gbp/usd

GBP/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
GBP/USD ke D1 time frame par yeh saaf hai ke currency pair kuch trading dino se range-bound movement dikhata aa raha hai. Yeh consolidation key resistance level 1.3240 ke upar ho rahi thi. Iss dauran market mein indecisiveness thi, jahan bulls aur bears dono control ke liye ladd rahe the, jiski wajah se sideways movement dekhne ko mili. Is range zone mein price upper resistance aur lower support levels ke beech fluctuate karti rahi, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan temporary balance create kar rahi thi.

Kayi dino ke range ke baad, GBP/USD ne range zone ke support level ko finally tod diya. Yeh bearish breakout significant tha, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers ne market par apna control hasil kar liya hai. Iske saath hi, pair moving average lines ke neeche bhi cross kar gaya, jo guzishte hafte se build hoti hui bearish momentum ko aur confirm karta hai. Jab ek currency pair apne moving averages ke neeche gir jata hai, toh aksar yeh bearish signal samjha jata hai. Moving averages ko traders aksar trend ki overall direction ko samajhne ke liye use karte hain. Is case mein, price ka moving averages ke neeche cross hona yeh mazid confirm karta hai ke bears control mein hain aur market neeche jaane ka pressure mehsoos kar raha hai.

Is ke ilawa, UK mein economic uncertainty, jaise ke inflation ke concerns, political instability, aur economic growth par chintayein, bhi British pound par bojh daal rahi hain. Traders inn risks ko apne trades mein shamil kar rahe hain, jo shayad pound par increased selling pressure ka sabab ban raha hai. Aage jaake, key support levels par nazar rakhna bohot zaroori hoga GBP/USD ke liye. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehti hai, toh agla major support level yeh samajhne mein madad karega ke pair ko selling pressure se kuch relief kahan mil sakta hai. Dosri taraf, koi bhi bullish reversal us waqt tak expected nahi hai jab tak price dobara moving averages ke upar nahi chali jati aur pehle ke resistance levels ko break.

GBP/USD ka recent price action daily time frame par range-bound market se bearish outlook ki taraf shift ho gaya hai, jahan pair ne key support aur moving averages ke neeche breakout kiya hai. Yeh shift yeh suggest karta hai ke guzishte hafte mein bears ne momentum hasil kiya hai, aur yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke yeh trend barqarar rahta hai ya nahi

GBP/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:


GBP/USD ke D1 time frame par yeh saaf hai ke currency pair kuch trading dino se range-bound movement dikhata aa raha hai. Yeh consolidation key resistance level 1.3240 ke upar ho rahi thi. Iss dauran market mein indecisiveness thi, jahan bulls aur bears dono control ke liye ladd rahe the, jiski wajah se sideways movement dekhne ko mili. Is range zone mein price upper resistance aur lower support levels ke beech fluctuate karti rahi, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan temporary balance create kar rahi thi.

Kayi dino ke range ke baad, GBP/USD ne range zone ke support level ko finally tod diya. Yeh bearish breakout significant tha, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers ne market par apna control hasil kar liya hai. Iske saath hi, pair moving average lines ke neeche bhi cross kar gaya, jo guzishte hafte se build hoti hui bearish momentum ko aur confirm karta hai. Jab ek currency pair apne moving averages ke neeche gir jata hai, toh aksar yeh bearish signal samjha jata hai. Moving averages ko traders aksar trend ki overall direction ko samajhne ke liye use karte hain. Is case mein, price ka moving averages ke neeche cross hona yeh mazid confirm karta hai ke bears control mein hain aur market neeche jaane ka pressure mehsoos kar raha hai.

Is ke ilawa, UK mein economic uncertainty, jaise ke inflation ke concerns, political instability, aur economic growth par chintayein, bhi British pound par bojh daal rahi hain. Traders inn risks ko apne trades mein shamil kar rahe hain, jo shayad pound par increased selling pressure ka sabab ban raha hai. Aage jaake, key support levels par nazar rakhna bohot zaroori hoga GBP/USD ke liye. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehti hai, toh agla major support level yeh samajhne mein madad karega ke pair ko selling pressure se kuch relief kahan mil sakta hai. Dosri taraf, koi bhi bullish reversal us waqt tak expected nahi hai jab tak price dobara moving averages ke upar nahi chali jati aur pehle ke resistance levels ko break.

GBP/USD ka recent price action daily time frame par range-bound market se bearish outlook ki taraf shift ho gaya hai, jahan pair ne key support aur moving averages ke neeche breakout kiya hai. Yeh shift yeh suggest karta hai ke guzishte hafte mein bears ne momentum hasil kiya hai, aur yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke yeh trend barqarar rahta hai ya nahi

GBP/USD currency pair filhal ek modest trend dikhata hai, jo technical factors aur economic data ke asar ke darmiyan balance bana raha hai. Shuru mein, yeh pair bearish momentum barqarar rakhne ki umeed thi, lekin 1.2995 level par mazboot support milne ke baad market sentiment shift hua aur yeh 55-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA-55) 1.3125 ki taraf wapas aaya. Yeh reversal ek Doji candle ke zariye darust hua jo ek lambi bearish candle ke baad bana, jo potential indecision aur buying interest ke barhne ki nishani hai.

Technical tor par, GBP/USD ab bhi ek curved head and shoulder pattern ko trace kar raha hai, lekin neckline breakout ke bagair, bearish outlook abhi tak uncertain hai. EMA-55 ab key resistance level ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, aur yahan rejection hone par pullback ho sakta hai, jo neckline ke neeche break karne ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo bearish trend ko confirm karega. Doosri taraf, agar yeh pair EMA-55 ke upar break karta hai, to yeh stronger bullish reversal ka ishara de sakta hai.

Is dauran, US dollar index, kabhi-kabhi kamzori ke nishan dikhate hue, fundamentally mazboot hai, jiske targets 104.58 aur 106.15 hain. Yeh taqat GBP/USD mein prolonged gains ki sambhavna ko limit kar sakti hai.

Economic data ne GBP/USD ke movement ko shape karne mein ahm kirdar ada kiya hai. Haal ka UK September retail sales report unexpectedly positive raha, jismein sales mein 0.3% ka izafa hua, jabke pehle se andaza lagaya gaya tha ke -0.4% ki kami aayegi. Saal dar saal, consumer expenditure index 3.9% tak chala gaya, jo August ke revised figure 2.5% aur anticipated 3.2% se zyada hai. Office for National Statistics ke mutabiq, yeh growth zyada tar department stores aur doosri non-food outlets se aayi, jo UK mein resilient consumer activity ka ishara karti hai.

Zyada behtar retail data ne Bank of England ke monetary policy outlook ka dobarah jaiza lene par majboor kiya. Pehle yeh speculation thi ke BoE rate cuts par ghoor kar sakta hai jab services sector ka inflation rate 4.9% tak gir gaya, lekin mazboot retail performance ne is sambhavna ko kam kar diya hai. Saath hi, US dollar bhi favorable economic indicators ki wajah se mazboot hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke Federal Reserve hawkish stance barqarar rakh sakta hai, jo GBP/USD par pressure daal raha hai.

Aage dekhte hue, is pair ki movement zyada tar upcoming data releases par depend karegi, dono UK aur US se, khaaskar inflation, employment, aur broader economic trends ke hawale se.

GBP/USD currency pair abhi ek dheemi chal mein hai, jahan technical factors aur economic data ka asar hai. Shuru mein, yeh pair bearish momentum mein tha, lekin 1.2995 level par strong support mila, jo market ka rukh badal kar reversal ka sabab bana towards EMA-55 at 1.3125. Is reversal ko ek Doji candle ne mark kiya jo ek lambi bearish candle ke baad bana, jo indecision aur buying interest ke izafa ki nishani hai. Technical tor par, GBP/USD ab bhi ek curved head and shoulder pattern ko trace kar raha hai, lekin neckline breakout ke baghair bearish outlook ab tak unclear hai. EMA-55 filhal ek key resistance level hai, aur agar yahan se rejection hota hai, toh pullback aa sakta hai jo neckline ke break hone ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo bearish trend ko confirm karega. Waisay agar yeh pair EMA-55 se upar breakout karta hai, toh ek stronger bullish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Is dauran, US dollar index, kabhi kabhi weakness dikhata hai, magar ab tak fundamentally strong hai, jiska target 104.58 aur 106.15 hai. Yeh strength GBP/USD ki prolonged gains ko limit kar sakti hai.
Economic data ne GBP/USD ki movement mein ahem kirdar ada kiya hai. UK September retail sales report kaafi positive thi, jisme 0.3% ka izafa hua, jabke forecast -0.4% decline ka tha. Saal bhar ke lihaz se, consumer expenditure index 3.9% tak barh gaya, jo August ke revised figure 2.5% aur anticipated 3.2% se zyada tha. Office for National Statistics ke mutabiq, yeh growth zyada revenues ki wajah se hui department stores aur non-food outlets mein, jo ke UK mein mazboot consumer activity ko dikhata hai. Retail data ki strength ne Bank of England ke monetary policy outlook ko bhi dubara assess karne par majboor kiya. Pehle yeh afwah thi ke BoE rate cuts par ghoor kar raha hai services sector ki inflation rate ke 4.9% par girne ke baad, lekin strong retail performance ne is possibility ko kam kar diya hai. Saath hi, US dollar favorable economic indicators ki wajah se mazboot hai, jo Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ko barqarar rakhne ka imkaan hai, aur yeh GBP/USD par aur pressure daal sakta hai. Aage chal kar, is pair ki movement dono UK aur US ke upcoming data releases par mabni hogi, khaaskar inflation, employment aur broader economic trends ke hawale se.

GBP/USD pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai kyunki moving average lines ne ab tak koi positive crossover signal nahi diya. Magar price ne upar ki taraf correction ki hai aur lagbhag 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke qareeb 1.3074 tak pohonch chuki hai. Ye upward correction mukhtasir ho sakti hai aur price wapas 61.8% ya 50% Fibonacci retracement levels par aa sakti hai jo 1.3052 ya 1.3037 ke qareeb hain. Is ke baad hi price apni downward momentum ko jari rakh sakti hai, jo ke bearish trend ke mutabiq hoga.

Price ne 200-day simple moving average ko cross kiya tha jo dynamic resistance ke taur par kaam kar rahi thi, magar phir wapas gir kar 50-day exponential moving average ya 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke qareeb 1.3022 tak agayi. Lagta hai ke yeh phir se bounce back kar rahi hai towards 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, jo ke 200-day simple moving average ke qareeb hai. Agar price 200-day simple moving average ke upar rahti hai, toh bearish trend kamzor ho sakta hai. Magar overall price pattern lower low aur lower high show kar raha hai, jo ke trend reversal ka koi indication nahi deta. Upward correction ko aage barhna hoga jab tak ke price 1.3101 ke higher price par invalidation level ko cross na kar le. Price ne new lower low pattern form kiya hai low prices par 1.2973 ke qareeb, jo ke 1.3020 ke low prices ko cross kar chuka hai. Lekin upward correction Fibonacci Retracement level 78.6% tak 1.3074 par pohonch sakti hai, jo ke downward rally ko naya lower low pattern banane mein mushkil kar sakti hai, jo 1.2973 ke neeche ho, kyunki rising price high of 1.3101 ke qareeb hai.

Stochastic indicator yeh suggest karta hai ke price mazeed upward correct ho sakti hai kyunki parameters ab tak overbought zone mein enter nahi hue hain, jo ke 90-80 level par hota hai, aur yeh show karta hai ke buying saturation point ab tak confirm nahi hua. Is ka matlab hai ke price ko 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level 1.3052 ya 200-period Simple Moving Average ko as a dynamic resistance test karne ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator bhi uptrend momentum ko support kar raha hai, kyunki histogram positive area mein ya 0 ke upar hai aur iska volume dobara se widen ho raha hai.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis
Sterling ne pichle haftay key support level 1.3082 ko break kar k downtrend ko continue karne ki koshish ki, lekin zyada aagay nahi ja saka. Iss level se neeche girne ke baad, price limited range mein fluctuate hui, naye price zones mein stabilize hui, aur target area tak nahi pohanch saki. Yani ke, expected deficit sirf hissa hi pura hua hai aur ab tak remain karta hai. Is waqt price chart abhi bhi supertrend red zone mein hai, jo ye indicate karta hai ke sellers abhi bhi control mein hain.

Technical front par, aaj hum bearish hain, relying on a reversal in the simple moving average jo ke price par upward pressure daal sakta hai. Price temporarily 1.3120 se neeche gir sakti hai. Bearish bias tabhi valid ho ga jab hum clear aur strong break dekhein key support level 1.3070 ka, jo humein help kare ga 1.3040 aur 1.3000 tak pohanchne ke liye. Agar pair 1.3070 se upar successfully consolidate kar leta hai, to short-term mein ek upward wave ka attempt ho sakta hai, jiska initial target 1.3160 zone mein hoga.



Pair iss waqt apne weekly low se thoda neeche trade kar raha hai. Key resistance zone ab tak intact hai, jo previous downward vector ko relevant rakhta hai. Aagay barhne ke liye, price ko jaldi se 1.3082 ke neeche consolidate karna hoga, jahan par main resistance zone ka border hai. Is area ka retest aur phir downside par pullback ka chance milay ga move ko target area ki taraf continue karne ka, jo 1.2914 aur 1.2788 ke darmiyan hai.

Agar resistance break hota hai aur price 1.3170 ke reversal level ko breach karti hai, to current scenario cancel ho jaye ga.

Trading week ke khatam hone par, GBP/USD ne apni short-term rebound bounce ko jari rakha, lekin ek jaane pehchane congestion zone mein wapas aa gaya aur midweek mein 1.3000 mark par girne se sirf thodi bohat nuksan ki bharpai ki. Behtar-than-expected UK retail sales data ne pound sterling ko support diya, aur general market mein Greenback kharidari ki kami ne bhi iski gains ko aage barhaya.

UK ki retail sales September mein 0.3% barh gayi, jabke August mein 1.0% ki growth dekhi gayi thi, lekin yeh phir bhi -0.3% ke mutawaqqi contraction se kafi zyada behtar hai. GBP bidders ko ek break ki zaroorat thi jab unhein UK ke poor data ka samna karna pada. Ab cable bulls ko agle hafte Thursday ko aane wale UK Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ka intezaar karna hoga.

Jumeraat ko jari kiye gaye mixed US housing aur construction data ne investors ki purchasing sentiment ko mazid mazboot kar diya aur kisi aane wali economic downturn ki fikr ko door kar diya. Growth aur activity ke measures jo projections se kaafi behtar the, ke sath saath behtareen Retail Sales statistics ne US ke "soft landing" scenario ko door kar diya.

### GBP/USD Price Forecast

GBP/USD ne recent lows se recovery dikhai hai aur 1.3000 level ke qareeb kuch resiliency dikhayi hai; lekin, yeh recovery ab bhi 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.3094 ke aas-paas hai, se limited hai aur yeh ab ek important resistance ke taur par kaam kar raha hai. 50-day EMA ab 1.3052 par hai, aur agar isko successfully break kiya gaya, toh yeh ek zyada positive reversal ki nishani hogi. Lekin agar yeh pair 1.3100 resistance zone ke neeche rahta hai, toh overall nazar ab bhi neutral se negative hai. Agar yeh level break nahi hota, toh bears phir se active ho sakte hain, jahan 200-day EMA 1.2844 par ek crucial support level hai.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ab bhi negative trends dikhata hai; downward pressure bana hua hai kyunki signal line MACD line ke neeche hai. Dusri taraf, histogram shrink hota hua dikh raha hai, jo shayad jaldi momentum mein badlav ka ishara de raha hai. Agar 50-day EMA ko lagataar break kiya gaya, toh 1.3150 aur 1.3200 levels ka test ho sakta hai; lekin agar yeh nahi hota, toh further selling ka samna karna pad sakta hai, jahan 1.2900 support zone target ho sakta hai. Investors ko agle move ko validate karne ke liye ek distinct directional break ka intezaar karna chahiye.

Aap mere chart k dekh sakty hain, GBP/USD ka H4 timeframe par analysis suggest karta hai ke price abhi downward trend mein hai, lekin ek potential bullish reversal ka chance hai. Chart par ek descending trendline draw ki gayi hai jo price ko neeche ki taraf restrict kar rahi thi. Lekin ab lagta hai ke price is trendline ke qareeb hai aur ek breakout ka signal de rahi hai. Agar price is trendline ko upar break kar leti hai, to agle resistance level tak pahunchne ke imkaanat barh jayenge.Jo major resistance dikhai de raha hai, wo 1.3154 par hai. Chart par aap dekh sakte hain ke price ne pehle is level ko multiple times test kiya hai, lekin wahan se wapas neeche chali gayi thi. Agar is dafa price is level ko break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh ek strong bullish move ka indication hoga.Neeche, RSI indicator bhi ek moderate bullish divergence ka indication de raha hai. RSI ne 50 ke aas paas support liya hai aur agar yeh upar ki taraf move karta hai, to yeh confirmation ho sakta hai ke buyers market mein strength hasil kar rahe hain. Agar RSI 70 ke qareeb pahunchta hai, to overbought condition bhi consider ki ja sakti hai, jahan se price wapas neeche aa sakti hai.Is analysis ke base par, traders ke liye yeh aham hoga ke wo trendline break ka intezar karein aur uske baad long positions consider karein, pehla target 1.3154 par set kar sakte hain. Agar price fail hoti hai aur neeche aati hai, to 1.2972 ke aas paas ka level strong support provide karega.mujhe umeed hai ap mere analysis samjh gaye hongy jis say ap k kal din aik achi trade mil sakti hai jis say ap acha profit earn kar sakty hain

Technical Analysis of GBP/USD

Sterling ne pichle hafte shuru hone wale downtrend ko jaari rakhne ki koshish ki jab usne key support level 1.3082 ko break kiya, lekin wo zyada aage nahi ja paaya. Is level se neeche girne ke baad, price ek had tak fluctuate hui, naye price zones mein stabilize hui, aur target area tak nahi pahuncha. Is tarah, jo expected deficit tha wo kuch had tak realize ho gaya hai aur ab tak waisa hi hai. Iske ilawa, price chart abhi bhi supertrend red zone mein hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers abhi bhi control mein hain.

Technical taur par, aaj hum bearish hain, simple moving average mein reversal par rely karte hue taake price par upward pressure dal sake. Price shayad temporarily 1.3120 se neeche gir jaye. Bearish bias yeh zaroori karta hai ke hum key support level 1.3070 ka ek clear aur strong break dekhein, jo 1.3040 aur 1.3000 tak pahunchnay ke liye zaroori hai. Agar pair 1.3070 se upar successfully consolidate hoti hai, toh yeh short term mein upward wave banane ki koshish kar sakti hai, jiska initial target 1.3160 region ho sakta hai. Chart neeche dekhein:

**Technical Analysis of GBP/USD**

Pair is filhal apne weekly low se thoda neeche trade kar rahi hai. Key resistance zone abhi bhi intact hai, jo dikhata hai ke pehle ka downward vector ab bhi relevant hai. Aage barhne ke liye, price ko jaldi se 1.3082 ke neeche consolidate karna hoga, jahan main resistance zone abhi maujood hai. Is area ka retest aur baad mein neeche ki taraf pullback milkar target area (1.2914 se 1.2788 ke beech) ki taraf aage barhne ka mauka dega.

Is waqt ka scenario tab cancel ho jayega agar resistance break hota hai aur price reversal level 1.3170 ko break karti hai.

Trading week ko close karte hue, GBP/USD ne apne short-term rebound ko continue kiya, lekin woh ek mashhoor congestion zone mein wapas aa gaya aur midweek ke 1.3000 mark tak ke girawat se sirf thoda sa hissa recover kiya. Behtar UK retail sales data ne pound sterling ko support diya, aur Greenback ki kharidari mein general market ki sukoon ne bhi gains ko madad di.

UK ke retail sales September mein 0.3% barh gaye, jabke August mein 1.0% ki growth ko ulat kar diya, lekin phir bhi yeh umeed se kaafi zyada tha, jo -0.3% contraction ki thi. GBP bidders ko kuch araam ki zarurat thi, kyonki unhein poor UK data ka kaafi samna karna pada. Ab, cable bulls ko UK Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ka intezar karna padega, jo agle hafte Thursday ko aaney ki umeed hai.

Jumre ko release hui mixed US housing aur construction data ne investors ke purchasing sentiment ko mazid mazboot kiya aur kisi bhi impending economic downturn ki chinta ko door kar diya. Growth aur activity measures projections se kaafi upar hain, saath hi is hafte pehle release hui positive Retail Sales statistics ne US ke "soft landing" scenario ko bachane mein madad di.

### GBP/USD Price Forecast

Recent lows se recover hone ke baad, GBP/USD ne 1.3000 level ke qareeb kuch resilience dikhayi hai; lekin recovery abhi bhi 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 1.3094 ke aas-paas hai, se limit hai, jo ab ek ahm resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai. 50-day EMA ab 1.3052 par trade ho rahi hai, aur agar is par successfully break hota hai, to yeh ek positive reversal ka ishaara dega. Lekin agar pair 1.3100 resistance zone ke neeche rahta hai, to overall nazariya abhi bhi neutral se negative hai. Agar yeh level nahi toota, to bears wapas market mein aa sakte hain, jahan 200-day EMA 1.2844 par crucial support level hai.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ab bhi negative trends dikhata hai; downward pressure barqarar hai kyunki signal line MACD line ke neeche hai. Dusri taraf, histogram chhota hota dikh raha hai, jo shayad momentum mein jaldi tabdeel hone ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Agar 50-day EMA ko musalsal toota gaya, to 1.3150 aur 1.3200 levels ka test ho sakta hai; lekin agar aisa nahi hota, to bechne ka silsila jaari reh sakta hai, jiska maqsad 1.2900 support zone hoga. Investors ko agle move ko validate karne ke liye ek saaf directional break ka intezar karna chahiye.

**GBP/USD Technical Overview:**

**H4 Time Frame Technical Analysis:**

H4 chart par, GBP/USD ke kharidaaron ne haal hi mein 1.3069 par ek mukhya upar ki taraf ka impulse tayar kiya hai. Magar, overall market ka context abhi tak nafrat bhara hai. Agar daam support zone 1.3020–1.3000 ke neeche gir jata hai, to upar ki taraf ke movement par shikayat ho sakti hai. Yeh support area bullish jazbat ko sambhalne ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai, aur agar yeh tut gaya to bearish pressure ke barhne ki sambhavana hai.

Mukhya resistance level 1.3069 par hai. Agar daam is level ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to yeh primary upward impulse ko activate karega, jo further gains ke liye rasta kholega. Is potential upward movement ke target levels 1.3129 aur 1.3166 par hain, jo pehli impulse zone ko darshate hain.

Haal ki trading dynamics ko dekhte hue, meri strategy yeh hai ke main 1.3020–1.3000 zone ke andar kharidne par ghoor karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke Friday ki bullish candle mein mazboot volume ki kami thi, jo ke Monday ke trading session ke shuruat mein southward pullback ki sambhavana ko barhata hai. In levels aur market ke reactions ko monitor karna agle qadam tay karne ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai.

GBP/USD trading instrument ne pichle hafte mein kamiyabi ka silsila jaari rakha, jab ke yeh apne tay kiye gaye channel mein raha, jab ke EUR/USD pair ke muqabil. Khaskar, daam ne 1.29894 ke critical level ko tod diya, jo ke haal ke trend movement ka extreme hai aur ek ahm support point hai. Pichle weekly candle ka rawaya, jo ek bullish pinbar ke taur par band hui, bullish potential ka ikattha hona darshata hai. Yeh pattern yeh darshata hai ke market ke hissedaron ko reversal ya kam se kam correction ke liye tayar ho sakte hain. Jab tak yeh support lambay arse tak mazboot rehne ki sambhavana hai, pinbar ka hona yeh ishara deta hai ke daam bekar nahi rahega aur ya to bullish movement ya trading activity mein izafa ho sakta hai jab traders is potential shift ka jawab dene lagte hain. Agle price action ko monitor karna zaroori hai taake yeh confirm ho sake ke bullish momentum asal mein ban sakta hai ya nahi.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Analysis:**

GBP/USD D1 jorh ab ek ahm marhale par hai, jahan agle kuch dinon mein upar ki taraf ek reversal hone ki strong sambhavana hai. 1.3045 aur 1.3000 ke darmiyan ka key support zone pichle kuch dinon se mazboot hai, jo ke kharidne ki dilchaspi ko darshata hai. Haal ki price action ne 11 September ke minimums ko update kiya hai, sath hi is critical support ka ek jhoota breakout bhi hua hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bechne wale daam ko neeche khinchne mein mushkil mehsoos kar rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, current levels ke neeche ek zone ki maujoodgi bullish jazbat ki nishani hai. Agar daam is support area ke upar apni position bana sakta hai, to yeh momentum mein tabdeeli ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo upar ki taraf movement ka rasta kholega. Yeh analysis aage ke developments aur market ke reactions ko monitor karne ki ahmiyat ko darshata hai taake reversal ki sambhavana ko confirm kiya ja sake.

Daam ne 1.29894 se positive movement kiya hai, lekin ab isay pichle price drop area ke kareeb ahm resistance ka samna karna hai. Yeh zone aur current trading level mil kar ek rukawat tayar karte hain, jise daam ko upar ki taraf movement jaari rakhne ke liye paar karna hoga. Jab ke chhote arse ka trend bearish hai, lekin market reversal ki sambhavana hai. Daam abhi bhi kuch aur downward pressure ka samna kar sakta hai agle direction tay karne se pehle. Kisi bhi girawat ke baad market ke reaction ko dekhna ahmiyat rakhta hai taake yeh assess kiya ja sake ke kya sustained rally mumkin hai ya bearish trend jaari rahega. Yeh reaction kharidne ki dilchaspi ko bechne wale pressure ke muqablay mein jaanchne mein madad karega.

Somwar ko, dhyaan is baat par hoga ke market kitni smoothly khulta hai aur kya yeh Friday ke maximum ko paar kar sakta hai, khaaskar 23.6% retracement level par 1.3085. Yeh key level humein GBP/USD jorh ke potential direction ko jaanchne mein madad karega, khaaskar market closure ke baad, jo aksar dono taraf ke prospects ko badal deta hai. Jab ke main marginal zones ki tafseel mein nahi jaunga, lekin yeh dekhna ahmiyat rakhta hai ke recent sales range ka test price reaction ko saaf darshata hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke market ka jazbat sensitive hai. Is context ko dekhte hue, further upward correction ki sambhavana 50/50 lagti hai, yani continuation ya resistance. Isliye, somwar ki price action hamari agle nigaah aur trading strategies ko tay karne mein pivotal hogi.

GBP/USD Profit Potential

Humari guftagu ab GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya hogi. Order book ke mutabiq, is waqt GBP/USD currency pair mein sellers ka ghalib hona dikhai de raha hai. Is pair mein nichey ki taraf kaafi potential hai, jo ke 1.3094 ke level par sellers ki significant accumulation ke zariye support hota hai. Aik trading strategy ke tor par, 1.3094 se sell ka sochna chahiye, jahan initial take-profit target 1.2994 rakha ja sakta hai aur stop-loss 1.3124 par ho. Agar price 1.3124 ke upar consolidate hoti hai, to doosray scenarios ka imkaan ho sakta hai.

Pound ne Monday ko decline ke sath shuruwat ki thi, jab usne 1.31129 support level ko break kiya. Isne aik sell signal generate kiya jo ke 1.30271 tak tha, aur Thursday ko yeh materialize hua, jo us haftay ka ek waahid notable signal tha. Price ne Friday ko range-bound raha, aur resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan close kiya. Agar 1.31129 resistance break hoti hai, to 1.31839 tak buying opportunities dikhai de sakti hain. Jab price 1.31129 ke upar stabilize hoti hai, to agla bullish target 1.31839 ho sakta hai, jab ke bearish target 1.29188 shift ho sakta hai agar 1.30118 support ka breakdown hota hai.

Friday ko bears ne apni taqat ko khatam kar diya, jahan price ko critical 1.299 level tak push kar diya gaya tha jab sales conclude hui. H4 chart ka tajziya kartay huay, GBP/USD pair 1.3049 tak recover hua, jahan buyers ne aik false breakout ke baad mazeed losses ko rok diya. Aik corrective pattern form hua hai, jo ke potential buying opportunity offer karta hai taake price ko barhaya ja sake. Ular drivers bhi thak chuke hain. Aik ahem factor jo potential pound rally ko support karta hai woh yeh hai ke price 1.299 level ke neeche sustain nahi kar saka, aur daily aur weekly charts bhi suggest karte hain ke buyers ghalib aa sakte hain. Short-term mein pound ka target 1.3149 aur phir 1.3249 ho sakta hai. 1.3249 se ek zig-zag correction pehle ke levels tak wapas aa sakti hai, jo long positions mein add karne ka aik moka de sakti hai jab tak upward movement wapas shuru hota hai.

گزشتہ جمعہ کو، جوڑی نے اپنی حالیہ کمی کو روک دیا، اور ہفتے کے شروع میں تقریباً 1.2750 کی کم سطح کو چھونے کے بعد دوبارہ 1.2800 تک چڑھ گئی۔ مارکیٹ کے جذبات میں مثبت موڑ آیا کیونکہ سرمایہ کاروں نے فیڈرل ریزرو کے حکام کے محتاط تبصروں کو نظر انداز کرتے ہوئے سست ہوتی ہوئی امریکی معیشت کے درمیان ستمبر میں ممکنہ شرح سود میں کمی کی توقعات پر توجہ مرکوز کی۔

امریکی اقتصادی اشاریے افراط زر کی ممکنہ سست روی اور فیڈ کی شرح کٹوتی کی توقعات کی طرف اشارہ کرتے ہیں:

پچھلے ہفتے کمزور امریکی صارفین اور پیداواری قیمتوں نے افراط زر میں ممکنہ سست روی کا اشارہ دیا۔ مزید برآں، امریکی درآمدی قیمتوں میں غیر متوقع کمی نے گھریلو افراط زر کے نقطہ نظر کو مزید مضبوط کیا۔ جون میں امریکی صارفین کے جذبات میں تیزی سے کمی کے ساتھ مل کر، یہ عوامل ستمبر میں فیڈ کی شرح میں کمی کی امیدوں کو بڑھاتے ہیں، جو کہ دسمبر میں ایک اور کٹوتی کے ساتھ ممکن ہے۔

آگے دیکھتے ہوئے، پاؤنڈ اسٹرلنگ کے لیے مارکیٹ میں اتار چڑھاؤ جاری رہنے کی توقع ہے، خاص طور پر بینک آف انگلینڈ کی سود کی شرح کے فیصلے کے ساتھ جو جمعرات کو طے شدہ ہے۔ یہ بڑے پیمانے پر متوقع ہے کہ BoE اپنی موجودہ

**GBP/USD Analysis 07 July 2024**

Daily aur H4 time frames par chart ko observe karke, hum GBP/USD currency pair ki movement ka zyada comprehensive tasveer hasil kar sakte hain. Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, dominant market trend ab bhi bullish phase mein move kar raha hai. Halanki pichle hafte price movement ko upar uthne mein rukawat hui aur 1.2614 level tak girne ka pressure tha, lekin uske baad dobara uthne ki koshish hui. Overall, daily time frame par market conditions bullish move dikhati hain. Market structure ko dekh kar bohot wazeh hai ke price ab bhi upward phase mein hai. Graph ki analysis ke natije ab bhi dikhate hain ke GBP/USD currency pair ki movement is hafte bhi pichle hafte jaisi ho sakti hai jahan market consistently buyers ke control mein thi.

June ki trading session ki history par nazar dalain to beech hafte mein market par pressure tha jis se prices drop hui, lekin phir market ne dobara upar move kiya kyun ke buyers ab bhi dominant the. Agle hafte ke liye, yeh expected hai ke market movement dominant bullish market conditions ko continue karegi jo ke 1.2860 price level ke range tak increase ko target karegi. Major time frame par market trend conditions ab bhi bullish hain, agle hafte ke liye main BUY trading position mein enter karne ka mauka dekhne par concentrate karunga agar bullish trend continue kar sakta hai, kyun ke phir price movement dobara upar ja sakti hai. Current price condition abhi ruk gayi hai kyun ke market band hai. Agar agle hafte mein dobara increase signal milta hai, to is hafte ke trend mein mazeed increase ke liye potential zyada valid hoga.

GBP/USD Analysis aur Market Outlook


Salam, colleagues! Jaise ke humne Friday ko dekha, GBP/USD jo jorh nahi dikhaya. Pehlay, Britain se positive impulse mila, jisne pair ko ek aham resistance level, jo EMA50 par hai, 1.3060 par test karne ka mauqa diya. Iske baad, pair ek range mein trade hota raha jo Monday tak chali gayi, khaaskar 1.3060 aur EMA20, jo 1.3030 par hai, ke darmiyan.
Economic Context


Ab iska ma’ashi context samajhna zaroori hai jo GBP/USD ko asar daal raha hai. Bank of England (BoE) se ye umeed hai ke wo interest rates ko kam karega, jo British pound par aur dabao daal sakta hai. UK ke halia ma’ashi indicators chintajanak hain aur yeh USA ke indicators se kaafi peeche hain. Yeh farq kisi bhi upward movement ki sustainability par sawal uthata hai.

Mujhe GBP/USD pair ke liye kisi bhi significant upward momentum ke liye kaafi shak hai. Ma’ashi pehlu aise nahi lagte ke pound ko mazid taqat milegi, khaaskar jab BoE se rate cuts ki umeed hai.
Technical Analysis


Technical taur par, hum jo levels dekh rahe hain woh critical hain. 1.3060 par resistance, jo EMA50 se milta hai, ek aham rukawat ban sakta hai. Agar pair is level se rebound karta hai, to yeh downtrend ka jaari rehne ka ishara ho sakta hai. Is tarah, agar price 1.3120 resistance ko hold karne mein nakam hoti hai, to yeh bearish sentiment ko confirm kar sakta hai.

Agar pair 1.3120 par mazboot taur par move kare, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke correction abhi tak mukammal nahi hui hai aur yeh higher levels ki taraf barh sakta hai. Lekin, 1.3060 aur 1.3120 dono par reversal ka potential mazboot hai.
Conclusion


Aakhir mein, GBP/USD pair ek critical juncture par hai. 1.3060 aur 1.3030 ke darmiyan trading range yeh tay karegi ke agle moves kya honge. Jabke correction ka mauqa hai, lekin ma’ashi indicators aur Bank of England ki umeedon ke mutabiq, bearish outlook barqarar hai.

Traders ko in key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunke market dynamics jaldi badal sakte hain. Agle kuch sessions is faislay mein aham honge ke kya pair mazid declines dekhega ya phir resistance levels ko tod kar correction ki taraf barhega. Ma’ashi releases aur central bank ke bayanat par bhi nazar rakhna zaroori hoga, kyunki yeh GBP/USD pair ki agle hafton mein expectations ko shape karega.