gbp/usd

Aaj GBP/USD pair mein kuch buying opportunities nazar aa rahi hain. Yeh is liye bhi important hai kyun ke aaj US Fed Chair Powell ka speech hai, jo market sentiment ko badal sakta hai. Is liye mujhe umeed hai ke market sellers ke favor mein rahegi, aur yeh 1.2621 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Aane wali news bhi market sentiment ko bara asar de sakti hai aur trading results ko significant taur par influence kar sakti hai. Traders ko mashwara hai ke woh informed rahain aur apni strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karein. Market sentiment mein aanay wali shifts ko anticipate karte hue, agar traders strategically position lein, to yeh unki ability ko enhance karega ke woh uncertainties ko navigate kar sakein aur favorable trading conditions ka fayda utha sakein.

Aaj ka market ek behtareen buying opportunity paish kar raha hai, jahan buyer sentiment mazboot hai aur upward momentum ka potential hai. Agar traders prevailing market sentiment ke sath align karein aur well-defined buy strategies ko implement karein, to unke profitable outcomes ke chances barh jate hain. Disciplined trading practices par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena traders ko market ke complexities mein confidently navigate karne mein madad deta hai. Agar woh market developments se well-informed rahain aur evolving conditions par adeptly respond karein, to woh apni trading strategies ko refine kar sakte hain aur financial markets ke dynamic landscape mein opportunities ka fayda utha sakte hain.

Aaj ke liye, mein sell-side position ko prefer kar raha hoon, jahan mera short target 1.2600 hai. Sath hi aaj ka market environment ek compelling buying opportunity bhi paish kar raha hai, jo ke buyer sentiment ke sustain hone aur potential upward movement ki wajah se hai. Market direction aur sentiment ke sath strategic alignment, proactive trade planning, aur timely execution ke sath, traders ke success ke prospects enhance ho jate hain. Disciplined approach par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena, traders ko market ke complexities ko confidence ke sath navigate karne mein madad deta hai, aur profitable outcomes achieve karne mein bhi.

Aaj ke din ke liye, sab traders ko successful

ستمبر 2 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

جمعہ کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ 1.3095-1.3120 کے ہدف کی حد تک پہنچ گیا۔ آج اس سطح سے اوپر کی طرف درست ہو رہا ہے۔ روزانہ مارلن آسیلیٹر بھی رک گیا ہے، مزید کمی سے پہلے ایک مختصر وقفہ لے رہا ہے۔



یہ وقفہ پاؤنڈ کے لیے ضروری ہے کہ وہ سپورٹ لیول تک پہنچنے سے پہلے طاقت جمع کرے۔ اگر قیمت 1.3095 سے نیچے رہتی ہے، تو یہ 1.2994 پر ہدف کا راستہ کھولتا ہے۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت دونوں انڈیکیٹر لائنوں سے نیچے آ گئی ہے، جبکہ مارلن منفی علاقے میں آگے بڑھ رہی ہے۔

1.3220 کے راستے پر، 26 اور 30 اگست کے درمیان تین چھوٹی مزاحمتی سطحیں بنتی ہیں۔ لہٰذا، اصلاحی اضافہ 1.3120-1.3220 کی حد کے اندر ایک سادہ سائیڈ وے حرکت کی شکل اختیار کر سکتا ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Kal ke Asian session ke aaghaz mein, GBPUSD abhi tak girawat jaari nahi kar saka, lekin yeh currency pair pehle thoda barha jab ke pehle support 1.3171 par tor chuka tha. GBPUSD mein izafa dekhne ko mila aur yeh 1.3321 tak pahunch gaya. Kuch dair baad, AUDUSD phir se gir gaya jis ke natijay mein agla support 1.3171 par bhi neeche se tor diya gaya. AUDUSD ke phir se girne ki wajah yeh thi ke candle abhi tak shoulder area 1.3221 par penetrate nahi kar saka tha.
Agar H1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, toh yeh mumkin hai ke is Jumma ko GBPUSD mazeed gehra girawat ka samna kare. Is ki wajah yeh hai ke ek head and shoulder pattern ban chuka hai. Neckline area ko penetrate karke, yeh batata hai ke yeh pattern valid hai. Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke 1.3221 ke resistance ko penetrate na hone diya jaye, kyun ke yeh GBPUSD ko foran neeche jane se rok sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, GBPUSD ke girne ki mazboot wajah yeh bhi hai ke yeh currency pair ab tak 1.3224 ke supply area ko penetrate nahi kar saka. Khushkismati se, jab kal yeh bara tha, toh GBPUSD apne qareebi resistance ko paar nahi kar saka.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ki madad se analysis kiya jaye, toh jab se GBPUSD ki movement mein girawat aayi hai, candle ki position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hi rahi hai, jis ka matlab yeh hai ke trend abhi bhi waqi bearish hai. Yeh indicator yeh bhi batata hai ke GBPUSD ke girne ka mauqa abhi bhi kafi zyada hai jab tak ke koi naya intersection nahi hota.

Isi dauran, stochastic indicator yeh dikha raha hai ke GBPUSD ki halat ab oversold ho chuki hai. Is baat ka saboot yeh hai ke line level 20 ko touch kar chuki hai. Is position mein jo abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai, mujhe abhi bhi ehtiyat se kaam lena hoga kyun ke GBPUSD ki girti hui movement dobara barh bhi sakti hai.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ke pass abhi bhi girne ka mauqa hai kyun ke H1 timeframe mein ek head and shoulder pattern neeche tor chuka hai. Is ke ilawa, candle ab tak supply area 1.3224 par penetrate nahi kar saka. Is liye, mein aap sab ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain, yeh recommend karta hoon ke sirf sell positions kholne par tawajju dein. Take profit target aap 1.3038 ke qareebi support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss 1.3237 ke aas-paas rakh sakte hain

British Pound abhi 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar ke muqable mein stable hai jab ke traders US ke aanay walay economic data par nazar rakhay hue hain, khas tor par Core PCE Price Index, GDP estimates, aur Initial Jobless Claims. Khaas tor par Core PCE data important hai kyun ke yeh Fed ke aglay qadam ke baray mein umeedon ko shape kar sakta hai. Agar yeh data zyada strong hota hai, to chhoti rate cut ki umeed ho sakti hai jo USD ko mazid strong karega aur GBP/USD par pressure dalega. Aaj ka economic data bara ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar PCE aur GDP expect se zyada strong hotay hain, to yeh aggressive Fed rate cuts ki umeedon ko kam kar sakta hai, jis se US Dollar mazid strong hoga aur Pound ke liye khatar ho sakte hain. Iske baraks, UK economy bhi focus mein hai jab ke Bank of England ke dosray rate cut par speculation ho rahi hai. In factors ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ne 1.3200 ke qareeb resilience dikhayi hai.

Technical indicators abhi bhi pair ke liye potential upside ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin is kaafi kuch aaj ke US data par depend karta hai. Investors khaas tor par Core PCE inflation report mein interested hain, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke near-term mein key driver ban sakta hai. Result ke hisaab se, ya to pair 1.3500 ki taraf break kar sakta hai ya phir nayi selling pressure ka samna kar sakta hai.

British Pound ne 1.3200 ke level ke qareeb stability hasil kar li hai, lekin is ki agay ki direction ziada tar US ke aanay walay economic data par munhasir hai, khaas tor par Core PCE inflation report par. Yeh data market sentiment ko influence karne mein bara kirdar ada karega aur Pound ke aglay move ko drive karega. Is uncertainty ko barhawa Bank of England ke potential rate cut se mil raha hai, jo traders ke liye mazeed complexity paida kar raha hai.

Lower time frame chart par, British Pound par kuch downward pressure hai, lekin optimism ki ehsaas hai kyun ke is ne recovery ki signs dikhayi hain. Bulls se umeed hai ke woh dobara control hasil karenge aur GBP/USD pair mein bullish trend ko re-establish karenge. Traders ko in developments par kareebi nazar rakhni hogi taake apni strategies ko accordingly adjus

Pound Sterling Mein Halka Izafa, US Inflation Report Ke Baad Khud Ko Sambhalte Huye
Thursday ki subah, Pound Sterling ne mazeed izafa banaye rakhne mein kamiyaab raha, yeh izafa US ke taaza inflation report ke baad hua. Yeh report ne sarmaaya kaaron ki umeedon ko mazeed barhaya ke US Federal Reserve apne September ke monetary policy meeting mein interest rates mein kami karna shuru kar sakta hai. Filhal, GBP/USD pair 1.3191 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke pehle ke levels se thoda si tabdeeli darshata hai.

GBP/USD Ke Asliyati Bunyadi Haalaat:

Aane wala Federal Reserve ka meeting Wednesday ko honay jaa raha hai jo ke bazaar ki khasa tawajjo ka markaz hoga. Sarmaaya kaar be sabri se intezaar kar rahe hain kisi bhi aisi nishani ka jo yeh bataye ke Fed apne aglay maali meeting mein, jab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) September mein dobara milay gi, ek anticipated rate cut implement karne ki tayari kar raha hai. Maujooda bazaar ki umeedein yeh zahiar kar rahi hain ke September 18 ko kam az kam ek quarter-point rate cut hone ke imkanaat hain, jahan CME ka FedWatch Tool 25 basis point cut ke 90% chance aur ek baday cut ke 10% chance ko dikhata hai.

Maali bazaar yeh bhi tawaqqo kar raha hai ke Fed is baat ka izhaar kare ga ke mehengayi ko apne 2% target ke qareeb laye jaane mein khasa progress hasil hui hai, saath hi labor market ki badhti hui fikar par bhi tawajjo di jaaye gi. Yeh izhaar Fed ki interest rates kam karne ki taiyyari ka ishara bhi ho sakta hai. Fed ke policy faislay ke ilawa, sarmaaya kaar US ke maeeshi indicators par bhi ghehri nazar rakhenge, jismein JOLTS Job Openings for June, ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), aur Nonfarm Payrolls data for July shamil hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Wednesday ko pair ne neeche ki taraf test kiya aur 1.3166 ka naya teen din ka low maara. Is ke bawajood, Pound Sterling ke kharidaaron ne mazbooti dikhayi aur pair ko aham 1.3100 mark ke upar rakha. Yeh karan seeza 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2896 ke upar position mein hai aur ab bhi 200-day EMA 1.2701 ke bullish side par trade kar raha hai.

Iss waqt spot price daily timeframe par Rising Channel chart pattern ke neechey wali had ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. 1.3100 ke significant support level ke neechey ke recent drop ne pair ko pressure mein daal diya hai. Iske ilawa, karan 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neechey 1.2945 ke qareeb gir gaya hai, jo ke short-term trend mein potential uncertainty ki taraf ishara karta hai

Monday ko, GBP/USD currency pair ne apni sat din ki winning streak ko khatam kiya, jo ke ek mohtaat market ke mizaj ko zahir karta hai. Yeh pullback uske baad aaya jab yeh pair 1.3000 mark ke qareeb pohanch gaya tha lekin apna bullish momentum barqarar nahi rakh saka. GBP/USD ki is retreat ki wajah chand factors hain, jin mein extended UK bank holiday weekend ke dauraan patlay trading volumes aur iss haftay ke baad aham economic data releases se pehle sarmaayakaron ki hichkichaahat shamil hai.
Sarmaayakaar bechain hain kyunke woh aham data points ka intezar kar rahe hain, jin mein US Retail Sales aur UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures shamil hain, jinka market ki direction par asar parne ki umeed hai. Market ki tawajjoh Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke faislay par bhi hai, jahan bohat se log September mein rate cut ke imkaanat ke bare mein soch rahe hain. Iss soch-bichaar ne trading mein ek mohtaat approach ko janam diya hai, kyunke sarmaayakaar in aanay walay events ke mumkin asarat ko tol rahe hain.

Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell aur San Francisco Fed ke President Mary Daly ki taraf se wazeh ainday ki rehnumayi ke kami ne bhi mohtaat jazbaat ko mazid taqviat di. Dono officials ne yeh wazeh kiya ke ainday rate ke faislay meeting-by-meeting basis par kiye jayenge, jis ne market ko ek wazeh direction ke baghair chorr diya hai.

Taqneeki tor par, GBP/USD ki haaliya price action uske ooper ki taraf rujhan mein ek waqfa ko zahir karti hai, jahan yeh pair 1.3000 ke aham level ko breach karne mein nakam raha. Currency pair ne mukhtasir tor par ek naya 12-mahina high hasil kiya tha lekin phir wapas pull back kiya, jo is mark ke aas paas ek mumkin resistance level ki taraf ishara karta hai. Is wajah se, ab tajir is baat ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain ke kya koi naya bullish momentum ka sign milta hai ya aane wale dino mein mazeed downside movement hoti hai.

GBP/USD ka Monday ko pullback mohtaat market sentiment ka natija tha, jo ke patlay trading volumes aur aham economic data releases se pehle ki ghair yakeeni ki wajah se tha. Extended UK bank holiday weekend aur aanay wale Fed aur Bank of England ke faislay ke imkaanat bhi market ko ek intizaar ki soorat mein rakhne ke imkaan hain, jahan tajir har naye data point ka ghaur se tajzia karte hain pehle ke woh koi bara qadam uthayen

Pound Sterling (GBP) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein wednesday ke pullback ke baad 1.3200 ke upar dubara se move kiya. Traders ab US core PCE inflation data ke intezaar mein hain jo ke maali bazaar mein speculation ko asar andaaz kar sakta hai ke Fed rate cut ka size kitna hoga. Sarmaaya kaaron ko umeed hai ke Bank of England (BoE) iss saal ek aur interest rate cut karega.
Pound Sterling (GBP) ne Thursday ki European session mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein 1.3200 ke key support se rebound kiya. GBP/USD pair mein izafa hua jab US Dollar ne Wednesday ko mazboot rebound ke baad thodi kamzori dikhayi. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chhe badi currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, 101.20 ke immediate resistance ke upar apni recovery ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish mein dabao mein hai.

Greenback ke liye mushkil hoga ke woh apne recent rebound ko barqarar rakh sake kyunke Federal Reserve (Fed) ka September meeting se interest rates kam karna lagbhag yaqini hai. Jab ke traders yeh baat le kar taqseem hain ke Fed apni policy-easing ko 25 ya 50-basis-points (bps) cut se shuru karega, lekin rate reduction market mein poori tarah se price ho chuka hai.

September se Fed ke rate cut karne ki taqatwar speculation Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish commentary se aayi hai jo unhone pichlay haftay Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein ki thi. Powell ne kaha ke "ab waqt aagaya hai ke policy adjust ki jaye," aur is baat par zor diya ke US central bank ab zyada fikrmand hai labor market ke downside risks ke baare mein jab ke inflation 2% ke maqsoodha rate par wapas aane ki raah par nazar aata hai.

Is beech, sarmaaya kaar United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) report ke intezaar mein hain jo ke Friday ko shaaya hogi. Umeed hai ke PCE report dikhaye gi ke year-on-year core inflation ki raftaar tez ho kar 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% ho gayi hai, jab ke mahana data mein zafa izafa 0.2% ka hai. Yeh inflation data market speculation ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September monetary policy faislay par khas asar daal sakta hai.

Thursday ki session mein UK economic calendar khali hai, lekin sarmaaya kaar ab bhi US data par tawajjo denge. Ek ahem nuqta Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data ka doosra estimate hai jo 12:30 GMT par shaaya hoga. Maeeshat daan yeh tawaqqo karte hain ke data mein koi tarmeem nahi hogi, jis se yeh tasdeeq hoti hai ke US maeeshat annualized basis par 2.8% se expand hui hai. GDP data US Dollar par zyada asar nahi daalega jab tak ke kisi aham revision ka imkaan na ho. Iske ilawa, weekly US Jobless Claims numbers bhi jari kiye jayenge jo ke market ko hilane ki salahiyat rakhte hain agar is mein koi wazeh izafa hota hai

Pound Sterling (GBP) Thursday ke European session mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqabley 1.3200 ke key support se rebound karta hai. GBP/USD pair us waqt barh gaya jab US Dollar (USD) Wednesday ko strong bounce ke baad thoda gir gaya. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chay major currencies ke muqabley track karta hai, immediate resistance 101.20 ke upar recovery extend karne ki koshish kar raha hai.
Greenback ko apni recent rebound ko maintain karna mushkil hoga kyunke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke almost sure hone ke bawajood ke September meeting se interest rates ko reduce karna shuru kar diya jayega. Jabke traders divided hain ke Fed policy-easing spell ko 25 ya 50-basis-points (bps) cut se start karega, rate reduction already priced in hai.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish commentary ne jo last week Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein diya tha, Fed ke September se interest rates cut karne ke speculation ko mazbooti di hai. Powell ne kaha ke “policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai,” jo ke yeh highlight karta hai ke US central bank ab labor market ke downside risks ko lekar zyada concerned hai jab inflation 2% ke desired rate par wapas aati nazar aayi hai .

Is waqt investors United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo Friday ko publish hogi. PCE report se umeed hai ke year-on-year core inflation June ke 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% tak pahunch gayi hai, aur monthly figures 0.2% ki steady growth dikhayengi. Inflation data market speculation ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September monetary policy decision ke liye significant influence de sakti hai.

Thursday ke session mein UK economic calendar khali hai, lekin investors US data par focus karenge. Ek key point Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data ka second estimate hai, jo 12:30 GMT par publish hoga. Economists expect karte hain ke data revise nahi hoga, jo confirm karega ke US economy annualized basis par 2.8% expand hui. GDP data ka US Dollar par significant impact hone ki umeed nahi hai jab tak koi significant revision nahi hoti. Is ke ilawa, weekly US Jobless Claims numbers bhi due hain, jo substantial increase hone par markets ko move kar sakti hainhain

Aaj GBP/USD pair mein kuch buying opportunities nazar aa rahi hain. Yeh is liye bhi important hai kyun ke aaj US Fed Chair Powell ka speech hai, jo market sentiment ko badal sakta hai. Is liye mujhe umeed hai ke market sellers ke favor mein rahegi, aur yeh 1.2621 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Aane wali news bhi market sentiment ko bara asar de sakti hai aur trading results ko significant taur par influence kar sakti hai. Traders ko mashwara hai ke woh informed rahain aur apni strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karein. Market sentiment mein aanay wali shifts ko anticipate karte hue, agar traders strategically position lein, to yeh unki ability ko enhance karega ke woh uncertainties ko navigate kar sakein aur favorable trading conditions ka fayda utha sakein.
Aaj ka market ek behtareen buying opportunity paish kar raha hai, jahan buyer sentiment mazboot hai aur upward momentum ka potential hai. Agar traders prevailing market sentiment ke sath align karein aur well-defined buy strategies ko implement karein, to unke profitable outcomes ke chances barh jate hain. Disciplined trading practices par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena traders ko market ke complexities mein confidently navigate karne mein madad deta hai. Agar woh market developments se well-informed rahain aur evolving conditions par adeptly respond karein, to woh apni trading strategies ko refine kar sakte hain aur financial markets ke dynamic landscape mein opportunities ka fayda utha sakte hain.

Aaj ke liye, mein sell-side position ko prefer kar raha hoon, jahan mera short target 1.2600 hai. Sath hi aaj ka market environment ek compelling buying opportunity bhi paish kar raha hai, jo ke buyer sentiment ke sustain hone aur potential upward movement ki wajah se hai. Market direction aur sentiment ke sath strategic alignment, proactive trade planning, aur timely execution ke sath, traders ke success ke prospects enhance ho jate hain. Disciplined approach par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena, traders ko market ke complexities ko confidence ke sath navigate karne mein madad deta hai, aur profitable outcomes achieve karne mein bhi.

Kal ke Asian session ke aaghaz mein, GBPUSD abhi tak girawat jaari nahi kar saka, lekin yeh currency pair pehle thoda barha jab ke pehle support 1.3171 par tor chuka tha. GBPUSD mein izafa dekhne ko mila aur yeh 1.3321 tak pahunch gaya. Kuch dair baad, AUDUSD phir se gir gaya jis ke natijay mein agla support 1.3171 par bhi neeche se tor diya gaya. AUDUSD ke phir se girne ki wajah yeh thi ke candle abhi tak shoulder area 1.3221 par penetrate nahi kar saka tha.
Agar H1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, toh yeh mumkin hai ke is Jumma ko GBPUSD mazeed gehra girawat ka samna kare. Is ki wajah yeh hai ke ek head and shoulder pattern ban chuka hai. Neckline area ko penetrate karke, yeh batata hai ke yeh pattern valid hai. Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke 1.3221 ke resistance ko penetrate na hone diya jaye, kyun ke yeh GBPUSD ko foran neeche jane se rok sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, GBPUSD ke girne ki mazboot wajah yeh bhi hai ke yeh currency pair ab tak 1.3224 ke supply area ko penetrate nahi kar saka. Khushkismati se, jab kal yeh bara tha, toh GBPUSD apne qareebi resistance ko paar nahi kar saka.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ki madad se analysis kiya jaye, toh jab se GBPUSD ki movement mein girawat aayi hai, candle ki position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hi rahi hai, jis ka matlab yeh hai ke trend abhi bhi waqi bearish hai. Yeh indicator yeh bhi batata hai ke GBPUSD ke girne ka mauqa abhi bhi kafi zyada hai jab tak ke koi naya intersection nahi hota.

Isi dauran, stochastic indicator yeh dikha raha hai ke GBPUSD ki halat ab oversold ho chuki hai. Is baat ka saboot yeh hai ke line level 20 ko touch kar chuki hai. Is position mein jo abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai, mujhe abhi bhi ehtiyat se kaam lena hoga kyun ke GBPUSD ki girti hui movement dobara barh bhi sakti hai.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ke pass abhi bhi girne ka mauqa hai kyun ke H1 timeframe mein ek head and shoulder pattern neeche tor chuka hai. Is ke ilawa, candle ab tak supply area 1.3224 par penetrate nahi kar saka. Is liye, mein aap sab ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain, yeh recommend karta hoon ke sirf sell positions kholne par tawajju dein. Take profit target aap 1.3038 ke qareebi support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss 1.3237 ke aas-paas rakh sakte hain

Jab trading shuru hui Monday subah, currency pair ne apni recent losses se kuch had tak rehmat hasil ki, aur Asian trading hours ke doran 1.3150 ke aas-paas stabilize ho gaya. Char ghante ke chart ka jaiza lene se yeh nazar aata hai ke pair filhal ek narrow descending channel ke beech mein phansa hua hai. Is position se yeh samajh aata hai ke yeh consolidation phase hai ya phir jald hi reversal ho sakta hai. Abhi GBP/USD 1.3141 ke aas-paas hai, aur market ke observers ek potential decline ki taraf dekh rahe hain jo ke significant psychological level 1.3100 ke taraf ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD ke fundamentals:

Global inflationary pressures ke kam hone ke sanket ne speculation ko janam diya hai ke Bank of England (BoE) aaj shaam ko interest rate cut ka faisla kar sakta hai. Financial markets filhal BoE ke 16 saal ke high 5.25% se rate ko kam karne ke 65% se zyada probability ko price in kar rahe hain. Saath hi, saal ke end se pehle ek aur quarter-point cut ki ummeed bhi hai. Aise mein British Pound (GBP) par pressure ban sakta hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ko bhi effect karega.

In expectations ke bawajood, investor sentiment cautious hai. UK mein service inflation ke high levels BoE ke immediate action ko le kar uncertainty ko janam dete hain. Is uncertainty ke chalte traders naye directional bets lene se katra rahe hain, jis se price movements relatively subdued aur range-bound ho gayi hain. Is liye, ab dhyan BoE ke monetary policy statement aur BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ke post-meeting press conference ke comments par rahega.

Char Ghante Ki Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Agar bearish trend continue karna hai to sellers ko prices ko 20-day moving average (DMA) ke neeche push karna padega, jo ke filhal 1.3163 par hai. Agar daily close is level ke neeche hota hai to further declines ke darwaze khulte hain, jahan agle support levels recent low 1.3121, psychological 1.3100, aur 100-DMA 1.3053 ho sakte hain. Wahi agar GBP/USD pair is hafte ke high 1.3153 ko paar kar leti hai to yeh rally ko 1.3200 tak aur shayad recent pivot high 1.3265 tak le ja sakti hai.

Char ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, major pair ke liye bearish sentiment abhi bhi intact hai, kyunki price consistently critical 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai. Yeh downward momentum Relative Strength Index (RSI) se bhi support milta hai, jo filhal 50 midline ke neeche 44.0 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh technical indicator bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai aur sellers ko current market environment mein support deta hai.

Sterling ne zyadah tar major currencies ke muqablay mein kamzor perform kiya hai, Australian Dollar (AUD) aur New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ke siwa. Yeh kamzori GBP par barhtay huay pressure ko reflect karti hai, jahan market analysts yeh tawako kar rahe hain ke BoE August mein policy normalization ki taraf ja sakta hai. Iske baraks, tawako yeh hai ke US Federal Reserve apni July meeting mein current rates ko barqarar rakhay ga, lekin September mein apni monetary policy ko ease karne ka aaghaaz kar sakta hai, jiss se Federal Funds Rate 5.00%-5.25% range tak girne ke imkaan hain. Inflationary pressures ke signs ke bawajood, market ne in concerns ko largely dismiss kiya hai aur risk-on sentiment ko prefer kiya hai. Yeh shift un umeedon se driven hai jo rate cut ke aane ki hai. CME FedWatch Tool yeh indicate karta hai ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) 31 July ko rates ko steady rakhne ke liye 100% ka imkaan hai. Lekin, markets mein FOMC ke taraf se 18 September ko kam az kam 25-basis-point ka rate cut price ho raha hai, jabke kuch logon ke liye zyada optimistic ho kar 50-bps reduction ka 12% chance bhi hai GBP/USD D1 chart par, aaj ki market activity UK mein chutti ke sabab se relatively stagnant hai. Guzishta trading week mein bearish success ke liye zyada mauqay nahi mile; chotay intraday corrections ko bhi kafi mehnat lagi. Pair ne jack ki tarah upar chadha, lekin aisa laga ke ab niche girne wala hai. Thursday ki candle ne, jo ke inverted hammer jaisi thi, potential decline ki taraf ishaara kiya. Market poore din flat raha, shayad upar se niche correction ke liye sellers ka ek group accumulate kar raha tha. Lekin, yeh expectation mukhtasar arsay ke liye thi kyun ke United States se Friday ko significant news ayi thi. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke address aur US mein new home sales ke announcement ne price mein sharply surge kar diya, jiss se kayi stop losses trigger hue aur kayi accounts ko impact kiya. Yeh movement pound ki taraf nahi thi; balki, US dollar market mein kafi kamzor ho gaya

GBP/USD Pair Ka Tajziya
Hello. Pound ke liye, buyers abhi bhi price ko consolidation area mein aur aage le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Is waqt growth ke liye sabse nazdeek target 1.26702 ka level hai; agar hum yahan foothold bana lete hain, to uske baad hum 1.27018 ke level ki taraf movement expect kar sakte hain. Agar is level par bhi foothold bana lete hain, to 1.27334 ke level ki taraf movement ki ummeed kar sakte hain. Downward movement ko dobara se shuru karne ke liye, sellers ko ab 1.26120 ke level ko break karna aur wahan foothold banana hoga; agar wo isme kamiyab hote hain, to medium term mein pehla target 1.25087 hoga.

#### GBP/USD H4 Pair:

1. **4-Hour Chart Analysis**: Pound ke 4-hour chart par, price abhi bands ke central area mein hai, aur bands khud bhi inward tuck karte ja rahe hain aur ek dusre ki taraf move kar rahe hain. Yahan se movement kisi bhi direction mein ja sakti hai, aur naye signal ke liye hume upper ya lower band se active exit ka intezar karna hoga, aur phir evaluate karna hoga ke bands outward khulte hain ya koi reaction nahi hoti. Agar fractals ko dekha jaye, to price ne nearest fractal ko upward break kiya hai. Agar price yahan foothold bana leti hai, to agla target price growth ke liye June 25 ka fractal hai, jo 1.27018 par hai. Ek naye, nazdeek downward fractal ka bhi formation hua hai; is fractal ko break karna aur consolidation price ko June 27 ke fractal 1.26120 tak le ja sakta hai.

2. **AO Indicator Analysis**: AO indicator ab zero ke aur nazdeek aa gaya hai. Agar aane wale dinon mein hum zero ke through transition aur positive zone mein active increase dekhen, to hume quotes ke upar jane ke liye stronger signal milega. Price fall ke signal ke liye, hume negative area mein active acceleration ka intezar karna hoga.

### Conclusion

Is waqt GBP/USD pair consolidation area mein hai aur buyers price ko aage le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar hum 1.26702, 1.27018, aur 1.27334 ke levels par foothold bana lete hain, to upward movement ki umeed hai. Wahi, downward movement ke liye sellers ko 1.26120 ko break karna zaroori hai. Technical indicators aur fractals ke analysis se, price movements ke liye key levels ko monitor karna aur market signals ko samajhna important hai.