gbp/usd

GBP/USD Ka Roman Urdu Mein Tajziya

Wednesday ki Asian trading session ke douran, currency pair ne ek mazboot positive rawaiya dikhaya. Yeh bullish sentiment ke bawajood, pair par koi khaas selling pressure nahi tha aur yeh apni aik saal ki bulandi ke qareeb rehta hai, jo ke guzishta din hasil ki gayi thi. Iss waqt, spot prices 1.3050 ke psychological level ke aas paas hain, jo yeh ishara karta hai ke aakhri teen hafton se jo uptrend nazar aa raha hai, wo jari reh sakta hai.

BoE Ka Mawafiq Rawaiya Aur Aane Wala Employment Data: Kin Baton Par Nazar Rakhein

Bank of England (BoE) ki tawakku hai ke woh apni sakhte maali policy ko barqarar rakhega, kyun ke mehengai ka dabao abhi bhi qayam hai. BoE ke policymakers khidmaat ke sector mein mehengai ki barhti hui soorat-e-haal par khaas taur par pareshan hain. Agar aane wala report ye zahir kare ke UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) mein izafa ho raha hai, to yeh bazaar ki tawakkuat ko narmi kar sakta hai ke BoE apne aane wale August ke ijlaas mein sood ki sharah mein kami shuru karega.

Aane wala employment report, jo ke British Pound ke liye May tak ke teen mahine ke data par mabni hoga, ek aham indicator sabit hoga. Maashi maharreen ka andaza hai ke ILO Unemployment Rate apni haaliye satah 4.4% par barqarar rahega. Iske ilawa, Average Earnings data, bonuses ke saath aur baghair, donon me kami ka andaza hai jo 5.7% par aane ki umeed hai. Agar wage growth mein kami ke asar nazar aate hain, to yeh bazaar ki tawakkuat ko mazboot kar sakta hai ke Bank of England sood ki sharah mein kami karne ka soch sakta hai.

GBP/USD Ka Technical Analysis:

Haal hi ki trading mein, pair ne 52-week ki bulandi tak pohonch kar 1.3050 ke level ko paar kar liya hai. Yeh bullish rawaiya currency pair ko 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se upar le gaya hai, jo ke ek mazboot upward momentum ko zahir karta hai. Lekin agar buying pressure barqarar nahi rehta, to yeh pair phir se qareebi rising trendline ki taraf wapas ja sakta hai, jo ke July ke aaghaz se just above 1.2598 handle ke upar se shuru hui thi.



Technical Indicators yeh zahir karte hain ke pair aham technical levels se kaafi aage nikal chuka hai, aur daily candlesticks yeh dikhate hain ke pair 200-day EMA ke upar 1.2675 par mazboot taur par bullish zone mein hai. 2023 ke peak bids, jo ke 1.3151 ke qareeb hain, ek aham technical resistance ko zahir karte hain. Ek mumkin pullback pair ko 50-day EMA par 1.2815 ki taraf le jaa sakta hai, jahan qareebi maeyar par pressure mazeed fallback dhoondh sakta hai.

Forex GBP/USD Ka Technical Analysis

British pound ne US dollar ke muqable mein ek aham satah hasil kiya hai, jab ke duniya bhar mein sarmaaya karon ke jazbaat mein behtri nazar aa rahi hai. GBP/USD ke tabadla rate ne Wednesday ko ek nayi rozana bulandi 1.3052 par maar li, jo ke aik maheene se zyada ki sab se badi satah hai. Yeh us waqt ho raha hai jab duniya bhar ke stock markit mein behtri dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo ke US Federal Reserve ke sood mein kami ke intezaar par tawajjo de rahi hai. Yeh soorat-e-haal US dollar ko satayeh mahine ki sab se kam satah par le gayi hai.

Aane wale dinon mein GBP/USD ke liye sab se bara risk Federal Reserve ka salana Jackson Hole conference hai jo Kansas City mein hoga, jahan Fed ke Chairman Powell Friday ko ek keynote speech denge. Tajziya kaar yeh samajhte hain ke chaahe woh September mein 50 basis point ke rate cut ke mutaaliq jari andaz mein baat karen, lekin aam tor par unka paigham bazaar ke shuraaka ko tasalli dene wala hoga, jo is baat ki tasdeeq chahte hain ke policy rate cuts ab mehal hai. Yeh soorat-e-haal agle chand dino mein USD ko dabao mein rakh sakti hai, lekin Federal Reserve ki easing ke extent ko dekhte hue, hum mazeed USD kamzori ki ummeed nahi rakhte.

Agar yeh andaza sahi sabit hota hai, to GBP/USD ko jald hi 2024 ki bulandiyon ke qareeb 1.3130 par muzahmat ka saamna karna par sakta hai.

Agar bazaar mein mojud sukooniyat barqarar rehti hai, to yeh GBP ki mustaqbil ki performance ko tay karegi, jisse yeh mumkin hai ke kisi bhi pullbacks mein kami aaye. Agar yeh naya sukoon barqarar rehta hai, to carry trade dobara ubhar sakta hai, aur carry trade ka dobara aana GBP ke liye madadgar sabit ho sakta hai, kyunke tajziya kaar samajhte hain ke yeh 2024 ki outperformace ke peeche ka sab se bara sabab hai. Carry trade mein sarmaayakaar kam sood ki currency mein qarz lete hain taake unhein zyada sood wali jaedad mein sarmaaya kari ki jaa sake, jese ke UK ke bonds. Yeh fluxes GBP ko support karte hain.

Aaj Ka GBP/USD Forecast



Daily chart ki performance ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ki haaliye gains itni hain ke kuch technical indicators ko mazboot overbought levels ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Agar US Federal Reserve ki aakhri meeting ke minutes ke ailan aur bank ke governor ke hafta ke aakhir mein bayan se USD ko mazboot moementum milta hai, to currency pair ko profits lene ke liye mazboot selling operations ka saamna karna par sakta hai. Mein ab bhi har upward level se GBP/USD ko bechne ko tarjeeh deta hoon, aur sab se qareebi resistance levels jo is waqt mojud hain woh 1.3085, 1.3120, aur 1.3200 hain, barha ehtiayat.

GBP/USD Ka Roman Urdu Mein Technical Analysis

Hello. Pound baghair peechay dekhe barh raha hai. Hum pehle hi 1.30436 ke maximum par pohanch chuke hain, aur humne kisi bhi bari pullback ke baghair lagbhag 380 points ka safar tay kar liya hai. Buyers isi level ke peeche fori tor par majbooti hasil karne mein kamiyaab nahi ho paye, lekin Pound ko jis inertia ke sath aagey barhane mein woh kamiyaab hue hain, isko dekhte hue yeh mumkin hai ke isi level ke peeche mazid consolidation ki koshish ki jayegi. Agar yeh koshish kamiyaab rehti hai, to hum tawaqqo kar sakte hain ke ooper ki taraf movement ka agla hadaf 1.31417 ka level hoga. Sales ke hawale se filhal kuch khaas umeed nahi hai, koi bhi sanjeeda reversal model tyaar nahi hua hai. Aap level 1.29736 par tawajjo de sakte hain; agar iska breakout hota hai aur consolidation hoti hai, to hum 1.29392 ke mark ki taraf ja sakte hain.

**GBP/USD M30 Pair:**

1. Kal Pound ke liye 1.29872 ke level se kharidari ka entry point ka forecast diya gaya tha, jahan se price ne is level ko tor kar pehla target 1.30306 hasil kar liya.

2. Bands ke hisaab se, price bands ke central area mein hai, aur bands khud bhi ek tang horizontal position mein hain. Agar humein price ke barhne ya girne ke liye ek quality signal chahiye, to humein intezaar karna chahiye ke price active tor par upper ya lower band se bahar nikle, aur phir yeh dekhna chahiye ke dono bands bahar ki taraf khulenge ya koi response nahi hoga.

3. AO indicator ne zero mark ko cross kar liya hai, lekin price ke girne ke liye ek quality signal ke liye, humein negative zone mein active acceleration ka intezaar karna chahiye. Agar ulta transition zero se wapas hota hai aur positive area mein active growth hoti hai, to yeh quotes ke barhne ka signal dega.

4. Kharidari ka entry point 1.30306 ke level par ho sakta hai. Price ke breakout aur consolidation ke sath growth ki tawaqqo 1.30652 aur 1.30913 ke marks tak ki jaa sakti hai.

5. Sales ko 1.29872 ke level se consider kiya ja sakta hai. Price ke girne ki tawaqqo 1.29387 aur 1.29132 ke marks tak ki jaa sakti hai



.

H4 period chart ke doran, kal ke trading main GBPUSD currency pair ka growth jaari raha, aur phir se apna maximum update kiya. Lekin yeh sirf pound ke against nahi tha, balki is hafte ke aghaz se US dollar bhi kamzor hota gaya hai, aur poore week ke doran market mein neeche girta raha. Yeh upward movement bilkul jaise khameer ki tarah barh raha tha, lekin senior H4 period par kuch signs dikhai dete hain ke yahan downward correction ka aghaz ho sakta hai.

Pehli baat, agar yahan pehli wave par target Fibonacci grid lagayi jaye, toh dekha ja sakta hai ke target level achieve ho chuka hai - level 161.8 is grid par, aur doosra target level 200 bhi achieve ho chuka hai - jo ke last July ke maximum se aage jaane ka target tha. Agar senior period ke pehli aur teesri waves ko measure kiya jaye (jo yellow mein mark ki gayi hain), toh dono ka size lagbhag barabar hai, balki teesri wave zyada badi hai. Yeh ek complete cycle hota hai jiske baad ya toh correction hota hai fourth wave mein, ya phir poora reversal ho jata hai.

Iske ilawa, CCI indicator pe triple bearish divergence dikh rahi hai - jo ke sell signal hai. Usi indicator pe daily chart ke upper overheating zone se bhi neeche jaane ka signal mil raha hai. Yeh bhi note karne wali baat hai ke is growth ke doran, price ne resistance level 1.3134 ko touch kiya, jo ke pichle saal July ka weekly strong level hai. Abhi correction hona chahiye fourth wave ke liye, phir price ko upar push kiya ja sakta hai, ya phir reversal ho sakta hai.

Filhal support level 1.3078 rastay mein hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh zyada dair tak nahi rok payega. Decline ke targets support level 1.3036 aur ascending line hain jo ke do wave bottoms par bani hai. Ek upward rebound expect kiya ja raha hai level 1.3036 se, phir breakout hoga aur ascending line tak pohanch jayega. Aisi correction mujhe minimal lagti hai, shayad price ko aur neeche drive kiya jaye, yeh dekhna hoga ke aage kya hota hai.

Aaj ki kuch noteworthy news yeh hai: 15-30 Moscow time par - USA mein building permits ki tadaad. 17-00 par - New home sales USA mein, aur US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka speech.

GBP/USD Forum Analysis aur Forecast

H1 Hour Analysis
Aaj tak, GBP/USD pair ne pehle ke price movement se upar ki taraf rally karna jari rakha hai. Price ne 1.3000 ke psychological level ko kamiyabi se paar kar liya hai aur abhi bhi is level ke upar hi trade ho raha hai. Agar aap gaur se dekhein, to candlestick pattern se koi reversal signal nazar nahi aa raha jo ke price ke neeche ki taraf correct hone ki taraf ishara kare. Lekin, MACD indicator ki raaye se lagta hai ke bearish divergence ka signal aa raha hai. Iski wajah yeh hai ke ongoing uptrend momentum ka taluq histogram volume se barhti hui price volume ke sath mutabiqat nahi rakh raha. Misal ke tor par, agar price correct hota hai, to yeh 1.3000 ke psychological level se neeche minor support 1.2948 ya shayad EMA 50 ke aas-paas move kar sakta hai. RSI indicator parameter (14) jo overbought zone se bahar nikal kar level 70 se neeche aa gaya hai, yeh is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke uptrend momentum kamzor ho raha hai. Yeh price ko neeche ki taraf correct hone mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai kyun ke pichlay haftay se yeh lagataar upar ki taraf rallies dekh raha hai.



Trading Plan
Trading plan ke hawale se, bullish trend ke direction ko follow karna hi behtar hoga kyun ke yeh abhi bhi kaafi strong condition mein hai. To is liye, re-entry BUY position tab place karein jab price neeche correct ho kar EMA 50 ya neeche low prices 1.2948 ke aas-paas aaye. Yeh baat confirm hoti hai jab RSI indicator parameter (14) level 50 ke aas-paas rejection experience karein aur MACD indicator histogram volume wapas level 0 ya positive area ke upar chala jaye. Take profit ko high prices 1.3051 par rakha ja sakta hai jab ke stop loss entry open position se 35-40 pips door lagaya ja sakta hai.

Good morning. Kal buyers ne asal me sellers ko koi mouqa nahi diya, aur bina kisi sangeen correction ke woh phir bhi 1.30436 ke maximum tak pohanch gaye. Wo foran consolidate nahi kar paaye, lekin agar is level ke upar jane ki aik aur koshish hui aur woh successful rahi, toh mazeed price growth ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai jo 1.31251 tak jaa sakti hai. Agar hum sales ki baat karein, toh nazriyaati tor par humein koi wazaahat wali reversal pattern ke banne ka intezar karna chahiye, iske baghair hum upward trend ke jari rehne ke risk me par sakte hain. Agar hum levels dekhein, toh qareeb ka sab se mazboot level 1.29736 par hai, is level ka breakout aur consolidation price ko 1.29392 ki taraf le jaa sakta hai.

GBPUSD H4 pair:

1 - Pound 4-hour chart par tapes ke central area ki taraf wapas aana shuru hogaya hai, aur tapes khud bhi andar ki taraf murna shuru hogaye hain. Is surat-e-haal mein mazeed price growth ke liye ek acha signal hasil karne ke liye, humein yeh dekhna hoga ke quotes upper ya lower band ki taraf naya aur active approach lete hain ya nahi, uske baad evaluate karna hoga ke bands bahar ki taraf khulenge ya koi reakshion nahi hoga. Agar hum current surat-e-haal ko fractals se evaluate karein, toh naye fractals upar aur neeche ban gaye hain. Qareeb ke fractal ka breakout upwards price ko 18 July 2023 ke fractal ki taraf 1.31251 tak le jaane dega. Neeche ki taraf qareeb ke fractal ka breakout aur consolidation price ko 19 August ke fractal ki taraf 1.29392 tak le jaane dega.




2 - AO indicator abhi bhi positive area mein izafa kar raha hai, abhi tak yeh wazeh nahi hai ke pehli peak kab banegi, aur yeh sab kuch price growth ke mumkin jari rehne ka signal deta hai. Price ke girne ka signal hasil karne ke liye, yeh zaroori hoga ke hum zero mark ki taraf sakht kamzori ka intezar karein.

Jaisay hi European trading session shuru hoti hai, currency pair aik bar phir comeback kar rahi hai aur bullish territory ki taraf surge kar rahi hai jo ke 1.2900 ke aas paas hai US Dollar Index ke muqablay mein (). Yeh resurgence us waqt ke baad aaya jab strength mein kami aayi thi, jo ke kisi hadd tak ek dramatic incident ke baad hui thi jo former US President ke Pennsylvania rally mein hui thi. Shooting ne uncertainty ko barhaya hai, jiski wajah se investors ne safer assets ki taraf rujhan kar liya hai. Is waqt GBP/USD pair 1.2895 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke 0.21% ka izafa hai. Recent market dynamics mein Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ke mumkinat par spekulations ne asar dala hai. June ke US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ke release ne yeh zahir kiya ke disinflation process phir se shuru ho gaya hai jo ke is saal ke shuru mein ruk gaya tha. Dono headline aur core inflation rates mein slow down ki nishaniyan hain, jis ki wajah se Fed ke interest rates ko kam karne ki umeed barh gayi hai. Mazid ye bhi nazar aa raha hai ke labor market mein bhi kamzoriyaan hain jo is sentiment ko mazboot kar rahi hain. Yeh market environment yeh batata hai ke kis tarah geopolitical events aur economic data currency movements par asar andaz hotay hain. Jaisay investors in developments ko navigate karte hain, Pound Sterling ki resilience aur upward trajectory broader market sentiments aur expectations ko reflect karte hain.





US Dollar Index (), jo ke Greenback ki strength ko chay bari currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, abhi 104.00 level ke aas paas stability hasil kar chuka hai. Index ko safe-haven assets ki taraf shift se faida hua hai jo Donald Trump par hone wali assassination attempt ke baad dekha gaya. Yeh geopolitical uncertainty be-erteba Trump ki success ke chances ko barhane ka sabab bani hai upcoming US Presidential election mein, jis se market dynamics par mazeed asar para hai. Guzishta Jumma ko, yeh pair aik nai teen hafton ki bulandi par pohanch gaya tha jo 1.2914 thi US Dollar ke muqablay mein. Yeh recent peak us significant breakout ke baad aayi hai jo ke pehle ke high 1.3043 ke upar tha jo 14 July ko hasil hua tha. Pair ki short-term appeal mazboot hui hai aur analysts mazeed surge ki tawaqo kar rahe hain jo ke two-year high 1.3144 ke aas paas hosakti hai. Tamam short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages () upwards trend kar rahe hain, jo ke aik strong bullish trend ko signal karte hain. Mazid yeh ke, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) lagbhag 70.00 tak pohanch gaya hai, jo ke aik saal se zyada ke liye apne sabse buland level par hai. Yeh mazboot upward momentum aur mazeed gains ki potential ki nishani hai.

GBP/USD pair ne Tuesday ko bhi apni upward movement jari rakhi. Abhi naye traders bhi guzashta hafton mein pair ke rawaiye ko asani se dekh sakte hain—ek bina kisi rukawat ke, lagbhag non-corrective rise. Pehle kaha jaa sakta tha ke US se aane wale macroeconomic data ne dollar par regular pressure dala tha ya phir Federal Reserve ke representatives ne aakhirkar key rate ko kam karne ki baat ki thi. Lekin abhi, koi bhi aisa factor nahi hai jo dollar ko neeche dhakel raha ho. Phir bhi, market lagataar American currency ko panic mein bech raha hai. Aise movements mein koi logic nahi hai. Sabse dilchasp baat yeh hai ke yeh illogical rise jaldi ya der se khatam hoga, aur yeh bhi mumkin hai ke ek utna hi illogical fall shuru ho jaye.

5-minute time frame mein, Tuesday ko do trading signals banay. Ibtida mein, price 1.2980-1.2993 range ke upar stabilize hui. Iss moqa par, naye traders ne long positions kholni chahiye thi. U.S. session ke darmiyan, qareeb ka target level 1.3043 tak pohanch gaya, jiske baad ek significant rebound aaya. Iss lamha par, long positions ko close karna chahiye tha aur short positions kholni chahiye thi. Din ke akhri mein, pair mein 15-20 pips ki girawat hui, jisko manually trade close karke bhi capture kiya ja sakta tha. Short position ko Wednesday ke liye bhi khula rakha ja sakta hai, 1.2980-1.2993 area ki taraf ek correction ki umeed mein.

**Wednesday ko kaise trade karein:**

Hourly time frame mein, GBP/USD ke paas downtrend ko jari rakhne ka acha moqa hai, lekin abhi ke liye ek local uptrend maujood hai. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market har moqa ka faida utha raha hai British currency khareedne aur dollar bechne ka. Yeh aksar kisi bhi unfavorable reports ko nazarandaz karta hai. U.S. se aane wali kabhi kabhi positive reports sirf choti moti downward corrections laati hain.

Wednesday ko pair mein thoda bahut pullback aa sakta hai, lekin uptrend ke tutne ki umeed kam hai. Short positions ko 1.2980-1.2993 ke target ke saath maintain kiya ja sakta hai.




5M timeframe par jo key levels ko nazar mein rakhna hai woh hain: 1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145. Wednesday ko UK mein koi badi events scheduled nahi hain, aur U.S. mein latest Fed meeting ke minutes release honge, jo asal mein ek formality hai. Is liye, aaj koi significant news nahi hogi.

GBP-USD H4 TIME FRAME

Mere mushahide ke mutabiq, GBPUSD currency pair ki market mein movement abhi bhi bullish trend ko jari rakhne ki salahiyat rakhti hai. Aaj subah se trading session mein yeh movement zyada tar upar ki taraf hi rahi hai, jisne 1.3037 ka level chhu liya hai. Subah ki yeh bullish movement itni mazboot nahi lagti. BUY position mein dobara enter karne ke liye humein sirf yeh intezar karna hoga ke price movement abhi ki position se upar ki taraf niklay. Bohot mumkin hai ke price movement dobara se iss haftay ke trend ke mutabiq wapis bullish hone se pehle correction phase se guzre, jo ke abhi bhi bullish hai. Waqti monitoring se, abhi main yeh faisla nahi kar sakta ke price movement qareeb waqt mein mazeed barhegi ya nahi, aur yeh bhi mumkin hai ke aaj Asian session ki tarah price movement correction phase ya sideways mein hi rahe.




Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime Line ki analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq yeh 70 ke level tak pohanch chuki hai, jo ke market ki bullish trend ki tasweer hai. Is liye zyada mumkin hai ke price abhi bhi mazeed izafa karegi aur uske baad agle resistance ki taraf bullish trend ko jari rakhegi. Candlestick ki position jo ke abhi bhi Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar khel rahi hai, yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke market mein abhi bhi bullish rehne ki salahiyat hai. MACD Indicator par histogram bar consistently zero level ke upar move kar rahi hai. Iss surat-e-haal mein, yeh andaza lagaya jaa sakta hai ke market ke paas abhi bhi bullish hone ki umeed hai. Agar yeh nahi hota, toh zyada chances hain ke price neeche jane ki koshish karegi. Aane wale kuch dinon ke liye, price ka trend abhi bhi buyer's ke paas dominate karta nazar aata hai.

Hello, dost! Umeed hai aapka trading din acha guzray!

GBP/USD pair mujhe badhati hui drawdown mein le ja rahi hai. Dekhna hoga ke bulls kab tak control mein reh sakte hain, khaas kar FOMC minutes ke aanay se pehle jo ke aakhri meeting ke hain.

Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.

Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.

Market ke reaction ko support level par nazar rakhain aur apni trading strategy ko ussi ke mutabiq adjust karne ke liye tayyar rahain.





Jaisay Jesse Livermore ne aqalmandi se kaha tha, "Agar market waisa behave nahi kar raha jaisa usay karna chahiye, toh door rehna behtar hai. Agar aap samajh nahi pa rahe hain ke kya ho raha hai, toh aap yeh predict nahi kar paayenge ke market kis taraf move karega."

اگست 23 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

گزشتہ روز برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے بڑھنے کی کوشش کی لیکن ناکام رہا۔ تاہم، یہ روزانہ کینڈل کے ساتھ 1.3080 کی سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہو گیا۔ مستقبل کی سمت اب فیڈرل ریزرو کے چیئر جیروم پاول کی جیکسن ہول میں بینکرز کے سمپوزیم میں تقریر پر منحصر ہوگی۔



ہمیں یقین ہے کہ امریکی مرکزی بینک کے سربراہ سال کے آخر تک 2.00% کی شرح میں کمی کی مارکیٹ کی توقعات کی تصدیق نہیں کریں گے، جو ڈالر کو مضبوط کرے گا اور نتیجتاً، پاؤنڈ کو 1.2995 کی سطح سے نیچے دھکیل دے گا۔ اس طرح کی کمی 1.2859 کا راستہ کھول دے گی۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن بھی اس سطح پر پہنچ رہی ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، قیمت 1.3080 کی سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہو رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کا منفی علاقے کی طرف بڑھنا مشاہدہ شدہ استحکام کی کمزوری کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن 1.2995 کی سطح کے قریب آ رہی ہے۔ لہٰذا، اس سطح سے نیچے مضبوط ہونا ریچھوں کے لیے اچھے امکانات پیش کرے گا۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD Pair Analysis
H4 period chart ka jaiza lete hain. Kal ke trading ke dauran, GBP/USD currency pair apni growth ko barqarar rakha, aur ek dafa phir se apna maximum update kiya. Magar sirf pound ke muqable mein hi nahi, balke week ke aghaz se hi dollar kamzor hota nazar aya, aur is week ke dauran market mein overall girawat dekhi gayi. Yeh price H4 period mein yeast jese upar ja rahi thi, magar ab is chart par kuch signs nazar aa rahe hain jo yeh dikhate hain ke downward correction shuru ho sakta hai



Pehli baat yeh ke agar aap yahan target Fibonacci grid lagayein pehli wave par, to aap dekhein ke target kaam kar chuka hai - is grid par level 161.8 aur level 200 bhi kaam kar chuke hain, doosra target bhi poora ho chuka hai - last July ke maximum se aage nikal gaya. Agar aap senior period ki pehli aur teesri waves ko naapain (jo yellow mein mark ki gayi hain), to yeh size mein takriban barabar hain, balki teesri wave zyada bari hai, yeh ek poora cycle hota hai jiske baad ya to fourth wave tak correction hoti hai ya phir poora reversal aata hai.

Yahan jo CCI indicator use kiya gaya hai, usmein triple bearish divergence hai - jo sell ka signal hai. Yahi indicator jab daily chart par dekha jaye to woh upper overheating zone se neeche aana chahta hai. Yeh bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke growth ke dauran, price ne resistance level 1.3134 ko touch kiya, jo ke last year July ka maximum hai. Is waqt zaroori hai ke fourth wave ke liye correction ho, aur phir price ko upar le jaya ja sakta hai, aur ek reversal ho sakta hai. Abhi tak, support level 1.3078 raah mein hai, magar mujhe lagta hai ke yeh zyada dair tak nahi tik payega.

Girawat ke targets support level 1.3036 aur ascending line hain jo do wave bottoms par bani hai. Level 1.3036 se upar rebound ki umeed hai, phir breakout aur ascending line tak pohochne ka chance hai. Aisi correction mujhe kam lagti hai, shayad price aur neeche ja sakti hai, dekhte hain yeh kahan tak jata hai.

Aaj ki kuch ahem khabren yeh hain: 15:30 Moscow time par - USA mein building permits ki tadaad. 17:00 par - USA mein nayi gharon ki sales, aur US Federal Reserve System ke head Jerome Powell ka speech.

GBP/USD currency pair mein recent uptick dekha gaya hai, jo primarily weakening US dollar ki wajah se hai. Disappointing US economic data release, including weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI aur non-farm payrolls ke baad, market sentiment Federal Reserve ke more aggressive interest rate cuts ko anticipate kar raha hai. Yeh expectation greenback par downward pressure daal raha hai, jis se pound sterling boost ho raha hai
GBP/USD mein kal, sellers ne southern correctional movement ka realization nahi kar paya. Thodi si pullback ke baad, ek reversal dekha gaya, jo price ko north ki taraf confident bullish impulse ke saath push kar raha tha. Iska natija ek full bullish candle ka formation tha, jo asani se previous day's high ke upar close hui, accumulating range se breakout ko upside ki taraf signal karti hai. Aaj, buyers ne nearest resistance level 1.28604 tak pohnch gaya hai. Is surat mein, main marked resistance level ke saath saath 1.28938 ke resistance level ko bhi observe karunga.
Jaise ke pehle bhi zikr kiya, in resistance levels ke nazdeek do scenarios samne aa sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price in levels ke upar consolidate kare aur upar ki taraf barhe. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main expect karunga ke price resistance level 1.29956 ki taraf move kare. Agar price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to further northward movement dekhi ja sakti hai, jo resistance level 1.31424 tak pohnch sakti hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek trading setup se next trading direction ka pata chalega. Northward target ki taraf journey ke dauran southern pullbacks dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jinko main bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye use karunga, support levels ke nazdeek bullish signals dekh kar uptrend ka resumption expect karunga global bullish trend formation ke tehat.
Ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke agar resistance level 1.28604 ya resistance level 1.28938 ko test karte waqt reversal candle formation hoti hai aur downward price movement resume hoti hai. Agar yeh plan implement hota hai, to main price ke wapas support level 1.27399 tak aane ka intezar karunga. Is support level ke nazdeek, main bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga, price increase ki expectation ke saath. Jab ke zyada distant southern targets tak pohnchne ki possibility hai, main filhal is par focus nahi kar raha, kyun ke iska quick realization nazar nahi aa raha.
Summary ke taur par, filhal mujhe local market mein kuch interesting nazar nahi aa raha, lekin agar buyers nearest resistance level ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to unka focus zyada distant northern targets ki taraf shift ho sakta hai

/USD currency pair mein recent uptick dekha gaya hai, jo primarily weakening US dollar ki wajah se hai. Disappointing US economic data release, including weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI aur non-farm payrolls ke baad, market sentiment Federal Reserve ke more aggressive interest rate cuts ko anticipate kar raha hai. Yeh expectation greenback par downward pressure daal raha hai, jis se pound sterling boost ho raha hai GBP/USD mein kal, sellers ne southern correctional movement ka realization nahi kar paya. Thodi si pullback ke baad, ek reversal dekha gaya, jo price ko north ki taraf confident bullish impulse ke saath push kar raha tha. Iska natija ek full bullish candle ka formation tha, jo asani se previous day's high ke upar close hui, accumulating range se breakout ko upside ki taraf signal karti hai. Aaj, buyers ne nearest resistance level 1.28604 tak pohnch gaya hai. Is surat mein, main marked resistance level ke saath saath 1.28938 ke resistance level ko bhi observe karunga.
Jaise ke pehle bhi zikr kiya, in resistance levels ke nazdeek do scenarios samne aa sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price in levels ke upar consolidate kare aur upar ki taraf barhe. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main expect karunga ke price resistance level 1.29956 ki taraf move kare. Agar price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to further northward movement dekhi ja sakti hai, jo resistance level 1.31424 tak pohnch sakti hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek trading setup se next trading direction ka pata chalega. Northward target ki taraf journey ke dauran southern pullbacks dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jinko main bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye use karunga, support levels ke nazdeek bullish signals dekh kar uptrend ka resumption expect karunga global bullish trend formation ke tehat.
Ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke agar resistance level 1.28604 ya resistance level 1.28938 ko test karte waqt reversal candle formation hoti hai aur downward price movement resume hoti hai. Agar yeh plan implement hota hai, to main price ke wapas support level 1.27399 tak aane ka intezar karunga. Is support level ke nazdeek, main bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga, price increase ki expectation ke saath. Jab ke zyada distant southern targets tak pohnchne ki possibility hai, main filhal is par focus nahi kar raha, kyun ke iska quick realization nazar nahi aa raha.
Summary ke taur par, filhal mujhe local market mein kuch interesting nazar nahi aa raha, lekin agar buyers nearest resistance level ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to unka focus zyada distant northern targets ki taraf shift ho sakta hai

GBP/USD pair ne haal hi mein interesting dynamics dikhayi hain, khaaskar hourly chart par. 50-day moving average (MA50) ke downward pressure ko break karne ke baad, ab yeh pair 100-day moving average (MA100) se potential resistance ka saamna kar raha hai. Yeh resistance kisi bhi short-term mein significant upward movement ko rok sakta hai, khaaskar jab ke stochastic indicator abhi bhi upward momentum dikhara hai.

Haalan ke current uptrend nazar arahi hai, lekin recent rally ka steep incline yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh momentum shayad sustainable na ho. Market filhal ek uncertainty ki state mein hai aur apni next move ko carefully weigh kar raha hai. Is situation ne ek complex trading environment create kar diya hai jahan yeh pair shayad thodi si southern correction undergo kare, us ke baad shayad apni upward trajectory resume kare. Key resistance level jo dekhne wali hai wo 1.2645 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke pair ke liye ek critical turning point ho sakta hai.

### GBP/USD ke liye Potential Scenarios

**1. Reversal aur Downward Movement:**

Pehli scenario yeh consider karna hai ke agar 1.2580 resistance level par ek reversal hoti hai. Agar is point par reversal candle form hoti hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein shift indicate kar sakta hai, jo shayad downward trend ki resumption ki taraf le jaye. Is scenario mein pair shayad lower support levels ko test kare, khaaskar agar current rally apna momentum sustain karne mein naakam hoti hai.

**2. Upward Movement ka Continuation:**

Dusri taraf, agar GBP/USD pair resistance level 1.2780 ko break karne mein kaamyaab ho jata hai, toh yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko confirm karega. Aisi move market ke pair ko further upward push karne ke liye ready hone ka signal de sakti hai. Is scenario mein, traders ko sustained buying pressure ko dekhna chahiye jo ke pair ko naye highs ki taraf drive kar sakta hai.

### Key Levels Jo Monitor Karni Chahiye

Kal ke price action par nazar daalain, toh pair ne apne kuch gains wapas de diye, jo suggest karta hai ke 1.2689 ke aas-paas resistance abhi bhi ek significant hurdle hai. Agar yeh level dobara test hota hai, toh yeh potential pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai. Lekin, 1.2600 ke aas-paas local Bollinger Band ke qareeb support bhi significant hai. Agar yeh pair is support level ke upar hold karne mein naakam hota hai aur is ke neeche break karta hai, toh market mein further downside potential nazar aa sakti hai, jahan targets lower rail 1.2705 ke aas-paas ho sakte hain.

### Conclusion

Haal ke market conditions ko dekhte hue, shayad wait-and-see approach apnaana behtar rahe. GBP/USD pair filhal ek crossroads par hai, jahan dono bullish aur bearish scenarios possible hain. Yeh zaroori hai ke market conditions ko closely monitor karain aur unke mutabiq apni