جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Forex Trading with GBP/USD

GBP/USD ke daily chart par nazar daalain to yeh market ki taaza halat aur trading ke liye aham levels ko samajhne ka acha zariya hai Filhal GBP/USD ka price 1.26101 hai, jo recent bullish trend ki nishani hai Pehle price 1.23237 ke support level tak gir gaya tha, lekin wahaan se rebound karke ab mazboot position mein hai. Moving averages ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke short-term bullish momentum barqarar hai, kyunke 50-day moving average price ke neeche hai, lekin 200-day moving average abhi bhi price ke upar resistance ka kaam kar raha hai. Yeh baat market ke liye ek critical zone ka pata deti hai. Resistance 1.26800 par hai, aur agar price is level ko tod deta hai to agla target 1.27750 ho sakta hai, jo mazeed bullish strength ko confirm karega.

Dusri taraf agar price neeche girta hai to 1.25200 ka support level kaafi ahmiyat rakhta hai aur agar yeh tod diya jaye to price phir bearish zone mein chala jayega, jo phir 1.23237 tak test kar sakta hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) ka level 61.89 hai, jo positive momentum ko dikhata hai lekin abhi overbought zone se door hai, is liye price ke aage barhne ki gunjaish hai. Kul mila ke yeh chart ek optimistic lekin ihtiyaat bhari tasveer dikhata hai. Traders ko 1.26800 ke breakout ka intezar karna chahiye, jabke support levels ka barabar jaiza lena zaroori hai. Moving averages aur RSI ke signals market ki direction samajhne ke liye madadgar hain, aur yeh waqt hai trading ke liye close monitoring ka.

GBP/USD ke chart ko dekhte hue, is haftay ka shuruwaat kuch growth ke sath hua, lekin ye growth zyada der tak nahi rahi aur pound ne ek jagah par rukne ka amal shuru kar diya. Is haftay euro-dollar ke liye ek downward correction aayi, lekin pound is tarah ki correction nahi dekh paya. Pichle haftay ki shuruwaat par, yani Monday ko, pound kaafi neeche gaya aur isne support level 1.2375 ko update karne ka mauqa diya. Yeh socha gaya tha ke price thodi der ke liye neeche ja kar ascending support line tak pahunch sakti hai, lekin aisa nahi hua.

Tuesday ko, price ne tezi se growth ki aur main resistance level 1.2414 ko tod diya, aur iske baad price is level ke upar consolidate hui. Yeh level ab resistance se support ban gaya tha. Price ne is level ki taraf wapas aakar is par rebound karne ki koshish ki, lekin important news release hone ke baad price ne neeche ki taraf chalna shuru kar diya. Is downward movement ke bawajood, price ne firse support level 1.2375 se upar ki taraf rebound kiya. Yeh growth EUR/USD pair ke sath confirm hui, jo apne four-hour support level par tha aur yeh darshata tha ke pound ki gehri girawat jhoot thi aur price firse upar ki taraf aayegi.

Pura haftah yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke upward movement karne ka mauqa tha jab jab bhi price ne neeche aakar support levels ko test kiya. Aakhri mein, price ne resistance level 1.2495 ko tod diya aur last week ka maximum update kiya. Iske baad, price ne liquidity ko bhi remove kiya jo tops ke pichay tha. Ab, mujhe lagta hai ke ek downward rollback hoga, jo ek aam baat hai. Halankeh, trend ke khilaf kaam karna zahir tor par zyada khatarnak hota hai, lekin price abhi bhi girne ki koshish nahi kar rahi hai. Fir bhi, mujhe umeed hai ke correction hoga aur price support level 1.2519 tak pahunch sakti hai. Wahan par main long position lene ka sochunga, lekin sirf lower time frame se confirmation ke saath.

Mujhe nahi lagta ke pound bina kisi testing ke 1.2519 level ke upar chale jayega. Mera khayal hai ke yeh level zaroor test hoga. Iske baad, agar price 1.2895 ke resistance level tak pahunchti hai, to main short position lene ka sochunga. Lekin, mujhe yeh bhi samajh hai ke is trade se mujhe zyada munafa nahi hoga, kyunki mera target around 1.2520 hai. Is setup ke sath, main yeh maan raha hoon ke maximum profit-to-risk ratio jo mujhe mil sakta hai wo lagbhag 3:1 hai, jo mujhe current market conditions ke hisab se acceptable lagta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke 1.2895 level ke aas-paas correction hone ke kaafi chances hain, kyunki market aksar significant resistance zones tak pahunchne ke baad retrace karti hai. Lekin, mujhe nahi lagta ke is waqt yahaan par koi full-fledged reversal dekha jayega, isliye main zyada risk nahi lena chahta. Main yeh samajhta hoon ke correction sirf temporary pullback hoga, aur main apne risk ko dhyan se manage karunga.

Main price action aur key levels par nazar rakhunga taake main apne entry aur exit points ko confirm kar sakun. Is waqt, sabr bohot zaroori hai, kyunki market ko consolidate karne ya apni agle direction dikhane mein waqt lag sakta hai. Mera overall outlook cautious hai, lekin main tayar hoon agar setup meri expectations ke sath align hota hai.

Mujhe broader market context par bhi nazar rakhni hogi, jismein koi fundamental developments jo GBP/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain, taake meri analysis current conditions ke sath align rahe. Is tarah, main market ke movements ko samajhne aur apne trading decisions ko behtar banane ki koshish karunga.

GBP/USD Analysis - 20 February 2025

Aj ke din GBP/USD ka hourly chart kaafi strong bullish momentum show kar raha hai. Price ne 1.2580 ke support se bounce liya aur lagataar green candles banate hue 1.2660 ka level touch kiya. Yeh movement buyers ke zyada strong hone ka indication deta hai.
Indicators ka Analysis:

1. RSI:
   RSI ki value 76.75 tak pohonch chuki hai, jo clearly overbought zone mein hai. Yeh signal deta hai ke price ab shayad thoda consolidate kare ya wahan se halka sa reversal ho.
2. MACD:
   MACD bhi bullish signal de raha hai. Histogram positive hai aur signal line ke upar move kar raha hai, jo market mein aur upward momentum ka signal hai.

Important Levels:

• Resistance:
  1.2670 ka level agla important resistance hai. Agar price is level ko todta hai, toh next target 1.2700 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai.
• Support:
  Neeche 1.2580 ka support level kaafi strong hai. Agar price wahan tak girta hai aur sustain nahi karta, toh market mein bearish pressure aasakta hai.

Trading Strategy:
Agar aap trend ke sath chalna chahte hain, toh pullback ka intezaar karen aur wahan buy entries dekhain. Lekin, agar aap cautious hain kyun ke RSI overbought zone mein hai, toh reversal ya consolidation ka intezaar behtar hoga. Apne stop loss zarur set karein, kyun ke high volatility kaafi risk create kar sakti hai.
Aapka Analysis:
Ab aapka kya view hai? Kya price 1.2670 ka level tod kar aur upar jayega ya wahan se rejection dekhne ko milega? Apne ideas aur analysis comments mein zarur share karein.

GBP aur USD ke Beech Munafa: February 2025 ki Haalat

Muqaddima


February 14, 2025 ko British Pound (GBP) ne U.S. Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein khaas tor par taqat dikhayi hai. Yeh taqat aise waqt mein mili hai jab GBP ne apne aakhri maamlat mein 1.25775 USD ka darja hasil kiya hai. Yeh maamla 0.1% ka izafa darust karta hai, jo ke din ke dauran dekha gaya hai. Is maqale mein hum is behtari ke pichay maujood asraat ko samjhenge.
Haalaton ka Jaiza

Haalaton ka Taqreeban


Pichlay haftay mein, GBP/USD ka exchange rate kaafi utar chadhav se guzra. 11 February 2025 ko, yeh rate 1.234 tak gir gaya tha, lekin 13 February ko yeh 1.257 tak pahuncha. 14 February ko iska darja 1.260 tak barh gaya, jo ke GBP ki taqat barhne ki nishani hai.
Asraat jo Exchange Rate ko Mutasir Kartay Hain

UK ki Maashi Growth


UK ki maashiyat ne chouthay rubaee mein 0.1% ka ghaflati izafa dekha, jo ke investors ki taraf se British maashiyat par bharosa barhane ka sabab bana. Yeh izafa na sirf GBP ki qeemat ko barhata hai, balki yeh iski taqat ko bhi darust karta hai. Aisa lagta hai ke UK ki maashiyat ab behtar rahegi, jo ke GBP ki taraf logon ki dilchaspi ko barhata hai.
U.S. Dollar ki Kamzori


Dousri taraf, U.S. Dollar ki kamzori bhi GBP ki taqat ko barhane ka ek ahem sabab hai. U.S. mein mumkinah tarifat ke khauf mein kami aayi hai, aur producer price index ki report ne inflation ke khauf ko bhi kum kar diya hai. Is surat-e-haal ki wajah se, investors ke liye dollar ki attractiveness mein kami aayi hai, jis ka faida GBP ko mila hai.
Trade Policy ki Taqreebain


UK ko yeh khauf hai ke agar U.S. administration ne retaliatory measures liye to unhein 24% tak ka import tariff lagana par sakta hai. Yeh potential development future exchange rates par asar daal sakti hai. Aise mein, investors ko yeh dekhna hoga ke in trade policies ka kya asar hota hai.
Bazaar ka Nazariya


Analysts ka kehna hai ke agar GBP 1.26 ka darja paar kar jata hai, to agla maqasd 1.2750 ho sakta hai. Lekin, is darje ke beech mein resistance ka samna bhi karna padega, jo ke 1.25 aur 1.26 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh resistance level investors ke liye ek ahem point hoga, jahan se unhein soch samajh kar faislay karne honge.
Nateeja


GBP/USD exchange rate ka asar sirf UK ki maashiyat par nahi balki international trade policies par bhi hota hai. Is waqt, GBP ki taqat barh rahi hai, lekin is kaam ko samajhne ke liye investors ko in sab factors ko dhyan se dekhna hoga. Yeh ahem hai ke log in economic aur political developments ko samjhein taake wo behtar faislay kar saken.

Is waqt ki surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke investors apne investments ko samajhdari se karein. GBP ki taqat agar barh rahi hai to iske pichay ka sabab samajhna bhi unke liye faida mand hoga. Is tarah, wo behtar tareeqe se apne investments ko manage kar sakte hain aur market ki har kisim ki haalat ka samna kar sakte hain.

GBP-USD ke currency pair mein is hafte shuruat mein kuch behtari dekhne ko mili, lekin ye behtari jaldi hi khatam hogayi. Is waqt, pound ka daam kisi wajah se maqam par ruk gaya tha. Pichle din, jab euro-dollar ne neeche ki taraf correction kiya, tab pound ab tak neeche ki taraf theek se nahi ghir paya. Pichle hafte ke pehle din, yani Monday ko, pound ne thoda ghirawat dekhi thi aur usne 1.2360 ka sab se nazdeek ka low update kiya. Is low ke piche ek potential kharid zone tha, jahan yeh umeed thi ke daam upar ki taraf chalay jayega.

Jab Tuesday ko daam mein tezi aayi, to ye resistance level 1.2414 ko todne mein kamiyab raha aur is par qaim bhi ho gaya. Is level ne baad mein apna status badal kar resistance se support bana liya. Jab daam is level par wapas aaya, to pehle to yeh wahan se upar ki taraf nahi uth paya kyunki USA se kuch ahm khabron ki release ke doran daam mein achanak girawat aayi. Is girawat ke baad, daam ne wahan se upar ki taraf chalna shuru kiya, jo ke EUR/USD pair ki madad se sabit hua. EUR/USD ne apne chaar ghante ke support level par ruk gaya aur yeh is baat ka ishara tha ke pound ki ghirawat jhooti thi aur daam phir se upar ki taraf kheech raha tha.

Pura hafte, is baat ko kehna mumkin tha ke daam mein upar ki taraf kaam karna acha raha jab bhi ghirawat aayi. Pichle hafte daam ne apne maqsad ko haasil kiya aur ahm unchaayi ko update kiya. Is hafte, bechne walon ko phir se dhoka diya gaya; unhone teen peaks banaye, jise "three tops" kaha jata hai, aur phir neeche chalay gaye. Lekin ab bhi bechne walon ke liye ummeed hai kyunki yahan ek rising wedge ka figure banta nazar aa raha hai aur MACD par bearish divergence bhi dekhne ko mil raha hai. Is wajah se yahan se ghirawat ki sambhavna hai, jo pehle 1.2625 ke level tak ho sakti hai. Agar yeh level toota, to agla maqsad 1.2519 ka hoga, jahan daam pehle nahi pahuncha tha.

Is waqt, GBP-USD ka market kaafi volatile hai, aur investors ko yahan par bahut hi dhyan se kaam karna hoga. Economic indicators, jaise ke employment data, inflation rate, aur GDP growth, sabhi ka asar is currency pair par hoga. Agar UK ki economy mein kisi tarah ka acha data aata hai, to pound ko support mil sakta hai aur yeh upar ke levels ko test kar sakta hai. Lekin agar kisi badi khabar ya event se market mein uncertainty badh jati hai, to daam mein ghirawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Pound ke liye sabse bada challenge yeh hai ke wo global economic conditions se kis tarah se deal karta hai. Agar USA ki economy strong rehti hai, to US dollar ki demand barh sakti hai, jo ke pound ke liye problematic ho sakta hai. Is wajah se, traders ko chaaron taraf se nazar rakhni hogi aur kisi bhi sudden market movements ke liye tayyar rehna hoga.

Is waqt, technical analysis par bhi focus karna zaroori hai. Rising wedge patterns aur bearish divergence jaise indicators traders ko signal dete hain ke market kis taraf ja sakta hai. Isliye, jo bhi trading decisions liye jayein, unhe in technical signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue liya jana chahiye. Aakhir mein, GBP-USD ka halat ise samajhne wale traders ke liye ek interesting opportunity banata hai, lekin saath hi risk management aur market analysis bhi zaroori hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ki halat ka tajziya karte hue, aapne jo points uthaye hain, woh kaafi dilchasp hain. Aaj hum iss pair ki technical analysis par roshni dalenge, jismein hum consolidation zones, support aur resistance levels, aur indicators ka jaiza lenge.

Pehle toh, consolidation zone ki baat karte hain. Aapne mention kiya hai ke GBP/USD pair 1.2573 (Murray 6/8 level) aur 1.2634 (7/8 reversal level) ke darmiyan sideways consolidation mein hai. Yeh consolidation zone is baat ka izhar karta hai ke market mein koi clear trend nahi hai aur traders abhi bhi kisi decisive direction ka intezar kar rahe hain. Sideways movement aksar market ke uncertainty ko darshata hai, jahan buyers aur sellers dono ke beech ek balance bana rehta hai.

Is waqt, jo bearish momentum hai, uska analysis karte hue, aapne sahi kaha ke bears ne sirf 1.2573 level tak hi pahuncha hai. Yeh level ab support ki tarah kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is level se rebound karti hai, toh yeh bullish signal ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar bears is level ko todne mein kamiyab hote hain, toh yeh bearish momentum ko accelerate kar sakta hai.

Aapne stochastic indicator ki bhi baat ki, jo ki bearish momentum ko support kar raha hai. Yeh indicator hamesha bullish aur bearish signals dene mein madadgar hota hai. Lekin, aapne yeh bhi sahi kaha ke agar market mein koi strong fundamental data nahi aata, toh bears ko significant lower levels tak pahunchnay mein mushkil hogi.

Agar hum 5/8 regression channel level ko dekhein, jo 1.2512 par hai, yeh level bears ke liye ek crucial point hoga. Lekin, is level tak pahunchnay ke liye unhein kuch strong bearish catalysts ki zarurat hogi. Yahan par aapka point bilkul theek hai ke technical analysis ke saath saath fundamental analysis bhi zaroori hai.

Aapne jo trading strategy batayi hai, woh bhi kaafi interesting hai. Aapka plan hai ke aap 1.2587 level par sell karna chahte hain jab price consolidation zone ke baad retest karegi. Yeh ek achi strategy hai kyunki market mein retests ka hona aam baat hai. Aap is level par apni position ko add karne ka plan bhi rakhte hain, jo ki risk management aur potential gains ko maximize karne ka ek acha tareeqa hai.

Agar hum daily timeframe par dekhein, toh aapne kaha hai ke price movement bullish hai aur downward corrections ke bawajood price ne apne upward trend ko maintain kiya hai. Yeh bullish trend ka indication hai, lekin iske sath sath market mein volatility bhi dekhi gayi hai. Simple Moving Average (SMA) indicators jo aapne mention kiye hain, woh bhi bullish trend ko support karte hain. Agar SMA 150 upwards hai aur SMA 60 ke upar hai, toh yeh bullish signal hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) ki baat karte hain, jo aapne mention kiya hai ke 50 level ke upar hai. Yeh bhi bullish momentum ko darshata hai. Lekin, hamesha yaad rakhein ke RSI ek lagging indicator hai aur sudden market movements ke dauran false signals bhi de sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, aapne market dynamics ko achhe se summarize kiya hai. Aaj ke liye, GBP/USD pair ke liye bullish aur bearish forces ka balance hai, jo ke aane wale data ya market sentiment par depend karega. Yeh zaroori hai ke traders in key levels par nazar rakhein, kyunki inhi levels par trading opportunities mil sakti hain.

In sab analysis ke madde nazar, GBP/USD ke liye aapka tajziya bohot hi comprehensive hai. Yeh analysis traders ki madad karega taake woh informed decisions le sakein, chahe woh buying opportunity ho ya selling opportunity.

in. GBP/USD Ki Tajziya Aur Trading Strategy

Market Ka Mojuda Halat


GBP/USD Monday ko negative territory mein close hone ke baad abhi bhi momentum hasil karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh pair sirf 1.2350 ke upar ek chhoti si range mein trade kar raha hai. US President Donald Trump ki trade policies aur Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ki testimony ke intezar mein market cautious hai.

US Trade Policies Ka Asar


Trump ne Monday raat ko ek naya order sign kiya jismein aluminium aur steel imports par 25% tax lagaya gaya hai. Iske ilawa, woh dawaon (medicines), microchips, aur gaariyon par bhi tariffs ka ghoor-o-fikr kar rahe hain. Is wajah se US stock futures 0.2% se 0.4% gir gaye hain, jo ke ek risk-averse environment ka ishara dete hain.

Federal Reserve Ki Policy Aur USD Ka Asar


Powell aaj Senate Banking Committee se mukhatib honge. Agar unka bayaan yeh hota hai ke monetary policy ko aur zyada loose karne ki zaroorat nahi hai, toh USD mazid mazboot ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye negative hoga. Lekin agar Powell yeh kehte hain ke naye tariffs inflation ko ziada mutasir nahi karenge, toh market sentiment behtar ho sakta hai, aur USD par selling pressure aa sakta hai.

Technical Analysis
Resistance Levels:
1.2390-1.2400 (200-aur 100-period SMA ka milne ka maqam)
1.2450 (Fibonacci 50% retracement)
1.2500 (round level)
Support Levels:
1.2300 (static support)
1.2270 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement)

Agar GBP/USD 1.2390-1.2400 ka level dobara cross nahi karta, toh downside ka rukh barqarar rahega.

Trading Kay Liye Asal UsulGBP/USD: Price Outlook
GBP/USD ka chart dekhte hue, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke is waqt market bullish momentum dikhayi de rahi hai Hourly time frame par price ka trend upar ki taraf hai, jo buyers ki mazbooti ka izhar kar raha hai Moving averages upward direction me hain, jo confirm karte hain ke price ab recovery mode me hai aur agay barhne ki koshish kar raha hai Price is waqt 1.2450 ke qareeb hai, jo ek ahem resistance level hai Agar price is level ko tod deta hai, toh agla target 1.2500 ho sakta hai, jo ek psychological level hai aur buyer ke liye mazeed confidence ka sabab banega. RSI (14) indicator ki value 72 ke qareeb hai, jo overbought zone ko dikhata hai. Iska matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke price temporarily pullback kare, lekin jab tak moving averages aur trend line upar ki taraf hain, buyers ka pressure barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Agar price neeche girta hai, toh pehla support level 1.2400 par hoga, jo buyer ke liye ek mazboot point ho sakta hai.

February 14, 2025 ko British Pound (GBP) ne U.S. Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein khaas tor par taqat dikhayi hai. Yeh taqat aise waqt mein mili hai jab GBP ne apne aakhri maamlat mein 1.25775 USD ka darja hasil kiya hai. Yeh maamla 0.1% ka izafa darust karta hai, jo ke din ke dauran dekha gaya hai. Is maqale mein hum is behtari ke pichay maujood asraat ko samjhenge.
Haalaton ka Jaiza

Haalaton ka Taqreeban


Pichlay haftay mein, GBP/USD ka exchange rate kaafi utar chadhav se guzra. 11 February 2025 ko, yeh rate 1.234 tak gir gaya tha, lekin 13 February ko yeh 1.257 tak pahuncha. 14 February ko iska darja 1.260 tak barh gaya, jo ke GBP ki taqat barhne ki nishani hai.
Asraat jo Exchange Rate ko Mutasir Kartay Hain

UK ki Maashi Growth


UK ki maashiyat ne chouthay rubaee mein 0.1% ka ghaflati izafa dekha, jo ke investors ki taraf se British maashiyat par bharosa barhane ka sabab bana. Yeh izafa na sirf GBP ki qeemat ko barhata hai, balki yeh iski taqat ko bhi darust karta hai. Aisa lagta hai ke UK ki maashiyat ab behtar rahegi, jo ke GBP ki taraf logon ki dilchaspi ko barhata hai.
U.S. Dollar ki Kamzori


Dousri taraf, U.S. Dollar ki kamzori bhi GBP ki taqat ko barhane ka ek ahem sabab hai. U.S. mein mumkinah tarifat ke khauf mein kami aayi hai, aur producer price index ki report ne inflation ke khauf ko bhi kum kar diya hai. Is surat-e-haal ki wajah se, investors ke liye dollar ki attractiveness mein kami aayi hai, jis ka faida GBP ko mila hai.
Trade Policy ki Taqreebain


UK ko yeh khauf hai ke agar U.S. administration ne retaliatory measures liye to unhein 24% tak ka import tariff lagana par sakta hai. Yeh potential development future exchange rates par asar daal sakti hai. Aise mein, investors ko yeh dekhna hoga ke in trade policies ka kya asar hota hai.
Bazaar ka Nazariya


Analysts ka kehna hai ke agar GBP 1.26 ka darja paar kar jata hai, to agla maqasd 1.2750 ho sakta hai. Lekin, is darje ke beech mein resistance ka samna bhi karna padega, jo ke 1.25 aur 1.26 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh resistance level investors ke liye ek ahem point hoga, jahan se unhein soch samajh kar faislay karne honge.
Nateeja
Is waqt, jo bearish momentum hai, uska analysis karte hue, aapne sahi kaha ke bears ne sirf 1.2573 level tak hi pahuncha hai. Yeh level ab support ki tarah kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is level se rebound karti hai, toh yeh bullish signal ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar bears is level ko todne mein kamiyab hote hain, toh yeh bearish momentum ko accelerate kar sakta hai.

Aapne stochastic indicator ki bhi baat ki, jo ki bearish momentum ko support kar raha hai. Yeh indicator hamesha bullish aur bearish signals dene mein madadgar hota hai. Lekin, aapne yeh bhi sahi kaha ke agar market mein koi strong fundamental data nahi aata, toh bears ko significant lower levels tak pahunchnay mein mushkil hogi.

Agar hum 5/8 regression channel level ko dekhein, jo 1.2512 par hai, yeh level bears ke liye ek crucial point hoga. Lekin, is level tak pahunchnay ke liye unhein kuch strong bearish catalysts ki zarurat hogi. Yahan par aapka point bilkul theek hai ke technical analysis ke saath saath fundamental analysis bhi zaroori hai.

Aapne jo trading strategy batayi hai, woh bhi kaafi interesting hai. Aapka plan hai ke aap 1.2587 level par sell karna chahte hain jab price consolidation zone ke baad retest karegi. Yeh ek achi strategy hai kyunki market mein retests ka hona aam baat hai. Aap is level par apni position ko add karne ka plan bhi rakhte hain, jo ki risk management aur potential gains ko maximize karne ka ek acha tareeqa hai.

Agar hum daily timeframe par dekhein, toh aapne kaha hai ke price movement bullish hai aur downward corrections ke bawajood price ne apne upward trend ko maintain kiya hai. Yeh bullish trend ka indication hai, lekin iske sath sath market mein volatility bhi dekhi gayi hai. Simple Moving Average (SMA) indicators jo aapne mention kiye hain, woh bhi bullish trend ko support karte hain. Agar SMA 150 upwards hai aur SMA 60 ke upar hai, toh yeh bullish signal hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) ki baat karte hain, jo aapne mention kiya hai ke 50 level ke upar hai. Yeh bhi bullish momentum ko darshata hai. Lekin, hamesha yaad rakhein ke RSI ek lagging indicator hai aur sudden market movements ke dauran false signals bhi de sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, aapne market dynamics ko achhe se summarize kiya hai. Aaj ke liye, GBP/USD pair ke liye bullish aur bearish forces ka balance hai, jo ke aane wale data ya market sentiment par depend karega. Yeh zaroori hai ke traders in key levels par nazar rakhein, kyunki inhi levels par trading opportunities mil sakti hain.

2025 mein sona (gold) ki keemat ki paishgoi karna mushkil hai, lekin kuch factors hain jo sona ke daam ko asar انداز dalte hain. In mein shamil hain:

1. Duniya ki ma'ishat (Global Economy): Agar duniya mein koi economic instability ya recession hoti hai, toh sona aksar ek safe-haven investment ke tor par zyada mehnga ho jata hai.
2. Dollar ki value: Sona aksar US dollar ke sath inverse correlation mein hota hai. Agar dollar ki value girti hai, toh sona zyada mehnga ho sakta hai.
3. Inflation: Agar inflation barhta hai, toh log sona ko ek hedge ke tor par khareedte hain, jo uski qeemat ko upar le jata hai.
4. Siyasi halat (Geopolitical Tension): Agar dunia mein jang ya any siyasi tanao hota hai, toh log apni investments ko sona jese assets mein shift karte hain, jo uski qeemat ko barha deta hai.

Is waqt, sona ki qeemat ka trend barhawa hai, magar exact predictions karna mushkil hai. Aapko investment karte waqt market ki halat aur expert advice ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye.

Forex mein "MN time frame" se muraad Monthly Time Frame hai. Iska matlab hai ke price chart par har bar ek candlestick (ya bar) poore mahine ki price action ko dikhata hai. Forex trading mein different time frames use kiye jaate hain, jise trader apni strategy ke mutabiq choose karte hain.

Forex mein aam tor par kuch ahem time frames yeh hote hain:

1. MN (Monthly): Yeh time frame ek mahine ki price movement ko dikhata hai. Har candlestick ek mahina dikhata hai.
2. W1 (Weekly): Har candlestick ek hafta dikhata hai.
3. D1 (Daily): Har candlestick ek din ki price movement ko dikhata hai.
4. H4 (4-Hour): Har candlestick 4 ghante ka price action dikhata hai.
5. H1 (1-Hour): Har candlestick ek ghante ki price movement ko dikhata hai.
6. M30 (30-Minutes): Har candlestick 30 minutes ki price action ko dikhata hai.
7. M15 (15-Minutes): Har candlestick 15 minutes ki price movement ko dikhata hai.
8. M5 (5-Minutes): Har candlestick 5 minutes ka price action dikhata hai.
9. M1 (1-Minute): Har candlestick sirf 1 minute ka price movement dikhata hai.

Lamba time frame (jaise MN, W1) zyada long-term trends ko identify karne mein madadgar hota hai, jabke chhota time frame (jaise M1, M5) short-term trades aur quick price movements ko dikhata hai.
Forex mein "MN time frame" se muraad Monthly Time Frame hai. Iska matlab hai ke price chart par har bar ek candlestick (ya bar) poore mahine ki price action ko dikhata hai. Forex trading mein different time frames use kiye jaate hain, jise trader apni strategy ke mutabiq choose karte hain.

Forex mein aam tor par kuch ahem time frames yeh hote hain:

1. MN (Monthly): Yeh time frame ek mahine ki price movement ko dikhata hai. Har candlestick ek mahina dikhata hai.
2. W1 (Weekly): Har candlestick ek hafta dikhata hai.
3. D1 (Daily): Har candlestick ek din ki price movement ko dikhata hai.
4. H4 (4-Hour): Har candlestick 4 ghante ka price action dikhata hai.
5. H1 (1-Hour): Har candlestick ek ghante ki price movement ko dikhata hai.
6. M30 (30-Minutes): Har candlestick 30 minutes ki price action ko dikhata hai.
7. M15 (15-Minutes): Har candlestick 15 minutes ki price movement ko dikhata hai.
8. M5 (5-Minutes): Har candlestick 5 minutes ka price action dikhata hai.
9. M1 (1-Minute): Har candlestick sirf 1 minute ka price movement dikhata hai.

Lamba time frame (jaise MN, W1) zyada long-term trends ko identify karne mein madadgar hota hai, jabke chhota time frame (jaise M1, M5) short-term trades aur quick price movements ko dikhata hai.
Forex mein "MN time frame" se muraad Monthly Time Frame hai. Iska matlab hai ke price chart par har bar ek candlestick (ya bar) poore mahine ki price action ko dikhata hai. Forex trading mein different time frames use kiye jaate hain, jise trader apni strategy ke mutabiq choose karte hain.

Forex mein aam tor par kuch ahem time frames yeh hote hain:

1. MN (Monthly): Yeh time frame ek mahine ki price movement ko dikhata hai. Har candlestick ek mahina dikhata hai.
2. W1 (Weekly): Har candlestick ek hafta dikhata hai.
3. D1 (Daily): Har candlestick ek din ki price movement ko dikhata hai.
4. H4 (4-Hour): Har candlestick 4 ghante ka price action dikhata hai.
5. H1 (1-Hour): Har candlestick ek ghante ki price movement ko dikhata hai.
6. M30 (30-Minutes): Har candlestick 30 minutes ki price action ko dikhata hai.
7. M15 (15-Minutes): Har candlestick 15 minutes ki price movement ko dikhata hai.
8. M5 (5-Minutes): Har candlestick 5 minutes ka price action dikhata hai.
9. M1 (1-Minute): Har candlestick sirf 1 minute ka price movement dikhata hai.

Lamba time frame (jaise MN, W1) zyada long-term trends ko identify karne mein madadgar hota hai, jabke chhota time frame (jaise M1, M5) short-term trades aur quick price movements ko dikhata hai.

Tuesday ko, price ne tezi se growth ki aur main resistance level 1.2414 ko tod diya, aur iske baad price is level ke upar consolidate hui. Yeh level ab resistance se support ban gaya tha. Price ne is level ki taraf wapas aakar is par rebound karne ki koshish ki, lekin important news release hone ke baad price ne neeche ki taraf chalna shuru kar diya. Is downward movement ke bawajood, price ne firse support level 1.2375 se upar ki taraf rebound kiya. Yeh growth EUR/USD pair ke sath confirm hui, jo apne four-hour support level par tha aur yeh darshata tha ke pound ki gehri girawat jhoot thi aur price firse upar ki taraf aayegi.

Pura haftah yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke upward movement karne ka mauqa tha jab jab bhi price ne neeche aakar support levels ko test kiya. Aakhri mein, price ne resistance level 1.2495 ko tod diya aur last week ka maximum update kiya. Iske baad, price ne liquidity ko bhi remove kiya jo tops ke pichay tha. Ab, mujhe lagta hai ke ek downward rollback hoga, jo ek aam baat hai. Halankeh, trend ke khilaf kaam karna zahir tor par zyada khatarnak hota hai, lekin price abhi bhi girne ki koshish nahi kar rahi hai. Fir bhi, mujhe umeed hai ke correction hoga aur price support level 1.2519 tak pahunch sakti hai. Wahan par main long position lene ka sochunga, lekin sirf lower time frame se confirmation ke saath.

Mujhe nahi lagta ke pound bina kisi testing ke 1.2519 level ke upar chale jayega. Mera khayal hai ke yeh level zaroor test hoga. Iske baad, agar price 1.2895 ke resistance level tak pahunchti hai, to main short position lene ka sochunga. Lekin, mujhe yeh bhi samajh hai ke is trade se mujhe zyada munafa nahi hoga, kyunki mera target around 1.2520 hai. Is setup ke sath, main yeh maan raha hoon ke maximum profit-to-risk ratio jo mujhe mil sakta hai wo lagbhag 3:1 hai, jo mujhe current market conditions ke hisab se acceptable lagta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke 1.2895 level ke aas-paas correction hone ke kaafi chances hain, kyunki market aksar significant resistance zones tak pahunchne ke baad retrace karti hai. Lekin, mujhe nahi lagta ke is waqt yahaan par koi full-fledged reversal dekha jayega, isliye main zyada risk nahi lena chahta. Main yeh samajhta hoon ke correction sirf temporary pullback hoga, aur main apne risk ko dhyan se manage karunga.

Main price action aur key levels par nazar rakhunga taake main apne entry aur exit points ko confirm kar sakun. Is waqt, sabr bohot zaroori hai, kyunki market ko consolidate karne ya apni agle direction dikhane mein waqt lag sakta hai. Mera overall outlook cautious hai, lekin main tayar hoon agar setup meri expectations ke sath align hota hai.
Dusri taraf agar price neeche girta hai to 1.25200 ka support level kaafi ahmiyat rakhta hai aur agar yeh tod diya jaye to price phir bearish zone mein chala jayega, jo phir 1.23237 tak test kar sakta hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) ka level 61.89 hai, jo positive momentum ko dikhata hai lekin abhi overbought zone se door hai, is liye price ke aage barhne ki gunjaish hai. Kul mila ke yeh chart ek optimistic lekin ihtiyaat bhari tasveer dikhata hai. Traders ko 1.26800 ke breakout ka intezar karna chahiye, jabke support levels ka barabar jaiza lena zaroori hai. Moving averages aur RSI ke signals market ki direction samajhne ke liye madadgar hain, aur yeh waqt hai trading ke liye close monitoring ka.


Mujhe broader market context par bhi nazar rakhni hogi, jismein koi fundamental developments jo GBP/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain, taake meri analysis current conditions ke sath align rahe. Is tarah, main market ke movements ko samajhne aur a

GBP/USD: Pound Ki Uthaan Aur Ma’ashi Data Ka Asar

Pound Sterling ki qeemat ki talaash mein 21 February 2025 ko kuch aham tabdeeliyaan dekhne ko mili hain, jo ke khas taur par ma’ashi data ke asar ki wajah se hui hain. Is maqolay mein hum in tabdeeliyon per nazar dalenge, jo ke Pound ki qeemat ko behtar banane mein madadgar sabit hui hain, khaaskar jab baat inflation aur consumer confidence ki hoti hai.
Inflation Ka Aham Pehlu


Sab se pehle, inflation ka jo data January ke mahine mein aaya, usne bazar ki soch ko kaafi tabdeel kar diya. Consumer Price Index (CPI) ka angka 3% tha, jab ke logon ki umeed thi ke yeh sirf 2.8% hoga. Yeh 3% ka angka sirf ek surprise nahi tha, balki yeh is baat ka bhi izhar karta hai ke UK ki ma’ashiyat ab tak itni kamzor nahi hui hai jitni logon ne samjhi thi. Is unexpected inflation ne bazar mein nayi umeed jagayi hai ke Bank of England (BoE) apni monetary policy ko aur bhi narm karne se pehle soch samajh kar kaam karegi.

Pehle yeh socha ja raha tha ke BoE aage chal kar rate cuts karegi, lekin ab yeh naya data unki soch mein tabdeeli la raha hai. Is ka asar yeh hai ke traders ab Pound ki qeemat mein izafa dekhne ke liye tayar hain, kyun ke unka khayal hai ke BoE ab rate cuts se pehle sochne par majboor ho sakti hai. Is ka nateeja yeh hai ke Pound ki qeemat mein izafa dekhne ko mil raha hai.
Consumer Confidence Ka Asar


Dusra aham pehlu consumer confidence ka hai. GfK consumer confidence index ke mutabiq, logon ki ma’ashi tasawwur mein behtari aayi hai, jo ke do points ke izafa ke sath -20 par pohanch gaya hai. Halankeh yeh ab bhi negative hai, lekin is behtari se yeh darshata hai ke UK ki ma’ashiyat ke bare mein logon ki soch utni kharab nahi hai jitni ke pehle samjhi gayi thi. Is behtari ko dekhte hue, traders ko umeed hai ke aane wale waqt mein ma’ashi halat behtar ho sakti hain, jo ke Pound ki qeemat ko aur bhi barhawa de rahi hai.
Technical Levels Ka Jaiza


Technical analysis ki baat karein toh GBP/USD ab kuch aham price levels ko test kar raha hai. 1.2700 ka level ek ahem resistance point hai. Agar is level ko paar karne mein kamiyabi milti hai, toh iska matlab yeh hoga ke aur bhi izafay ki sambhavnayein hain. Lekin agar iske ulat, 1.2667 ka support level par girta hai, toh traders ko dekhna padega ke kya yeh 1.2535 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh key levels inhe dekhte hue, short-term mein market sentiment ko guide karte rahenge, jo ke GBP/USD par nazar rakhne walon ke liye kafi ahmiyat rakhta hai.
Aakhri Baat


In tamam factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, yeh kehna galat nahi hoga ke Pound ki qeemat mein izafa sirf inflation aur consumer confidence ke behtar data ki wajah se nahi hua, balki inke saath saath traders ki soch aur bazar ki umeed bhi is mein ahm kirdar ada kar rahi hai. Is waqt, GBP/USD par nazar rakhna aur in technical levels ko samajhna traders ke liye bohot zaroori hai, kyunki yeh unki trading decisions ko behtar bana sakte hain. Umeed hai ke aane wale waqt mein yeh trend barkarar rahega aur Pound ki qeemat mein izafa hota rahega.

GBP/USD ka H1 timeframe par price movement ka tajziya karnay kay liye, hum ne dekha ke pichlay dinon mein is currency pair ne kafi zyada upar ki taraf movement dekhi hai. Pehle mein ye soch raha tha ke shayad price mein kuch correction ya pullback aaye ga, lekin meri umeed ke khilaf, aakhri raat price ne mazboot momentum ke sath izafa kiya, jiski wajah se naye swing high ban gaye jo pehle ke levels se zyada hain.

Maujooda Bazaar Ki Halat

Is recent price action ko dekhte hue, mera trading plan sirf buy entry opportunities par focus karega. Price ki is upar ki taraf movement se yeh zahir hota hai ke traders mein bullish sentiment hai, jo mujhe lagta hai ke chhote waqt mein price ko upar ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

H1 timeframe ki mazeed jaiza lene par, mujhe ek significant demand zone nazar aaya jo 1.25937 ke price level par hai. Ye demand zone ek mazboot support area ki tarah samjha ja raha hai, jahan pehle bhi price ne react kiya hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke yeh downward price movement ke khilaf ek mazboot rukawat bana rahe ga.

Demand Zone as a Key Entry Point

1.25937 ka demand zone khaas taur par kuch wajahon se ahmiyat rakhta hai. Sab se pehle, is ne pehle ki market tests ke doran price ko upar uthne mein madad ki hai. Ye darust karta hai ke is level par buyers ka aana mumkin hai, jo buy karne wale traders ke liye ek accha mauqa bana sakta hai.

Meri trading strategy mein, main is demand zone ko buy orders execute karne ke liye ek ahm reference point ke tor par istemal karne ka irada rakhta hoon. Mera rationale ye hai ke agar GBP/USD mein pullback aata hai aur ye is level ke paas pohanchta hai, to ye mujhe ek favorable risk-to-reward ratio dega long position lene ke liye. Mera expectation hai ke price is demand zone se rebound karega aur apne upward trajectory ko continue karega.

Price Movements Ki Peshgoi

Jab main potential entry points ke liye tayyar ho raha hoon, to main price action ko nazar mein rakhunga jab ye demand zone ke nazdeek aaye. Agar price 1.25937 ke aas paas aaye aur bullish reversal ke signs dikhaye, jaise ke candlestick patterns jo buying pressure ko darust karte hain, to main buy order dalne par ghor karunga.

Iske ilawa, main ek stop-loss level demand zone ke thoda neeche tay karunga taake risk ko behtar tareeqe se manage kiya ja sake. Ye strategy mujhe apne capital ko protect karne ki ijaazat dega agar market demand zone par unche respond na kare jaisa ke umeed hai.

Nateejah

Akhir mein, GBP/USD ki recent price movements strong bullish trend ko darust karti hain, aur mera focus buy trades ke entry points dhoondhne par rahega. 1.25937 ka demand zone ek critical level hai potential entries ke liye, aur mujhe umeed hai ke price kisi bhi corrective pullback ke baad apne upward momentum ko barqarar rakhega. Ek disciplined trading strategy ko apna kar main is upward momentum ka faida uthana chahta hoon jab ke risk ko behtar tareeqe se manage karna bhi zaroori hai. Hamesha ki tarah, market ke tabdeel hotay huye halat ke liye vigilant aur adaptable rehna successful trading ke liye zaroori hoga, khaaskar GBP/USD pair mein.

فروری 2025 میں برطانوی پاؤنڈ (gbp) اور امریکی ڈالر (usd) کے کرنسی پیئر کی تکنیکی تجزیہ کے مطابق، اہم سپورٹ اور ریزسٹنس لیولز درج ذیل ہیں:

ریزسٹنس لیولز:

• 1.2609: سینٹمبر کی کمی کے 38.2% ریٹریسمنٹ لیول پر یہ ریزسٹنس موجود ہے۔
• 1.2730/73: یہ زون 2024 کے اوپننگ لیول، 52-ہفتے کی موونگ ایوریج، اور فروری 2019 کے سوئنگ لو کے قریب ہے۔
• 1.2924: 61.8% ریٹریسمنٹ لیول کے مطابق، یہ اگلا ممکنہ ریزسٹنس پوائنٹ ہے۔

سپورٹ لیولز:

• 1.2494: 2024 کے لو-ویک کلوز کے مطابق، یہ اہم سپورٹ لیول ہے۔
• 1.2367/97: اپریل کے لو کلوز، جنوری 2023 کے ہائی-ویک کلوز، اور مئی کے لو-ویک کلوز کے مطابق، یہ زون سپورٹ فراہم کرتا ہے۔
• 1.2272: 61.8% ریٹریسمنٹ لیول کے مطابق، یہ اگلا ممکنہ سپورٹ پوائنٹ ہے۔

فروری میں، gbp/usd پیئر نے 1.2367/97 کے سپورٹ زون سے اوپر کی جانب حرکت کی، جو کہ اپریل کے لو کلوز، جنوری 2023 کے ہائی-ویک کلوز، اور مئی کے لو-ویک کلوز کے مطابق ہے۔ اس کے بعد، 1.2494 کے ریزسٹنس لیول کو ٹیسٹ کیا گیا، جو کہ 2024 کے لو-ویک کلوز کے مطابق ہے۔ اگر قیمت 1.2494 سے اوپر بند ہوتی ہے، تو 1.2609 اور 1.2730/73 کے ریزسٹنس لیولز تک مزید اضافہ ممکن ہے۔ اس کے برعکس، اگر قیمت 1.2367/97 کے سپورٹ زون سے نیچے جاتی ہے، تو 1.2272 اور 1.2084-1.2114 کے سپورٹ لیولز تک کمی ممکن ہے۔

یہ تجزیہ تکنیکی اشاروں پر مبنی ہے اور مارکیٹ کی موجودہ صورتحال کے مطابق ہے۔ تجارتی فیصلے کرنے سے قبل، موجودہ مارکیٹ کی صورتحال اور اقتصادی خبروں کا جائزہ لینا ضروری ہے۔

فروری 21 2025 کے لیے برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل کے تجارتی سیشن کے اختتام تک، برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالرنے 84 پیپس کا اضافہ کیا تھا، جس نے کامیابی سے 1.2616 پر مزاحمتی سطح کو توڑا اور 1.2708 کی طرف راہ ہموار کی۔ اگر قیمت اس سطح سے اوپر مضبوط ہو جاتی ہے، تو اس کا مقصد 1.2816 سے 1.2847 کی ہدف کی حد ہو گی۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر قیمت کو اس ہدف کی حد کی طرف لے جانے کے لیے اپنے تنگ چڑھتے چینل کے اندر کافی تیزی کی رفتار دکھاتا ہے۔ تاہم، اگر یومیہ چارٹ پر قیمت 1.2616 سے نیچے مضبوط ہو جاتی ہے، تو 1.2500 ہدف دوبارہ کھل سکتا ہے۔



چار -گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت بیلنس لائن اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر 1.2616 پر مستحکم ہو گئی ہے، جبکہ مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں ہے۔ رجحان تیزی سے ظاہر ہوتا ہے، اور ہم نگرانی کر رہے ہیں کہ قیمت مزید تصدیق کے لیے 1.2708 کے ارد گرد کیسے رد عمل ظاہر کرتی ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*