gbp/usd

**GBP/USD Ke Saath Jeetne Wale Trades**

**Jayeza**

Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke live pricing ko samajhne ke irade se hai. British pound ne medium-term support line se rebound kiya, jo 1.2631 par tha. Is ke baad, trend ne puri tarah se reversal dikhayi hai, aur ab pair confident bullish growth dikha raha hai, isliye is waqt is ke khilaf trade karna bekaar hai.

**Hali Ki Performance**

Pair ne ek majboot horizontal resistance 1.2671 ko tod diya hai, jo buyers ki confidence ko barhaya hai aur aage ke growth ka potential khula hai, shayad weekly peak 1.2739 tak pahuncha ja sakta hai. Filhal, koi significant rukawat nazar nahi aa rahi hai is raaste mein. Main abhi buy ya sell karne ka soch nahi raha, kyunki dollar sabhi currencies ke muqablay kamzor ho raha hai. GBP/USD currency pair abhi bhi uptrend mein hai, jo heavy moving average se confirm hota hai, aur price bar-bar bounce karti rehti hai. Hum filhal 1.2631 ke level par hain, jo pichle trading session mein supply zone ke taur par kaam aayi thi jahan price bar-bar bounce hui.

**Key Resistance Levels**

Bullish rally ka jari rehne ke liye zaroori hai ke 1.2661 ka resistance todna padega. Dusri taraf, agar growth aur candles 1.2691 ke upar close hoti hain, to pair 1.280 tak bhi barh sakta hai aur weekly triangle ke upper limit ko test kar sakta hai.

**Market Conditions**

Britain mein rate situation ajeeb hai. Halankeh inflation 2% tak gir gaya hai, Central Bank aisa react kar raha hai jaise kuch badla nahi. Is behavior ko upcoming elections aur sudden moves se bachne ki koshish se jura gaya hai. Conservative representatives Central Bank mein hain, lekin wo Labour Party ko faida nahi dena chahte, jo situation ko aur bhi kharab kar sakta hai. Phir bhi, pound aaj bhi barh raha hai.

**Nateejah**

GBP/USD ke paas dono upward aur downward movements ka potential hai, jo critical levels aur market reactions par depend karta hai. Traders ko 1.2701 aur 1.2691 ke levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki ye agle significant moves ko indicate karenge.

GBPUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

GBPUSD H1 time frame chart par currency pair ka behavior kafi interesting hai, khaaskar subah ke session se. GBPUSD ne upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki hai, jo bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhri ghanton mein, pair ne diagonal resistance level ko successfully breach kiya hai, jo ke upar movement ke liye ek significant barrier tha. Yeh breakout ek shuruati indication ho sakta hai ke market sentiment buying ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke naye upward trend ke establishment ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, in positive signs ke bawajood, caution zaroori hai isse pehle ke puri tarah se uptrend ko embrace kiya jaye aur long positions commit ki jayein. Diagonal resistance ka breach ek positive technical development hai, jo traders ke liye bullish signal ke taur par interpret kiya jata hai. Aise resistance level ko break karna yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers jo pehle market ko control kar rahe the, unki grip kamzor ho rahi hai, aur buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. Yeh control ka shift kabhi kabhi naye upward trend ko lead kar sakta hai, jab zyada traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke pair aage bhi upar jayegi. Lekin, is potential breakout ko measured perspective se dekhna zaroori hai. Diagonal resistance ka breach hone se sirf yeh confirm nahi hota ke bullish trend sustainable hai. Financial markets mein false breakouts aam hote hain, jahan price temporarily resistance levels ke upar move karti hai aur phir tez reversal ke saath pehle ke trend par wapas aa jati hai. Isliye, additional confirmations dekhna zaroori hai before confidently naye upward trend ko declare karne se.



Breakout ke baad price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar price steadily rise karti hai, higher highs aur higher lows H1 chart par bante hain, to yeh naye bullish trend ke liye case ko strengthen karega. Lekin, agar breakout ke baad swift reversal hota hai aur price pehle ke resistance level ke neeche wapas aa jati hai, to yeh false breakout indicate kar sakta hai aur pair phir apne pehle ke downward movement par wapas aa sakta hai. Traders ke liye patience key hai. Breakout ke basis par long positions initiate karne se pehle additional confirmation ka wait karna behtar hai. Yeh retracement ko dekhna shamil ho sakta hai jo former resistance level ko naye support ke tor par test karta hai ya price ka clear hona subsequent resistance levels, jaise recent highs, ko upward movement ki strength affirm karne ke liye. GBPUSD pair H1 time frame chart par upar ki taraf breakout dikhata hai aur diagonal resistance ko breach karta hai. Yeh development promising hai, lekin definite shift towards upward trend declare karna premature hai. False breakout ka potential hai, aur traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, further confirmation dekhte hue long positions commit karne se pehle. Technical aur fundamental factors dono ko dekh kar traders market ki complexities ko better navigate kar sakte hain aur profitable trading opportunities ke liye informed decisions le sakte hain.

GBP/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
13 AUGUST 2024


GBP/USD 4-hour timeframe per kuch important phases hain jo main observe kar raha hoon. Pehle, ek significant uptrend tha jahan price 1.2630 se gradually barh kar 1.3045 ke peak tak pohnchi. Yeh pound sterling ki strength ko US dollar ke muqablay mein dikhata hai is dauran.

Peak par pohnchne ke baad, chart par ek trend reversal dikhayi di jahan price decline karne lagi aur 1.2810 ke aas-paas stabilize hui. Phir price 1.2810 aur 1.2770 ke beech ek narrow trading range mein chalti rahi, jo market mein uncertainty ya buyers aur sellers ke beech balance ko indicate karta hai.

Agla phase ek pronounced downtrend ka hai, jahan price 1.2650 ke low tak gir gayi. Is level ko touch karne ke baad, price fir se increase hui aur ab 1.2770 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke short-term mein resistance aur long-term view mein support ka kaam kar raha hai.

Is analysis se, main conclude karta hoon ke GBP/USD ab recovery phase mein hai recent bottom ko touch karne ke baad, lekin abhi bhi bearish pressure ke neeche hai kyunki medium-term trend abhi bhi lower hai. Nearest key resistance point 1.2810 hai, agar yeh break hota hai, to yeh further recovery signal de sakta hai towards 1.2895 levels ya usse bhi upar.

GBP/USD pair ne yellow daily pivot zone 1.2763 - 1.2774 se 161% resistance 1.2821 - 1.2833 ki taraf nikalna shuru kar diya hai. Yahan se market wapas neeche aakar correction kar sakti hai, lekin pehle buyer ko kal ke highest price 1.2792 ko penetrate karna hoga. Agar yeh fail hota hai, to green resistance 1.2821 tak pohnchne ke chances kam hain kyunki market decline kar sakti hai jo bullish trend ke continuation ko lead kar sakta hai. Pichle kuch dinon se GBP/USD market strong sellers ke control mein hai kyunki Bank of England FED ke muqablay mein dovish hai.

H4 conditions ke mutabiq, price consistently Blue EMA50 ke upar hai, isliye 1.2810 tak potential abhi bhi wide open hai, lekin sustainable increase technically mushkil lagti hai kyunki resistance area 1.2800 ke upar pehle se hi achieve karna mushkil tha. Isliye strong fundamental support ki zarurat hai jaise CPI data ya US monthly inflation kal raat. Agar results expected se alag hote hain, to GBP/USD ke aur upar jane ke chances hain, isliye traders ko abhi sirf short profit targets ko hi dekhna chahiye, bade news se pehle.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis

Hello dosto. Kiya hal hay.
Last trading week mai, sterling ne apni decline ko continue kiya aur agle local minimum 1.2667 tak pohoncha. Is point par price ne strong support dekha, jisse ye 1.2788 level ke neeche break karne me kamyab rahi, decline ko roka, aur kuch losses ko cover kiya. Lekin abhi tak target area tak nahi pohoncha, jahan is waqt price work kar rahi hai. Price chart abhi bhi super-trend red zone mai hai, jo ye indicate karta hai ke sellers ka pressure abhi bhi maujood hai.

US PPI (Producer Price Index) ka monthly value July mai 0.1% se increase hua, jo market expectations ke mutabiq hai, aur previous value 0.2% thi. Annual value bhi 2.2% tak gir gayi, jo pichle saal July mai thi, aur ye market expectations 2.3% se neeche hai.



Pair is waqt apne recent weekly low par trade kar raha hai. Key resistance zone ko test kiya gaya, aur price ne isko hold kiya, jisse decline ko continue karna pada, jo ye indicate karta hai ke downtrend maujood hai. Trend ko continue karne ke liye, price ko jaldi se 1.2788 level ke neeche strengthen karna zaroori hoga, jahan main resistance zone hai. Agar is area se pullback hota hai retest ke baad, toh ye opportunity milegi decline ko continue karne ke liye target area tak, jo 1.2612 aur 1.2524 ke darmiyan hai.

Agar resistance overcome ho gaya aur price ne 1.2857 reversal level ko break kar diya, toh current scenario cancel ho jayega.

GBP/USD currency pair par profound impact dalte hain. Interest rate decisions, quantitative easing measures, aur forward guidance se market sentiment drive hoti hai aur currency pair ka direction influence hota hai.
Recently, Bank of England ne monetary policy ko cautious approach di hai, inflation ke impact ko dekhte hue. Is ke muqablay mein, Federal Reserve ne interest rate hikes aur balance sheet reduction par aggressive stance rakha hai. Ye divergence monetary policy ko bearish trend ko aur exacerbate kar sakta hai.
Lekin, agar BoE inflationary pressures ke response mein zyada hawkish stance leti hai, to current trend reverse ho sakta hai. Waise, agar Fed economic growth ke concerns ki wajah se dovish ho jata hai, to US dollar weaken ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko upward momentum de sakta ha
GBP/USD pair bhi is se immune nahi hai. Brexit developments, trade negotiations, aur political instability UK ya US mein volatility create kar sakte hain aur sharp price swings ka sabab ban sakte hain.
Maslan, agar UK-EU trade relationship ke positive news aate hain post-Brexit, to pound ko boost mil sakta hai, jab ke negative developments pound par heavy weight daal sakti hain. US mein political uncertainty, jese ke fiscal policy debates ya upcoming elections, US dollar ko impact kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD pair ko influence kar sakti hai.
Traders ko geopolitical developments par nazar rakhni chahiye aur market reactions ke liye tayar rehna chahiye jo GBP/USD pair mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakte hain.
GBP/USD currency pair ke movements ko predict karne mein important tool hai. Price charts ko analyze karke, key support aur resistance levels ko identify karke, aur technical indicators jese ke moving averages aur RSI (Relative Strength Index) ko use karke traders potential market movements ka insight gain kar sakte hain.
Filhal, GBP/USD pair bearish trend mein hai, aur price action key moving averages ke neeche hai. Lekin, technical analysis suggest karta hai ke pair ek critical support level ke kareeb aa raha hai. Agar ye level hold hota hai, to reversal ya significant bounce ho sakta hai. Agar support level breach hota hai, to bearish trend accelerate ho sakta hai aur further downside dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
Market sentiment bhi GBP/USD pair ko drive karta hai. Sentiment economic data, central bank actions, aur geopolitical events se influence hota hai. Sentiment ka shift bullish se bearish, ya vice versa, sharp movements ka sabab ban sakta hai.
GBP/USD pair ke movements ko influence karte hain. Low liquidity periods, jese ke holidays ya Asian trading session, market ko sharp movements ke liye zyada susceptible banate hain. Dusri taraf, high liquidity periods, jese ke London ya New York sessions, market ko zyada stable banaate hain.
GBP/USD currency pair filhal 1.2754 par trade kar raha hai aur bearish trend mein hai. Jab ke market dheere dheere move kar rahi hai, kuch factors hain jo aane wale dino mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakte hain. Economic indicators, central bank actions, geopolitical events, technical analysis, market sentiment, aur liquidity sab GBP/USD pair ke direction ko determine karte hain.
Traders aur investors ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur potential market-moving events ke liye prepared rehna chahiye jo GBP/USD pair mein substantial movement ka sabab ban sakti hain. Informative aur analytical approach se traders behtar decisions le sakte hain aur aane wali market volatility ka faida utha sakte hain.
Volatility bhi major economic release ya unexpected geopolitical events ke doran significant increase dekh sakti hai. Traders ko aane wale dino mein increased volatility ke liye aware rehna chahiye, jo GBP/USD pair mein substantial movements ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Subah bakhair! GBP/USD ka H-4 time frame chart dekhne par yeh nazar aata hai ke kal ke weak non-farm data ne dollar ko kaafi neeche gira diya, jisse buyers ne kuch pounds hasil kiye. Lekin, abhi tak unhone koi important level nahi toda aur yeh kehna mushkil hai ke unke paas itna waqt hai ke woh apni trade ko achi tarah execute kar sakein. Agar unhe zyada confident upward move ko promote karna hai, to unhe 1.28637 ka level break karna hoga aur is level ko sustain karna hoga. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to downtrend khatam ho jayega aur uptrend continue hoga. Is surat mein pehla target 1.28873 mark hoga. Wahan par sellers ko kal ke low 1.27063 ke upar apne positions ko strong karna hoga, warna neeche ka target 1.26772 hoga.
Kal ke signal ko hum capitalize nahi kar sakein, jo ke price growth ke liye tha aur upper band ke outward opening se indicate ho raha tha. Yeh signal din ke andar validate ho gaya jab price barh gayi. Abhi bhi upper band outward open ho raha hai, jo ke aage price growth ki potential ko zahir karta hai. Main price ke upper band ke kareeb aane ka wait karunga, aur uske baad hi dekhunga ke bands phir se outward open hote hain ya nahi, jisse sustained price growth confirm ho sake. Agar growth continue hoti hai, to hum ab bhi lower levels se isse capture kar sakte hain. Lekin, sellers ki resistance ke wajah se decline dekhne ko mili, jo ke ek extreme sell setup se shuru hui thi aur immediately sell setup follow hui thi.

Growth agar continue hoti hai, to yeh clear nahi ke new peak kab form hoga, lekin upward price movement ka signal mil raha hai. Agar koi red attenuation bar nazar aati hai, to yeh bhi price movement ke deceleration ko indicate karegi.

**Fractals Ka Analysis**
Fractals ko dekhte hue, price action ne Stochastic indicator ke upward signals ko effectively work out kiya hai. Price ka consistent rise zero line ko cross karne ke baad positive area me enter karne se strong upward movement ka signal milta hai. Jaise hi price Bollinger Bands ke upper band ke kareeb aati hai, zaroori hai ke dekha jaye ke kya bands phir se outward open hoti hain. Yeh ek important indicator hoga potential sustained price growth ke liye. Lekin, potential sell signals se bhi hoshiyar rehna zaroori hai. Jaise hi price selling area me wapas aati hai, ek upward correction hone ke chances hain, jo ke phir downward movement continue kar sakti hai.

Conclusion
Trend overall dekha jaye to growth continue karne ke chances hain, lekin key resistance aur support levels, Bollinger Band behavior, aur Stochastic indicator signals ko monitor karna bohot zaroori hai. Yeh comprehensive analysis trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakti hai, chahe upward movements capture karni ho ya potential downward corrections ko anticipate karna ho.

Pair ne Wednesday ke trading session mein 2024 ka high, lagbhag 1.2867, tak pohanch gaya. Yeh aham surge ziada tor par US mein June ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke expectation se kam aane ki wajah se hui, jis ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke rate cut ki umeedon ko barhawa diya. Market ke log ab ziada yeh expect kar rahe hain ke Fed apne September meeting mein interest rates kam karna shuru karega.
**GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:**

Core Producer Price Index (PPI) mein significant acceleration ke bawajood, jo wholesale inflation ke liye year-over-year 3.0% tak barh gaya—jo ke 2.5% ke forecast se ziada tha aur pichle period ke figure ko 2.3% se badhakar 2.6% karne ka upward revision tha—market ka focus CPI data par shift ho gaya hai. Week ke shuru mein softer CPI figures ne rate cut ke speculation ko barhawa diya, jo ke recent producer-level inflation ke spike ko overshadow kar raha hai.

CME ka FedWatch tool September 18 ko hone wali Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting mein quarter-point rate cut ki high probability ko indicate kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, market ke log ab yeh anticipate kar rahe hain ke 2024 mein kam az kam teen rate cuts honge, jo ke Fed ke pehle projection se ziada hain jisme sirf ek ya do reductions ka andaza lagaya gaya tha.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ne haal hi mein US Dollar ke against 1.2871 ka naya monthly high touch kiya hai. Yeh upward movement daily chart par inverted Head and Shoulders pattern ke bullish breakout ke mutabiq hai. Is pattern ka neckline, jo ke 1.2855 ke around hai, GBP/USD pair ke liye potential bullish reversal ki confirmation deta hai.

50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke lagbhag 1.2782 ke qareeb hai, yeh upward movement ko aur bhi support karta hai, jo ke near term mein bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein entry ki hai, jo ke upside momentum ko reinforce karta hai.

Haal hi mein, global risk appetite mein kami ne British pound ko global markets mein nuksaan pohnchaya hai, jab ke yen ke short positions aggressively cover kiye gaye hain. Is se pehle, British pound carry trades se faida utha raha tha, jisme global investors yen ko bech kar high-yielding instruments mein long positions finance kar rahe the, jisme British pound bhi shamil hai. Haal hi mein, British pound against US dollar (GBP/USD) 1.2662 ke support level tak gir gaya, jo ek mahine se zyada ka sabse neecha point hai, aur yeh 1.2695 ke qareeb stable hai jab yeh analysis likha ja raha hai, kisi nai developments ka intezaar karte hue. Jumay ko aane wale US jobs data ne US economy ke recession mein slip hone ka dar barhaya. Middle East mein tensions barhne ka bhi khauf hai. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, British pound ne euro (GBP/EUR) ke against bhi 11-week low 1.1660 par further sharp losses record kiye, phir thoda recover kar ke 1.1690 tak pohncha, jab volatility mein izafa hua. Pound par Bank of England ke interest rate cut ne bhi thoda asar dala, lekin global risk conditions mein girawat is ka primary factor rahi. Jaise ke maloom hai, British currency ka risk trends se qareebi taaluq hai. Jab stock markets strong hoti hain aur carry trade mein zyada interest hota hai, pound acchi performance dikhata hai.Economic side par, Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ne dikhaya ke UK economy ka post-pandemic growth pehle se zyada strong tha jitna pehle socha gaya tha. ONS ke revised data ke mutabiq, UK economy Covid-19 pandemic se pehle se behtar halat mein ubhari. Nai estimates ke mutabiq 2022 ke liye annual GDP growth 4.8% hai, jo pehle 4.3% tha.ONS update jo Wednesday ko release hui, usme 2021 aur 2020 ke GDP growth estimates mein 0.1 percentage points ki choti revisions shamil hain, jab ke peechle saalon ke figures unchanged chode gaye hain. Overall, ye revisions economic activity ka zyada accurate representation reflect karti hain, jo ab full administrative aur survey data ka lehaaz rakhti hain jo ab available hai.

Daily chart ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ka bearish performance abhi tak intact hai aur agar 1.2600 ka support break hota hai to yeh confirm karega ke bears control mein hain aur deeper losses ki tayari kar rahe hain. Iske natije mein, technical indicators strong oversold levels ki taraf move kar rahe hain. Sterling Bank of England ke rate cut signals se pressure mein reh sakta hai agar investors ka risk aversion aise hi jaari rehta hai. Dusri taraf, isi time frame mein, downtrend ka pehla break 1.2885 ke resistance ki taraf hoga

GBPUSD currency pair ke M15 chart ko dekh rahe hain, usme aapne dekha ke linear regression channel ka upward slope hai, jo ke buyers ki strength ko indicate karta hai. Aapke trading plan ke mutabiq, aap ne niche wale channel border par purchase ki opportunity identify ki hai, jo ke 1.27575 par hai. Aapka plan hai ke jab market is level tak aaye, to aap purchases consider karenge. Phir aap market ke 1.27797 level tak grow karne ka wait karenge, jahan correction hone ki ummeed hai. Agar correction lower border tak aaye, to aap wahan se phir se purchase karenge. Lekin agar lower border break ho jaye, to aapko purchases cancel kar deni chahiye aur further fall ko consider karna chahiye.
Aap M15 chart ke signals ko dekh kar purchases karna chahte hain, jab market lower border se bounce kare aur grow ho. Upper border par sales bhi consider ki ja sakti hain, lekin aapke liye zyada important entry lower border se hai. Aapke H1 chart ka analysis bhi bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, jo ke aapke M15 chart ke purchases ke signal ko support karta hai. Isliye, aap lower border 1.27472 se buy karna chahte hain aur target 1.28112 set karna chahte hain. Agar price 1.28112 tak pahunchti hai, to aapko correction hone ki ummeed hai. Agar lower border 1.27472 ko downward break kar diya jata hai, to ye bearish signal hoga, aur aapko apne trading plan ko revise karna padega aur market situation ko phir se evaluate karna padega. Aaj United States producer prices ke statistics publish honge, jo ke currencies ke movements ko influence kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar aap consumer prices ke statistics ki announcement se pehle market me enter karna chahte hain. Lekin, asliyat main fluctuations kal American session ke start aur price growth data ke publication ke baad hi shuru honge.



GBP/USD 1.2811 par hai. Kya is level par buy karna chahiye? Main samajhta hoon ke ye behtar hoga ke 11:00 ke qareeb situation ko observe kiya jaye taake zyada clarity mil sake. Main slide ko catch karne ka plan bana raha hoon, pehla sale 1.2851 se initiate karte hue. Agar price upar jaata hai, to main har 10 points par sales add karta rahunga. Meri reduction targets 1.2801, 1.2776, 1.2756, aur 1.2741 hain. Range significant hai, aur pure din mein isko cover karna mushkil hai. Agar meri estimates sahi hain, to main leading position ko 1.2801 par close karunga aur har next step par close karta rahunga. 1.2741 ke neeche jaana behtar nahi hoga. Agar yeh hota hai, to yeh bullish trend ko dampen kar dega lekin poori tarah break nahi karega. Is se bulls ke liye recover karna mushkil ho sakta hai, aur yeh drop ko 1.2631-41 tak le ja sakta hai. Main mid-to-long-term mein 1.2741 tak pullback ki umeed karta hoon, jiske baad ek rebound aur ek nai upward wave dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Wednesday ko GBP/USD pair ne pullback experience kiya, jisne chaar dinon ki winning streak ko tor diya, kyunki UK aur US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data expectations se neeche raha. Yeh pair 1.2850 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo recent rally ke dauran ek key support zone tha. UK mein CPI inflation July mein 2.2% year-over-year badh gaya, jo forecast 2.3% se thoda neeche tha lekin phir bhi peechle mahine ke 2.0% se upar tha. Core inflation, jo food aur energy jese volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 3.5% se kam ho kar 3.3% ho gaya. Yeh data suggest karta hai ke UK mein inflationary pressures kam ho rahi hain, jisse Bank of England (BoE) apni rate hikes ko aane wale maheenon mein pause kar sakta hai. US mein bhi inflation ne milta julta pattern dikhaya, jahan dono headline aur core CPI expectations se neeche aaye. Is se Federal Reserve ki monetary policy outlook ka dobara andaza lagaya gaya, aur markets ab kam probability de rahi hain ke rate hikes jald hongi. Fed ka focus inflation control se shift hota dikhai de raha hai towards economic growth support, especially jab se recent data ne economic activity mein kuch cooling indicate kiya hai.

Yeh factors GBP/USD pair par downward pressure daal rahe hain. Technical factors ne bhi is decline mein apna role ada kiya, kyunki pair apni position ko 1.2900 level ke upar barqarar nahi rakh saka, jo mid-July se ek critical resistance zone raha hai. Aane wale waqt mein focus UK GDP growth data aur US Retail Sales figures par hoga jo Thursday ko release hongi. Yeh releases dono economies ke economic health ke bare mein further insights provide karengi aur GBP/USD pair ke agle direction ko influence kar sakti hain. Strong GDP growth UK mein pound ko support kar sakti hai, jabke robust US retail sales dollar ko bolster kar sakti hain. Lekin agar data disappoint karta hai, to hum pair mein further downside dekh sakte hain.

Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy:

GBP/USD asset is waqt ek upward trend par hai, after completing a falling wedge pattern, jahan usne support found kiya ascending channel ke lower boundary par. Kal ke New York session ke dauran, US Dollar Index ne dollar ke liye positive pressure create kiya, jisse yeh pair dip kar gaya near the support levels of the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi ek favorable level par hai, jo suggest karta hai ke sellers shayad apni full force exert na kar sakein, aur yeh allow kare buyers ko ke wo control maintain kar sakein aur potentially rising wedge pattern ko complete kar sakein.

Trading Strategy:
Current market conditions aur technical indicators ko madde nazar rakhte hue, GBP/USD mein cautious buying consider ki ja sakti hai, agar pair 1.2850 support level ke qareeb ya neeche trade karta hai. Price agar 1.2900 resistance level ko break karti hai, to next target 1.3042 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price 1.2850 support level ke neeche sustain nahi karti, to downside risk increase ho sakta hai, aur agle support levels 1.2789 aur 1.2700 ke aas paas dekhe ja sakte hain.

Risk management ke liye stop loss levels set karna important hoga, aur upcoming economic data releases ke waqt market volatility ke liye prepared rehna zaroori hoga.

Good morning, aap kaise hain aaj? Umeed hai ke sab khair makdam mein hon aur aaj aapki sari activities achi tarah chalengi. GBPUSD ka movement pichle trading session mein kaafi barh gaya tha jahan USD ki kamzori ab bhi is pair ko bullish direction mein le ja rahi thi. Fundamental perspective se, US Dollar kamzor huwa kyunke US government bond yields gir gayi thiin July ke kamzor-than-expected PPI report ke wajah se, jo September FOMC meeting mein Fed ke interest rate cut ke chances ko barhawa deti hai. Aaj ka stock rally bhi dollar ke liye liquidity ki demand ko kam kar raha hai. Phir bhi, UK ka inflation rate 7.9 percent annually tak gir gaya hai, jo GBPUSD ke future movement par significant impact daal sakta hai.
Technical perspective se, agar aap current daily timeframe pattern dekhen, to price phir se barh gayi hai, middle Bollinger ko break karte hue aur ek strong bullish daily candle ke saath close hui hai. Price ne kuch EMAs, EMA 7.21 aur 55 ke upar move bhi kiya hai. Yeh ek strong signal hai ke price ki increase continue karne ki potential hai, halan ke yeh pehle kuch nearby supports ko test kar sakta hai. Indicators, jaise stochastic aur RSI bhi strong bullish signal dikhate hain; stochastic sharply rise kar raha hai aur 80 area tak pahuncha hai, jabke RSI bhi barh raha hai aur 30 area ke paas aa raha hai, jo bullish signal ko aur mazid strong banata hai. Existing patterns ko dekhte hue, buy setup trade karna zyada attractive lagta hai.

Trading options ke liye, aap buy limit option ko nearest support par 1.2831 par le sakte hain aur take profit ko resistance 1.2941 aur long-term target 1.3044 par rakh sakte hain. Dusra option hai deeper support par 1.2806 par buy limit lagana aur bullish target ko same area 1.3044 rakhna as a long-term target. Stop loss 1.2780 ke niche rakha ja sakta hai. Happy trading aur shukriya!

G B P / U S D T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S

Good Morning! Umeed hai ke yahan kaam karne wale mere tamam doston ki zindagi achi guzar rahi hogi. Aaj mein GBP/USD ki price movement ka technical aur fundamental point of view se tajziya karna chahta hoon. Jab yeh likha ja raha hai, GBP/USD 1.2827 par trade kar raha hai. Is waqt GBP/USD par US dollar ka pressure hai. Agar US dollar mazid mazboot hota hai, to GBP/USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur mazeed neeche gir sakta hai. Agar US dollar mazid kamzor rehta hai, to GBP/USD mein mazeed mazbooti dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Abhi ke doran, prices ke girne se andaza hota hai ke future mein bearish direction ka imkaan zyada hai, kyun ke kuch trading dinon se sell trend chal raha hai. Lagta hai yeh trend jari rahega. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50.2478 par hai, jo ke current market cap ke liye strong supply aur ongoing selling pressure ko zahir kar raha hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is chart mein GBP/USD ke liye mazeed sell signal de raha hai. 20 aur 50 EMA indicators ke mutabiq, correction ka signal hai aur price 20 aur 50 EMA line ke neeche hai.

Pichle kuch dino mein mein ne mazeed study ki hai aur is natije par pohancha hoon. Initial aur second resistance levels GBP/USD ke liye 1.2837 aur 1.2872 hain. Agar GBP/USD 1.2837 ke baad 1.2872 level ko todta hai, to GBP/USD 1.3121 ya 1.3543 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd aur 4th resistance levels hain, aur hum mazeed bullish movement dekh sakte hain. Dosri taraf, Initial aur second support levels GBP/USD ke liye 1.2811 aur 1.2777 hain. Agar GBP/USD 1.2811 ke baad 1.2777 level ko todta hai, to GBP/USD 1.2746 ya 1.2234 tak neeche gir sakta hai, jo ke 3rd aur 4th support levels hain, aur hum mazeed bearish movement dekh sakte hain. Technical tools ka istemal karke hum aaj ke din trading mein kamiyabi hasil karenge. Lekin trading se pehle hum is par acha entry point lenay ki koshish karenge.

Chart mein istemal hone wale indicators:

• MACD indicator:
• RSI indicator period 14:
• 50-day exponential moving average color Orange:
• 20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:

GBP-USD currency pair ke hawale se, abhi tak sellers girawat ko barhawa dene mein nakam rahe hain, aur non-farm data ke doran dollar mein tezi se kami aayi. Mein samjhta tha ke aaj buyers apni potential ko barhawa denge, magar subah se ab tak koi tezi se harkat nazar nahi aayi. Aam tor par, buyers abhi tak upar kisi ahem level ko tor nahi paaye hain, aur active upward movement ke liye unhe 1.28394 level ko tor kar us par qaim hona zaroori hai. Growth ko barhawa dene ke liye pehla target 1.28637 ka level hoga. Is level ka torna downward trend ko tor kar growth ke mumkinah barhawa ka signal dega. Girawat ko jari rakhne ke liye, sellers ko 1.27772 ka level tor kar us par qaim hona hoga. Girawat ka target 1.27063 ka mark hoga. GBPUSD H4: 4-hour chart par 1-pound pair tapes ke central area mein hai, aur yahan se harkat kisi bhi direction mein ho sakti hai. Is surat-e-haal mein, price ke barhawa ya girawat ka naya signal hasil karne ke liye, hume upper ya lower band ke bahar nikalne ka intezar karna chahiye aur phir evaluate karna chahiye ke bands outward open hote hain ya koi reaction nahi hoti.
Agar fractals ki baat ki jaye, to ek naya fractal upward bana hai; is ka breakout aur consolidation price ko 31 July ke fractal ki taraf 1.28637 tak le jaane ka moqa dega. Price fall ka target qareebi fractal downward hai; is ka breakout aur consolidation price ko 3 July ke fractal ki taraf 1.26772 tak le jaane ka moqa dega. AO indicator negative zone mein fade ho raha hai, jo price ke barhawa ka signal de raha hai. Agar ane wale dino mein hum zero se transition aur positive zone mein active increase dekhenge, to hume price ke barhawa ka zyada strong signal milega. Negative area mein nayi acceleration price ke girawat ka signa

British pound ko global markets mein nuksaan pohnchaya hai, jab ke yen ke short positions aggressively cover kiye gaye hain. Is se pehle, British pound carry trades se faida utha raha tha, jisme global investors yen ko bech kar high-yielding instruments mein long positions finance kar rahe the, jisme British pound bhi shamil hai. Haal hi mein, British pound against US dollar (GBP/USD) 1.2662 ke support level tak gir gaya, jo ek mahine se zyada ka sabse neecha point hai, aur yeh 1.2695 ke qareeb stable hai jab yeh analysis likha ja raha hai, kisi nai developments ka intezaar karte hue. Jumay ko aane wale US jobs data ne US economy ke recession mein slip hone ka dar barhaya. Middle East mein tensions barhne ka bhi khauf hai. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, British pound ne euro (GBP/EUR) ke against bhi 11-week low 1.1660 par further sharp losses record kiye, phir thoda recover kar ke 1.1690 tak pohncha, jab volatility mein izafa hua. Pound par Bank of England ke interest rate cut ne bhi thoda asar dala, lekin global risk conditions mein girawat is ka primary factor rahi. Jaise ke maloom hai, British currency ka risk trends se qareebi taaluq hai. Jab stock markets strong hoti hain aur carry trade mein zyada interest hota hai, pound acchi performance dikhata hai.Economic side par, Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ne dikhaya ke UK economy ka post-pandemic growth pehle se zyada strong tha jitna pehle socha gaya tha. ONS ke revised data ke mutabiq, UK economy Covid-19 pandemic se pehle se behtar halat mein ubhari. Nai estimates ke mutabiq 2022 ke liye annual GDP growth 4.8% hai, jo pehle 4.3% tha.ONS update jo Wednesday ko release hui, usme 2021 aur 2020 ke GDP growth estimates mein 0.1 percentage points ki choti revisions shamil hain, jab ke peechle saalon ke figures unchanged chode gaye hain. Overall, ye revisions economic activity ka zyada accurate representation reflect karti hain, jo ab full administrative aur survey data ka lehaaz rakhti hain jo ab available hai.
Daily chart ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ka bearish performance abhi tak intact hai aur agar 1.2600 ka support break hota hai to yeh confirm karega ke bears control mein hain aur deeper losses ki tayari kar rahe hain. Iske natije mein, technical indicators strong oversold levels ki taraf move kar rahe hain. Sterling Bank of England ke rate cut signals se pressure mein reh sakta hai agar investors ka risk aversion aise hi jaari rehta hai. Dusri taraf, isi time frame mein, downtrend ka pehla break 1.2885 ke resistance ki taraf hoga

Good afternoon, guys. Aaj raat NFP release se pehle, chaliye apne aap ko trade karne ke liye achi tarah se prepare karte hain aur umeed hai ke hamara pehle se banaya hua trading plan maximum results de sake. Aaj mai aap sab ke sath GBP/USD pair ka analysis share karunga jo ke resistance 1.2850 se decline hua hai, aur iss se seller ki taqat kaafi important role ada karti nazar aati hai further weakening mein. Tafseelat ke liye, chaliye dekhte hain ke trend classification aur GBP/USD ke trading signals kaise hain jo maine neeche summarize kiye hain. GBP/USD ka movement abhi bhi strong downtrend experience kar raha hai aur 1.2850 area mein jo price increase hui thi, us se pair mein sharp decline aaya. Phir buyers ko price ko aur zyada upar le jane mein abhi bhi mushkilat ka samna hai, hum simply price increase ko anticipate karte hain NFP ke doran, aur agar price resistance area tak spike kare, toh seller price ko dobara weaken kar sakta hai aur H4 timeframe pe bearish candlestick ke sath closing kar sakta hai, meri raaye ke mutabiq. Aur phir hume 1.2800 level ko observe karna hoga jo ke abhi SBR area hai current bearish wave mein, is liye maine us area mein white box provide kiya hai.


Main sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega.

Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni. Umeed hai ke hum GBP/USD movement pe iss week profit ko optimize kar sakenge