gbp/usd

GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein

Hourly chart ko dekh kar GBPUSD currency pair mein bullish trend ka clear indication mil raha hai, jo indicators ke zariye confirm hota hai. 120-period moving average bhi bullish trend ko confirm karta hai kyunki yeh price ke neeche hai. Zigzag indicator bhi ek ascending structure ko show kar raha hai, jahan lows aur highs barh rahe hain. Aaj ki hourly candle ka closing level 1.3180 hai, jo ke upward movement ko continue karne ka signal hai.

Is waqt ke nazar mein, GBPUSD ki movement buying ke liye favorable lag rahi hai. Agar aap buy karna chahte hain, to entry point 1.3160 hai. Pehla target price level 1.3200 rakha gaya hai, aur doosra target 1.3240 ke aas-paas hai. Stop-loss ko 1.3130 par set kiya gaya hai taake agar market unexpected move kare, to nuksan ko kam kiya ja sake.

Agar GBPUSD ki price 1.3160 se entry ke baad upward movement continue karti hai, to pehla target 1.3200 achieve ho sakta hai. Iske baad, agar trend positive rehta hai, to aapka doosra target 1.3240 bhi achieve ho sakta hai. Stop-loss ko 1.3130 par set karna zaroori hai taake kisi bhi unforeseen market movement ke case mein aapka loss limit mein rahe.

Agar pair 1.3100 ke neeche break aur consolidate karti hai, to selling consider ki ja sakti hai. Is situation mein, take profit ko 1.3060 par set kiya gaya hai, aur stop-loss ko is trade ke liye 1.3130 par rakha gaya hai. Agar market is level ke neeche consolidate karti hai, to selling entry ke liye suitable ho sakti hai.

In trading strategies ko follow karte waqt, market ke overall trend aur indicators ka bhi dhyan rakhein. Har trade ke liye risk management zaroori hai, isliye stop-loss aur take profit levels ko sahi tarah se set karna chahiye. Aaj ke bullish trend ko dhyan mein rakhtay hue, buy positions ko consider karna zyada sensible lag raha hai. Lekin, agar market unexpected direction le, to selling opportunities bhi explore ki ja sakti hain. Trading decisions ko carefully analyse karte hue hi execute karein aur market ke changes ke saath adapt karna seekhein.

Hourly chart ko dekhte hue, GBP/USD currency pair par ek bullish trend nazar aa raha hai, jo ke chart par indicators se confirm ho raha hai. 120-period moving average bhi is upward direction ko confirm kar raha hai kyunki yeh price ke niche hai. Zigzag indicator bhi ek ascending structure dikhata hai jahan lows aur highs barh rahe hain. Hourly candle ka closing level 1.3180 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke upward movement ka continuation indicate karta hai. Isliye, zyada chances hain ke movement aise direction mein rahegi jo buying ke liye favorable hai.

Buying ke liye entry point 1.3160 par hai, aur pehla target 1.3200 par set kiya gaya hai. Dusra target 1.3240 ke aas-paas hai, aur stop-loss 1.3130 par rakha gaya hai. Agar price 1.3160 se upar chalti hai, to yeh bullish trend ko support karta hai aur aapko buying opportunities mil sakti hain.

Agar selling ki baat karein, to yeh consider kiya ja sakta hai agar pair 1.3100 ke neeche break aur consolidate kare. Selling ke liye entry point 1.3100 ke neeche hona chahiye, aur take profit level 1.3060 par set kiya gaya hai. Is situation mein stop-loss bhi 1.3130 par rakha jayega, jo ke aapko zyada risk se bachane mein madad karega.

Hourly chart par yeh bullish trend aur moving average ka position clear indication hai ke market abhi bhi upward movement mein hai. Isliye, buying ke liye set kiye gaye targets aur stop-loss levels ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar price 1.3160 se upar chali jaati hai, to aapki buying strategy ke according targets ko adjust kiya ja sakta hai.

Conversely, agar market 1.3100 ke neeche break kar jaati hai aur consolidate karti hai, to selling ki strategy ko apply kiya ja sakta hai. Is condition mein, take profit aur stop-loss levels ko bhi carefully manage karna hoga taake aapki losses kam se kam ho aur profits maximize ho sakein.

Overall, GBP/USD ke hourly chart par indicators bullish trend ko support kar rahe hain, aur current market conditions ke hisaab se buying aur selling strategies ko carefully plan karna zaroori hai. Trading decisions ko market ki real-time movements aur indicator signals ke saath align karna chahiye.

**GBP/USD Ka Tajziya Aur Trading Ke Liye Raahnamai:**
GBP/USD jori ne Wednesday ko U.S. JOLTs report ke base par upar trading ki. July mein job openings ka number market ke expectations se kaafi kam tha, aur jab July mein unemployment rate bhi barh gaya, toh aur bhi kuch ummeed nahi thi. Market ko phir se weak US data ne disappoint kiya, jo ke market aur experts dono ki expectations se kam tha. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market participants ke liye actual value nahi balki forecast important hota hai. Agar forecast baar-baar zyada high set kiya jata hai, toh wo kabhi bhi meet nahi hota, aur US dollar aur kuch saalon tak girta rah sakta hai. Yeh currency market ki halat hai aaj kal. Haftay ke do din abhi baaki hain aur abhi bhi kai important macroeconomic data release honi hai. GBP/USD jori apne last local high se sirf thoda hi upar gayi hai. Agar baaki reports, jo ke labor, business activity, aur unemployment par hain, bhi weak hoti hain, toh pound is haftay 1.3250 ke level par wapas aa sakta hai.

Wednesday ko 5-minute time frame par do buy signals ban gaye. Price ne 1.3102-1.3107 ke area se do baar rebound kiya aur phir 1.3145-1.3167 ke area tak uthi, jahan se bhi rebound hua. Is tarah se, long positions ne novice traders ko kuch dozen pips ka profit dilaya. 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound bhi kiya ja sakta tha, lekin aaj pair ko phir se rise continue karna chahiye agar US reports forecast se kamzor nikli toh.

**Thursday Ko Trading Karne Ka Tareeqa:**

Hourly time frame par GBP/USD ko global downward trend resume karne ya kam se kam kuch decline ka achha chance hai. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market har mauke ko British currency ko buy karne aur dollar ko sell karne ke liye use kar rahi hai. Filhal, pound sirf minor bearish correction dikhata hai, aur full-fledged downtrend ke bare mein baat karna abhi jaldi hai.

Thursday ko, pair ke niche move karne ki umeed hai kyun ke trend line breach ho chuki hai. Kal, price 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound hui thi. Lekin aaj dollar rate bhi US macro data par depend karega.

5-minute timeframe par key levels hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Wednesday ko UK business activity in the construction sector ka secondary report release hoga, jo ke August ke liye second estimate hai. Zyada important reports, jaise ADP aur ISM services sector mein, US mein release hongi. Major movements phir se din ke dusre

chart par, GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ke din apni girawat jaari rakhi jab ke usne 161.8% corrective level par 1.3258 se rebound karte hue 127.2% corrective level par 1.3054 ki taraf move kiya. Yeh pair abhi bhi ek upward trend channel ke andar hai, jo ke market sentiment ko "bullish" rakhta hai. Agar yeh pair channel ke neeche wali line se rebound karta hai, to yeh pound ko support karega aur 1.3258 level ki taraf dobara growth shuru hogi. Agar pair channel ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh ek "bearish" trend ke formation ka signal hoga. Wave structure bilkul clear hai. Aakhri complete hone wali wave ne pichli wave ke low ko break nahi kiya, jab ke aakhri wave up ne pichli wave ke peak ko break kar diya. Is tarah, hum filhal "bullish" trend ka samna kar rahe hain baghair kisi shak ke, lekin sari waves itni bari hain ke trend reversal ka pata lagana sirf ek significant delay ke sath hi mumkin hai. Main kisi choti wave patterns ko nahi dekh raha jo ke trend change ka indication dein. Halanki, upward trend channel abhi bhi intact hai jo ke pair ke liye support provide kar raha hai.
Thursday ke news ne U.S. dollar ko mazid mazbooti di, kyun ke U.S. economy ne traders ke expectations se zyada growth ki second quarter mein. Bears abhi bhi kaafi kamzor hain. Pair ko channel ke neeche wali line tak pohanchane mein bhi kafi waqt lag sakta hai. Har nayi report jo ke September ya saal ke aakhir tak Fed ki monetary policy ko ease karne ka ishara deti hai, wo dollar par bojh dal sakti hai. Aaj PCE index release hoga, aur agar yeh slow down karta hai, to yeh indicate karega ke U.S. inflation kam hoti ja rahi hai. Inflation ke slow down hone se Fed ke rate cut ki chances agle chand mahino mein barh jaengi. Filhal, FOMC ke members ko year ke aakhir tak har meeting par easing ki zaroorat ke bare mein yaqeen nahi hai, lekin unki raye tabdeel ho sakti hai agar inflation kam hoti rahi aur labor market weak results ke sath aur badhti hui unemployment ke sath show karta raha.

4-hour chart par, yeh pair 1.3044 level ke upar settle ho chuki hai. CCI indicator ne ek hafte se zyada "bearish" divergence ka warning di hui hai, aur RSI indicator ne ek hafte se overbought territory mein rehna shuru kar diya hai, jo ke aik rare occurrence hai. Aane wale dinon mein pair ki girawat ka imkaan zyada hai. Halanki, filhal pair ka 1.3044 level ke upar settle hone se agla Fibonacci level 76.4% par 1.3314 tak growth jaari rehne ka ishara milta hai. Hourly chart par sirf ek signal pound ki girawat ka hai

Hourly chart ko dekh kar GBPUSD currency pair mein bullish trend ka clear indication mil raha hai, jo indicators ke zariye confirm hota hai. 120-period moving average bhi bullish trend ko confirm karta hai kyunki yeh price ke neeche hai. Zigzag indicator bhi ek ascending structure ko show kar raha hai, jahan lows aur highs barh rahe hain. Aaj ki hourly candle ka closing level 1.3180 hai, jo ke upward movement ko continue karne ka signal hai.
Is waqt ke nazar mein, GBPUSD ki movement buying ke liye favorable lag rahi hai. Agar aap buy karna chahte hain, to entry point 1.3160 hai. Pehla target price level 1.3200 rakha gaya hai, aur doosra target 1.3240 ke aas-paas hai. Stop-loss ko 1.3130 par set kiya gaya hai taake agar market unexpected move kare, to nuksan ko kam kiya ja sake.

Agar GBPUSD ki price 1.3160 se entry ke baad upward movement continue karti hai, to pehla target 1.3200 achieve ho sakta hai. Iske baad, agar trend positive rehta hai, to aapka doosra target 1.3240 bhi achieve ho sakta hai. Stop-loss ko 1.3130 par set karna zaroori hai taake kisi bhi unforeseen market movement ke case mein aapka loss limit mein rahe.

Agar pair 1.3100 ke neeche break aur consolidate karti hai, to selling consider ki ja sakti hai. Is situation mein, take profit ko 1.3060 par set kiya gaya hai, aur stop-loss ko is trade ke liye 1.3130 par rakha gaya hai. Agar market is level ke neeche consolidate karti hai, to selling entry ke liye suitable ho sakti hai.

In trading strategies ko follow karte waqt, market ke overall trend aur indicators ka bhi dhyan rakhein. Har trade ke liye risk management zaroori hai, isliye stop-loss aur take profit levels ko sahi tarah se set karna chahiye. Aaj ke bullish trend ko dhyan mein rakhtay hue, buy positions ko consider karna zyada sensible lag raha hai. Lekin, agar market unexpected direction le, to selling opportunities bhi explore ki ja sakti hain. Trading decisions ko carefully analyse karte hue hi execute karein aur market ke changes ke saath adapt karna seekhein.

GBP/USD Analysis in Roman Urdu**
Jummah ke din GBP/USD ka price poore din mein pichle din ki range ko break nahi kar saka, jis ke natije mein aik indecision candle bani jo thori si bullish bias ke sath thi. Aane wale hafte ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke southern movement ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Is surat mein, jaisa ke pehle bhi mein ne mention kiya, main apna focus mirror support level par rakhne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.25694 par waqia hai. Is support level ke qareeb do scenarios samne aa sakte hain.
Pehla scenario ye hai ke aik reversal candle bane aur price phir se upward movement shuru kare. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to mein intizar karoon ga ke price resistance level 1.27025 ya phir resistance level 1.27399 tak laut aye. Agar price in resistance levels ke upar close hoti hai, to mazeed northward movement ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, jo ke resistance level 1.2864 ya resistance level 1.28938 tak ho sakti hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main trading setup ke formation ka intizar karoon ga taake mazeed trading direction ka tayun ho sake.
Lekin agar price ko further north push kiya jata hai to mazeed northern targets tak le jane ka chance hai, lekin filhal mein is option ko consider nahi kar raha hoon kyun ke iski quick realization ke liye prospects nazar nahi aa rahe. Ek alternative scenario ye ho sakta hai ke support level 1.25694 ke retesting par price is level ke neeche close ho aur mazeed southern movement shuru ho. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to mein price ke support level 1.24601 ya support level 1.24456 tak jane ki umeed karoon ga. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ki talash karoon ga aur umeed karoon ga ke upward price movement ka silsila phir se shuru ho jaye.
Mujhe lagta hai ke next week mein price locally nearest support level ko test karegi, aur phir mein bullish signals ki talash mein rahoon ga taake price ke upward movement ki umeed ki ja sake. June ke mahine mein market ki situation ab bhi bearish side par chal rahi hai. Pichle hafte ke trading mein bhi market trend downward tha. Is hafte ke liye, price jo ke position 1.2636 se shuru hui, thoda upar move kar sakti hai 1.2701 ke area tak. Phir pichle hafte ke end par thodi bearishness hui jis se price close hui 1.2641 par. Is mahine ka downtrend ab tak significant nahi lagta, lekin last three weeks ki bearishness next week ke bearish trend ke liye aik mauqa ban sakti hai.
Candlesticks ab tak stable nazar aa rahi hain jo ke simple moving average zone of period 100 ke neeche move kar rahi hain. Meri prediction ye hai ke next week candlestick ab bhi niche move kar sakti hai taake bearish trend jari rakha ja sake, jis se price current position se lower position tak ja sakti hai. Mujhe shak hai ke agle hafte price downward trend ko continue kar sakti hai, jo ke pichle do hafton ki drastic bearishness ka asar hai, aur ye shayad 1.2600 ke area ko test karne ki koshish kare. Agar ye koshish kamiyab hoti hai, to GBP/USD pair ke liye agle bearish target tak girne ka chance hai, lekin agar bearishness continue nahi hoti to mujhe lagta hai ke price bullish side ki taraf uth sakti hai, shayad 1.2686 ke position ko test karna chahti ho.

GBP/USD Analysis in Roman Urdu**
Jummah ke din GBP/USD ka price poore din mein pichle din ki range ko break nahi kar saka, jis ke natije mein aik indecision candle bani jo thori si bullish bias ke sath thi. Aane wale hafte ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke southern movement ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Is surat mein, jaisa ke pehle bhi mein ne mention kiya, main apna focus mirror support level par rakhne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.25694 par waqia hai. Is support level ke qareeb do scenarios samne aa sakte hain.
Pehla scenario ye hai ke aik reversal candle bane aur price phir se upward movement shuru kare. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to mein intizar karoon ga ke price resistance level 1.27025 ya phir resistance level 1.27399 tak laut aye. Agar price in resistance levels ke upar close hoti hai, to mazeed northward movement ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, jo ke resistance level 1.2864 ya resistance level 1.28938 tak ho sakti hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main trading setup ke formation ka intizar karoon ga taake mazeed trading direction ka tayun ho sake.
Lekin agar price ko further north push kiya jata hai to mazeed northern targets tak le jane ka chance hai, lekin filhal mein is option ko consider nahi kar raha hoon kyun ke iski quick realization ke liye prospects nazar nahi aa rahe. Ek alternative scenario ye ho sakta hai ke support level 1.25694 ke retesting par price is level ke neeche close ho aur mazeed southern movement shuru ho. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to mein price ke support level 1.24601 ya support level 1.24456 tak jane ki umeed karoon ga. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ki talash karoon ga aur umeed karoon ga ke upward price movement ka silsila phir se shuru ho jaye.
Mujhe lagta hai ke next week mein price locally nearest support level ko test karegi, aur phir mein bullish signals ki talash mein rahoon ga taake price ke upward movement ki umeed ki ja sake. June ke mahine mein market ki situation ab bhi bearish side par chal rahi hai. Pichle hafte ke trading mein bhi market trend downward tha. Is hafte ke liye, price jo ke position 1.2636 se shuru hui, thoda upar move kar sakti hai 1.2701 ke area tak. Phir pichle hafte ke end par thodi bearishness hui jis se price close hui 1.2641 par. Is mahine ka downtrend ab tak significant nahi lagta, lekin last three weeks ki bearishness next week ke bearish trend ke liye aik mauqa ban sakti hai.
Candlesticks ab tak stable nazar aa rahi hain jo ke simple moving average zone of period 100 ke neeche move kar rahi hain. Meri prediction ye hai ke next week candlestick ab bhi niche move kar sakti hai taake bearish trend jari rakha ja sake, jis se price current position se lower position tak ja sakti hai. Mujhe shak hai ke agle hafte price downward trend ko continue kar sakti hai, jo ke pichle do hafton ki drastic bearishness ka asar hai, aur ye shayad 1.2600 ke area ko test karne ki koshish kare. Agar ye koshish kamiyab hoti hai, to GBP/USD pair ke liye agle bearish target tak girne ka chance hai, lekin agar bearishness continue nahi hoti to mujhe lagta hai ke price bullish side ki taraf uth sakti hai, shayad 1.2686 ke position ko test karna chahti ho.

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.

GBP/USD pair ko Wednesday ko trade karte waqt global aur local trends dono ko dekhna zaroori hai. Is waqt market mein mixed situation hai: ek taraf global downtrend hai jo long-term bearish outlook dikha raha hai, aur dusri taraf local uptrend hai jo short-term buying opportunities de raha hai. Global trend ke hisaab se GBP/USD pair neeche ja sakta hai kyunke British pound kuch zyada hi strong ho gaya hai aur US dollar undervalued hai. US economy achi perform kar rahi hai aur Federal Reserve ki policy bhi strong hai, jisse dollar ki strength ban sakti hai. Is trend ko dekhte hue, GBP/USD ki short-term rallies sell karne ka mauka ho sakti hain, jisse aap global trend ke saath align kar sakte hain.

Lekin abhi GBP/USD mein ek local uptrend bhi chal raha hai, especially hourly chart par. Iska matlab hai ke kuch traders short-term mein GBP khareed rahe hain. Yeh short-term bullishness market sentiment, technical corrections, ya kuch economic reports ki wajah se ho sakti hai jo pound ke liye temporary positive hain. Lekin pound abhi bhi overbought hai, aur technical indicators jaise ke RSI yeh signal kar rahe hain ke GBP elevated levels par trade ho raha hai, jisse correction ki umeed hai. Saat hi USD undervalued hai, toh agar market sentiment shift hota hai, toh dollar rebound kar sakta hai. Market sentiment bhi ek important factor hai, kyunke kabhi kabhi negative reports ko bhi ignore kiya jaa raha hai, jiski wajah se local uptrend support ho raha hai. Lekin yeh sentiment jaldi shift bhi ho sakta hai, especially agar nayi reports aati hain jo global bearish trend ke saath match karti hain.

Trading mein, agar aap short karna chahte hain, toh sell positions un levels par enter karein jahan resistance mile aur signs of exhaustion dikh rahe ho. Short-term buying bhi ki ja sakti hai local uptrend ko dekhte hue, lekin exit ke liye ready rahein agar reversal ke signs aayen. Risk management ke liye tight stop loss lagana aur market updates par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, taake timely decisions liye ja sakein. Wednesday ko GBP/USD trade karte waqt short-term gains aur long-term bearish trend ke beech balance rakhna important hai.

Jab aap GBP/USD currency pair ko Wednesday ke din trade karte hain, to zaroori hai ke aap chal rahi trends aur market ke khas dynamics ko samjhein. Is waqt ka mahaul aisa hai ke ye pair ek taraf se local uptrend dikhata hai aur doosri taraf global downtrend. Ye traders ke liye ek mixed tasveer pesh karta hai. Ek taraf, GBP/USD ke liye global bearish sentiment ye batata hai ke currency pair lambe arsay tak girta rahega. Dusri taraf, ek zabardast local upward movement ke wajah se short-term buying ke mauqe milte hain. Aayein in trends ko tor tor kar samajhte hain taake Wednesday ko achi trading decisions le sakein.
### 1. Global Downward Trend

GBP/USD pair ka overall trend global downtrend ki taraf hai. Kai fundamental aur technical factors hain jo is pair ko lambe arsay ke liye neeche le jaa rahe hain. British pound (GBP) ne recent weeks ya months mein zyada appreciation hasil ki hai, aur kai traders ka maanna hai ke currency apni asal value se zyada barh gayi hai. Saath hi, US dollar (USD) undervalued hai, khaaskar jab hum US ki mazboot economic performance aur Federal Reserve ki relatively hawkish policy ko dekhte hain.

Ye global downtrend is baat ka ishara karta hai ke GBP apni value USD ke muqablay mein kho sakta hai lambe arsay ke liye. Investors is macroeconomic tasveer se wakif hain, aur bohot se log umeed karte hain ke pound jald hi correction ka samna karega. Isliye, agar pair mein koi upward movement hoti hai, to traders ke liye mauqa ho sakta hai ke wo GBP/USD ko sell karain aur is bare trend ke sath trading karein.

### 2. Local Uptrend aur Overbought Conditions

Global trend bearish hai, lekin ek local uptrend iss waqt hourly time frame mein dekha ja raha hai. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke traders short-term opportunities ka faida utha rahe hain GBP ko khareedne aur USD ko bechne mein. Is short-term bullishness ke peeche bohot si wajahen ho sakti hain, jaise market sentiment, technical corrections, aur kuch economic reports jo shayad pound ke liye favorable interpret ki gayi hoon.

Magar, zaroori baat ye hai ke pound overbought hai. Is ka matlab hai ke currency elevated levels pe trade kar rahi hai, jo is baat ka ish ara hai ke shayad ye correction ka waqt ho. Technical indicators jaise ke RSI ya moving averages ye suggest karte hain ke pound apni short-term fair value se zyada barh gaya hai. Dosri taraf, USD ko bohot se analysts undervalued samajhte hain, jo ke is baat ki nishani hai ke agar market sentiment badla, to dollar rebound kar sakta hai.

### 3. Market Sentiment: Na Pasandida Reports ko Nazarandaz Karna

Ajeeb baat ye hai ke overbought conditions ke bawajood, market kuch unfavorable economic reports ko nazarandaz kar raha hai. Traders ko lagta hai ke ye local uptrend ka faida uthane ka ek mauqa hai, lekin saath hi unhe yeh baat bhi yaad rakhni chahiye ke global trend bearish hai aur koi bhi unexpected development GBP/USD pair mein sharp movements ko janam de sakti hai.


Aapko dono trends ko samjhte huye trade karna hoga, jahan short-term local uptrend buying ka ek acha mauqa de sakta hai, wahin global downtrend aapko sell karne ka bhi ishara de sakta hai, khaaskar jab correction ka waqt nazdeek aaye.

GBP/USD pair ne Friday ko Asian trading session mein positive territory mein trade kiya, jise US dollar ki ongoing weakness se support mila. Market participants eagerly US non-farm payrolls data ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain jo August ke liye hai aur expected hai ke Federal Reserve ke interest rate decision par significant asar dalega. Is week ke start mein Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report se pata chala ke August mein private sector job growth mein decline hua hai, jo Fed se rate cut ki umeed ko mazboot karta hai. Abhi markets September 17-18 meeting mein rate cut ki pricing kar rahe hain. GBP ko bhi support mil raha hai Bank of England (BoE) se potential rate cut ke expectations se. Halanke BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne bataya hai ke inflationary pressures kam ho rahe hain, unhone jaldbazi mein rates cut karne ke khilaf bhi caution kiya hai. Investors abhi 25% chance de rahe hain BoE rate cut ka, lekin yeh possibility November se pehle puri tarah se price in ho chuki hai.
GBP/USD pair ne week slightly lower open kiya jab yeh key resistance trend line 1.3229 ke upar break karne mein fail raha. Bulls momentum wapas lene ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin RSI aur Stochastic indicators dono abhi overbought territory mein hain, jo potential downside correction ka ishara kar rahe hain. Agar 1.3180 area ke neeche break hota hai, toh aur bhi decline ho sakta hai 1.3025-1.3085 area tak. Agar August ke lows se sharp uptrend line aur 1.3000 ka psychological barrier bhi breach hota hai, toh yeh rapid decline lead kar sakta hai 20- aur 50-day simple moving averages ke beech 1.2890-1.2900 tak. Overall, GBP/USD mein profit-taking ho sakta hai recent sharp increase ke baad, lekin investors worried tabhi honge jab price 1.2700-1.2730 se neeche gir jaye, jab tak pair medium-term picture mein apna upward trend maintain karta hai.

H4 timeframe par monitor karte hue, jab maine stochastic oscillator indicator lagaya, toh laga ke abhi GBP/USD price oversold level par pahunch gaya hai, isliye possibility hai ke price bounce back kare. Aur agar subah dekhun, toh ek achha bullish candle form hona shuru ho gaya hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke ek confirmation mile ke price little by little upar jana shuru ho gaya hai, lekin kyunke abhi jaldi hai, toh acha hai ke position enter karne mein jaldbazi na ki jaye, shayad thoda wait karun agar momentum zyada bullish ho jaye, toh buy option recommended choice ho sakti hai. Bade timeframe se dekha jaye, toh lagta hai ke ek strong bullish trend hai, lekin yeh bhi notice karna chahiye ke Wednesday ko GBP/USD price mein weakness aani shuru hui thi aur 80 pips neeche move hua tha, yeh ek sign ho sakta hai ke seller sentiment dheere dheere resist kar raha hai. Agar valid candlestick pattern ke saath ek aur decline hota hai, toh trend bearish ho sakta hai, aur uss case mein seller scenario ready karunga. Lekin agar price wapas upar jata hai, toh buyer scenario apply karega, isliye position enter karne ke decision mein jaldbazi nahi karni chahiye. Abhi tak mujhe lag raha hai ke GBP/USD market mein price movements ek achhe upward trend mein move kar rahe hain, dominant bullish trend ke saath, toh buy opportunities par focus rehna sahi hai, lekin agar gaur se dekhen, toh lagta hai ke Wednesday ko 80 pips ka decline hua tha, jisse ek bearish candlestick form hui thi lambi body ke saath. Ho sakta hai yeh decline correction phase ka hissa ho before continuing the higher trend, lekin agar yeh aur neeche jata hai, toh trend bearish bhi turn ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ne Asian trading session ke doran positive territory mein trade kiya, jo ke US dollar ki kamzori ke saath support mila. Market participants US non-farm payrolls data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ke Federal Reserve ke interest rate decision ko baray asar daal sakta hai. Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report, jo is hafte ke shuru mein release hui thi, ne August mein private sector job growth ki kami dikhayi, jo Fed ke rate cut ke potential ko suggest karti hai. Markets ab September 17-18 meeting ke liye rate cut ko price kar rahi hain. Pound ko Bank of England (BoE) se bhi rate cut ke expectations se support mila hai. Jabke BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne inflationary pressures ke kam hone ka zikr kiya hai, lekin unhone rates cut karne mein jaldi na karne ki hidaayat di hai. Investors BoE rate cut ka 25% chance price kar rahe hain, lekin ye possibility November se fully priced in hai.
GBP/USD pair ne hafte ki shuruat thodi lower se ki jab ye key resistance trend line at 1.3229 ko break karne mein nakam raha. Jabke bulls momentum regain karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, RSI aur Stochastic indicators filhal overbought territory mein hain, jo downside correction ki ishaarat deti hai. Agar 1.3180 area ke niche break hota hai to 1.3025-1.3085 area tak decline ho sakti hai. Agar August ke lows se sharp uptrend line aur psychological barrier at 1.3000 bhi breach hoti hai, to rapid decline 20- aur 50-day simple moving averages ke beech 1.2890-1.2900 tak ho sakti hai. Sab kuch dekhte hue, GBP/USD mein recent sharp increase ke bawajood profit-taking ho sakti hai. Lekin, investors ko tab tak


pareshani nahi hogi jab tak price 1.2700–1.2730 ke niche nahi girti, jab tak pair medium-term picture mein upward trend ko maintain karta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis abhi discussion ka mohtaj hai. Kaunsa key support level ek reversal ko signal karta hai jo uptrend se downtrend mein convert hota hai? Daily chart ka analysis karne ke baad, maine ek crucial support level 1.2822 par identify kiya hai. Yeh level aur doosra 1.2855 ke saath milkar ek zone banata hai jahan breakdown se bearish trend ki taraf shift ka pata chalta hai. Iske ilawa, maine ek screenshot bhi attach kiya hai jo uptrend channel dikhata hai. Filhal price is channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai. Trend reversal ko confirm karne ke liye is uptrend channel ke lower boundary ka breach zaroori hai. Is liye, abhi ka market phase ek downward correction lagta hai, na ke ek final trend reversal, khaaskar medium to long term mein.
H4 timeframe par monitoring continue rakhte hue, jab maine stochastic oscillator indicator install kiya, to lagta hai ke current GBP/USD price condition oversold level par pohoch chuki hai, is liye price ke wapis upar bounce karne ka imkaan hai. Agar aaj subah ke price dekhein, to lagta hai ke ek accha bullish candle shuru ho gaya hai. Yeh zaroor ek confirmation ho sakti hai ke price thoda thoda upar chadhna shuru kar rahi hai, lekin abhi waqt jaldi hai, is liye mujhe position mein jaldi nahi karni chahiye. Shayad thoda wait karna behtar hoga, agar momentum zyada bullish hoti hai, to buy ka option recommended rahega. Agar large timeframe se dekhein, to lagta hai ke steady bullish trend hai, lekin yeh bhi note karna chahiye ke Wednesday ko GBP/USD ke price mein 80 pips ka downfall aya, jo yeh signal de sakta hai ke seller sentiment dheere dheere resistance kar raha hai. Agar aage chal kar ek valid candlestick pattern ke sath aur decline hota hai, to trend bearish ho sakta hai, aur tab mein seller scenario ke liye tayar ho jaunga. Lekin agar price wapis upar chali jati hai, to buyer scenario ab bhi applicable rahega, is liye jaldi decision lene ki zarurat nahi hai.


Ab tak mein dekh raha hoon ke GBP/USD market mein price movements kaafi acchi upward trend mein hain, aur dominant bullish trend hai, to buy opportunities ko dekhna behtar rahega. Lekin agar Wednesday ka dhyan se dekha jaye, to condition mein 80 pips ka decline aya tha, jis se ek bearish candlestick bana tha jo kaafi lambi body ke sath tha. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh decline higher trend ko continue karne se pehle ek correction phase ka hissa ho, lekin yeh bhi zaroori hai ke agar price aur neeche jati hai, to trend bearish ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ne Asian trading session ke doran positive territory mein trade kiya, jo ke US dollar ki kamzori ke saath support mila. Market participants August ke US non-farm payrolls data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Federal Reserve ke interest rate decision par bara asar daal sakta hai. Is hafte pehle release hui Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report ne August mein private sector job growth mein kami dikhayi, jo Fed ke rate cut ke potential ko suggest karti hai. Markets ab September 17-18 meeting ke liye rate cut ko price kar rahe hain. Pound ko bhi Bank of England (BoE) ke rate cut ke expectations se support mila hai. Jabke BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne kaha ke inflationary pressures kam ho rahe hain, lekin unhone jaldi rates cut karne se bachne ki hidaayat di hai. Investors BoE rate cut ka 25% chance price kar rahe hain, lekin yeh possibility November se fully priced in hai.
GBP/USD pair ne hafte ki shuruat thodi lower se ki jab yeh key resistance trend line at 1.3229 ko break karne mein nakam raha. Bulls momentum regain karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin RSI aur Stochastic indicators filhal overbought territory mein hain, jo downside correction ka ishara dete hain. Agar 1.3180 area ke niche break hota hai, to yeh mazeed decline ko confirm kar sakta hai, jo 1.3025-1.3085 area tak ja sakta hai. Agar August ke lows se sharp uptrend line aur psychological barrier at 1.3000 bhi breach hoti hai, to yeh rapid decline ko 20- aur 50-day simple moving averages ke darmiyan 1.2890-1.2900 tak le ja sakta hai. Sab kuch dekha jaye, to GBP/USD mein


recent sharp increase ke bawajood profit-taking ho sakti hai. Lekin, jab tak price 1.2700–1.2730 ke niche nahi girti, investors ko koi pareshani nahi hogi, jab tak pair medium-term picture mein apna upward trend maintain karta hai.