GBP/USD pair Thursday ko low volatility ke sath aur thori si upward movement ke sath trade hui. Market ke paas koi khaas reason nahi tha ke British currency khareedi jaye. Thursday ke din quotes ka barhna asal mein ek correction thi, lekin humein abhi tak US currency ke around koi khas excitement nazar nahi aayi, jo ke 2 saalon se gir rahi hai. Seedha matlab ye hai ke jo movement hum dekh rahe hain, wo naye downward trend ki shuruaat nahi lagti jo kam az kam ek saal tak chal sake. Lagta hai ke market thoda correct hua hai aur ab ek naye wave ke liye tayyar ho raha hai, jo ke bina kisi base ke buying ho sakti hai. Lekin market ke perspective se yeh buying theek lagti hai. Agar hum fundamentals aur macroeconomics dekhein, toh British currency ke growth mein koi khaas logic nahi hai. Jab tak price Ichimoku indicator lines aur descending trend line ke neeche rehti hai, downward trend barqarar rahega. Shayad yehi abhi US dollar ki akhri umeed hai. Jab yeh pata chala ke America mein inflation 2.5% tak kam ho gayi hai, toh Federal Reserve har agli meeting mein rate ko neeche laa sakta hai. Agar market ne pehle se hi (jaise ke hum samajhte hain) zyada tar monetary policy easing ko price in kar liya hai, toh yeh acha hai—dollar ko bacha liya jaayega. Agar nahi, toh US dollar ko ek aur lambi decline ka samna karna parega. European Central Bank aur Bank of England ki monetary policies mein market ko zyada dilchaspi nahi hai. Kal teen trading signals form huay. Price ne 1.3050 level se do martaba bounce kiya lekin 20 pips tak bhi neeche nahi jaa saki. Phir price 1.3050 ke level ke upar consolidate hui, aur tab humne kuch movement dekhi jis par hum paisa kama sakte thay. Lekin pehla short position loss mein gaya, toh Thursday ko overall profit kaafi mushkil tha. Hourly time frame par, GBP/USD abhi bhi correction mein hai, lekin yeh correction kisi bhi waqt khatam ho sakti hai. Humein abhi tak market mein koi jaldbazi nazar nahi aayi ke pair ko sell kiya jaye aur US dollar ko khareeda jaye. Is liye, British currency ka bina base ke aur illogical rise dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Agar price Senkou Span B, Kijun-sen lines aur trend line ke upar consolidate hoti hai, toh yeh pata lagaya jaa sakta hai.
تبصرہ
Расширенный режим Обычный режим