gbp/usd

Discussion iss waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis kar rahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair sirf decline karega, minor upward pullbacks ko nazarandaaz karte hue. Daily pivot 1.2640 tak retracement ke baad, main sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon, aur mera target aaj ka support 1.2562 hai. Agar yeh main level breakout ho gaya aur consolidation ho gayi to outlook change ho sakta hai, lekin price ne abhi tak koi strong inclination nahi dikhayi. GBP/USD ne downward move exhibit kiya jo Tuesday ko expected tha. Kal mujhe is outcome par doubt tha aur main ne potential rebound ka socha tha jo zyada extended periods ke liye ho sakta tha, jo ek developing pattern ko indicate kar raha tha. Lekin ek aur scenario emerge hua, jis se mujhe movement capitalize karne ka moka mila, aur 30 points gain karne ke baad main exit kar gaya. Kyun ke mujhe 26th figure ke breakdown ka andaza nahi tha, is liye kal ka din unproductive raha, koi significant market reactions nahi hue. Aaj, Asian session ne ek upward flicker dikhayi hai, jo main monitor kar raha hoon. Din ke andar ek rebound ka chance lagta hai agar minimum ko dekha jaye. Yeh mera primary expectation hai pehle half of the day ke GBP/USD market abhi resistance aur support ke darmiyan mojood hai, aur dono taraf breakout naye trends sthapit kar sakte hain. Market apne ban rahe aur barhte hue trends ka istemal karne ki consistent respect trader ke liye ek aitmaad afzai nishani hai. Agar market 1.2585 ke ooper break karta hai, to yeh 1.2570 par support aur resistance sthapit karega. Yeh tajziya H4 time frame ke liye tayyar kiya gaya hai.

H4 chart ke technicals ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair bearish trend mein hai lekin 1.2748 ke resistance ko todkar guzarne ki koshish kar raha hai. Har koshish nakam ho gayi hai, jis se market support level par palat gaya hai. Market trend ka intezaar hai ke jab tak 1.2668 ke support level par inkaar na mile, bearish rehne ka intezaar hai. Is natije mein market trend side mein rehne ki umeed hai, jo technical ilm rakne walo ke liye faidemand aur munafa bakhsh ho sakta hai.

Good morning. Abhi pound 1.30 level ko test kar raha hai. Agar buyers is level ko hold kar sakain, to wo ek aur growth wave banane ki koshish karain ge. Is surat mein pehla target kal ka maximum 1.30436 hoga. Agar isay actively break karne aur consolidate karne mein kamiyaab ho jain, to hum 1.31417 level ki taraf movement expect kar saktay hain.

Koi bhi correction form karne ke liye, theoretically sellers ko 1.29653 level ko break aur consolidate karna hoga. Agar yeh karne mein kamiyaab ho jatay hain, to price 1.29375 level tak gir sakti hai. Agar yeh level bhi le liya jata hai, to girawat 1.28979 level ki taraf develop ho sakti hai.

GBPUSD H4:
1: Pound 4-hour chart par upper band ke sath movement ki koshish ke baad central area of the bands tak wapas aaya. Price ko grow karne ka naya signal lene ke liye humein upper band ke beyond ek active exit ka wait karna hoga aur phir dekhna hoga ke bands actively outward open hotay hain ya nahi. Agar hum fractals se situation evaluate karain, to price grow karne ka target nearest fractal upwards hai; iska breakout aur consolidation price ko July 18, 2023 ke fractal 1.31251 ki taraf le jane ki ijazat dega. Price girne ka target nearest fractal downward hai; agar iska active breakout aur consolidation hota hai, to movement July 16 ke fractal 1.29375 tak continue ho sakti hai.

2: AO indicator ne positive area mein damping form karni shuru ki hai; agar hum zero mark ki taraf zyada active movement dekhte hain, to humare paas price girne ka stronger signal hoga. Positive zone mein naya increase quotes ke grow hone ka signal dega.

GBP/USD Pair ki Technical Analysis
4-Hour Chart

Aane wale ghanton mein pair ke price mein mazeed girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Price is hafte ascending price channels ke andar trade kar rahi thi, jo ke pichle do hafton mein price movement ka direction dikhata hai. Price hafte ke beech tak channels ke andar upar ki taraf chal rahi thi, jahan ek peak bani, phir ek bottom, aur phir ek aur peak channel lines ke sath. Lekin aakhri girawat ke dauran, pair ne channels ko neeche break kar diya.

Price weekly pivot level tak gir gayi, jo ke price ko upar lana chahiye tha, lekin pivot level pichle candle ke dauran break ho gaya aur current candle weekly pivot level ke neeche settle ho gayi.

Isliye, current trading advice yeh hai ke current level se sell karein aur weekly support level 1.2844 tak trade karein, aur stop loss level pichle candle ke highest price ke upar set karein.

Economic side par, traders ne Bank of England se August mein interest rates cut karne ki ummeedon ko kam kar diya hai latest economic data ke baad.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq... June mein inflation rate 2% par stabilize ho gaya, jabke expectations thi ke yeh 1.9% tak slow hoga, aur services inflation kam nahi hui aur 5.7% par stabilize ho gayi, jo ke Bank of England ke 5.1% ke expectations se zyada hai. Central bank ke August mein rate cut ke bets 49% se gir kar 33% par aa gaye hain CPI release ke baad. Is waqt, wage growth 5.7% tak slow ho gaya, jo ke 2022 ke baad se lowest level hai, lekin ab bhi high level par hai. Unemployment rate 2021 ke highest level 4.4% par stabilize ho gaya. Pichle haftay, Bank of England ke chief economist Hugh Bell ne confirm kiya ke service price inflation aur wage growth ab bhi strong hain.

GBP/USD ne Thursday ko ek choti si bearish correction face ki aur ascending trendline ko test kiya. Halanki, current situation aisi hai ke price trendline ke around kisi bhi tarah react kar sakti hai, lekin sab se zyada mumkinat yeh hai ke British currency mein ek nayi udaan dekhne ko mile. Yeh note karne ki baat hai ke pichle kuch mahino mein, hourly timeframe par paanch ya chhe ascending trendlines bani hain. Har baar jab price aise kisi line ke neeche settle hui, ek downward trend follow nahi hui. Isliye, ab trendline ke neeche consolidation ka matlab yeh nahi ke downtrend shuru hoga.
Kal, UK mein unemployment aur wages ke data publish hue. Lagbhag saare reports forecast values se match kar rahe the, isliye market ka reaction in reports par chhota tha, aur din ki overall volatility bhi lagbhag 50 pips thi. British pound achi positions par bana hua hai, aur abhi yeh kehna mushkil hai ke kya market ko pound bechne ke liye provoke kar sakta hai. Saath hi, pound ki girawat sab se zyada logical development hai. Trend change ke clear signals zaroori hain. Price ne 5-minute timeframe par koi trading signals form nahi kiye. Lagbhag chhe ya saat ghante tak, pair 1.2980-1.2993 ke support area ke around niche chal raha tha. Price ne is area ko overcome kiya, to din ke end tak, novice traders ko ek sell signal mila. Traders is signal ko late hour ke bawajood execute kar sakte hain, kyunki ab signal par rely karna ya pair ke ek din mein pehle target tak pahunchne ki umeed karna mushkil hai.

Trading Tips on Friday:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD downtrend form karne ke promising signs dikhata hai, lekin local upward trend ab bhi intact hai. Pair bullish bias dikhata hai aur illogical movements continue kar raha hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ne apne latest local high ko paar kar liya hai aur fundamental backdrop ko ignore karta rehta hai. Market bhi almost kisi bhi report ko British currency kharidne ke excuse ke tor par use karta hai.

Friday ko, pound sterling apni downward movement extend karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, kyunki pair ne 1.2980-1.2993 area ko overcome kiya hai. Halanki, pound se ek tez girawat ki umeed nahi hai.

5M chart par key levels hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145. Aaj, UK retail sales report publish karega, jo ke din ka ek matra thoda important event hai. Agar pichle kuch dino mein strong movements nahi dekhe, jab macroeconomic background zyada strong tha, to Friday ko bhi aise movements dekhne ki ummeed kam hai.

Fundamental Analysis
Friday ke London session mein, pound sterling (GBP) apne zyadatar rivals ke muqablay mein girawat ka shikaar raha. United Kingdom (UK) ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ne June ke liye retail sales ke lower-than-expected statistics release kiye, jis se British pound mein aur girawat aayi. Data ke mutabiq, monthly retail sales 1.2% ki tez raftar se kam hui, jabke analysts ne 0.4% decrease ki prediction ki thi, jo ke May ke 2.9% rise se mukablay mein thi. Retail shop revenues annually 0.2% kam hue, jabke projected growth rate bhi itni hi thi. Har merchant ki sales revenues mein shiddat se girawat aayi, sivaaye un merchants ke jo car ke liye gasoline bechte hain.

Retail sales mein significant drop, jo ke consumer spending ka ek crucial indicator hai, yeh darshata hai ke log Bank of England (BoE) ke barhaye gaye interest rates se adjust karne mein pareshani ka shikaar hain. BoE ke August rate reductions ke ghanto ki wajah se, log shayad apne barhaye gaye interest payments se bach nahi paenge.

Service sector mein lagatar inflation aur US core Consumer Price Index (CPI) ki stickiness ki wajah se, BoE policymakers policy normalization ki taraf move support karne se hesitant hain. Jabke yeh chal raha hai, BoE rate reduction ke August mein expectation, Average Earnings data ke anticipated slowdown se nahi badh rahi, jo pay growth aur service inflation ko drive karta hai. Yeh development isliye hai ke current growth pace abhi bhi woh level se zyada hai jo price pressures ko control karne ke liye zaroori hai.

1H Chart

Technical Analysis

Pound sterling ne jaldi se correction ki aur 1.2930 ke aas-paas US dollar ke muqablay mein close hua. GBP/USD pair ki girawat dekhne ko mili kyunki upward momentum Wednesday ke naye saal ke high 1.3044 ke baad falter ho gaya. Daily chart par, Cable ne bearish Belt Hold candlestick pattern create kiya, jo aksar substantial advance ke baad hota hai. Lekin yeh khud se bearish reversal ko prove nahi karta.

Uptrend intact hai based on 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upward slope ke saath, jo 1.2850 ke aas-paas hai. Thoda overbought hone ke baad, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) gir gaya hai aur 60.00 ke aas-paas support paane ki ummeed hai. Positivity ke liye, Cable ka crucial resistance zone two-year high ke aas-paas hoga, jo ke 1.3140 ke nazdeek hai. Pichla resistance level, March 8 high 1.2900, pound sterling ke bulls ke liye crucial support banega.

GBP/USD ki keemat ka jaiza lena

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ki real-time keemat ka tajziya karte hain. GBP/USD ka primary trend upward hai, lekin M15 chart par, sellers ne 1.2992 ke high se downward move shuru kiya aur 1.2949 ke bearish start line tak pohanch gaye. Aaj, is level ko phir se tor diya gaya, aur agar sellers iske neeche consolidate kar lete hain, to wo downward momentum ko 1.2934 aur 1.2906 ke first impulse zones tak barhane mein kamyab ho sakte hain, jahan se potential growth attempts ho sakti hain. GBP/USD ke liye qareebi significant resistance 1.2964 hai, jo sellers ke liye zyada critical nahi hai. Bulls sirf tab upward movement ka intezar kar sakte hain jab GBP/USD descending fan ke last corner aur resistance 1.2983 par stabilize hota hai. Sellers ke liye sabse zyada favourable conditions ke madde nazar, British pound ke liye 29th figure se jaldi exit mushkil hai. Lekin hafta abhi shuru hua hai, aur market dynamics tabdeel ho sakte hain.

Is subah, price ne upar move karne ki koshish ki, jo ascending channel ke upper border ki taraf doosri approach ka ishara deta hai. Lekin price ne reverse kiya aur downward jaari raha. Price neeche jaari rahega, shayad ascending channel ke lower border 1.2919 tak pohanch jaye. Is lower level tak pohanchne par, pair shayad apni decline roke, reverse kare, aur upper limit of the ascending channel 1.3060 ko target kare. Pehle, maine British pound ke four-hour chart ka tajziya kiya tha, aur ab mein M30 chart ka analysis karna chahta hoon. Ascending price channel ko half an hour mein tor diya gaya, jo local maximum 1.2989 se rebound ke baad hua. Iske baad, British pound corrective decline mein chala gaya, aur is analysis ke likhte waqt pound/dollar pair 1.2952 par trade kar raha tha. Ek support line se rebound hua hai, jo technically corrective growth ka ishara deta hai.
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GBP/USD PAIR REVIEW
GBP/USD pair ki tafseeli jayeza ke mutabiq, doosre din bhi British pound ke maqviye dollar ke khilaaf ek nichle correction raste par chal raha hai jisme nuqsan 1.2923 tak pohanch gaya hai jab yeh analysis likhi ja rahi hai. Is haftay ke trading mein is ne 1.3044 tak bulandiyon ko chhua, jo ek saal ki unchi darjat thi. Us waqt, seedha trading recommendations page ke zariye maine bechnay ki tajweez ki thi. Intezar karen. Bechne ke amal se munafa hasil karne ke liye. Sterling dollar ke haal ki mazeed izafey ne is waqt traders ko yeh kheyal dilwaya hai ke Bank of England August mein interest rates kam karne ki umeedon ko kam kar raha hai baad az latest economic data ke.

Tajarbati calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq... Muashyati tabdeeli June mein 2% par mustahkam hui, jis ke mawafiq 1.9% tak kam hone ki umeedain thi, aur khidmatat muashyati ghata nahi aur 5.7% par mustahkam hui, jo ke Bank of England ki 5.1% ki umeedon se zyada thi. Markazi bank ke interest rate kam karne par shartain 33% tak gir gaee hain, jin ke pehle Consumer Price Index ke baad 49% thay. Isi doran, mazduri mein izafa 5.7% tak ghata, jo 2022 ke sab se kam level tha, lekin phir bhi aala level par qaim raha. Berozgar ki sharah 2021 ke sab se oonchi 4.4% par mustahkam hui.

Forex market trading ke mutabiq... Abhi jari hue mazduri data ne August mein interest rate cut ke leye koi mukammal saboot nahi diya, lekin sterling dollar ka ooper ki taraf rawaiya euro aur dollar ke khilaf jamawar halat mein daakhil ho sakta hai. Sterling euro ke exchange rate ne khabron ke baad 1.19 ke level se nicha gir gaya, jab ke sterling dollar ke exchange rate ne haal ke izafey ko kam kiya aur thoda sa 1.30 ke uper qaim raha.

Britain ke Office for National Statistics ke mutabiq, mukhtalif mazdooron ke average regular income mein saalana izafah (bonus ke baghair) 5.7% tak pohanch gaya, jo ke expected mutabiq tha. Jab ke bonus shamil karne par bhi yeh raqam 5.7% rahi, jaisa ke umeed thi. Forex foreign exchange market ka reaction kamzor tha kyunki data market ki expectations ko pura karta tha. Hum yakeenan samajhte hain ke sterling ke liye new highs tak pohanchne ke liye expectations ko bara beat hona chahiye, sterling rally ke pehle se zyada khareeda hua haalat ki wajah se.

Haqeeqat mein, report se pehle sterling ke liye nuqsanat ke rujhan thay, aur thora sa kam hona bhi July ki rally mein munafa hasal karne par munawwir hota. Advertisement ke mutabiq, Britain mein mazduri dar mein May ke teen mahine mein 19 hazar izafah hua, jo ke market ki 18 hazar ki umeed se thora zyada tha. Is ne berozgar ki sharah ko 4.4% par mustahkam kiya, jaisa ke umeed tha.

Mazdoori market ki paigham wazeh hai: berozgari dar daraz hai, aur mazduri bohat zyada hai ke Bank of England ko apni 2% target ko mustaqil tor par poora karne ke liye. Yaqeenan, hum ne do maheenon tak dekha hai ke headline inflation 2.0% tak pohanch gaya hai, lekin economists muttafiq hain ke ab mazduri izafey ke sabab inflation phir se izafa karne lagega jis se business margins par dabao aur maqami mazid tawun ko barqarar rakhega.

Ghareeb GBP exchange rates ki tarah, GBP/USD pair RSI 70 se zyada hone ke wajah se overbought halat mein hai aur aik pullback ya consolidation mumkin hai.

Abhi bhi kuch "aasanay" ke isharye hain, Office for National Statistics ne kaha hai ke UK ki job vacancies ki tadad ek quarter mein 3.3% gir gayi hai. Job vacancies ab do saal se kam horahi hain, lekin pehle se zyada pre-pandemic levels par hain. Kuch economists is ko market mein izafa ke saboot ke tor par zikar karenge. Magar, hum ne mahinon se ye dawa suni hai aur job vacancies mein girawat ab tak woh sharaait paida nahi ki hai jo mazduri ke mazmoom dor aur Bank of England ko interest rate cuts ke liye dawat di.

Bank of England apne hisab se 1 August ko interest rates kam karne ki taraf ja raha hai bina "nafiz saboot" ke zarurat ke: khidmatat sector mein inflation bohat zyada hai, mazdoori market mazboot hai aur mazdoori bohat zyada hai. Aisi surat-e-hal mein interest rates kam karna ajeeb hoga aur bank ki aitimad par sawalat uthayenge. Market prices ab dikhate hain ke investors September ko rate cutting cycle ka aaghaz karne ke liye zyada moqadmat karte hain, lekin is ke liye zaroori hai ke August ke data mein zaroorat ke mutabiq slow hone ki tasdeeq ho.

Kul mila kar, pound Britain ke buland interest rates se supported rahega jo investors ko dosre jagah se zyada wapsi ki talash mein muntaqil karta hai.

Sterling dollar aaj ka tajziya:
Jaisa ke maine pehle kaha tha, manasib resistance 1.3000 pounds ke liye sab se ahem rahega jo bullish control mein GBP/USD currency pair ki manzil par asar andaz hoga, aur currency pair ke mojooda ooper ke channel ke banao par asar daalega support level 1.2820 ko toorna. Aaj sterling British retail sales numbers announce hone par react karega, aur koi ahem American data nahi hai.

British Pound ka haal kuch acha nahi raha Friday ko jab disappointing retail sales data release hua. Shuru mein Pound ne kaafi acha perform kiya tha against baaki currencies, lekin ONS (Office for National Statistics) ki report ke baad Pound kafi weak ho gaya. Data ne dikhaya ke June ke monthly retail sales mein 1.2% ki kami hui, jo ke expected 0.4% dip se kafi zyada hai aur peechle month ke 2.9% growth se bilkul opposite. Annual figures bhi achi nahi thi, retail store revenue mein 0.2% ki girawat hui jabke growth expect ki gayi thi. Motor fuel bechne walon ke ilawa sab retailers ne sales revenue mein tezi se girawat dekhi. Yeh data jo ke consumer spending ka ek key indicator hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke British households ko Bank of England ke recent interest rate hikes ka bohot asar ho raha hai. Is surat-e-haal ko aur mushkil banati hai August rate cut ke baray mein uncertainty. Log high interest rates se relief chahte hain, lekin Bank of England ke officials policy ko loose karne mein hesitant hain. Unka yeh stance inflation ke lack of progress ki wajah se hai, khas tor par US services sector mein jahan core CPI flat hai efforts ke bawajood.


Bank of England ke liye ek aur problem recent average earnings data hai May quarter ke liye. Yeh figure jo ke wage growth ka ek important measure hai jo inflation ko fuel karta hai services sector mein, yeh expected slowdown ke bawajood higher-than-expected growth dikhata hai. Yeh wage growth suggest karta hai ke inflation stubbornly high rahega aur policy normalization zaroori hai taake price pressures ko check kiya ja sake.
GBP/USD exchange rate ne Pound ke decline ko follow kiya, sharply girte hue around 1.2920 tak aa gaya. Yeh dip tab aya jab pair ne Wednesday ko ek new yearly high of 1.3044 touch kiya, jo ke uptrend mein pause ka signal de raha hai. Daily candlestick chart pe bearish belt pattern banne se bhi reversal ka hint mil raha hai, lekin trend mein definitive shift abhi confirm nahi hua kyunki 20-day EMA abhi bhi upward trajectory mein hai near 1.2850, jo ke uptrend ke intact hone ka ishara hai. Aage dekhte hue, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ko support milne ki umeed hai around 60.00 after slightly overbought levels se girne ke baad. Upar ki taraf, GBP/USD ko resistance face karna parega near two-year highs around 1.3140. Conversely, bulls ko support milega around March 8th high of 1.2900.

British Pound ki halat mein haal hi mein aik rukawat aa gayi jab Jumeraat ko naqabil-e-ittifaqi retail sales data jari hua. Aam tor par aksar currencyon ke muqablay mein pehle faiz haasil karne ke baad, Pound Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke report ke baad kafi kamzor ho gaya. Data ne bataya ke June mein maheenayana retail sales mein tezi se girawat aayi, jo ke 1.2% thi. Yeh numaindaanah 0.4% ke mutawaqqa girawat se kafi zyada thi aur is se pehle mahine ki 2.9% ki izafat se sakht mukhtalif thi. Saalana figures bhi pareshan kun thay, jahan retail store revenue 0.2% kam hui jabke umeedon ke khilaf izafat ka intezaar tha.

Ye kami aam taur par retail sectors mein thi, motor fuel sales ke alawah, jo ke consumer spending mein khalal ki nishani hai. Retail sales ka yeh girawat consumer spending ka aham numainda hai aur is se zahir hota hai ke British households Bank of England ke faiz daro'n ke hawale se jinsi tang dasti mehsoos kar rahe hain.

Maujooda maqami halaat August mein faiz daro'n mein kami ka aik sarmaya hai. Jabke individuals faiz daro'n se nijaat ki umeed rakhte hain, Bank of England policy mein rukh par sawaar hai, mukhtalif wajahon ke liye. Inflation jari rehne ke ba-wajood, khaas tor par US services sector mein jahan core CPI (Consumer Price Index) ko control karne ke liye koshish ki ja rahi hai, is liye.

Mukhtalif mamlat aur unki complication mein, taazi May quarter ke average earnings data ne ziada tawaan dikhaya. Is figure ke wage growth ke hawale se jo ke services sector mein inflation ki dabao'n ka asar dalta hai, wazeh hota hai ke inflation ziddi taur par buland reh sakta hai. Is natijay mein Bank of England ko inflation ko control karne ke liye apni policy normalisation ke aamal jari rakhna ho sakta hai.

Aakhir kar, Pound ki taazi harkat maqami aur global economic uncertainties ke darmiyan UK ke economic growth, inflation control aur monetary policy decisions ke darmiyan aik nazuk mawazan ko numayan karti hai.

GBP/USD ke exchange rate ne Pound ke girne ka tasawwur kiya, tezi se 1.2920 ke aas paas gir kar. Yeh giravat us waqt aayi jab pair ne Wednesday ko 1.3044 tak naye saalana urooj ko chhoo liya tha, jo ke up-trend mein aik rukh ki alamat samjha ja sakta hai. Daily candlestick chart par bearish belt pattern ki tashkeel is bare mein mazeed ishara deti hai. Lekin, trend mein aik wazeh tabdeeli abhi tak tasdeeq nahi hui hai jabke 20-day EMA 1.2850 ke qareeb apni uparward raftar jaari rakhta hai, jis se lagta hai ke up-trend abhi bhi barqarar ho sakta hai.

Agay ki taraf dekhte hue, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ki umeed hai ke wo 60.00 ke qareeb se support dhundhega, jabke thora sa overbought levels se nichay aane ke baad. Upar ki taraf, GBP/USD ke liye resistance 1.3140 ke qareeb do saal ke urooj par hai. Mukhalifat mein, bulls March 8th ke 1.2900 ke aas paas support dhoondh sakte hain.

Aane wale dinon mein yeh ahem hoga ke kya Pound apni chadhai jari rakh sake ya phir weak consumer spending aur jari inflation ke dabao'n ka shikaar ho jaye.

GBPUSD currency pair abhi 1.2942 ya us se neeche trading kar rahi hai, jo ke previous day ki opening price se kam hai. Kal ke trading mein GBPUSD currency pair par phir se bearish pressure tha jiski wajah se D1 time frame par ek bearish candle bani jab market subah close hua. Ab jo current daily candle ki position hai, woh MA 24 line ki taraf ja rahi hai, jabke stochastic indicator 5.3.3 ki position 50 level ki taraf hai. Iska matlab hai ke seller's pressure ab bhi kaafi strong hai aur market ko subah dabane ki koshish kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, fundamental side se kuch news aaj raat release ho sakti hain, isliye market mein entry karte waqt isko bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. USD index kal ke trading mein mazboot hua, jiski wajah se kuch trading instruments ne decline dekha, khaaskar woh currency pairs jo USD ke sath paired hain. Is analysis ke base par, aaj ke trading mein GBPUSD currency pair ka bearish trend continue hone ki umeed hai. Aur meri trading plan ke liye aaj mein 1.2942 par Sell order place karunga, profit target 1.2912 par rakhoonga aur stoploss 1.2972 par lagaoonga, sath hi volume ko trading account ki resilience ke mutabiq adjust karunga. Yeh trading journal update jo mein subah share kar raha hoon, umeed hai ke yeh doosron ke liye mufeed hoga aur market entry determine karte waqt unke liye reference ban sakega. GBPUSD currency pair hafte ke aghaz se hi bearish move kar rahi hai, isliye ziada chances hain ke market ab bhi sellers ke control mein hai. Aaj ki market structure ko dekhte hue, jo ke predominantly bearish move kar rahi hai kyun ke candlestick position bhi 1.2960 ke price level ke neeche comfortable play kar rahi hai, isse lagta hai ke long term mein price phir se downward trend ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Iske liye plan yeh hai ke ek SELL trading transaction ki jaye kyun ke market mein pichle kuch hafton se trend ziada bearish hi raha hai.

GBP/USD
pichlay haftay 1.35% barh gaya Federal Reserve ke September me interest rate cut ki umeedon ke nateeja me. US economic data, jisme Friday ka jobs report bhi shamil hai, kamzor ma'eeshat ko zahir karte hain jo ke shayad jaldi se lower interest rates se madad chahe. Sterling dollar ka price resistance level 1.2840 ki taraf barh gaya hai jab yeh analysis likha ja raha tha.
Apni taraf se, Britain ke general elections ka wazeh nateeja bhi tha, jo ke Britain me siasi yatmaat ki muddat ko zahir karta hai. Currency pair ki performance aur asraat ke factors par comment karte hue, “GBP/USD pichlay haftay 1.29% barh gaya, jo ke is baat ka ishara hai ke pound aik bari rebound ke qareeb ho sakta hai jab ke political risk premium khatam ho gaya hai,” kaha Kathleen Brooks, analyst at XTB ne. Britain me. Agla key level $1.30 psychological resistance hai. “Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke British pound ka price barh raha hai, Bank of England ke aglay maheenay me rate cut ke expectations ke sath, aur is waqt OIS market ke mutabiq 66% chance hai rate cut ka.”Apni taraf se, Derek Halfpenny, MUFG Bank Ltd me foreign exchange research ke head, kehte hain: “Hum ne sterling ke forecasts ko improve kiya hai kisi had tak siasi istakhamat aur kisi had tak economic growth me mazid recovery ke asraat ke wajah se jo hum pehle nahi dekh rahe the.”
Currency pair ke technical analysis ke mutabiq: GBP/USD apni main moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai, aur relative strength index positive aur upwards point kar raha hai. RSI abhi tak overbought conditions tak nahi pooncha hai. Magar daily chart me aik warning sign hai, jo ke 1.28 ke upar resistance area hai: 2024 ke chart ko dekhte hue zahir hota hai ke exchange rate ne 1.28 ke upar kisi bhi arsay tak kuch bhi nahi rakha.Niche diye gaye daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, 1.2860 ka major resistance unlikely hai ke threat ho. Note karein ke aik aur resistance level 1.2840 par hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur agar 1.2770 breach hota hai to iska matlab hoga ke pound mazeed advance nahi karega. Is resistance ke hone ke wajah se GBP/USD 1.28 level ke dono sides pe narrow range me trade kar sakta hai, Thursday ke important US mehengai reading se pehle.Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq... headline US consumer price index umeed hai ke annually 3.1% tak decline hoga, jo ke May me 3.3% tha, jo ke January me dekha gaya tha. Aisa nateeja zahir karega ke mehengai ka slowdown process dobara se shuru ho gaya hai, pehle half me price acceleration se disrupt hone ke baad. Yeh Federal Reserve ke September me US interest rates cut ke odds ko barha dega, jo ke dollar ko impact kar sakta hai.
GBP/USD ne apnay upward movement ko aram se jari rakha. Volatility kam thi kyun keh United States mein official holiday thi. UK ne June ke liye apnay Construction PMI ke dusre estimate ko jaari kiya, jo ke secondary ahmiyat rakhta hai. Phir bhi, market ne pound ko khareedne ke liye wajah payi. Ek note ke taur par, yeh tezi uss support area 1.2605-1.2633 se shuru hui, jahan bears ne bulls se mukhalif nahi ho saki. Mangalwar ko, tezi ke liye koi bunyadi ya maqrooh nafsiyati wajah nahi thi. Balki, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne apnay taqreer mein hawkish tone barqarar rakha, jo dollar ko madadgar tha. JOLTs report bhi umeedon se zyada sabit hua, jo keh US currency ko madadgar tha. Lekin dollar jab hota hai tab nahi upar, jab nahi hota hai tab gir jata hai. 9 mahinon se hum forex market mein yehi pattern dekh rahe hain. Pair ne 5-minute timeframe par ek buy signal tashkeel kiya. Euro ki tarah, keemat ne 1.2748 ke darje ko paar karne ki koshish 5-6 ghanton tak ki, jab yeh kamiyab hui, pair tezi se nahi badha kyun keh volatility sirf 30 pips thi. Magar aap long position raat bhar tak rakh sakte the, kyun keh pair kamzor harkat dikhata hai aur ek din ke andar signal ko anjam dene ka aitmaad na karna na mumkin tha

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ki qeematon ke waqt ke saath tabadli ka mutala karte hain. Hourly chart ka jaiza lene ke baad, humne dekha ke yeh pair Federal Reserve ke speech ke baad gir gaya aur Bank of England ke elan ke baad 1.26072 support ko hit kiya. Ibtida mein, aisa lagta tha ke aik range ban rahi hai, lekin baad mein aik achanak izafa hua. Main samjhta tha ke yeh sellers ke stop-loss orders ke trigger hone ki wajah se tha jo high volume ke sabab hua, lekin izafa jaari raha. Phir, humne dekha ke 1.27705 resistance ke upar ek head-and-shoulders pattern ubhar raha hai. Maine direction mein tabadli ki umeed rakhi towards a decline. Main tawaku karta hoon ke yeh pair gire ga kyunke yeh overbought hai aur in qeemat levels ko barqarar rakhne ki koi mazboot wajah nahi hai. UK inflation 2% par hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke Bank of England inflation ke target ko hit karne ki wajah se jald interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai. Aik mumkin decline 1.27705 support tak suggested kiya gaya kyunke 1.29942 resistance ke qareeb double touch tha, jo seller volume ko girawat ka ishara deta hai. Iske bawajood, buniyadi asrat, khaaskar dollar ka kamzor performance, mukhtalif natija dikhate hain. Halankeh dollar ki demand temporarily kam ho sakti hai, GBP/USD ke liye bara moves mumkin nahi lagte. Pehle se hi aham values ke qareeb 30 meters, ek izafa 31 ya mumkinan 33 tak zaroori hai substantial upward movement ke liye.

Hum MA mein growth ki umeed kar rahe hain hourly chart par, market trends ke mutabiq. Agar pair mazeed gire, to support 1.2883 par yeh direction darshaata hai. Halankeh daily chart strong support breakdown nahi dikhaata, jo ek kamzor downward trend ko suggest karta hai. Trades enter karne ke liye, humein seller activity aur 1.2854 se neeche move dekhna hoga. GBP/USD mixed trends dikhaata hai aur bulls shayad bears ko 1.2883 hit karne se na rok saken. Yeh scenario possible consolidation ko darshaata hai jahan mazeed activity expected hai. Trend ko decipher karna mushkil bana hua hai.

Achha din. Is waqt, GBP/USD chart par zyada dilchaspi wali cheez nahi ho rahi. Market participants UK se inflation data ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo currency pair par significant asar dal sakta hai. Iske baad, tawajjo US se key economic news par shift ho jayegi, khaaskar dollar ke hawale se. Yeh events ka silsila GBP/USD qeemat mein notable movements ko trigger karne ka imkaan rakhta hai. Abhi ke liye, British pound aik narrow sideways price range 1.29640-1.2990 mein trade kar raha hai. Yeh range aaj break hone ke zyada imkaan hain, jo zyada dynamic price action ko shuru karega.

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke prices ke waqt ke sath kaise badalte hain, iska mutaala kar rahe hain. Hourly chart ka review karne ke baad, humne dekha ke Federal Reserve ki speech ke baad pair gira aur Bank of England ke elan ke baad support 1.26072 ko hit kiya. Pehle, lag raha tha ke ek range ban rahi hai, magar baad mein achanak izafa dekhne ko mila. Maine socha ke yeh izafa high volume ki wajah se sellers ki stop-loss orders trigger hone ki wajah se tha, lekin izafa barqarar raha. Phir, humne dekha ke 1.27705 resistance ke upar ek head-and-shoulders pattern emerge ho raha hai. Maine ek direction change aur girawat ki tawakku ki.
Meri prediction hai ke yeh pair girega kyun ke yeh overbought hai, aur in price levels ko barqarar rakhne ki koi strong wajah nahi hai. UK inflation 2% pe hai, jo indicate karta hai ke Bank of England jald interest rates decrease kar sakta hai kyun ke inflation target hit ho chuka hai. Ek possible decline 1.27705 support tak ho sakta hai kyun ke 1.29942 resistance ke qareeb double touch hua tha, aur seller volume girawat ka hint de raha hai. Iske bawajood, fundamental factors, khaaskar dollar ki weak performance recently, different outcome suggest karte hain. Dollar ki demand temporary decrease ho sakti hai, magar GBP/USD ke liye major moves improbable lag rahe hain. Already crucial values ke qareeb hain jo ke 30 meters hain, 31 ya potentially 33 ke rise ki zarurat hai substantial upward movement ke liye.

Hum hourly chart mein MA ki growth ko anticipate kar rahe hain, market trends ke mutabiq. Agar pair aur girta hai, toh support 1.2883 us direction ki hint de raha hai. Magar, daily chart strong support breakdown nahi dikhata, jo weak downward trend ko suggest karta hai. Trade enter karne ke liye, humein seller activity aur 1.2854 ke niche move dekhna hoga. GBP/USD mixed trends dikhata hai aur bulls shayad bears ko 1.2883 hit karne se na rok sakein. Yeh scenario possible consolidation ko suggest karta hai aur jald increased activity expected hai. Trend ko decipher karna tricky hai.

GBP/USD pair ka rujhan ab bhi positive hai jab se yeh 200-day SMA (1.2550) ke upar gaya hai. Agla maqsood 1.3000 ka psychological milestone hai, jo ke March 8, 2024 ka peak 1.2893 hai. Agar selling ka rujhan wapas aaye to foran remedial action lena paray ga. June ka low 1.2656 (June 12) foran support deta hai, aur iske baad preliminary 100-day aur 55-day SMAs hain jo ke 1.2639 aur 1.2618 hain. Next support 1.2550 par 200-day SMA hai. Aik aur bara decline 2024 ka low 1.2299 ko hit kar sakta hai. Phir se, vote mein barabari ho sakti hai, jahan do members shayad 25 bps rate cut ke haq mein hon. MPC soch raha hai ke interest rates ko cut karay, lekin is waqt evidence policy change ko support nahi karta. Iske ilawa, pre-election rate drop political situation ki wajah se mushkil ho gaya hai.

Yeh breakout tabhi mukammal hoga jab yeh monthly pivot level ke upar bhi break kare. Monthly pivot level aik ahm resistance point hai; isse upar nikalna market sentiment mein bullish trend ki taraf tabdeel ka ishara de sakta hai. Jab price red channel aur monthly pivot level ke upar close karti hai, to yeh yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers itne mazboot hain ke in resistance areas ko paar kar sakte hain. Is se buying pressure barh sakta hai jab traders upward momentum par bharosa karte hain. Natije mein, upward trend ke jaari rehne ke imkanat barh jate hain, jo ke ziada investors ko attract kar sakta hai aur price ko aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai.

Lekin, agar price red channel se breakout ke baad monthly pivot level ke upar close nahi hoti, to bullish scenario kamzor par jata hai. Pivot level ke upar close na karne ka matlab yeh hai ke sellers ab bhi achi khasi taqat rakhte hain, jo price ko clear upward trend establish karne se rokte hain. Yeh key resistance level ke upar break na karne ki failure selling pressure barhane ki wajah ban sakti hai, kyun ke traders is move ko false breakout ya market indecision ka ishara samajh sakte hain.

GBP/USD: Ek Mukammal Price Action Jaiza.
Filhaal, hum GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain. H1 time frame par GBP/USD ke liye sellers zyada taqatwar hain buyers ke muqable, jo ke downward movement aur supportive indicators se zahir hota hai. 119-period moving average price ke upar hai, jo ke short direction ko reinforce karta hai. Zigzag pattern bhi neeche ki taraf hai, jo ke highs aur lows ko kam karta hai. Is liye, intraday sales 1.2689 level se advisable hain, pehla profit target 1.2649 aur dusra gain 1.2609 rakhein, stop loss 1.2719 par rakhein. Buying sirf us surat mein consider karni chahiye agar pair 1.2749 ko tor kar consolidate karein. Buy trade ka take profit 1.2789 rakhein, aur stop loss 1.2719 par rakhein. Breakouts aur consolidations ko determine karne ke liye M15 time frame ka istimaal karein, kyun ke yeh H1 se pehle trade entry points dikhata hai.

Consolidation ke liye, 15-minute candle ko specified level ke beyond open aur close hona chahiye. H1 chart par trading instrument ka technical overview yeh hai: Current market price 1.2673 hai. Aaj, instrument upward move kar raha hai, resistance 1.2712 par encounter kar raha hai, phir downward reverse ho kar 1.2668 par aa raha hai. MACD indicator sell signal suggest karta hai, negative zone mein reh kar. Momentum indicator bhi sell signal deta hai, aur stochastic decline show karta hai. Mil kar yeh sab technical indicators further selling suggest karte hain. In signals ki buniyad par, price 1.2599 tak drop karegi.
GBP/USD ek strong selling trend dikhata hai supportive technical indicators ke sath. Key levels jo dekhne hain woh 1.2689 for sales aur 1.2749 for potential buying hain, specific profit targets aur stop losses ke sath. M15 time frame ka monitoring trade entries ke liye earlier signals provide karega, jo ke is pair ko trade karte hue ek strategic approach ensure karega.