USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

آنے والے دن میں usd/jpy جوڑی میں متوقع بڑی تحریک کے لیے کائی اقتصادی اشارے اور واقعات کیٹالسٹ کے طور پر کام کر سکتے ہیں۔ میں امریکی افراط زر کے اعداد و شمار، روزگار کی رپورٹس، اور مرکزی بینک کی میٹنگز جیسا کہ ڈیٹا جاری کرتا ہے۔ مثال کے طور پر، اگر یو ایس افراط زر کے اعداد و شمار کی توقعات سے زیادہ آتا ہے، تو فیڈرل ریزرو کا زیادہ ہاکیش مؤقف لینا ممکن ہے، جو ڈالر کو مضبوط کرنا مشکل ہے۔ لیکن اگر ڈیٹا مایوس کرتا ہے، تو مندی کے رجحان کو تقویت ملتی ہے ہو سکتہ ہے۔

آئی ایس آئی ترہ، آگر جاپان کی اقتصادی نقطہ نظر یا مانیٹری پالیسی میں کوئی اہم تبدیلیاں آتی ہیں، تو اسکا بھی جوڑی پر اثر ہو سکتا ہے۔ آگر بینک آف جاپان کی سختی کی تراف سگنل کرتا ہے، تو ین کو مزید طاقت مل سکتی ہے، جو usd/jpy میں مندی کا رجحان کو اور بارہا سکتا ہے۔ جیو پولیٹیکل پیشرفت، جیسا کہ تجارتی تناؤ یا غیر متوقع واقعات، بھی کرنسی مارکیٹ میں تبدیلیاں کرنے میں ایک اہم کردار ادا کر سکتے ہیں۔ مسل کے طور پر، اگر جیو پولیٹیکل تناؤ بڑھتا ہے ہوتا ہے، تو محفوظ پناہ گاہوں کے اثاثوں میں پرواز دیکھی جا سکتی ہے، جو ین کو فائدہ کر سکتی ہے اور usd/jpy میں ایک تیز اقدام لوئر ہو سکتا ہے۔ مارکیٹنگ کے جذبات میں اضافی پوزیشن یہ ممکن ہے کہ usd/jpy میں بڑی نقل و حرکت کے امکانات کے لیے۔ آگر ٹریڈرز ہیویلی شارٹ پوزیشن میں ہیں، اور جذبات میں اچانک تبدیلی یا ڈالر کے لیے کوئی مثبت ترقی ہوتی ہے، تو شارٹ سکوز ٹرگر ہو سکتا ہے، جو ایک تیز ریلی کا سباب بن سکتا ہے۔ اس کے برعکس، آگر مارکیٹ کے شرکاء مندی رہتے ہیں اور مختصر پوزیشنیں بناتے رہتے ہیں، تو نیچے کی طرف دباؤ بڑھتا ہے ہو سکتا ہے، جو ایک خاطر خواہ کمی کو لیڈ کر سکتا ہے۔

ابھی جو مارکیٹ میں سست حرکت ہے، وہ تاجروں کے صاف اتپریرک کا انتظار کرنے کی واجہ سے ہو سکتا ہے، پہلے کے وہ بڑے عہدوں کا عہد کریں۔ طوفان سے پہلے یہ استحکام کا دور پرسکون ہو سکتا ہے، جس میں اہم بریک آؤٹ یا بریک ڈاؤن ہو سکتا ہے جب کوئی اتپریرک ابھرتا ہے.
خلاصہ میں، جب کے usd/jpy جوڑی ابھی ایک مندی کے رجحان کا تجربہ کر رہی ہے اور سست حرکت دیکھ رہی ہے، کے عوامل ہیں جو آنے والے دن میں اہم تحریک کو لیڈ کر سکتے ہیں۔ میں اقتصادی اعداد و شمار کے اجراء میں، مرکزی بینک کے اقدامات، جغرافیائی سیاسی پیش رفت، اور مارکیٹ کے جذبات میں تبدیلیاں آتی ہیں۔ جوڑی کو بریک کرتا ہے یا ریکوری اسٹیج کرتا ہے، یہ عوامل کے کھیل پر انحصار کرتے ہیں۔ فلحال، یہ ضروری ہے کے چوکنا رہ جائے اور کلیدی سطح اور واقعات کو مانیٹر کیا جائے جو usd/jpy جوڑی میں متوقع بڑی تحریک کو ٹریگر کر سکتی ہے۔

Humara mawaad USD/JPY currency pair ki live pricing ko decode karne par mabni hai. USD/JPY pair is waqt ek descending channel mein trade kar raha hai aur downward trend ko maintain kar raha hai. Pair ne EMA 50 se bounce back kiya hai aur ab 145.35 ke critical support level ko target kar raha hai. Yeh level pehle hi test kiya ja chuka hai, jo is baat ka signal hai ke pair agle targets 143.99 aur 142.14 ki taraf further decline kar sakta hai. Isi liye, recommendation yeh hai ke selling par focus karna chahiye, aur stop-loss resistance 146.59 ke upar set karna chahiye.

USD/JPY ne kal ke lows ko hit karne ke baad ek correction phase mein entry ki hai. Aaj market Federal Reserve se ahem khabron ka intezar kar raha hai, khaas tor par minutes release aur labor market data ki revision ka. Yeh data agar significant revise hota hai, to iska asar zyada ho sakta hai, jisse speculation shuru ho sakti hai ke September mein Fed 50-point ka rate cut karega, jo dollar ki weakness ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Abhi ke analysis ko dekhte hue, NPI with Distances indicator ke zariye buying opportunities sabse faydemand strategy hai. Zigzag indicator bhi upward trend show kar raha hai, jo long positions ki taraf trade karne ko reinforce karta hai. Saath hi oscillators bhi buyers ke liye favorable zone mein hain, is liye mein apni position ko 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ke 152,299 price level tak maintain karne ka plan bana raha hoon.

Recent hafton mein price drop chhota raha hai, jo ek prolonged upward trend ke baad aaya hai. Aaj ke din ki news limited hai, sirf Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ke minutes ka release hai jo shaam mein hoga. Magar yeh news critical nahi hai kyun ke minutes mein interest rate ka faisla shamil nahi hoga.

Yen ka price 149.20 level tak utha tha lekin phir is level ko retest karne ke baad drop ho gaya. Is bullish movement ne signal diya ke 139.90 support level cross ho sakta hai. Pichle trading week mein Japanese yen ne apna upward correction continue rakha aur naye local highs tak pohoch gaya. Price 149.19 par ruk gayi, jahan resistance mila, phir bounce back hui aur signal zone ke neeche height lose karne lagi. Ab tak expected downside scenario materialize nahi hua, aur chart supertrend red zone mein wapas aa gaya hai jo increased seller activity indicate karta hai.

USD/JPY pair ne Wall Street ke trading open hone ke baad se fall karna shuru kar diya hai, jo ke US Treasury yields se direct correlation ki wajah se hai, jo weaker dollar ki wajah se giri hain. Pair 146.58 tak gir gaya jabke pichle din ki closing 147.53 thi. High for the day 148.05 tha aur low 145.18 tak gaya. US Treasury yields ke Monday ke din girne se dollar ke against losses reflect hue.

USDJPY

USD/JPY H4 time frame chart par, USD/JPY currency pair aik corrective phase se guzar raha hai, aur hal filhal yen ya dollar par koi bara news impact nahi hai. Is correction ke bawajood, yeh imkaan hai ke market Thursday tak bearish trend ko continue kare. Market ke potential direction ko samajhne ka raaz US unemployment claims data ke dynamics mein chhupa hai, jo labor market ki current state par insights de sakta hai. Agar data labor market ki weakness ko dikhata hai, toh yeh USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko support karega. Lekin, abhi haal hi mein US unemployment claims data ke results anticipated se behtar aaye hain. Is unexpected positive outcome ne US dollar ko boost diya hai, jiski wajah se yen ke muqable mein dollar ki qeemat barh gayi hai. Data ka behtar performance yeh darshata hai ke labor market expected se zyada behtar halat mein ho sakta hai, jo dollar ki mazid taqat ko barha sakta hai. Traders aur analysts in developments ko qareebi se monitor karenge taake USD/JPY pair ke future trajectory ka andaza laga sakein. Hamesha ki tarah, market participants ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur currency movements ko influence karne wale immediate aur broader economic factors par ghour karna chahiye.

Agar traders is trend se faida uthana chahte hain, toh 145.22 zone ek key area ke tor par saamne aata hai, jahan short positions kholne ka socha ja sakta hai. Yeh level broader market trend ke sath align karta hai aur un logon ke liye aik strategic entry point offer karta hai jo bearish movement ke direction mein trade karna chahte hain. Lekin, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke yeh note kiya jaye ke downward trend ke dobara shuru hone se pehle aik chhoti si upward correction ho sakti hai. Aisi correction sellers ke liye aur bhi behtar entry point provide kar sakti hai jo market ke bearish side mein shamil hona chahte hain. Nateeja yeh ke, USD/JPY pair H4 timeframe par firmly bearish trend mein hai, aur technical indicators aur market conditions mazid declines ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders ko 145.22 zone par selling opportunities ke liye nazar rakhni chahiye, jabke short-term corrections ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo downtrend ke dobara shuru hone se pehle ho sakti hain. Overall sentiment bearish hi hai, aur jab tak price 100 SMA ke neeche rehti hai, further downside movement ke imkaanat baray rehte hain.

Haal ke trading sessions mein US Dollar ke against price mein significant decline dekha gaya hai, 141.71 ka new low par pahunch gaya hai, jo 1986 se dekha nahi gaya tha. Yeh downward movement primarily Japan ke business activity ki contraction se linked hai, jo June mein hui thi, aur speculation hai ki Bank of Japan (BoJ) possible foreign exchange (FX) intervention kar sakta hai JPY ko stabilize karne ke liye aur additional losses ko prevent karne ke liye USD ke against.

Monetary Policy Divergence aur Market Impact

US Dollar ko challenges ka saamna karna pada hai, weaker-than-expected US Manufacturing PMI data aur softer PCE inflation reports se. In factors ne expectations ko fuel diya hai ki Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut later this year kar sakta hai, jo USD par downward pressure exert karta hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne inflation management mein progress acknowledge kiya lekin policy adjustments mein caution emphasize kiya, stating preference sustained movement towards 2% inflation target se pehle any policy easing.

BoJ aur Fed ke beech monetary policy ki divergence ne JPY ko further weaken kiya hai. Japan mein rapid depreciation ke concerns ne FX markets mein intervention karne ki possibility ko prompt kiya hai, jo JPY ki value ko stabilize karne ke liye potential support offer kar sakta hai aur USD/JPY pair mein further gains ko resist kar sakta hai.

Technical Analysis aur Price Forecast USD/JPY Pair ke liye

Is level ke above breakout bullish sentiment ko strengthen kar sakta hai, potentially pair ko psychological resistance 149.70 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Conversely, immediate support 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 152.54 par anticipated hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to bullish outlook ko weaken kar sakta hai, possibly pair ko channel ki lower boundary 151.60 ki taraf guide kar sakta hai aur potentially lows 140.55 ke around retest kar sakta hai.

Resistance levels current highs ke beyond 161.96 par extend kar sakte hain, subsequent milestones 162.00 aur November 1986 peak 164.89 par. Conversely, pair ki weakness ke event mein, initial support 151.00 par anticipated hai, followed closely by Tenkan-Sen 150.35 par. In levels ka breach pullback ko intensify kar sakta hai Senkou Span A 159.31 aur Kijun-Sen 158.21 ki taraf

USD/JPY ne record high ko chhoo liya hai, jo ke ek tezi se izafa ko darshata hai, aur yeh profit-taking ka potential moqa bhi de sakta hai. Mazid yeh bhi mumkin hai ke US session se pehle kuch decline dekhne ko mile. Moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout ne bearish pressure ko darshaya hai. Agar hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute chart ka jayeza liya jaye, to yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke current price ke upar moving average hone ke sabab, USD/JPY pair mein bullish trend ke continuation ka imkaan hai, jo ke ek higher zone tak ja sakta hai. Is hafte ke trend pattern mein ek narrow range mein uptrend ka zikar hai. Iss modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, yeh izafa agle hafte tak barqarar reh sakta hai, aur prices uptrend ko maintain kar sakti hain.

Subah ki candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein izafa ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko paar kar lein... Abhi ke doran USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki taqat ko darshata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke barqarar rehne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko break karna hoga, jo ke trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye movement ka potential faraham karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par ho ga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai.

Ek reverse movement towards short side bhi mumkin hai, magar bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko break karna hoga, jahan se aksar price ne bounce back kiya hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karegi, jo ke price weakness ko darshata hai.

Yeh khaas tor par USD/JPY market mein pichlay Wednesday ke doran dekha gaya jab price ne us trading session mein significant downward movement kiya. Choti time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ke ek slight upward correction ko darshata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke ird gird consolidate ho jaye, kyun ke yeh conditions aksar Tuesdays ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai.

Agar H1 timeframe mein market trend conditions ka jaiza liya jaye, to yeh clear hai ke yeh filhal ek downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Iss hafte ka trend thora bearish hai, bawajood iske ke USD/JPY pair ne July 2024 ke aaghaz mein trading sessions ke baad upward move kiya. Yeh imply karta hai ke agar USD/JPY is level ke niche hold nahi kar sakta, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke mumkinan 168.00 ya is se niche ho sakti hain. Agar support hold karta hai, to ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair previous highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke aas paas hain.

D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend continuation ko darshata hai. Magar agar yeh moving average ke niche trading ko sustain karta hai, to yeh trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakta hai

USD/JPY currency pair ka H4 chart analyze karne par, Heiken Ashi candles ko TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke sath istemal karte hue, lagta hai ke market is waqt ek upward trend ko favor kar rahi hai aur buying strength mein significant izafa ho raha hai. Heiken Ashi candles market noise ko smooth out karti hain aur market dynamics ka clearer view deti hain, jo technical analysis ko enhance karti hain aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko improve karti hain. TMA indicator, jo ke red, blue, aur yellow lines per mushtamil hota hai, support aur resistance levels ko define karta hai based on twice-smoothed moving averages. Ye price movement ke current boundaries ko outline karta hai, jo traders ko potential price action ka clearer picture deta hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index), jo ke Heiken Ashi ke sath complementary oscillator ke tor par use hota hai, buying signals ko effectively confirm karta hai.

Chart ko dekhne par, humein nazar aata hai ke Heiken Ashi candles ne blue color mein shift kar liya hai, jo ke ek strong bullish trend ko indicate kar raha hai. Price ne channel ke lower boundary ko (jo ke red dashed line se depict kiya gaya hai) cross kiya aur, lowest price level se bounce karke, channel ki middle line (yellow dashed line) ki taraf wapas move kar raha hai. Ye movement is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke price Heiken Ashi candles ke bullish signal ke sath align ho rahi hai.

RSI oscillator bhi buying signal ko support karta hai, kyunki uska curve is waqt upward move kar raha hai aur overbought level ke qareeb nahi hai. Indicators ka ye alignment ek favorable opportunity ko suggest karta hai ke ek long position enter ki jaye. Is trade ka target channel ki upper boundary hoga, jo ke blue dashed line se indicate hoti hai, price level 151.611 par.

Summary mein, current analysis ek profitable long trade ke liye strong potential suggest karti hai based on Heiken Ashi candles, TMA, aur RSI indicators ka combination. Bullish signals aur price ka channel ki middle line ki taraf movement, significant upward trend ke idea ko support karti hai. Is liye, upper boundary of the channel tak reach karne ke goal ke sath ek long trade place karna ek promising strategy nazar aata hai

recent mein yen ya dollar per koi khaas khabar ka asar nahi huwa. Correction kay bawajood ye mumkin hai kay market Thursday tak bearish trend par barqarar rahay. Market kay possible direction ko samajhnay ka raaz US unemployment claims data mein hai, jo kay labor market ki halat kay baray mein insight de sakta hai. Agar data labor market ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai, to ye aam tor par USDJPY kay liye bearish sentiment ko support karega. Magar abhi haali mein US unemployment claims data anay ki wajah say market ko behtari ka ehsas huwa, jo pehlay say behtar nikla. Is unexpected positive result ki wajah se US dollar ko support mili, aur yen ke muqablay mein dollar appreciate kar gaya. Data ke achi performance yeh zahir karti hai ke labor market pehle jitna kamzor samjha ja raha tha, utna nahi hai, jo dollar ko mazid taqat de sakta hai. Traders aur analysts in developments ko ghaur say dekh rahay hain taake USDJPY pair ka future trajectory samajh sakein. Hamesha ki tarah, market participants ko dekhna hoga ke currency ki movements par immediate aur broader economic factors ka kya asar hota hai. Agar USDJPY pair 152.75 ke level tak pohanchta hai, to yeh trend mein aik naya morh laa sakta hai. Yeh level sirf accumulation ka target nahi hai, balkay current bullish wave ke liye aik mumkin ceiling bhi ho sakta hai. Agar pair is level tak pohanchta hai, to is baat ka imkaan hai ke significant resistance ka samna hoga, jo sharp reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai. Nateeja yeh hai ke aanay wale sessions mein USDJPY pair mein khaasi volatility dekhnay ko mil sakti hai. Chahe yeh pair seedha 150.50 tak jata hai ya raaste mein hurdles ka samna karta hai, yeh level bulls aur bears ke liye aik important battlefield hoga. Hamesha ki tarah, traders ko technical signals aur fundamental

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, US dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi ne 145.20 ki support satah ko todne aur us se niche fix hone ki koshish ki, lekin yah palatne me nakam raha. Filhal, qimat is support satah se niche mustahkam rahne ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin yah koshish bhi nakam hone ka imkan hai. Is pas manzar ke khilaf, is bat ka bahut zyada imkan hai keh dollar/yen ki jodi 147.30 ke nishan tak badh jayegi, jaisa keh maine kal tawaqqo ki thi.



Aaj, dollar/yen ke jode ke badhne ka imkan hai jab tak keh qimat ek nayi muqami nichli satah par na pahunch jaye. Asset bamushkil hi 145.20 ki satah se niche fix ho payegi, lehaza 147.30 ke nishan tak rally ke bad reversal ka ek aacha mauqa hai. Halankeh, pahli koshish me qimat ke 147.30 tak pahunchne ka imkan nahin hai. Shayad ek flat market ke bad, jodi is satah ko paar kar jayegi. Is surat me, dollar/yen ke jode ke aone nuqsanat ko dobara shuru karne se pahle 148.60 ki muzahmati satah tak pahunchne ki tawaqqo hai. Agar qimat 148.60 se ooper toot jati hai to, joda islah ke hisse ke taur par 150.30 tak faide ko badhayega. Mutabadil taur par, agar qimat kal ki nichli satah se niche girti hai to, market mandi ki taraf jayegi, dollar/yen ki jodi 142.80 tak fisalne se pahle 145.20 ki satah par muzahmat ke taur par kam karegi aur fir 140.00 ke nishan par wapas aa jayegi.

Recent Movement ka Overview:

Pichlay Budh ko, trading session ke doran price mein ek aham downward movement dekhne ko mili. Chhoti timeframe mein price ko monitor kiya gaya aur filhal yeh 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar hai, jahan ek halki si upward correction hui hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj price 154.00 - 155.23 ke range ke aas-paas consolidate kare, kyun ke aise halat aksar Tuesdays ko dekhne ko milte hain jab market activity nisbi tor par quiet hoti hai.

Market Trend ki Halat:

H1 timeframe ko observe karte hue yeh wazeh hota hai ke market filhal downward phase mein hai, halaan ke range zyada wasi nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend kuch bearish lag raha hai, khaaskar us upward movement ke baad jo USD/JPY pair ne July 2024 ke trading sessions ke aghaz par dikhayi thi. Yeh suggest karta hai ke agar market is haftay kuch specific levels ke upar rehne mein nakam hoti hai, to yeh aglay support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo mumkin hai ke 168.00 ya us se neeche ho.

Support aur Resistance Levels:

Dosri taraf, agar support hold karti hai, to ek rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo pair ko pehle ke highs test karne ka mauka dega, jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke aas-paas hain. D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ke tor par kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin agar moving average ke neeche trading barqarar rehti hai, to yeh trend reversal ya consolidation phase ki nishani ho sakti hai.

Economic Asraat Trading Activity par:

Recent trading activity of USD/JPY pair ek pechida interplay ko reflect karti hai jo ke economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ka natija hai. D1 moving average line par 168.470 support level ka test filhal pair ke liye ek critical juncture represent karta hai. Traders ko yeh qareebi tor par monitor karna chahiye ke pair is level ke aas-paas kaisa behave karta hai, kyun ke yeh future price movements ke baray mein aham insights de sakta hai.

Conclusion aur Strategy:

Market dynamics ko navigate karte hue, khaaskar USD/JPY pair ke hawalay se, ek ehtiyaat aur maloomat par mabni approach apnana zaroori hai. Technical aur fundamental analysis ko incorporate karna crucial hoga taake trading decisions ko achi tarah samajh kar liya ja sake.

USD/JPY: US Dollar - Japanese Yen

Technical outlook USD/JPY currency pair ke liye southern trend ki continuation ko suggest karta hai, jaise ki TMA (Triangular Moving Average) channel indicator dwara clearly demonstrate kiya gaya hai. Yeh downward movement Zigzag indicator aur auxiliary indicators jaise Laguerre aur RSI se further support milta hai, jo overbought zone mein positioned hain, short selling opportunities ke potential ko indicate karta hai.

Bears currently strong aur active hain, mere plan ko open position ko -23.6% Fibonacci target par close karne ka hai, jo price level 144.694 par located hai. Risk ko mitigate karne ke liye, main order ko breakeven par move karunga jab yeh positive territory mein enter karega. Yeh approach bearish momentum ko capitalize karta hai aur potential reversals se safeguard karta hai.

USDJPY price tag US labor market ke data release ke baad south ki taraf urh gaya. Hello, Dmitry, bag of profit. Lekin main think karta hoon ki price tag pair ke liye kahi par stall karega, Japanese yen vertical much strengthen nahi kar payega. Phir sab kuch settle ho jayega. Flat, north, aur south hoga. Abhi bhi, hum American dollar ko write off nahi kar sakte. Next Fed meeting tak whole month hai aur is time period mein price tag pair quite a bit grow kar sakta hai (after all, no one has yet cancelled dollar ki growth).

Of course, today's data ke baad (jo ministries dwara rate ko reduce karne ke liye elections se pehle draw up kiya gaya tha), unknown hai ki kya hoga. American officials sab kuch falsely kar rahe hain. Elections aur Democratic Party candidate ki victory ke liye. Lekin voters American fund ki fall ko forgive nahi kar sakte. Mere part se, main geisha se break lene ka decide kiya, mujhe enough headaches hai uske bina. Hum dekhenge

USD/JPY jo pair hai, wo filhal ek neeche jaane wale channel mein trade kar raha hai, jo ek downward trend ko indicate karta hai. Currency pair EMA 50 se upar aaya hai aur ab wo ek aham support level 145.35 ko target kar raha hai. Ye level pehle bhi successfully test ho chuka hai, isse yeh lagta hai ke aur bhi girawat ho sakti hai, targets 143.99 aur 142.14 ki taraf. Recommendation hai ke pair ko sell karne pe focus karein, aur ek stop-loss 146.59 ke resistance ke upar set karen. USD/JPY ne previous day's lows tak pahunchne ke baad ek correction phase enter kiya hai. Investors aaj Federal Reserve se significant news ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar minutes release aur labor market data ka revision. Agar labor market data me significant changes aaye to iska zyada impact ho sakta hai, jo September mein Fed ke 50-point rate cut ke speculation ko janam de sakta hai, jisse US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai. Downward momentum khatam ho gaya hai, jo trend ko resume karne ko mushkil bana raha hai. Filhal ka sideways movement upar ki taraf break kar sakta hai, aur growth zyada probable lagti hai. Recent news kehti hai ke growth priority mein hai aur 147.75 ki taraf continue karegi.

US dollar aur Japanese yen ka pair upar jaane ka mauka dekh raha hai. Mera initial aim hai ke ye 146.33 mark ko break kare, jo ek bade move ka raasta khol sakta hai. Lekin, behtar hoga agar thoda wait karen aur pullback ka intezar karein, aur fir pair ko 145.70 ke around purchase karen. Jab ye point tak pahunche, upward momentum ko maintain karna mushkil ho sakta hai, aur currency pair ek chhoti si upar jaane ke baad girawat dekh sakta hai. Filhal ki trading week mein, ye sequence of events possible lagta ha

Japanese yen ne doosray din musalsal US dollar ke muqable mein mazid taqat hasil ki hai, jo ke ziada tar umeedon ki wajah se hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) sood ki shara mein izafa kar sakta hai. Ye tabdeeli is baad ke baad ayi hai jab Japan ne doosray quarter mein musbat GDP growth report ki, jo ke BoJ ke zyada sakht monetary policy ke liye case ko mazid mazboot kar rahi hai. Saath hi, yen ko geopolitical tensions ke badhawa denay ke baad safe-haven demand ka faida mila hai, jab Hamas ne ceasefire ka tajwez rad kar diya aur Ukraine ne Russia par aham hamla kiya. Dosri taraf, US dollar kamzor hua hai Federal Reserve ke officials ke series of dovish comments ki wajah se, jis ne market expectations ko barhawa diya hai ke September mein sood ki shara mein kami ho sakti hai. Ye outlook halia ma'ashi data se mazid supported hai, jo ke inflation mein slow down ko zahir karte hain, jese ke Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Consumer Price Index (CPI). Federal Reserve ke officials, jin mein San Francisco Fed ke President Mary Daly aur Chicago Fed ke President Austin Goolsbee shamil hain, ne intehaai sakht monetary policies ko dair tak barqarar rakhne ke khilaf ehtiyat ki salahiyat di hai USD/JPY pair ki technical analysis se short-term bearish trend zahir hota hai, jismein pair apne nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche position mein hai. Pair ke liye support levels takriban saat mahine ke neeche level 141.69 aur ek potential "rebound support" level 140.25 par situated hain. Uper ki taraf, resistance ki umeed nine-day EMA ke qareeb 147.60 par hai, aur mazid potential resistance levels 50-day EMA ke 152.78 aur peechlay pullback resistance jo support ban gaya tha 154.50 par hain. Overall, Japanese yen ki taqat ki waja BoJ ke zyada sakht outlook, geopolitical concerns ke darmiyan safe-haven demand, aur US dollar ki kamzori hai jo ke dovish Fed rhetoric aur inflationary pressures mein kami ki wajah se hai

Hello everyone! Linear regression channel ka downward slope seller ki taqat ko zahir karta hai, jo 144.351 ke level ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Target level par movement ka slowdown expected hai. Volatility ke wajah se hone wali weakening ke bawajood, ek probable pullback ke saath reload karna zaroori hoga. Channel ke lower part mein selling nahi consider karni chahiye; 145.608 ke correction ka wait karna chahiye. Wahan se selling opportunities ko consider kiya ja sakta hai. Agar price 145.608 ke oopar consolidate kar le, to bullish sentiment emerge hoga, jo market ko upar push kar sakta hai. Is liye, selling ka wait karna hoga. Channel ka slope ye indicate karta hai ke bear kitni shiddat se niche jana chahta hai; jitna steeper angle hoga, utni hi active seller hoti hai. Ek steep angle wala channel usually market news ke influence ko zahir karta hai.

Main channel hourly chart par located linear regression channel hai, jo main movement ko determine karne ke liye use karta hoon. M15 channel auxiliary hai aur abhi ke liye bearish picture ko complement kar raha hai. Jab tak channels same direction mein move kar rahe hain, bearish sentiment is instrument ke liye characterize kiya ja sakta hai. Agar lower timeframe par signal break hota hai, to 145.869 ke level tak increase expect karni chahiye. Wahan se selling opportunities reconsider ki ja sakti hain towards 143.662 level. Main filhal channel ke lower part mein selling ya buying se hichkichah raha hoon, jo ke risky hai. Mera trading principle H1 channel movement ke direction mein trade karna hai, kyunki yeh mera primary channel hai. Lower channel par entries refine karna acha hota hai aur strong movements ke dauran kaam karna jab corrections minimal hoti hain.

**Scenario No. 1**: Aaj, main USD/JPY kharidne ka plan kar raha hoon jab yeh entry point 145.56 ke aas paas pohonch jaye, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, goal hai 146.13 tak upar jane ka, jo chart par thick green line se plot ki gayi hai. 146.13 ke area mein, main long positions exit karunga aur short positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 30-35 pips ki movement opposite direction mein. Hum yeh expect kar sakte hain ke pair aaj upward correction ke hissay ke tor par rise karega. Important: Buying se pehle ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark ke oopar hai aur wahan se rise hona shuru ho raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2**: Main USD/JPY kharidne ka plan kar raha hoon aaj in case of do consecutive tests of 145.06 jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market upturn ka lead karega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 145.56 aur 146.13 tak.

Sell signals:*Scenario No: Main aaj USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf level 145.06 ke test ke baad, jo chart par red line se plot ki gayi hai, jo pair mein rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target level 144.50 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur turant long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke liye bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hua. Important: Selling se pehle ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche hai aur wahan se decline hona shuru ho raha hai.Scenario No. 2Main aaj USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon in case of do consecutive tests of 145.56 jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market downturn ka lead karega. Hum decline expect kar sakte hain opposite level 145.06 aur 144.50 tak.

Main zyada rely kar raha hoon scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par.

Pichle Budh ko trading session ke doran price mein significant downward movement dekha gaya. Choti timeframes par price ka closely monitor kiya gaya hai, jo ke 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar hai aur slight upward correction ka shikar hui hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ka price 154.00 - 155.23 ke range mein consolidate kare, kyunke aise conditions aam tor par Tuesdays ko dekhi jati hain jab market activity comparatively quiet hoti hai.
H1 timeframe par observe karne se yeh wazeh hota hai ke market is waqt ek downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend kuch bearish lagta hai, khaaskar us upward movement ke baad jo USD/JPY pair ne July 2024 ke trading sessions ke start ke baad dikhayi. Yeh suggest karta hai ke agar market is hafte kuch certain levels ke upar hold karne mein nakam hota hai, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke shayad 168.00 ya is se neeche ho sakta hai.

Agar support hold karta hai, to ek rebound observe kiya ja sakta hai jo pair ko pehle ke highs around 168.70-169.00 test karne ka moka de sakta hai. D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ke tor par kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, agar price sustained trading is moving average ke neeche karta hai, to yeh ek trend reversal ya consolidation phase ko indicate kar sakta hai.
USD/JPY pair ke recent trading activity ka complex interplay hai economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ke darmiyan. D1 moving average line par 168.470 support level ka current test pair ke liye ek critical juncture ko represent karta hai. Traders ko is level ke aas-paas pair ke behavior ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunke yeh future price movements ke bare mein significant insights provide kar sakta hai.


USD/JPY pair ke market dynamics ko agle kuch dinon mein navigate karte waqt ek cautious aur informed approach ko adopt karna zaroori hai. Technical aur fundamental analysis ko incorporate karna crucial hoga taake well-informed trading decisions liye ja sake.

Hello everyone!

The downward slope of the linear regression channel suggests strong selling pressure, with the market aiming for the target level of 144.351. We anticipate a potential slowdown at this target level, where the current downtrend might decelerate. Given the prevailing volatility, a pullback is likely, necessitating a reassessment before taking further action. It is advisable not to consider selling within the lower part of the channel. Instead, wait for a correction up to 145.608 before exploring any selling opportunities. If the price consolidates above 145.608, it could signal a bullish shift, prompting a potential upward movement. In such a scenario, selling would need to be deferred.

The steepness of the channel’s slope reflects the intensity of the selling pressure; a steeper slope typically indicates more aggressive bearish activity, often driven by market news or events. The primary channel under analysis is the linear regression channel on the hourly chart, which guides my assessment of market movements. Additionally, the M15 channel serves as a secondary tool that supports the overall bearish outlook. Since both channels are aligned in their direction, the prevailing sentiment for this instrument is bearish.

If a signal is breached on the lower timeframe, anticipate a potential price increase towards 145.869. At this level, reassessing selling opportunities towards the 143.662 mark might be prudent. Currently, I am cautious about initiating any trades in the lower part of the channel, both for selling and buying, due to the associated risks. My trading strategy focuses on aligning trades with the direction of the H1 channel, as it is my primary guide. It is advantageous to refine entry points using the lower timeframe channels and to trade during periods of strong momentum when corrections are minimal.

In summary, while the bearish trend remains dominant, monitoring for corrections and aligning trades with the H1 channel’s direction is crucial. Patience and careful analysis will be key in identifying optimal trading opportunities.Hello everyone!

The downward slope of the linear regression channel suggests strong selling pressure, with the market aiming for the target level of 144.351. We anticipate a potential slowdown at this target level, where the current downtrend might decelerate. Given the prevailing volatility, a pullback is likely, necessitating a reassessment before taking further action. It is advisable not to consider selling within the lower part of the channel. Instead, wait for a correction up to 145.608 before exploring any selling opportunities. If the price consolidates above 145.608, it could signal a bullish shift, prompting a potential upward movement. In such a scenario, selling would need to be deferred.

The steepness of the channel’s slope reflects the intensity of the selling pressure; a steeper slope typically indicates more aggressive bearish activity, often driven by market news or events. The primary channel under analysis is the linear regression channel on the hourly chart, which guides my assessment of market movements. Additionally, the M15 channel serves as a secondary tool that supports the overall bearish outlook. Since both channels are aligned in their direction, the prevailing sentiment for this instrument is bearish.

If a signal is breached on the lower timeframe, anticipate a potential price increase towards 145.869. At this level, reassessing selling opportunities towards the 143.662 mark might be prudent. Currently, I am cautious about initiating any trades in the lower part of the channel, both for selling and buying, due to the associated risks. My trading strategy focuses on aligning trades with the direction of the H1 channel, as it is my primary guide. It is advantageous to refine entry points using the lower timeframe channels and to trade during periods of strong momentum when corrections are minimal.

In summary, while the bearish trend remains dominant, monitoring for corrections and aligning trades with the H1 channel’s direction is crucial. Patience and careful analysis will be key in identifying optimal trading opportunities.