Average ki position support karti hai jo sellers ki positive momentum ko dikhata hai. Iske ilawa, jo current price hai wo Moving Average se neeche hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke bearish signal abhi tak mazboot hai. Yeh dono factors dikhate hain ke downward trend mazeed arse tak jari reh sakta hai.

RSI indicator bhi upward direction ko confirm karta hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bullish trend ka mazeed barqarar rehna mumkin hai. Magar yeh dhyan mein rakhna zaroori hai ke price level 70 ke qareeb hai, jo overbought zone hoti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke market mein overbought honay ka imkan barh raha hai, jo trend reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai. Isliye, jab tak trend indication positive hai, humein hooshyar aur ehtiyaat se kaam lena hoga taki market direction mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchana ja sake.

Agar next bearish movement 142.00 ke support level ko break karne mein kaamiyab ho jati hai, toh downward trend weekend trading session tak stable reh sakti hai. Stochastic indicator 5.3.3 ke perspective se dekhain toh hum parameters ko zone 20 ke qareeb pohanchtay hue dekh sakte hain, jo ke strong SELL ka ishara hai. Aaye hum August ke aghaz mein market ko monitor karein, jahan pehle bhi selling pressure ne isi support level ko touch kiya tha, magar bearish market ka silsila jari nahi raha tha aur price ne ek significant izafa dekhne ko diya. Kya is martaba breakout aur bearish continuation hoga ya phir price wapas uchhal kar barh jaye gi jaise pehle hua tha?

USDJPY market mein Trading Options: "SELL"

Technical analysis ki roshni mein, is hafte ke liye trading plan USDJPY pair mein sell option par ghoro fikar karna chahiye, pichlay mahine ke market trend ko dekhte hue. Lekin humein intezar karna chahiye ke price pehle support level ko break kare, taki humein ideal position entry zone mil sake, aur ek valid signal mile jo bearish price ke continuation ko confirm kar sake aur loss ke risk ko minimize kar sake.

Sell entry zone ko level 141.96 par place kiya ja sakta hai, aur najdiki profit target area 141.52 ho sakta hai. Agar yeh target level successfully penetrate hota hai, toh hum ek aur sell position entry 141.45 par daal sakte hain. Stop loss ka miktar transaction level se 35 pips door rakha ja sakta hai. Pichlay kuch hafton ke trend aur movement pattern ke mutabiq, USDJPY price trend ka potential ab bhi bearish lagta hai.

Trading Strategy with USD/ JPY Prices

Hamari discussion USD/JPY currency pair ke live price action ke mutaliq hai. Price Action method aur "bearish engulfing" pattern ke mutabiq expected outcome poori tarah se waqe nahi hui. Is model mein proportionality bohot ahem hai. Is ke ilawa, humein ek signal mila—ek bearish Doji, jo ke maine chart mein highlight kiya tha. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke dono apne targets ko agle hafte tak poora kar lenge. Pehle case mein, maine 101 points ki decline anticipate ki thi, bina spread ko madde nazar rakhe, lekin ab bhi mujhe lagta hai ke trading instrument mein mazeed girawat baqi hai.

Fibonacci retracement levels ke mutabiq, main umeed karta hoon ke price 100th level ke neeche 142.04 par break karega, aur yeh scenario step by step play out hote hue 138.1 par 141.39 aur 161.7 par 140.82 tak ja sakta hai. Agar price channel ki upper boundary ki taraf growth kare toh yeh faida mand hoga, lekin main apni position adjust karne se pehle ek sharp upward move ka intezar karne ka irada rakhta hoon.



D1 time frame par USD/JPY ne 141.72 par do dafa touch kiya, halanke Friday ke akhir tak is critical support se koi mazboot rebound dekhne ko nahi mila. Bears ne Tuesday se market ko dominate karte hue pair ko puray hafte neeche ki taraf dhakel diya. Magar ab ek double bottom form ho gaya hai, jo prices ko upar dhakel sakta hai aur bulls ko shayad levels jaise 147.21, 151.82, 154.36, 157.87, aur 162.01 tak breach karne ka moka de.

Lekin, thodi inconsistency hai: main chart ke neeche do indicators decreasing buy volumes aur shorts ki recovery ka ishara kar rahe hain. Mein pehle 141.72 level par focus kar raha tha, kyun ke is level par price wapas bounce kar sakta hai, aur agar momentum pick up karta hai, toh indicators bhi flip ho sakte hain. Halaat yeh hain ke downtrend abhi bhi barkarar hai, magar reversal ka potential bhi maujood hai jab ke market mein tension build ho rahi hai. Ideally, mein mazeed selling ko pasand karunga, aur price ko is ke mojooda position se 140 ki taraf le jana chahunga. Yeh sab se zyada imkani scenario hai. "Trend is your friend," magar yeh hamesha trading ke liye favorable nahi hota.

Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed

Mangal ke din ke European trading session ke doran, currency pair ne 144.00 ke qareeb pohanch kar tezi se girawat dekhi. Yeh harkat mukhiyatan Japanese Yen ke tez honay ki wajah se hui, jo Bank of Japan ke Summary of Opinions (SoP) ke release ke baad hui. BoJ ke July 30-31 ke meeting ke bayanon mein yeh zahir hua ke aur zyada interest rate hikes zaroori hain taake inflation ko control kiya ja sake, jo ke import cost ke barhne ki wajah se zyada badh gaya hai.

Jabke market participants in developments ko gaur se dekh rahe hain, US Dollar ki majbooti aur Japanese Yen ki stability ke darmiyan ka taluq aage chal kar pair ke movements ko shape karega. Traders ko mazeed technical indicators aur economic reports pe nazar rakhni chahiye taake wo potential trends ka andaza laga saken.

US Dollar ka Rebound aur Japanese Yen ki Volatility: Market Intervention Insights

Session ke shuru mein, pair ne paanch din ke lambi girawat ke baad kuch recovery dikhai, US Dollar ke rebound ki wajah se jo ke ek chhah mahine ke low se wapas aya. US Dollar Index, jo ke Greenback ki strength ko chhay bade currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, lagbhag 101.60 tak barh gaya. Iske muqablay mein, Japanese Yen recently US Dollar ke muqablay mein saat mahine ke low par 141.70 tak gir gaya, jo currency ki volatility ko darshata hai.

Reuters ke report ke mutabiq, Japan ke Ministry of Finance ne recent market intervention confirm kiya hai. July mein, Japanese authorities ne ¥5.53 trillion (lagbhag $36.8 billion) spend kiya taake Yen ko stabilize kiya ja sake, jo 38 saal ke lowest level tak gir gaya tha. Yeh bada intervention Yen ke global currency market mein chal rahe challenges aur pressures ko highlight karta hai.

D1 Chart Technical Analysis aur Future Projections for USD/JPY: Key Levels aur RSI Insights

Filhaal, pair 142.61 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Technical analysis se pata chalta hai ke pair shayad upper boundary ko test kare jo ke lagbhag 143.75 ke aas-paas hai. Agar pair is threshold ke neeche girta hai, to yeh downward pressure ka samna kar sakta hai, jo isay throwback support level 140.22 ki taraf le ja sakta hai aur further downward movement ki possibilities ko bhi janam de sakta hai, jo ke descending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb 139.00 ke aas-paas hai. Additionally, December mein noted throwback support at 140.75 ko bhi test karne ki sambhavnayein hain.

Daily chart analysis se yeh bhi pata chalta hai ke pair ne recently descending channel ko breach kiya hai, jo ke bearish trend ke kamzor hone ka ishara hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhaal 30 par hai, jo ke yeh darshata hai ke pair oversold ho sakta hai. Agar RSI 50 level ki taraf move karta hai to yeh momentum ke behtar hone aur pair ke trajectory mein potential shift ko signal kar sakta hai.

Meri Fibonacci grid setup mein, main pichle din ke high ko 100-144.230 Fibonacci level ke liye set karta hoon, jabke 0-142.851 Fibonacci level low par anchored hota hai. Uske baad, main current market position ko pichle daily candle ke mutabiq analyze karta hoon. Agar quotes 0-142.851 aur 50-143.541 ke levels ke beech hain, to ye sellers ke faida darshata hai. Is situation mein, main selling ki sochta hoon towards levels -23.6-142.526 aur -38.2-142.324, jahan par main partial profit le lunga. Bachi hui portion ko main further downward movement ke liye rakhoonga, jo ke Fibonacci level -50-142.161 tak ja sakta hai, jahan par main remaining part of the order close kar dunga.

Agar price din ke low 0-142.851 ke neeche girti hai, to ye mere liye sell karne ke liye ek signal amplifier ka kaam karega. Agar price 0-142.851 Fibonacci level ke neeche break karti hai, to 50%-143.541 tak wapas aane ka bhi possibility hai. Lekin iske paas aane ka intezaar kiye bina bhi, levels 23.6-142.526 aur 38.2-142.324 se selling feasible hai, kyunki main in levels ko kaafi strong samajhta hoon.

Agar price 0-142.851 ke level ko break kar deti hai aur neeche girti hai, to ye mere liye ek mazid sell signal hoga. Is situation mein, selling ko consider karna bhi mumkin hai levels 23.6-142.526 aur 38.2-142.324 se, kyunki ye strong levels hain aur inke beech trading karna market ki current condition ke hisaab se sahi lagta hai. Mere strategy ke mutabiq, price ke girne ke baad, Fibonacci levels ko dekh kar hi trade karni chahiye, aur ye levels mujhe clear signals provide karte hain ki kab aur kitna sell kiya jaye.

Main ye bhi dekhta hoon ke agar price 0-142.851 se neeche girti hai, to 23.6-142.526 aur 38.2-142.324 ke levels tak movement possible hai. In levels ke beech trading karna market ke current trend ke mutabiq profitable ho sakta hai. Isliye, Fibonacci levels ko analyze karna aur unke signals par base karna meri trading strategy ka ek ahem hissa hai. Yeh levels mujhe market ke potential movements aur suitable sell points ko samajhne mein madad karte hain, jisse main apni trading decisions ko behtar bana sakta hoon.

USD/JPY Prices ke sath Trading Strategy:

Hamara discussion USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ke live examination par hai. Price Action method aur "bearish engulfing" pattern ke mutabiq, expected outcome poori tarah se waisa nahi raha jaise umeed thi. Is model mein proportionality critical hai. Iske ilawa, humein ek signal mila hai—bearish Doji, jisko maine chart mein highlight kiya tha. Mujhe yakeen hai ke dono apne targets ko agle hafte tak achieve karenge.

Pehle case mein, maine 101 points ka decline anticipate kiya tha, spread ko nazarandaz karte hue, lekin mujhe ab bhi lagta hai ke trading instrument ke liye aur girawat ki gunjaish hai. Fibonacci retracement levels ke mutabiq, mai expect karta hoon ke price 100th level, jo 142.04 par hai, ke neeche break karegi, aur ye scenario 138.1 par 141.39 aur 161.7 par 140.82 tak step by step khele ga. Agar price channel ke upper boundary tak grow kare, toh ye beneficial hoga, lekin mai ek sharp move upwards ka intezaar karunga pehle apni position adjust karne se pehle.

D1 Time Frame par USD/JPY Analysis:

D1 time frame par USD/JPY ne 141.72 par double touch kiya hai, lekin Friday ke end tak is critical support se koi strong rebound nazar nahi aaya. Bears ne Tuesday se hi market par control banaya rakha, aur week ke dauran pair ko neeche kheench diya. Lekin, ek double bottom form ho chuka hai, jo prices ko upar dhakel sakta hai, aur bulls ko 147.21, 151.82, 154.36, 157.87, aur 162.01 jaise levels breach karne ka mauka mil sakta hai.

Phir bhi, thodi inconsistency maujood hai: main chart ke neeche ke do indicators decreasing buy volumes aur shorts ke recovery ka ishara kar rahe hain. Pehle, maine 141.72 level par focus kiya tha, kyunki yeh prices ko wapas bounce kar sakta hai, aur agar momentum badhta hai, toh indicators flip kar sakte hain. Downtrend ab bhi intact hai, lekin reversal ki potential maujood hai kyunki market tension build ho rahi hai. Ideally, mai yeh prefer karunga ke price ko aur neeche sell kiya jaye, 140 tak drive karte hue current position se.

Yeh sabse probable scenario lagta hai. Jaise ke kehte hain, "Trend is your friend," lekin yeh hamesha trading ke liye favorable nahi hota.



4o

Humari guftagu ka markaz USD/JPY currency pair ka jaari pricing behavior hai, jisko hum analyze kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ne support line ke neeche push kiya hai, jisme Marlin oscillator neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai aur negative zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai. Trend line jo ke 146.59 level ke qareeb hai, is baat ka ishara de rahi hai ke pair ki qeemat mazeed kam ho sakti hai. Pair ne Ichimoku cloud ko upar se breach kiya hai aur uske neeche consolidate ho gaya hai, jo ke ek bearish trend ki tasdeeq karta hai. Agar qeemat apne aap ko 146.07 ke upar barqarar nahi rakh sakti, tou ek sell entry point us level ke neeche banega, jis se bears ko pair ko mazeed neeche le janay ka moka milega, aur agla target 144.02 ka support level ho ga. Aaj ka candle daily chart par bearish hai, magar iska neeche ka wick kafi lamba hai, jo neeche ki taraf pressure ko zahir karta hai. Forex market mein fundamental data bhi bohat ahmiyat rakhta hai aur USD/JPY currency pair ko gehra asar de sakta hai. Economic indicators, geopolitics, aur doosray macroeconomic factors currency ke movements ko asar andaz karte hain aur trading strategies ko bhi mutasir karte hain. Yeh zaroori hai ke relevant economic news aur data releases ko barqarar rakha jaye jo USD/JPY pair ko affect kar sakti hain. Agar 145.912 ka support level breach ho jata hai, tou yeh market dynamics mein ek gehra tabdeeli ka signal ho sakta hai, jisse short positions ko zyada dair tak hold karne ka basis milta hai.
Mukhtasir taur par, ek ghante ke timeframe ke mutabiq USD/JPY pair ka jaari analysis suggest karta hai ke selling strategy theek rahegi. Jo current price 146.440 hai, aur 148.062 ka identified resistance level, yeh sell orders initiate karne ka strong basis hai. Risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye stop loss 148.087 par set kiya gaya hai, jabke profit-taking level 145.694 ka target hai. Yeh strategy anticipated downward movement ka faida uthane ke liye tayar ki gayi hai, jisme risk ko manage karne aur profits secure karne ka wazeh plan hai. Limit orders ka istemal is baat ko ensure karta hai ke trades predefined levels par execute hoon, jo ke entry aur exit points par zyada control faraham karta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair mukhtalif quwaton ka samna kar raha hai. Ek taraf, Bank of Japan ki ultra-loose monetary policy ke pressure mein weak Japanese yen ne USD/JPY pair ko mazbooti di hai. Yeh kamzori is speculation ko barhawa de rahi hai ke Bank of Japan mumkin hai ke umeed se pehle interest rates barha de, jo yen ko mazeed kamzor kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar abhi flat hai economic data ki kami ki wajah se. Magar, rising US fiscal yields kuch support provide kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve Inflation aur 2024 mein lower tax rates ke imkanat ke hawale se sukke barat raha hai, jo long run mein dollar par downward pressure daal sakte hain.
Technically, USD/JPY daily chart par aik interesting formation nazar aa rahi hai - ascending triangle. Yeh aur bullish RSI indicator yeh suggest karte hain ke pair shayad triangle ke upper trendline ko near the psychological barrier of 157.00 retest karne ki koshish kare. Aik decisive break above is level se pair 160.32 tak surge kar sakta hai, jo level 1990 se nahi dekha gaya. Magar, support levels ko bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Agar keemat triangle ke lower end par immediate support se neeche girti hai, aur phir key 155.50 level se, toh yeh 21-day EMA at 155.25 ko test karne ke liye mazeed slide kar sakti hai. A break below this level indicates a potential reversal, and USD/JPY par downward pressure. Overall, upcoming price action for USD/JPY 156.60 level par hinge karti hai. A decisive close above 157.00 focus ko resistance zone between 157.83 and 158.70 par shift karegi. Is area ko conquer karna 159.10 ke above surge ke darwaze kholega aur potentially 34-year high at 160.20 ka retest ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level bohot strong sabit hota hai, toh next potential upside targets 161.53 se 162.50 range mein ho sakte hain, jo June 2023 resistance line ke break hone ka sabab ban sakte hain

USD/JPY Market Analysis

Pichlay haftay ke douran, bears ne bulls ko initiative de diya tha, jis se price upar dhakaili gayi, lekin bulls ne muzahimat ki aur lambi growth ko phelne nahi diya. Yahan wave structure abhi bhi apni tarteeb niche ki taraf bana raha hai, aur MACD indicator abhi bhi lower sales zone mein hai, magar apni signal line se abhi bhi upar hai. Lagta hai ke price ab August ke mahinay ke minimum ko update karne ja rahi hai. Is update se pehle abhi bhi points mein kaafi distance hai, takreeban 200. Agar August ka minimum update hota hai, toh MACD aur CCI indicators par ek bullish divergence ke banne ka imkaan hai, ya dono par ek saath bhi. Indicators ki maujoodah position se abhi yeh signal pehle se hi andaza kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh lagta hai ke abhi kaam ka rujhan sirf chotay periods mein din ke andar niche ki taraf hai, rollbacks ke dauran aur sale ke mutabiq banne wali formations ke ubarte hi, yeh halaat kam az kam 141.66 ke minimum update hone tak barqarar hai, aur phir dekhenge. Filhal abhi tak downward pressure mein kamzori ke koi asar nahi hain. Kyun ke low muqabla karne ke liye nisbatan qareeb hai, price mumkin hai ke isse aagay barhna chahegi, jab tak ke aam market ki harkat US dollar ke haq mein na jaye, jo ke kafi mumkin hai. Dusri currencies lagta hai ke aur bhi zyada kamzor honay ki taraf hain against the American dollar. Har surat mein, trend ke sath kaam karna hamesha behtar hota hai, is tarah kamyabi ke chances barh jate hain, aur hamara trend downward hai is daily chart se shuru hota hai aur neeche tak ja raha hai. Sach hai, abhi bhi kuch khoobsurat news aa sakti hai. Aur agar woh US dollar ke haq mein nikalti hai, toh mumkin hai ke hum low se aage na ja sakein, is baat ke bawajood ke woh qareeb hai Moscow time ke mutabiq 15-30 baje: Amreeka mein average hourly earnings, non-agricultural sector mein employed afrad ki tadaad mein tabdeeli, aur amreeka mein economic active population ka hissah, private non-agricultural sector mein employed afrad ki tadaad mein tabdeeli, aur unemployment rate ki report aayegi
Technical Analysis
Technical taur par, USD/JPY ek milay-julay asar ki taraf ishara karta hai jahan bullishness ke imkaanaat nazar aa rahe hain. 4-hour chart par ek significant Hammer candlestick ubhar rahi hai, jo ke reversal ya notable upward move ka signal ho sakta hai agar yeh pattern session ke close tak barqarar rehta hai. Triangular Moving Average channel aur Zigzag indicator yeh suggest karte hain ke pair upward trend mein hai, jo buying opportunities ke imkaanat ko zyada karta hai. Iske ilawa, Laguerre aur RSI oscillators ek range mein hain jo bullish activity ke haq mein hain. RSI yeh indicate karta hai ke market oversold territory ki taraf ja raha hai, jo aam tor par price rebound se pehle hota hai. Agar yeh upward momentum barqarar raha, toh pair 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level 152.350 ko target kar sakta hai. Phir bhi, traders ko ehtiyat baratni chahiye aur position lene se pehle mazeed confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Yani, technical indicators USD/JPY ke liye ek possible bullish run ka hint de rahe hain, lekin yeh zaroori hai ke economic reports aur market sentiment par nazar rakhi jaye. Technical signals buying ke haq mein hain, lekin fundamental drivers ab bhi pair ke future direction ko shakal dete hain

Tuesday ki European trading session ke doran, currency pair 144.00 level ke qareeb pohnch gaya tha, lekin phir tezi se wapas aagaya. Yeh movement largely Japanese Yen ki recent surge ke zariye thi, jo Bank of Japan ke Summary of Opinions (SoP) ke release ke baad hua. BoJ ke July 30-31 ke meeting ke bayanat ne inflation se ladne ke liye further interest rate hikes ki zaroorat par zor diya, jo ke barhti import costs se aur badh gayi hai.
Market participants in developments ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, aur US Dollar ke strength aur Japanese Yen ke stability ka interplay pair ke future movements ko shape karne mein crucial hoga. Traders ko further technical indicators aur economic reports par nazar rakhni chahiye taake potential trends ke insights mil saken.

**US Dollar Rebounds aur Japanese Yen Volatility: Market Intervention Insights**

Session ke shuru mein, pair ne ek lambi paanch din ki decline ke baad thoda recovery dikhaya, jo US Dollar ke six-month low se rebound se hua. US Dollar Index, jo Greenback ke strength ko six major currencies ke against measure karta hai, lagbhag 101.60 tak surge hua. Is ke muqablay, Japanese Yen ne recent mein US Dollar ke against seven-month low par pohnch gaya, 141.70 par, jo currency ke volatility ko highlight karta hai.

Reuters report ke mutabiq, Japan ke Ministry of Finance ne recent market intervention confirm kiya hai. July mein, Japanese authorities ne ¥5.53 trillion (around $36.8 billion) spend kiya tha Yen ko stabilize karne ke liye, jo 38 saalon mein apne lowest level par pohnch gaya tha. Yeh significant intervention Yen ke global currency market mein ongoing challenges aur pressures ko highlight karta hai.

**D1 Chart Technical Analysis aur Future Projections for USD/JPY: Key Levels aur RSI Insights**

Is waqt, pair 142.61 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Technical analysis yeh indicate karta hai ke pair shayad upper boundary ko test karega, jo approximately 143.75 ke aas-paas hai. Agar pair is threshold se niche girta hai, toh downward pressure face kar sakta hai, jo isse throwback support level 140.22 aur further niche descending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb 139.00 tak le ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, December mein noted throwback support level 140.75 ko test karne ki bhi possibility hai.

Daily chart analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pair ne recently descending channel ko breach kiya hai, jo bearish trend ke kamzor hone ka potential signal hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab 30 par hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke pair oversold ho sakta hai. RSI par 50 level ki taraf movement momentum ke improvement aur pair ke trajectory mein potential shift ko signal kar sakti hai.

USDJPY
Main aapko correct karna chahunga, shayad northward trend nahi hai, balke correction hai north ki taraf, Japanese yen ke powerful strengthening aur USDJPY currency pair ke downward movement ke baad. Filhal meri position aise hai aur meri profit 142 level par hai, jo ek round figure ya psychological level hai, jaisa ke kuch log kehte hain, aise numbers aksar work out hote hain. Mainne dekha hai ke Japanese yen seedha turnaround nahi karta aur woh aksar resistance ya support zones ko multiple times touch karta hai aur phir opposite direction mein move karta hai ya breakthrough karta hai. Toh, is waqt meri position 143.00 se 142.00 tak hai, ek figure ya 100 points. Main is movement ko lene ki koshish kar raha hoon, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke hum aage bhi ja sakte hain aur profit aur loss ratio one to two ka rahega, aur ek top-up order sale ke liye abhi bhi raasta hai, jab chhoti hourly periods par instrument sideways zone se bahar nikle ga.

Chart h1 ke mutabiq, trading week ke shuruat par, USDJPY ki price hume yeh dikhati hai ke market ko Long ki taraf reverse karne ke attempts ke bawajood currency ab bhi Bearish cycle ko work out kar rahi hai. History mein humne dekha hai ke Buyers' Zone - 143.85 ko break karne ki attempts hui hain, ab tak bina kisi success ke. Main samhta hoon ke sirf is level ke break hone ke baad hum medium-term decline par count kar sakte hain. Aur jab tak level stand kar raha hai, tab tak possibility hai ke price Buyers' Zone - 142.24 se bounce kar ke Positive direction mein move kare, aur Younger chart M5 par price reversal structure draw kar rahi hai.

Bullish direction develop hone par, main pehla level intermediate Maximum - 144.80 ko consider karta hoon. Agar yeh break hota hai, toh price channel Supply Zone - 145.31 tak open ho jayega. Ab yeh ek important point hai priorities change karne ke liye.dikhati hai ke market ko Long ki taraf reverse karne ke attempts ke bawajood currency ab bhi Bearish cycle ko work out kar rahi hai. History mein humne dekha hai ke Buyers' Zone - 143.85 ko break karne ki attempts hui hain, ab tak bina kisi success ke. Main samhta hoon ke sirf is level ke break hone ke baad hum medium-term decline par count kar sakte hain. Aur jab tak level stand kar raha hai, tab tak possibility hai ke price Buyers' Zone - 142.24 se bounce kar ke Positive direction mein move kare, aur Younger chart M5 par price reversal structure draw kar

USD/JPY ne ek record high par pohonch kar tezi se increase dikhaya hai, jo ke profit-taking ka potential moqa bhi ho sakta hai. Aane wale US session se pehle ek decline ka chance bhi ho sakta hai. Moving averages ke upar aur bullish channel se breakout ne bearish pressure ka ishara diya hai. Hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute chart ke mutabiq, ek decline ki possibility hai kyunki moving average abhi ke price se upar hai, jo ke USD/JPY pair ke bullish trend ke continuation ko suggest karta hai, aur yeh higher zone tak ja sakta hai . Is haftay ke trend pattern ne narrow range mein ek uptrend dikhaya hai. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, yeh increase agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, aur prices ke uptrend ko maintain karne ki umeed hai.
Morning candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein rise ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone se upar jaane mein kamiyab hote hain... Is waqt, USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai . Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko todna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye continued movement ka potential offer karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par hoga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai. Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko todna hoga, jahan se price aksar wapas bounce hota hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karega, jo ke price weakness ka ishara hoga. Yeh khas taur par USD/JPY market mein pichle budh ko dekha gaya tha jab price ne trading session ke dauran significant downward movement experience kiya. Shorter time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ek slight upward correction ko dikhata hai. Yeh possible hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 area ke ird-gird consolidate kare, kyunki yeh conditions aksar Tuesday ko dekhi jaati hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. H1 timeframe mein market trend conditions ko observe karte hue, yeh clear hai ke abhi yeh downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, ke bawajood ke USD/JPY pair ne July 2024 ke shuruati trading sessions ke baad upward mokiyiya

halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair pehle ke highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke ird-gird ho sakte hain. D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, agar yeh moving average ke neeche sustained trading hoti hai, toh yeh ek trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakti hai.