USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY pair ka H-4 timeframe par analysis:

Is hafte USD/JPY pair ne bearish condition dikhayi aur apni downward rally ko 145.68 ke price zone se guzar kar continue rakha. Ab price simple moving average 100 ke neeche rehne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Technical market conditions ke mutabiq, yeh week market simple moving average 100 ke neeche trade ho raha hai, jo traders ke liye bearish trend par zyada focus karne ka signal hai, kyunki market trend pichle weekend se bearish side ki taraf move kar raha hai.

Pichle July ke trading period se market bearish journey par hai. Agar downward journey 144.96 ke price zone tak pohnchti hai, to price agle hafte tak aur gir sakti hai. Pichle hafte ki trading mein buyers ne candlestick ko upar uthana ki koshish ki, lekin price 149.36 area ko touch karne ke baad neeche gir gayi. Uske baad, candlestick aaj ke trading period tak girti rahi.




Technical perspective se, downtrend pattern market ke mid-week journey ko shadow kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator ne zone 20 ko touch kiya hai, jo bearish market ko indicate karta hai. Ab price subah se thodi aur gir rahi hai. Agli trade ke liye, lower price area sellers ke liye target ban gaya hai jo bearish side ko continue karna chahte hain. Mera khayal hai, agar price phir se 145.22 zone tak girti hai, to yeh ek accha area ho sakta hai sell position open karne ke liye market trend ke direction ke hisaab se. Trend ke bearish side par continue karne se pehle, upward correction ka bhi chance ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pairs ka market analysis:

Tuesday (August 20) ko US dollar yen ke muqablay mein 145.36 tak gir gaya, jabke ek din pehle 145.20 tak pohnch gaya tha, jo 7 August ke baad se sabse kam level hai. Foreign exchange market mein Tuesday ko, US dollar index ke further decline ne non-US currencies ko collectively uthane mein madad ki. Iska sabab yeh hai ke investors Wednesday ko US employment data revision aur is haftay ke baad Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ki Jackson Hole Economic Conference mein speech ka intezar kar rahe hain, ummeed hai ke interest rate cuts ke bare mein clearer information milegi.

Japan mein, Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ko Friday ko parliament mein question kiya jayega, jahan central bank ke pichle mahine interest rates barhane ka faisla discuss kiya jayega. Agle hafte data se yeh bhi expect kiya ja raha hai ke Japan ki consumer inflation July mein teesi baar barh gayi, jo Bank of Japan ko short-term interest rates 0.25% tak barhane ke baad ek aur rate hike consider karne ka mauka de sakta hai. Japan aur United States ke interest rate adjustments ke opposing directions ke sath, yen ko bullish positions se gradually zyada favor milne ki ummeed hai.




Daily chart par, USD/JPY pichle hafte 149.43 tak nahi pohnch paya (149.43 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai decline ka 161.96 se 141.68 tak (July se August)). Spot ne Asian low 145.86 se rebound kiya, lekin London mein 147.34 par block ho gaya, jo dollar ke counterattack ke fail hone ka indication ho sakta hai. Agar recent lows 145.30-145.00 breach ho jaati hain, to USD/JPY further gir sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pairs ka market analysis:

Tuesday (August 20) ko US dollar yen ke muqablay mein 145.36 tak gir gaya, jabke ek din pehle 145.20 tak pohnch gaya tha, jo 7 August ke baad se sabse kam level hai. Foreign exchange market mein Tuesday ko, US dollar index ke further decline ne non-US currencies ko collectively uthane mein madad ki. Iska sabab yeh hai ke investors Wednesday ko US employment data revision aur is haftay ke baad Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ki Jackson Hole Economic Conference mein speech ka intezar kar rahe hain, ummeed hai ke interest rate cuts ke bare mein clearer information milegi.

Japan mein, Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ko Friday ko parliament mein question kiya jayega, jahan central bank ke pichle mahine interest rates barhane ka faisla discuss kiya jayega. Agle hafte data se yeh bhi expect kiya ja raha hai ke Japan ki consumer inflation July mein teesi baar barh gayi, jo Bank of Japan ko short-term interest rates 0.25% tak barhane ke baad ek aur rate hike consider karne ka mauka de sakta hai. Japan aur United States ke interest rate adjustments ke opposing directions ke sath, yen ko bullish positions se gradually zyada favor milne ki ummeed hai.




Daily chart par, USD/JPY pichle hafte 149.43 tak nahi pohnch paya (149.43 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai decline ka 161.96 se 141.68 tak (July se August)). Spot ne Asian low 145.86 se rebound kiya, lekin London mein 147.34 par block ho gaya, jo dollar ke counterattack ke fail hone ka indication ho sakta hai. Agar recent lows 145.30-145.00 breach ho jaati hain, to USD/JPY further gir sakta hai.

USD/JPY H4 Chart

USD/JPY H4 time frame chart par USD/JPY currency pair ek corrective phase se guzar raha hai, aur aakhri waqt mein yen ya dollar par koi khaas khabar nahi hai. Halankeh current correction ke bawajood, Thursday tak market bearish trend continue karne ki sambhavana hai. Market ka potential direction samajhne ke liye, US unemployment claims data ki dynamics ko samajhna zaroori hai, jo labor market ke current halat ke bare mein insights de sakta hai. Agar data labor market ki kamzori ko dikhata hai, to ye USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko support karega. Magar, recent US unemployment claims data ne aik behtareen outcome dikhaya jo ummeed se zyada accha tha. Is unexpected positive outcome ne US dollar ko boost diya aur yen ke muqablay mein uski qeemat barh gayi. Data ka behtareen performance ye indicate karta hai ke labor market shayad pehle se behtar halat mein hai, jo dollar ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Traders aur analysts in developments ko closely monitor karenge taake USD/JPY pair ke future trajectory ko samjha ja sake. Market participants ko chust rehna chahiye aur currency movements ko influence karne wale immediate aur broader economic factors ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye.




USD/JPY pair agar is level ko reach karta hai, to ye trend ke liye ek turning point ban sakta hai. 152.75 level na sirf accumulation ka target hai balke current bullish wave ke liye ek potential ceiling bhi ho sakti hai. Agar pair is level tak pohnchta hai, to ye significant resistance ka saamna kar sakta hai, jo sharp reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai. Conclusion ke tor par, USD/JPY pair agle sessions mein significant volatility ke liye tayar hai. Chahe ye direct 150.50 tak pohnche ya raste mein rukawat ka saamna kare, ye level bulls aur bears dono ke liye ek crucial battleground banega. Traders ko chust rehna chahiye aur technical signals aur fundamental developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake is dynamic currency pair ke potential ups and downs ko navigate kiya ja sake.

USD/JPY Price Direction

USD/JPY currency pair ke current pricing behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. USD/JPY price apne downward trend ko continue kar sakti hai, jo ke U.S. dollar ki kamzori ko dekhte hue mumkin lagta hai, lekin dollar ke index ki decline ka exact timing abhi clear nahi hai. Shuru mein, Bank of Japan ke interest rate hike ke baad yen ki long-term appreciation ki umeed thi. Lekin yen ka performance slow raha hai, jo shak ka sabab bana hai. Hourly chart par, USD/JPY pair ek local regression channel bana raha hai, jo ab apne lower boundary ke qareeb hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishaara hai ke price channel ke midpoint tak barh sakti hai, jo 147.59 ke aas-paas hai. Lekin, yeh short-term rise pair ke medium- to long-term bearish outlook ko khatam nahi karti. Agar buyers dominate karte hain aur price girti hai, to pair further downward movement dekh sakti hai, jo 136.39 se 137.79 ke range ko target kar sakti hai.




USD/JPY pair ki trading mein significant uncertainty hai, kyunke price 145.89 se 149.29 tak fluctuate kar rahi hai. Yeh situation trading ke liye challenging banati hai. Agar sellers apne positions ko majboot karte hain, to price apne upward movement ko continue kar sakti hai, ya phir yeh 141.74 se 142.74 ke support levels ko revisit kar sakti hai, jahan nayi bottom ban sakti hai jahan buyers apni positions exit kar sakte hain. Magar, jaise ke maine pehle zikr kiya, unexpected upward momentum bhi ho sakta hai, jaise ke pehle dekha gaya hai. Market participants ke reactions ko monitor karna zaroori hai agar price barhti hai; agar sellers apni activity barhate hain, to cost bhi barh sakti hai. Zigzag, MACD, aur RSI indicators bhi is nazariye ko support karte hain, jo oversold zone mein hain aur long positions ke liye potential gains ka ishaara dete hain. Bulls ki strength aur activity ko dekhte hue, main apni open position ko secure karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price Fibonacci target 61.8% tak pohnchti hai, jo ke 154.682 ke aas-paas hai.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

USD/JPY chart ko daily time frame par dekhte hue, buyers abhi bhi price movements ko bullish direction mein le ja sakte hain. Tuesday ke trading din ke dauran bane candle pattern ke madde nazar, lagta hai ke price aage chal kar upar ki taraf barh sakti hai. Candle ka body kaafi bara hai aur upar ki taraf ja rahi hai, lekin phir bhi bullish movement ka mauka hai, magar pehle kuch hints dekhna zaroori hai. Indicator dikhata hai ke RSI indicator ki red line abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai aur overbought territory mein hai. MACD indicator ke histogram bars abhi bhi zero ke upar ban rahe hain, aur MACD signal line bhi upar ki taraf hai. Green, yellow, aur blue lines ke beech upward movement dekhi ja rahi hai, jo 100 EMA line hai.




USD/JPY price movement ko H1 time frame par dekhte hain, jo dikhata hai ke buyers ki strength abhi bhi price ko upar ki taraf le ja rahi hai. Sunday ko bhi position ko phir se close kiya ja sakta hai, ek kaafi achi increase ke saath. Pehle din ki market opens dikhati hai ke buyers ne candle ko opening price se kaafi upar push kiya. Halanki trend abhi bullish hai, lekin position open karne se pehle data ko monitor karna zaroori hai. USD/JPY ko H1 chart ke resistance area mein sell karna chahiye. Agar price barhti hai, to H4 chart ke bearish engulfing area mein phir se sell karna chahiye. Resistance area se break-out pattern ko use karna ek alternative cut-loss option ho sakta hai agar price conditions break-out pattern ka result dete hain. Filhal, yeh apne highest level par hai.

USD/JPY: Bullish Potential aur Market Dynamics

USD/JPY currency pair ab bullish potential dikha raha hai, jahan buyers agle kuch waqt mein dominance dikhane ki umeed hai. Halanki buyers ke samne challenges hain, wo apni positions ko banaye rakhte hain. Maujooda conditions ke madde nazar, yeh umeed hai ke prices waqt ke sath barh sakti hain. Lekin, sellers abhi bhi market par substantial influence rakhte hain aur asani se apna control nahi chhodenge.

Maujooda Market Dynamics

Filhal, buyers mushkil mein hain lekin persistent hain, jo ek potential bullish shift ka ishara deti hai. Agar halat wahi rehti hain, to prices ke barhne ke chances hain. Fundamental data releases par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki yeh market ki direction ko tay karne mein key role play karenge. Economic statistics ka impact confirm karega ke market bullish trend ki taraf shift hoti hai ya nahi.

Traders ke Liye Key Considerations
- **Buyer Persistence:** Challenges ke bawajood, buyers apni positions ko maintain kar rahe hain. Yeh persistence yeh indicate karti hai ke agar conditions favorable rahti hain, to prices upar ki taraf shift ho sakti hain.
- **Seller Influence:** Sellers abhi bhi active hain aur market par influence daal rahe hain. Unki ability to control price action test ki jayegi jab market upcoming economic data ka response dega.
- **Fundamental Data:** Upcoming economic releases market ko significant effect karenge. Positive data market ko bullish trend ki taraf drive kar sakti hai, jabke weak data current bearish sentiment ko barqarar rakh sakti hai.
- **Technical Correction:** Agar market bullish direction mein shift hota hai, to corrections ke dauran buying opportunities dekhna prudent hoga. Bullish trend ke dauran temporary dips traders ke liye entry points provide karenge jo upward movement ka fayda uthana chahte hain.

Long-Term Outlook

Historical data ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair mein sustained downward movement ka lack raha hai. Maujooda downward trend ek temporary phase lagti hai, jo ek "tail" bana sakti hai usse pehle ke bullish trend ke liye. Yeh perspective yeh suggest karta hai ke current bearish movement sirf ek precursor ho sakti hai ek stronger upward trajectory ke liye.

Conclusion

Summary ke taur par, USD/JPY pair bullish movement ke liye poised hai, buyers ki persistence aur upcoming fundamental data ke impact ke madde nazar. Jabke sellers abhi bhi influence rakhte hain, unka control favorable data aur market conditions se challenge ho sakta hai. Traders ko bullish signals ke liye dekhna chahiye aur corrective phases ke dauran market enter karne par ghoor karna chahiye agar trend positive hota hai. Current downward trend ek short-term adjustment lagti hai jo ek substantial upward movement se pehle ho sakti hai.




Economic updates ke liye alert rahein aur market ke evolve hone par possible trading opportunities ke liye tayar rahen.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis aur Short Trade Strategy

USD/JPY currency pair ke H1 (one-hour) timeframe par, mujhe lagta hai ke short trades shuru karna filhal sabse behtar approach hai. Yeh hain kuch wajahen jo short positions ko relevant banati hain:

Key Reasons for a Bearish Outlook
- Position Relative to Moving Average: Price MA200 moving average ke neeche hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Yeh position batati hai ke market sentiment selling ki taraf jhuk raha hai.
- Previous Day’s Performance:Pichle trading din ke dusre half mein, pair opening price ke neeche trade hua aur din ki closing bhi is level ke neeche hui. Yeh pattern continued bearish momentum ko suggest karta hai.
- Bollinger Bands Analysis: Poore din ke dauran, price ne upper Bollinger Band se niche cross kiya. Yeh movement bearish sentiment ko highlight karti hai aur further decline ke high likelihood ko suggest karti hai.
- RSI Indicator:Main RSI (Relative Strength Index) ko trade signals confirm karne ke liye closely monitor karta hoon. Filhal, RSI selling ke liye favorable zone mein hai, kyunki yeh overbought (70 se upar) ya oversold (30 se neeche) conditions indicate nahi kar raha. Yeh short positions shuru karne ke idea ko support karta hai.

Trade Execution aur Target Setting
- Entry Strategy: Bearish signals ke madde nazar, main short positions enter karne ka plan kar raha hoon jo current technical indicators ke base par hai.
- Take Profit Level:Meri take profit level Fibonacci level 211% par set hai, jo price 143.839 ke barabar hai. Yeh target anticipated downward movement ke continuation ke saath align karta hai.
- Risk Management: Initial target tak pohnchne ke baad, main apni position ka ek hissa breakeven par move kar dunga. Yeh mujhe stop loss ko zyada door ke lower Fibonacci levels par trail karne ki suvidha dega, taake price ke further decline se faida utha sakoon aur reversals ke against protection mil sake.





Conclusion

Summary ke taur par, H1 timeframe par technical analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke short trades abhi current market conditions se achhe tareeke se supported hain. Price ka MA200 ke neeche hona, pichle din ka bearish close, Bollinger Bands ka signal, aur favorable RSI reading sab selling ke strong case ko indicate karte hain. 143.839 par take profit level set karke aur risk ko breakeven strategy se manage karke, yeh approach ongoing bearish trend ka faida uthane ka maqsad rakhti hai.

Main is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka mutala kar raha hoon. Aaj poore din, speculation chal rahi hai ke Fed minutes se kya nikal kar aayega, jo dollar ko major currencies ke against mazid kamzor kar sakta hai. USD/JPY pair ke liye, yeh minutes bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain kyunke chart par jo price triangle hai, woh inki release ke baad kisi likely breakout ka ishara de raha hai. Market ka is crucial information par kya reaction hoga, is mein uncertainty hai, aur hum sirf intizar kar sakte hain. Dollar par pressure kam ho sakta hai, jisse correction 148.09 tak ho sakti hai, lekin outcome ka daromadar US regulator ke tone par hoga. US news mein surprises aam baat hai, jo unpredictability ko barha dete hain. USD/JPY quotes ab bhi ek triangle mein descend karte wide channel ke andar hain.

148.01 ko test karne ke baad, rebound aur wapas 146.09 tak girne ka strong imkaan hai. Itni significant decline ke liye, aur bhi negative news ki zaroorat hogi. Is haftay ka sabse crucial event Fed minutes ki release hai. Yeh pair ek critical level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo historically resistance aur support ka kaam karta hai. Current price 146.12 hai, aur zyadatar technical indicators bullish trend ko show kar rahe hain. Agar aaj pair is level ko break karta hai, to yeh 146.59 tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Lekin, mujhe shak hai ke yeh pehli koshish mein kamiyab hoga, kyunke bulls itne strong nazar nahi aa rahe. 145.08 tak ka pullback possible hai, is liye humein dekhna hoga ke yeh kaise unfold hota hai. Overall, mere khayal se abhi market mein enter karna thoda jaldi hoga. Triangle ke upper boundary, 146.29, ko break karne par yeh channel ke upper limit ka test kar sakta hai, jo resistance level 148.01 ke sath align karta hai.

Abhi ke liye USD/JPY currency pair ke price analysis par focus hai. NPI with Distances indicator ka use kar ke buy karne ke mauqe dekhna faida mand strategy hai. Zigzag indicator bhi upward direction ko point kar raha hai, jo long positions lene ko reinforce karta hai. Iske ilawa, jo oscillators mein use karta hoon signals ko refine karne ke liye, wo bhi buyers ke liye favorable zone mein hain. Main apni position ko maintain karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab tak ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ka 152,299 price level par pohanchna nahi hota. Pichle kuch hafton mein price drop kafi choti rahi hai, jo ke ek lambi upward trend ke baad aya hai. Aaj ke din mein news limited hai, sirf ek significant event hai aur wo hai Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes ka release jo ke sham mein hoga. Magar, ye news zyada critical nahi hai kyun ke minutes mein interest rate ka faisla shamil nahi hoga.

Is hafte bears ne price ko downward push karne ki koshish ki hai, lekin wave structure dobara downward trend kar raha hai aur MACD indicator lower selling zone mein hai, apni signal line ke neeche. Waqt ka current market scenario ek mixed picture present kar raha hai. Resistance horizontal level par 145.90 aur descending trend line par hai. Magar, CCI indicator par ek bullish divergence nazar aya hai. Is divergence ke wajah se selling advisable nahi hai, bhale hi price 145.90 level ke neeche stabilize ho jaye. Selling abhi premature hai, kyun ke correction main instruments mein expected hai US dollar ke recent weakening ke baad. Buy position lene par socha ja sakta hai, magar abhi jaldi hai kyun ke current level ek barrier hai. Agar price is level ke upar stabilize hoti hai, to ye resistance se support mein badal sakta hai, jo ek buying opportunity create karega—khaaskar jab retest top se hota hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to price likely hai ke rise kare, shayad pichle hafte ke high ko bhi cross kar jaye, jo ke 149.41 resistance level ke upar hai.

USD/JPY prices ka trend analysis karte huye, hum dekh rahay hain ke abhi tak buyers ne 146.49 resistance level ke upar control establish nahi kiya hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke pair abhi ek correction phase se guzar raha hai, pehle ke doosri koshish ki jaye. Technical indicators bhi yeh signal kar rahe hain ke correction phase chal raha hai. Ho sakta hai ke kal resistance break ho jaye, lekin main expect karta hoon ke price 144.99 se 146.89 ke range mein flat rahegi, kyun ke bullish momentum abhi kamzor hai aur bearish trend bhi mazboot nahi ho sakta. 4-hour chart pe current situation kaafi interesting hai, kyun ke sellers ne price ko neeche dhakela hai, lekin unka asar kam ho raha hai, jisse buyers ko ground mil raha hai. Is context mein, 143.995 ke price point par buying ek acha mauqa ho sakti hai, aur 149.738 resistance level tak profit target rakhna reasonable hai.


USD/JPY pair aaj noticeable bearish pressure mein hai, aur 4-hour chart pe kuch strong sell signals nazar aa rahe hain. Correction line ka breakdown aur Ichimoku cloud ka breach sab yeh point karte hain ke downtrend continue rahega. 15-minute chart pe ek ascending wedge pattern form hua hai, jo aam tor par current trend ke continuation ka indication hota hai, aur yeh downward breakout suggest karta hai. Lekin, kuch exceptions bhi hoti hain jahan price wedge se upward exit karti hai, jo ke short-term reversal ka sabab banta hai. Filhal, sab se zyada likely scenario yeh hai ke decline resume hoga, is liye abhi buying mein ehtiyaat baratna chahiye. Price 146.79 tak barh sakti hai pehle ke ek naye wave of selling ko trigger kare ya phir current levels se break down ho jaye. U.S. markets se aaj low activity ki wajah se, din ka aakhri hisa flat rehnay ka imkaan hai. USD/JPY pair ne pehle hi ek significant move dekha hai, jisme 299-point ka drop aur 149-point ka correction tha, is liye kal ke session ka intezaar karna zyada prudent hai for more precise trading opportunities.

JPY ke prices ke behavior ko analyse karna interesting hai. Central Bank of Japan ka ek representative recently hint kiya ke wo market mein zyada yen release karne ka soch rahe hain. Yeh ajeeb lagta hai kyunke pehle unhone rates ko barhaya tha aur ab yen ki strength ko counteract karna discuss kar rahe hain. Yeh ek verbal intervention lagti hai taake exchange rate ko stabilize kiya ja sake. Bank ko ek stable yen pasand hai aur price range 149-141 tak ja sakti hai. Critical level jo dekhna hai wo 146.13 hai, agar is level se neeche gaya to further decline ka trigger ho sakta hai. Humne lagbhag 184 points ki girawat dekhi hai jo kaafi significant hai. Aage chalke 142-143 ke taraf slide dekhne ko mil sakti hai ya phir 146 tak bounce back ho sakta hai, jo ke upar push kar sakta hai. Mera strategy yeh hai ke jab price upar jati hai to selling opportunities aur attractive hoti hain.

4-hour chart par, maine initially yen-dollar pair ke further growth ki expectation ki thi jab trading range mein thi. Lekin, maine yeh nahi socha tha ke yeh range se bahar nikal kar stop-loss orders ko trigger karegi. Ab jab yeh stops clear kar chuki hai, mujhe lagta hai ke pair upar ki taraf continue karegi. Jo highest point reach ho sakta hai wo 143.102 ke neeche hai. Ek baar phir se, pair ne buyers aur sellers ko attract kiya hai, jisse mujhe lagta hai ke yeh aur bhi stop orders ko trigger karne ki koshish karegi. Potential maximum 142.266 ho sakta hai uske baad pair phir se upar chalegi. Main previous lows ko revisit nahi karne ki ummeed rakhta, balki further growth ki expectation hai. Mera target 160.548 ke aas-paas hai; mujhe lagta hai ke pair ne apne stops clear kar diye hain aur upar jaayegi. Japan ka bank intervene kar sakta hai, lekin main nahi khareedunga, kyunki long-term trend neeche shift hota hua lagta hai.

USD/JPY ne ek record high par pohonch kar tezi se increase dikhaya hai, jo ke profit-taking ka potential moqa bhi ho sakta hai. Aane wale US session se pehle ek decline ka chance bhi ho sakta hai. Moving averages ke upar aur bullish channel se breakout ne bearish pressure ka ishara diya hai. Hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute chart ke mutabiq, ek decline ki possibility hai kyunki moving average abhi ke price se upar hai, jo ke USD/JPY pair ke bullish trend ke continuation ko suggest karta hai, aur yeh higher zone tak ja sakta hai. Is haftay ke trend pattern ne narrow range mein ek uptrend dikhaya hai. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, yeh increase agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, aur prices ke uptrend ko maintain karne ki umeed hai.

Morning candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein rise ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone se upar jaane mein kamiyab hote hain... Is waqt, USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko todna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye continued movement ka potential offer karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par hoga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai.

Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko todna hoga, jahan se price aksar wapas bounce hota hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karega, jo ke price weakness ka ishara hoga.

Yeh khas taur par USD/JPY market mein pichle budh ko dekha gaya tha jab price ne trading session ke dauran significant downward movement experience kiya. Shorter time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ek slight upward correction ko dikhata hai. Yeh possible hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 area ke ird-gird consolidate kare, kyunki yeh conditions aksar Tuesday ko dekhi jaati hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai.

H1 timeframe mein market trend conditions ko observe karte hue, yeh clear hai ke abhi yeh downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, ke bawajood ke USD/JPY pair ne July 2024 ke shuruati trading sessions ke baad upward move kiya. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair pehle ke highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke ird-gird ho sakte hain.

D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, agar yeh moving average ke neeche sustained trading hoti hai, toh yeh ek trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakti hai.

USD/JPY pair ke recent trading activity economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ka ek complex interplay reflect kar rahi hai. D1 moving average line par 168.470 support level ka current test pair ke liye ek critical juncture hai. Traders ko chahiye ke yeh level ke ird-gird pair ka behavior closely monitor karein, kyunki yeh future price movements ke bare mein significant insights provide kar sakta hai. Ek cautious aur informed approach adopt karna, jisme technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko include kiya jaye, essential hoga USD/JPY pair ke market dynamics ko navigate karne ke liye aane wale dino mein.

Chaliye baat karte hain ke USD/JPY currency pair ki price kaise behave kar rahi hai aur is se kya analysis nikala ja sakta hai. Main weekly USD/JPY chart ko dekh raha hoon, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh sirf visual insights provide kar sakta hai, trading ke liye zyada potential nahi hai. Diagram mein zig-zag upward movement dikhayi de rahi hai, jo growth ko indicate karti hai, mumkin hai ke price 150.0 mark tak pohanch jaye, aur shayad 151.89 bhi dimaag mein aata hai. Lekin USD/JPY mein na to koi notable decline hai aur na hi koi strong rally, kyun ke candlestick shadows inconsistent tarah se barh rahe hain. Hum pehle 140.26 ke level par baat kar chuke hain, lekin yeh kuch waqt pehle ki baat hai. Last week ka local low 141.68 tha. Agar yeh pair 147.0 mark ko break karta hai aur 141.68 ko test karta hai, to mumkin hai ke yeh 140.26 ko cross kare aur further bearish ho jaye. Mera current strategy yeh hai ke short trades se bachun aur sirf cautious buying opportunities ko consider karun.
Daily chart par USD/JPY do key levels dikhata hai jo ongoing decline se rebound karne ka sabab ban sakte hain. Pehla level hai 147.19; aur zyada important weekly level 146.29 hai, jis se neeche koi significant weekly price consolidation nahi hui. Agar market is level ke weakness par react karta hai, to bearish trend unpredictable tareeke se continue ho sakta hai. Main is baat par nazar rakhunga ke jab naye trading week ka aaghaz hoga, to market in levels par kis tarah react karta hai, taake current market direction ko behtar samajh sakun aur informed trading decisions le sakun. Mera khayal hai ke bearish trend likely continue karega, aur last week ka bullish correction sirf ek temporary rebound tha jo daily price chart ke aas paas hua. Pair ne Friday ko 150.0 resistance zone se aggressively bounce back kiya, aur Thursday ke daily candle ko absorb kar liya. Yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke aage aur downward movement hogi, aur shayad 141.73 support ko break kar de, kyun ke lower moving average bearish continuation

se humaray pass hourly timeframe par aik sell signal tha, jo kay brown bar say mark kiya gaya hai, jisme choti si potential target 146.458 thi. Is kay ilawa, aik expansion bhi complete ho chuki thi. Iska matlab hai kay upper boundary par aik deviation ke baad, currency pair ne downward move kia aur lower boundary par deviation complete kiya. Abhi tak yeh pattern ke andar hi hai. Main aam tor par expansion formations ko trend ke haq mein dekhta hoon. Is waqt, USDJPY ka recent trend bearish hai, khas tor par agar 4-hour aur daily timeframe dekha jaye. Lekin abhi tak koi sell pattern nahi bana hai. Jee haan, humay aik naya support level fractals par milta hai, magar hamein expansion ko decline ki pehli wave nahi samajhna chahiye. Agar currency pair 145.155 ka level update karta hai, to yeh 1-2-3 structure banaayega jo descending waves ka hoga, aur southward movement ki possibility barha dega. Pehle chart mein hum dekhte hain kay hourly signal par jo rise hua tha, wo mukammal ho gaya - jo kay green bar say dikhaya gaya hai aur target 148.484 tha. Aik higher timeframe par buy signal bhi hai 4-hour chart par - jo kay grey bar say dikhaya gaya hai. Iska target level 152.741 hai, magar completion abhi tak clear nahi hai. Mazeed, last sell signal jo 1-hour timeframe par tha, wo bhi complete ho chuka hai. 4-hour chart par aik sell signal bhi hai, jo kay buy signal kay opposite hai same timeframe par.
Main ne potential decline ko purple bar ke sath second chart par mark kiya hai, jo kay 143.295 ka target hai. Mera khayal hai kay yeh targets tab relevant honge jab currency pair 145.186 ke level ke neeche giray aur third wave of decline ko confirm kare. Graphically, maine in conditions ko blue mein highlight kiya hai. Is scenario mein, remaining downside potential kareeb 190 pips ho gi - jo kay aik acha movement hai