جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Upward engulfing pattern tab banta hai jab ek choti bearish candlestick ke baad ek bari bullish candlestick banti hai jo pichle din ke price action ko mukammal tor par "engulf" kar leti hai. Is pattern ko aam tor par reversal signal samjha jata hai, jo yeh batata hai ke downward trend apni taqat kho raha hai aur buyers market par qaboo hasil kar rahe hain. GBP/USD ke case mein, upward engulfing pattern yeh reflect karta hai ke traders mein optimism barh raha hai ke pound dollar ke muqable mein qareebi waqt mein mazid taqat hasil kar sakta hai.

1.3395 ka level bohot zyada ahem hai kyun ke yeh woh point hai jahan buying interest barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. GBP/USD mein long positions lene wale traders ke liye yeh level attractive ho sakta hai ke apni positions open ya aur zyada badhayein, kyun ke engulfing pattern yeh zahir karta hai ke price yahan se barh sakti hai. Lekin broader market conditions aur kisi bhi resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo upward momentum ko rok sakte hain.
Pullback ka Imkaan


Is bullish signal ke bawajood, kuch indications hain ke price mein ek pullback ho sakta hai jab tak ke upward move mazeed barh na jaye. Short positions ya "shorts" kaafi imkaan hai ke 1.3310 ke aas paas profit lena shuru kar dein, jo un traders ka level hai jo pair mein temporary decline ka soch rahe hain. Yeh pullback market ko consolidation ka waqt de sakta hai, jisse price ko mazeed strength mil sakti hai taake phir se higher levels ki taraf move karein.

Rollback 1.3340 ya 1.3370 tak bhi ho sakta hai, jahan short sellers is opportunity ka faida utha sakte hain ke price apne upward momentum ko sustain nahi kar paa rahi. Yeh levels support aur resistance areas ke tor par kaam karte hain jahan price action zyada volatile ho sakta hai jab mukhtalif traders apni positions adjust karte hain.
Nazar Rakhne Wale Ahem Factors


Bohot se fundamental factors GBP/USD pair ki direction ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. UK aur US se anay wali economic data bohot ahem role ada karegi ke pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed taqat hasil karta hai ya nahi. Maslan, agar UK ki GDP growth ya inflation data mazid strong aati hai, toh pound ko aur support milne ka imkaan hai. Dusri taraf, agar UK economy mein koi weakness hoti hai, toh traders long positions lene mein ehtiyaat karenge.

Isi tarah, US dollar ke developments bhi pair par asar dal sakte hain. Dollar ko rising interest rate expectations ka faida ho raha hai, aur agar Federal Reserve mazeed aggressive monetary tightening ka signal deta hai, toh dollar mazeed taqat hasil kar sakta hai, jisse GBP/USD ko upward move sustain karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

Market sentiment aur geopolitical factors bhi pair ki performance ko influence karenge. Maslan, agar koi unexpected political development hoti hai, khaaskar Brexit ya US-UK trade relations se related, toh market mein volatility aa sakti hai jo price action mein rapid shifts ka sabab ban sakti hai.
Nateeja


GBP/USD pair mein upward engulfing pattern ka formation yeh suggest karta hai ke abhi bhi upward move ka imkaan hai, aur 1.3395 ka level ek ahem interest point hai long traders ke liye. Magar, ek pullback ka imkaan abhi bhi barqarar hai aur 1.3310 ke aas paas ho sakta hai, aur rollback 1.3340 ya 1.3370 tak ho sakta hai jab tak ke pair apni upward trajectory ko phir se na pakray. Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur technical aur fundamental factors ko dekhte hue apne trading decisions lena chahiye, aur risk management strategies ko apply karna zaroori hai taake unexpected market shifts se apni positions ko protect kiya ja sake.
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GBP/USD currency pair ke recent price action ke natije mein ek triple top pattern bana hai. Ye technical formation aam tor par market mein ek reversal ka ishara hoti hai, jo dikhata hai ke ek downward move, ya southern reversal, Monday se shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin, isse pehle ke hum ek strong bearish move ki tasdeeq kar sakein, ek bearish engulfing pattern ka nazar aana zaroori hai. Ab tak humein ye tasdeeq nahi mili hai. Iske bar'aks, recent pullback ke baad, quotes ne ek upward engulfing pattern banaya hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke bullish momentum abhi tak barqarar hai, aur long positions 1.3095 ke level par viable hain.
Ek upward engulfing pattern yeh dikhata hai ke buyers abhi short-term mein control mein hain, aur kisi bhi significant reversal ke hone se pehle aur bhi upward movement ho sakti hai. Ye is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke southern reversal foran nahi hoga, kyun ke market abhi bhi 1.3095 ke qareeb buying pressure dekh sakti hai. Long positions ke liye ye level ahem hai, kyun ke ye ek key support area hai jo price ko temporarily ooper dhakel sakta hai kisi bhi major downturn se pehle.

Is phase ke baad, ek pullback hone ka imkaan hai, jo short positions ke liye munafa bakhsh mauqe peda kar sakta hai. Khaas tor par, ek significant price correction pair ko wapas 1.3310 level tak le ja sakti hai, jahan short positions ko faida milne ka imkaan hai. Is maqam par, bearish sentiment zyada mazboot ho sakti hai, jo ek pronounced downward movement ka sabab banega. Ye phase un traders ke liye critical hoga jo anticipated southern reversal se faida uthana chahte hain.

Iske ilawa, rollback ka imkaan bhi hai jo price ko 1.3140 ya 1.3170 levels tak le ja sakta hai. Ye levels interim resistance ya support ka kaam kar sakte hain, aur traders ke liye mazeed opportunities paish karenge taake wo apni positions ko market ki evolving conditions ke mutabiq adjust kar sakein. Rollback in levels tak hone se overall bearish outlook invalidate nahi hoga, magar tactical trading ke liye mauqay mil sakte hain, khaaskar un logon ke liye jo fluctuations ke dauran risk manage karna ya short-term profits capture karna chahte hain.

Akhir mein, jabke GBP/USD par triple top pattern ka formation ek potential bearish reversal ka ishara karta hai, ab tak bearish engulfing pattern ke baghair ye move foran nahi hoga. 1.3095 ke qareeb current upward engulfing pattern is baat ka saboot hai ke abhi tak bulls control mein hain. Magar, jab market 1.3310 level ke qareeb pohanchti hai, to short positions zyada favorable ho sakti hain, khaaskar agar humein 1.3140 ya 1.3170 par rollback dekhne ko milta hai. Traders ko bearish engulfing pattern ke liye alert rehna chahiye, kyun ke iske zahoor hone se ek mazid strong downward trend ki tasdeeq hogi.

Good morning sab forex traders aur readers. Umeed hai ke aap sab khairiyat se hain. Aaj hum GBP/USD market ki price action par guftagu karenge. GBP/USD ka chart dikhata hai ke pair ne Tuesday ko $1.3200 ka mark touch kiya. Filhal, GBP/USD 1.3180 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Chart ke mutabiq, GBP/USD bearish nazar aa raha hai, jo is baat ko zahir karta hai ke GBP/USD iss waqt ek strong bearish trend mein hai.
GBP/USD ke ird gird jo bearish sentiment hai, wo mukhtalif technical aur fundamental factors ki wajah se hai. Technical point of view se dekha jaye to, pair ne lower highs aur lower lows banaye hain, jo ek classic sign hota hai downtrend ka. Price action weakness dikhata hai, jisme sellers market mein gaalib hain aur price ko neeche dhakel rahe hain. GBP/USD ka 1.3200 level ke upar hold na kar pana bearish outlook ko mazid reinforce karta hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara hai ke upward momentum ab khatam ho gaya hai, aur mazeed downside ka imkaan hai.

Fundamental side par dekha jaye to, kuch factors bhi is bearish trend mein apna kirdar ada kar rahe hain. UK se anay wala economic data shayad utna mazboot nahi hai, aur inflation ya economic growth mein kami ka dar British pound par wazan dal raha hai. Is ke ilawa, US dollar ki mazbooti bhi GBP/USD ko neeche dhakel rahi hai. Federal Reserve ka monetary tightening aur interest rate hikes ka stance dollar ko zyada attractive bana raha hai investors ke liye, jo pound ke muqable mein dollar ko zyada pasand karte hain.

Given the current price action, traders ka focus ab key support levels par hoga taake dekha ja sake ke GBP/USD aglay chand dinon mein kaise react karega. Sab se qareebi support level 1.3150 ke aas paas hai, jo pehle ek strong barrier ka kaam kar chuka hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ke neeche break karta hai, to humein ek tez downward move dekhne ko mil sakti hai, aur agla target 1.3100 ya is se bhi neeche ho sakta hai.

Lekin ye yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke markets hamesha unpredictable hoti hain, aur koi bhi achanak news ya events sentiment ko foran badal sakti hain. Filhal, GBP/USD ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur traders ko long positions consider karte waqt ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Bohat se traders shayad market mein enter hone se pehle kisi reversal ki tasdeeq ka intezar karna pasand karain.

Akhir mein, GBP/USD is waqt ek bearish trend mein trade kar raha hai, jahan price 1.3180 ke aas paas hai jabke ye is hafte ke aghaz mein 1.3200 ka level touch kar chuka tha. Technical aur fundamental factors dono further downside potential ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, aur traders ko key support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake pair ki aglay move ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Good morning sab forex traders aur readers ko. Umeed hai aap sab khairiyat se hain. Aaj hum GBP/USD market mein price action ka jaiza lenge. GBP/USD chart dikhata hai ke Tuesday ko pair ne $1.3200 mark ko touch kiya tha. Filhal, GBP/USD 1.3180 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Chart ke mutabiq, pair bearish nazar aa raha hai, aur GBP/USD ek mazboot bearish trend mein hai.

GBP/USD ke bearish sentiment ke peeche technical aur fundamental factors hain. Technical point of view se dekha jaye toh pair lower highs aur lower lows bana raha hai, jo ke ek downtrend ka classical sign hota hai. Price action mein kamzori dikhai de rahi hai, jahan sellers market par dominate kar rahe hain aur price ko neeche dhakel rahe hain. GBP/USD ka 1.3200 level ke upar hold na kar pana bearish outlook ko mazid reinforce karta hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke upward momentum khatam ho chuka hai, aur mazid downside expected hai.

Fundamental factors bhi is bearish trend mein apna kirdar ada kar rahe hain. UK se aane wala economic data kamzor ho sakta hai, aur inflation ya dheemi economic growth ke concerns British pound par asar daal rahe hain. Iske ilawa, U.S. dollar ki taqat GBP/USD ko neeche le jane mein kirdar ada kar rahi hai. Federal Reserve ki monetary tightening aur interest rate hikes ki policy U.S. dollar ko support kar rahi hai, jis se dollar investors ke liye zyada attractive ban raha hai pound ke muqable mein.

Ab tak ki price action ko dekhte hue, traders key support levels par focus kar rahe hain taake GBP/USD ka agla reaction dekha ja sake. Immediate support level 1.3150 ke aas paas hai, jo pehle bhi ek strong barrier ke taur par kaam kar chuka hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ke neeche break karta hai, toh hum ek tez downward move dekh sakte hain, jiska agla target 1.3100 ya usse neeche ho sakta hai.

Lekin, yeh baat yaad rakhni chahiye ke markets kabhi bhi unpredictable ho sakte hain, aur koi achanak news ya events sentiment ko tezi se badal sakte hain. Filhal ke liye, GBP/USD pressure mein hai, aur traders ko long positions lene se pehle ehtiyat baratni chahiye. Aksar traders yeh pasand karenge ke pehle reversal ka confirmation mile, phir market mein entry karein. Akhir mein, GBP/USD is waqt ek bearish trend mein trade kar raha hai, jahan price 1.3180 ke aas paas hai, jab ke is ne iss haftay 1.3200 ko touch kiya tha. Dono technical aur fundamental factors mazid downside potential ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, aur traders ko key support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake pair ke agle move ko assess kiya ja sake.

Hamara discussion is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ke tajziya par focus karta hai. Market mein ek noticeable decline dekhne ko mila hai, aur signs yeh indicate karte hain ke aur neeche jaane ka imkaan hai. Yeh mumkin lagta hai ke critical support level 1.3162 tak pohchne ka strong chance hai. Agar bears ne apni momentum ko capitalize kiya, toh downtrend jari rehne ke imkanaat zyada hain. Ek ideal scenario yeh hoga ke GBP/USD jald hi 1.3230 tak gir jaye. Magar agar downward movement ruk gayi, toh ek reversal ho sakta hai jo pair ko 1.3423 tak upar le jaaye, phir yeh wapis apne fall ko resume kar sakta hai.

Predict karna mushkil hai ke pair upar break karega ya apni girawat ko jari rakhega, lekin pressure zyadatar further decline ki taraf hi lagta hai. Yeh scenario ziada probable hai, aur hum 1.3237–1.3458 range ke andar volatility dekhne ki umeed rakhtay hain. Sabse critical sawal yeh hai ke price kis taraf breakout karegi. Mera andaza hai ke breakdown 1.3237 se zyada hoga, khaaskar jab koi significant fundamental data release hota hai, jo price movements ko amplify karne ka potential rakhta hai.

Ek important wajah jiski wajah se pair ka progress limited raha hai, woh hai trading environment ka sakooni hona jo kuch sessions se dekhne ko mila hai. Market participants hesitant lagte hain ke prices ko upar push karein, shayad is liye ke koi strong catalysts ya major economic data releases nahi aayi. Iske ilawa, geopolitical uncertainties aur global economic growth ke concerns bhi traders ke jazbe ko dampen kar rahe hain, jo pair ke 1.3250 level ke aas paas consolidation ko contribute kar rahe hain.

Aane walay dinon mein, yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke pair is resistance area par kaise react karta hai. Agar GBP/USD pair momentum ikattha kar sake aur 1.3250 level ke upar break kare, toh hum mazeed bullish moves dekh sakte hain jo higher resistance levels ki taraf ho sakte hain. Magar agar pair ko struggle hoti rahi aur trading activity quiet rahi, toh hum consolidation ka period dekh sakte hain ya shayad ek potential pullback bhi ho. Jab ke GBP/USD pair ne pichlay hafte ke aghaz se bullish trend dikhaya hai, quiet trading activity aur 1.3250 level par resistance ne pair ko aur zyada upar jaane se roka hai. Traders ko key levels aur market conditions par nazar rakhni chahiye taake pair ka agla move determine kar sakein.

Trade Analysis aur British Pound ke liye Trading Tips:

1.3385 price level ka test tab hua jab MACD indicator abhi zero mark se neeche move karna shuru hua tha, jo ke sell karne ke liye ek sahi entry point ko confirm karta hai. Iske natije mein, pair 30 pips se zyada neeche gira, aur target level 1.3355 ka test kiya. Maine din ke aakhri waqt rebound par buy nahi kiya kyunki ek solid rise ka umeed karna mushkil tha. Kal ki UK GDP aur current account ki figures disappointing rahi, lekin pound ne in par zyada react nahi kiya. Federal Reserve ke Chief Jerome Powell ka speech key factor bana, jis se pair mein major sell-off dekhne ko mila. Aaj, pound ka growth sirf achhi Manufacturing PMI data ke baad umeed kiya ja sakta hai, ya Bank of England ke MPC member Huw Pill ka speech British economy ke growth rates ki tareef kare. Intraday strategy ke liye, main Scenario #1 aur #2 ko implement karne par zyada rely karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario #1:** Aaj main pound tab buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab entry point 1.3389 (chart par green line) ke aas paas ho, aur target level 1.3428 (thicker green line) ho. 1.3428 level ke aas paas main buy positions ko exit karne aur opposite direction mein sell positions kholne ka plan bana raha hoon (30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein level se expect kar raha hoon). Pound ke growth ke bullish market mein continue rehne ka chance hai. Important! Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur rise karna shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario #2:** Main pound ko aaj tab bhi buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab 1.3360 price level par do consecutive tests hoon, aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upwards reverse karega. Growth ko opposite levels 1.3389 aur 1.3428 tak dekha ja sakta hai.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario #1:** Aaj main pound ko sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab yeh 1.3360 level (chart par red line) se break karega, jo pair mein ek quick decline ka sabab banega. Sellers ke liye key target 1.3326 level hoga, jahaan main sell positions exit karne aur opposite direction mein buy positions kholne ka plan bana raha hoon (20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein level se expect kar raha hoon). Pound ko weak manufacturing activity data ke baad sell karna consider kiya ja sakta hai. Important! Sell karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur decline karna shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario #2:** Main pound ko tab bhi sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab 1.3389 price level par do consecutive tests hoon, aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko downwards reverse karega. Decline ko opposite levels 1.3360 aur 1.3326 tak dekha ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
Kal, pound/dollar ke jode ko bhari nuqsan uthana pada. Is qadar numaya kami ke sath, bahut se log ab rebound ka intezar kar rahe hain aur mai koi exception nahin hun.
Yaqinan, aap rebound ki ummid me jodi kharid sakte hain, lekin koi nahin janta keh yah kitna gahra hoga. Lehaza, abhi ke liye long positions kholne se bachna behtar hai.
Yaumiyah chart par, maine pure tezi ke cycle ko 1.2298 se 1.3432 tak failaya hai, jahan kal ki qimat ka istehkam 1.3165 ki support satah se niche hai, jo 76.4% Fibonacci level ke sath mawafiq hai, durustagi me fit baithta hai. Is se pata chalta hai keh musalsal kami ka imkan bahut zyada hai.
Basement indicators bhi mandi ke eqdam ke haq me hai.
Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh Bartanwi pound 1.3165 ki muzahmati satah tak badh jayega, jahan 61.8% Fibonacci level ke sath 1.2999 ki support satah tak girawat par aitemad karte hue short positions kholna mumkin hoga.



4-ghate ke chart par, kal ki kami 1.3106 (100% Fibonacci level) ki support satah se mahdud thi. Yaumiyah chart ke bar-aks, 1.3120-1.3230 ke maujudah raqbe se mazid kami ka imkan bahut zyada hai, kiyunkeh kal ke oversold conditions ko raton rat flat market se saf kar diya gaya tha. Lehaza, yah farz kiya ja sakta hai keh pound/dollar ki jodi nuqsanat ko badhane ke liye taiyar hai.
Behtarin suratehal me, mai 1.3178 (61.8% Fibonacci level) ki tooti hui satah ka test dekhna chahunga. Agar Bartanwi pound ki qadar badh jati hai to mai yaqini taur par short jaunga. 1.3034 ki support satah, jo 138.2% Fibonacci level ke sath mawafiq hai, ko ek hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai.

USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed

اکتوبر 4 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

بینک آف انگلینڈ کے گورنر اینڈریو بیلی نے تیل کی بڑھتی ہوئی قیمتوں کی وجہ سے بڑھتی ہوئی افراط زر کے بارے میں خدشات کو مارکیٹ کے شرکاء تک پہنچایا، جنہوں نے ان کے الفاظ سے شرح میں کمی کی رفتار میں ممکنہ سست روی کا اندازہ لگایا۔ نتیجے کے طور پر، پاؤنڈ کل 143 پپس کھو گیا. ستمبر کے لیے کمزور پی. ایم. آئی. ڈیٹا نے مایوسی کے موڈ میں اضافہ کیا۔



روزانہ چارٹ پر، قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی حمایت سمیت تمام ممکنہ سپورٹ لیولز سے ٹوٹ گئی ہے۔ تاہم، اس کی وجہ سے، قیمت کو ابھی وقفہ لینے کی ضرورت ہے، کیونکہ پاؤنڈ مارکیٹ سے آگے گر رہا ہے، اور اس وقفے کے دوران، یہ ممکنہ طور پر 1.3220 کی مزاحمتی سطح سے اوپر جا سکتا ہے، جو کہ 38.2% کی اصلاح کے ساتھ موافق ہے۔ 26 ستمبر کے بعد سے پوری گراوٹ۔ تصحیح کم ہے، لیکن اس سطح سے اوپر توڑنے کا مطلب 6 ستمبر کی بلند ترین سطح کو پیچھے چھوڑنا بھی ہوگا، جو 1.3360 تک بڑھنے کی راہ ہموار کر سکتا ہے۔ اگر آج کا بندش ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (1.3141 کی سطح سے اوپر) سے اوپر ہے تو یہ منظر نامہ ممکن ہو جاتا ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر اوپر کی طرف مڑنے کی کوشش کرتا ہے، لیکن اس کی ریڈنگ فی الحال غیر موثر ہے۔

کل کی کشیدگی کی رہائی کے بعد، پاؤنڈ باقی مارکیٹ کے ساتھ مطابقت پذیری میں مزید منتقل ہونے کی امید ہے. اس دن کی مرکزی تقریب امریکی ملازمت کے اعداد و شمار کا اجراء ہوگی۔ یہ دن برطانوی کرنسی کے لیے اہم ثابت ہو سکتا ہے۔ منفی نتیجہ کی صورت میں، قیمت 1.2887 کے قریب سرایت شدہ قیمت چینل لائن کی حمایت کی طرف بڑھ سکتی ہے۔



چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.3080-1.3141 کی حد میں آگے بڑھ رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر طاقت کے ساتھ اوپر کی طرف مڑ رہا ہے، جو قیمت کی طرف سے قریب ترین مزاحمت سے اوپر جانے کی کوشش کا اشارہ دے سکتا ہے۔ تاہم، امریکی ملازمت کے اعداد و شمار ان قلیل مدتی علامات کو تبدیل کر سکتے ہیں۔ ہم ڈیٹا ریلیز کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

BP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain

GBP/USD Analysis

1. Resistance aur Support Levels: 1.3230 ke resistance level ko toad kar market upar gaya. Lekin jab market ne apne trendline ka resistance chhua, to yeh phir se neeche gira aur 1.3135 ka support level toad diya.
2. Moving Averages: Filhal market 50-day simple moving average ke neeche hai, aur agar yeh record toadta hai, to yeh resistance ki taraf barh sakta hai. 150-day simple moving average market se neeche hai aur market ka support level bhi is se neeche hai.
3. RSI Indicator: RSI indicator filhal 50 support level ke nazdeek hai, jo 30 aur 70 ke darmiyan hai. Market 50-day simple moving average ki taraf ja raha hai aur agar 1.3110 ke aas-paas koi operational resistance nahi hota, to yeh upar ki taraf barh sakta hai.
4. Local Resistance aur Support: GBP ne local resistance area 1.3155 se peak tak test kiya, jahan se cost ne reversal liya aur ek revolving candle bani. Is pair ke liye koi strong signal nahi hai kyunke yeh ek broad growth movement ka samna kar raha hai.
5. Support Areas: Humein local support area ki taraf barhna chahiye, jo 1.3060 par hai, ya phir dynamic support area ki taraf, jo 20 EMAs ke distance par hai.

In in areas ke aas-paas, main ek turning candle ke formation ki umeed kar raha hoon jo northward trend ko dobara shuru karega. Agar yeh scheme complete hoti hai, to main expect karta hoon ke price resistance area **1.3140** ki taraf barhegi. Is resistance area ke nazdeek do scenarios dekhe ja sakte hain. Jaise ke aap dekh sakte hain, ek milta-julta haaliyat haal hi mein dekha gaya. Kaale teer ke aadhar par, hum dekh sakte hain ke support ka breakdown indicator par candlestick chart se pehle kaise hua.

Chart hourly hai, isliye purane periods ko dekhna zaroori hai taake humein jo transaction hui hai uski tasdeeq ho sake. Sabse ahem baat hai profit. Cost trend ke ilawa, ek revolving candle bhi center ke nazdeek form hogi, jahan se yeh north ki taraf chalti rahegi.

GBP/USD Ka Jaiza

Spot price ne Friday ki Asian session mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein kamzori dikhayi, jo ke ahem 1.3150 support level ke neeche chala gaya. Ye girawat tab hui jab USD ne Wednesday se apni recovery ko barhaya, jo ke United States (US) ke Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data ke doosre andazay ki wajah se thi, jo ke umeed se zyada mazboot raha. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo USD ki performance ko chhe major currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, ne aur bhi taqat hasil ki, jo 101.80 ke qareeb aa gaya, jo Greenback ki barhti hui demand ko darust karta hai.

Fundamentals of GBP/USD:

USD ki recent recovery ke pichay ek ahem wajah yeh hai ke market mein yeh speculation barh rahi hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad September se hi interest rates kam karna shuru kar de. Ye jazba Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish remarks se barh gaya, jo unhone pichle hafte Jackson Hole Symposium mein diye the, jahan unhone kaha tha ke "policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai." Powell ke comments ne Fed ki taraf se labor market ke downside risks ke barhte hue concerns ko zahir kiya, jo yeh darust karta hai ke mehngai Fed ke 2% target ki taraf lautne ke raste par hai, is se mehngai ke barqarar rehne ka khauf kam hota hai.

Is ke muqabil, Bank of England (BoE) apni rate-cut strategy ko zyada conservative tareeqe se outline kar raha hai, jo ke UK ke service sector mein mehngai ke barqarar rehne ki wajah se hai, jo wage growth se driven hai. Is hafte top-tier economic data ki kami hone ke bawajood, Pound Sterling ka rukh market ke expectations ke mutabiq hoga jo future BoE rate cuts ke hawale se hai. Filhal, market yeh umeed kar raha hai ke BoE saal ke akhir tak kam se kam ek aur rate cut karega, jab ke central bank mehngai ke barhte huye daron aur mushkil maashi halat se guzarta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ne 1.3100 level ke neeche girawat ko barhaya jab ke yeh 1.3270 ke qareeb momentum barqarar rakhne mein nakam raha. Is girawat ke bawajood, pair ka near-term outlook ab bhi positive hai. Price abhi tak weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ke breakout point ke upar hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke bullish trend ab bhi barqarar hai. Agar yeh momentum jari raha, toh pair psychological resistance 1.3500 ki taraf dekh sakta hai, aur shayad February 2022 ke high 1.3641 ko test karne ki koshish karega, jab ke yeh apne recent do saal aur paanch mahine ke peak 1.3434 ke upar nikalta hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD pair ko upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se support mil raha hai, jo abhi 1.3210 ke qareeb hai. Ye market mein barqarar bullish trend ko darust karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 se 80.00 ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, jo strong upside momentum ko aur mazid confirm karta hai.

Lekin, jab RSI 70.00 ke aas-paas overbought territory ki taraf barh raha hai, toh is se short-term mein corrective pullback ka khatra barh jata hai. Traders ko ye potential pullback ko nazar mein rakhte hue apni strategies tay karni chahiye.

Aise signals traders ke liye bohot ahem hote hain, kyunki yeh aksar downtrend ke aaghaz ka pata dete hain. Aap ne iss signal par action lekar downward movement se fayda uthaya.Price ko support level 1.33271 tak pohanchne ka intezar karna aur uske baad trade ko close karna ek well-planned exit strategy ka zahir hai. Established support levels par profit lena kaafi successful traders ki common technique hai, kyunki in levels par price reversal ya consolidation ke chances hote hain. Aapka iss point par trade close karna market behavior ko samajhne ki achi misaal hai.Bearish trend ka continuity, jahan further declines ne 1.32819, 1.32620, aur aakhir mein 1.32351 tak pohancha, yeh dikhata hai ke aapka analysis bilkul sahi tha. Har level ek trader ke liye interest ka area ban sakta hai, aur in levels ko pehchanna aapko future trades ke liye informed decisions lene mein madad karta hai.Aapka ongoing bearish outlook, khaaskar 1.31874 ki taraf potential decline, market dynamics ko samajhne ka comprehensive approach zahir karta hai. GBP/USD jese currency pairs par market sentiment, economic indicators, aur geopolitical factors ka bohot asar hota hai. In elements par nazar rakhna aapko future price movements ko behtar samajhne mein madad dega.Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke aap market ke behavior ko in levels par dekhte rahain. 1.3199 ka area jisko aap ne zahir kiya ke aap ke liye zyada significance nahi rakhta, ho sakta hai doosre traders ke liye important ho. "Wait and observe" ki strategy aap ko risk minimize karne mein madad de sakti hai, khaaskar jab market volatile ho aur unexpected outcomes ka khatra ho.Aapka reflection, US dollar ko favor karne wali zyada trades place karne ka, market trends ke liye aapki keen awareness ko zahir karta hai. US dollar ka strength ya weakness kaafi economic data releases aur central bank policies par depend karta hai. Future trades ko consider karte waqt, in indicators par nazar rakhna bohot ahem hoga. Economic reports jaise employment figures, inflation data, aur interest rate decisions, currency valuations par bara asar daal sakti hain

Humari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price changes ke analysis ke hawalay se hai. Yeh pair, jo British Pound ko US Dollar ke muqablay main dikhata hai, bohot zyada US job market data aur mukhtalif geopolitical developments se mutasir hota hai. Haal hi main, US ka monthly job data acha aya hai, jis ki wajah se US Dollar ki qeemat barh gayi hai aur GBP/USD pair girawat ka shikar hai. Mazboot employment figures se yeh pata chalta hai ke US ki economy acha perform kar rahi hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ko interest rates barhane ke liye support deti hai. Doosri taraf, UK ki economy ko kuch challenges ka samna hai, jisme inflationary pressures aur growth ka uncertain future shamil hai. Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions, Pound ki taqat ke hawalay se aham kirdar ada karengi. Is ke ilawa, post-Brexit trade negotiations aur wahan ki siyasi stability GBP/USD ki dynamics ko aur mushkil banati hain. Jab traders in tamam factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hain, toh GBP ko le kar market ka rawaiya abhi bhi ehtiyat se bharpoor hai, khaaskar Bank of England ke aanay walay steps ke hawalay se.Is haftay UK economy se koi bara data release nahi hua, jis ki wajah se Pound Sterling zyada ter global market sentiment se mutasir ho raha hai. Traders ab external factors par nazar rakhe hue hain, aur agla bara event US ka GDP data ka release hai. Lekin, kisi bara price movement ki umeed nahi hai, kyun ke markets ne zyada ter Q2 ka annualized GDP growth ko 2.8% par stable rehne ka andaza laga liya hai. Is liye, UK currency zyada ter global developments, khaaskar US se mutasir ho sakti hai.Aham Focus US PCE Inflation Data par hai:Is haftay ka sab se anticipated data release US ka Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index hai. Investors is data ka intezar kar rahe hain taake US main aanay walay inflation ke trends ko samajh saken. Agar inflation barh raha hai ya kam az kam stable hai, toh yeh Fed ke September main rate cut ke expectations ko mazid barhawa dega. Pound ki movements bhi is outcome se mutasir hongi, kyun ke US monetary policy main koi bhi bara tabadla global financial markets ko adjust karne par majboor kar sakta hai.Moving averages filhal Pound Sterling ke liye koi immediate support nahi de rahi hain. Traders trend channel ke lower band par bounce ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke pichlay 6 mahinon se mazbooti se 1.3120 ke aas paas bana hua hai. Agar yeh level toot gaya, toh agla support zone 1.3047 ke aas paas hai, jo August main pehle resistance point tha. Agar aur girawat dekhi gayi, toh 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo ke 1.3186 par hai aur critical level jo 1.3100 hai, mazid support de sakte hain.

USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed