gbp/usd

GBP/USD

Aisa lagta tha ke pound apni northern course ko develop aur aage barha sakta hai, magar bears ka mukhtalif khayal tha. Jaise hi yeh pair apne maximum tak pohncha, jo ke shayad is mahine tak untouch rahe, yani 1.3050, wahan par bears ne GBP/USD pair par sales ka aik wave launch kar diya. Itne strong growth ke baad, buyers bears ko rok nahi sake, aur unhone maximum point ka faida uthaya. Is se pehle 1.30 zone ne bulls ko give-in nahi kiya tha, lekin yeh wazeh tha ke sterling buyers ne is rise par apni koshish kar di, jabke American difficulties face kar raha tha.

Pichlay hafte ke aghaz se, sellers ne dobara instrument par pressure barhana shuru kar diya, aur halan ke 1.29 aur 1.2945 zones ne waqat-i tor par decline ko roka, bearish forces kaafi thein ke sales ko dobara shuru karke southern dynamics ko barqarar rakh sakein. Pound, 29th figure ke neechay girte hue, lagatar lose karta raha aur phir karib 1.28 tak pohncha, jahan buyers ahista ahista apni mojoodgi dikhana shuru kar rahe hain. Magar mera khayal hai ke southern correction ka masla abhi close nahi hua, is ke liye zaroori hai ke sellers ahista ahista aur zigzag mein support tak pohnchein, yani ke 1.2790, isliye short positions abhi bhi rakh sakti hain, 1.2790 ke support ke re-test tak, four-hour time chart ke mutabiq.

Agar 1.2790 ko touch kiya gaya, to support mazid mazboot hoga, aur rebound upward par GBP/USD pair ke purchases ko main ke tor par consider kiya ja sakta hai, aur usi waqt southern consolidation khatam ho jaye gi, aur northern trend dobara shuru ho jayega, 1.29 tak, aur baad mein pound 1.30 tak wapas aayega.

GBP/USD currency pair ab bearish trend dikhata rehta hai, jo ongoing downward movement ko reflect karta hai. Pichle kuch hafton se market consistently bearish sentiment ki taraf lean karta raha hai. Pichle hafte, price briefly 1.2941 tak surge hui thi magar phir substantial selling pressure ka samna karte hue significant drop dekhne ko mili. Filhal, GBP/USD around 1.2860 pe trading kar raha hai.

Maujooda market conditions yeh suggest karti hain ke bearish trend likely hai ke persist karega. Is hafte ke liye, focus potential decline towards 1.2800 level par hai. Agar price strong momentum ke sath 1.2790 se neechay break karti hai, to yeh signal ho sakta hai ke sellers firmly control mein hain aur downward trend mahine ke aakhir tak extend kar sakta hai.

Yeh bearish outlook sellers ke interest ko barha sakta hai, jo sell transactions mein surge la sakta hai. MACD indicator is view ko support karta hai, kyunki histogram bar zero level ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. In technical signals aur ongoing downtrend ko dekhte hue jo mahine ke shuruaat se observed ho raha hai, market anticipate kiya ja raha hai ke bearish trajectory ko continue karega.

Traders aur investors ke liye jo is trend se capitalize karna chahte hain, yeh zaroori hai ke key levels aur market indicators ko monitor karein. Jaisa ke GBP/USD pair sustained downward movement dikhata hai, sell positions pe focus karna aur bearish trend ke sath align karna advantageous sabit ho sakta hai. Ongoing price action aur technical analysis yeh suggest karte hain ke market likely hai ke apni bearish direction ko maintain karega, jo sell strategies ke liye ek critical period banata hai.

Winning in Forex: GBP/USD

Chalo ab hum GBP/USD currency pair ka price behavior analyze karte hain. Filhal, price local downtrend line ke niche trade kar rahi hai, aur charts pe sales targets identify kiye gaye hain. Hourly chart pe ye targets 1.2768, 1.2707, aur 1.2606 hain. Pehla target 1.2768 test hone ke laayak hai. Lekin, agar price barhti hai aur resistance 1.2868 ko break kar deti hai, to ye targets irrelevant ho jayenge aur naye buy targets saamne aayenge. Hourly chart pe MA120 moving average ko break karna aur price ka iske upar fix hona trend reversal ka signal dega, jo asset growth ko prioritize karega. British pound against US dollar ka downtrend teesri haftay ke liye continue kar raha hai. Phir bhi, selling risky hai kyunki daily chart pe upward trend dikh raha hai. Kal, GBP/USD ne apna minimum update kiya lekin jaldi rebound bhi kar gaya.

Abhi price 1.2860 pe trade ho rahi hai, jo ke last month ka maximum hai aur aage ke declines ko rok raha hai. Pound uncertain hai, aur prudent yehi hoga ke price direction clear hone tak intezar kiya jaye. Main ab bhi buy signal ka prediction karta hoon, northward trade anticipate karte hue. Lekin agar pair 1.2851 ke niche girta hai, to decline continue hoga. Dusri scenario yeh suggest karti hai ke upper limit 1.2896 pe rehne ka chance hai. Agar yeh resistance rebound prompt karta hai, to support level 1.2828 crucial ho jayega turnaround ke liye. Agar pair decline karta hai, to yeh pehla support level hoga jo price ko downward drive karega. Bearish movement downward reversal indicate karega, naye waves form honge. Agar GBP/USD 1.2896 ko breach nahi karta, to upward movement continue karega, bearish scenario ko nullify karte hue. Lekin, main wait karunga ke bearish direction ki taraf move ho 1.2896 se.

Pound Sterling US Dollar ke muqable mein tez girawat ka shikaar hua hai aur ab yeh 1.2850 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh girawat Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) ke aane wale policy meetings ke bawajood aayi hai. Currency pair ki performance UK aur US mein mukhtalif economic outlooks aur monetary policy expectations se mukhtasir hai. Traders BoE ke potential rate cuts par barh kar bharosa kar rahe hain, jabke UK ke service sector ki inflation ab bhi high hai. Yeh mushkil economic environment ka asar hai jahan services ke high cost inflationary pressure daal rahe hain, lekin broader economic challenges aur growth concerns market participants ko BoE se zyada accommodative monetary policies ki umeed dilate hain.

BoE se yeh ummeed hai ke wo ehtiyaat se kaam le ga, inflation ko control karne ke sath economic growth ko bhi support karne ki koshish kare ga. Market analysts ka kehna hai ke BoE shayad eventually rate cuts ka faisla kare, jo Pound ko Dollar ke muqable mein zyada kamzor kar sakta hai.

Iske muqablay mein, investors ki umeed hai ke Fed apni aane wali meeting mein dovish interest rate guidance dega. Pichle saal ke dauran inflation ko control karne ke liye interest rates barhane ke bawajood, ab Fed ko rate steady rakhne ya monetary policy mein easing ka signal dena zyada mumkin lag raha hai. Yeh dovish outlook inflation ke moderate honay aur economic growth ke concerns ki wajah se hai.

Fed ke zyada accommodative stance ki umeed US Dollar ko Pound ke muqable mein mazbooti de rahi hai, jahan traders apne expectations ko dono central banks ke darmiyan relative interest rate differentials ke adhar par shift kar rahe hain. Ek dovish Fed aur BoE ke potential rate cuts ka combination GBP/USD exchange rate par downward pressure daal raha hai.

Shayad yeh perversion nahi hai, magar logon ka ek tarah se mazak ban gaya hai. Jab aap power mein hote hain, aur entertain karne ke liye kuch nahi milta, tab sab perversions shuru ho jaati hain. Dekhte hain akhir mein kya hota hai, shayad yeh sab overhyped hai. Ek professor Alan Lichtman hain, jo apni unique method se US elections ke results predict karte hain. Unhone Democrats ki jeet ki prediction ki hai. Kehte hain ke woh 1984 se predictions kar rahe hain aur sirf ek baar galat hue hain, is baar dekhte hain kya hota hai, shayad elections ko phir se ek show banaya jayega.
Pound ke baare mein, kal Euro bhi gir gaya, lagta hai Dollar majboot ho raha hai, shayad Dollar ke liye ek wave shuru hui hai poore market mein? Magar humein Powell ke speech aur Fed ke rate decision ke baad non-farm data ka intezar karna padega, shayad us news ke saath Dollar ke khilaf ek wave dekhne ko mile.

GBPUSD H4:

1 - Pound 4-hour chart par bands ke central area tak wapas aaya hai, jabke lower band se nikalne ki koshish ki thi. Aur agar humein price ke girne ka naya signal chahiye, toh humein lower band se ek aur nikalne ka intezar karna padega, aur phir evaluate karna padega ke bands outward khulti hain ya nahi. Agar fractals ki baat karein, naye fractals upar aur neeche ban gaye hain. Agar nearest fractal upar ki taraf breakout hota hai toh price fractal July 29 se 1.28873 ki taraf jaa sakti hai. Agar nearest fractal neeche ki taraf breakout hota hai toh price fractal July 9 se 1.27773 ki taraf jaa sakti hai.

2 - AO indicator ne negative zone mein fade banana shuru kiya hai, agar hum dekhte hain ke zyada active movement zero ki taraf hoti hai, toh price ke upar jaane ka zyada strong signal milega. Negative area mein agar naya acceleration dekhte hain toh quotes ke girne ka signal milega.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ka joda 1.2842 ki satah par trade kar raha hai. Mai ab bhi tawaqqo karta hun keh Bartanwi currency triangle pattern ki tooti hui oopri trend line par wapas aa jayegi. Pound sterling is nishan ki taraf badh raha hai, lekin filhal islah ke marhale me hai. Is bat ka bahut zyada imkan hai keh pound/dollar ka joda qarib mustaqbil me is tooti hui trendline tak pahunch jayega. RSI indicator chart ke wast me accumulation point par hai.



1-ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, Bartanwi pound moving average se niche khula, jo din ke dauran mazid girawat ka imkan zahir karta hai. Sath hi, Budh ke roz ko aam taur par mazbut sell signals ke zariye nishan zad kiya jata hai. Lehaza, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh pound/dollar ka joda hafte ke dauran taqriban 100 pips tak gir jayega.

GBP/USD currency pair ka wave structure upar ki taraf build ho raha hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein grow kar raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Pichle do hafton se is pair ki price upar ko aise ja rahi hai jaise ke neeche jet engine laga ho. MACD par jitni bhi divergences thi, sab break ho chuki hain. Lekin phir bhi rollback ka probability ab barh gayi hai kyunki full growth cycle worked out ho chuka hai. Aap aise three-wave structure ko dekh sakte hain, jahan doosra wave beech mein choti si short hoti hai. Aur pehla aur teesra wave approximately equal length ke hain, jo ke two sticks kehlate hain. Price aksar aise hi move karti hai, khas tor par pound ke liye.

CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche jane ke liye ready hai aur is par bearish divergence bhi visible hai. Mera assumption hai ke price horizontal support level 1.2932 tak descend karegi, jahan se shayad kuch rebound upwards ho sakta hai. Lekin phir mujhe lagta hai ke ye level neeche ki taraf break hoga kyunki full growth cycle worked out ho chuka hai aur bina rollback ke further growth unlikely hai. Agar 1.2932 level ke neeche breakdown hota hai, to ise selling ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai agar price ise neeche se resistance ke tor par approach kare. Iske baad, main support level 1.2855 ke area tak decline ka high probability hai.

Main further decline ko consider nahi karta, kyunki downward trend finally break ho chuki hai aur upward trend mein convert ho gayi hai. Higher daily period par, upward third wave clearly visible hai jaise hi daily chart par switch karte hain. Isliye, main ek decline expect karta hoon, lekin aisa reversal nahi jahan koi 1.2855 level se neeche stuck hai. Agar price wapas in positions par aati hai to ye ek miracle hoga. Yahaan sirf ek rollback aur continued growth visible hai.

In conclusion, jabke GBP/USD pair ne strong upward movement show ki hai, different timeframes ka analysis key levels ko monitor karne ki importance ko highlight karta hai potential pullbacks ke liye. Daily aur H4 charts par 1.2847 aur 1.2902 ke beech zones interest ke areas hain agar pullback hota hai. Additionally, 1.2989 se 1.3000 level ek critical resistance zone hai jo next phase of price action ko determine kar sakta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur near-term support aur resistance levels ko consider karna chahiye taake potential market movements ko effectively navigate kar sakein.

GBP/USD ko medium term mein mazboot karne ke liye teen factors hain. Agar ye 1.30 ko break kar leta hai, to iske 1.40 tak pahunchne ki umeed hai!

Is saal ke aghaz se, British pound sabse behtareen currencies mein se ek raha hai. July mein dakhil hone ke baad, British pound ki rise tez hui hai. XTB ke head of research, Kathleen Brooks ke mutabiq, teen factors British pound ki strength ko drive kar rahe hain, jo ke medium term mein British pound par upward pressure banaye rakh sakte hain.

1. Interest Rate Differentials

Interest rate differentials currencies ke fundamental drivers hain aur ye filhal British pound ke haq mein hain. UK ka real interest rate 3.25% hai, jabke US ka 2.5% hai. Is waqt, UK ke real interest rates ka rise US ke muqablay mein pound ko US dollar ke against strengthen kar raha hai, aur ye aur bhi strong ho sakta hai. Filhal, 90% chance hai ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates cut karega, aur market ab expect karti hai ke Federal Reserve is saal do se zyada dafa interest rates cut karega. Iske muqablay mein, 57% chance hai ke Bank of England August mein interest rates cut karega, aur market expect karti hai ke UK do se kam dafa interest rates cut karega.

2. Economic Growth aur Inflation Forecasts

Recent weeks mein, UK ki growth outlook improve hui hai. April mein GDP growth flat thi, jabke May mein GDP growth 0.4% thi, jo ke 0.2% growth ki expectations ke khilaf thi. GDP growth construction output ke increase aur service industry index mein choti improvement ki wajah se thi, jo ke three-month basis par 1.1% increase hui. Is wajah se, ho sakta hai ke Bank of England apni growth forecasts ko agle meeting mein revise kare. Ye bhi rate cut ki likelihood ko reduce karta hai, kyunki Bank of England rate cut tab nahi karti jab wo apni near-term GDP forecasts ko revise kar rahi hoti hai.

Inflation forecasts ko bhi revise karne ka chance hai. CPI is saal 2% aur agle saal 2.6% expected hai, lekin April mein Living Wage ke increase ke bawajood core inflation par asar par sakta hai, aur nayi Labour government shayad Living Wage ko aur extend karna chahe. Iska plan shayad autumn ke budget tak reveal na ho.

Bank of England ke liye naye government's pehle budget tak wait karna achi wajah hai pehle rate cut karne se, jo ke pound ke liye positive ho sakta hai, khaaskar high interest rates UK ki recovery ko nahi rok rahe hain pichle saal ke recession se.

3. Political Risk Premium

Political risk premium jo ke pichle kuch saalon se pound ki gains ko limit kar raha tha, kam hone ka imkaan hai jab Labour government pro-growth policies enact karegi aur EU ke saath close relations banayegi. Ye short term mein pound ko boost nahi karega, aur iske impact ko measure karna mushkil hai. Lekin ab UK politically stable lagta hai, khaaskar France aur United States ke muqablay mein, pound "safe haven" funds ko attract kar sakta hai agle kuch mahinon mein.

Brooks ne kaha ke agar pound dollar ke against agle kuch dino mein 1.30 ko break kar leta hai, to ye 1.40 ke level tak rise kar sakta hai, jo ke 2021 se highest level hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ka wave structure apni order ko upar ki taraf build kar raha hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein grow kar raha hai aur apni signal line se upar hai. Pichle do hafton se is pair ki price bilkul upar ja rahi hai jaise iske neeche jet engine lag gaya ho. Jo saari divergences MACD par itni khoobsurat lag rahi thi, wo toot gayi hain. Lekin phir bhi, rollback ki probability ab barh gayi hai kyunki poora growth cycle kaam kar chuka hai. Aap teen waves ki structure dekh sakte hain, jahan dusri wave choti aur short hai beech mein. Aur pehli aur teesri waves approximately equal length ki hain, jo ke two sticks kehlaati hain. Price aksar is tarah move karti hai, khaaskar pound ke liye.

CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche jaane ke liye tayar hai aur is par bearish divergence visible hai. Main assume karta hoon ke price horizontal support level 1.2932 tak descend karegi, jahan se shayad kuch rebound upar ki taraf ho. Lekin phir mujhe umeed hai ke ye level neeche ki taraf break hoga kyunki poora growth cycle kaam kar chuka hai aur ye bina rollback ke aur grow nahi kar sakta. Agar price 1.2932 ke level se neeche breakdown karti hai, to isko selling ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai agar price isko neeche se resistance ke tor par approach kare. Aur iske baad, main support level 1.2855 ke area tak decline ka high probability hai.

Main further decline consider nahi karta kyunki downward trend aakhirkar toot gaya hai aur upward mein turn ho gaya hai. Ek higher daily period par, third wave upar ki taraf hai, jo turant visible hai jaise hi aap daily chart par switch karte hain. Isliye, main ek decline expect karta hoon, lekin aisa reversal nahi, agar koi sales mein 1.2855 level se kaafi neeche atak gaya hai, to ye ek miracle hoga agar price wapas in positions par aati hai. Yahan, sirf rollback aur continued growth visible hai.

Conclusions ke taur par, jabke GBP/USD pair ne strong upward movement dikhayi hai, different timeframes ka analysis key levels ko monitor karne ki importance highlight karta hai potential pullbacks ke liye. Daily aur H4 charts par zones 1.2847 aur 1.2902 ke beech sabse probable areas of interest hain agar pullback hota hai. Iske ilawa, 1.2989 se 1.3000 level ek critical resistance zone serve karta hai jo next phase of price action ko determine kar sakta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur near-term support aur resistance levels dono ko consider karna chahiye taake potential market movements ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

Pound mein upar ki taraf movement shayad abhi khatam na ho aur mazeed targets higher hain, magar iss waqt daily timeframe par growth ke indicator signal ka completion ho raha hai.

Blue bars ek potential signal ko daily timeframe par clearly show karte hain. Yeh signals bohot zyada nahi hain, aur aakhri signal thoda pehle khatam ho gaya tha. Yahan maine do technical analysis figures ko denote kiya hai - do triangles. Bada triangle blue color mein aur chhota triangle red color mein. Technical point of view se, ek pullback aur triangle boundaries ka testing ho sakta hai, aur pullback red ya blue triangle ki taraf ho sakta hai. Isi context mein, maine do triangles ki boundaries ke beech transition ko pink area se mark kiya hai, jo ke area of interest hai. Hum khud sales trade nahi karte, kyun ke decline zaruri nahi ke follow kare. Magar agar decline hota hai, to hum buying ko consider karenge. Agar hum closer timeframe dekhein, to hum expected purchases ka range narrow kar sakte hain. Har hal mein, main significant growth ki umeed nahi rakhoonga aur is area mein price reaction ko catch karne ki zaroorat hai.

Dusre chart par, maine pehle hi level 1.27954 ko green line se mark kiya hai. Asal mein, mujhe is level ko dhoondhne ke liye weekly timeframe par switch karna pada. Maine weekly candle opening ke level ke basis par mean value ko determine karne ka faisla kiya, aur ye level exactly 1.27954 nikalta hai. Baya taraf, hum dekh sakte hain ke market ne is level ko kaise consider kiya, aur pound ne isko resistance aur support dono ke tor par use kiya. Isliye, agar decline hota hai, to ye significant ho sakta hai, magar main H4 timeframe par green line ke around buying ko consider karunga. Lekin, M15 par bhi support levels hain, magar M15 par ek buyer risk area bhi hai jise pound aasani se break kar sakta hai. Isliye, agar market neeche jata hai, to buying advisable nahi hai aur stop ko 1.28974 mark ke neeche set karna zaroori hai. Hum situation ko accordingly assess karenge.

**Trading Chart on GBP/USD H-4**

Happy Monday!

Nayi hafta ka aaghaz GBP/USD currency pair ke liye chhoti si US dollar ki mazbooti ke sath hua hai, jo 1.2961 par hai, magar ab bulls phir se pair par pressure daal rahe hain aur mujhe lagta hai ke is hafta ke agle dinon mein woh 1.3000 ke important level ko test karne ka irada rakhte hain, taake isay tor kar 30th figure mein daakhil ho sakein. Is waqt, GBP/USD currency pair ke quotes 1.2976 par trade ho rahe hain, aur H4 chart par hum dekh rahe hain ke aaj ka doosra bullish candle shuru ho chuka hai. Is liye, mojooda halaat se British pound ki growth US dollar ke muqable mein mazeed zor pakray gi.

Lekin humein H4 Stochastic par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye, jo ke overbought state ko indicate karne ke baad niche mur raha hai. Is se yeh mumkin hai ke bears GBP/USD quotes ko support area 1.2945 tak le aayein, taake pair ke overbought state ko khatam kar sakein. Magar, is surat mein bhi GBP/USD ki price mere tamaam technical indicators se ooper rahe gi aur mujhe lagta hai ke bears ke liye acha south abhi possible nahi hai, jab tak koi force majeure nahi hota, jo ke na-mumkin hai kyun ke aaj koi khaas news nahi hai, siwaye raat ko US Federal Reserve ke head ke speech ke, aur hum ne Trump ke assassination attempt se related mumkin political unrest bhi survive kar liya hai, aur market bhi isay absorb kar chuka hai, is liye hum technical direction mein north ki taraf move karte rahenge.

Agar hum charts par ghour karein, to 1.3000 ka level ek strong resistance ban sakta hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ko break karta hai, to further bullish momentum mil sakta hai, jo isay higher levels tak le ja sakta hai. Support level 1.2945 ka bhi khayal rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke is area se rebound hote hi hum mazeed bullish move dekh sakte hain.

Is waqt, GBP/USD ka price action bohot crucial hai. H4 chart par indicators dekhte hue, hum yeh keh sakte hain ke bulls ke pass upper hand hai, magar bears bhi chhote intervals mein price ko niche le ja sakte hain. Yahan se strategic buy entries aur support levels ka khayal rakhte hue trading karni chahiye. Stochastic ka downward move zaroori hai lekin agar price 1.2945 se niche nahi jati, to bulls ke pass strength barkarar rahe gi.

Trading decisions lete waqt, fundamental aspects ko bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Aaj ke din koi khaas economic news nahi hai, magar raat ka Federal Reserve ka speech market sentiment ko affect kar sakta hai. Tab tak, technical analysis par focus rakhte hue, hum yeh dekhte hain ke GBP/USD ka price kaise react karta hai aur kis taraf move karta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ne recent weeks mein ek upward trend experience kiya hai. Multiple timeframes—weekly se le kar H4 (four-hour) chart tak—ka analysis humein agle hafta ke liye potential market movements ke baare mein insights deta hai. Is recent bullish momentum ke baad, hum un areas par dhyan de rahe hain jo price pullback ke event mein targets ban sakte hain.

Haal hi mein, weekly aur daily charts imbalance show kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke primary buying zone abhi ke current price levels se kaafi door hai. Jab ke yeh distant buying zone completely dismiss nahi kiya ja sakta, yeh lagta hai ke immediate future mein yeh target banana mushkil hai jab tak ek significant correction nahi hota.

Immediate term mein, nearest zones of interest daily aur H4 timeframes mein milte hain, specifically 1.2847 se 1.2902 tak. Yeh levels probable targets ko represent karte hain agar price pullback experience karti hai. Yeh zones current price action ke kaafi kareeb hain aur is liye zyada immediate areas present karte hain jahan buying interest potential emerge kar sakti hai.

Analysis yeh indicate karta hai ke hafta ka aaghaz market ke Friday aur previous week ke highs ke slightly ooper se hoga, jo ke 1.2989 level ke around situated hain. Iss context mein, yeh plausible hai ke GBP/USD pair psychological resistance level 1.3000 ko retest karne ki koshish kar sakti hai. Yeh level significant hai, na sirf iske psychological impact ki wajah se, balke iske recent highs ke proximity ki wajah se bhi, jo isay bulls aur bears dono ke liye ek critical point of interest bana raha hai.

Traders ko yeh dekhna chahiye ke price action in levels ke around kaise react karti hai taake market ki direction ko gauge kar sakein. Agar pair 1.2989 aur 1.3000 ke ooper sustain karne mein fail hoti hai, to yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke potential pullback aforementioned support zones ke taraf ho sakta hai jo ke 1.2847 se 1.2902 tak hain. Dusri taraf, agar successful breach hota hai aur 1.3000 ke ooper sustained trading hoti hai, to yeh continued bullish momentum signal kar sakta hai, jo potential further gains lead kar sakta hai.

In conclusion, jab ke GBP/USD pair ne strong upward movement show kiya hai, different timeframes ka analysis yeh highlight karta hai ke key levels ko monitor karna zaroori hai potential pullbacks ke liye. Daily aur H4 charts par zones 1.2847 se 1.2902 ke beech sabse probable areas of interest hain agar pullback hota hai. Iske ilawa, 1.2989 se 1.3000 level ek critical resistance zone serve karta hai jo next phase of price action ko determine kar sakta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur near-term support aur resistance levels ko consider karna chahiye taake potential market movements ko effectively navigate kar sakein.

### Aaj ka Trading Idea for GBP/USD

**Daily Timeframe Analysis:**

Aaj ki daily chart analysis GBP/USD market ki bearish scenario ko indicate karti hai ek brief bullish phase ke baad. Market ne early morning opening ke baad drop experience kiya, jo ke fundamental bearish outlook create karta hai. D1 timeframe par focus karte hue traders ke liye critical entry point 1.2965 par set kiya gaya hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to bearish sentiment solidify hota hai. Is analysis ka maqsad aaj ke GBP/USD movement ki prediction ko evaluate karna hai. Yeh analysis aaj ke liye ek bullish scenario present karta hai taa ke hum is hafte apne profits ko maximize kar saken.

**Hour Four Timeframe Analysis:**

H4 timeframe analysis ko dekhte hue, market ne bearish trend ka continuation show kiya hai. Chart par ek modest bearish bar display ho raha hai, jo market ke current corrective phase ko signify karta hai. Halanki, ek pullback anticipate kiya ja raha hai, jo potential renewed bullish movement ko spark kar sakta hai aligned with the uptrend line. Meri forecast ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair ke liye ek bullish scenario hai, jahan pair significant rise kar sakta hai towards the 1.3000 level within the ongoing week. Daily aur H4 timeframes ke beech interplay crucial hoga pair ke trajectory ko determine karne ke liye.

Is liye, in critical levels aur trends ko closely monitor karke, traders GBP/USD market ko better navigate kar sakte hain, leveraging daily chart analysis aur H4 timeframe analysis ko use karke informed trading decisions bana sakte hain. Market ke current corrective behavior ko dekhte hue, ek potential entry point available hai un logon ke liye jo bullish reversal anticipate kar rahe hain. Is liye, movements ko track karte hue vigilance essential hogi taa ke predicted upward shift ko capitalize kiya ja sake.

Jaisa ke hamesha, market developments par nazar rakhna aur strategies ko accordingly adjust karna trading outcomes ko optimize karne ke liye zaroori hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ke analysis main aaj hum dekhenge ke British Pound ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein char hafte ke oonche star ko haasil kiya hai, jahan investors ne future interest rate cuts ke liye bet lagaya hai. Yeh bullish sentiment Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke recent testimony se shuru hui, jahan unhone inflation ke halat par ehtiyaat barte hue, market ne isey dovish stance ke tor par interpret kiya.

Pound ki rally ne 1.2800 ke level par resistance ka saamna kiya, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke in oonche levels par kamzori aa sakti hai. Agar Pound wapas girti hai, to yeh 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 1.2600 ke aas-paas hai, ko test kar sakti hai. Short-term technical indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), downtrend ke continue hone ki potential ko dikha rahe hain.

Bulls ko 1.2610 ke support level ko defend karna hoga aur daily chart par higher lows establish karne honge taake upward momentum barkarar rahe. Agar 1.2610 ke neeche breakdown hota hai, to yeh further declines ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan 200-day SMA jo ke 1.2570 par hai, ya 1.2465 aur 1.2300 ke levels ko bhi test kiya ja sakta hai. Jab market mid-point of the long-term trading range 1.2610 par wapas aati hai, to bulls aur bears ke beech power ka balance pound ki next direction ko determine karne mein crucial hoga.

Agar upside reversal hoti hai to 20-day SMA pe pehla resistance target karna chahiye, iske baad 1.2740 barrier ko break karne ki koshish karni chahiye. Agar is level ko break kar diya jaye, to pair upper limit of the sideways channel 1.2820 ko bhi test kar sakti hai.

Overall, Pound ki performance market expectations se closely tied hai jo ke UK aur US ke interest rate movements par based hai. Investors upcoming US CPI data ko closely watch karenge, jo ke near-term mein pound ki trajectory ko aur influence kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD ke hawale se aaj ke analysis main, hum dekhenge ke dollar abhi kaafi pressure mein hai aur yeh trend shayad continue kare. Halanki main abhi 1.3025 se upar nahi jaane ka plan bana raha, lekin isko bhi nafrat nahi kiya ja sakta, kyunki greenback kaafi zyada neeche push ho raha hai. Agar aap dollar index ko dekhein, to yeh sirf dollar bulls ke liye shuruat hai.

GBP/USD ke senior timeframes par bhi yeh trend achhi tarah se reflect ho raha hai, jahan hum current northern impulse ko work off kar rahe hain. Weekly chart ko bhi dekha ja sakta hai, jahan Fibonacci extension ke zariye targets 1.3175-1.3225 se lekar 1.3387-1.3525 tak hain. Toh, aap jahan bhi apni ungli maarenge, aap galat jagah nahi jaayenge.

Is hafte ECB apni interest rate ke hawale se announcements karega aur last time bhi Eva ne khud zyada girawat nahi dekhi thi. Saath hi, States ka CPI bhi abhi kuch aur clarify hone ki zarurat hai, magar yeh aane wale hafte mein hoga. Yeh hafte to sunlight par insist karenge.

Hum general trend ko bina kisi embellishment ke dekh rahe hain, lekin locally zaroor kuch chhoti moti movements ho sakti hain. Powell ko zyada zaroorat gold ke liye hai, lekin agar woh September ke expectations ko thoda clarify kar dete hain, to pound aaj hi 30th figure tak bhi ja sakta hai.