gbp/usd

GBP/USD aaj ek naazuk tawazun mein chal raha hai, US dollar ke muqablay mein sirf 0.09% gir gaya. Yeh halka sa zawaal bazaar ke mukhtalif asraat ka natija hai. Jabke US Treasury yields barhe, jo ke currency ke qeemat ko mutasir kar sakte hain, lekin greenback apni gains barqarar nahi rakh saka. GBP/USD filhal 1.2696 par hai, jo ke intraday low 1.2675 se wapas aaya hai.

Federal Reserve ke Signal aur Mehngai ke Tashweesh

Federal Reserve Board of Governors ki member Michelle Bowman ke taja tareen bayanaat ne bazaar ke shirka kaon mein guftagu ko janam diya hai. Bowman ke comments mehngai ke trajectory ke hawale se tashweesh ka izhar karte hain, yeh darshate hain ke is silsile mein taraqqi pehli tasveer ki tarah seedhi nahi hogi.

Monetary Policy aur Currency Dynamics par Asar

Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke hawale se afwahaat GBP/USD equation ko mazeed pechida kar deti hain. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September tak 25 basis-point rate cut ka imkaan thoda barh kar 49.0% ho gaya hai. Markazi bank ke potential easing of monetary policy ke hawale se yeh afwaah US Dollar ki taqat ko kamzor kar sakti hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ko mazboot karne ka imkaan rakhta hai.

Mustaqbil ke Ihtimalaat aur Anay Wali Surat-e-Haal

GBP/USD ke taja harekat mumkin trends ka pata deti hain. 100-day moving average (DMA) ke 1.2625 ke confluence ke breach ne 1.2690 region ki taraf rally ko catalyze kiya hai. Magar, 1.2700 ka psychological barrier ab tak fatah nahi ho saka, jo mazeed upar jane ke liye ek ahem threshold hai. Dosri taraf, 1.2680 se neeche girne se sellers ko hosla milega, jo ke downward trajectory ko 1.2500 ki taraf le jayega.

Agar buyers 1.2700 ka mark wapas hasil kar lein, to tawajju March 21 ka high 1.2804 ko challenge karne par hogi, uske baad year-to-date high 1.2894 par. Dosri taraf, agar selling pressure dobara barh gaya to pair ko 200-DMA 1.2538 par push kar sakta hai, jahan 1.2500 level ek critical support zone ke tor par hai.

GBPUSD Analysis 25 May 2024

Aaj main GBPUSD currency pair ke movement ka jaiza lunga. Pichle din maine predict kiya tha ke yeh pair bearish move karega, magar meri prediction ghalat sabit hui. Price ne support level one, jo ke 1.2671 pe tha, ko breach karne mein nakam raha aur iske baad kaafi tezi se upar chala gaya, lagbhag 70 pips upar move kiya. Ab aane wale Monday ko dekhte hain ke GBPUSD pair kidhar move karega, upar ya neeche? Yeh dekhte hue ke price ne Thursday ko highest level touch kiya hai, hum GBPUSD TF H1 chart dekhte hain taake mazeed tafseelat samajh sakein.

Chart Analysis
Agar hum upar diye gaye GBPUSD TF H1 chart ko dekhein, toh humein support aur resistance levels nazar aate hain jo trading ke liye reference ke tor pe istemal ho sakte hain, jaise ke take profit set karna, stop loss lagana, entry points aur price reversal points ko samajhna. Yeh support aur resistance levels yeh hain:






- Resistance 3: 1.2830
- Resistance 2: 1.2769
- Resistance 1: 1.2732
- Pivot point: 1.2708
- Support 1: 1.2671
- Support 2: 1.2647
- Support 3: 1.2586

Asian trading session mein GBPUSD pair ka movement neeche ki taraf tha magar bearish position ko maintain karne mein nakam raha. Jab price ne support level one 1.2671 ko approach kiya, toh wahan se bounce back kar gaya aur bullish move mein price ne resistance level one 1.2732 ke upar close kar liya. Agar hum 50 period MA indicator ko use karein toh trend bullish hai kyunke price uske upar hai.

Pichle din ke price movement pattern ko dekhte hue aur mazeed analysis data ko add karte hue main yeh conclude karta hoon ke agle hafte ke aaghaz mein GBPUSD pair ka move upar ki taraf hi rahega. Magar buy entry karne ke liye humein pehle price ko pivot point level 1.2708 ke paas aane ka intezar karna chahiye kyunke pichli increase ke bawajood price Thursday ke highest level pe hai. Target ke liye hum second resistance 1.2769 pe set kar sakte hain, agar price iske upar close karne mein kaamyaab ho gaya toh yeh aage further resistance 1.2830 tak jaa sakta hai.

Yehi sab kuch is waqt share kar sakta hoon. Shukriya aur sab ko behtareen wishes.

GBPUSD Analysis 25 May 2024





Is hafte ke session ke end mein GBPUSD market movement ke hawale se kuch dilchasp baatain dekhne ko mili hain. H4 TF reference mein dekha ja sakta hai ke correction phase ke liye decline ki conditions ne akhir kar ma50 (red) ke movement limit ko touch kiya. Ma50 ke movement range 1.2675 se thodi bearish rejection condition nazar aayi, jo ke upward direction ko encourage kar rahi hai jo abhi chal rahi hai. Agar bullish movement is week's highest price limit 1.2757 ke resistance area ko paar kar leti hai, toh agle resistance level ko 1.2810 ke aas paas catch karne ka chance hai. Lambi muddat mein, bullish rally movement ko is saal ke highest price limit 1.2892 ko dobara re-reach karne aur crucial zero area ke upar, jo ke 1.3000 ke aas paas hai, ko form karne ka potential hai.

Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke opposite scenario ho, agar bearish correction phase continue karta hai, misal ke tor pe agar price phir se aaj ke low area, jo ke 1.2674 ke aas paas hai, se neeche girti hai. Is price level se neeche movement ek aur support area 1.2642 ko penetrate karne ki koshish kar sakti hai aur bearish movement ko continue karte hue hidden demand area, jo ke 1.2587 ke aas paas hai, ko test kar sakti hai. Trend ko bearish phase mein enter karna tab confirm hoga agar price 200 MA (blue) ke movement limit, jo ke 1.2507 ke aas paas hai, ke neeche decline karti hai. Ek more valid bearish trend confirm karne ke liye further downward impulse ki zaroorat hogi taake crucial support area, jo ke 1.2443 ke aas paas hai, ko pass kiya ja sake.

GBP-USD Pair Review

Aaj is haftay ke trading ka aakhri din hai, aur humari market analysis mein behtari ke liye consistency ke saath, umeed hai ke hamara capital mehfooz rahega. Technical analysis ka istemal karte hue, maine aaj GBPUSD currency market ka growth evaluate aur analyze karne ki koshish ki. Kal ke trading session mein, 4-hour market chart ke basic use karte hue, seller ne psychological support level 1.2650 ko test karne ki koshish ki, lekin yeh koshish nakam rahi. Agar support level successfully breach hota, toh price mazeed neeche gir kar agle support level ko test karta. Is nakami ki wajah se, market condition puri tarah buyers ne le li aur 70 points ke qareeb upward pressure dekhne ko mila, jo ke kaafi significant hai. Abhi price middle bands aur EMA50 ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke GBPUSD currency ke buying trend mein abhi bhi taqat hai. Buyers ke expectations hain ke buying ko strong karke psychological resistance level 1.2800 ko test karen; agar yeh resistance level breach hota hai, toh price mazeed upar push hoke agla resistance level test karega.

Trading Plan

Technical analysis ke basis pe, GBPUSD currency trading plan mein buying options consider karni chahiye. Market mein entry karne ke liye, behtareen hoga ke nearest support level ko test karte hue correction price ka intezar kiya jaye, taake ideal market re-entry possible ho sake. Pin bar candlestick pattern: Hum bullish engulfing candlestick pattern ko confirmation ke tor pe use kar sakte hain taake GBPUSD currency price ke strengthening ko samajh sakain aur trading risks ko achi tarah control kar saken.

Aur plan yeh hai ke buying market mein entry support level 1.2750 pe start ki jaye; agar yeh support level breach hota hai, toh hum second support level 1.2700 pe intezar kar sakte hain. Stop-loss ke liye, hum minimum 1:1 set kar sakte hain, aur profit target 100 points ka rakh sakte hain. Hum market conditions ke mutabiq Monday ko adjustments bhi kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD Pair Analysis
Aaj GBP/USD ek nazuk balance mein navigate kar raha hai, US dollar ke against sirf 0.09% decline ke saath. Yeh subtle decline market forces ke complex interplay ko reflect karta hai. Halanke US Treasury yields, jo currency valuation ko influence kar sakti hain, barh gayi, greenback apni gains maintain nahi kar saka. Abhi GBP/USD 1.2696 par hai, intraday low 1.2675 se wapas aya hai.

Federal Reserve ke Ishaaraat aur Mahangai ke Hawalaat

Federal Reserve Board of Governors ki member Michelle Bowman ke recent remarks ne market participants mein discussions ko stir kar diya hai. Bowman ke commentary ne inflation ke trajectory ke hawale se concerns ko highlight kiya, yeh suggest karte hue ke is domain mein progress shayad pehle se anticipate ki gayi tarah linear na ho.

Monetary Policy aur Currency Dynamics par Asar

Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke hawale se conjecture GBP/USD equation mein ek aur layer of complexity add karta hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September tak 25 basis-point rate cut ka probability thoda barh kar 49.0% ho gaya hai. Central bank ke potential easing of monetary policy ka speculation US Dollar ki strength ko undermine kar sakta hai, jis se GBP/USD pair ko support mil sakta hai.





Mumkin Scenarios aur Aindah Ka Outlook

GBP/USD ke recent movements potential trends ke insights offer karte hain. 100-day moving average (DMA) ke confluence 1.2625 ko breach karne se rally 1.2690 region tak chal gayi. Magar 1.2700 ka psychological barrier abhi bhi unconquered hai, jo further upward momentum ke liye ek pivotal threshold serve karta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 1.2680 se neeche girti hai, toh sellers ke liye downward trajectory ki raahein khul sakti hain jo 1.2500 tak ja sakti hain.

Agar buyers 1.2700 mark reclaim kar lete hain, toh March 21 ka high 1.2804 ko challenge karne ka dhyaan shift ho jayega, uske baad year-to-date high 1.2894 pe focus hoga. Conversely, agar selling pressure dobara barhta hai, toh yeh pair ko 200-DMA 1.2538 ki taraf push kar sakta hai, jahan 1.2500 ka level ek critical support zone ke tor pe loom karta hai.

GBP-USD Pair Analysis
GBP-USD abhi bhi bullish zone mein hai aur agle movement ke liye price ka bullish rehne ka potential hai, kyunke pehle ke movement mein price supply/order block ko breakout karne mein kamiyab raha. Agla destination block order area (1.2786 - 1.2803) hai. Magar, aaj dopahar ko England mein high impact data release hone wala hai, is liye alert rahen agar price block order ka response na kare. Aur agar price block order ka response na kare, toh GBP-USD ke paas resistance line (1.2890) ko visit karne ka potential hai. Agar price dobara girta hai, toh demand area (1.2646 - 1.2650) ko re-test karne ka potential bhi hai.

Predictions

Upar di gayi predictions ke mutabiq, GBP-USD ke agle movement ka bullish rehne ka potential abhi bhi hai, magar bullishness zyada door nahi jayegi kyunke price kaafi door tak chala gaya hai aur abhi tak swing low nahi banaya. Price ne resistance area (1.2890) ko bhi approach kar liya hai, jo ke buyers ke liye profit taking area aur sellers ke liye entry area hai. Is resistance line pe buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan resistance hoga aur sellers ke jeetne ke chances hain, jis se GBP-USD resistance line pe pull back karega. Toh is dafa GBP-USD pe buy entry ke liye, hum line (1.2890) pe place kar sakte hain aur phir resistance line pe sell opportunities dekh sakte hain, intezar karte hue ke ek rejection candle form ho. Neeche GBP-USD ke liye aaj ka complete trading setup diya gaya hai:





Buy Setup

Buy Breakout
- Supply area (1.2786 - 1.2803) ko use karte hue buy breakout. Intezaar karein ke price rise kare aur supply area ko break kare.
- Profit target: line (1.2890).
- Cut loss: agar price dobara girta hai aur 1 hour candle line (1.2786) ke neeche close hoti hai.

Buy Pullback:
- Demand area (1.2646 - 1.2650) ko use karte hue buy pullback. Intezaar karein ke price girta hai aur demand area mein candle rejection close hoti hai.
- Profit target: line (1.2786).
- Cut loss: agar price dobara girta hai aur 1 hour candle line (1.2646) ke neeche close hoti hai.

Sell Setup

Sell Pullback
- Supply area (1.2786 - 1.2803) ko use karte hue sell pullback. Intezaar karein ke price rise kare aur supply area mein ek rejection candle form ho.
- Profit target: line (1.2646).
- Cut loss: agar price dobara rise kare aur 1 hour candle line (1.2803) ke upar close hoti hai.

Sell Breakout
- Demand area (1.2646 - 1.2650) ko use karte hue sell breakout. Intezaar karein ke price girta hai aur demand area ko break karta hai.
- Profit target: line (1.2553).
- Cut loss: agar price dobara rise kare aur 1 hour candle line (1.2650) ke upar close hoti hai.

GBP/USD Analysis
British Pound (GBP) apne recent rally ke baad US Dollar (USD) ke against momentum regain karne mein mushkil ka samna kar raha hai. Early Friday Asian trading mein GBP/USD 1.2695 ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jo ke recent high 1.2760 se neeche hai. Yeh decline USD ki demand barhne ke wajah se aaya hai. Is reversal ke peeche kuch factors hain. Pehla, strong economic data from the US, jo USD ko boost kar raha hai. Flash US S&P Global Composite PMI, jo ke business activity ka ek key indicator hai, May mein do saal ke high par pohonch gaya, market expectations se zyada. Yeh ek strong US economy ko suggest karta hai, jo Federal Reserve ko interest rate cuts rokne par majboor kar sakta hai, jo ke aam tor par USD ko weaken karta. Doosra, UK ki hot inflation data ne Bank of England ke rate cut ke umeed ko dampen kar diya hai. Investors ab August mein sirf 50% chance dekh rahe hain ek cut ka, aur poora cut aur baad mein price in kar rahe hain. Yeh GBP ke relative attractiveness ko USD ke muqable mein kam kar deta hai.





Technical Indicators aur Potential Rebound

In headwinds ke bawajood, kuch technical indicators suggest karte hain ke GBP/USD rebound kar sakta hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) 70 ke neeche hai, jo indicate karta hai ke pair abhi overbought nahi hai, aur Stochastic indicator bhi reversal ke kareeb ho sakta hai jabke yeh 80 ke upar peak ho gaya hai. Bulls (jo price increase ki talash mein hain) ko control regain karne ke liye resistance 1.2750 aur phir 1.2855 ko break karna hoga, jo March se ek key level hai. Yeh move ko longer-term resistance line 1.2985 tak trigger kar sakta hai. Lekin agar price current level 1.2695 se neeche girti hai, toh sellers (jo price decrease ki talash mein hain) active ho jayenge. Potential targets unke liye 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) 1.2612, followed by 1.2570 area aur 200-day moving average hain. In support levels ke neeche break karna GBP/USD ko further 1.2500 ya 1.2445 tak le ja sakta hai.

Upcoming Data aur Market Impact

Overall, GBP/USD pair ek critical juncture par hai. Aane wale UK retail sales, US durable goods orders, aur consumer confidence data releases further clues provide kar sakti hain about currency pair ki direction. Market participants ko in indicators aur data points ko closely monitor karna hoga, taake trading decisions informed tariqe se liye ja sakein.

GBP/USD
GBP/USD ko Jumeraat ko, ek halki wapas ki taraf koofat ke baad, keemat ne rukh badal kar pur'aman tor par shumali taraf jaari rahi, jis ka natija ek mukammal bullish mombatti ka ban jaana tha. Uska shumali saya yeh waaqai kar saka ke mukhtalif muqami satah ka imtehaan kiya gaya, jiska mutaalq meri tajziya ke mutabiq, 1.27094 par mojood hai. Aane waale haftay mein, mein muntakhib resistance level ko nazar andaaz karta rahunga, jis ke qareeb do manazir samne aane hain. Pehla manzar shamil hai ke keemat is satah ke oopar mustawi ho jaye aur mazeed shumali rukh ikhtiyaar kare. Agar yeh mansooba anjaam diya gaya, to mein keemat ka mukhalif hone wale rukh ko 1.28032 par mojood resistance level tak jaane ka intizaar karunga. Is resistance level ke oopar keemat ka mustawi hone par, mein mazeed shumali harkat ka intizaar karunga, jis tak resistance level 1.28938 par mojood hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein trading setup ka banne ka intizaar karunga, jo mazeed trading rukh ka taein karne mein madad karega. Bila shuba, mazeed door ke shumali maqasid hasil karne ke imkaanat hain, lekin mein unhein fil waqt nahi dekh raha, kyun ke main unke jaldi haqeeqat hone ke imkaanat ko nahi dekh raha.

Agli resistance level 1.27094 par agle imtehan ke doran keemat ki movement ke liye ek dosra manzar ek ulat palat ki mombatti ka banne aur tehqiqati junobi harkat ki aaghaaz ka mansooba ho sakta hai. Agar yeh mansooba anjaam diya gaya, to mein keemat ka wapas support level 1.26340 par ya support level 1.25694 par lautne ka intizaar karunga. In satahon ke qareeb dekhte hue




Mukhtalif keemat ki tafseelati harkat ko dekhte hue, GBP/USD jori ne ek naye bulandiyat tak pohanchne ke baad aik ahem kami ka samna kiya. Yeh giravat kam az kam bulandiyat aur nichli bulandiyat se makhfi ghat ka markaz hai. Jab ke jori haal mein kuch sessions mein tabdeeli ki koshish ki hai, paanch mahinay ka naya kamzor, 200 din ka SMA, bara resistance level ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, jis ki wajah se uptrend ruk sakta hai. Agar bullish hawa phir se shuru ho gayi, to GBP/USD March-April ka support zone 1.2574 par imtehan kar sakta hai, jo ab mukhalif ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Is area ke upar se guzar jaane se ek mukarrar ka raasta tay ho sakta hai April ki bulandi par 1.2682. Mazeed shumali taraf jana phir December ke resistance level par 1.2793 ke takrane se rokha ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar giravat jaari rahe, to jori shuru mein February ke kamzor par 1.2517 par pehla support pa sakta hai. Is satah ke neeche ek phasla agar barh gaya, to April ke support par pohanchne ke khatre ka aghaz ho sakta hai 1.2405 par. Mazeed nuqsan ke sath keemat ko neeche khinchna 1.2298 ke paanch mahinay ke kamzor tak ja sakta hai.

News GBP/USD Pound/Dollar

Forum Time™ H4
Sab ko achha mood! 4 baje ke chart ke mutabiq, linear regression channel ko south ki taraf set kiya gaya hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke seller ke active actions hain, jo level 1.27073 par pohnchne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Bears ko wahan dakhil hona hoga aur niche jaana hoga 4 ghantay ke frame par uptrend ko torne ke liye. Seller ke short positions channel ke upper edge ke qareeb 1.27441 ke level par hain. Ye maqam bulls ke liye dilchaspi ka sabab hai jo isay torne aur H4 ke mutabiq downtrend ko torne ke liye isay istemal karenge. Agar 1.27441 ke darajeh par dheeli ho to mein farokht ko tawaja se dekhoonga. Muddat badalne ke maloomat ka intizaar karna munasib hai taakeh bearish positions mein fans ke zor se uthti impulse harkat mein phans na jaen. H4 par halat bearish hai, lekin hourly chart par linear regression channel barh raha hai, jo ke ek upward trend ko zahir karta hai. Kya bears bulls ko hara sakte hain? Yeh maloom ho ga kyunkay market seller ke maqsood ko pura karne ka reaction dekhega. Aur maine dinon ko dekha aur sab kuch dekha.




Kal, agli din, humne daily resistance area ko tor diya aur achi journey ki north ki taraf. Sirf MHIF protocols ka istemal kar ke hum is upward movement ka mukabla kar sake aur din ko bearish pin bar ke saath band kiya, jo kam az kam H4 par bearish technical correction ke baare mein bata raha hai. Ziyada se ziyada peechle trend ki taraf wapas. Kyunkay humne us din GBPUSD ke liye fiber aur technical level ke zariye bullish technical correction ko mukammal kiya tha. Yeh channel ke lower border 1.27073 ke qareeb hai. Khareedaron ko nazar ana chahiye jab woh in ke qareeb ya in ke qareeb hote hain. Agar bullish izafa ka reaction nazar aata hai, to yeh yeh zahir karta hai ke mazboot khareedaron hain jo niche ki harkat ko rokne aur market ko uthane ki koshish karenge. Iske baad, bull market level 1.27596 tay karega. Sellers ki fa'aliyat ko hosakti hai ke doosra option hila sakti hai 1.27073 ke neeche torne ka, is liye koi khareedari ke bare mein baat nahi hai. Giravat jaari rahegi.

GBPUSD
GBP/USD. Ghantay ke chart par, keemat ab bhi aarzi channel mein hai. Kal utarna nahi chaha gaya. Neche jaana mumkin nahi tha, is liye aap umeed kar sakte hain ke keemat aaj bhi izafa karti rahegi. Uper ka maqsood 1.2787 ho sakta hai, jo ke aarzi channel ka ooncha hadood hai. Jab hum upar ke darajeh tak pohanch jate hain, to mumkin hai ke darmiyan mein ek mukhalifat hoti hai aur keemat neeche girne lagti hai. Agar jodi girne lagti hai aur phir gir jati hai, to keemat 1.2728 tak gir sakti hai, jo ke aarzi channel ka neecha hadood hai.

Tahayat. Aur beshak, main khud khatra ya sannata ko naheen naapta, kyunke beshak hamesha izafa hota rehna mumkin nahi hai. Lekin haqeeqat mein hamare liye kuch bhi tabdeel nahi hua hai aur uptrend jari hai jab tak hum mazeed buland hotay hain aur 1.2760 tak pohanchte hain. Magar utarnay ke doran number 27 ke neeche jana mumkin nahi hai. Jab neeche bohot si websites hain, to aik hai jahan hum ne utar lia hai. Lekin dono suraton mein, aaj dollar ki kaise farokht hoti hai, yeh ahem hai, khaaskar jab PMI hoga. Amuman mamlaat asaan nahi hain aur main aise tajurbaat par sochta hi nahi. Lekin agar hum 1.2750 ke oopar jaate hain, to main wahan farokht karne ki koshish karunga, khaaskar jab rukh chhota hoga.





Bollinger indicator ka istemal karke, GBPUSD currency mein teen ahem daraje tay kiye gaye hain: 1.27153 par support, 1.27301 par rukawat aur 1.27227 par darmiyan. Ab trading 1.27335 par hai aur main umeed karta hoon ke kuch izafa hoga farokht shuru karne ke liye. Diagram wazeh tor par dikhata hai ke kharidari mukammal ho chuki hai. Maine faisla kiya hai ke mojooda keemat 1.27335 par farokht ka order kholun aur aage bhi ek farokht ka order rakhoon. Dabavat ke mutabiq, faide do categories mein darj kiye jaate hain.

Forex Trading with GBP/ USD Trend
Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke qeemat ke amal par jari hai. Aaj, GBP/USD jodi 1.2736 par trade ho rahi hai, jahan qareebi support level 1.2709 hai. Kharidaron ko abhi faida hai aur woh dhire dhire mazeed izafa ke liye dabaav daal rahe hain. Chhote dour ke mukhtasir mumkinat ke mutabiq, resistance level 1.2762 par kharidari ke moqay hain, jo lambi positions se faida uthane ke liye behtareen hai. 1.2762 ke upar aur bhi daraje hain, lekin woh kam ahmiyat ke hain, aur is point ke upar trade karna kam faidaymand ho sakta hai. 1.2762 ke upar farokhten qareebi honay ke imkan hai aur ye jatil honi chahiye. Abhi ke liye bullish nazar rakhte hue aur quote ko barhane par tawajju dena munasib hai. Hum United States ke doosray housing market ke data ke ikhtraar aur Federal Reserve ke minutes ke kisi bhi ta'aluqat ka intizaar karte hain, halankeh kisi bhi ahem tabdiliyon ka izhaar mumkin nahi lagta. Sarmaya dar Britain June mein darjat kam karne ka imkan hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke mashhoor tawajoat ke bilkul mukhalif hain, jiska matlab GBP/USD ke liye girawat ki sargarmi ki taraf ishara ho sakta hai.





Situation wazeh nazar aati hai, is haftay Britain mein koi bhi mazeed ahem tabdiliyan mutawaqqa nahi hain. Halankeh kharidaron ne 1.27 se market mein dakhil hue, jo aik bounce ko sahara deta hai, lekin mein ab bhi tasavvur karta hoon ke trading din 1.2700 ke neeche band hone ka imkan hai, jahan target ke darajeh 1.2648 par khulne hain. British mawaishi shumooliyat mein thori kami zahir hui, jise ke baad GBP/USD jodi ka izafa jari raha. Magar mujhe shak hai ke pehla impulse zone 1.2737 mein shikast hona jhoota ho sakta hai. Asal breakout aur is resistance ke upar mushtamil hone wali mazbooti pound-dollar quotes ko agle level par, ya'ni 1.2834 tak lay jaa sakti hai, jahan ke baad girawat ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Mukhalifat mein, agar bears pound ko 1.2738 ke neeche rakhte hain, to woh kharidaron ko 1.2664 ke support ki taraf khich sakte hain, jahan bulls kuch liquidity reserve karte hain. GBP/USD jodi ka manzar ek baar phir ghumraah ho gaya hai, 1.2738 par keemat ka reaction intizaar mein hai.

GBP/USD, jo ke aam tor par dekha jane wala currency pair hai, ne Monday ke tamam trading sessions ke doran ek kaafi ajeeb rawayya dikhaya. Investors aur traders dono ko ek manzar ka samna hua jo behtareen taur par ek flat range ki concept ki gawahi ke tor par darust kiya ja sakta hai. European trading session ke doran aur US session ke aadhe hisse tak, jora ne ek qabil-e-tareef darja ke mustawar satah ka izhar kiya, jo ke ek bohot kam 10-point side channel ke andar fluctuate kar raha tha. Haan, aap ne sahi parha – is doran GBP/USD ki harkat ko sirf ek 10-point range ne qaboo kiya tha. Is seemingly be-lazzat keemat ke range ke andar, market ke shirkat daron ne khud ko nazar andaz ke raaste se guzar te hue paya, jo ke mohlik nuances aur asal raaz se mukhtalif tha. Wazehi keemat ki harkat ki kami ke bawajood, qareebi mutala nazar andaz karta hai ke market ke rawaya mein musallat mukhtalif factors the, har aik market ke rawayye ke peshrafte ke mazeed gunbad mein judte the.





Pehle aur sab se zaroori, GBP/USD ke range-bound rawayye ko kai factors ka milan kaha ja sakta hai, jin mein technical aur buniyadi factors shamil hain. Technical point of view se, jora apne aham support aur resistance levels ke sath joojh raha tha, jahan 1.2691 aur 1.2701 aham hadood the jo ke keemat ki harkat ko shakal dene wale the. Intraday mauqayon se faida uthane wale traders ko aik chunoti bhari environment ka samna hua, kyun ke mazbooti se band range ne munafa dene wale trades ke liye mehdood maqam faraham kiya tha.
Is ke ilawa, jo khamosh trading activity GBP/USD mein Monday ko dekhi gayi, woh market ke jazbat aur macroeconomic developments ke zyada nisaaf afsane ke dour mein bhi contextualize kiya ja sakta hai. Investors jo global iqtisadi behtar hone aur geopolic tension ke baaqi raaz mein savadhani se chal rahe the, unke darmiyan dekha gaya narmi wala volatility currency pair mein mojood risk se bharpoor jazbat ki namoona hai jo market mein phela hua hai.

Aaj ke liye GBP/USD Technical Taqreeb
British Pound (GBP) aaj ke din ke pehle trading session (Asian session) mein apni saansain rok raha hai. GBP/USD currency pair ek tang range mein side se trade kar raha hai, jahan keemat mein kam az kam tabdeeliyan hain. Yeh sukoon shayad is wajah se hai ke investors kisi bhi bara harkat se pehle UK se aane wale ahem data ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Sab ka intezar ka markazi waqiya yeh hai ke Britain mein April ke liye consumer price index (CPI) ka izhaar hoga. CPI keemat ka inflation ko naapta hai, jo samaan aur khidmaton ke daamon mein izafa ka dar hai. Mazboot CPI ka parhna, jo ke zyada inflation ko darust karta hai, Pound ke liye acha hosakta hai. Yeh is liye ke zyada inflation aksar markazi bankon ko interest rates ko barhane par majboor karta hai. Zyada interest rates kisi bhi mumtaz khasosiyat dene wale investors ko mohlik tor par attract karta hai, jo ke currency ko mazboot karsakta hai.

Magar, kamzor CPI ka parhna, jo ke kam inflation ko darust karta hai, Pound par neeche ki dabaav dal sakta hai. Investors ko shayad fikar ho ke Bank of England (BOE), UK ki markazi bank, jald interest rates ko barhane ke liye kam mukhtalif ho. Yeh kuch investors ko apne Pounds ko zyada dilchasp interest rates wale currency ke fawaid ke liye bechne par majboor kar sakta hai. CPI ke sath sath, aaj UK ke kai doosre iqtisadi saboot bhi izhaar kiye jayenge, halan ke inhein CPI ke muqable mein kam ahmiyat di jati hai. Aage ki trading session (American session) ki taraf dekhte hue, tawajju kisi aur jagah par jaayegi. Yahaan, sab se ziada dilchaspi ke data ka izhaar doosri housing market se hoga. Doosri housing market woh hai jahan mojooda gharo ki khareed-o-farokht hoti hai. Is sector se mazboot data America ki iqtisadiyat ke liye acha sign samjha jayega, jisse ke US Dollar (USD) ko aik izafa mil sakta hai.





Magar, American session ka markazi waqiya Federal Reserve, America ki markazi bank ki hali raat ki mulakat ke minutes ka izhaar hoga. Yeh minutes Federal Reserve ki raayein faraham karenge ab mojooda America ki iqtisadiyat ke haalat aur uski monetary policy, jismein interest rates shamil hain, ke baare mein. Analyst ne aik aham level ko 1.2665 par pehchan lia hai. Agar GBP/USD keemat is level ke neeche gir jaaye aur mazboot ho, toh yeh ek mazeed giravat ka ishaara hosakta hai. Is surat mein, analyst umeed rakhta hai ke 1.2635 aur 1.2615 ke aas paas kharidne ke mauqe anege, aik mukhtalif sulook se faida uthane ke liye. Dosri taraf, agar keemat 1.2665 ke upar rehti hai, toh analyst GBP/USD ko 1.2765 aur 1.2815 ke darmiyan nishana karke kharidna chahta hai. Yeh surat mumkin hai ke UK se mazeed achi khabrein ayein, jo ke investoron ki Pound par ziada bharosa ko barha sakta hai.

GBP/USD H4 Technical Analysis
GBP/USD ke liye H4 technical tajziya ne last trading week ke zyadatar doran ek urooj mein raha, naye maqami bulandiyan haasil ki. 1.2524 ke upar jam karne ke baad, keemat ne apna aggressive izafa jari rakha aur 1.2667 ke upar area mein pohncha, jahan ruk gaya aur apne qad par qaim hone ki koshish jari rakhi. Intehai doran, keemat ka chart green zone mein rehta hai, jo ke kharidaron ke mustaqil ahwal ko mazbooti dene ka ishara deta hai. Pound ko umeed ki halat se faida hasil hua, jahan koi buland ya pasti ke liye koi tasalli nahi thi, sikkay ke qeemat mein tabdeeliyon ka intezar tha aur iske asar ko agle doran mein kis tarah ka asar hoga. GBP/USD jora 1.2706 par pahuncha, peechle din ke band hone ke 1.2698 se. Pound 1.2725 ke aasmani bulandiyon se 1.2696 tak gir gaya. Federal Reserve ke kai members ne amm bayanat jari ki jahan kai members ne muttafiq hokar kaha ke interest rates ko kuch waqt tak buland rakha jaana chahiye. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein:





Pair ab filhal kafi urooj par trade ho raha hai, haftay ke bulandiyon ke qareeb. Bara support area ko imtehaan diya gaya aur usay barqarar rakha gaya, is se rebound hua aur izafa jari rakha gaya, apni pasandida urooj rukh ki barqarar rakhne ki irtiqaa ko jari rakhte hue. Ab, keemat ko filhal keemat zone mein jam karke aur khud ko 1.2612 ke level tak mehdood karna zaroori hai, jahan bara support area hota hai. Is area se dobaara test aur uske baad bounce, ek aur upar ki rahat ke mauqe ko faraham karega, jo ke 1.2788 aur 1.2914 ke darmiyan area ki taraf nishana banayega. Agar support toot jata hai aur keemat 1.2524 pivot level ke neeche gir jaata hai, toh mojooda position cancel ho jayega. pound-dollar ka mojooda upward impulse mukammal samjha ja sakta hai, aur hum is instrument ke quotes ko 1.2567 ke peechle northern start ke support ki taraf girne ka intezar kar sakte hain, ya shayad ziada. Magar, agar 1.2733 level toot jata hai aur bulls ko sambhalna ho.

Britain aur USA mein stock market ke growth ne GBP/USD mein izafa barhaya, halan ke main ab bhi yeh sambhavana dekhta hoon ke investors lambi weekend se pehle sales record kar sakte hain, kyun ke Britain aur USA Monday ko band hain. Lekin Europe mein market patla hoga, aur mazboot harkat ki umeed nahi hai. Aaj unhone kal ke decline ke baare mein likha, lekin is surat mein main sales ko fix karne ka soch raha hoon, halan ke shayad pair ka movement flat mein transfer ho jaye 1.2750 aur 1.2680 ke darmiyan, jahan EMA50 barh gaya hai. Wedge ascending channel ke ek naray range mein realign hota hai. Reversal tab hoga jab trading 1.2680 ke neeche jaye, lekin wahan target EMA200 par 1.2595 hoga. Greetings, Freeman!
Kal jab maine char ghantay ke timeframe ko analyze kiya, to humein ek clear signal mila sell ka, jo ke formed ascending price channel ki upper boundary se rebound ke form mein tha. Level 1.2750 (1.2760) se ek rebound tha, jis ke baad British pound south roll ho gaya aur 1.2680 ke level tak gir gaya, jahan se pair ne Europe trading session ke opening par turant rebound kiya aur literally north shoot kar gaya, confident growth mein move karta. Is tarah, northern channel ke andar pehle shuru hui decline wave ko tor diya gaya. Ya phir decline wave zigzag nature mein ho sakti hai. Main pehle scenario ki taraf jhukta hoon aur current levels se aap safely pound/dollar pair ko channel ki upper border tak khareed sakte hain, intersection ke saath! Maine socha ke subah tak pair ko 1.2690 ke aas-paas dekhoon, jo sales ke saath kaam jari rakhne ka reason dega. Aur yahan phir brakes support par 1.2706 par hain aur neeche movement ki ijazat nahi dete. Ab tak main kal ke growth ke baad chhod di gayi sale ko hold karta hoon. Main agree karta hoon, ab graph poori tarah north hai. Lekin bulls bhi wahan zyada progress nahi kar rahe. Kal ki news bhi price tag ko upar nahi le ja saki, balki usay neeche gira diya. To mumkin hai ke subah mein north ki taraf sway ho, lekin us ke baad main bears se zyada activity dekhne ki umeed rakhta hoon. Aur agar hum 1.2683 ke support ko tor sakte hain, to phir hum neeche ke targets ke baare mein soch sakte hain. GBPUSD: