جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Igor Anatolyevich, aapko shandaar weekend ki dua! Abhi ghante ke chart par, khareedari ke targets ban chuke hain. Pehla target Fibonacci grid ke 161.8 level par hai, jo ke 1.3172 ke value par hai. Doosra target 261.8 level par hai, jo ke 1.3212 ke value par hai. Teesra target 423.6 level par hai aur yeh bullish structure ko darshata hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator jo market ki balance of power ko dikhata hai, chart par noise ko smooth karta hai aur technical analysis ko aasaan banaata hai, is se trading decisions ki accuracy bhi barh jati hai.

TMA channel indicator (laal, neela, aur peela rang) support aur resistance lines ko twice smoothed moving averages par build karta hai aur instrument ke movement ki current boundaries ko darshata hai, jo market ke sath dynamically change hoti hain.

Hamare guftagu ka mawad GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka evaluation hai. U.S. mein, GBP/USD pair abhi bhi mumkin hai kyunki kal Britain ka GDP release hone wala hai. Technically, hum "Descending Triangle" pattern ka retest dekh rahe hain. Is level se bounce hona selling opportunity ka signal ho sakta hai, pehla target EMA200 ho sakta hai jo ab 1.3019 par aa gaya hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke GBP/USD ne downward reversal shuru kar diya hai. Market news ka intezaar kar rahi hai jo shayad pehle se hi mumkin hai, isliye dollar ke against negative response robust nahi ho sakta. Long term mein, pair ka decline zyada mumkin lagta hai. Lekin, aaj Britain ka employment data bilkul unexpected tha.

Pound-dollar pair ke bare mein, H1 chart par, price ne din ke low 1.3049 se teen ghante pehle reversal kiya aur upward movement shuru ki. Yeh bearish Bollinger Bands zone mein 1.3068 par hai, CCI mid line ke neeche hai aur MACD histogram zero ke neeche hai. Jaldi reversal hua, aur pair wapas 1.3024 par chala gaya. Ab, chaliye price action ko sirf Fibonacci grid ka istemal karke dekhein. Dekhein price kis tarah se move kar rahi hai. April 22, 2024 se wave trend ne sub-wave ko break kiya aur saal ki high 1.3044 ko update kiya pehle retracing se second wave par, jo ke 1.2669 se bounce hua—a textbook 50% Fibonacci retracement of the first wave's trend. Abhi third wave chal rahi hai. Aam taur par, 138 aur 161 levels Fibonacci grid par classic correction ke doran aate hain. 138 level abhi tak mumkin nahi hua, aur price usay hit karne ki ummed hai.

Iss waqt GBP/USD trend line ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market par selling pressure bohat zyada hai. Trend line ke neeche break hone se yeh ek aham resistance level ban gaya hai, jisse bulls ke liye short term mein control wapas lena mushkil ho gaya hai. Yeh confirm karta hai ke sellers ka market par zyada daaboo hai, jo market sentiment ko ab drive kar rahe hain.
Sellers ke liye control banaye rakhne aur downward movement ko barhane ke liye, support zone 1.3150 ka break hona zaroori hai. Yeh level buyers ke liye ek aham barrier hai, aur agar price is se neeche break karta hai, to GBP/USD mein aur zyada downside potential ki umeed hai. Is break ke baad sellers ko aur neeche nayi targets ki taraf push karne ka mauka milega, kyun ke technical barriers kam ho jaayenge.

Aise scenario mein, kuch aham support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye jo pair ke liye potential targets ban sakte hain. Ek important level daily bull zone hai jo 1.3190 ke qareeb hai, jahan history mein buyers ne price ko reverse kiya tha. Yeh level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh pehle strong demand ka point raha hai jab pound is tak pohoncha tha. Lekin, current bearish momentum ke saath, yeh zone ab neeche se retest ho sakti hai, jo support ke bajaye resistance ka kaam kar sakti hai.

Agar pair 1.3150 ka level hold karne mein nakam hota hai, to agla leg neeche 1.3190 zone par support mil sakta hai, lekin bearish sentiment phir bhi rahega. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke agar in levels par koi significant buying pressure aata hai, to decline slow ho sakta hai ya short-term rebound ho sakta hai, lekin trend tab tak bearish rahega jab tak bulls trend line ko reclaim karke price ko resistance levels ke upar push nahi karte.

Nateejatan, current technical setup yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/USD sellers ke control mein hai, aur trend line resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai kisi bhi bullish attempt ke liye. Agar 1.3150 support zone ke neeche break hota hai, to mazeed downside movement confirm hogi, jisme target 1.3190 ka daily bull zone ho sakta hai. Tab tak, sellers ka upper hand hai, aur bulls ko downward momentum ko reverse karne mein kaafi challenges ka samna hai.

GBPUSD currency pair ke kisi tez growth ki tawakku nahi karta. Main sirf girawat ki umeed rakhta hoon. Maine 1.3190 aur 1.3220 se sales open ki hui hain. Abhi yeh trades chhoti si profit mein hain. Main daily chart par focus kar raha hoon. Is chart se yeh pata chal raha hai ke price channel ke upper border se bahar nikli, jo us waqt 1.3170 par tha. Ab main asset ki girawat ki umeed kar raha hoon, kam az kam daily period ki average moving line tak, jo ab 1.2899 par hai. Agar price moving average se rebound karne mein kaamiyab hoti hai, toh hum 1.3262 par maximum ka update dekh sakte hain. Lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh mushkil hai. Mera khayal hai ke price moving average ko upar se neeche tak tor dega aur phir profitable purchase zone 1.2832-1.2764 tak jaega. Magar meri trading idea tabhi kaam karegi jab price channel ke lower border se bahar nikle. Uske baad main northern correction aur girawat ke silsile ko jari dekh raha hoon.
Pound GBP/USD ke hawale se, yeh pair 1.3070 ke opening level ke qareeb aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Main indicators southern direction dikhate hain aur price trend line MA72 ke neeche hai, jahan volume unloading aam tor par hoti hai. Agar price 1.3093 ke level ke upar hoti hai, toh hum pair ki growth ki umeed kar sakte hain jo ke 1.3107 aur shayad 1.3130 tak ja sakti hai. Agar price 1.3070 ke neeche chali jati hai, toh main pair ke 1.3056 aur shayad 1.3019 tak jaane ki umeed karta hoon.
Pound ab monthly Pivot level 1.3019 (pehle 1.2837) ke upar, weekly Pivot level 1.3151 (pehle 1.3167) ke neeche, aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo humein pair ke strong southern correctional mood ke bare mein batata hai. Weekly Pivot level 1.3151 ke upar pair north ki taraf jaega, jab ke daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche pair monthly Pivot ki taraf chala jaega. Pehla resistance level north mein 1.3107 par hai, aur south mein 1.3056 ke neeche jana ziada ahem hai.
GBP/USD ko 31 figure ke niche push karte hue aur quotes ne 1.3141 level ko break kiya. Downward movement chart par continue hui, jahan sellers ne Friday ke downtrend ka faida uthaya. H4 time frame ka tajziya bearish momentum ko confirm karta hai, aur pullback ke chances ko limited batata hai, kyunki downward trend shayad tab tak chale ga jab tak yeh 1.2796 tak nahi pohanchta. Agar pair 1.2793 ke niche stabilize hota hai, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price zigzag pattern mein niche jaati rahegi. Primary chart ke neeche do indicators, jo ke price fluctuations ko track karte hain, buy positions mein kami dikhate hain, lekin RSI thoda upar tick kar raha hai, jo ke H4 chart par last candle ke temporary upward pull ke wajah se hai. Main pehle se upper resistance levels ke through kaam kar chuka hoon, aur kyunki koi naye levels nahi bane, main zyada pronounced price drop ki ummeed rakhta hoon.

Kal ka low point jo 1.3145 par tha, GBP/USD ke liye ek important short-term support hai, khaaskar agar pair sharply girta hai. Agar hum low-risk buy position lena chahein, to yeh level ek acha bounce spot ho sakta hai. Is level ke aas-paas buy limit order lagane ka socha ja sakta hai, jisme stop loss is support ke neeche ho, umeed hai ke price yahan se upar ki taraf bounce karega. H4 time frame mein Parabolic SAR signal ke neeche close nahi hua, jo yeh batata hai ke market abhi bearish trend mein nahi gaya. Jab tak Parabolic SAR price ke neeche hai, trend abhi bhi bullish hai. Agar price neeche girta hai aur SAR ko breach karta hai, to yeh bearish trend ke shuru hone ki nishani ho sakti hai.
Price changes ko Parabolic SAR ke saath dekhna zaroori hai taake hum apne position ko secure rakh sakein. Doosri taraf, yellow resistance level ek aham reference point hai, khaaskar agar upward trend jaari rehti hai. Agar kisi ne already buy position hold ki hui hai, to yeh level pehla target ho sakta hai agar price barhti rahe. Jab price is resistance level ke kareeb aaye, to dekhna zaroori hai ke market ka reaction kya hota hai, kyun ke yeh ek psychological barrier bhi ban sakta hai. Agar price is resistance ko cross nahi kar pati, to ek correction aa sakta hai. Agar future conditions bullish rahen, to behtareen strategy yeh hogi ke har pullback ke dauran buy position li jaye, kyun ke trend aur zyada strong hone ka imkaan hai. Support aur resistance zones ka dhyaan rakhte huye, technical indicators jaise moving averages aur Parabolic SAR ka istemal karke, hum ek acha entry point dhoondh sakte hain.

USD currency pair ne 4-hour chart par is haftay ke doran growth dikhayi, aur sirf haftay ke akhir mein yeh ek active movement ke sath upar aur niche gaya. Aisi movements news ke asar se hui hain. Lekin, phir bhi price correction levels ke andar move karti rahi. Upar ki taraf, price ne 1.3220 ka level test kiya, jo ke ek correction level hai, aur niche ki taraf yeh 1.3112 ko test kiya. Agar price ab niche jati hai, to next levels 1.3080 aur 1.3012 hain. Neeche wala indicator bhi kami ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Is currency pair ke quotes ka movement dollar index ke asar mein bhi hota hai, is liye aapko usko bhi dekhna zaroori hai.

4-hour chart par index ke Friday ke movements bhi nazar aate hain. Price ne 100.95 ke correction level ko test kiya aur wahan se rebound karke upar chali gayi. Neeche wala indicator upar ki taraf dekh raha hai. Is wajah se, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke GBP/USD pair ke quotes zyada chances hain ke niche ki taraf move karein.

Abhi price - GBP/USD, trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo hamare observations ko confirm karta hai ke market sellers ke under hai, aur ab trend line bulls ke liye resistance ban gayi hai. Agar sellers market par apni dominance qaim rakhna chahte hain, to unhe support zone ke break ki zarurat hai - 1.315, jahan se ek corridor khul jayega currency ke mazeed decline ke liye naye targets ki taraf. Jo levels important daily bull zone ke liye honge, wo 1.319 hain, jahan se buyers ne history mein price ko reverse kiya tha.
4-hour chart par index ke Friday ke movements bhi nazar aate hain. Price ne 100.95 ke correction level ko test kiya aur wahan se rebound karke upar chali gayi. Neeche wala indicator upar ki taraf dekh raha hai. Is wajah se, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke GBP/USD pair ke quotes zyada chances hain ke niche ki taraf move karein. Abhi price - GBP/USD, trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo hamare observations ko confirm karta hai ke market sellers ke under hai, aur ab trend line bulls ke liye resistance ban gayi hai. Agar sellers market par apni dominance qaim rakhna chahte hain, to unhe support zone ke break ki zarurat hai - 1.315, jahan se ek corridor khul jayega currency ke mazeed Lekin

Spot price ne Friday ko halka sa pullback experience kiya, jo ke 1.3150 mark se thoda upar aa gaya. Yeh movement Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data mein dono taraf ke girawat ke baad dekhne ko mili. Chaar din ke winning streak ke baad, ab pair ke liye outlook ehtiyat se dekha ja raha hai, jab ke trading week ke aakhri hisse mein UK ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP) aur US Retail Sales data anay wala hai, jo pair ki performance ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Latest update ke mutabiq, GBP/USD 1.3132 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Mojooda market halat aur technical indicators ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai. Agar selling ka silsila mazid taqat pakarta hai, to yeh teen hafton se chalti hui downtrend ka naya silsila shuru honay ka ishara ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar GBP/USD ne key support levels ko break kar diya. Dosri taraf, agar pair ne in supports ke upar rehne mein kaamyabi hasil ki, to yeh short-term trading opportunities paida kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD ke fundamentals:

Recent developments in the Middle East ne forex market mein complexity ka ek naya pehlu daal diya hai. Israeli intelligence reports ke mutabiq, Iran shayad Israel par direct hamla karne ki tayari kar raha hai, jo Tehran mein Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh ke qatal ka jawab ho sakta hai. Aise geopolitical tensions global markets ko mutasir kar sakti hain, aur is se USD ke sath GBP/USD pair bhi asar le sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se significant interest rate cuts ki umeed barqarar rehti hai, to yeh aggressive USD bullishness ko kam kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD pair ke liye achi hawa ka kaam kar sakti hai.

Economic releases ka waqt qareeb hai, jisme UK GDP growth figures aur US Retail Sales data shamil hain, jo market mein volatility paida kar sakte hain. Yeh reports mazeed clarity dein gi ke economic trends kis taraf hain aur currency movements ko kis tarah se asar dal rahe hain. Traders ko yeh reports ghor se dekhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh market sentiment ko sway kar sakti hain aur GBP/USD dynamics ko mutasir kar sakti hain.

Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Spot price apne descending channel ke lower boundary, jo ke 1.3055 ke qareeb hai, ko test kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to downward pressure mazeed barh sakta hai, jo pair ko August mein dekhe gaye throwback support 1.3001 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Halankeh price action kaafi subdued hai, lekin downward momentum mein halka izafa dekha gaya hai. Magar yeh girawat expect ki jati hai ke 1.3080 support level se upar hi rahe gi. Upar ki taraf, resistance 1.3080 aur 1.3200 pe dekhi ja rahi hai.

Asiayi session mein Friday ko GBP/USD ne apni do din ki advance ko pause kiya, aur 1.3160 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Daily chart yeh dikhata hai ke pair descending channel mein consolidate ho raha hai, jo ke prevailing bearish bias ka ishara hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi is bearish sentiment ke sath align karta hai, kyun ke MACD line signal line aur centerline ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 leve

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain.

BP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai.
Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain

GBP/USD ka outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Jaisa keh kal tawaqqo thi, pound/dollar ka joda bikwali ke ilaqe me gir gaya aur 1.31566 ke pahle se hadaf shudah support satah par pahunch gaya. Halankeh, mujhe abhi bhi lagta hai keh ise kharidna jald bazi hogi. Jodi mumkena taur par girti rahegi, jo MA indicators ki taraf maujudah nichli satah ko update karegi. Wahan se, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh joda wapas ooper ki taraf mudega aur 1.32457 ki muzahmati satah ka test karne ki taraf badhega. Iska matlab yah hoga keh qimat nayi bulandiyon ko qayam karegi. Oopri muzahmat ko chune ke bad, mai qimat me mazid numaya kami ki tawaqqo karta hun.

GBP/USD

Pound ko dekha jaye, lagta hai ke mojooda uptrend sustainable nahi hai. Isliye, aik mumkin downtrend shuru ho sakta hai ya chaloo rahe sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Pound Euro ko bhi neeche le ja sakta hai, kyunki maine aik long position li thi based on signal. Ek similar buy signal Pound ke liye bhi triggered hua tha, jo usne pichle Jumme ko fulfill kiya. Mujhe dekha raha hai ke Pound fractal support 1.30857 ki taraf tez raftar se barh raha hai, aur iske neeche girne ki sambhavana hai. Yeh aik reversal pattern banane ka imkaan hai, jise 1-2-3 kaha jata hai. Pound Euro ke muqablay mein zyada bearish lagta hai, halanki is scenario mein, Euro apne buy signal target ko nahi pohnch sakta. Pound ne apne H4 timeframe par buy signal ko successfully complete kiya hai, jaisa ke gray column se potential dikhaya gaya hai. Filhal moving averages par based aik sell signal generate karne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai, lekin jab tak current H4 candle close nahi hoti, isay consider karna waqt se pehle hai. Lekin hum roughly sellers ke target ko pehle se andaza laga sakte hain.

Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke Pound ke liye H4 timeframe par pehle se aik initial sell signal tha, jis par main ab Fibonacci retracement draw kar raha hoon. Signal level 1.31346 se calculate kiya gaya hai. Pound ne apne pehle ke major low ko update kar liya hai, ek 1-2-3 pattern aur descending channel ko neeche ki taraf banate hue, jo gray color se mark kiya gaya hai. 100% level downtrend ke target ko dikhata hai, jo ke 1.30036 par hai. Dono signals ek hi target level ko indicate karte hain. Maine dono signals ke potentials ko orange column (primary) aur red column (secondary) se mark kiya hai. Is scenario mein, sell positions ke liye stop-loss level ko 0.0% ke thoda neeche set kiya ja sakta hai, yani ke 1.32324 ke level ke neeche, 1.32656 ke bajaye. Current levels se potential downside lagbhag 80 pips hai. Agar favorable pullback hota hai, to sell positions mein 1:1 risk-reward ratio ka aim rakha ja sakta hai, ya M15 timeframe par higher timeframe analysis ki support se sell positions

Igor Anatolyevich, aapko shandaar weekend ki dua! Abhi ghante ke chart par, khareedari ke targets ban chuke hain. Pehla target Fibonacci grid ke 161.8 level par hai, jo ke 1.3172 ke value par hai. Doosra target 261.8 level par hai, jo ke 1.3212 ke value par hai. Teesra target 423.6 level par hai aur yeh bullish structure ko darshata hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator jo market ki balance of power ko dikhata hai, chart par noise ko smooth karta hai aur technical analysis ko aasaan banaata hai, is se trading decisions ki accuracy bhi barh jati hai.

TMA channel indicator (laal, neela, aur peela rang) support aur resistance lines ko twice smoothed moving averages par build karta hai aur instrument ke movement ki current boundaries ko darshata hai, jo market ke sath dynamically change hoti hain.

Hamare guftagu ka mawad GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka evaluation hai. U.S. mein, GBP/USD pair abhi bhi mumkin hai kyunki kal Britain ka GDP release hone wala hai. Technically, hum "Descending Triangle" pattern ka retest dekh rahe hain. Is level se bounce hona selling opportunity ka signal ho sakta hai, pehla target EMA200 ho sakta hai jo ab 1.3019 par aa gaya hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke GBP/USD ne downward reversal shuru kar diya hai. Market news ka intezaar kar rahi hai jo shayad pehle se hi mumkin hai, isliye dollar ke against negative response robust nahi ho sakta. Long term mein, pair ka decline zyada mumkin lagta hai. Lekin, aaj Britain ka employment data bilkul unexpected tha.

Pound-dollar pair ke bare mein, H1 chart par, price ne din ke low 1.3049 se teen ghante pehle reversal kiya aur upward movement shuru ki. Yeh bearish Bollinger Bands zone mein 1.3068 par hai, CCI mid line ke neeche hai aur MACD histogram zero ke neeche hai. Jaldi reversal hua, aur pair wapas 1.3024 par chala gaya. Ab, chaliye price action ko sirf Fibonacci grid ka istemal karke dekhein. Dekhein price kis tarah se move kar rahi hai. April 22, 2024 se wave trend ne sub-wave ko break kiya aur saal ki high 1.3044 ko update kiya pehle retracing se second wave par, jo ke 1.2669 se bounce hua—a textbook 50% Fibonacci retracement of the first wave's trend. Abhi third wave chal rahi hai. Aam taur par, 138 aur 161 levels Fibonacci grid par classic correction ke doran aate hai

Meri subah ki forecast mein, maine 1.3083 ke level par focus kiya aur uske base par trading decisions lene ki planning ki. Ab 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur analyze karte hain ke kya hua. Us level par girawat aur ek false breakout ke baad pound ke liye buying opportunity mili, jisse sirf 15 points ka upward move dekha gaya. Technical outlook ko din ke dusre half ke liye revise kiya gaya. GBP/USD par long positions kholne ke liye: UK ke GDP growth ke slow hone ka data, khas kar July ke mahine mein positive dynamics ki kami, pound par pressure daal raha hai, isliye 1.3083 ke aas-paas buyers zyada active nahi the. Din ke dusre half mein, U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August expected hai, jo volatility trigger kar sakta hai. Inflation ke sharply decline hone se pound ko momentum mil sakta hai, jisse dollar gir sakta hai. Agar inflation economists ke forecasts ke saath match karta hai, ya badhta hai, toh GBP/USD par pressure barhne ke chances hain. Negative market reaction ki surat mein, main sirf long positions ko tab open karunga jab 1.3073 ke new interim support ke aas-paas girawat aur false breakout ho. Isse correction aur 1.3108 tak recovery ka chance milega. Agar U.S. inflation ke ghatne ke bawajood breakout aur consolidation upar hoti hai, toh intraday uptrend ke chances barh jayenge. Yeh sellers ke stop orders ko hata dega aur 1.3140 tak long positions ke liye accha entry point provide karega. Final target 1.3168 ke aas-paas hoga, jahan main profits loonga. GBP/USD ki girawat aur din ke dusre half mein 1.3073 par buyers ki kami ki surat mein, pair par pressure barhega. Yeh 1.3049 ke next support ki taraf decline aur retest ko bhi lead karega, jo buyers ke plans ko khatam karega. Sirf is level par false breakout long positions kholne ka accha mauka provide karega. Main 1.3012 ke low se rebound par GBP/USD ko 30-35 point ke intraday correction ke target ke saath kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon.

GBP/USD par short positions kholne ke liye:

Sellers ne market control karne ki koshish ki hai lekin abhi tak poora control nahi mila. American statistics aur 1.3108 ke nearest resistance ka defense isme madad kar sakta hai. Is level par ek false breakout, jaisa ke pehle mentioned scenario mein, naye short positions kholne ka accha mauka provide karega, trend ko continue karte hue support 1.3073 tak target karega, jahan moving averages abhi bullish momentum ko support kar rahe hain. Agar is range ka breakout aur retest neeche se upar hota hai, toh buyers ke positions hit honge, stop orders hata diye jayenge aur 1.3049 tak raasta khulega, jahan major players se zyada active action ki ummeed hai. Final target 1.3012 ke aas-paas hoga, jahan main profits loonga. Agar GBP/USD ki upar ki taraf movement hoti hai aur din ke dusre half mein 1.3108 par significant activity nahi hoti, toh buyers pair ko sideways channel mein consolidate karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Bears ko phir resistance area 1.3140 ki taraf pull back karna padega. Main wahan sirf false breakout par bechunga. Agar wahan se downward movement nahi hoti, toh main 1.3168 ke aas-paas rebound par short positions dhoondunga, 30-35 points ki downward correction ki ummeed ke saath.

Iss waqt GBP/USD trend line ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market par selling pressure bohat zyada hai. Trend line ke neeche break hone se yeh ek aham resistance level ban gaya hai, jisse bulls ke liye short term mein control wapas lena mushkil ho gaya hai. Yeh confirm karta hai ke sellers ka market par zyada daaboo hai, jo market sentiment ko ab drive kar rahe hain.
Sellers ke liye control banaye rakhne aur downward movement ko barhane ke liye, support zone 1.3150 ka break hona zaroori hai. Yeh level buyers ke liye ek aham barrier hai, aur agar price is se neeche break karta hai, to GBP/USD mein aur zyada downside potential ki umeed hai. Is break ke baad sellers ko aur neeche nayi targets ki taraf push karne ka mauka milega, kyun ke technical barriers kam ho jaayenge.

Aise scenario mein, kuch aham support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye jo pair ke liye potential targets ban sakte hain. Ek important level daily bull zone hai jo 1.3190 ke qareeb hai, jahan history mein buyers ne price ko reverse kiya tha. Yeh level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh pehle strong demand ka point raha hai jab pound is tak pohoncha tha. Lekin, current bearish momentum ke saath, yeh zone ab neeche se retest ho sakti hai, jo support ke bajaye resistance ka kaam kar sakti hai.

Agar pair 1.3150 ka level hold karne mein nakam hota hai, to agla leg neeche 1.3190 zone par support mil sakta hai, lekin bearish sentiment phir bhi rahega. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke agar in levels par koi significant buying pressure aata hai, to decline slow ho sakta hai ya short-term rebound ho sakta hai, lekin trend tab tak bearish rahega jab tak bulls trend line ko reclaim karke price ko resistance levels ke upar push nahi karte.

Nateejatan, current technical setup yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/USD sellers ke control mein hai, aur trend line resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai kisi bhi bullish attempt ke liye. Agar 1.3150 support zone ke neeche break hota hai, to mazeed downside movement confirm hogi, jisme target 1.3190 ka daily bull zone ho sakta hai. Tab tak, sellers ka upper hand hai, aur bulls ko downward momentum ko reverse karne mein kaafi challenges ka samna hai.

ستمبر 18 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

پیر کو پاؤنڈ کی تیز رفتار ترقی نے کل اپنی کمزوری ظاہر کی، کیونکہ قیمت 1.3141 کی حمایت کی سطح پر واپس آگئی۔ قدرتی طور پر، یہ فیڈرل ریزرو کے شرح کے فیصلے کا انتظار کرنے کے لیے زیادہ آسان پوزیشن ہے۔ چونکہ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ 0.50% کی بجائے صرف 0.25% کی شرح میں کمی کی جائے گی، اس لیے ہم ڈالر کے مضبوط ہونے اور پاؤنڈ کے 1.3080 تک گرنے کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔



اس کے بعد، بینک آف انگلینڈ کے اجلاس کے بعد پاؤنڈ اپنی گراوٹ جاری رکھ سکتا ہے۔ توقع ہے کہ کمیٹی کے سات اراکین موجودہ شرح کو 5.00% پر رکھنے کے حق میں ووٹ دیں گے، جبکہ دو اسے کم کرنے کے حق میں ووٹ دیں گے۔ آج، برطانیہ اپنی اگست سی پی آئی رپورٹ جاری کرے گا۔ کور انڈیکس کے 3.3% y/y سے بڑھ کر 3.6% y/y ہونے کی توقع ہے، جبکہ مجموعی انڈیکس کے 2.2% y/y پر کوئی تبدیلی نہ ہونے کی پیش گوئی ہے۔

یورو زون میں، موجودہ سی. پی. آئی. 2.6% y/y ہے، اور بنیادی سی. پی. آئی. 2.9% ہے، پھر بھی ری فنانسنگ کی شرح کم ہے۔ لہذا، یہاں تک کہ اگر یوکے کے اعداد و شمار توقعات سے قدرے زیادہ ہیں، تو یہ شرح پر آج کے ووٹ کو متاثر نہیں کر سکتا لیکن توقعات کو نمایاں طور پر نرم کر سکتا ہے۔ نتیجے کے طور پر، ہم پاؤنڈ کو 1.2994 کے نشان پر گرتے دیکھ سکتے ہیں۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Jab British Pound ko dekha jaye, lagta hai ke mojooda uptrend sustainable nahi hai. Isliye, aik mumkin downtrend shuru ho sakta hai ya chaloo rahe sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Pound Euro ko bhi neeche le ja sakta hai, kyunki maine aik long position li thi based on signal. Ek similar buy signal Pound ke liye bhi triggered hua tha, jo usne pichle Jumme ko fulfill kiya.
Mujhe dekha raha hai ke Pound fractal support 1.30857 ki taraf tez raftar se barh raha hai, aur iske neeche girne ki sambhavana hai. Yeh aik reversal pattern banane ka imkaan hai, jise 1-2-3 kaha jata hai. Pound Euro ke muqablay mein zyada bearish lagta hai, halanki is scenario mein, Euro apne buy signal target ko nahi pohnch sakta. Pound ne apne H4 timeframe par buy signal ko successfully complete kiya hai, jaisa ke grey column se potential dikhaya gaya hai. Filhal moving averages par based aik sell signal generate karne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai, lekin jab tak current H4 candle close nahi hoti, isay consider karna waqt se pehle hai. Lekin hum roughly sellers ke target ko pehle se andaza laga sakte hain.

Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke Pound ke liye H4 timeframe par pehle se aik initial sell signal tha, jis par main ab Fibonacci retracement draw kar raha hoon. Signal level 1.31346 se calculate kiya gaya hai. Pound ne apne pehle ke major low ko update kar liya hai, ek 1-2-3 pattern aur descending channel ko neeche ki taraf banate hue, jo grey color se mark kiya gaya hai. 100% level downtrend ke target ko dikhata hai, jo ke 1.30036 par hai. Dono signals ek hi target level ko indicate karte hain. Maine dono signals ke potentials ko orange column (primary) aur red column (secondary) se mark kiya hai. Is scenario mein, sell positions ke liye stop-loss level ko 0.0% ke thoda neeche set kiya ja sakta hai, yani ke 1.32324 ke level ke neeche, 1.32656 ke bajaye. Current levels se potential downside lagbhag 80 pips hai. Agar favorable pullback hota hai, to sell positions mein 1:1 risk-reward ratio ka aim rakha ja sakta hai, ya M15 timeframe par higher timeframe analysis ki support se sell positions consider ki ja sakti hain.