USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Aslam-o-Alaikum, aap sabhi traders! Jaisa ke aap chart se dekh sakte hain, moving average price ke neeche hai, is liye sirf khareedne se zyada munafa ho sakta hai. Dusra MACD indicator abhi bhi khareedne ko confirm nahi kar raha hai. Chart mein oscillator histogram 0 ke neeche hai, is liye hume intezar hai ke histogram doosri taraf cross kare. Main pair ko 160.99 ke price se upar move karne ka soch raha hoon. Is level se munafa hasil karne ki probability nuksan se bohot zyada hai. Hum transaction par nuksan ko stop loss level se rok rahe hain. Main ne stop loss ko 160.79 par set kiya hai. Stop loss se nuksan deposit ke 2% tak rok dega. Hum is transaction se munafa take profit par hasil karenge jab price 161.59 tak pohchega. Ab kuch bhi hamare upar nahi hai, hum price ko stop loss ya take profit level tak pohchne ka intezaar kar rahe hain.

USD/JPY H-4

Salam aur munafa bhara trading! Meri Envelopes ke mutabiq, USDJPY pair abhi 161.60 ke level ke neeche fix hai, aur hum 161.53 par trade kar rahe hain jo ke ek resistance level se neeche waapas aane ko indicate karta hai. Aam tor par, jab tak ke wo price ko 161.60 ke level ke neeche rakhte hain, aap USDJPY pair ko current price 161.53 par bech sakte hain ek target ke saath jo 159.03 ke support tak girne ka hai, aur stops ko 162.20 ke level ke upar chhupaye rakhein, kyunki agar wo dobara price ko agle peak tak le jaate hain, to wo price decline ko break kar denge. Lekin sab kuch ek din khatam hota hai, aur yeh uttar ki chadhai bhi ek din khatam ho jayegi

mauqa paida kar raha hai around the support level of 161.35 on the hourly timeframe. Yeh support level bulls ne achi tarah maintain kiya hai, jo ke upward movement ki potential ko indicate karta hai towards the resistance zone of 161.62. Yeh expectation is fact se further support hoti hai ke pichle haftay ka end nearest resistance level 161.73 ke paas hua tha, jo ke market mein buyers ki strength aur determination ko highlight karta hai Observed market dynamics suggest karte hain ke US dollar apni pehle se gained positions se retreat kar sakta hai. Yeh potential withdrawal significant profits ka mauqa paida karta hai, especially un logon ke liye jo downward momentum ko capitalize karte hain. Magar, current market trends ek deceleration dikhate hain downward trajectory mein, jo ke possible reversal ki taraf ishara karte hain jo last Friday se manifest hona shuru hui thi. US dollar ka potential weakening yeh bullish outlook support karta hai. Mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments bhi dollar ke retreat ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken.
Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai
Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue
Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage karte hue. Yeh approach hume market

market mein buyers ki strength aur determination ko highlight karta hai Observed market dynamics suggest karte hain ke US dollar apni pehle se gained positions se retreat kar sakta hai. Yeh potential withdrawal significant profits ka mauqa paida karta hai, especially un logon ke liye jo downward momentum ko capitalize karte hain. Magar, current market trends ek deceleration dikhate hain downward trajectory mein, jo ke possible reversal ki taraf ishara karte hain jo last Friday se manifest hona shuru hui thi. US dollar ka potential weakening yeh bullish outlook support karta hai. Mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments bhi dollar ke retreat ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai
Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue
Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage karte hue. Yeh approach hume market
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dynamics suggest karte hain ke US dollar apni pehle se gained positions se retreat kar sakta hai. Yeh potential withdrawal significant profits ka mauqa paida karta hai, especially un logon ke liye jo downward momentum ko capitalize karte hain. Magar, current market trends ek deceleration dikhate hain downward trajectory mein, jo ke possible reversal ki taraf ishara karte hain jo last Friday se manifest hona shuru hui thi. US dollar ka potential weakening yeh bullish outlook support karta hai. Mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments bhi dollar ke retreat ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue
Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage karte hue. Yeh approach hume market
mark

Yeh potential withdrawal significant profits ka mauqa paida karta hai, especially un logon ke liye jo downward momentum ko capitalize karte hain. Magar, current market trends ek deceleration dikhate hain downward trajectory mein, jo ke possible reversal ki taraf ishara karte hain jo last Friday se manifest hona shuru hui thi. US dollar ka potential weakening yeh bullish outlook support karta hai. Mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments bhi dollar ke retreat ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage karte hue. Yeh approach hume market
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Pehle se ki gai tawakoat ke mutabiq, US dollar aur Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ke darmiyan aam rujhan barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. Yeh upward trajectory us waqt bhi jaari reh sakti hai jab US dollar doosri bari currencies ke muqablay mein girawat ka shikar ho. Ahem factor jo is rujhan ko badal sakta hai, wo Japanese authorities ki forex markets mein mudakhlat ho sakti hai, taake yen ki depreciation ko roka ja sake. Agar aisi mudakhlat hoti hai, to yeh significant selling operations ko trigger kar sakti hai jo USD/JPY pair ko bearish trend mein tabdeel kar sakti hai.



Filhal, USD/JPY ke qareebi resistance levels 161.75, 162.30, aur 163.00 hain. Yeh levels ahem hain kyunki yeh wo points hain jahan upward momentum ko baray rukawat ka samna ho sakta hai. Traders aur investors in levels ko closely monitor karenge taake ongoing upward trend ki strength ko pehchan sakein aur positions enter ya exit karne ka faisla kar sakein.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke US job numbers ka elan, jo kal mutawaqqa hai, US dollar ki performance par gehra asar dalayega. Employment data economic health ka ek critical indicator hai, aur strong job numbers aam tor par dollar ko mazboot banate hain kyunke yeh economic strength aur potential interest rate hikes ke expectations ko reinforce karte hain. Dosri taraf, agar job data weak aata hai to yeh dollar ki strength ko undermine kar sakta hai, jis se USD/JPY pair mein volatility barh sakti hai
Is trend ke peechay broader economic aur monetary policy ka landscape bhi hai jo ke US aur Japan mein maujood hai. United States mein, Federal Reserve aik challenging environment ko navigate kar raha hai jo high inflation aur robust labor market se characterized hai. Central bank ke actions aur interest rates ke hawale se communications market expectations ko shape karte hain aur dollar ki value ko influence karte hain. Fed ki policy stance mein kisi bhi shift ke asar, khas taur par interest rate changes ke timing aur magnitude ke hawale se, USD/JPY exchange rate par foran asar dalenge
Doosri taraf, Japan ki economic situation aur monetary policy approach mukhtalif dynamics paish karte hain. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne ek ultra-loose monetary policy ko baray arsay se barqarar rakha hai, jo deflationary pressures ko combat karne aur economic growth ko stimulate karne ke liye hai. Magar, yen ki persistent weakness ne concerns ko barhaya hai aur currency ko stabilize karne ke liye intervention ki potential zaroorat par discussions ko spark kiya hai. BOJ ke actions ya inactions is hawale se yen ke future direction aur consequently USD/JPY pair ko determine karne mein crucial honge
Market participants ko geopolitical developments aur global economic trends ko bhi nazar mein rakhna chahiye, jo USD/JPY exchange rate par additional influence dal sakti hain. Trade tensions, political uncertainties, aur doosri bari economies ki economic performance currency markets par ripple effects create kar sakti hain. Misal ke taur par, China, Eurozone, aur doosri significant trading partners mein developments indirectly USD/JPY pair ko impact kar sakti hain investor sentiment aur global risk appetite ke through

USDJPY D1
Main dollar yen pair ko daily chart par analyze kar raha hoon. Iss pair par aakhri significant correction 151.888 levels se hui thi. Us waqt, Ueda ne kaha tha ke saal ke akhir tak, Bank of Japan negative interest rate policy se exit karne ka sochayega. Aur phir pair girna shuru hua, unhone kaha ke yeh jaldi nahi hoga, kuch masail labor union ke sath hal karne hain. Yeh sirf August mein hoga, aur isiliye, mere khayal mein, tab pair wapas upar jana shuru ho gaya. Lekin Bank of Japan ne achanak interest rates kam kar diye, aur negative interest rate policy se exit karna shuru kar diya. Market ke liye yeh unexpected tha, magar koi reaction nahi aayi. Ueda ne warn kiya ke agar Bank of Japan yeh policy implement karta hai, to yeh yen ko mazboot karne ke liye nahi hoga. Aur yeh currency interventions, agar exchange rate ko regulate karne ke liye hain, to mere khayal mein yeh sirf yen ki devaluation ko rokne ke liye hongi. Lekin dollar yen exchange rate ko mazboot karne ke liye nahi. Khair, lagta hai ke sabko yeh cheez samajh aa gayi hai. Kyunki yeh phir se upar jana shuru ho gaya, jaise ke Japanese authorities ne ishara diya ke woh devaluation ko nahi rokenge. Buyer ne 157.934 levels se profit liya. Shaid usne dar gaya ke kuch ho sakta hai
Phir, of course, yeh phir se upar jana shuru ho gaya. Phir se, hum dekh rahe hain ke upar jana strong hai. Mera khayal hai ke authorities is rise mein phir se intervene karenge kyunki yeh strong hai. Mera khayal hai ke buyer jald hi profit lena shuru karega. Phir se, mere khayal mein yeh short-term moment hoga, pair shayad kahin 154.672 ke support ki taraf jayega. Mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh bilkul current levels se hoga, magar phir bhi mujhe lagta hai ke pair ko khareedna sambhal ke karna chahiye, intervention kisi bhi waqt shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin akhir mein, mujhe phir bhi lagta hai ke pair 163.596 ke resistance ki taraf jayega

chahiyein: nine aur twenty-one periods ke exponential moving averages. Signals simple aur familiar hain: in moving averages ka intersection price level 158.048 par hota hai. Sabr karo, 5-minute time frame par price pullback ka intezar karo, phir market sell entry initiate karo. Trade se trade tak main composed rehne ki koshish karta hoon aur sirf calculated risks leta hoon. Mera risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 3 meri golden rule hai. Mera stop order hamesha kam az kam 21 points par set hota hai, kabhi kabar 24 tak extend hota hai lekin kabhi zyada nahi. Bank of Japan apni agli meeting jo 29 July ko hai, us se bond-buying reduce karne ka soch raha hai. Yeh proposal positive feedback le chuka hai. Magar woh apni communication mein ehtiyaat kar rahe hain kyunke yeh aik critical issue hai. US bond holdings reduce karne se Japan-US relations mein friction ho sakti hai, lekin yeh yen ko mazboot aur Japan ki economy ko current rates par support bhi de sakta hai. USD/JPY ke hawale se kal, thodi si southern pullback ke baad, price ne reverse kiya aur dheemay dheemay northern direction mein push karti rahi, jis se pehle din ki range mein ek chhoti reversal candle bani. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke is instrument ke liye price movement north ki taraf jari rahegi aur main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke current accumulation ke khatam hone ke baad, ek impulsive breakout resistance level 164.500 tak ho ga. Jaise ke main pehle bhi keh chuka hoon, is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karay aur north ki taraf further move karay. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, toh hum price ko resistance level 168.000 ki taraf move hota dekh sakte hain. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, main is possibility ko bhi madde nazar rakhta hoon ke price aur zyada north ki taraf push ho sakta hai, lekin filhal, main is scenario ko nahi dekh raha kyunke mujhe iski jaldi realization ka prospect nazar nahi aata. Ek alternative scenario jab price resistance level 164.500 ke qareeb ho, yeh ho sakta hai ke ek reversal candle bane aur price southern movement resume kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai,
Jodi ke liye aik ahem resistance level symmetrical triangle ke upper threshold par 156.80 ke qareeb hai. Is level ko paar karna bearish outlook ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur mumkin hai ke jodi ko zehni sarhad 161.00 ke imtehan mein pohancha sake. Mazeed izafa se jodi 161.31 tak pohanch sakti hai, jo ke tehat saaloon se nahi dekha gaya

sab kuch kamzor khabron ki wajah se pechida hai. Lagta hai ek moqa qareeb aa raha hai; Yeh afsos ki baat hai ke main theek theek nahi keh sakta ke yeh harkat kis waqt hogi, utsalar kyunki humein pehle 157.40 tak pohanchne ki koshish karni hai. Agar nakami hui, toh bulls aam tor par 156.94 se upar nahi jayenge, aur southerners 155.99 ki madad ke liye ek neechay ki lehar banayenge. Iss range mein bears ki mazbooti neeche ki movement ko mazboot karegi aur ek izafi lehar paida karegi jo southern structure ko lamba karegi. Ab main dekh raha hoon ke yeh movement north ki taraf jane ka takaza kar rahi hai kyunki aslan hum USD/JPY ke girne se nikal kar wapas bullish potential mein dakhil ho gaye hain, jo sikkeho hona chahiye. Aisa lagta hai, ke kam az kam do options mil sakte hain. Main ek gehri correction ki tawakku kar raha tha, lekin aaj market mutawaqqa hogi, aur kisi khaas hairani ke baghair, yeh pair apni further growth ko 160 ke ilaqe tak jari rakhega, halan ke main market mein dakhil nahi ho saka kyun ke yeh kisi doosre instrument par focus tha. Aslan, aap mojooda levels se bhi market mein dakhil ho sakte hain. Jab hum taraqqi karte hain, hum 157.77 aur phir kuch aur, shayad 159.30 tak pohanchne ki tawakku karte hain. 158.17 pair ke safar mein pehla kaamyabi hogi, jo tawakku se pehle pohanch sakti hai. Prices dubara barhne ke imkaan hain kyun ke buyers pur aitmaad hain. Is liye, hum resources ko objective level ki taraf khareedne ka irada rakhte hain ta ke is momentum se faida utha sakein. 157.77 ki girawat ke baad, ek upper movement mumkin hai, focusing on exchange rate increment agar bullish trend mutazalzil hota hai. USD/JPY price movements ki direction ki theek theek peesh goi karna mushkil hai kyun ke market levels pehchaanne layak nahi hain. Koshishain D/JPY hongi, mushkilat ke bawajood. Aakhri chand hafton ke dauran, yeh trend barhta raha hai, utasalar European session ke doran aur dopahar ki khabron ke baad. European session ke khatam hone se pehle, yeh pair mumkin hai ke 154.85 ki resistance ka test kare aur 157.77 tak pohanche

mauqa paida kar raha hai around the support level of 161.35 on the hourly timeframe. Yeh support level bulls ne achi tarah maintain kiya hai, jo ke upward movement ki potential ko indicate karta hai towards the resistance zone of 161.62. Yeh expectation is fact se further support hoti hai ke pichle haftay ka end nearest resistance level 161.73 ke paas hua tha, jo ke market mein buyers ki strength aur determination ko highlight karta hai Observed market dynamics suggest karte hain ke US dollar apni pehle se gained positions se retreat kar sakta hai. Yeh potential withdrawal significant profits ka mauqa paida karta hai, especially un logon ke liye jo downward momentum ko capitalize karte hain. Magar, current market trends ek deceleration dikhate hain downward trajectory mein, jo ke possible reversal ki taraf ishara karte hain jo last Friday se manifest hona shuru hui thi. US dollar ka potential weakening yeh bullish outlook support karta hai. Mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments bhi dollar ke retreat ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai
Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue
Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage karte hue. Yeh approach hume market

Technical analysis of foreign exchange pairs USD/JPY

Japanese yen ki qeemat lagbhag 162 yen per US dollar tak gir gayi hai, jo ke 1986 ke baad se apni sabse kam satar par hai, aur yeh baat bazaron ko aur ziada government intervention ke hawalay se mutmain kar rahi hai. Currency ka istehraar ahem farq ke sabab se hai jo ke Japan aur America ke beech mein interest rates mein hai, iske ilawa ek dusri martaba Donald Trump ki presidency ki unchi imkaanat hai jo ke treasury bond yields ko aur ziada barha sakti hai. US dollar ka Japanese yen ke muqable mein (USD/JPY) qeemat is waqt likhtay huay taqriban 161.50 hai.

Bank of Japan ka monetary conditions ko normalise karne mein berukhi bhi yen par bojh daal rahi hai, halankeh yeh afwahen barh rahi hain ke Bank of Japan apne agli policy meeting jo ke July ke akhir mein hai, mein interest rates ko barha sakta hai. Central bank ne yeh note kiya ke Japanese yen ki kamzori import costs ko barha rahi hai, jo ke inflationary pressures ko barha rahi hai aur household consumption ko nuksaan pohuncha rahi hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne Tuesday ko zor diya ke government currency movements par hoshiyaar hai, aur yeh bhi kaha ke foreign exchange levels ek mukhtalif factors ka complex mix ko reflect karte hain.

US Central Bank policy front par. Bank ke akhri meeting ke minutes ke mutabiq, US Federal Reserve ne federal funds target range ko 5.25%-5.50% par 2024 ke June mein saatvi dafa barabar rakha, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq tha. Policymakers yeh nahi samajhte ke interest rates ko kaatna munasib hoga jab tak ke inflation ko sustainable tor par 2% ki taraf move karte dekhne ka itminan na ho.

Is dauraan, dot plot ne yeh dikhaya ke policymakers sirf ek rate cut is saal aur char 2025 mein dekhte hain. March mein, Fed ne 2024 mein teen cuts aur 2025 mein teen cuts dekhe the. Fed ne GDP growth forecasts mein koi adjustments nahi ki, aur economy ko 2024 mein 2.1%, aur 2025 aur 2026 mein 2% barhtay dekhte hain.

Is dauraan, PCE inflation ko 2024 ke liye (2.6% vs. 2.4% March forecast) aur agle saal (2.3% vs. 2.2%) mein barha diya gaya, lekin 2026 ke liye 2% par barqarar rakha. Core PCE inflation ko bhi 2024 ke liye 2.8% (vs. 2.6%) aur 2025 ke liye 2.3% (vs. 2.2%) barha diya gaya lekin 2026 ke liye 2% par barqarar rakha. Unemployment rate ko 2024 ke liye 4% pohunchte dekha gaya, March forecast ke mutabiq, lekin yeh 2025 mein thoda barh kar 4.2% hone ka imkaan hai (vs. 4.1%).
USD/JPY forecast aaj ke liye

USDJPY pair ko daily time frame par working day ke liye dekhen. Hamein sirf do indicators chahiyein: nine aur twenty-one periods ke exponential moving averages. Signals simple aur familiar hain: in moving averages ka intersection price level 158.048 par hota hai. Sabr karo, 5-minute time frame par price pullback ka intezar karo, phir market sell entry initiate karo. Trade se trade tak main composed rehne ki koshish karta hoon aur sirf calculated risks leta hoon. Mera risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 3 meri golden rule hai. Mera stop order hamesha kam az kam 21 points par set hota hai, kabhi kabar 24 tak extend hota hai lekin kabhi zyada nahi. Bank of Japan apni agli meeting jo 29 July ko hai, us se bond-buying reduce karne ka soch raha hai. Yeh proposal positive feedback le chuka hai. Magar woh apni communication mein ehtiyaat kar rahe hain kyunke yeh aik critical issue hai. US bond holdings reduce karne se Japan-US relations mein friction ho sakti hai, lekin yeh yen ko mazboot aur Japan ki economy ko current rates par support bhi de sakta hai. USD/JPY ke hawale se kal, thodi si southern pullback ke baad, price ne reverse kiya aur dheemay dheemay northern direction mein push karti rahi, jis se pehle din ki range mein ek chhoti reversal candle bani. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke is instrument ke liye price movement north ki taraf jari rahegi aur main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke current accumulation ke khatam hone ke




baad, ek impulsive breakout resistance level 164.500 tak ho ga. Jaise ke main pehle bhi keh chuka hoon, is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karay aur north ki taraf further move karay. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, toh hum price ko resistance level 168.000 ki taraf move hota dekh sakte hain. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, main is possibility ko bhi madde nazar rakhta hoon ke price aur zyada north ki taraf push ho sakta hai, lekin filhal, main is scenario ko nahi dekh raha kyunke mujhe iski jaldi realization ka prospect nazar nahi aata.
Ek alternative scenario jab price resistance level 164.500 ke qareeb ho, yeh ho sakta hai ke ek reversal candle bane aur price southern movement resume kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai,
Jodi ke liye aik ahem resistance level symmetrical triangle ke upper threshold par 156.80 ke qareeb hai. Is level ko paar karna bearish outlook ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur mumkin hai ke jodi ko zehni sarhad 161.00 ke imtehan mein pohancha sake. Mazeed izafa se jodi 161.31 tak pohanch sakti hai, jo ke tehat saaloon se nahi dekha gaya level

US dollar ki keemat Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ke khilaaf 161.95 ke resistance level ki taraf barh gayi, jo ke 38 saalon mein Japanese yen ki sab se kam keemat hai. Currency pair ke fayde barh gaye hain jab ke Bank of Japan ke monetary policy ko normalize karne ke irade ke hawale se shak baqi hai aur US yields ke unexpected barhne se bhi. Guzishta mahine ke doran yen ke girawat mein koi kami nahi aayi, lekin currency ke depreciation ke is latest phase ke doran Japanese officials ke taraf se koi verbal warning nahi aayi.

Japan ke Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne apni mamool ki comment di ke hukumat market ko qareebi tor par dekh rahi hai, lekin koi wazeh warning nahi di ke wo intervene karenge. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke Suzuki koi action lena nahi chahte jab tak naye appoint hone wale Deputy Finance Minister for International Affairs, jo ke exchange rate policy ke in charge hain, 31 July ko office mein nahi aate. Yeh bhi ek indication ho sakti hai ke exchange rate ke hawale se unki tolerance level kya hai. Forex currency market intervention ki recommendations barh gayi hain.

Lekin yen ke liye kuch relief yeh hai ke currency doosri major currencies ke muqablay thori mazboot trade ho rahi hai, greenback ke khilaaf kamzori zyadatar greenback ki strength ki wajah se hai. Halanki investors abhi recent mein zyada confident ho gaye hain ke Fed is saal US interest rates do dafa cut kar sakta hai, dollar ne early June se shallow uptrend mein rehne ka silsila barqarar rakha hai, jab ke doosre central banks interest rates cut karne ke race mein agey nikal gaye hain

Recent dinon mein, US dollar ki keemat rising Treasury bond yields se support mili hai, jo ke improved odds of Donald Trump ke presidential election jeetne ke imkaan se supported thi, November mein, Biden ke poor performance ke baad jo ke last week television debate mein dekhi gayi thi. Trump presidency ko tax cut ke tor par dekha jata hai, jo ke already high US national debt mein izafa kar sakta hai

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sab kuch kamzor khabron ki wajah se pechida hai. Lagta hai ek moqa qareeb aa raha hai; Yeh afsos ki baat hai ke main theek theek nahi keh sakta ke yeh harkat kis waqt hogi, utsalar kyunki humein pehle 157.40 tak pohanchne ki koshish karni hai. Agar nakami hui, toh bulls aam tor par 156.94 se upar nahi jayenge, aur southerners 155.99 ki madad ke liye ek neechay ki lehar banayenge. Iss range mein bears ki mazbooti neeche ki movement ko mazboot karegi aur ek izafi lehar paida karegi jo southern structure ko lamba karegi. Ab main dekh raha hoon ke yeh movement north ki taraf jane ka takaza kar rahi hai kyunki aslan hum USD/JPY ke girne se nikal kar wapas bullish potential mein dakhil ho gaye hain, jo sikkeho hona chahiye. Aisa lagta hai, ke kam az kam do options mil sakte hain. Main ek gehri correction ki tawakku kar raha tha, lekin aaj market mutawaqqa hogi, aur kisi khaas hairani ke baghair, yeh pair apni further growth ko 160 ke ilaqe tak jari rakhega, halan ke main market mein dakhil nahi ho saka kyun ke yeh kisi doosre instrument par focus tha. Aslan, aap mojooda levels se bhi market mein dakhil ho sakte hain. Jab hum taraqqi karte hain, hum 157.77 aur phir kuch aur, shayad 159.30 tak pohanchne ki tawakku karte hain. 158.17 pair ke safar mein pehla kaamyabi hogi, jo tawakku se pehle pohanch sakti hai. Prices dubara barhne ke imkaan hain kyun ke buyers pur aitmaad hain. Is liye, hum resources ko objective level ki taraf khareedne ka irada rakhte hain ta ke is momentum se faida utha sakein. 157.77 ki girawat ke baad, ek upper movement mumkin hai, focusing on exchange rate increment agar bullish trend mutazalzil hota hai. USD/JPY price movements ki direction ki theek theek peesh goi karna mushkil hai kyun ke market levels pehchaanne layak nahi hain. Koshishain D/JPY hongi, mushkilat ke bawajood. Aakhri chand hafton ke dauran, yeh trend barhta raha hai, utasalar European session ke doran aur dopahar ki khabron ke baad. European session ke khatam hone se pehle, yeh pair mumkin hai ke 154.85 ki resistance ka test kare aur 157.77 tak pohanche

Aaj ke reports jo corporate services price index, Bank of Japan ka core consumer price index aur leading economic indicators index ke hain, yen ko support provide kiya. Lekin abhi tak annual highs se bada sell-off nahi dekha gaya hai, jis se pair ki short-term growth ke liye relatively zyada chances hain. Lekin yaad rakhein, jitna zyada USD/JPY ooper jayega, utni zyada possibility hai BOJ currency intervention ki, jo market mein sharp sell-offs ko periodic roop se le jaega.
Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par zyada rely karunga.

Scenario No. 1: Aaj main USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon jab price 159.59 level par pohanch jaye jo chart par green line se plot kiya gaya hai. Iske baad 160.04 level par jo thicker green line se plot kiya gaya hai, growth ke liye aim karoonga. Around 160.04, main long positions ko exit karke opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 30-35 pips opposite direction se us level se. Aaj bullish progress ke continuation mein pair ki upar ki taraf umeed ki ja sakti hai. Khareedne se pehle, yeh assure kar lena ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur abhi us se ooper ki taraf murnay laga hai.
Scenario No. 2: Aaj main USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon agar price 159.23 par do consecutive tests karay jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market mein reverse upturn le aayega. Umeed ki ja sakti hai ke growth ho 159.59 aur 160.04 opposite levels tak.
Is tarah se, yeh aapko di gayi tafseeli strategy Roman Urdu mein samjha di gayi hai. Agar aur sawal hain toh pooch sakte hain!
stochastic signals ke mutabiq, hum over bought walay ilaqay se bahar nikal chuke hain, jis ke baad hum girna jari rakh satke hain. 132. 65 area se neechay ka waqfa kami ka tasalsul dekh sakta hai, lekin farokht knndgan ko kami ke mazeed jarehana tasalsul ke liye 131. 70 ke ilaqay ko torna hoga. barhti hui lehar ki islahi harkat ke tor par, zawaal jari reh sakta hai. hum 133. 40 trading range se bahar nikal chuke hain, lehaza is break out ke baad, hum dobarah gir bhi satke hain. mojooda kaleedi support area 132. 65 par hai. stochastic signals ki bunyaad par, hamaray paas fil haal sharah sood ko kam karne ka ikhtiyar hai. mazeed neechay ke rujhan ko barqarar rakhna ahem hoga. ab se . jab oopar ki raftaar khatam ho jaye gi, wahan dakhlay aur farokht ke zabardast mawaqay hon ge. 133. 20 ilaqay se neechay waqfay ke baad, kami ka tasalsul imkaan hai. hum ghalti se 13. 75 se neechay gir USD JPY Analysisfi ghanta jore ka jaizamojooda qeematon se, taraqqi mein mazeed izafah ho sakta hai, lekin agar 133. 00 range form ki ghalat kharabi, kami dobarah shuru hosakti hai. unhon ne tasalsul banaya, aur is ke nateejay mein, haadsa badter ho sakta hai. yeh sab kuch ziyada se ziyada kharidaron ko market mein laane ke liye kya jata hai taakay kami jari reh sakay. sharah mein mazeed numaya kami se pehlay, 133. 00 ki range ke ghalat break down ki takhleeq ke sath aik aur mazbooti hogi, aur phir kami jari reh sakti hai. jab tak qeematein 130. 00 ki had se oopar hain, is se guzarna namumkin hai, aur yeh aik misbet alamat hai ke zawaal jari rehna chahiye. mojooda rule back up ke baad, zawaal badter ho sakta hai. hum Amrici muddat ke douran oopar ki taraf islaah ka tajurbah kar satke hain,