gbp/usd

**GBP/USD (British Pound / US Dollar)**

GBP/USD pair ko H1 timeframe par analyze karne se humein medium-term movement se faida uthane ka mauka milta hai. Hamara maqsad yeh hai ke higher timeframe H4 par current trend ko sahi se identify karain aur market mein entry point ko theek se dhundh kar profit hasil karein. Iske liye, hum apne instrument ka chart 4-hour timeframe par khol kar current trend ki direction dekhte hain. Aaj market long positions ke liye ek behtareen mauka faraham kar rahi hai.

Uske baad, hum teen indicators ka istemal karte hain - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color. Hama aur RSI Trend indicators ke signals ke mutabiq, H1 timeframe par trend ko bullish interest ke saath pakadna hota hai jab dono indicators blue aur green colors mein hote hain, jo buyers ki sellers par faida dikhata hai. Jab sab zaroori conditions poori hoti hain, hum confidently long position open karte hain.

Market se exit karne ka decision hum Magnetic_Levels_Color indicator ke signals ke mutabiq karte hain. Aaj trading ke liye sabse interesting level 1.30558 hai. Hum chart par magnetic level ke qareeb quotes ke behavior ko dhyan se monitor karenge aur decide karenge ke position ko market mein next magnetic level tak rakhna hai ya phir already obtained profit le kar nikalna hai.

Is approach se, hum medium-term trend ko accurately forecast karke trading opportunities ko maximize kar sakte hain aur trading plan ko effectively execute kar sakte hain.

**GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis**

GBP/USD currency pair ne Friday ko ek pullback dekha, jab US Dollar ne majbooti dikhayi aur Treasury yields barh gayi. Pehle din US consumer inflation data ke release ke baad September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed jagi thi, jisse bond yields thode kam huye aur pound ko support mila. Lekin market sentiment mein tabdeeli ke baad dollar ki demand dobara barh gayi, jisse GBP/USD par downward pressure pada. Halankeh short-term bearish correction dekha gaya, fundamental backdrop ab bhi pound ke haq mein hai. Fed ke further easing ki potential aur ek favorable risk environment GBP/USD ke bullish sentiment ko support karte hain. Iske ilawa, pair ne underlying strength dikhayi hai, aur ek mahine se lagataar teesi baar gain ke saath week ko close kiya hai, aur long-term trading range ke upper boundary ke qareeb pahunch raha hai.

Technically, GBP/USD ne apne 20 aur 50-day simple moving averages ko break kiya hai, jo short-term bearish bias ko signal karta hai. Momentum indicators jaise RSI aur MACD bhi is downward trend ko reflect karte hain. Pair ke liye immediate support 200-day SMA par hai jo 1.2610 ke aas-paas hai, aur phir lower range boundary 1.2465 hai. Jabke deeper correction bhi ho sakti hai, kisi bhi significant decline se buying interest barh sakta hai. Traders agle US Producer Price Index aur University of Michigan Consumer Confidence data release ko closely monitor karenge, jo short-term trading opportunities provide kar sakte hain. Ye economic indicators GBP/USD market mein North American session ke dauran additional volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Overall, jabke GBP/USD ne temporary setback dekha hai, underlying bullish trend ab bhi barqarar hai. Pair ke liye least resistance ka raasta upward lagta hai, aur kisi bhi significant dips ko potential buying opportunities ke roop mein dekha ja sakta hai.

**GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis**

GBP/USD currency pair filhal 1.2984 par trade kar raha hai, aur mojooda trend bearish hai. Halanki market ka movement dheere dheere hai, lekin kuch factors hain jo aane wale dinon mein significant movement ka indication dete hain. Is currency pair ke dynamics ko samajhne ke liye fundamental aur technical factors dono ka jaiza lena zaroori hai jo price ko influence karte hain.

### Fundamental Analysis

#### Economic Data Releases

United Kingdom aur United States dono ke paas aane wale waqt mein important economic data releases hain. UK ke liye, inflation rates, unemployment figures, aur GDP growth rates par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Expected values se koi deviation significant volatility trigger kar sakti hai. Maslan, agar inflation higher than expected hota hai to Bank of England monetary policy tighten karne ka soch sakta hai, jo GBP ko support de sakta hai. Iske ulta, agar economic performance kharab hoti hai to currency aur kamzor ho sakti hai.

US mein, non-farm payrolls, CPI data, aur Federal Reserve ke meeting minutes critical hain. Market inflation aur employment trends par bade sensitive hai, kyunki ye Fed ki policy decisions ko influence karte hain. Agar Fed hawkish comments dete hain ya strong economic data aati hai, to USD ko support mil sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair par additional pressure daal sakta hai.

#### Central Bank Policies

Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki policies GBP/USD exchange rate ke key drivers hain. Filhal, BoE ne monetary policy ko aggressively tighten karne se bachke raha hai, Brexit ke baad economic uncertainties aur inflation aur growth concerns ki wajah se. Agar BoE apni stance ko hawkish direction mein shift karta hai to GBP ko boost mil sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, Fed ne inflation ko control karne ke liye pichle saal kai rate hikes kiye hain. Fed ki future guidance rate path ke baare mein USD ki strength ko determine karne mein important hogi. Agar Fed dovish tone leta hai, ya rate hikes ko pause ya slow down karta hai, to USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur GBP/USD pair ko upward momentum mil sakta hai.

#### Political Factors

UK aur US mein political developments bhi significant impacts dal sakti hain. UK mein, government ke fiscal policy stance, Brexit se related developments, ya unexpected political instability market reactions ko trigger kar sakti hai. US mein bhi fiscal policies, international trade relations, aur political stability ko closely monitor kiya jata hai. Recent geopolitical tensions ya trade policies mein changes investor sentiment aur currency pair ko influence kar sakti hain.

### Technical Analysis

#### Support and Resistance Levels

Technical perspective se, GBP/USD pair key support aur resistance levels ko navigate kar raha hai. Mojooda bearish trend se lagta hai ki pair downward pressure face kar raha hai. Critical support levels identify karna, jaise 1.2950 ya 1.2900, traders ko potential reversal points anticipate karne mein madad kar sakta hai. Resistance levels, jaise 1.3050 ya 1.3100, indicate karte hain jahan pair higher move karne mein struggle kar sakta hai.

#### Moving Averages and Indicators

Technical indicators jaise moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) pair ke momentum aur potential trend reversals ko insights dete hain. Agar pair apne 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, to yeh bearish outlook ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, agar RSI oversold conditions dikhata hai, to yeh potential reversal ya kam se kam temporary bounce ka indication de sakta hai.

### Market Sentiment and Speculation

Market sentiment, jo investor perceptions aur speculative activities se driven hota hai, bhi crucial role play karta hai. Traders aksar commitment of traders (COT) reports dekhte hain market positioning gauge karne ke liye. Agar short positions ka significant build-up hota hai, to yeh overcrowded trade aur potential short squeeze ka indication ho sakta hai, jo sharp upward movement ka sabab ban sakta hai.

### Conclusion

Jabke GBP/USD pair filhal bearish trend mein hai, lekin kai factors aane wale dinon mein significant movement contribute kar sakte hain. Economic data releases, central bank policies, political developments, aur technical indicators sab potential volatility ko suggest karte hain. Traders ko in elements ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur market conditions ke rapid changes ke liye prepared rehna chahiye. Pair ka downward trajectory continue hota hai ya reversal hota hai, yeh in factors ke unfold hone par depend karega. Informed aur adaptable rehna key hoga GBP/USD currency pair ke potential big movements ko navigate karne ke liye.

### Technical Analysis:

**Support aur Resistance Levels:**

- **Immediate Support:** GBP/USD pair ke liye immediate support level 1.2600 ke aas-paas hai. Agar pair is level ko breach karta hai, to yeh further bearish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai, jo zyada decline ka sabab ban sakta hai.

- **Key Resistance:** Upar ki taraf, pair 1.2750 ke aas-paas resistance face kar raha hai. Agar yeh resistance level break hota hai, to yeh recent downtrend ke reversal ka indication ho sakta hai, jo bullish traders ke liye target provide kar sakta hai.

### Trading Strategies:

#### **Bearish Traders ke Liye:**

1. **Resistance ke Near Sell Position:**
- **Entry Point:** Agar price 1.2750 ke resistance level ke paas aati hai aur usay break nahi karti, to sell position enter karen.
- **Stop-Loss:** Resistance level ke upar, 1.2780 ke aas-paas stop-loss place karen, taake breakout se bach sakein.
- **Target:** Initial targets 1.2600 ke aas-paas set karen. Agar yeh support breach hota hai, to next target 1.2500 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, jahan aur support mil sakti hai.

2. **Support ke Neeche Break:**
- **Entry Point:** Agar pair immediate support 1.2600 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to sell position enter karen, jo bearish continuation ko confirm karega.
- **Stop-Loss:** Breached support level ke upar, 1.2630 ke aas-paas stop-loss place karen.
- **Target:** Initial targets 1.2500 ke aas-paas set karen, aur agar bearish momentum barqarar rahta hai to 1.2400 ke taraf further decline ke liye prepare rahen.

#### **Bullish Traders ke Liye:**

1. **Support ke Near Buy Position:**
- **Entry Point:** Agar pair 1.2600 ke aas-paas support dhoondh raha hai aur bullish reversal ke signs dikhata hai, to buy position enter karen.
- **Stop-Loss:** Support level ke neeche, 1.2570 ke aas-paas stop-loss place karen, taake downside risk manage kiya ja sake.
- **Target:** Initial targets 1.2700 ke aas-paas set karen, aur agar bullish momentum continue karta hai to 1.2750 ke taraf further potential ke liye dekhte rahen.

2. **Resistance ke Upar Break:**
- **Entry Point:** Agar pair key resistance 1.2750 ke upar break karta hai, to buy position enter karen, jo trend reversal ka indication ho sakta hai.
- **Stop-Loss:** Broken resistance ke neeche, 1.2720 ke aas-paas stop-loss place karen.
- **Target:** Initial targets 1.2850 ke aas-paas set karen, aur agar bullish momentum barhta hai to 1.2900 ke taraf further gains ke liye prepare rahen.

### Conclusion:

GBP/USD pair ek crucial juncture par hai, jahan immediate support 1.2600 aur key resistance 1.2750 hai. Bearish traders ke liye, resistance level ko monitor karna aur support ke neeche break dekhna entry opportunities provide kar sakta hai. Bullish traders ke liye, support se bounce ya resistance ke upar break potential entry points offer karte hain. Chahe strategy kuch bhi ho, stop-loss orders ka use zaroori hai risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye. In technical levels ko carefully analyze kar ke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur market movements ko navigate kar sakte hain.

Sab ko acha mood ka salam!

4-hour chart par linear regression channel ki slope barh gayi hai, jo mujhe yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein ek strong buyer hai jo sellers par pressure daal raha hai. Yeh buying ke liye potential room ko darshata hai. Agar mein galat bhi hoon, to is case mein sell karna market trend ke khilaf ja sakta hai aur bade nuksan ka sabab ban sakta hai. Isliye, trend ke saath buy position lena zyada samajhdari ka kaam lagta hai.

Risk manage karne ke liye, ek stop order set karna zaroori hai jo potential losses ko limit kar sake agar market trading plan ke khilaf chalti hai. Is scenario mein, stop order ko entry point 1.28921 ke upar na rakhna behtar hoga. Mein plan kar raha hoon ke price jab channel ke bottom, yaani 1.28921 level par aaye, tab buy entry ke liye dekhoonga. Is buy ka target channel ke upper level par 1.29497 hoga.

Sell karna tabhi consider kiya jana chahiye jab channel ke upper edge par ho. Lekin purchases ko tab tak postpone karna chahiye jab tak ek correction nahi banti. 4-hour chart par linear regression channel abhi north ki taraf ja raha hai, jo buying opportunities dekhne ke idea ko reinforce karta hai.

Summary yeh hai ke 4-hour chart par linear regression channel ki increased slope market mein strong buyer presence ko darshati hai, jo buy opportunities dhoondhne ko suggest karti hai, na ke sell karne ko. Price ko 1.28921 level tak girne ka intezar karte hue aur stop order set kar ke, traders risk ko effectively manage kar sakte hain. Is buy ka target channel ke upper level par 1.29497 hoga. Sell tabhi consider kiya jana chahiye jab channel ke upper edge par ho, jab tak ek correction form nahi hoti purchases ko delay karna behtar hai.

### GBP/USD H-1

Is waqt GBP/USD pair 1.29832 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai H-1 chart par. Instaforex company ke indicator ke pehle hisse mein longs aur shorts ka proportion barabar hai, jahan longs 50.09% hai. Dusre hisse mein, indicator short-term upward trend ko dikhata hai. Agle hafte is pair se kya surprises mil sakte hain? Yeh UK ke kuch ahem aur interesting news releases par depend karega: CPI, inflation, unemployment aur retail sales. United States ke liye: initial jobless claims, Federal Reserve ke discussion leader Powell ki speech, core retail sales index, retail sales, crude oil inventories, manufacturing activity index, aur number of building permits issued.

Fundamental aur technical analysis dono ko mila kar kaam karna zaroori hai. Meri soch hai ke pair pehle south ki taraf correction dega aur 1.2810 ke level tak aayega, phir north ki taraf reverse ho kar 1.3120 ke level tak pohnch sakta hai. Har koi ko hunting mein achi luck ki dua!

### GBP/USD D-1

GBP/USD ne daily timeframe par zyada positive growth dekhi hai, jab ke EUR/USD sirf resistance zone ke kareeb hai. GBP ne already daily resistance 1.2860 ko break kar diya hai aur is waqt kehte hain ke is ke paas reserves hain. Lekin iska overbought level bhi high hai (RSI indicator ke mutabiq 80 se zyada). GBP/USD ne is saal ke sabse ucha points ko break kiya hai. Ab main expect karta hoon ke pair flat correction dekhega, jo overbought conditions ko "eliminate" karega aur broken resistance levels ko dobara test karega. Phir iski north ki taraf climbing continue hogi.

Pound ka weekly chart dekhtay hue, is hafte price ne formed gap ko close karne ke baad north ki taraf impulsive push dekha, jis se ek aur bullish candle bani, jo asani se resistance level ko break karte hue confidently us se upar close ho gayi. Mere markings ke mutabiq, yeh resistance level 1.28938 par tha, aur price ne is ke qareeb close kiya, jo ke mere markings ke mutabiq 1.29956 par hai. Agle hafte, mujhe pura yaqeen hai ke yeh resistance level ka retest ho sakta hai, jahan do scenarios ho sakte hain.

Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karte hue north ki taraf move kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price resistance level 1.31424 ki taraf barhegi. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup ka intezar karunga jo aage ki trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Zaroori hai ke main yeh bhi consider karun ke price further north ki taraf resistance level 1.32983 tak bhi push ho sakti hai, lekin yeh situation aur news flow par depend karega, aur price ka reaction is further northern target ke liye dekhna padega.

Resistance level 1.29956 ke qareeb price movement ke liye ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke reversal candle banaye aur southern movement resume ho. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price correction ke doran support level 1.28938 ya 1.28604 ki taraf pullback karegi. Is support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals ka intezar karunga, ummed hai ke upward price movement resume hogi. Haan, ek aur possibility yeh bhi hai ke price more distant southern target, jo mere markings ke mutabiq 1.27399 par hai, tak pohnch sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh plan implement hota hai, to main is support level ke qareeb bullish signals dhundhta rahunga aur upward price movement ki ummed rakhoonga.

Mukhtasir mein, agle hafte, main price ke nearest resistance level tak retracement ke possibilities ko consider karta hoon. Agar buyers is level ke upar consolidate karte hain, to main apne target ko zyada distant northern targets ki taraf adjust karunga.

GBP/USD D-1

Hello, forum members and traders!

Trading week khatam ho chuki hai aur ab hum pound/dollar pair ke results ko summarize kar sakte hain. Daily chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain ke teen lambi sabz daily candles dekhi gayi hain, jo yeh indicate karti hain ke pound/dollar pair market open hone ke baad corrective decline mein ja sakti hai. Aam tor par teen green candles ke baad corrective decline hoti hai. Daily chart par ek side wedge ya price triangle jo ke north ki taraf break hua tha, ab ek ascending price channel bana hai, jisme British pound 1.2988 par trade kar raha hai. Ab price trend line se door chal gayi hai aur thoda sa corrective decline hone ki sambhavna hai, jo ke lagbhag 1.2950 ya 1.2960 tak ho sakta hai, jahan se main rebound aur continued growth expect kar raha hoon. Local maximum jo pichle summer ka hai, 1.3130 tak pohanchne ki umeed hai. Hum is taraf confident pace se barh rahe hain.

GBP/USD H-1

Pound/dollar pair ke market trading ko analyse karte hue, humne daily chart dekha aur ab H1 chart par nazar daalte hain. Hourly timeframe par, sellers ke teen unsuccessful attempts ke baad local minimum 1.2620 ko push karne ki, ek rebound mila aur pound/dollar pair mein confident growth aayi hai aur ek ascending price channel bana hai, jisme pair trade ho raha hai. Friday ki trading 1.2988 par complete hui, jo ke ascending price channel ki upper border par hai. Is wajah se, resistance line se rebound hone ki sambhavna hai aur bears trend line ko target kar sakte hain, jo ke northern channel ke andar 1.2950 ke aas-paas intersect karega.

### GBP/USD H-1 Time Frame Chart

GBP/USD ke H1 time frame chart ko analyse karte hain. Daily chart ka jaiza lene ke baad, ab hum H1 chart dekhte hain. Hourly time frame par, bechne walon ne 1.2620 ke local low ko todne ki teen bar koshish ki, jo ke naakam rahi. Iske baad, ek rebound mila aur GBP/USD ne confident growth ki taraf move kiya aur ek ascending price channel banaya, jismein pair trade ho raha hai. Friday ke trade ka end 1.2988 par hua, jo ke ascending price channel ke upper border ke paas hai. Isse ye lagta hai ke resistance line se ek rebound ho sakta hai aur bears shayad trend line ko target karenge jo northern channel ke andar 1.2950 ke aas-paas intersect hoti hai.

### GBP/USD Daily Time Frame Chart

Daily chart ke hawale se kehna mushkil hai ke kon sahi hai aur kon nahi. Main technique dekh raha tha, aur technique kaafi bearish thi, lekin ab hum reversal levels ko aise paar kar rahe hain jaise wo maujood hi nahi hain. Lagta hai ke inflation cut hone ki speculation hai, ya phir shayad market ne already US interest rates ko price in kar liya hai. Koi insider speculation kar raha hai itna accha, ke bears ne already move kar liya hai, aur ab bulls ka waqt aa gaya hai. Humein sirf upcoming movement ko technique ke base par predict karna hai, lekin serious log market ko chalate hain aur unhe hamari technique ki parwaah nahi hai. Unke dimaag mein kya chal raha hai, ye kisi ko nahi pata. Main technique ke north movement ke continuation se agree karta hoon, jahan primary target ab monthly resistance zone ke upper line ke paas 1.31309 hai. Yahi jagah hai jahan aap sales plan kar sakte hain, lekin ye meri personal opinion hai.

### GBP/USD Analysis

Market ab stable hai, aur agle hafte 200-SMA ka 1.2650 ke upar cross hone ka imkaan hai, jo 1.2715 ke aas-paas buyers ki strength ko barha sakta hai. 1.2625 ke lower channel se, price monetary policy announcement ke baad turant barhne ki umeed hai. 45% retracement tak 1.2740 tak ki move traders ke liye naye momentum ka shuruat kar sakti hai. Price action 1.2700 par downward raha hai, aur 100-day moving average 1.3475 par hold kar raha hai. Lekin, negative convergence sellers ko 1.3600 channel ki taraf push karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Halankeh 38.8% Fibonacci retracement level strong momentum ko indicate karta hai, lekin local momentum short-term ho sakta hai. Bollinger Band indicator aur MACD midline ke upar bullish move ki suggestion dete hain, positive range 1.3680 aur 1.3700 ke beech.

### 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis

4-hour time frame mein, recent candles ek descending wedge pattern bana rahe hain, jo sellers ko price ko 1.2635 tak push karne ka suggestion deta hai. Buyers ke interest rates current bearish forces ko counter kar rahe hain. Bearish MACD aur RSI jo neutral se bearish territory mein shift ho rahe hain, MACD ka 30 ke aas-paas hona bearish solid momentum ko indicate karta hai. Sellers ko 40% reverse divergence point par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki is point ko todne se downside momentum barh sakta hai. Oversold environment profit-taking ke liye opportunities present karta hai, khas taur par pivot points ko target karke.

4-hour chart mein, descending wedge pattern aur 1.2790 tak push hone ki potential bearish outlook ko indicate karti hai. 200-SMA ko 1.2685 par aur resistance ko 1.2765 par monitor karna bulls aur bears dono ke liye critical hoga. MACD aur RSI indicators bearish sentiment ko reinforce karte hain, aur potential pullbacks 1.2760 ke aas-paas selling opportunities de sakte hain.

### GBP/USD Analysis

British pound apni taqat dikhate hue kamzor hotay US dollar ke muqable mein barh raha hai, jo ke September mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke faislay se investor confidence ke barhne ke sabab hai. Yeh bullish sentiment tab bhi barqarar hai jab ke US mein producer price inflation ke readings ummed se zyada garam hain. US dollar ko broad-based selling pressure ka samna hai, kyun ke investors ka yeh maanna hai ke Fed September mein interest rates kam kar sakti hai. Yeh optimism wholesale price inflation ke recent jump ko overshadow kar raha hai, jo future consumer inflation par asar daal sakta hai, jo ke Fed ka main inflation gauge hai.

Core US wholesale inflation June ke liye ghaflata se 3.0% tak barh gayi hai, jabke forecasts 2.5% thi. Is ke ilawa, pichle mahine ke data ko revise karke 2.6% kar diya gaya hai, jabke pehle 2.3% estimate thi. Yeh data future consumer inflation ke baare mein concerns ko barha sakta hai, jo Fed ke liye ek key metric hai.

Market abhi bhi purani consumer price inflation (CPI) ke kam reading par zyada focus kar rahi hai. Yeh nayi umeed ke sath, CME ke FedWatch tool ke zariye September mein quarter-point cut ki possibility indicate ki gayi hai, jo pound ki rise ko drive kar raha hai. Agar GBP/USD pair par upward pressure barqarar raha, to yeh recently defined resistance zone ko breach kar sakta hai, jo ke 3-month highs (1.2816) aur December 2023 high (1.2859) ke darmiyan hai. Ek decisive breakout se 2024 high 1.2892 ki taraf climb karna mumkin hai. Agar pair is resistance zone ke upar sustain nahi kar pati, to yeh July 2023 ke resistance level 1.2994 ki taraf retreat kar sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, broader decline ke dauran April ke resistance level 1.2708 par support mil sakta hai. Aur bhi neeche, June aur March ke lows (1.2620-1.2598) ek buffer zone ka kaam de sakte hain. February ka low (1.2517) significant drop ke case mein ultimate safety net ho sakta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair abhi bullish run par hai, jo 2024 ke highs ko reclaim karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Lekin, agar resistance zone ke upar decisive breakout nahi hota, to pullback dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Aane wale hafton mein is currency pair ke direction ka faisla hoga. Additionally, ghaflati economic data ya geopolitical events investor sentiment ko shift kar sakte hain aur GBP/USD pair ke trajectory ko impact kar sakte hain.

British pound ab apni taqat dikhate hue kamzor hotay US dollar ke muqablay mein barh raha hai, jo ke September mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke ummeed se hai. Yeh bullish sentiment tab bhi barqarar hai jab ke US mein producer price inflation ke readings ummed se zyada garam hain. US dollar ko broad-based selling pressure ka samna hai kyun ke investors ka yeh maanna hai ke Fed September mein interest rates kam kar sakti hai. Yeh optimism wholesale price inflation ke recent jump ko overshadow kar raha hai, jo future mein Fed ke main inflation gauge ko impact kar sakta hai.

Core US wholesale inflation June ke liye ghaflata se 3.0% tak barh gayi hai, jabke forecasts 2.5% thi. Is ke ilawa, pichle mahine ke data ko revise karke 2.6% kar diya gaya hai, jabke pehle 2.3% estimate thi. Yeh data future consumer inflation ke baare mein concerns ko barha sakta hai, jo Fed ke liye ek key metric hai.

Market abhi bhi purani consumer price inflation (CPI) ke kam reading par zyada focus kar rahi hai. Yeh nayi umeed ke sath, CME ke FedWatch tool ke zariye September mein quarter-point cut ki possibility indicate ki gayi hai, jo pound ki rise ko drive kar raha hai. Agar GBP/USD pair par upward pressure barqarar raha, to yeh recently defined resistance zone ko breach kar sakta hai, jo ke 3-month highs (1.2816) aur December 2023 high (1.2859) ke darmiyan hai. Ek decisive breakout se 2024 high 1.2892 ki taraf climb karna mumkin hai. Agar pair is resistance zone ke upar sustain nahi kar pati, to yeh July 2023 ke resistance level 1.2994 ki taraf retreat kar sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, broader decline ke dauran April ke resistance level 1.2708 par support mil sakta hai. Aur bhi neeche, June aur March ke lows (1.2620-1.2598) ek buffer zone ka kaam de sakte hain. February ka low (1.2517) significant drop ke case mein ultimate safety net ho sakta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair abhi bullish run par hai, jo 2024 ke highs ko reclaim karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Lekin, agar resistance zone ke upar decisive breakout nahi hota, to pullback dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Aane wale hafton mein is currency pair ke direction ka faisla hoga. Additionally, ghaflati economic data ya geopolitical events investor sentiment ko shift kar sakte hain aur GBP/USD pair ke trajectory ko impact kar sakte hain.

Good morning. Lagta hai ke buyers abhi bhi apni growth ko rokne ke liye tayyar nahi hain. Kal unhone 1.29950 ke level ke qareeb actively trade kiya, aur agar agle hafte is level ko tod kar stabilize karna mumkin ho gaya, to hum 1.31417 ke level ki taraf upward movement dekh sakte hain. Abhi ke liye, sellers ke paas entry points dekhne ke liye kuch nahi hai, kyunki upward trend non-reversal hai, aur humein ek reversal structure ka formation dekhna hoga taake hum correction mein enter kar sakein. Market ko reverse karne ke liye Dollar ke favor mein koi strong news ki zaroorat hai, lekin ab tak har news ke saath Dollar market mein girta hi ja raha hai.

**GBP/USD H4 Chart Analysis:**

1. **Pound Pair Movement:** 4-hour chart par Pound pair actively upper band ke sath move kar raha hai, jabke upper band abhi bhi outward open hai, jo ke price growth ke continuation ka signal deta hai. Humein dekhna hoga ke kya yeh signal further develop hota hai ya nahi. Agar fractals ko evaluate karein, to price ne July 27, 2023 ke fractal level ke qareeb approach kiya hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai aur consolidate hota hai, to agla target price growth ke liye July 18, 2023 ka fractal 1.31151 hoga. Abhi tak koi new fractal down form nahi hui hai, aur price fall ke direction mein kuch dekhne ke liye humein ek closer fractal ka intezaar karna hoga.

2. **AO Indicator:** AO indicator positive area mein increase form kar raha hai, aur ek new maximum form hua hai. Yeh clear nahi hai ke pehla peak kab form hoga, aur yeh price growth ke continue hone ki baat karta hai agle hafte.

Is analysis ke madde nazar, GBP/USD ki bullish trend continue hoti nazar aa rahi hai. Lekin, sellers ke liye koi clear entry point nahi hai jab tak ek reversal structure nahi banta. Market mein further movement dekhne ke liye news aur technical indicators dono ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

Aap profit kama rahe hain ya ab bhi losses ka saamna kar rahe hain, jo bhi aapke results hain, apne confidence ko barqarar rakhein aur mehnat karte rahain taake aapke results waqt ke sath behtar aur consistent ho sakein. Ab chaliye GBP/USD currency pair ki movement par nazar daalte hain. Technically, is pair ka trend clearly bullish hai, kyunki price 50-period moving average ke upar hai. Ye bullish trend is baat se bhi support hoti hai ke price daily pivot point level 1.26893 ke upar hai. Is analytical data aur supporting factors ko dekhte hue, mere khayal se abhi ka behtareen trading option buy karna hai, jiska target range 1.2670 se 1.2693 ke beech, resistance levels ek aur do ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Mujhe ummeed hai ke ye analysis aapki madad karega.

GBP/USD ka bullish trend kai technical indicators se support hota hai. Pehli baat, 50-period moving average ek ahem support level hai, jo indicate karta hai ke pair uptrend mein hai. Jab price is moving average ke upar hoti hai, to ye strong buying interest aur sustained upward momentum ka signal hota hai. Iske ilawa, price ka daily pivot point 1.2653 ke upar hona bhi bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Pivot points potential support aur resistance levels determine karne mein important hote hain, aur jab price pivot ke upar hoti hai, to ye generally bullish outlook ko indicate karta hai.

Current market conditions aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, GBP/USD ko buy karna sabse prudent strategy lagti hai. Target ko resistance levels 1.2739 aur 1.2693 ke beech set kiya ja sakta hai, jo clear profit potential offer karte hain. Ye resistance levels recent price action aur historical data se derive kiye gaye hain, jo ye suggest karte hain ke price yahan selling pressure ka samna kar sakti hai. Lekin, agar bullish momentum continue hoti hai, to ye levels breach ho sakte hain, leading to higher prices. Traders ko in levels ko monitor karna chahiye aur apni strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye.

Market sentiment, economic data, aur geopolitical events bhi GBP/USD pair ke movement ko impact kar sakte hain. Maslan, US ya Japan se positive economic indicators pair ke bullish trend ko strengthen kar sakte hain. Similarly, geopolitical stability ya instability currency movements par significant impact daal sakti hai. Isliye, jab technical analysis trading decisions ke liye strong foundation provide karti hai, broader market conditions ke bare mein informed rehna bhi equally important hai.

Current technical analysis ke madde nazar, GBP/USD bullish trend show kar raha hai, price 50-period moving average aur daily pivot point 1.2673 ke upar hai. Recommended trading strategy buy karna hai, target resistance levels 1.2647 aur 1.2684 ke beech. Technical analysis ko market conditions ke sath combine karke, traders apne decision-making process ko enhance kar sakte hain aur behtar trading outcomes achieve kar sakte hain. Mehnat karte rahiye, knowledge gain karte rahiye, aur aapki trading successes continue rahein.

Subah bakhair doston. Lagta hai buyers apni growth ki pursuit mein lagatar hain. Kal unhone confidently 1.29950 level ke qareeb pohnch gaya, aur agar next week is level ko breach kar ke foothold banane mein kamiyab rahe, to hum 1.31417 mark tak upward momentum dekh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, sellers ke paas abhi sales ke liye entry points dhoondhne ka zaroori leverage nahi hai, kyunki upward trend lagatar barqarar hai. Market ko reverse dekhne ke liye, Dollar ke favor mein koi strong news ki zaroorat hogi, lekin filhal har news item Dollar ko puri market mein niche push kar rahi hai.

GBP/USD pair ka 4-hour chart par, price actively upper band ke saath move kar rahi hai, jabke upper band bhi open hai, jo potential price growth ka signal deta hai. Is situation mein, humein dekhna hoga ke ye signal aage bhi develop hota hai ya nahi. Current market situation price growth ke liye ek opportunity provide kar rahi hai, jiska agla target July 18, 2023 ka fractal level 1.31151 hai, provided ke current resistance ko overcome kiya jaye aur market consolidate ho.

Lekin, abhi tak ek naya downward fractal nahi bana hai, aur price decline ke direction par rely karne se pehle, aise pattern ke emergence ka intezar karna behtar hoga. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator positive area mein increase show kar raha hai, aur ek naya maximum form ho raha hai, halankeh pehle peak ka timing abhi clear nahi hai. Ye suggest karta hai ke price growth agle hafte bhi continue ho sakti hai.

Isliye, trading chart par GBP/USD ka trend bullish lag raha hai, aur agar current resistance ko breach karne mein kamiyabi milti hai, to agla target 1.31151 ho sakta hai. Lekin, downward fractal formation ka intezar zaroori hai taake price decline ke liye accurate direction mil sake. Awesome Oscillator ki positive growth bhi price growth ko support kar rahi hai, jo agle hafte ke liye optimistic outlook ko suggest karta hai.