جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP aur USD ke Beech Munafa: February 2025 ki Haalat

Muqaddima


February 14, 2025 ko British Pound (GBP) ne U.S. Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein khaas tor par taqat dikhayi hai. Yeh taqat aise waqt mein mili hai jab GBP ne apne aakhri maamlat mein 1.25775 USD ka darja hasil kiya hai. Yeh maamla 0.1% ka izafa darust karta hai, jo ke din ke dauran dekha gaya hai. Is maqale mein hum is behtari ke pichay maujood asraat ko samjhenge.
Haalaton ka Jaiza

Haalaton ka Taqreeban


Pichlay haftay mein, GBP/USD ka exchange rate kaafi utar chadhav se guzra. 11 February 2025 ko, yeh rate 1.234 tak gir gaya tha, lekin 13 February ko yeh 1.257 tak pahuncha. 14 February ko iska darja 1.260 tak barh gaya, jo ke GBP ki taqat barhne ki nishani hai.
Asraat jo Exchange Rate ko Mutasir Kartay Hain

UK ki Maashi Growth


UK ki maashiyat ne chouthay rubaee mein 0.1% ka ghaflati izafa dekha, jo ke investors ki taraf se British maashiyat par bharosa barhane ka sabab bana. Yeh izafa na sirf GBP ki qeemat ko barhata hai, balki yeh iski taqat ko bhi darust karta hai. Aisa lagta hai ke UK ki maashiyat ab behtar rahegi, jo ke GBP ki taraf logon ki dilchaspi ko barhata hai.
U.S. Dollar ki Kamzori


Dousri taraf, U.S. Dollar ki kamzori bhi GBP ki taqat ko barhane ka ek ahem sabab hai. U.S. mein mumkinah tarifat ke khauf mein kami aayi hai, aur producer price index ki report ne inflation ke khauf ko bhi kum kar diya hai. Is surat-e-haal ki wajah se, investors ke liye dollar ki attractiveness mein kami aayi hai, jis ka faida GBP ko mila hai.
Trade Policy ki Taqreebain


UK ko yeh khauf hai ke agar U.S. administration ne retaliatory measures liye to unhein 24% tak ka import tariff lagana par sakta hai. Yeh potential development future exchange rates par asar daal sakti hai. Aise mein, investors ko yeh dekhna hoga ke in trade policies ka kya asar hota hai.
Bazaar ka Nazariya


Analysts ka kehna hai ke agar GBP 1.26 ka darja paar kar jata hai, to agla maqasd 1.2750 ho sakta hai. Lekin, is darje ke beech mein resistance ka samna bhi karna padega, jo ke 1.25 aur 1.26 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh resistance level investors ke liye ek ahem point hoga, jahan se unhein soch samajh kar faislay karne honge.
Nateeja


GBP/USD exchange rate ka asar sirf UK ki maashiyat par nahi balki international trade policies par bhi hota hai. Is waqt, GBP ki taqat barh rahi hai, lekin is kaam ko samajhne ke liye investors ko in sab factors ko dhyan se dekhna hoga. Yeh ahem hai ke log in economic aur political developments ko samjhein taake wo behtar faislay kar saken.

Is waqt ki surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke investors apne investments ko samajhdari se karein. GBP ki taqat agar barh rahi hai to iske pichay ka sabab samajhna bhi unke liye faida mand hoga. Is tarah, wo behtar tareeqe se apne investments ko manage kar sakte hain aur market ki har kisim ki haalat ka samna kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD Daily Chart Analysis
Aaj ke din GBP/USD ka daily chart humein market ke trends aur price movements ka aik wazeh tasavvur deta hai. Filhal, price 1.2584 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Chart ke mutabiq, current price ne support aur resistance levels ke beech apni position maintain ki hai Pehle baat karte hain support aur resistance levels ki. Neeche ki taraf, sabse qaribi support 1.2559 par hai, jo filhal price ke liye ek strong base ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar price neeche girta hai aur yeh level todta hai, to yeh market mein bearish reversal ka ishara karega. Doosri taraf, agar price upar ki taraf break karta hai, to pehla resistance 1.2789 par hai. Is resistance level ke todne ke baad price 1.3044 aur phir 1.3327 tak bhi jaa sakti hai Chart par moving averages bhi dikhai de rahi hain, jo trend ka direction confirm karti hain. Yeh averages upward momentum ko support kar rahi hain, jo buyers ke liye ek acha signal hai. Moving averages ka positive crossover dikhata hai ke market mein bullish trend mazboot ho raha hai.
Aik aur important indicator RSI (Relative Strength Index) hai, jo filhal 61.03 par hai. Yeh reading is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke price buying momentum mein hai, magar overbought zone se door hai. Iska matlab hai ke abhi tak market stable lag rahi hai, lekin aglay dino mein volatility aa sakti hai.
Agar price 1.2789 ka resistance todta hai, to agla target 1.3044 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price neeche girta hai aur support level todta hai, to market downward trend mein chali jaayegi Traders ke liye yeh waqt important hai ke apne trades moving averages aur RSI ke indicators ke mutabiq plan karein. Stop-loss hamesha support level ke neeche rakhein aur profit-taking resistance par plan karein. Saath hi, market ki news aur economic events par nazar rakhein, jo kisi bhi waqt trend badal sakti hain.

GBP/USD pair thode se gains dikhata hua nazar aa raha hai aur Monday ke early Asian session ke dauraan 1.2585 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh upward trend strong UK economic data aur expected se kamzor US retail sales ki wajah se hai. UK ka improved GDP report British Pound ke liye confidence badhata hai, jab ke disappointing US retail sales ne US Dollar ko weak kiya hai. Saath hi, President’s Day ke wajah se US market band hone ki wajah se trading activity halki reh sakti hai, jo market movement ko kam kar sakti hai.
Technical View:
Technical analysis ke mutabiq, 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 ke upar hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke pair overbought ho sakta hai. Iska matlab hai ke price zyada barhne se pehle pullback ka samna kar sakta hai. GBP/USD ke liye pehla resistance level 1.2600 par hai, jo ek psychological level hai, uske baad 1.2650 jo ek key Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai. Agar price barhta raha, toh agla target 1.2700-1.2710 ke range mein hoga, jahan strong resistance expected hai.
Dusri taraf, pehla major support level 1.2530 par hai. Agar pair is level ke neeche gaya, toh 1.2500 ka level test kar sakta hai, jo ek aur important support hai. Isse neeche, deeper decline 1.2450 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh levels decide karenge ke upward trend continue karta hai ya market ek bara pullback dekhta hai.
Market Sentiment:
Thursday ke US session ke dauraan, Dollar weak tha kyun ke financial markets mein optimism barh gaya tha. Yeh is wajah se tha ke President Trump ne naye tariffs impose karne ke bajae mutual trade plans explore karne ka faisla kiya, jisne riskier assets jaise ke British Pound mein confidence badhaya.
Aage ka Plan:
Aane wale dino mein traders January ke US retail sales data par nazar rakhenge. December ke 0.4% rise ke baad, January ke liye thoda decline (0.1%) expect kiya ja raha hai. Lekin agar data unexpectedly strong hota hai (0.5% se zyada), toh US Dollar ko strength mil sakti hai aur GBP/USD ke further gains ko roka ja sakta hai. Agar stock market positive raha, toh yeh pair apne weekly upward trend ko maintain kar sakta hai.

Aakhri kuch dinon mein British Pound (GBP) ne 100 pips se zyada ki trading range dekhi hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke bazaar mein kuch ghalatfahmi hai. Kal GBP/USD ne apne khulne wale level ke aas-paas din ko khatam kiya, jo ke ek volatility ka nishaan hai. Yeh volatility mukhtalif maashi asbab par traders ke jawab ko darshati hai. Din ka MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) line ek support level ke taur par kaam kar raha hai, jiski wajah se price ne rebound kiya, aur dono signal lines is se upar close hui hain, jo bullish momentum ka nishaan hai. Technical Indicators Ka Jaiza


Marlin Oscillator filhal sideway trend par hai lekin yeh ab bhi positive zone mein hai, jo ke bullish jazbat ko darshata hai. Upar ki taraf chalne ke liye pehla target 1.2500 hai. Agar price is level ko cross karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh yeh agle targets ki taraf rasta khol dega, jahan dusra target 1.2616 hai. Yeh targets trading ke liye key psychological levels hain, jinke aas paas traders aksar tawajjo dete hain.
Intraday Chart Insights


Char ghante ke chart par, price abhi bhi MACD line ko todne mein pareshan hai, lekin yeh upar ki taraf chalne ke nishaan de raha hai. Balance line, jiske upar price abhi bhi trade kar raha hai, is bullish trend ko support karti hai. Marlin Oscillator bhi positive territory mein rehta hai, jo ke bullish trend ko mazid taqat deta hai. Agar price pehle din ki high 1.2482 ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh yeh pehle resistance level ko paar karne ki koshish ka nishaan hai, jo bullish prospects ko mazid majboot karega.
Nateeja


Is analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair ko potential gains ke liye tayyar samjha ja raha hai, agar yeh key levels ke upar momentum banaye rakh sakti hai. Technical indicators ka combination, jaise ke MACD aur Marlin Oscillator, sath hi price action, bullish outlook ko support karte hain. Traders ko 1.2500 aur 1.2616 levels par upar ki taraf chalne ki tasdiq ke liye nazar rakhni chahiye, jabke 1.2482 par potential resistance par bhi tawajjo deni chahiye taake bazaar ki direction ko dobara jaanch sakein.
Market Ke Asbab


GBP/USD ki movement par asar dalne wale mukhtalif maashi asbab hain. Yeh asbab mukhtalif economic data releases, news headlines, aur geopolitical events se related ho sakti hain. Traders ko in asbab par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh bazaar ke jazbat aur price movements par seedha asar daal sakti hain.
Trading Strategies


Agar aap GBP/USD mein trading karna chahte hain, toh kuch strategies hain jo aap apna sakte hain. Pehli strategy yeh hai ke aap support aur resistance levels ko identify karein aur un par trading karein. Agar price support level par bounce karti hai, toh aap buy position le sakte hain. Dusri strategy yeh ho sakti hai ke aap technical indicators, jaise ke MACD aur Marlin Oscillator, ka istemal karein taake entry aur exit points ko behtar samajh sakein.
Aakhir Mein


Aakhir mein, yeh kehna durust hoga ke GBP/USD ka future bullish nazar aata hai, lekin traders ko risk management aur market ke asbab par nazar rakhni chahiye. Trading karte waqt sabr aur strategy ka istemal zaroori hai, kyunki market ki volatility kabhi kabhi unexpected hoti hai. Isliye hamesha tayar rahna aur market

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Aaj se ghatne wali zyada tezi ke hajam ki buniyad par, pound/dollar ke jode me islahi kami ki tawaqqo hai, lekin 1.23300 ke haftawar support satah se niche girne ka imkan nahin hai. Iska matlab hai keh 4-ghante ke chart par indicator niche ki taraf ishara karte hue, qimat 1.25240-1.24650 ki satah tak gir sakti hai. Halankeh, takniki taur par, growth index tezi ke ilaqe me bana hua hai, yah tajwiz karta hai keh kharidar Bartanwi pound ki kamzori ko mahdud kar denge, jo 1.25200 ke nishan se niche nahin gir sakti hai. Halankeh, pure din tarjihat badal sakti hain.
Haqiqat me, kharidar Jumah ki 1.25750 ki satah se ooper qimat ko banaye rakhne ki koshish karenge, aur qimat mukhtasar taur par Jumah ki buland tarin satah 1.26280 se ooper ja sakti hai. Halankeh, niche ki taraf islah nagurez hai aur is bat ka bahut zyada imkan hai keh qimat niche ki taraf palat jayegi. Aj ka ibtedai manfi hadaf 1.25500-1.25250 ilaqa hai. Tezi se girawat ki surat me, farokht karne wale mukhtasar taur par qimat ko 1.24650 ki satah tak niche le ja sakte hain.
Majmui taur par, is hafte ki tarjih ab bhi ooper ki taraf hi hai.

GBP/USD H1 Chart Ka Jaiza


GBP/USD ka H1 chart aik mazboot bullish structure dikhata hai jo ke lambi muddat tak ke liye accumulation ke baad develop hua hai. Is analysis mein hum iske key technical developments, candlestick patterns, aur potential trading strategies ko samjhenge.
Bullish Structure Aur Higher Highs, Higher Lows


Is waqt GBP/USD ka price consistently higher highs aur higher lows bana raha hai, jo ke aik mazboot uptrend ko darshata hai. Jab price ne 1.2592 ke resistance level ko break kiya, to ye aik significant milestone tha. Yeh level pehle aik bari rukawat ke tor par kaam karta raha hai. Is breakout ke saath sath strong volume bhi dekha gaya, jo ye darshata hai ke buyers control mein hain aur wo price ko agle resistance levels ki taraf le ja sakte hain, jo ke 1.2620 aur 1.2680 hain.
Moving Average Ki Ahmiyat


50-period moving average (red line) jo ke upward trend dikhata hai, dynamic support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Yeh bullish sentiment ko mazid reinforce karta hai. Price action ki recent activity bhi aik ascending trendline ko darshati hai, jo ongoing trend ki taqat ko confirm karti hai. Jab price ne pehle ki consolidation zone (1.2380 se 1.2440) ko break kiya, to isne momentum build kiya, jo higher levels ko mumkin banata hai.
Key Support Levels Aur Potential Retracement


Agar price 1.2592 ke upar nahi reh pata, to humein lower support zones ki taraf aik temporary retracement dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Pehla major level jo dekhne ko mil sakta hai wo hai 1.2560, uske baad 1.2500. Jab tak price in levels ke upar rehta hai, trend bullish hi rahega. Lekin agar moving average ke neeche sustained drop hota hai, to ye sentiment ke shift ka signal de sakta hai.
Candlestick Patterns Ka Role


Candlestick patterns bhi bullish bias ko support karte hain. Recent large-bodied bullish candles ke sath minimal upper wicks hain, jo strong buying pressure ko darshata hai. Iska matlab hai ke bearish reversals ki koi significant nishani nahi hai, isliye buyers firmly control mein hain. Agar price 1.2592 ke upar sustain hota hai, to bullish continuation ki sambhavna hai, jo ke 1.2680 ke psychological resistance ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Profit-Taking Aur Exhaustion Ka Khayal


Traders ko hamesha key resistance levels par kisi bhi rejection se cautious rehna chahiye, kyunki profit-taking ya exhaustion pullbacks ko trigger kar sakta hai. Agar pullback hota hai, to 1.2560 ke upar support maintain karna bullish structure ko intact rakhega. Lekin agar price 1.2500 ke neeche chala jata hai, to ye broader consolidation phase ka signal ho sakta hai.
Risk Management Aur Trading Strategy


Stop-loss placements ko 1.2560 ke neeche rakha jana chahiye taake unexpected reversals se protection mile. Take-profit targets ko 1.2620 aur 1.2680 par set kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke pehle ke resistance zones ke sath align karte hain. Moving average trend ko guide kar raha hai, lekin traders ko momentum indicators aur candlestick formations ko resistance areas par monitor karna chahiye taake kisi bhi potential trend reversals ka andaza lagaya ja sake.
Aakhri Soch


Aam tor par, jab tak price key support levels ke upar rehta hai, bullish trend ko continue hone ki sambhavna hai. Is setup mein long positions ko favorable mana jata hai. Traders ko market ki dynamics ko samajhna hoga aur charts ko closely monitor karna hoga taake wo kisi bhi unexpected changes ka samna kar sakein. Is tarah se, aap apne trading decisions ko behtar bana sakte hain aur market ke saath sath chal sakte hain.

GBP/USD Ka Jaiza


GBP/USD jorh, yaani British Pound aur US Dollar ka jorh, is waqt ek mutaghayyar mahol ka samna kar raha hai. British Pound apni taqat ko US Dollar ke muqablay mein barqarar rakhne mein pareshani ka samna kar raha hai. Is maqam par, UK se aane wali ma'ashi data kuch mixed hai, jahan inflation mein kami dekhne ko mil rahi hai, magar growth ab bhi sust hai.
Bunyadi Tajziya (Fundamental Analysis)


GBP/USD jorh ke liye kuch aham asar daari hain:

1. US ki Ma'ashi Taaqat: US ki ma'ashi taqat ab bhi behtareen hai. Mazdoor bazaar ki data mazboot hai aur inflation maqool darje par hai, jo Federal Reserve ki hawkish policy ko support karta hai.
2. UK ki Ma'ashi Mushkilat: UK ki ma'ashi halat behtar hone ki bajaye ab bhi mushkilat ka shikaar hai. Is waqt UK ki inflation mein kami aayi hai, magar growth ki raftar dheemi hai.
3. Bank of England ki Policy: Bank of England ki monetary policy ka asar bhi GBP/USD par hai. Agar Bank of England apni policies ko mazboot rakhta hai, to ye GBP ki taqat ko barha sakta hai.
4. Geopolitical aur Market Sentiment: Geopolitical tensions aur market ka jazba bhi Forex market ko asar daal sakta hai. Yeh asar kabhi kabhi aashray ya bechaini ki surat mein bhi hota hai.

Fanni Tajziya (Technical Analysis)


Fanni pehlu se dekhain to GBP/USD jorh is waqt 1.2030 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh jorh haal hi mein 1.2100 ke aas paas ke short-term high se neeche aaya hai. Is waqt jorh 1.2100 ki resistance level ko barqarar rakhne mein pareshani ka samna kar raha hai, aur overall trend bearish hai.

• Support Levels:
  • 1.2000
  • 1.1950
• Resistance Levels:
  • 1.2100
  • 1.2150

RSI (Relative Strength Index) ab 45 ke aas paas hai, jo ke neutral se slightly bearish bias ko darust karta hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ab bhi bearish territory mein hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishaarat karta hai ke downtrend ab bhi barqarar hai. 50-day MA (Moving Average) 200-day MA se upar hai, jo ke overall bearish trend ko darust karta hai.
Nateeja (Conclusion)


Chhote arse ke liye GBP/USD ka nazariyah bearish hai. Agar jorh 1.2000 se neeche girta hai to is se bearish momentum 1.1950 aur 1.1900 ki taraf tez ho sakta hai. Beech ke arse ke liye bhi nazariyah bearish hai jab tak ke US aur UK ke darmiyan ma'ashi tafreeq barqarar rahegi. Agar 1.2100 ke upar koi aham break hota hai, to ye is baat ka ishaara ho sakta hai ke GBP recover karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin is ke liye broader market environment mein tabdeeli zaroori hai.

Is waqt GBP/USD ke jorh ki halat nazar aati hai ke yeh ek challenging waqt se guzar raha hai, jahan economic data aur geopolitical situations ka asar iske daam par hai. Traders ko chahiye ke wo in sab pehluon ko mad-e-nazar rakhein aur market ki halat ke mutabiq apne faislay karein.

GBP/USD Ka Halaat: Ek Tajziya

Bullish Trend Ki Pehchaan


GBP/USD ka H1 chart ek mazboot bullish trend ko darshata hai, jahan price ne higher highs aur higher lows ka silsila banaya hai. Ye trend upward momentum ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Jab bhi koi currency pair is tarah ki movement dikhaata hai, to ye traders ke liye ek acha mauka hota hai. Is waqt price 1.2597 ke aas paas hai, jo ke short-term resistance level ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai.
Bollinger Bands Aur Volatility


Bollinger Bands ka istemal karke hum dekhtay hain ke market mein volatility kaise hai. Abhi price upper Bollinger Band ke aas paas hai, jo ke strong buying pressure ko darshata hai. Lekin jab price upper band tak pahunchta hai, to kabhi kabhi ye ek potential retracement ya consolidation phase ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Iska matlab ye hai ke market kuch waqt ke liye ruk sakti hai ya phir thodi si ghat sakti hai, pehle se agle bullish movement ke liye.
Resistance Aur Support Levels


Agar bullish momentum jari rahta hai, to agla key resistance level 1.2650 ke aas paas hai. Ye ek psychological level hai, jahan traders ko breakout ya reversal ka signal mil sakta hai. Agar price is level par fail hoti hai, to ye retracement ki taraf ja sakti hai, jo ke middle Bollinger Band ke aas paas, jo ke filhal 1.2545 hai, tak aa sakta hai. Is area mein price ka wapas aana market ki strength ko gather karne ka mauka de sakta hai.
Stochastic Oscillator Ka Analysis


Stochastic oscillator (5,3,3) is waqt overbought region mein hai, jahan reading lagbhag 71.70 hai. Ye darshata hai ke market shayad exhaustion ki taraf ja rahi hai. Lekin, strong uptrends mein Stochastic ka overbought rehna aam baat hai. Agar price 1.2590 ke upar barqarar rehti hai aur consolidation karti hai, to ye accumulation ka signal ho sakta hai jo ke ek aur bullish push ka darshata hai.
Key Levels Ki Monitoring


Agar price 1.2600 ke upar decisive break karti hai, to ye bullish dominance ko confirm karega. Is ke baad agla potential upside target 1.2700 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar selling pressure barh jata hai, to price agar 1.2545 ke neeche chali jati hai, to ye deeper pullback ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.2440 tak ja sakta hai. Is level par pehle se demand zones maujood hain jo ke support ka kaam kar sakte hain.
Conclusion


Traders ko in critical levels par price ka reaction dekhna chahiye aur multiple indicators se confirmation signals ka istemal karna chahiye taake false breakouts se bacha ja sake. Halankeh abhi ka technical setup bullish hai, lekin short-term correction ki sambhavnayein hain jo ke aage ke upward movement se pehle aa sakti hain. Isliye, traders ko market ki halat ko dhyan se dekhna hoga aur apni strategies ko us hisaab se tayyar karna hoga.


Aakhir Mein


GBP/USD ka halaat is waqt bullish hai, lekin market ki volatility aur indicators ka bhi khayal rakhna zaroori hai. Trading mein sabr aur samajhdaari bahut zaroori hoti hai, khaaskar jab market mein rapid changes ho rahe hon. Is waqt jo bhi decisions liye jayenge, unhe technical analysis aur market sentiments ke mutabiq tayyar karna chahiye.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD ka jaiza lena hamesha trading ke liye ek aham pehlu hota hai, aur aj hum is currency pair ke halat par nazar daal rahe hain. Kal, GBP/USD ne apne bullish movement ko kaafi behtar tareeqe se jaari rakha aur 1.2650 ke aham area ko penetrate karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki. Yeh baat yeh darust karti hai ke aane wale waqt mein iski bullish movement aur bhi mazid taqatwar ho sakti hai. Lekin, meri fikar is waqt is aham area par hai jo 1.2765 hai; kya hum is taraf aane wale trading dinon mein pohanch sakte hain ya phir yeh phir se girne lagega?

Aaj ka din, GBP/USD ne Asian session mein kuch stability dekhi hai, jahan yeh 1.2600 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh level July 2023 ke baad se sabse uncha level hai, jo ke pichle din 1.2940 tak pohanch gaya tha. Ab traders ne UK aur US se aane wale preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ka intezar shuru kar diya hai, jo short-term trading opportunities ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Agar GBP/USD ka daira 1.2850 ki taraf girta hai, toh yeh traders ke liye ek buying opportunity ban sakti hai. Yeh level, jo ke psychological barrier 1.2750 ke saath hai, ek aham pivot point banne ki umeed hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.2870 ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh technical selling pressure ko janam de sakta hai, jo ke iski girawat ko 1.2645 ke agle significant support area tak le ja sakta hai.

H4 time frame ko dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke price movements abhi bhi strong bullish condition mein hain, lekin humein buy position mein enter karne se pehle kuch intezar karna chahiye. Agar hum buy position lene ka soch rahe hain, toh yeh behtar hoga ke hum price movement ke downward correction ka intezar karein.

Is waqt, ek nazar demand area par bhi daalni chahiye, jo ke 1.2900 ke aas paas hai. Jab hum buy position lene ka sochen, toh yeh zaroori hai ke hum yeh samjhein ke market mein kabhi kabhi correction aata hai, jo humein ek behtar entry point provide kar sakta hai.

Technical analysis ke liye, humein kuch indicators par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye. Jaise ke oscillators, jo humein bata sakte hain ke market overbought hai ya oversold. Agar oscillator overbought signal de raha hai, toh humein caution baratni chahiye aur buying mein jaldi nahi karni chahiye.

Jab tak GBP/USD 1.2650 ke upar trade kar raha hai, tab tak iska bullish trend banay rehne ki umeed hai. Lekin agar yeh level break hota hai, toh iski downward movement 1.2600 ya 1.2550 tak bhi ja sakti hai.

Mujhe umeed hai ke aap sabhi traders is analysis se faida utha sakenge. Trading mein hamesha risk management aur patience zaroori hai. Har trader ko chahiye ke wo apne analysis par focus karein aur market ke halat ke mutabiq apni trading strategy tayyar karein.

Aakhir mein, yeh kehna chahunga ke GBP/USD mein trading karte waqt hamesha market ki volatility ko nazar mein rakhein aur kisi bhi move par react karne se pehle soch samajh kar faisla karein. Har trade ek naya mauka hota hai, aur humein yeh samajhna chahiye ke trading sirf technical analysis nahi, balki market ki psychology ko samajhne ka bhi ek amal hai.

Shukriya aur happy trading!

Fundamental surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, GBP/USD tezi se barh raha hai, kyunki momentum abhi bhi bullish trend ko support kar raha hai aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) mazboot position mein hai. Is ka matlab hai ke buyers abhi bhi market mein active hain, lekin price ek ahem resistance level ka samna kar rahi hai. Guzray Jumay ke high 1.2629 ko todne mein buyers ab tak kamiyab nahi ho sake, jo yeh dikhata hai ke wahan strong resistance mojood hai. Agar sellers price ko 1.2600 ke neeche le jate hain, toh is ka matlab hoga ke bearish momentum barhne wala hai, aur mazeed girawat ka imkaan barh sakta hai.

Technical indicators ke mutabiq, key support levels kaafi important hain. Pehla support level February 5 ka high hai jo ab support ka kaam de raha hai, yani 1.2549. Agar price is level ko todti hai, toh agla strong support 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par ho ga, jo 1.2468 par mojood hai. Yeh level buyers ke liye ek strong defense point ho sakta hai, lekin agar yeh bhi break ho jaye, toh GBP/USD aur ziada neeche gir sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar GBP/USD February 14 ke high 1.2629 ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh price aur ziada bullish ho sakti hai. Pehla bullish target 100-day SMA hoga, jo 1.2686 par hai. Agar price is level se bhi upar jati hai, toh next major resistance 200-day SMA ke qareeb, yani 1.2786 par ho ga. Yeh level market ke liye ek psychological barrier ho sakta hai, jise todna buyers ke liye ek aur challenge hoga. Aane wale dinon mein, GBP/USD ki movement economic data aur US Dollar ki strength par bhi mabni ho gi.

GBP/USD Analysis: Current Market Outlook

GBP/USD ka hourly H1timeframe chart hai, jo humein recent price movements ka clear picture de raha hai. 7 February se lekar 17 February tak market ne consistent bullish trend follow kiya. Price ne higher highs aur higher lows banaye, jo ek strong uptrend ko represent karta hai.
Abhi price 1.26410 ke aas-paas consolidate kar rahi hai, jo ek significant resistance level hai. Yeh level traders ke liye critical hai, kyunki agar price is resistance ko todti hai, to humein ek bullish breakout dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price is level se reject hoti hai, to retracement ya downward move ka chance barh jata hai.
Moving Average (purple line) price ko support provide karte huye nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh Moving Average 1.24745 ke aas-paas hai aur agar price neeche girti hai, to yeh support ka kaam kar sakti hai. Lekin agar price is Moving Average ke neeche break karti hai, to bearish pressure dominate kar sakta hai.
RSI Relative Strength Index) ka current value 56.34 hai, jo neutral zone mein hai. Yeh value humein batati hai ke market abhi overbought ya oversold nahi hai, yani balance mein hai. Lekin agar RSI 70 ke upar jata hai, to yeh overbought condition ka signal hoga, jo price ke reversal ka chance badha sakta hai.
Key Points:

• Resistance Level: 1.26410
• Support Level: 1.24745
• Trend: Bullish, lekin consolidation phase mein.
• RSI Indicator: Neutral zone mein, lekin closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

Is analysis se yeh samajh aata hai ke traders ko dono scenarios ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Agar price resistance todti hai, to bullish rally barh sakti hai. Lekin agar price neeche girti hai aur support todti hai, to downward trend shuru ho sakta hai. Trading karte waqt risk management aur proper stop loss ka istemal karna zaroori hai, taake aap apne capital ko protect kar saken.

Amreeka aur Britain ki Maashi Surat-e-Haal


Taza maashi data ne dono Amreeka aur Britain ke andar dilchasp trends samne laaye hain. Amreeka mein “worse-better” waves dekhi ja rahi hain, jabke Britain ne markets ko surprise karte hue 0.4% quarterly GDP growth dikhayi hai. Yeh resilience Europe ke broader stagnation se mukhtalif hai, jahan structural problems ab bhi mojood hain.
Britain ka Europe se Alag Tafreeq


Britain ki European dynamics se mukhtalif position usay kuch faida de sakti hai. EU ke subsidized economies se kam exposure hone ki wajah se Britain ke paas post-crisis recovery ka behtar moka ho sakta hai. Yeh GBP ko USD ke muqable me mazid mazbooti de sakta hai, khas tor par agar macroeconomic fundamentals aur technical indicators bullish trend dikhayen.
GBPUSD ka Technical Analysis


Daily charts per GBPUSD ek upward channel dikhata hai, jahan RSI aur MACD bullish momentum ka ishara kar rahe hain.

• RSI: Abhi tak overbought zone me nahi hai, jo aur growth ki gunjaish dikhata hai.
• MACD: Bullish divergence ka ishara kar raha hai, jo upward movement ko support kar sakta hai.
• Resistance Levels: 1.2737 aur 1.2868 ke darmiyan mazeed rukawat ho sakti hai.
• Target Levels: Agar resistance breach ho jaye to 1.3435 tak ka safar mumkin hai.

Trading Opportunities aur Entry Points


Pichle price action me 1.2550–1.2565 support area ke kareeb long position lena ek acha moka tha jo miss ho gaya. Lekin ek pullback 1.2582 tak aayega to wahan se buying opportunity ho sakti hai.

• Short-Term Targets: 1.2640 aur 1.2679
• Long-Term Targets: Agar price 1.30 psychological level cross kar le to aur bullish movement ho sakti hai.

Maashi aur Geopolitical Factors ka Asar


Fundamental indicators aur external factors GBPUSD ki movement ko influence karenge. Kuch aham factors ye hain:

• Saudi Arabia ka Role: Energy markets ko stabilize karne ya bilateral agreements se Britain ko indirect support mil sakti hai.
• U.S. Monetary Policy: America ki interest rates aur global risk sentiment GBPUSD ke trend ko affect kar sakti hai.
• Geopolitical Developments: Koi bhi bara geopolitical event pair ki movement ko tezi se badal sakta hai.

Natija


Indicators abhi tak cautiously bullish hain, lekin near-term volatility ka khatra bhi hai. Traders ko resistance aur support levels per nazar rakhni hogi aur clear confirmation ka intezar karna hoga.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Mai kal 1.25500 ke qarib islah ki tawaqqo kar raha tha, lekin America se kisi bhi musbat khabar ki aham maujudgi me, kharidaron ne Bartanwi pound ko mazbuti se 1.25760 aur 1.26280 ki satahon ki hadd ke andar rakha. Halankeh, aaj ke ibtedai Asian session me, 30-minute ka growth index bearish sell zone me gir gaya hai, jo buland satah se girawat ka ishara karta hai. Haqiqat me, farokht karne walon ko qimat ko 1.25500 aur mumkena taur par 1.25250 tak girne ke liye kal ki nichli satah 1.25760 se niche todne ki zarurat hai. Halankeh, 4-ghante ke chart par badi tezi ka hajam, jo do dino me kam nahin hua hai, yah zahir karta hai keh aaj koi khas girawat nahin ho sakti hai. Abhi ke liye aisa lagta hai keh yah joda 1.2628 aur 1.25760/1.25500 ke darmiyan ek sideways range me chalega.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! 1.2607 par 38.2% Fibonacci level ke do test ke bad, pound/dollar ka joda filhal islahi ascending channel ke andar niche karobar kar raha hai. Buniyadi taur par, is Fibonacci level ka test darmiyani muddat ke mandi ke rujhan ke dobara shuru hone ka ishara de sakta hai. Halankeh, tashih ko mukammal tasawwar karne ke liye, qimat ko 1.2435 ki satah se tootna aur mustahkam rahna hoga.
Filhal, hamare pas 1.2530 aur 1.2505 ke hadaf ke sath ek intraday bearish signal hai, jis se ham islahi channel ki oopri hadd, 1.2665 aur 1.2695 ke ird-gird, ki taraf musalsal tezi ki islah ki tawaqqo kar sakte hain.
Dusri taraf, agar qimat toot jati hai aur 1.2505 ki satah se niche fix ho jati hai to, 1.2436 ke nishan ka test karne ka imkan paida hoga, jiske bad pound/dollar ka joda apni tezi ki islah ko dobara shuru kar sakta hai.

فروری 18 2025 کے لیے برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے گزشتہ سال 26 اگست سے لے کر اب تک 38.2 فیصد کی درستگی کی ہے، جو 1.2616 کے ہدف کی سطح تک پہنچ گئی ہے۔ یومیہ مارلن آسیلیٹر کم ہو رہا ہے۔ موجودہ صورتحال درمیانی مدت کے رجحان میں تبدیلی سے ملتی جلتی ہے۔



تاہم، ہمیں 1.2500 پر قریبی سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے وقفے کے ذریعے تصدیق کی ضرورت ہے۔ اگر قیمت 1.2616 سے اوپر دن کو بند کرنے کا انتظام کرتی ہے (یا مثالی طور پر کل کے اعلی سے اوپر)، 1.2708 کی طرف مزید ترقی کا امکان ہے۔ ہم قیمتوں میں تبدیلی کی طرف جھک رہے ہیں کیونکہ آج کی یوکے روزگار کی رپورٹ میں بے روزگاری کی شرح میں 4.4% سے 4.5% تک اضافے کی توقع ہے۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، تھوڑا سا فرق واضح ہے۔ قیمت 1.2500 پر سپورٹ کے قریب پہنچ رہی ہے، جسے ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے تقویت ملی ہے۔ اگر یہ حمایت برقرار رہتی ہے تو، موجودہ کمی صرف 1.2708 یا اس سے بھی زیادہ کی طرف آنے والے اضافے سے پہلے ایک اصلاح ہوسکتی ہے۔



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