gbp/usd

GBP/USD currency pair is bearish trend mein hai, aur lagta hai ke yeh downward movement poore hafta continue karega. Current market sentiment yeh suggest kar raha hai ke agar yeh pair support level 1.2893 ko break karta hai, toh yeh aur neeche ja sakta hai, aur agla target 1.2853 ho sakta hai. Yeh level traders ke liye bohot important hai, kyunke agar yeh breach hota hai toh bearish trend ki strength confirm ho jayegi aur shayad aur ziada downward movements hote rahenge.

Agar price support level 1.2893 ke upar rehti hai, toh yeh temporarily stabilize ho sakti hai. Lekin, overall market conditions aur technical indicators continued bearish momentum ki taraf point kar rahe hain. Agar yeh support level ke neeche breakdown hota hai, toh traders ko lower levels tak pahunchne ke possibility ke liye prepare rehna chahiye, jo ke bearish outlook ko reinforce karega.

Upside par, pair ko strong resistance 1.2900 par face karna parega. Yeh resistance level bohot crucial hai kyunke yeh kisi bhi potential bullish reversals ke liye significant barrier hai. Agar GBP/USD pair is resistance ko break karta hai, toh market sentiment mein shift indicate ho sakta hai, aur agla target 1.2885 ho sakta hai. Lekin, current bearish trend ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke yeh pair near term mein is resistance level ko overcome nahi kar payega.

Considering strong bearish trend aur prevailing market conditions, expect kiya ja raha hai ke downward movement poore hafta persist karega. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein. Agar 1.2893 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh strong signal hoga ke selling continue ki jaye, aur target 1.2853 ho. Conversely, agar 1.2900 ke upar break ki koshish hoti hai, toh usay caution ke saath dekhna chahiye, kyunke bearish trend abhi bhi prevail kar sakta hai.

Conclusively, GBP/USD pair likely apna bearish trend is hafta maintain karegi, aur agar key support levels break hote hain toh further declines ki potential hogi. Support at 1.2893 aur resistance at 1.2900 crucial roles play karenge pair ki direction determine karne mein. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye taake prevailing market trends se capitalize kar sakein.

GBP/USD Analysis: H-1 Chart Overview

Aakhri market data ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair takreeban 1.30022 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke chart ke upper half mein position rakhta hai. Yeh level consolidation ka period reflect karta hai jab traders donon fundamental aur technical factors ko tol rahe hain jo future movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

Traders ka sentiment mixed lagta hai, Instaforex indicator dikhata hai ke bullish aur bearish positions ke darmiyan takreeban baraabar split hai. Abhi, bullish sentiment thoda aage hai 50.33% par, jo ke cautious optimism suggest karta hai traders ke darmiyan potential upward movement ke liye. Magar, indicator ka doosra hissa neutral market stance ko highlight karta hai, jo market mein indecision ko dikhata hai.

Fundamental factors ke hawale se, kuch significant economic releases hain jo aaj GBP/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain. UK se, focus hoga unemployment claims mein changes par, jo ke labor market ki overall health ka insight provide kar sakte hain. Claims ka kam hona economic strength ko signal kar sakta hai, jo British pound ko boost kar sakta hai. Iske bar'aks, increase concerns raise kar sakta hai economic stability ke baray mein aur pound ko weaken kar sakta hai.

US side se, tawajju initial jobless claims aur industrial activity index par hogi. Yeh indicators US economy ki robustness ko gauge karne ke liye crucial hain. Initial jobless claims mein decline job market ki strength ko indicate kar sakta hai, jabke robust industrial activity index manufacturing sector ki health ko suggest kar sakta hai. Dono factors USD ki strength ko influence karne wale hain against GBP.

Technical analysis ke perspective se, GBP/USD pair initial downward adjustment ke liye poised lagti hai. Mera andaza hai ke yeh pair pehle 1.2940 level tak retrace karegi phir reverse hoke 1.3130 resistance level ki taraf move karegi. Yeh forecast typical price action ke sath align karta hai, jahan pairs aksar temporary pullbacks experience karte hain pehle ke trend resume hota hai.

Akhir mein, aaj ka trading GBP/USD pair ke liye heavily influenced hoga upcoming economic data releases se UK aur US dono se. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, in releases ke impact ko monitor karte hue aur technical levels par nazar rakhte hue. Market ka mixed sentiment suggest karta hai ke volatility increase ho sakti hai, is liye fundamental aur technical analysis dono apply karna zaroori hai is pair ko navigate karne mein. Sab ko good luck aaj ke trading opportunities mein!

GBP/USD Analysis - July 16, 2024

GBP/USD jo pair hai pichle haftay ek mazboot bullish trend dikhaya, jo ke monthly uptrend se continuity hai, halaan ke June mein thodi si downward correction hui thi.

Key Observations:

Pichle Haftay ki Performance:
- Market ne pichle haftay mazboot bullish trend dikhaya, jo monthly timeframe mein overall uptrend ko reinforce karta hai.
- June mein, price ne downward correction ka samna kiya tha aur 1.2604 tak pohoncha tha. Lekin, yeh correction July mein barqarar nahi rahi aur bullish trend dobara se shuru ho gaya.

Current Price Action:
- Aaj subah tak, GBP/USD price uptrend zone mein rehne ki koshish kar raha hai. Kuch corrections ke bawajood, aage chal kar further upward movement ke indications hain.
- Yeh ongoing effort yeh batata hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi mazboot hai, jo ke higher levels target karne ke liye opportunities paish karta hai.

Technical Levels to Watch:

Support Levels:
- Pehle ka low 1.2604 par ek significant support level serve karta hai. Jab tak price is level ke upar hai, bullish outlook barqarar rahega.
- Agar price is level tak dip karti hai, to yeh traders ke liye buying opportunities paish kar sakti hai jo ongoing uptrend se fayda uthana chahte hain.

Resistance Levels:
- Immediate resistance recent highs ke qarib observe ki ja sakti hai. Agar yeh levels break hoti hain to bullish trend ka continuation confirm ho sakta hai.
- Traders ko price action ko 1.2900 aur 1.3000 levels ke around monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh short term mein significant resistance points ka kaam kar sakti hain.

Market Sentiment:
- Current market sentiment bulls ko favor karta hua lagta hai, kyun ke pair minor corrections se recover karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur upar push kar raha hai.
- Uptrend ki resilience yeh suggest karti hai ke traders optimistic hain ke GBP/USD pair higher positions ki taraf move kar sakta hai.

Conclusion:

GBP/USD pair strong bullish momentum dikhata hai, recent price action further gains ka potential indicate karta hai. Jab tak pair uptrend zone mein trade kar raha hai, traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna chahiye trading opportunities ke liye. Overall sentiment positive hai, jo upcoming sessions mein higher targets ko support karta hai.

Aakhri trading session mein, yeh pair kaafi bearish zone mein chala gaya, jo ke 1.2851 mark ke aas paas hai. Yeh girawat us pehle ke 12-mahine ki bulandiyon 1.3043 tak pahunchi thi, jo ke USD ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hui thi.

Federal Reserve ka Hawkish Mawafiq aur Bazaar ki Tawakkuat:

Federal Reserve ke hawkish mawafiq ne longer interest rates ke liye umeed ko mazid mazboot kiya hai, jo ke GBP/USD par dabao daal raha hai. Iske bawajood, bazaar ki raye ab bhi yeh hai ke Fed September se rate cuts shuru kar sakta hai. Is umeed ne USD bulls ko kuch ehtiyat baratne par majboor kiya hai, jo ke GBP/USD ko kuch sahara faraham kar raha hai. Lekin, Bank of England ka pichle haftay ka dovish pause aur UK general election se mutaliq siyasi bay-yaqeeni, British Pound ke mazeed faida uthaanay mein rukaawat ban rahi hai.

Yeh pair central bank policies aur siyasi bay-yaqeeni ki wajah se kafi bearish pressure mein hai. Traders ko 1.2840 support level ko ghour se dekhna chahiye, kyunke yeh potential breakouts ko darshata hai jo ke pair ki qareebi direction ka tayeun kar sakta hai. Aanewale maashi developments aur central bank announcements par nazar rakhna bohot zaroori hoga, takay GBP/USD exchange rate ke future movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

D1 Chart Key Support Levels aur Potential Bearish Breakdowns ke liye GBP/USD:

17 July ko haasil hone wali 1.3043 peak se pullback ne pair ki momentum ko kaafi had tak badal diya hai. Ab jo current support levels hain, woh 1.2840 ke aas paas hain, jo ke 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke sath align karte hain. Yeh level bohot crucial hai aur currency pair ke liye aik pivotal point ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai.

Is support level ke neeche ek decisive break mazid bearish movements ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke pair ko 1.2800 threshold se neeche le ja sakta hai. Aisa move mazid support levels ko test karne ka raasta bana sakta hai, jo ke 1.2750 zone aur, aakhir mein, psychological 1.2700 mark ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

GBPUSD Technical Analysis

Analysis
GBPUSD ki qeemat neeche ja rahi hai, aur isay aik girti hui trend line se support mil raha hai. Haal hi mein, market ki qeemat ne 50-day simple moving average (SMA) aur trend line ko upar ki taraf tor diya hai, jo mazid growth ka ishara de rahi hai agar ye 200-day SMA ko bhi tor day, 1.2655 resistance ko target karte hue. Indicators se pata chal raha hai ke support area par high volume hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke qeemat is support se upar ja sakti hai aur shayad resistance se bhi upar.

Agar market is moving average aur support ko nahi tor pata, to qeemat barh sakti hai aur resistance ko tor kar next resistance 1.2600 tak pohanch sakti hai, jo double top bana sakta hai. Indicators yeh batate hain ke agar support area barqarar rehta hai to qeemat kuch arsay tak barh sakti hai.

Trading Strategy
Key Levels ka Monitor Karein:
1. 1.2585 support aur 1.2590 resistance levels ke aas paas price action ko dekhain. Agar support ke neeche break hota hai to mazid declines ka signal ho sakta hai, jabke resistance ke upar break hone se upward momentum ka ishara mil sakta hai.

Trend Line aur Moving Averages:
1. 200-day aur 100-day SMA par price reaction ko dekhain. Agar qeemat 100-day SMA ke upar rehti hai to bullish potential suggest hota hai, jabke agar is level ko tor nahi pata to bearish trend mazid mazboot ho sakta hai.

Volume aur Indicators:
1. Support levels par high volume aur RSI ya MACD jaise indicators mein divergence additional confirmation de sakte hain potential reversals ya continuations ka. Abhi ke volume se lagta hai ke support se upar jaane ka potential hai.

Double Top Formation:
1. Agar qeemat 1.2715 resistance ke kareeb aati hai aur double top banaati hai, to ye strong resistance point ho sakta hai. Is level se potential bearish reversals ka dhyan rakhein.

Asian aur US Sessions:
1. Asian aur US trading sessions ke dauran price action ka khas khayal rakhein, kyun ke significant moves aksar in waqtoun mein hoti hain. US dollar ki strength ya weakness bhi GBP/USD movements ko influence kar sakti hai.

Weekend Overview

Price is falling along this trend line and is now in a support area. If the price does not break this support, it may rise again and reach the 1.2680 resistance and trend line. If the GBP/USD market price breaks the resistance and the trend line, it will indicate that the price can move to the next resistance area. The market price has dropped sharply below the 150-day simple moving average. All indicators used suggest a probable rise in the approaching period.

The current price position is around the 1.2650 price area, indicating a bullish possibility to test the MA200 line in the H4 time frame at the 1.2400 price area. The price is currently at a support area, and a compelling support area is being tested at 1.2525. A pullback to the 1.2715 correction area is probable if the market fails to hold this support. If the price breaks this retracement area, it could reach the 1.2786 resistance.

The RSI indicator on the chart has begun to break above the 70 areas, suggesting that it may break out of this support area for some time. The moving averages used in the chart are well above resistance, indicating that the market can touch these moving averages.

All indicators on the chart suggest that the market price may rise if this support area is not broken. The RSI and moving averages suggest a possible upward movement if the support holds, and a downward movement if the support fails to hold. Traders should closely monitor these levels and the price action around them to make informed trading decisions.

**GBP/USD Technical Analysis**

Currency pair ne do consecutive sessions ke liye girawat jari rakhi, Friday ko Asian trading hours ke doran 1.2860 ke aas-paas ghuma. Daily chart ko nazar se dekhne par price action mein ek broadening bottom pattern nazar aata hai, jo ke increasing volatility aur potential correction ka ishara hai, pehle ke move lower ke liye.

**GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:**

Jora ne kai currencies ke muqablay mein strength dikhayi hai, jo UK mein mazboot wage growth ki wajah se hai. Lekin, isne Australian Dollar aur US Dollar ke muqablay mein challenges ka saamna kiya hai. Australia ka strong monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, jo 4.0% se zyada tha, ne Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke mazeed rate cuts ke expectations ko dabaya.

Jab investors aage ke economic data releases aur central bank decisions ka intezar kar rahe hain, jora high volatility ka saamna kar raha hai. Traders ko upcoming UK economic indicators aur US monetary policy expectations mein kisi bhi tabdeeli par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo jora ke movement par significant asar daal sakti hai.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Filhal, jora key support ko 1.2800 ke aas-paas test kar raha hai. Sellers 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas active hain, jo lagbhag 1.2859 par hai, jabke jora 50-day EMA ke aas-paas 1.2779 par support dhoondh raha hai. Yeh technical levels jora ki agle directional move ko determine karne mein pivotal hain, ongoing market sentiment shifts ke beech. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal neutral zone 40.00-60.00 ke andar oscillate kar raha hai, jo traders ke beech consolidation aur indecision ka period darshata hai.

**GBP/USD Technical Analysis**

**Cable** 61.8% Fibonacci retracement support level 1.2846 ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo 17 July ko 1.3049 ke high se aur 22 April ko 1.2300 ke low se draw kiya gaya tha. Yeh level ek critical juncture ko darshata hai jahan price action consolidate ho sakti hai ya mazeed neeche gir sakti hai, agle market catalysts ke mutabiq. Yeh darshata hai ke market participants closely developments ko monitor kar rahe hain pehle ke clear directional trades mein commit karne se.

Hello everyone. Price mid-November mein southern trend ke correction ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, jo ek acha signal hai sell order open karne ke liye agar trend ke south mein sirf correction ya flat movement ho. Isliye, MACD indicator sabhi time frames par buy positions ko hold karta hai. Lekin, agar price cloud tak nahi pohnchti, to additional bought deal open karna mumkin ho sakta hai. Yeh unexpected actions ko janam de sakta hai. Bank of England ko jaldi se zyada 75 basis points se rates barhane padenge. Is context mein, major investors ab yeh soch rahe hain ke market mein long-term deals ke liye best price kahan milegi. Dusri taraf, price current levels se correction experience kar sakti hai, lekin yeh assumption stock market ke massive losses ke bawajood justify honi chahiye. Wahan se, pair ne turn liya aur phir se neeche move karna shuru kiya. Price aage bhi decrease kar sakti hai, jahan decline target is channel ka lower border hoga, jo ke 1.2650 ke aas-paas hai. Lekin ab sell karna thoda late hai, lekin agar pair channel ke upper border ke 1.2685 level tak pohnchti hai, to sell karna mumkin ho sakta hai.

In summary, corrective movements aur mentioned critical levels par nazar rakhein. Bank of England ke potential rate hike aur current stock market conditions significant market movements ko influence kar sakti hain. Caution use karein aur evolving price action ke basis par buy aur sell opportunities ko consider karein. Have a good day.

**Good morning dear traders,**

Umeed hai aap sab khair makdam mein hon. Aap dekh sakte hain ke price gain abhi bhi mother bar ke bottom 1.2580 ke neeche deny ki ja rahi hai. Agar yeh mother bar range ke andar pullback resume karne mein nakam rehti hai, to yeh ek baar phir gir sakti hai aur decline resume kar sakti hai, jo RBS area 1.2670 ke aas-paas inside bar pattern ke projection ko lead kar sakta hai. Price decrease tab tak continue ho sakti hai agar yeh movement line area ke neeche break kar jaati hai. Lekin agar is area se rejection hoti hai, to yeh mother bar range mein reflect kar sakti hai.

**Daily chart se, GBP/USD qareeb ke resistance 1.2715 ke aas-paas pahunch raha hai. Filhal, stochastic oscillator aur five-period smoothed moving average upar ki taraf indicate kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke price is choti resistance ko tod sakti hai. Isliye, GBP/USD par buy trade abhi zyada profitable lagti hai. Apna target 1.2765 rakhna chhoti target ke liye aur 50-period Bollinger band ko larger target ke liye set karna ek acchi strategy ho sakti hai.**

**Agar GBP/USD 1.2830 ke resistance ko break karne mein nakam hota hai aur five-period smoothed moving average ke neeche girta hai, to further downward movement ka chance ho sakta hai, lekin yeh chance filhal kam lagta hai. Yeh 1.2715 ke aas-paas inside bar pattern ke promontory ki taraf bhi ja sakta hai. Agar price trend is projection ke aas-paas reject hota hai, to yeh head and shoulders pattern ka right shoulder banane ka chance bhi hai. Long term mein, GBP/USD pair ko ek significant decrease ka saamna karna pad sakta hai. Have a nice day.**

GBP-USD Pair Movement
Daily trend par, GBPUSD ek strong bullish tendency dikhata hai. Yeh EMA 100 se dekha ja sakta hai jo ab bhi upar ki taraf point kar raha hai, jo ke uptrend mein stable aur sustainable momentum ko indicate karta hai. Iske ilawa, price ne 1.28145 ka significant resistance level break kiya hai, jo yeh aur indicate karta hai ke market ab bhi buyers ke control mein hai. Is resistance level ka breakout aam tor par yeh sign hai ke price continue karegi upar ki taraf, kyunke pehle yeh level higher price movements ke liye ek barrier tha.

Magar, general trend abhi bhi bullish hai, lekin 1.30378 ke latest high se downward correction movement ke indications hain. Yeh correction market movements ka ek natural hissa hai, jahan prices adjustments karti hain pehle ke main trend ko continue karne se pehle. Filhal, price ke paas ab bhi potential hai ke yeh correction continue kare towards the base area jo 1.27713 - 1.28248 ke range mein hai. Yeh area 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath bhi coincide karta hai, jo uptrend mein aksar ek strong support level ke taur par act karta hai.

61.8% Fibonacci retracement level traders ke dwara aksar use kiya jata hai potential reversal ya support areas identify karne ke liye ongoing trend mein. Is context mein, 1.27713 - 1.28248 ka area sirf ek technical support zone nahi hai, balki ek aisi jagah bhi hai jahan buyers correction ke baad market mein phir se enter kar sakte hain. Agar price is level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab hoti hai aur bullish reversal ke signs dikhati hai, toh uptrend continue hone ke chances hain.

GBP/USD #GBPUSD (British Pound / US Dollar). Aao is instrument/currency pair ko H1 timeframe par analyze karein aur transaction mein entry ka sabse behtareen waqt dhoondhein taake is se accha paisa kamaya ja sake. Ek competent technical analysis karne ke liye, pehle 4-hour timeframe ka chart kholain jo humein current trend ko sahi se identify karne mein madad karega. Jo working indicators hum use karenge market situation ko assess karne ke liye wo hain HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color. Hama aur RSI Trend indicators ke mutabiq, humein bohat clear bearish interest nazar aa raha hai - dono indicators red ho chuke hain, jo market mein sellers ki taqat ko indicate karte hain. Isliye, hum short sell transaction kholte hain. Hum position ko magnetic levels indicator ke base par exit karenge. Aaj yeh hain 1.28631. Aur phir, jab quotes desired price mark ko reach kar lein, to bearish range mein dikhaye gaye dusre target levels ko dekhein. Agar price southern direction mein actively aur confidently move karti rahti hai, to hum Trailing stop (sliding stop order, trawling) ko connect karte hain aur further profit increase ka wait karte hain. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke hum kuch sales ko fix karein aur baqi part ko breakeven par transfer karein. Agar market quotes ka movement slow ya ruk jaye aur volatility khatam ho jaye, to hum deal ko firmly close kar dete hain aur naye clear signal ka wait karte hain GBP/USD pair abhi bhi downward trend mein hai. Abhi koi current signals nahi hain northern zigzag ke liye, aur hum sirf guess kar sakte hain ke hum kaha se upar jayenge. Main assume karta hoon ke yeh 1.2889 ya 1.2875 ke neeche se shuru ho sakta hai. Yeh humein north ka formed signal dikhayega. Monday ko koi economic news reports nahi hain, sirf geopolitical nuances ka asar hoga. Biden lagta hai election race mein rehne wala hai, halankeh uske chances kam hain
Aur jab main likh raha tha, khabar aayi ke Biden apni candidacy ko elections se wapas le raha hai. Ab hum speculators ki reaction ko opening se dekhenge. Shayad, current levels se rollback towards 1.2950 shuru ho jaye, shayad gap ke sath, halankeh abhi north ke liye koi signals nahi hain. Maine white mein yeh option draw kiya. 1.2960 ke upar jana future decline ke liye desirable nahi hai, kyunke isse M30 ko north mein rebuild karne ka process shuru ho sakta hai aur south ka march indefinitely postpone ho sakta hai
Filhal mujhe lagta hai ke news ke basis par hum opening se north shoot kar sakte hain. Yeh meri guess hai

Hamari guftagu ka markaz GBPUSD currency pair ki real-time price movements ka track karna hai. Bulls ke 1.2859 resistance ko breach karne se GBP/USD overbought territory mein chala gaya hai aur daily channel ke resistance ko touch kiya hai. Initial breakthrough ke baad ek pullback dekhne mein aya hai. Yeh action technical analysis ke mutabiq hai, halan ke Friday ke daily candle se ek thoda slowdown dekhne ko mila hai. Yeh trend weekly timeframe ke sath match karta hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke channel ke andar correction in levels pe khatam ho sakti hai, jab tak current resistance intact rehti hai. Agar bulls is level ko hold nahi kar paate toh correction ke framework ke andar daily channel ki support line tak girawat ho sakti hai. Agar trendline break hoti hai toh mujhe apni long positions ko reconsider karna padega aur decide karna hoga ke inhe rakha jaye, close kiya jaye ya sell positions mein switch kiya jaye. Ek purchasing opportunity tab aayegi agar price 1.2879 level ko surpass kar ke maintain karti hai. Doosri taraf, agar bearish correction 1.2851 mark ko incorrectly breach karti hai toh yeh ongoing growth ka ishara ho sakta hai. Further confirmation of a buy signal us waqt hogi jab strength 1.2906 ke upar continue karti hai, aur subsequent break beyond 1.2911 mark hoti hai. Agar price 1.2891 ke level ko breach kar deti hai, toh yeh buying consider karne ka acha waqt ho sakta hai, aur 1.2906 ke beyond further growth ka possibility ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 1.2936 ko exceed nahi kar pati aur naya high set nahi kar pati, toh yeh buying interest mein decrease ka ishara ho sakta hai. Sellers ke liye, price ko 1.2848 tak drop karne ka monitor karna prudent hoga, aur is level pe successful breach ko sell signal ke tor pe liya ja sakta hai. 1.2848 ke test ke baad, agar price apne aap ko correct karti hai aur 1.2911 ke upar wapas rise hoti hai, toh yeh buying ka indication ho sakta hai. 1.2911 ke clear breakthrough ke upar future mein continued buying opportunities ka potential hint ho sakta hai

GBP/USD trade nahi kiya, aur euro/dollar bhi meri nazar se door raha. Main market ki situation ko samajhne mein kamee mehsoos kar raha tha, is liye mein side par hi baitha raha.
Kal maine support level 1.2875 note kiya tha, lekin hum us tak nahi pahunche. Aaj trading range aur bhi narrow ho gayi hai, jo ke samajh mein aata hai, kyun ke hum 24 ghanton ke liye practically baghair movement ke khade rahe. Ab main 1.2903 ko note karna chahunga, kyunki repeated attempts ke bawajood, yeh support level break nahi hua. Iss hisaab se, main yeh nateeja nikaalta hoon ke 1.2903 - 1.2955 aaj ke liye ek modest trading range ho sakti hai, jahan se hum rebound trades open kar sakte hain. Haan, 50 points ka intraday run Briton ko pasand nahi aata, lekin abhi ke liye yeh current realities hain... Aur D1 ke heights se, northern zigzag ki underperformance ka opinion unchanged hai. Main yeh nateeja nikaalta hoon ke current decline sirf ek corrective turn hai, jiske baad ek upward movement logical hai.
Alexander! Hello! Hamari GBP/USD currency pair ke hawale se expectations milti julti hain, main bhi asset ki growth expect karta hoon. Iske ilawa, price ne local downward trend line ko break kiya hai. Aaj, main expect karta hoon ke price accumulation zone se exit karegi, jo 1.2940-1.2899 par flat nazar aa rahi thi. Agar price 1.2899 ka minimum update karti hai, to main current situation ko dobara analyze karoonga. Aur yeh events ke development ka alternative scenario hoga. Main scenario hai asset ki growth to a downward breakdown at 1.3016. Halanki yeh bahut real possibility hai ke maximum ko 1.3040 se 1.3080 tak update kar lein.
Yeh summer ka time hai aur market mein bahut zyada movement nahi hai. Kal ke din mein GBP/USD ne koi significant change nahi dekha aur quotes ab bhi southern correction state mein hain. Bears ne round level 1.2900 ko test karne ki koshish nahi ki, jo further decline ki probability ko kam kar deta hai, kam se kam without a correction. Hum bulls ki full support dekh rahe hain, jo mere four-hour advisor chart par indicated hai. GBP/USD quotes ab bhi trend indicator bands 2 EMA Color Alerts ke upper boundary ke paas hain, aur indicator bhi north point kar raha hai, giving priority to bulls. Aaj hum kisi fundamental data ki expectation nahi kar rahe, isliye theoretically, slow downward movement continue hona chahiye, aur yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke bears eventually 1.2900 level tak pahunchein. Lekin agar kal positive data existing home sales ke hawale se aa jata hai US dollar ke favor mein, to GBP/USD price briefly 1.28 level ko touch kar sakti hai, with the nearest support level at 1.2860 according to my analysis.
Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD ka new uptrend shuru hoga no lower than this range, kyunki serious drivers supporting the US currency needed hain jo near future mein expected nahi hain.

GBP/USD currency pair abhi 1.2868 par trade kar raha hai ya kal ke opening price se thoda zyada hai. Daily candle ab bhi MA 24 line ko top se bottom tak penetrate karne ki koshish kar rahi hai lekin pichle Jumme ke trading mein yeh successfully penetrate nahi hui thi. Aaj yeh area phir test kar sakti hai, aur stochastic indicator 5.3.3 ab 20 ke niche hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke seller ka pressure ab bhi mazboot hai aur is hafta market ko dominate kar sakta hai.

Is haftay ke aghaz mein ziada high impact news release hone ki umeed nahi hai, isliye traders ko entry determine karne ke liye technical analysis par hi rely karna padega. Doosri taraf, USD index bhi is haftay ke aghaz mein strong lag raha hai, jo GBP/USD currency pair ko depressed aur weak kar sakta hai. Aise mein hum sell action lene ke opportunities dekh sakte hain, lekin hamesha proper money management implement karna zaroori hai taake account resilience strong aur well maintained rahe.

Aaj ke liye mera trading plan yeh hai ke main 1.2868 ke price par sell order place karunga, jiska profit target 1.2838 par hoga aur stop loss 1.2898 par hoga. Main reasonable lot size use karunga aur usay apne trading account ki resilience ke mutabiq adjust karunga. Yeh meri trading journal update hai jo main subah share kar raha hoon, umeed hai ke yeh useful hogi aur doosre doston ke liye bhi samajhna asaan hoga. Yeh reference ban sakti hai doosre doston ke liye market mein entry determine karne mein.

USD pair ka outlook unclear hai. Downward pullback ki anticipation ke bawajood, humne pehle ke sales zone ya resistance area ke lower boundary se ek retest dekha hai. Iske ilawa, bullish debts ab bhi mumkin hain. Ideally, ek rebound is monthly resistance zone se hona chahiye. Pavlik ke address ke mutabiq, bearish trend jald shuru ho sakti hai, chahe bullish debt likely ho ya na ho. Magar, yeh sirf meri perspective hai. Hourly chart par pound-dollar pair ka analysis Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke speeches ke baad significant activity ko reveal karta hai. Price overlook bullish hai. Pair ne support level 1.26072 par descend kiya aur 1.26801 se 1.26072 range ke andar trade karna shuru kiya. Theoretically, pair ko apni decline ko continue karna chahiye tha, magar yeh unexpectedly retrace ho gaya, shayad pre-election volatility ki wajah se. Upcoming elections ka impact uncertain hai, jahan inflation primary focus hai. Pair is range se shift hone ke chances kam hain agar inflation further decline ya growth exhibit nahi karta. Yeh filhal apne pehle ke highs ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke peculiar hai. Jab ke is pair ka decline likely hai, ek minor rise euro-dollar pair mein bhi plausible hai. Current analysis ke mutabiq, yeh pair range ke opposite borders ko touch kar sakta hai, jo ke modest increase ko suggest karta hai. Magar, pound ke current high trading level ke madde nazar, ek slight pullback predict kiya gaya hai pehle ke pair eventually support level 1.26113 par descend kare.
Pehle chart par ek downward plan aur selling points nazar aa rahe hain. Yeh plan relevant tha jab tak pound impulsively north move nahi kar gaya. Blue bar potential decline ko H4 signal ke relative moving averages ke mutabiq dikhata hai, aur aaj sirf yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke yeh signal kaam nahi kiya. Aaj, humne is signal ke liye risk level ko exceed kar diya hai. Green aur gray bars clarity ke liye thi taake hum samajh sakein ratios jab hum ek level ya doosre se sell karte hain. Phir, growth impulse ke baad, hume ek reverse signal (i.e., buy signal) bhi H4 timeframe par mila, aur yeh jaldi apne targets tak bina pullback ke pohanch gaya. Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, rise significant pullback ke bina tha, isliye lower timeframe par enter karna zyada successful nahi tha, kyunke signal ke turant baad up chale gaye.
Darasal, pound ke technical execution par koi shikayat nahi hai, kyunke isne sab kuch beautifully kiya. Agar pound ne local maximum break kiya, toh yeh ek true breakout tha, na ke false. Pehli wave of growth ke baad, pound ne apne lows ko maintain kiya aur elegantly third large wave mein enter kiya. Decline paanch waves ki form mein tha, jo ek exception thi. Yahan hum pehli long wave dekhte hain, phir third short thi, aur fifth bhi third ki tarah thi. Iske ilawa, fourth wave third wave ke zone mein enter hui, jo ke aksar corrections mein hota hai na ke trend waves mein.
GBP/USD apne main moving averages ke ooper trade kar raha hai aur relative strength index (RSI) musbat aur ooper ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. RSI abhi tak overbought shuruaat tak nahin pohancha hai. Lekin daily chart par ek cautionary sign hai, kyun keh 1.28 ke ooper koi mustaqil movement nahin rahi hai: 2024 ke chart par dekhne par maloom hota hai keh exchange rate ne 1.28 ke ooper koi significant muddat tak qaim nahin rakha hai. Daily chart ke performance ke aadhar par, 1.2860 par major resistance ko khatra hone ki kam umeedi hai. Yaad rahe keh 1.2840 par ek aur resistance level hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur agar isko toorna ho, to iska matlab hai keh pound aur agey nahin badhegi. Is resistance ke wajah se, GBP/USD Thursday ke ahem US inflation reading se pehle 1.28 level ke dono taraf narrow range mein trade kar sakta hai.
Mali calendar ke natije ke mutabiq, headline US consumer price index ki annual kamzori ka imkaan hai, jo keh May mein 3.3% se 3.1% tak girne ka intezar hai, jo keh January mein dekha gaya tha. Is natije se maloom hota hai keh saal ke pehle nisf mein keemat mein tezi ke baad inflation mein rukh aane ka izhaar hai. Is se Federal Reserve ke September mein US interest rate cut ke imkaanat barh jayenge, jo keh dollar par