USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq,
USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair pehle ke highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke ird-gird ho sakte hain.
D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, agar yeh moving average ke neeche sustained trading hoti hai, toh yeh ek trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakti hai.

price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte

Jummah ko, USDJPY ka decline continue hota gaya. Aaj subah, USDJPY trading 143.39 ke price par open hui aur phir 142.69 tak gir gayi. Is decline ke bawajood, h1 support level 143.01 successfully niche break ho gaya.

Agar h1 timeframe ko dekha jaye, to demand area 142.09 tak touch hone mein sirf kuch pips ki doori hai. Agar candle demand area ko successfully pass kar jati hai, to USDJPY aur zyada gir sakta hai. Lekin, agar candle is area ko penetrate nahi karti, to wahan ek retracement hone ka imkaan hai.

Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY ab bhi gir sakta hai kyunke bearish engulfing pattern hai aur candle abhi Moving Average 12 aur Moving Average 16 areas mein move kar rahi hai. Aaj ke liye, main yeh bhi predict kar raha hoon ke USDJPY girne ka mauka hai kyunke Ichimoku indicator ke hisaab se candle position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke aap sirf sell positions par focus karein. Take profit target aap 141.78 ke aas-paas rakh sakte hain.

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY currency pair ke movement aaj bhi girne ki taraf jhukta hua lagta hai, aur price 142.70 tak aa sakti hai. H1 time frame mein, USDJPY ke movement ne bearish engulfing candle bana di hai jo SELL USDJPY ka strong signal hai, aur price 142.70 tak ja sakti hai. RSI 14 indicator ki observation ke mutabiq, current USDJPY price 142.92 hai aur abhi tak oversold nahi hai, isliye is baat ka bahut zyada imkaan hai ke dopahar tak USDJPY 142.70 tak decline karega.

SELL USDJPY signal MA indicator ke use se bhi support hota hai, kyunki MA 12 line aur MA 16 line abhi bhi current USDJPY price 142.92 ke upar hain, to aaj ke liye bhi USDJPY ke girne ka imkaan hai aur price 142.80 tak aa sakti hai. Mere technical analysis ke natije ke mutabiq, USDJPY currency pair ke movement ke liye main SELL USDJPY ka decision le raha hoon aur price 142.70 tak jaane ka expect kar raha hoon.

dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte

USDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan

price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte

halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair pehle ke highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke ird-gird ho sakte hain.
D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, agar yeh moving average ke neeche sustained trading hoti hai, toh yeh ek trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakti hai.

[VIDEO]SDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend

rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair pehle ke highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke ird-gird ho sakte hain. D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, agar yeh moving average ke neeche sustained trading hoti hai, toh yeh ek trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakti hai.

USD/JPY ka Buniyadi Tajziya
Wednesday ko Jibun Banking Services PMI figures ke elan ke baad, USD/JPY ka exchange rate USD ke muqable mein mazeed tez ho gaya. Yeh index pehle 54.0 ka andaza tha, lekin August mein isay revise karke 53.7 par le aya gaya. Agarche carrier business pichlay saat mahino se barh raha hai, lekin July ke aakhri data mein koi tabdeeli nahi aayi. U.S. employment data, khaaskar August ke non-farm payrolls (NFP) ki hawala denay walay traders ki pehle se di gai warning ne dollar ko steer kiya. Yeh haqeeqat Fed ke rate cuts ke waqt aur scale ke baray mein aham insights faraham kar sakti hai. Wednesday ko USD/JPY kareeban 145.40 par trade ho raha tha. Daily chart ka tajziya yeh dikhata hai ke market mein bearish trend hai kyunke 9-day exponential moving average (EMA), 21-day EMA se neeche hai.




Pichlay trading week mein, Japanese yen mixed trade hui previous correction range ke andar. Price ne 143.53 ke level se rebound karne ke baad upar ka safar shuru kiya aur ek waqt par 147.45 tak pohanch gaya, lekin uske baad ruk gaya aur mazeed upar nahi ja saka. Is tarah expected downward scenario ab tak puri tarah reverse nahi hua. Aik technical perspective se, 240-minute chart ka tajziya dikhata hai ke simple moving average ka positive crossover hua hai jo ke aaj ke session mein upward move ka imkaan barhata hai, aur 145.30 par support milta hai. Is liye, upward momentum ke barqarar rehne ka imkaan zyada hai aur price 147.20 tak ja sakti hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai to pair 148.00 aur 148.50 tak mazeed barh sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 145.30 se neeche break aur consolidate hoti hai to uptrend ruk sakta hai, aur hum price ko neeche 144.40 ka target hasil karte hue dekh sakte hain.

USD/JPY Prices ka Tafseeli Tajziya
Hum iss waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair apne downward trend ko barqarar rakhe hue hai, aur ab tak koi bara tabadla nahi aaya. Kuch koshishain hui hain ke direction change ho, magar overall trajectory ab bhi bearish hai, aur mazeed girawat ka imkaan baqi hai. Aaj dollar mein thodi si stability dekhi gayi, Friday ke muqablay mein thoda growth dikhayi di, magar broader outlook ab bhi wahi hai. Mera tajziya ab bhi bearish hai jab tak price 148.79 ko cross nahi karti. Agar yeh level cross hota hai to main selling ka soch sakta hoon; filhal, main ihtiyaat se kaam le raha hoon aur sidelines par hoon. Aam tor par, correction ke baad downtrend dobara shuru hoti hai, magar is surat mein buyers ko momentum barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ho rahi hai. Main yeh imkaan bhi nahi karta ke ek dheemi upar ki taraf movement ho sakti hai, jisme choti candles dekhne ko milen, bilkul waisa hi jaisa ke hum ne high volatility ke baad dekha tha.




BoJ (Bank of Japan) ke agli meeting mein interest rates barhane ki umeed ki ja rahi hai, jo ke short-sellers ko apne positions close karne par majboor karega, aur JPY ko thodi support milegi. Iske ilawa, BoJ ke bond purchases ko kam karne ke mansubay ka bhi elan hone ka imkaan hai, jisse monetary stimulus mein kami aaye gi. Doosri taraf, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki, Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi, aur top currency diplomat Masato Kanda ab tak foreign exchange matters par koi commentary nahi kar rahe hain, jabke USD/JPY pair apne do mahino ke lowest level par aa chuka hai, Reuters ke mutabiq. Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko recent US Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ke baad mazeed mazbooti mil sakti hai, jo ke July mein private-sector activity mein tez taraqi dikhata hai. Isse lagta hai ke US economy ab bhi high interest rates ke bawajood resilient hai. Yeh mazboot data Federal Reserve (Fed) ko mazeed flexibility faraham karta hai ke agar inflation ka dabao nahi kam hota, to woh apni restrictive monetary policy ko barqarar rakh sake.

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj mera plan yeh hai ke USD/JPY ko tabhi sell karoon ga jab price 144.60 ka level test kare, jo ke chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai. Yeh pair mein tezi se girawat ka sabab banayega. Sellers ke liye key target 143.94 ka level hoga, jahan main apni short positions ko close karoon ga aur foran opposite direction mein long positions open karoon ga, expecting a movement of 20-25 pips us level se opposite direction mein. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunke dollar ke liye bearish market ab tak khatam nahi hui. Ahm baat: Sell karne se pehle zaroori hai ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kare.

USD/JPY currency pair ne naye haftay ke aghaz mein positive trend dikhaya hai, aur Friday ke nuqsanat ka zyada hissa reverse karke 141.75 ke area, ya ek mahine ke lowest level tak pohanch gaya hai. Japanese Yen (JPY) par dabao bana raha hai, jo Q2 GDP data ki downward revisions ki wajah se hai, aur is wajah se USD/JPY pair bhi upar gaya. Aaj jari hone wale official data se maloom hota hai ke Japan ki economic growth thodi si slow hui, jo ke April-June quarter mein 2.9% annual rate thi, jabke pehla andaza 3.1% ka tha. Iske ilawa, July mein consumer spending mein kamzor growth ne Bank of Japan ke liye interest rates barhane ke plans ko mushkil bana diya hai jo ke agle mahino mein amaldaramad kiye ja sakte hain. Doosri taraf, US dollar mazbooti dikhata hai, jo US Treasury yields ke barhne aur US central bank ke taraf se 50 basis point rate cut ke kam chances ki wajah se hai. Yeh sab USD/JPY pair mein positive trend barhata hai, lekin Bank of Japan aur Federal Reserve ke policy expectations alag hain, is liye mazeed gains se pehle ehtiyaat ki zaroorat hai.



Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne kaha hai ke agar economy aur prices expected lines par perform karti hain, to central bank interest rates barhata rahega. Iske ilawa, Japan mein real wages bhi ghair mutawaqqa tor par July mein doosray month ke liye barhi hain, jo ke 2024 ke akhri hisse se pehle ek aur interest rate hike ki umeed ko zinda rakhta hai. Iske bawajood, Tuesday ko USD/JPY pair 147.00 level se upar break hone ke bawajood apni strength barqarar rakhne mein nakam raha kyunke 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) July 2023 ke support trend line 144.75 se wapas aaya. Technical indicators foran upside movement ki guarantee nahi dete, kyunke RSI 50 ke neutral level tak pohanchne se pehle neeche chala gaya, aur Stochastic bhi 80 overbought level ke qareeb negative crossover dikhata hai. Trend signals bhi himayat nahi karte, kyunke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ne death cross bana liya hai, aur 20-day moving average bhi unse kaafi neeche hai.

USD/JPY Prices ka Tajziya
Main iss waqt real-time mein USD/JPY currency pair ki pricing ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Sideways trend se breakout neeche ki taraf ho raha hai. Market clear downtrend mein hai aur girawat ka silsila jaari hai. Yeh to pehle hi se zahir tha ke USD/JPY neeche jaega, lekin maine hichkichahat ki aur position kholne ka mauqa gawa diya. Agar maine us waqt action liya hota, to ab tak mein achi khaasi profit mein hota. Trading mein kabhi kabhi intuition analysis se zyada qeemti sabit hota hai. Is period ke liye price moving average se kaafi neeche hai, jo downward movement ki taqat ko mazid reinforce karta hai. Iske bawajood, main ab bhi bullish correction ke dauran chand points capture karne ka risk le sakta hoon. Jab koi trade miss ho jaye, to baad mein profit recover karna mushkil hota hai, is liye jo mauqa mile, usko samajhna padta hai. Ab dekhna yeh hai ke aage kya hota hai, khaaskar jab ke market activity calendar ke mutabiq barhne wali hai.




Japanese yen par ab bhi sellers ka kafi dabao hai, jo ek solid long-term trend banaye hue hain, aur is trend ke khilaf jana samajhdari nahi hogi. Iss haftay bulls ke jitne bhi koshishain hui bullish growth ko initiate karne ki, wo sab nakam rahi hain. Hum ne sirf ek corrective wave complete ki, jo 148.79 ke local maximum tak pohanchi. Session ke khatam hone tak hum wapas apne yearly local minimum par aa gaye aur 144.09 ke mazboot horizontal support ko tod diya, jo ek critical psychological level tha, aur isne raasta clear kar diya 141.79 ke minimum tak. Monday se, bears ke is support ko todne ka imkaan zyada hai. Aaj maine daily chart par focus kiya hai, jahan ek interesting scenario suggest karta hai ke bearish move ka chhota continuation ho sakta hai. Price 144.68 ke 50% resistance level se rebound kar chuki hai aur ab 1/2 angle ke thoda upar hai. Meri rai mein, bears is level ko mazid test karne ke liye wapas aa sakte hain. Is liye, mujhe umeed hai ke consolidation ke baad ek aur bearish movement hoga aur jald hi rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne policy mein in tabdeeliyon ka wazeh tor par zikar kiya. Ueda ne kaha ke 2% ka inflation target musalsal aur barabar tor par hasil karne ke liye monetary easing ke darajat mein tabdeeli zaruri thi. Ueda ne yeh bhi wazeh kiya ke Bank mazeed interest rate hikes karne ke liye pur azm hai. Yen ki mazid taqat ka sabab Mitsubishi UFJ Bank ka announcement bhi tha ke woh apne short-term prime lending rate ko 1.475% se barhakar 1.625% kar raha hai, jo ke 2 September se laagu hoga. Ye BoJ ke policy shift ke mutabiq ek qadam tha.
Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko dabao ka samna hai jabke market participants Federal Reserve (Fed) ki aanay wali interest rate decision ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Wednesday ko expected hai. Halaanke Fed se umeed hai ke woh July ke liye rates ko waise hi rakhega, magar September mein rate cut ka speculation barh raha hai. Yeh umeed USD par dabao daal rahi hai, aur USD/JPY pair mein girawat mazeed barh rahi hai.
USD/JPY Ka Technical Tajziya: Ahm Levels aur Trend Analysis
USD/JPY pair ne ahm psychological level 146.00 ko tor diya, aur pehli baar March ke baad is level ke neechay close kiya. Pair mein kaafi volatility dekhne ko mili, jisme 150-pip ki range mein fluctuation hui, aur Japanese Yen ko teen din ka low 144.74 tak le aayi. Jab Wednesday ke din Asian session ka aghaz hua, major pair lagbhag 145.07 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, aur previous close se zyada farq nahi tha.
Hourly chart ke mutabiq, pair ne descending wedge pattern ko tor diya hai, jo ke is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke bearish trend abhi jaari rehne ka imkaan hai bajaye reverse hone ke. Mazeed, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 30 ke neechay hai, jo is baat ka ishara de raha hai ke yeh currency asset oversold position mein hai aur kuch arsay ke liye rebound kar sakta hai.

se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne policy mein in tabdeeliyon ka wazeh tor par zikar kiya. Ueda ne kaha ke 2% ka inflation target musalsal aur barabar tor par hasil karne ke liye monetary easing ke darajat mein tabdeeli zaruri thi. Ueda ne yeh bhi wazeh kiya ke Bank mazeed interest rate hikes karne ke liye pur azm hai. Yen ki mazid taqat ka sabab Mitsubishi UFJ Bank ka announcement bhi tha ke woh apne short-term prime lending rate ko 1.475% se barhakar 1.625% kar raha hai, jo ke 2 September se laagu hoga. Ye BoJ ke policy shift ke mutabiq ek qadam tha.
Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko dabao ka samna hai jabke market participants Federal Reserve (Fed) ki aanay wali interest rate decision ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Wednesday ko expected hai. Halaanke Fed se umeed hai ke woh July ke liye rates ko waise hi rakhega, magar September mein rate cut ka speculation barh raha hai. Yeh umeed USD par dabao daal rahi hai, aur USD/JPY pair mein girawat mazeed barh rahi hai.
USD/JPY Ka Technical Tajziya: Ahm Levels aur Trend Analysis
USD/JPY pair ne ahm psychological level 146.00 ko tor diya, aur pehli baar March ke baad is level ke neechay close kiya. Pair mein kaafi volatility dekhne ko mili, jisme 150-pip ki range mein fluctuation hui, aur Japanese Yen ko teen din ka low 144.74 tak le aayi. Jab Wednesday ke din Asian session ka aghaz hua, major pair lagbhag 145.07 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, aur previous close se zyada farq nahi tha.
Hourly chart ke mutabiq, pair ne descending wedge pattern ko tor diya hai, jo ke is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke bearish trend abhi jaari rehne ka imkaan hai bajaye reverse hone ke. Mazeed, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 30 ke neechay hai, jo is baat ka ishara de raha hai ke yeh currency asset oversold position mein hai aur kuch arsay ke liye rebound kar sakta hai.