USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

D1 Time Frame Chart - USDJPY Currency Pair.

D1 maharat chart - USDJPY currency pair. Guzishta trading haftay mein, US dollar ne apne taqatwar girawat se farokht karne wale logon ko khush kiya. Is haftay, 157.72 ke support level ke qareeb aik rukawat thi aur ooper jane ki koshish ki, lekin phir bhi in rukawaton ko tor diya. Is natije mein, keemat ek haftay aur aadhe mein lagbagh 650 points tak gir saki. Bearish divergence MACD indicator par kaam kar raha tha, jo kaafi arse se nahi kaam kiya gaya tha. Lekin wave structure abhi bhi apni tarteeb bana raha hai. Wave structure abhi tak toot nahi gaya hai. Lekin MACD indicator abhi se hi neeche bechne ki zone mein ja raha hai aur apne signal line ke neeche bhi hai. Ab yahan do options hain. Ya to dobara uthna aur pehle tor diye gaye horizontal resistance level 160.32 ke area tak pohanch jana, ya phir maujooda keemat se neeche jaana jab keemat 157.72 ke resistance level ki shakl mein support dhoondhti hai. Main is level par uthne ka rukh hoon kyun ke CCI indicator ne lower overheating zone chhod diya hai aur aap is par aik growth signal dekh sakte hain - a bullish convergence, yeh ek badiya nishaan hai. Mujhe is level se farokht karne ka bilkul bhi dil nahi chahta, aur bas yehi baat hai, yahan se 151.97 ke main support level tak ek gehri girawat normal nazar aati hai, lekin kuch aesa lag raha hai ke yeh itna aasan nahi hoga. Aapko H4 par nazar rakhni chahiye, aur agar keemat 157.72 ke level ke upar mazbooti se tashkeel ho jati hai, to aap pehle se hi upar dakhil hone ka soch sakte hain. Main abhi girne ka irada nahi rakhta kyun ke agar aap market ko dekhte hain, to qareeb qareeb US dollar ki mazbooti sab se zyada wazah hai barhi currency pairs ke liye. Main farokht nahi karunga kyun ke yeh shakhsiyat dikh rahi hai.

U.S. dollar girne ki wajah se mukhtalif hafton ke liye taizi se gir chuka tha, lekin 155 yen level ne support ke taur par qaim rehne ka dikhawa kiya. Yeh level na sirf aik buland raqam hai balkay nafsiyati tor par ahem nuqta hai jise kai traders khas tawajjo dete hain. Is natije mein, market ne ek hammer play kiya nazar a raha hai. Agar keemat is candle ke ceiling ke upar break kar sakti hai, to yeh 160 yen tak raasta bana sakti hai, shayad 162 yen tak bhi pahunch sakti hai.

Agar yeh levels paar ho jate hain, to agla kadam USD/JPY pair mein hoga. Jaisa ke Bank of Japan waqtan-fa-waqtan market mein dakhal dene ke mashhoor hai, lekin iske amal ka asar Japan ki buland qarza ki wajah se mehdood hai. Buland interest rates Japan ki arthi mein shaded rukawat dal sakte hain, Japan ko kuch options chhorne ke liye.

Mudaharah, yeh U.S. mein muzmana masla hai, jo kehta hai ke interest rates qarz ke liye mustaqbil mein buland rahenge. Agar dar ghata diya jaye, to yeh mamooli hoga - shaed saal ke akhir tak 25 basis points tak. Aise chhote tabdeeliyan dono currencies ke bunyadi motivations ko badalne ke qabil nahi hongi.

Mukhtasar sawal yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair rally se pehle side ki taraf line up hoga ya phir seedha apni rally ko jari rakhega. Har surat mein, manzar bullish rehta hai aur is market ko short karna kisi bhi hawala se dilchaspi nahi hai. 155 yen jo phase qatai support ka kaam karta hai, aur jitni der tak yeh qaim rahega, utna kam reziliant shakal parhega.



Mukhtasar mein, USD/JPY pair par aik aham signal hai. 155 yen ke support ki zaroorat hai, aur maujooda roope set se aage nikalne ke sath ek upside bhi pesh kar sakta hai. Japan ke mali masail Bank of Japan ki dakhal se be-asar bana dete hain, jabke U.S. mein muzmana inflation aik mazboot dollar ko support karta hai. Is natije mein, pair bull-like rehta hai, traders 160 aur 162 yen tak ke move par tawajjo dene par mubtala hain.

USD-JPY M30 ANALYSIS CHART

Assalam-o-Alaikum. Agar hum USD-JPY ke maamlay ko dekhein, jisme shumali rang ka rang ho sakta hai, toh yeh bhi maqam mein hai aur is tarah ka manzar is trading instrument par asani se amal mein laaya ja sakta hai. Agar market ki khuli ke baad hum seedhe yahan se 158.56 tak pohanchte hain, aur wahan se is halat mein keemat neeche jaati hai aur aise mahaul mein 157.91 ke darje par yeh pair ki keemat neeche na aane de, toh is surat-e-haal ke mutabiq 157.91 ke darje se hum yeh bila jijak upar ja sakte hain aur khazane ke yahan se level 160.39 ke ilaqe mein urte hain jahan se paisay ke jama hone ke level hain. Agar market ki khuli ke baad USDJPY pair seedhe yahan se neeche jaata hai, aur haqeeqat mein, peechle keemat barhne ke baad humne ahem darja 157.91 tak pohanch gaye hain, jo haqeeqat mein pheeki hui level ho sakti hai, toh is halat mein pehle mukhtasar mein hum isko neeche ja sakte hain aur is level ko test karne ke liye 156.45 ke jama hone ke ilaqe mein neeche ja sakte hain, aur agar yeh sach ho jata hai, toh is halat mein neeche wahan 156.45 ke darje ke ilaqe mein, mujhe lagta hai keh yahan pehle hi saaf ho jayega keh yahan hum kahan aur kaise chalna chahiye. Jo keh bechne wale ko mazeed do figures ki kami ko pohanchaya; yeh 155.400 hai, aur neeche ki had tak pahonchne diya khareedne waleon ko bhi tasaddud ki ijazat aur bahar se bhi lamba honay ke maqsad ke saath lambe lehaz se aaghaaz kiya gaya, jo keh tota hua sahara tha

Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne apne June monetary policy meeting mein Quantitative Tightening (QT) plan ke tafseeli ahdat nahi di, jis se market ke hissadara future trajectory of Japanese monetary policy ke hawale se mubham ho gaye hain. Is mushkilat ne USD/JPY currency pair par bari asar dala hai, jo ke April/May intervation se yen ke izafe ko palat diya. 3 May ko 151.856 ki kamzori se, pair ne 3 July ko 161.951 ki bulandi tak taraqqi ki, jis se BOJ ki monetary policy stance ke yen ki qeemat par gehra asar zahir hota hai.

BOJ ki QT strategy ke hawale se wazehgi ki kami ne shayad yen ki kamzori mein hissa dala hai. Market ke hissadara ne QT ke lehaz se kuch hukum ya timeframe ka intezar kiya tha, lekin BOJ ki khamoshi ne tafseelat aur mubhami ke liye jagah chor di. Is mubhami ne shayad investors ko dollar ke maqbul taur par bechna karne ke liye majboor kiya, jo ke Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke zyada wazeh approach ke sath stable samjhi jati hai.

Is ke ilawa, USD/JPY pair ka 161.951 tak taraqqi hona bari macroeconomic factors ko bhi numayan karta hai, khas tor par Japan aur United States ke interest rate differentials ke darmiyan. Federal Reserve ke ongoing tightening cycle ne jis mein inflation ke muqablay mein interest rates ko barhaya jata hai, BOJ ke ultra-loose monetary policy se numayan tafawat hai. Interest rate gap ki wusat US dollar ko investors ke liye zyada attractive banata hai jo zyada yield talab karte hain, jis se USD/JPY pair ko bulandi par le jata hai.

US retail sales data bhi is dynamic par asar andaz hota hai. United States mein mazboot retail sales figures mazboot consumer spending ko zahir karte hain, jo ke zyada inflation aur is ke natijatan Federal Reserve ke aggressive interest rate hikes ko janib le sakte hain. Is baat ka izhar ke US interest rates Japan ke mukable mein zyada ho sakte hain, jo ke USD ke demand ko yen ke mukable mein barhate hain. Umooman, kamzor retail sales Fed rate hikes ki expectations ko kamzor kar sakte hain, jo ke USD/JPY pair par buland dabao ko kam kar sakte hain.



Ikhtitam mein, USD/JPY pair ki 151.856 se 161.951 tak taraqqi BOJ ki monetary policy stance ya us ki absence ke currency market par numayan asar ko zahir karta hai. BOJ ki June meeting mein QT ke tafseeli malumat ke ghair maujoodgi ne yen ki kamzori aur dollar ki taqat mein izafa ki madad ki hai. Is ke ilawa, BOJ aur Federal Reserve ke mukhtalif policies ke interest rate differentials is harkat mein numayan role ada karte hain. US retail sales data bhi is movement par mazeed complexity jama karte hain, jo ke future interest rate adjustments aur USD/JPY exchange rate ke liye expectations par asar andaz hota hai. Traders aur investors ko is currency pair ke potential volatility mein safar karte hue in factors ko nazdeek se monitor karna chahiye.

USD/JPY pair ne ek chhota gap ke saath open kiya, jo Asian session ke dauraan pura ho gaya hai. Mojooda price Friday ke daily range ke andar trade kar raha hai. Jaisa ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya hai, mera aaj ka mukhya focus support level par rakhna hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, yeh critical support level 157.501 par waqai hai.

Is support level ke aas paas do mumkin scenarios samne aa sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke ek reversal candle ban sakta hai, jo upward price movement ki dobara shuruat ko ishara karega. Is halat mein, main ek bullish reversal pattern ka intezaar karunga, jaise hammer ya bullish engulfing pattern, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers selling pressure ke baad dobara control mein aa rahe hain. Is key support level par reversal candle ek taqatwar ishara hoga ke downward momentum kamzor ho raha hai aur bullish trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario tashreef laya, to main price ko resistance zone ki taraf move karte dekhna chaunga, jo 157.22 aur 156.84 ke darmiyan mukarar kiya gaya hai.

Dusra scenario yeh hai ke price 157.501 ke support level ke neeche break kar sakta hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to yeh market mein significant bearish sentiment ko dikhayega. Is halat mein, main aur downside movement ka intezaar karunga. Is support level ke break ne bullish reversal scenario ko invalid kar diya hoga aur yeh zahir karega ke sellers control mein hain jo price ko neeche le ja rahe hain. Is support ke sust break se ek lambi tareen decline bhi ho sakti hai, jo ke lower support levels ko target kar sakta hai.

Mera aaj ka plan yeh hai ke main closely monitor karunga price action ko 157.501 support level ke aas paas. Agar main bullish reversal candle ka formation dekhta hoon, to main ek long position enter karne ka tawajo karunga, jo ke 157.22-156.84 resistance zone ko target karega. Lekin agar price support level ke neeche break karta hai aur wahan se hold karta hai, to main apni strategy ko dobara tajziya karunga aur shayad short position enter karne ke liye opportunities dekhoonga, jo ke downward momentum ko faida uthane ke liye hoga.

USD/JPY pair ne bullish momentum ke weakening signs dikhaye hain, ek ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary ke neeche break kar diya hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke qareeb ghoom raha hai, jo ke upward momentum ka nuqsan hone ka ishara deta hai. Pair ke liye immediate support psychological significant 109.00 level ke aas paas hai, jahan se is mark ke neeche break ho sakta hai aur ek zyada pronounced downward trend ko trigger kar sakta hai. Mukhalif tor par, resistance 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 109.82 aur lower channel boundary ke 109.95 ke aas paas hai. Channel ke andar trading par wapas aana bullish sentiment ko dobara jaga sakta hai, jo ke pair ko channel ke upper limit ke qareeb 113.20 tak le ja sakta hai.



Overall, USD/JPY exchange rate ab bhi interest rate differentials, potential government intervention, aur economic data releases jaise factors ke complex interplay se influence ho raha hai. Traders ko in developments ko closely monitor karne ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke yeh potential market volatility ke liye important ho sakte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ki pricing movements. Jabke bears local resistance 157.758 par control rakhti hain (yeh ek aisa level hai jahan bechne ka bohot zyada pressure hota hai), bulls ka is level par lower retest breakdown ke baad iska rejection nazar aata hai. Main intra-channel correction ka potential dekhta hoon (ek defined range ke andar price movement), jahan yeh ascending channel ke support line ki taraf move kar sakta hai (ek line jo price movement ke lower boundary ko dikhati hai), beech mein target 151.831 ke support level par. Daily channel primary upward trend ko darshata hai, jabke current decline ek bearish correction phase ka hissa hai. Agar bulls 157.758 resistance ko tod kar is area ke upar apna foothold bana lete hain, to humare paas is breakdown area par trend ko restore karne ke liye favorable conditions honge aur ascending channel ke resistance line tak pohanchne ki prospect bhi milegi. Is scenario mein, main "Double Top" pattern ki right shoulder ki formation ka intezar karunga (ek bearish reversal pattern), jahan short position re-enter karne ka mauka milega (ek strategy jo girte market se profit karne ke liye hai).

USDJPY currency pair ne significant downward movement dekhi jab American dollar par substantial selling pressure tha. Yeh decline disappointing US economic news ki wajah se hua, jahan key indicators expectations se kaafi neeche gaye. Yeh downward trend sirf yen tak mehsoor nahi raha balki market mein zyada tar currencies ko affect kiya, siwaye Canadian dollar ke jo mazboot bana raha. Dollar ki value takreeban 400 points ki tezi se gir gayi jab yeh unfavorable economic data release hua. Is decline ke darmiyan, price ne ek ascending trendline se support paya jo market ke recent waves ke troughs ke along banti hai. Jab bhi price neeche gayi, yeh is trendline par pahunchnay par bounce hui, jo iske significance ko support level ke tor par darshata hai. Sath hi, wave structure upward consolidation ke signs dikhane laga, jo bullish momentum ka potential suggest karta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ne is trading week mein apni decline jaari rakhi. Pichle hafte ke drop ke baad, aisa lag raha tha ke price ke paas aage decline ke liye strength ki kami hai, lekin asal mein, yeh pair inertia se neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jo shayad bulls ko exhaust kar raha hai. Bohot log, jaise main, yeh nahi maante ke USD/JPY pair aage bhi girne ka irada rakhti hai, given ke clear uptrend hai aur yen ki ongoing weakness longer period mein. Is liye, long positions ke liye possible opportunities talash karna samajhdaari hogi. Halankeh Wednesday ke decline ke bawajood, humein ab tak reversal ke liye koi signals nahi mile hain. Lekin agar price 157 level ke upar wapas aati hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye mazboot support ban sakta hai, jo profitable trades ka potential de sakta hai aur humein in opportunities ko explore karne ke liye tayyar karta hai.

USD/JPY ne pichli haftay mein behtareen pressure ka samna kiya, jis ne ek support level 155.37 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke yen ka 38 saal mein sab se kamzor maqam hai. Haftay ke aakhir mein ek rebound dekha gaya, jis ne USD/JPY ko 157.86 ke resistance tak upar le gaya, aur haftay ki shuruat par yeh 157.35 ke aas paas band hua. Aage chal kar, is exchange rate par aane wale central bank policies aur Japan ki forex market mein shamil hone ki wajah se asar hoga.

Pichli haftay ki shuruaat US dollar mixed ke sath hui, jise presidential candidate Donald Trump ki koshish se qatl ki wajah se utar chadhaav ka samna karna pada. Federal Reserve ka September mein rate cut bhi is mein ek kirdar ada kiya jab market ne adjust kiya. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke ehtiyaati bayan ne somwar ko dollar ki kami kar di, jabke mazboot US retail sales data ne mardi ko ise badhawa diya. Halankeh June mein growth stagnate hua, magar May ke liye dobarah dekhe gaye figures ne kuch had tak support diya.

Dollar ne beech haftay mein ek aur Federal Reserve rate cut ki speculation ki wajah se mazeed kami dekhi, lekin din ke aakhir mein favourable US industrial production data ke baad recovery ki. Yeh data dikhata hai ke June ka output expectations se zyada tha aur May ke liye bhi upward revisions huay. Thursday ko US initial jobless claims ka release dikhata hai ke mujudi claims ki ginti umeed se zyada thi, jo ke sluggish labor market ki taraf ishara karta hai, magar dollar ko oversold levels se thodi der ke liye upar le gaya, jo ke bhari umeed par rate cut ke liye tha.

Filhal, USD/JPY apni 100-hour moving average ke aas paas hai, jo ke 14-hour chart par overbought halat ka ishara de raha hai. Short term mein, yeh pair ek ascending channel ke andar trade kar raha hai, jo ke hourly chart par developments se mutasir hai. 14-hour RSI ooncha jata hua dekhai de raha hai, jo ke overbought territory ke nazdik hai, jis ka bullish momentum 158.00 ya us se zyada 158.60 ke nazdeek le janay ki koshish karega. Is ke muqabil, bearish traders dips ka faida 156.80 ya 156.00 se neeche dekhne ki koshish kar sakte hain.

USDJPY ki movement ab sahi lag rahi hai, kyun ke pehle trading session mein tezi se girne ke baad, ab yeh haftawarana Bollinger band ke darmiyan touch ho raha hai aur 155.43 ke price par reject ho raha hai. Bunyadi nazar se dekha jaye toh BOJ ki intervention ab bhi USDJPY ke girawat ka main factor lag rahi hai, Federal Reserve ki dovish interest rate policy ke ilawa. Bank of Japan ki data se pata chalta hai ke Tokyo ne yen ko USD ke khilaf mazboot karne ke liye currency market mein 2.14 trillion yen ($13.5 billion) kharch kiya hai.

Jab ke yen ko thora sa aaram mila hai speculation se ke US Federal Reserve September mein interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai, lekin sarkari intervention yen ki mazbooti mein aham kirdar ada kar raha ho sakta hai. Japanese officials ne wazeh signal nahi diya hai ke unhone intervention kiya hai. Lekin USD ne hafton mein tezi se girawat dekhi hai speculation se ke September mein rate cut hoga, kam inflation data aur Federal Reserve ki dovish signals ki wajah se. Yeh factors future mein USDJPY par asar andaz ho sakte hain.



Technically dekha jaye toh daily timeframe par price ne ek upward correction kiya hai aur is mein potential hai ke daily EMA 55 aur EMA 7 ko test karne ka. Yeh izafa abhi correction movement ke roop mein dekha ja raha hai, jo ke 155.43 ke mazboot support par profit booking ke baad aaya hai. Price ab EMA 55 daily resistance area mein consolidate kar raha hai, aur agar sell option wahan se reject hota hai, to isko dobara ghor kiya ja sakta hai. Indicators jaise ke stochastic aur RSI ab bhi ek upward correction pattern dikhate hain, bina matlab ke sell area mein hain, jahan stochastic 80 area ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur RSI 70 area ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai. In patterns ko madde nazar rakhte hue, USDJPY pair ke liye sell setup dhoondhna future mein ek attractive trading option ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY M30 Tajziya Chart


Jab USD/JPY joray ka 30-minute chart (M30) ka tajziya kiya jaye, to yeh wazeh hai ke bazar ka mahal bullish harakat ko support kar sakta hai. Ahem chaakran jo pehchaane gaye hain woh qeemat ki aamda-o-rawani aur trading ke mauqay ke liye ahem soorat-e-haal faraham karte hain. Yeh tajziya do buniyadi soorat-e-haal ko explore karega: aik bullish harakat jo maujooda sataah se shuru hoti hai aur aik bearish harakat jo dobaara uthane ki taraf le ja sakti hai.
Bullish Soorat-e-Haal


Agar bazar khulta hai aur USD/JPY jora upar ki taraf chalna shuru karta hai, to humein 158.56 takki taraf aik transfer dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh sataah ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunki yeh aik aisi jagah hai jahan kaafi trading ki activity hui hai, aksar qeemat ke amal ke liye magnet ki tarah kaam karti hai.

• Pehla Harakat 158.56 ki taraf: Agar qeemat seedha 158.56 tak pohanchti hai, to traders ko is sataah ko nazar rakhna chahiye. Accumulation zones aksar resistance ya support faraham karte hain, jo bhi move ki simt ho. Agar 158.56 ki upar break hoti hai to yeh majboot bullish momentum ka ishaara dega aur aage aur bhi izafa ki taraf iqtida kar sakta hai.
• 157.91 par Support: Agar qeemat 158.56 se wapas aati hai, to dekhne wali ahem sataah 157.91 hai. Yeh sataah aik mazboot support ki tarah kaam kar sakti hai, aur kisi aur girawat ko rok sakti hai. Agar qeemat 157.91 ke upar rukti hai, to yeh khareedari ki taqat ka ishaara hai aur aik aham upright movement ka zariya ban sakti hai.
• Target 160.39: Agar qeemat 157.91 par support dhoond leti hai aur dobaara upar aati hai, to agla target 160.39 par hoga. Yeh sataah wahi hai jahan kafi zyada paisa lagaya gaya hai, jo mazboot resistance ka ilzam lagata hai. 160.39 ki taraf aik harakat aik baray bullish trend ka izhar karegi, jo kafi trading ke mauqay faraham karegi.

Bearish Soorat-e-Haal


Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY jora maujooda satah se neeche ki taraf chalta hai to tawajjoh in kuch ahem support levels ki taraf hoti hai jo trading ke mauqay faraham kar sakte hain.

• Pehli Girawat 157.91 par: 157.91 ka sataah bohat ahem hai. Agar qeemat is sataah tak girti hai, to yeh aik rebound point ki tarah kaam kar sakta hai, kisi aur girawat ko rok sakta hai. Traders ko is sataah par bounce ke asar dekhne chahiye, jo short-term khareedari ka mauqa de sakta hai.
• 156.45 ki taraf Harakat: Agar 157.91 nahi rukta, to agla target 156.45 ka accumulation area hoga. Yeh sataah market ke jazbat ko jaanchne ke liye ahem hai aur mazboot support ka kaam kar sakti hai. Agar qeemat 156.45 se dobaara uthti hai to yeh yeh samjhata hai ke kharidaar aagaye hain, jo aik potential reversal point banata hai.
• 155.40 tak Aage Girawat: Agar qeemat 156.45 ke neeche girti hai, to agla support 155.40 par hoga. Yeh sataah pehle se aik support zone ki tarah kaam karti hai, aur agar yahan tak pohanchti hai to yeh kharidaar ka react trigger kar sakta hai, jo lambi positions ki taraf le ja sakta hai jo tooti hui support levels tak wapas ja sakti hai.

Trading Strategy


In soorat-e-haal ke mad-e-nazar, traders ko aik lachakdar approach apnani chahiye, jo bullish aur bearish harakat dono ke liye tayyar ho. Ahem amal mein shamil hain:

1. Ahem Levels ki Monitoring: 158.56, 157.91, 156.45 aur 155.40 ke levels ko nazar rakhna. Yeh levels bazar ke jazbat aur potential reversal points par ahem maloomaat faraham karte hain.
2. Technical Indicators ka Istemaal: RSI, MACD, aur Moving Averages jese indicators ka istemaal karein taake potential breakouts ya rebounds ka confirmation mile. Maslan, agar RSI in ahem levels ke nazdeek overbought ya oversold conditions ki taraf ja raha ho, to yeh reversal ka ishaara ho sakta hai.
3. Stop-Loss aur Take-Profit Levels Set Karna: Pehchane gaye ahem levels ke buniyad par appropriate stop-loss orders set karein taake risk ko control kiya ja sake aur take-profit levels ko secure karne ke liye.

Nateeja


USD/JPY M30 chart dono bullish aur bearish soorat-e-haal ke liye wazeh mauqay pesh karta hai. Ahem levels par tawajjoh de kar aur sound technical analysis ka istemaal karke, traders in potential harakat ko asar dilaane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Maloomat hasil rakhna aur bazar ke tabdeel hotay jazbat ke mutabiq lachakdar rehna buhat ahem hoga taake USD/JPY joray ke badalte dynamics ka faida utha sakein.

Pichle haftay ke trading mein, USDJPY currency pair ne baray girawat ka samna kiya jab American dollar ko bari selling pressure ka samna karna pada. Yeh kamiyabi amreeki maqami khbarat se shuru hui, jahan key indicators expectations se kafi kam nikle. Yeh downward trend sirf yen par hi mehdood nahi raha, balkay market mein sab se mazboot Canadian dollar ke ilawa tamam currencies par asar andaz hua. Dollar ki qeemat kareeban 400 points tezi se gir gayi jab nakaam economic data jaari hua.

Is girawat ke darmiyan, price ne ek ascending trendline se support paya, jo halqat-e-bazar ke hilon ke sath trace hoti rahi. Baar baar jab price ne girna shuru kiya, to yeh trendline touch karte hi rebound karta raha, is se maloom hota hai ke yeh support level ki ahmiyat ko ishara karta hai. Isi doran, wave structure mein upward consolidation ke signs numayan hone lage, jo ke aage bullish momentum ka muzahir kar raha hai.

Technical indicators bhi ek upward movement ke liye maqwiat dete hain. MACD indicator, jo ke abhi buying zone ke upper end mein hai, apne signal line ke neeche gaya hai, jo ke upward reversal ki mumkin nishandahi karta hai. Yeh divergence aksar bullish sentiment ki taraf momentum shift ko dikhata hai.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ki taraf dekha jaye, jo ke lower overbought region mein dakhil ho chuka hai, wahan ek numaya bullish convergence nazar aati hai. Yeh convergence pattern aksar bullish momentum ko mazboot karne ki taraf ishara karta hai, jo ke upward price movement ke liye sath dene mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.



Jab market apne agle qadam par ghor kar raha hai, to do mukhtalif scenarios samne aate hain. Pehla scenario halqi resistance level 157.30 ke qareeb jaari hone wale hilat ko jari rakhta hai, jo ke taareekhi tor par ek ahmiyat ka raasta sabit hua hai lekin agar bullish momentum jari rahe to isay test kiya ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY D1 chart

Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur phir upar ki taraf chale. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, to mein expect karunga ke price 164.500 ke resistance level ki taraf barhegi. Agar yeh resistance level ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to mein mazeed upar ki movement ki umeed karunga, jo shayad 168.000 ke resistance level tak pahunche. Is resistance level ke aas paas, mein trade setups ki formation ko dekhunga taake agle trading direction ka pata laga sakoon. Bilkul, mein is ke saath hi ye bhi dekhunga ke raaste mein koi southern pullback aata hai, jis par main nearest support level se bullish signals dekhne ki koshish karunga, umeed karte hue ke upward price movement ka silsila jaari rahega, jo ek global bullish trend ki formation ke tehat hoga.

Ek alternative scenario ke taur par, jab price 161.951 ke resistance level ke kareeb pahunche, to mein reversal candle ki formation aur corrective movement ki shuruaat ka intezar karunga. Mein price ka 160.209 ke support level ya 157.671 ke support level tak wapas aane ka intezar karunga. In support levels ke aas paas, mein bullish signals dekhne ki koshish karunga, umeed karte hue ke price phir se upward movement shuru karegi. Mukhtasir yeh ke, aaj se main puri tarah se is baat ko dekh raha hun ke price agle nearest resistance level ki taraf push karegi, aur agar buyers is ke upar apni position banane mein kamiyab hote hain, to main apne targets ko mazeed door ke northern destinations ki taraf adjust kar lunga.

Pichle hafte ke trading ke doran, USDJPY currency pair ne kafi zyada downward movement dekhi jab ke American dollar par bohot zyada selling pressure pada. Yeh girawat US ke nafrat afham economic news ki wajah se hui, jahan key indicators ummeed se bohot zyada neeche rah gaye. Yeh downward trend sirf yen tak mehdood nahin tha balki bazar ki zyada currencies par bhi asar daal gaya, siwaye mazboot Canadian dollar ke. Dollar ki value takreeban 400 points tak tezi se gir gayi jab ye nafrat afham economic data release hui. Is girawat ke darmiyan, price ne ek ascending trendline se support hasil kiya jo recent market waves ke troughs ke saath chal rahi thi. Jab bhi price ne girawat di, yeh trendline par pahuncha to wapas upar ki taraf rebound kiya, jo iski ahmiyat ko support level ke taur par darshata hai. Saath hi, wave structure upward consolidation ke nishan dikhane laga, jo aage ke bullish momentum ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.

Aaj, USD/JPY pair ek chhote gap ke saath open hua, jo Asian session ke dauraan pura ho gaya hai. Mojooda price Friday ke daily range ke andar trade kar raha hai. Jaisa ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya hai, mera aaj ka mukhya focus support level par rakhna hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, yeh critical support level 157.501 par waqai hai.

Is support level ke aas paas do mumkin scenarios samne aa sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke ek reversal candle ban sakta hai, jo upward price movement ki dobara shuruat ko ishara karega. Is halat mein, main ek bullish reversal pattern ka intezaar karunga, jaise hammer ya bullish engulfing pattern, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers selling pressure ke baad dobara control mein aa rahe hain. Reversal candle is key support level par ek taqatwar ishara hoga ke downward momentum kamzor ho raha hai aur bullish trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario tashreef laya, to main price ko resistance zone ki taraf move karte dekhna chaunga, jo 157.22 aur 156.84 ke darmiyan mukarar kiya gaya hai.

Dusra scenario yeh hai ke price 157.501 ke support level ke neeche break kar sakta hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to yeh market mein significant bearish sentiment ko dikhayega. Is halat mein, main aur downside movement ka intezaar karunga. Is support level ke break ne bullish reversal scenario ko invalid kar diya hoga aur yeh zahir karega ke sellers control mein hain jo price ko neeche le ja rahe hain. Is support ke sust break se ek lambi tareen decline bhi ho sakti hai, jo ke lower support levels ko target kar sakta hai.

Mera plan aaj ke liye yeh hai ke main closely monitor karunga price action ko 157.501 support level ke aas paas. Agar main bullish reversal candle ka formation dekhta hoon, to main ek long position enter karne ka tawajo karunga, jo ke 157.22-156.84 resistance zone ko target karega. Lekin agar price support level ke neeche break karta hai aur wahan se hold karta hai, to main apni strategy ko dobara tajziya karunga aur shayad short position enter karne ke opportunities dekhoonga, jo ke downward momentum ko faida uthane ke liye hoga.



Ikhtitam mein, USD/JPY pair ke price action ke aas paas 157.501 support level ke mukhtalif halat meri trading decisions ke liye ahmiyat rakhte hain. Is level par bullish reversal candle ek upward move ki sambhavna ko ishara karega, jabke support ke neeche break ne further downside ko zahir karega. Market ke developments ko nazdeek se dekh kar aur dono scenarios ke liye tayyar hokar, main maqsadmand trading decisions lene aur apne positions ko effectively manage karne ki koshish karunga.

Jumma ko, USD/JPY currency pair ne aik numaya girawat dekhi, jahan Ameriki dollar 1.6% kam hokar 157.51 par New York trading mein band hua. Session ke pehle hisse mein, yeh 157.30 tak gir gaya, jo ke din ka lowest level tha. Yeh tezi se girawat market reports ke pehle zikar kiya ja raha hai jo ke ishara dete thay ke Japanese authorities ne forex market mein intervention kiya tha USD/JPY pair ki keematon ko kam karne ke liye. Yeh intervention mukhtalif maqasid ko hasil karne ke liye kiya gaya tha, jis mein USD ki kamzori ka faida uthaya gaya.

Japanese Authorities ki Intervention

Market ki tajarbat aur spekaltions se pata chalta hai ke Japanese government aur Bank of Japan ne USD/JPY exchange rate ko influence karne ke liye qadam uthaya tha. Aisi interventions aam tor par currency market ko mustahkem karne aur khas maqasid haasil karne ke liye ki jati hain. Is waqay mein, intervention ka maqsad Japanese yen ki tezi se rokna tha jo ke US dollar ke khilaf kamzor honay ka moqa tha. Authorities ne shayad yeh dekha ke US dollar ki kamzori un ke export-driven economy par asar andaz na ho.

Forex Market par Asar

Japanese authorities ki intervention ne forex market par foran aur gehre asar dikhaya. Traders aur investors ne is khabar ka jawab dete hue apne positions ko adjust kiya, jo ke volatility ko barhaya aur USD/JPY pair mein numaya hilat ko paida kiya. 157.30 tak tezi se girne ke baad thori sudhar ke baad 157.51 par band hone ka maqsad market ki intervention news ka asar dikhata hai. Aisi harkatein central banks aur government actions ki asar ko darshati hain jo ke currency pairs par ho sakti hai.

US Dollar ki Kamzori

US dollar ki mazeed kamzori bhi USD/JPY pair ke girawat mein ahmiyat rakhi. Mukhtalif factors ne dollar ki kamzori ko barhaya, jin mein haal hi ki economic data ne US economy mein slowdown ki ashad zahir kiya aur Federal Reserve ke future interest rate cuts ke baray mein spekaltion badh gayi. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical uncertainties aur market sentiment jo ke risk-off assets ko favor karte hain ne bhi dollar ki kamzori mein hissa dala. Is ne Japanese authorities ke liye intervention karne mein behtareen mawadat pesh ki.

Market ki Reactions aur Future Outlook

Market ke participants ab US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan se mazeed signals ka nazdeek nazar rakh rahe hain. Agar future mein monetary policy adjustments ya additional interventions ki koi sahoolat ho, to yeh USD/JPY pair ke rukh par sakht asar andaz ho sakti hai. Traders upcoming economic data releases ko bhi nazar andaz kar rahe hain dono countries se, kyun ke yeh un ke respective economies ki sehat aur potential policy responses ke baray mein mazeed wazahat faraham karenge.



Short term mein, market volatility jari rahegi jab tak ke traders nedarat intervention ke asar ko digest karke apne strategies ko adjust na kar lein. Lambi arzi asarat mazeed economic landscape par depend karenge, jo ke growth prospects, inflation trends, aur central bank policies ko shamil karta hai.

USD/JPY H1 chart

Is haftay mein yen ke sath yeh pair sab se zyada mutasir raha. Is mein koi hairat ki baat nahi hai, kyunki pehle toh woh 161.70 ke upar gaye, lekin mazeed bulandiyan na chuke. Aur states mein inflation bhi aa gaya hai, jo ke kam hota ja raha hai, jis se dollar par dabao natural taur par aaya. Aur is douran Bank of Japan ne bhi is ka faida uthaya, jo ke shor o shorat ke andar intervention kar ke apna kaam kiya. Aur yeh note kiya jana chahiye ke unho ne turant sab nishane hataye aur 157.42 tak bhi pohanch gaye, jo ke 400 points se zyada hai. Lekin kal ham ne short initiative ko kaamyaab banaya, kyunki unhon ne minimums update kiye aur 157.35 tak gir gaye. Lekin doosri taraf, agar aap daily charts dekhein toh main keh nahi sakta ke hamari upward movement toot gayi hai. Lekin phir bhi main khareedne ko nahi soch raha, waise ke main ye bhi nahi keh sakta ke ham phir se upar nahi jayenge. Aaj ek chhota sa upward impulse banaya gaya, lekin uske baad girawat phir bhi jari rahegi. Agar mumkin ho toh 158.45 tak ka chhota sa upward impulse banane ke baad bhi girawat jari rahegi. Is waqt se corrective growth ab bhi mumkin hai, lekin uske baad girawat phir bhi jari rahegi. 157.75 se ek chhota sa impulse ban chuka hai aur uske baad girawat jari rahegi. Resistance range 159.35 se girawat bhi ab bhi mumkin hai. Buyers price ko 158.50 se upar le ja sakte hain, lekin girawat phir bhi priority rahegi aur behtar hai ke local minimum 157.40 ko tootne ke baad bechna hai.



Pichle hafte, jab United States mein inflation mein girawat ki maalumat ke shor o shorat ke douran, Bank of Japan ki samajhdaar harkat ko hum ne salam kiya, jis ne market mein currency intervention kiya aur jis ki wajah se chart par jo nazar aa raha hai woh ho gaya. Sachai yeh hai ke main samajhta hoon ke Bank of Japan pehle se is action ke liye tayyar tha, lekin halat ko badalne ka moqa dhoondh raha tha. Lekin phir bhi main itna yaqeeni nahi hoon ke situation toot gayi hai aur Monday ko main umeed karta hoon ke USD/JPY currency pair mein naye ubhaar ke liye, pehle resistance level 158.30 tak, lekin yeh ek kamzor level hai, is liye main umeed karta hoon ke price 159 ki taraf jayega. Yaqeenan bears ne price ko ek saath chaar points tak kam kar ke intensity kam kar diya, lekin pehle ki situation ke mutabiq, bears ko lambi khushi nahi rahegi. Is ka wazah yeh hai ke temperature kam kiya ja sakta hai, lekin pair abhi bhi sehatmand se door hai aur is bemari ke asal sabab ko khatam karna zaroori hai, jaise ke interest rates ke farq ko. Yaqeenan is ka ishara hai, lekin abhi sirf ishara hai, aur hamare samne do mahinay aur do inflation reports hain, jo aaj ke girawat ke background mein phir se umeed afza honge.

USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements dekhte hain. Bears local resistance par control mein hain jo 157.758 ke level par hai (jahan high selling pressure hai), lekin bulls ne breakdown ke baad is level ka lower retest karte hue breakdown zone ko reject kar diya hai. Mujhe intra-channel correction ka potential nazar aata hai (price movement ek defined range ke andar), jo ascending channel ki support line ki taraf ja sakta hai (ek line jo price movement ke lower boundary ko represent karti hai), aur intermediate goal support level 151.831 par hai. Daily channel ek primary upward trend indicate karta hai, aur current decline ek bearish correction phase ko represent karta hai. Agar bulls 157.758 resistance ko break karke is area ke upar foothold establish karte hain, toh humein trend ko restore karne ke liye favorable conditions milengi based on is breakdown area aur ascending channel ki resistance line tak pahunchne ka prospect. Is scenario mein, main "Double Top" pattern (ek bearish reversal pattern) ka right shoulder form hone ka wait karunga, jisse mujhe short position (falling market se profit kamane ki strategy) re-enter karne ka mauka milega.

USD/JPY currency pair ne significant downward movement experience ki jab American dollar substantial selling pressure face kar raha tha. Ye decline disappointing US economic news ki wajah se hua, jahan key indicators expectations se kaafi below aaye. Ye downward trend sirf yen tak limited nahi tha, lekin market mein most currencies ko affect kiya, siwaye steadfast Canadian dollar ke. Dollar ki value approximately 400 points plummet hui unfavorable economic data ke release ke turant baad. Is decline ke beech, price ko support mila ek ascending trendline se jo recent market waves ke troughs ke along trace ho rahi thi. Baar baar jab price descend hui, ye trendline par pahunchte hi rebound hui, jo isko ek significant support level indicate karta hai. Saath hi, wave structure mein upward consolidation ke signs nazar aaye, jo potential bullish momentum ahead ka suggest karte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ne is trading week mein apna decline continue rakha. Pichle hafte ke drop ke baad aisa lagta tha ke price mein further decline ki strength nahi hai, lekin realistically, pair inertia se neeche ja raha hai, potentially bulls ko exhaust kar raha hai. Bahut se log, mere jaise, nahi maante ke USD/JPY pair apna decline continue karna chahta hai, given clear uptrend aur yen ki ongoing weakness in more extended periods. Isliye, long positions ke possible opportunities dekhna sense banta hai. Wednesday ke decline ke bawajood, humein reversal ke signals abhi tak nahi mile hain. Lekin agar price 157 level ke upar return karti hai, toh ye long positions open karne ke liye ek solid support ho sakta hai, profitable trades ke potential ke sath humein in opportunities ko explore karne ke liye encourage karta hai.