جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai. GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti hai. Bade wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ka assumption le sakte hain. Filhal ye ek three-wave structure hai, lekin ye five-wave structure mein bhi transform ho Click image for larger versions

GBP/USD ke case mein, upward engulfing pattern yeh reflect karta hai ke traders mein optimism barh raha hai ke pound dollar ke muqable mein qareebi waqt mein mazid taqat hasil kar sakta hai. 1.3395 ka level bohot zyada ahem hai kyun ke yeh woh point hai jahan buying interest barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. GBP/USD mein long positions lene wale traders ke liye yeh level attractive ho sakta hai ke apni positions open ya aur zyada badhayein, kyun ke engulfing pattern yeh zahir karta hai ke price yahan se barh sakti hai. Lekin broader market conditions aur kisi bhi resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo upward momentum ko rok sakte hain.
Pullback ka Imkaan
Is bullish signal ke bawajood, kuch indications hain ke price mein ek pullback ho sakta hai jab tak ke upward move mazeed barh na jaye. Short positions ya "shorts" kaafi imkaan hai ke 1.3310 ke aas paas profit lena shuru kar dein, jo un traders ka level hai jo pair mein temporary decline ka soch rahe hain. Yeh pullback market ko consolidation ka waqt de sakta hai, jisse price ko mazeed strength mil sakti hai taake phir se higher levels ki taraf move karein.
Rollback 1.3340 ya 1.3370 tak bhi ho sakta hai, jahan short sellers is opportunity ka faida utha sakte hain ke price apne upward momentum ko sustain nahi kar paa rahi. Yeh levels support aur resistance areas ke tor par kaam karte hain jahan price action zyada volatile ho sakta hai jab mukhtalif traders apni positions adjust karte hain.
Nazar Rakhne Wale Ahem Factors
Bohot se fundamental factors GBP/USD pair ki direction ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. UK aur US se anay wali economic data bohot ahem role ada karegi ke pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed taqat hasil karta hai ya nahi. Maslan, agar UK ki GDP growth ya inflation data mazid strong aati hai, toh pound ko aur support milne ka imkaan hai. Dusri taraf, agar UK economy mein koi weakness hoti hai, toh traders long positions lene mein ehtiyaat karenge.
Isi tarah, US dollar ke developments bhi pair par asar dal sakte hain. Dollar ko rising interest rate expectations ka faida ho raha hai, aur agar Federal Reserve mazeed aggressive monetary tightening ka signal deta hai, toh dollar mazeed taqat hasil kar sakta hai, jisse GBP/USD ko upward move sustain karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD ANALYSIS

US dollar index (DXY) ne is hafta mazboot izafa dekha, jise November mein 25 basis point ki Fed rate cut ki umeedon aur Middle East mein badhne wale tensions ki wajah se safe-haven flows ne barhawa diya. Dosri taraf, GBP/USD pair ne BoE Governor Bailey ke comments ke baad tez sell-off dekha.

NFP report aur US ka berozgaari ka rate kal DXY aur GBP/USD ke liye ahem catalysts honge. US dollar index ne 4th quarter ka aghaz zabardast tareeqe se kiya hai. Iss hafta US dollar mein 1.57% ka izafa hua hai. Hafta ke aghaz mein yeh consensus tha ke November mein Fed se 25 basis point ka izafa ho sakta hai, jo US dollar ki recovery ka sabab bana.

Former Fed policymaker William Dudley ke comments ne iss hawa ko aur tez kar diya. Dudley ne Fed Chairman Powell ke comments ki tayeed ki jisme Chairman ne 50 basis point cut ko rule out kar diya tha. US dollar ko iss hafta safe-haven flows ka bhi faida pohancha, kyonke Middle East ke tensions ne greenback ki position mazboot ki. Yeh recovery us waqt aayi jab US dollar ke bohat se peers dovishness ka shikar ho rahe hain, jo EUR/USD, GBP/USD aur USD/JPY jese pairs mein zyada nuksan ka sabab bana.



US Dollar Index (DXY) ka technical analysis: DXY is hafta chaar din ki winning streak par tha, magar ab four-hour chart (H4) par overbought territory mein hai. 102.00 ke handle ke thoda upar ek key resistance area hai jo kal ke NFP report se pehle gains ko limit kar sakta hai.

Assalam Alaikum!
Takniki ishare 1.3000 ke nishan tak mumkena kami ka ishara kar rahe hain. Bahar hal, abhi market se dur rahna behtar hai, kiyunkeh kal ki sideways movement ke bad yah andazah lagana mushkil hai keh qimat kahan jayegi.
Filhal, pound/dollar ka joda 1.3102 ki muzahmati satah se niche mazbuti se rahne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo 76.4% Fibonacci level ke sath mawafiq hai, jo keh market me tezi ke jazbat ki nishandahi karta hai. Aakhir kar, is muzahmati satah ke false breakout ke bad ooper ki taraf raftar hasil karne ki koshish nakam rahi, din ke ikhtetam tak qimat 1.3102 se niche gir gayi.
Meri rai me, ab jodi farokht karna mahfuz hai kiyunkeh 1.3102 ki satah se thik ooper stop-loss order hai. Agar yah trigger hota hai to, aap aasani se apni positions ko ooper ki taraf mod sakte hain.
Agar qimat aaj 1.3000 ki support satah ko todti hai ya September me darj muqami nichli satah se niche girti hai to, yah mukammal mandi ke rujhan ka ishara hoga.



1-ghante ka chart wazeh taur par zahir karta hai keh Bartanwi pound sideways me drift kar raha hai. Lehaza, aap ko qimat ke sideways channel se bahar nikalne ka intezar karna hoga aur uske bad hi breakout ki simt me trade kholna hoga. Yah dekhte hue keh pound/dollar ka joda taqriban overbought hai, mujhe niche ki taraf movement dekhne ki ummid hai. 1.3034 ki support satah jo 138.2% Fibonacci level ke sath mawafiq hai, use qarib tarin hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Iske breakout ki surat me, jode ki girawat ka agla hadaf 1.2989 ki support satah hogi jo 161.8% Fibonacci level ke sath mawafiq hai.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis GBP/USD currency pair ki recent performance ne kaafi volatility ko showcase kiya hai, jo ke UK aur US ki economic factors se driven hai. Ek aham wajah jo pair ke upward trajectory ko support kar rahi hai, woh hai US dollar ki broader weakness. Hal hi mein, US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne report diya ke US GDP 2024 ke second quarter mein 3.0% se barha, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Yeh data positive tha, lekin dollar ki strength ko barhane ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Iske ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 218,000 par aa gaye, jo ke labor market ki resilience ko dikhata hai. Lekin, Federal Reserve officials jaise ke Fed Governor Lisa Cook ke dovish remarks ne dollar ke mixed outlook ko janam diya. Cook ne 50 basis point rate cut ka mashwara diya aur "downside risks" ko employment ke hawalay se point out kiya, jo ke Fed ki less aggressive monetary policy ka ishara deti hai. Yeh dovish sentiment dollar ko weak kar raha hai, jis se British pound GBP/USD pair mein mazid faida utha raha hai. Doosri taraf, UK ne bhi apni resilience dikhayi hai, khaaskar jab Bank of England ki monetary policy par concerns ka izhar kiya gaya tha. British pound ne recent tor par strength gain ki hai, jisse umeed hai ke BoE apna rate-tightening approach zyada arsay tak barkarar rakhe ga, inflationary pressures ke chalte. Pair ke upward momentum ko public participation ne bhi support kiya, jahan logon ne buying interest dikhaya. Halankeh, markets abhi bhi ehtiyat kar rahe hain, aur woh crucial economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. Yeh fundamental uncertainty, aur US aur UK ke divergent monetary policy outlooks, GBP/USD pair mein continued volatility ka stage tayar kar rahe hain. Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ne April se lekar steady uptrend maintain kiya hai, jo ke consistently 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se support ho raha hai. Pair ne hal hi mein 1.3434 ka high touch kiya, jo ke 2.5 saal ka peak tha, lekin 1.3427 ke aas paas kafi resistance ka samna karna para. September 25 ko bulls ne is key level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin woh kamiyab nahi ho sake, jis ke baad pair ne retracement ki taraf move kiya, wapas 34-day EMA ke taraf. Kai dafa higher push ki koshishon ke bawajood, bulls ko significant resistance levels par challenges ka samna karna para. Is waqt, price EMA ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai, aur jab tak yeh iss level ke upar hai, bullish sentiment barqarar rehne ki

اکتوبر 9 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

گزشتہ روز برطانوی پاؤنڈ کی قدر میں 21 پِپس کا اضافہ ہوا۔ یومیہ کینڈل، جو بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن کے نیچے کھلتی تھی، اس کے اوپر والے دن کا اختتام ہوا۔ 1.3080 سپورٹ کے ناکام ٹیسٹ کے بعد سیشن کو تیزی کے طور پر بھی دکھایا جا سکتا ہے۔ تکنیکی طور پر، ایک الٹ پلٹنا پیچیدہ ہے کیونکہ روزانہ کی موم بتیوں کی لاشیں پچھلے تین دنوں سے ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے نیچے رہتی ہیں۔



1.3141 کی مزاحمتی سطح سے اوپر اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر فیصلہ کن (تصدیق شدہ) بریک آؤٹ کے لیے مزید وقت اور اضافی بیرونی عوامل درکار ہیں۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.3080 کی سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہو رہی ہے، لیکن مجموعی طور پر، یہ 1.3080–1.3141 کی حد کے اندر رہتی ہے۔ کنسولیڈیشن ختم ہونے سے پہلے، مارلن آسیلیٹر پہلے ہی ترقی کے علاقے میں چلا گیا تھا، جس سے نیچے کی طرف بریک آؤٹ کے امکانات کم ہو گئے تھے۔

تاہم، قیمت اب بھی ایچ -٤ اور یومیہ چارٹس پر اشارے کی لکیروں سے نمایاں دباؤ میں ہے۔ قیمت میں کمی کا خطرہ اس وقت تک زیادہ رہتا ہے جب تک قیمت 1.3141 مزاحمتی سطح سے نیچے رہتی ہے۔ ہمیں مزید پیش رفت کا انتظار ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Aaj maine GBP/USD market pair ka tajzia kiya jo agle haftay ke liye trading choice banayi gayi hai. 4-hour time frame ke graph par agar dekha jaye, toh kal ke market halaat dikhaye gaye hain jo price area 1.3311 se safar ka aghaz kartay hue 1.3433 ke area position tak pohanchne ki koshish kar rahe thay. Bullish trend kal tak, yaani Thursday tak, jari raha. Trading period zyada lamba nahi tha, lekin phir bhi market ka safar upar ki taraf hi tha. Agar pichlay haftay ke market halaat dekhein, toh ab bhi bullish hi hain. Pichlay haftay ke trading session mein, market ne bullish trend dikhaya tha aur ek wide range ke saath price haftay bhar barh gayi thi, magar Saturday raat ko kuch correction dekhnay ko mili. Upar likha gaya tajzia yeh batata hai ke market abhi tak buyers ke qaboo mein hai. Jab journal update kiya gaya, toh price 1.3370 par ruk gayi thi. Aakhri do hafton mein, buyers, jo ke abhi bhi taqatwar hain, ne price ko mazeed ooper dhaka diya taake pichlay mahine ke low zone se nikal sake. Agle haftay ke liye meri prediction yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair bullish market ko jari rakhega. Yeh mumkin hai ke price phir se ooper ki taraf higher zone mein move karegi. Agar pichlay chand hafton ke trend pattern ko dekha jaye, toh market ek wide range mein upwards trend kar raha hai. Rally ka safar zyada taqatwar nahi ya phir ek chhoti range mein hai, lekin yeh mumkin hai ke rally aglay haftay bhi jari rahe, aur price forecast bhi ab upwards trend mein hai. Aaj subah ki candlestick bearish correction position mein band hui lekin abhi bhi 100-period simple moving average zone ke ooper hai, jo dikhata hai ke market bullish trend mein hai. Agar buyer 1.3402 ke price zone ko break kar sakay, toh bullish trend aglay haftay ke trading session mein bhi market par dominate kar sakta hai. Kayi buniyadi factors hain jo GBP/USD pair ke mustaqbil ke rukh par asar daal sakte hain. UK aur US dono ke economic data ahm kirdar ada karenge yeh tay karne mein ke kya pound apni dollar ke muqable mein taqat barqarar rakh sakega. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ka GDP growth, employment figures ya inflation data ummed se zyada behtar aata hai, toh pound ko mazeed support mil sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar UK mein kisi qisam ki economic kamzori ke asraat dikhai dene lagein, toh traders long positions hold karne mein ehtiyaat se kaam le sakte hain.

GBP/USD pair ne haali mein upper resistance level ka test kiya hai jo ke 1.3063 se 1.30937 ke range mein hai. Yeh ek ahem zone hai jo tareekhi tor par upward price movements ke liye ek strong barrier ka kaam karta hai. Yeh resistance level bulls ke liye ek mushkil rukawat sabit hua hai, kyunke jab bhi price is range ke qareeb aati hai, sellers market mein dobara aa kar price ko neeche dhakel dete hain. Traders ke liye yeh zone intehai ahem hai, khaaskar unke liye jo short position enter karne ka mauqa talash kar rahe hain.
Agar price dobara is resistance level tak retrace karti hai, to yeh short sellers ke liye ek behtareen entry point ban sakta hai. Is level ki tareekhi ahemiyat ko dekhte hue, yeh aksar ek pivot point ka kaam karta hai jahan momentum buyers se sellers ki taraf shift hota hai. Traders ko dekhna chahiye ke price jab 1.30788 se 1.30673 ke range ke qareeb aati hai to iska behavior kaisa hota hai, kyunke yeh zone baar baar market mein turning point ke tor par kaam karta raha hai. Is area mein aksar sellers dobara market mein shamil hote hain, downward pressure lagate hain, aur price ko reverse karte hain. Yeh wo prime location hai jahan traders price direction ke potential reversal ka faida utha sakte hain.

Tareekhi tor par, 1.30788 se 1.30673 ka range buyers aur sellers ke liye ek ahem battlefield raha hai. Is area mein aksar sellers dominate karte hain, jis ke natijay mein price retrace hoti hai aur pair neeche chala jata hai. Agar yeh pattern barqarar rehta hai, to resistance tak dobara retrace hone par price ko 1.3074 se 1.3057 ke level tak push kiya ja sakta hai. Jo traders bearish outlook rakhte hain, unko is resistance level ko short entries ke liye ek key zone samajhna chahiye, kyunke yeh baar baar ek ahem area sabit hota raha hai jahan sellers control hasil karte hain aur downward momentum shuru karte hain.

Lekin, traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur position enter karne se pehle confirmation ka intezaar karna chahiye. Is resistance zone ke aas paas price action se kaafi hints milenge ke market reverse hone wali hai ya bulls ek aur breakout ki koshish karenge. Traders ko yeh dekhna chahiye ke resistance zone se rejection ke signs aate hain ya nahi, jaise candlestick patterns jo selling pressure ko zahir karein, ya volume spikes jo sellers ke zyada hissa lene ka ishara de.

Mukhtasir mein, GBP/USD market mein 1.3063 se 1.30937 ka resistance level traders ke liye intehai ahem hai, khaaskar unke liye jo bearish outlook rakhte hain. Agar price is level tak retrace hoti hai, to yeh short sellers ke liye ek strong mauqa paish kar sakta hai. Tareekhi data yeh zahir karta hai ke aksar is zone ke aas paas sellers market mein aakar price ko neeche push karte hain, jo ke agle lower levels jaise ke 1.3074 aur 1.3057 tak giraawat ka sabab banta hai. Hamesha ki tarah, traders ko reversal ki confirmation ka intezaar karna chahiye pehle ke woh apne trades execute karein.

**GBP/USD Prices ka Tajziya** Hamari guftagu ka markaz GBP/USD currency pair ke live pricing movements ko decode karna hai. GBP/USD pair abhi bhi downward trend mein hai, jo mazeed girawat ke imkanaat ko zahir karta hai. Hal hi mein khabar leaked hui ke Bank of England ka irada hai ke woh interest rates mein kami karega, jo ke Thursday ko pound par kaafi asar-andaz hui. Is ke bawajood, pound ne apni stability barkarar rakhi aur 1.31 se neechay nahi gira. Doosri taraf, dollar ko achay economic data ki waja se kaafi taqat mili. Iss halat ko dekhte hue, mein filhaal in price levels par trade karna recommend nahi karta, magar mujhe umeed hai ke agar price 1.3050 se neechay jata hai, toh main buying ka soch sakta hoon, kam az kam short-term pullback ke liye.

Meri pichli technical analysis ke baad se GBP/USD pair mein koi khaas tabdeeli nahi aayi. H4 time frame par ek descending medium-term trend channel established hai, aur pechlay trading din mein bearish candle ke sath close hua, jo ke hafte ka naya low mark karta hai.

**Price Movement aur Technical Indicators**
Price iss waqt Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko mazid strong zahir karta hai aur sell positions ka mauqa suggest karta hai. Stochastic indicator support zone mein hai, jo downward movement ko mazid support deta hai. Akhri trading session mein, pair girawat par tha aur doosray support level ke neeche apni position barkarar rakha. Friday ko bears ka ghalba raha, jahan price 1.3122 par close hui.

**Key Levels aur Market Insights**
Aaj ke liye key intraday benchmarks aur further decline ke imkanaat mein classic Pivot support levels shamil hain. Downward movement jari rahegi, aur agar price third support level ko breach karti hai, toh ek aur girawat ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai jo pair ko 1.2955 ke qareeb support line ke neeche push karega. Magar agar buyers market mein wapas daakhil hotay hain, toh unka ahem resistance point 1.3452 ho ga.

GBP/USD pair ne haali mein upper resistance levels ka test kiya hai jo ke 1.3080-1.3055 aur 1.3040-1.3065 ke range mein hain. Yeh zones tareekhi tor par ahem sabit hue hain, kyunke inhone past mein price ko upward movement se roka hai. Jab bhi price in resistance areas ke qareeb aati hai, to aksar selling pressure ka samna hota hai, jo price action mein reversal ya consolidation ka sabab banta hai. Yeh levels un traders ke liye intehai ahem hain jo market ke aglay possible move ka andaza lagane ki koshish kar rahe hain.
Filhal, GBP/USD pair ka overall trend kamzor lag raha hai. Haali price action ne in resistance zones ke aas paas hesitation dikhayi hai, jahan bulls ko price ko aur upar dhakelne mein mushkilat ka samna ho raha hai. Pair in ahem levels ko break karne mein nakam raha hai, jo momentum ki kami ko zahir karta hai. Yeh kamzor trend yeh ishara de raha hai ke shayad jaldi sellers market mein control wapas le kar price ko neeche le jayen.

Ek ahem factor jo GBP/USD pair ke aglay move ko mutasir kar sakta hai woh hai Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki meeting minutes ka release. FOMC minutes intehai zaroori hain kyunke yeh U.S. Federal Reserve ke monetary policy outlook ke baray mein insights faraham karte hain, jo USD ke value par bara asar dalte hain. Agar minutes se hawkish stance samne aata hai, jisme interest rate hikes ya tighter monetary policy ka ishara diya jata hai, to yeh U.S. dollar (USD) ko mazid taqat de sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair par mazeed downward pressure dal sakta hai.

Mojooda technical setup aur FOMC minutes ke potential impact ko dekhte hue, ek mazid neeche ki taraf move ka strong possibility hai, jisme GBP/USD pair 1.3000 ke key psychological support level ko test kar sakta hai. Yeh level tareekhi tor par ek ahem support area raha hai, aur 1.3000 tak ki move current trend ki kamzori ko confirm karegi. Agar pair is level ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh mazeed giraawat ka raasta khol sakta hai, jahan agla major support zone 1.2950 ke aas paas hoga.

Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke price action ko qareebi tor par dekhain, khaaskar 1.3080-1.3055 aur 1.3040-1.3065 ke resistance zones ke aas paas, aur FOMC minutes ke release ko bhi nazar mein rakhein. Agar yeh resistance levels break nahi hote aur FOMC minutes mein hawkish outlook samne aata hai, to GBP/USD pair mein aik significant giraawat ho sakti hai, jisme 1.3000 bears ka pehla major target hoga.
Mukhtasir mein, GBP/USD pair ek ahem mor par hai, jahan resistance levels ab tak mazboot hain aur trend kamzor dikhayi de raha hai. Aanay walay FOMC meeting minutes aglay major move ka faisla kareinge, aur traders ko is baat ke liye tayar rehna chahiye ke prices mein potential downward shift ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.3000 tak ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD ka jo pair hai, us ne haal hi mein 1.3063 se 1.30937 ki upper resistance level ko test kiya hai, jo ke ek ahem zone hai jo tareekh mein baray price movements ke liye ek mazboot rukawat bana hai. Yeh resistance level har baar jab bhi price is range ke kareeb aata hai, toh bechne wale (sellers) market mein wapas aate hain aur price ko neeche kheench dete hain. Is liye, yeh zone traders ke liye dekhnay ke liye ek ahem area hai, khaaskar un logon ke liye jo short position lene ka soch rahe hain.

Agar price phir se is resistance level par retrace karta hai, toh yeh short sellers ke liye accha entry point ho sakta hai. Is level ki tareekhi ahmiyat ki wajah se, yeh aksar ek pivot point ka kaam karta hai, jahan se buyers se sellers ki taraf momentum shift hota hai. Traders ko chahiye ke woh dhyan se dekhein ke price is 1.30788 se 1.30673 range ke kareeb kaise behave karti hai, kyunki yeh area barabar market ka turning point bana hai. Yahan bechne wale aam tor par ghus aate hain, neeche ka dabao daal kar price ko reverse karte hain. Is liye yeh ek prime location hai traders ke liye jo price direction mein potential reversal ka faida uthana chahte hain.

Tareekhi tor par, 1.30788 se 1.30673 range ne buyers aur sellers ke liye ek crucial battleground ka kaam kiya hai. Is area mein sellers aam tor par dominate karte hain, jo price retracements ko daal kar pair ko neeche dhakel dete hain. Agar yeh pattern barqarar raha, toh agar price phir se is resistance par aata hai, toh yeh dekhne ko mil sakta hai ke price 1.3074 se 1.3057 level ki taraf neeche ja raha hai. Bhari nazar rakhne wale traders ko yeh resistance level short entries ke liye ek key zone samajhna chahiye, kyunki yeh baar baar bechne walon ke control mein wapas aata hai aur neeche ki taraf momentum shuru karte hain.

Lekin, traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur kisi bhi position mein enter karne se pehle confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Price action is resistance zone ke aas paas invaluable clues provide karega ke market reverse hone wala hai ya bhi bulls phir se breakout ki koshish karenge. Traders ko rejection signs dekhna chahiye is resistance zone se, jese ke candlestick patterns jo selling pressure ka izhar karte hain ya volume spikes jo sellers ki taraf se increased participation ka signal dete hain.

Aakhri baat, 1.3063 se 1.30937 ke resistance level ka GBP/USD market mein bohot zyada ahmiyat hai, khaaskar un traders ke liye jo bearish outlook rakhte hain. Agar price is level par retraces karta hai, toh yeh short sellers ke liye ek strong opportunity ho sakta hai. Tareekhi data yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers aksar is zone par aate hain, jo price ko neeche ki taraf le jaata hai, 1.3074 aur 1.3057 jaise lower levels ki taraf. Hamesha yaad rahe, traders ko reversal ki confirmation ka intezar karna chaiye apne trades execute karne se pehle.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay trading week ke dauran, pound 1.3427 ke barrier ko cross nahi kar saka jo pehle din touch kiya gaya tha, aur uske baad sharp reversal dekhne ko mila aur price neeche aani shuru ho gayi. Us waqt price signal zone se breakout kar gayi aur 1.3082 ke level tak pohnch gayi, jahan pe stop hui aur phir se stabilize hona shuru ho gayi. Expected growth achieve nahi hui, aur target directions cancel ho gayi. Price chart super trend red zone mein chala gaya, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers ne control hasil kar liya hai.

Aaj ke technical perspective se dekha jaye, to 4-hour chart pe closer look lene se yeh samajh mein aata hai ke bearish pressure temporarily maujood hai jab tak intraday trading 1.3400 ke psychological resistance ke neeche hai, magar pair abhi tak 50-day simple moving average ke upar stable hai. Stochastic current negative sentiment ko shake off karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke aglay kuch ghanton mein uptrend continue ho sakta hai. Target 1.3440 abhi relevant hai, aur agar break hota hai to upside ko aur ziada push milega aur short term mein 1.3495 ka channel open ho jaye ga. Agar price phir se 1.3300 ke neeche stable hoti hai, to yeh pair ko downward correction ki taraf le jaye ga jahan pe pehla target ho ga 1.3255.



Iss waqt pair weekly low ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Key support areas hold nahi kar sake aur break ho gaye, jo preferred vector ko neeche shift karne ki zaroorat ko dikhate hain. Rally ko continue karne ke liye, price ko near future mein 1.3170 ke neeche settle hona hoga, jo ke ek key resistance zone ke qareeb hai. Agar price wapas is area se pullback karti hai to move continue karne ka chance milega, jiska target ho sakta hai 1.2914 aur 1.2788 ka area.

Agar resistance break hoti hai aur price 1.3292 ke reversal level ke upar chali jati hai, to current scenario cancel ho jaye ga.

GBP/USD joray ki qeemat 1.3370 ke qareeb Tuesday subah ko stable hai aur koi khaas ground nahin bana rahi. Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish remarks ne dollar ko kuch support diya, jis se GBP/USD ne neeche ki taraf movement dikhayi. Yeh pair September 12 se ek rising regression channel mein hai aur 4-hour chart ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60 ke qareeb hai, jo bullish bias ko reflect karta hai. Agar qeemat oopar ki taraf jati hai, toh 1.3440 (ascending channel ka beech wala point) pehli resistance hogi, phir 1.3500 (round level) aur 1.3520 (ascending channel ki upper limit). Neeche ki taraf support 1.3375 (ascending channel ki lower limit), 1.3330 (50-period simple moving average), aur 1.3300 (round level) pe mil sakta hai. GBP/USD ne Friday ko thoda loss post kiya, lekin do haftay se positive region mein close karne mein kaamiyab rahi. Monday ko yeh pair apni position qaim rakhta hai aur 1.3400 ke oopar trade kar raha hai. Is hafta ke aghaz mein US Dollar par selling pressure ne GBP/USD ko oopar dhakel diya. Friday ko release hone wale data ke mutabiq, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis ne report diya ke core personal consumption expenditures price index August mein 0.1% month-over-month barha, jo ke market ke expectations se zyada tha. Britain ki Office for National Statistics ne bhi pehle se revise karke annual GDP growth ko second quarter ke liye 0.7% declare kiya, jo pehle 0.9% report hui thi. Lekin in figures ne market mein koi khaas reaction nahi diya. Baad mein, Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne economic outlook par apne khayalat ka izhar karna tha, jo ke 17:00 GMT par annual National Association for Business Economics meeting mein schedule tha. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, markets ko lagta hai ke November ke agle policy meeting mein Fed ke policy rate ko 25 basis points cut karne ka 50% chance hai. Agar Powell rate cut ka rasta khula chor dete hain, toh dollar mazeed kamzor ho sakta hai apne mukable ke currencies ke against. Warna, agar Powell gradual policy easing ka signal dete hain, toh GBP/USD ki speed kam ho sakti hai.

Aaj GBPUSD ki harakat ka tajziya yeh dikhata hai ke bullish candle resistance 1.3428 ko torhne mein nakam rahi. Yeh ek nishani hai ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ho rahi hai, halan ke harga upar ki taraf koshish ki. Yeh level ek ahm psychological barrier hai; agar yeh nahi toota, toh harga ka girna mumkin hai. Yeh mazboot resistance GBPUSD ki short-term upar ki taraf chalne mein rukawat daal sakta hai. Aane wale hafte ke liye trading ka plan yeh hai ke GBPUSD ka girna aur Moving Average (MA) 200 ki taraf aana dekha jaye. Jo trend hai, us se yeh lagta hai ke girawat ki sambhavana zyada hai, khaaskar agar koi fundamental factors GBP ko dabao dalte hain. Is liye, sell strategy ko tarjeeh deni chahiye, MA 200 ko support target ke tor par rakhte hue. Filhal harga MA 200 ke upar hai, lekin yeh us taraf aa sakta hai. MA 200 ek mazboot support hai jo girawat ko rokne ki koshish karega. Lekin, harga abhi tak khaafi landa hai aur trendline ko aggressively nahi toor raha. Yeh market mein uncertainty ko dikhata hai, jahan buyers aur sellers apni direction dhoondh rahe hain. Agar girawat ka momentum kafi nahi hua, toh harga sideways move karega. MA ke beech crossing jo ke bullish trend ko dikhati hai, woh bhi ab zyada taqat nahi rakh rahi. Yeh yeh bhi dikhata hai ke GBPUSD upar jaane ki taqat khatam hoti ja rahi hai, aur selling pressure barh raha hai. Aaj tak ki GBPUSD ki harakat yeh dikhati hai ke yeh resistance 1.3425 aur support 1.3365 ke beech sideway/ranging hai. Resistance 1.3425 ko baar baar test kiya gaya hai, aur ab yeh fresh nahi hai, is liye asani se toota ja sakta hai. Waisa hi support 1.3365 bhi ab fresh nahi hai, aur agar harga neeche ki taraf jaata hai, toh support 1.3313 tak pahunch sakta hai. Is waqt trend ab bhi bullish hai aur harga upar jaane ki sambhavana rakh raha hai. Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke harga pehle thoda correction dekhe kyunke six weeks tak continuous rally hui hai. Stochastic indicator bhi bullish movement ko support kar raha hai, lekin oversold zone tak nahi pahunch raha. Yeh sab milkar yeh dikhata hai ke GBPUSD abhi bhi upar ki taraf ja sakta hai, lekin cautious rehna zaroori hai.

Aaj maine GBP/USD market pair ka tajzia kiya jo agle haftay ke liye trading choice banayi gayi hai. 4-hour time frame ke graph par agar dekha jaye, toh kal ke market halaat dikhaye gaye hain jo price area 1.3311 se safar ka aghaz kartay hue 1.3433 ke area position tak pohanchne ki koshish kar rahe thay. Bullish trend kal tak, yaani Thursday tak, jari raha. Trading period zyada lamba nahi tha, lekin phir bhi market ka safar upar ki taraf hi tha. Agar pichlay haftay ke market halaat dekhein, toh ab bhi bullish hi hain. Pichlay haftay ke trading session mein, market ne bullish trend dikhaya tha aur ek wide range ke saath price haftay bhar barh gayi thi, magar Saturday raat ko kuch correction dekhnay ko mili. Upar likha gaya tajzia yeh batata hai ke market abhi tak buyers ke qaboo mein hai. Jab journal update kiya gaya, toh price 1.3370 par ruk gayi thi. Aakhri do hafton mein, buyers, jo ke abhi bhi taqatwar hain, ne price ko mazeed ooper dhaka diya taake pichlay mahine ke low zone se nikal sake. Agle haftay ke liye meri prediction yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair bullish market ko jari rakhega. Yeh mumkin hai ke price phir se ooper ki taraf higher zone mein move karegi. Agar pichlay chand hafton ke trend pattern ko dekha jaye, toh market ek wide range mein upwards trend kar raha hai. Rally ka safar zyada taqatwar nahi ya phir ek chhoti range mein hai, lekin yeh mumkin hai ke rally aglay haftay bhi jari rahe, aur price forecast bhi ab upwards trend mein hai. Aaj subah ki candlestick bearish correction position mein band hui lekin abhi bhi 100-period simple moving average zone ke ooper hai, jo dikhata hai ke market bullish trend mein hai. Agar buyer 1.3402 ke price zone ko break kar sakay, toh bullish trend aglay haftay ke trading session mein bhi market par dominate kar sakta hai. Kayi buniyadi factors hain jo GBP/USD pair ke mustaqbil ke rukh par asar daal sakte hain. UK aur US dono ke economic data ahm kirdar ada karenge yeh tay karne mein ke kya pound apni dollar ke muqable mein taqat barqarar rakh sakega. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ka GDP growth, employment figures ya inflation data ummed se zyada behtar aata hai, toh pound ko mazeed support mil sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar UK mein kisi qisam ki economic kamzori ke asraat dikhai dene lagein, toh traders long positions hold karne mein ehtiyaat se kaam le sakte hain.