GBP/USD currency pair Monday ko 1.2900 level se neeche dip hua, jo key UK economic data ke anticipation ke wajah se tha. UK wage aur employment figures ki upcoming release pound ki performance ko influence karne wali hai. US markets relatively quiet the Veterans Day holiday ki wajah se, lekin risk-on sentiment prevalent tha, jo generally US dollar ko support karta hai. Average earnings mein 3.9% year-on-year growth hone ki expectation hai, jo pichle period ke 3.8% se thoda zyada hai. UK mein lagbhag 50,000 jobs lost hone ki umeed hai, jo pichle period ke 373,000 net gain ke mukable ek significant decrease hai. October ke liye UK claimants ki sankhya 30,500 hone ki ummeed hai, jo pichle figure 27,900 se zyada hai. Headline CPI mein October mein 2.6% tak rise hone ki umeed hai, jo pichle period ke 2.4% se upar hai. Core CPI same period mein flat rehne ki umeed hai 3.3% par. US Producer Price Index (PPI) ki annual growth mein October mein 2.9% tak increase hone ki projection hai, jo pichle 2.8% se upar hai.GBP/USD pair abhi 200-day moving average 1.2860 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ek key support level ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh aur downside potential ka signal de sakta hai. 50-day moving average lagbhag 1.3025 par located hai, jo neeche trend kar raha hai, indicating a bearish medium-term outlook. Pair ka position 50-day moving average se neeche suggest karta hai ki downward trend abhi bhi control mein hai aur kisi bhi recovery attempt ko is level par strong resistance face karna padega. MACD indicator abhi signal line ke neeche hai, jo bearish momentum ko indicate kar raha hai. Bar chart bhi thoda negative turn hua hai, jo growing bearish sentiment ko reflect karta hai. Lekin MACD zero line ke paas hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ki momentum kisi bhi direction mein strong nahi hai.Short term mein, agar GBP/USD pair 200-day moving average se neeche decisively break karta hai, to yeh further declines ka raasta khol sakta hai aur agle support level 1.2750 par test kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar GBP/USD pair is key level ko hold kar sakta hai aur momentum regain karta hai, to rally towards 1.3000 mark aur 50-day moving average tak possible hai. Overall, GBP/USD pair downside risks ke liye vulnerable lag raha hai. Bears ka target ek daily close below 1.2860 hone par rahega taaki ek significant downtrend ko confirm kar sake.
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