جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Good mood everyone! Linear regression channel ka rukh south ki taraf hai 4 ghantey ke chart ke mutabiq. Yeh seller ke active actions dikhata hai, jo ke level 1.27073 par pohanchne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Bears ko wahan pohanch kar neeche jana hoga taake 4 ghantey ke frame par uptrend ko tor saken. Seller ki short positions channel ke upper edge ke qareeb level 1.27441 par hain. Yeh target bulls ke liye dilchasp hai jo isay tor kar H4 par downtrend ko tod kar apne trend ke mutabiq growth activate karenge. Agar level 1.27441 par slowdown hota hai, to main bechne par gaur karunga. Reversal information ka intezar karna acha hoga taake impulsive upward movement mein phansne se bach sakein jo bulls shayad form karen bearish positions lene ke liye. H4 par soorat-e-haal bearish hai, magar hourly chart par linear regression channel grow kar raha hai, jo ek upward trend ko zahir karta hai. Kya bears bulls ko hara paayenge? Yeh noticeable hoga kyunke market seller ke goal ko achieve hone par react karegi. Aur maine din dekha aur sab kuch samjha.
Kal, agle din, humne daily resistance area ko break kiya aur north ki taraf acha trip kiya. Sirf MHIF protocols ko use karte hue hum is upward movement ko compensate kar paye aur din ko bearish pin bar ke sath close kiya, jo kam az kam H4 par bearish technical correction ke baare mein batata hai. Maximum pichle trend par wapsi hai. Humne us din GBPUSD ke liye bullish technical correction complete kiya through fiber aur technical level. Yeh channel ke lower border ke qareeb 1.27073 par hai. Buyers ko nazar aana chahiye jab wo qareeb ya qareeb pohanchte hain. Agar bullish growth reaction nazar aaye, to iska matlab hai ke strong buyers hain jo downward movement ko rokne aur market ko uthana ki koshish karenge. Uske baad, bull market level 1.27596 set karega. Dusra option jo sellers ki activity stimulate kar sakta hai woh 1.27073 ke neeche break hai, isliye koi buying ka zikr nahi. Decline ke barqarar rehne ke imkanat hain.

Hamara guftagu ka markaz GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya hai. Abhi jo trading value hai, wo 1.2736 hai aur sabse qareebi support level 1.2709 par hai. Is waqt, buyers ka palra bhaari hai aur wo dheere dheere aage badh rahe hain. Short-term mein, 1.2762 ke resistance level par kharidari ke moqe mil sakte hain, jo long positions se munafa kamane ke liye ideal hai. Is point ke upar kuch aur levels bhi hain, magar wo itne ahm nahi hain, aur is se upar trading utni favorable nahi hogi. 1.2762 ke baad koi bhi sales corrective ho sakti hain aur expected hain. Yani ke, bullish outlook rakhna aur quotes badhana better strategy hogi.
Hum US ke secondary housing market aur Fed ki minutes ke data ka intezar kar rahe hain, magar kisi badi tabdeeli ki umeed nahi hai. Investors ko note karna chahiye ke Britain June mein rates cut karne ka soch raha hai, jabke Fed ke fall mein kuch karne ka chance hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye decline ka ishara de raha hai. Is hafte Britain se aur koi bara stimulus expected nahi hai, aur buyers ne 1.27 se entry ki hai, lekin mein predict karta hoon ke trading din 1.2737 se neeche close hoga.

Opening target 1.2648 par set hai. GBP/USD pair ne thodi British inflation statistics ke baad growth dikhayi. Lekin mujhe pehle impulse zone 1.2737 ka breakout genuine lagta nahi. Agar sach mein breakout aur resistance ke upar consolidation hoti hai, to pound-dollar quotes agla level 1.2834 tak pohanch sakti hain, lekin phir decline ki koshish hogi. Magar agar pound 1.2738 ke neeche rehta hai, to bears pullback karke support 1.2664 tak le ja sakte hain, jahan bulls kuch liquidity reserve rakhte hain. GBP/USD pair ka future phir se uncertain hai, aur yeh sab is baat par depend karta hai ke price 1.2738 par kaise react karti hai.

Is GBP/USD ke market mein, hum dekh sakte hain ke US news data ka bhi negative asar pada hai. Wednesday ko, US Retail Sales aur Empire State Manufacturing index ka negative data dekhne ko mila. Kal, US dollar ko phir se Unemployment aur Philly Fed Manufacturing index se negative data mila. To, hum keh sakte hain ke GBP/USD ka market aaj bhi buyers ke haq mein rehne wala hai. Lekin, scales abhi bhi sellers ke favor mein hai, jo unhein buyers par significant power dete hain market mein. Agar aap trade kar rahe hain, to sell-side orders ko 30-pip profit ke target ke saath place karein, magar risk ko mitigate karne ke liye stop-loss measures ko zaroor implement karein.
Support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhein taake aap apni trading positions ko effectively manage kar sakein. Aaj aur shayad poore week ke liye sellers control maintain kar sakte hain, halaanki stability anticipate ki ja rahi hai. Weekly aur daily charts ka istemal karein taake market sentiment ko gehrai se samajh sakein. GBP/USD ke case mein, sellers thodi der ke liye wapas aa sakte hain. Phir buyers 1.2700 zone ko cross kar lenge. GBP/USD ke case mein aur short term ke liye, sellers optimism par ride kar rahe hain, crucial support zone ko breach karne ki umeed mein. Magar, market dynamics ke complexity ke beech, incoming news data aur fundamental analysis ka importance ignore nahi kiya ja sakta. Jabke prevailing sentiment bullish hai, underlying fundamentals ko dekhna zaroori hai. GBP/USD market trading ke case mein, ye mumkin hai ke sellers jaldi hi action le sakte hain, potentially support area ko tod kar.

rrent market environment technical analysis par rely karne se door ja rahi hai, kyunke recent dino mein erratic movements dekhne ko mili hain. Is uncertainty ke beech, sellers ka appeal zyada strong hota ja raha hai, support region ko test karne ya surpass karne ki possibility ke saath. Mera andaza hai ke overall GBP/USD ka market buyers ke favor mein rahega. Magar sellers thodi der ke liye survive kar sakte hain aur UK trading zone ke start se pehle 20 pips hasil kar sakte hain.
Hum jante hain ke kuch din pehle GBP/USD movement predominantly bullish thi. Magar, guzishta Thursday se, yeh dekha gaya hai ke movement ne decline karna shuru kar diya. Lagta hai ke sellers ka pressure strong hone laga hai, jiski wajah se currency pair ne 45 pips ke aas-paas move kiya. Yeh decline tab shuru hua jab candle 1.2700 ke price ko touch kar gayi. Candle ka supply area mein hold hone se GBP/USD apni increase ko continue karne mein fail ho gayi. Ab position candle 1.2663 ke price par trade kar rahi hai.
Agar h1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, to jab se candle supply area 1.2700 par penetrate nahi kar paayi, movement ne rise karna band kar diya hai. Ab, ulat, movement zyada dominant downward hai. Shayad is Friday ko decline continue hoga, kyunke rise ke baad koi correction nahi hui hai. Jab tak supply area penetrate nahi hota, mere khayal se downwards ka opportunity bohot bara hai. Jab tak yeh penetrate nahi hota, chances slim rahenge. Aam tor par, agar candle bearish engulfing pattern ke line mein hoti hai, to reversal process hota hai, isliye khaas tor par aaj mein predict karta hoon ke GBP/USD bohot deeply gir sakta hai.Agar Ichimoku indicator se analysis kiya jaye, to tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ek doosre ko cross kar chuki hain. Yeh indicate karta hai ke trend bearish direction mein ja raha hai. Magar, agar ek aur crossover hota hai to yeh rise ko bhi zyada kar sakta hai. Mera umeed yeh hai ke candle jaldi se brown kumo cloud ko penetrate kare jo indicate karega ke bearish pressure zyada strong ho raha hai.

Wahin, stochastic indicator ne bearish signal diya hai kyunke lines ek doosre ko cross kar chuki hain aur sabse important baat yeh hai ke direction downward hai, iska matlab hai ke near future mein ek aur intersection hoga. Halanki line abhi tak level 80 ko nahi pohochayi, iska matlab hai ke down signal phir bhi aaya hai.Toh, aaj ke analysis ka conclusion yeh hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ka girne ka bohot bara chance hai kyunke candle abhi tak supply area 1.2700 ko penetrate nahi kar sakti. Iske ilawa, jab Ichimoku indicator se analyze kiya jaye to candle positions bhi intersect karti hain, jo indicate karta hai ke trend downtrend ki taraf ja raha hai. Isliye, mein recommend karta hoon ke aap sirf sell positions open karne par focus karein. Aap apna target support price 1.2500 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss nearest support area 1.2700 par rakh sakte hain.

GBP USD

H4 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Kal GBP/USD pair ne apne target level ki taraf breakthrough kiya, magar usse thoda kamyab raha. Lekin kyunke koi bhi level conditional hota hai, mujhe lagta hai ke hum yeh maan sakte hain ke pair ke growth ka current goal achieve ho gaya hai. Ab rollback ka waqt hai. Yahan tak ke pound kal ke high ko update kar sakta hai, magar yeh sirf ek entertainer hai. Saath hi, kal pound futures mai OI ka phir se izafa hua. Jaise maine likha tha, buyers determined hain aur actively positions gain kar rahe hain. Aur jab tak woh apni positions record karna shuru nahi karte, aap ek decent rollback ki umeed nahi rakh sakte. Jaise aam tor par, hum apne haath dekhte hain. Is basis par, yeh currency pair ka initial growth goal waqai achieve ho gaya hai. Ab rollback mumkin hai.




M30 Minutes Timeframe Outlook:

Jab GBPUSD currency pair ka Bolinger indicator se analysis karte hain, to teen key levels identify hote hain: support 1.27153, resistance 1.27301 aur average price 1.27227. Filhaal trading 1.27335 par ho rahi hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh peak activity hai sales shuru karne ke liye. Graph clearly indicate kar raha hai ke purchases ka saturation mumkin hai. Main decide karta hoon ke current price 1.27335 par sell orders open karoon, aur kuch limit sell orders bhi higher place karoon. Plan ke mutabiq, profits do stages par record honge: middle level 1.27227 par aur support level 1.27153 par. Main ek aur sell transaction kholne ka soch raha hoon jab price 1.27227 level ke neeche fix ho jaye. Is combination of orders aur profit levels ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke high results achieve karne ki mumkinat hai.

Technical analysis of the GBPUSD pair
1-hour chart.
Aaj, qeemat ek price nucleus ke andar trade karna shuru hoti hai jo peechlay do dinon ke dauran ke price movement ko dikhata hai. Qeemat din ke aghaz mein support mili lekin price channels ki middle line se resistance face kiya, aur ab qeemat us price peak ke neeche trade ho rahi hai jo channels ki middle line ke saath bana tha, isliye qeemat ke lower channel lines tak pohanchne ke imkanaat hain pehle ke wapas ooper jayegi.
Pair ko trade karne ke liye humare paas do buying opportunities hain.

Pehli tab hai jab qeemat channels ki bottom line par girti hai aur wapas ooper bounce hoti hai, bullish price action banate hue. Is surat mein, aap middle line of the channels tak buy kar sakte hain.
Doosri tab hai jab qeemat barhti hai, mid-channel lines ko break karti hai, aur 1-hour candle uske upar close hoti hai, jahan weekly resistance level 1.2769 tak buy karna mumkin hai.

Economic side par, Forex currency trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq... Monday ko US dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein uljhan rahi jab US Federal Reserve officials ke comments ka silsila aya. Is hawale se, Federal Reserve Bank ke Atlanta ke sarbarah Rafael Bostic ne restrictive expectations ko barqarar rakha, sath hi saal ke aghaz se US economy ke slow hone ki raftar par zor diya. Bostic ne is slow down ko dheray dheray US inflation ko long term mein kam karne mein madadgar qarar dia. Sath hi, Bostic jo ke pichlay chand mahino mein zyadatar hawkish stance apna chukay hain, ne Federal Reserve ke samnay bohot se khataron ka zikar kiya, jismain US mein mustaqil inflation, geopolitical tensions, aur policy uncertainty shamil hain.

"Ham business leaders se bohot baat karte hain aur jo wo sab humein bata rahe hain wo yeh ke cheezain slow ho rahi hain," Fed policymaker ne izafa kiya. "Dusri cheez jo executives kehte hain wo yeh hai ke pricing power kamzor ho rahi hai. Meri umeed hai ke US inflation is saal aur 2025 tak kam hoti rahegi, lekin qeematain utni tezi se nahi girengi jitna bohot se log umeed karte hain. Mera khayal hai ke humein is baat ka yaqeen hone mein kuch waqt lagega." Apne colleagues ke saath, Bostic ne yeh bhi kaha ke aanewali monetary policy par unki outlook mein koi tabdeeli nahi aayi jabke unki umeedon ko dohraya ke easing ka imkaan aakhri quarter of the year mein hai.

Kal, GBP/USD currency pair ne aik ahem rawayya dikhaaya jab uski qeemat din bhar 1.26400 ke darje ke qareeb maqil rahi. Ye level market mein ek janubi sudhaar ki tasdeeq ki tarah kaam aaya. Magar, is sudhaar ke bawajood, qeemat is level ko paar karne mein ya naye neechay ki hudood qaim karne mein nakam rahi, jo mazeed neechay ki harkat ki madda tha. Jab trading din khatam hone ko aaya, aik dilchasp tabdeeli dekhi gayi: qeemat uttar ki taraf rawana hui, pehle ki janubi raftar ko palat dete hue. Ye upar ki harkat ne asal din bhar ki janubi sudhaar ko mansookh kar diya. Magar, ahem hai ke ye uttar ki harkat aik maamooli tor par be-liqaa market mein hui. Is waqt ke dauran qeemat ki kami ka matlab hai ke qeemat ki harkat mukhtalif ho sakti hai ya asal market ke trendon ka zahir karne ke liye kaafi naheen ho sakti. Market ke halat aur qeemat ki harkat ke markazi mahol ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main uttar ki muddat ki haalat par ihtiyaat se kaam kar raha hoon. Market ke is waqt ke be-liqaa hone ka matlab hai ke upar ki harkat asal market ke jazbat ka asal aks na ho. Is liye, main is upar ki muddat ko nazar andaz karne ka rujhan rakhta hoon kyun ke ye asal market ke rukh mein koi tabdeeli ko tasleem naheen karta. Aagay dekhte hue Monday aur aane wale trading sessions mein, main sirf GBP/USD pair ke short positions par tawajjo de raha hoon. Pehli tasdeeq ke mutabiq janubi sudhaar, sath hi 1.26400 level ke paar hone ki kami, ek bearish nazar-e-aatiyat ko saabit karta hai. Baad mein uttar ki harkat, kam liquidity mein hoti hui, kafi saboot faraham naheen karti ke strategy mein koi tabdeeli kiya jaaye. Is nateejay mein, maine is waqt kisi bhi lambi position ko manahi kar diya hai. Mukhtasir mein, GBP/USD pair ki qeemat ke aik din ke rawayya ne 1.26400 level ke ird gird ahem tasdeeqi janubi sudhaar ko darust sabit kiya, magar naye neechay ke mawaqe par na pohanchne ke saath. Dehshat mandi se jude hue ehtiyaat ke sath, aage chal kar, mera tawajjo sirf short positions par rakhne ka hoga, jabke lambi positions abhi ke liye wazeh hain. Ye ihtiyaati taur par is baat ko yaqeeni banane ke liye hai ke market ke tanazaat ke jhokon ke sath waziha aur mazboot market signals par trading ke faislay kiye jaayein.

<sub>GBP/USD Ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pound ne pichle haftay shuru hui decline ko continue karne ki koshish ki. Yeh 1.2709 ke level tak continue karne mein kamyab hua, koshish karta ke ise break kare. Magar attempt fail hui aur price agle level 1.2760 tak pohanchi. Price ko resistance mila pehle bounce hone se pehle aur wapas apni original position pe aayi, jo uncertain momentum ko indicate karta hai. Sath hi price chart green zone of super trend mein enter hui. Yeh buyer ke movement ko demonstrate karta hai. 1.2678 ka support level bull trend ka sign hai agar yeh break nahi hota. Bull trend ka doosra confirmation 23.6% Fibonacci level hai. Long-term trade ke liye main 161.8% target level set karunga. Yeh lateral movement ki activity ko kuch waqt ke liye support kar sakti hai. Chart dekhne ke liye neeche dekhein:



Price ek rectangular series mein range kar rahi hai. Entry ke confirmation ke liye, hum level ke above ya below breakout ka wait karenge. 1.2760 ka retest karte waqt higher attempt pe bounce hone ke baad confirm hua ke is area mein actual resistance hai. Dynamic point of view se dekhein toh relative balance of power ab bhi uncertain hai. Yeh kaafi chance deta hai ke price wapas 1.2760 level pe retest aur exit attempt ke liye return kare. Magar, popular downward vectors bhi cancel nahi huye, jo relevant hain. Is tarah, central resistance indicate hota hai ke yeh area mein locate hai aur aik bounce possible hai. Yeh region ko target karega jo 1.2665 aur 1.2574 ke beech hai. Yeh aik aur down move ka mauqa dega. Current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milega agar resistance level enter hota hai aur reversal level 1.2858 ko break karta hai.</sub>

GBP USD Ki Nigahdar Technical Tahlil:
Maliyati bazaaron ke zamane mein, bazaar ke halaat ka hamwar rehna, jin traders ki talash hai ke hamesha tabdeeli mein qabil-e-qabool landscape mein chalne ke liye, intehai ahem hai. Mahtat rehne se, tafseeli tahlil karne se, aur buland daira-e-tabdiliyat ki hifazat se, traders apne aap ko ek chaalbaazi ke andaz mein mukhtalif moqaat ka faida uthane ke liye strategic taur par qaim kar sakte hain aur bazaar ke tabdeel hone wale lehrun mein khatron ko kam kar sakte hain.

Kamyabi ki ek bunyadi bunyad bazaar ke halaat ke bare mein maloomat rakna hai. Is mein mukhtalif maqamat par mojooda market conditions ka tawajju dena shamil hai, jisme mukhtalif maqamat par mojooda market shiraaat, khabron ke toor par tazkiraat aur jughrafiayati waqeaton ko shamil karna hai jo maal ki keemat ko mutasir kar sakti hain. In factors ke mutabiq tawajju rakhne se, traders bazaar ke jazbat mein ahem maloomat hasil kar sakte hain aur mogheya market harekaton ka andaza laga sakte hain.

Tafseeli tahlil ka aik aur konha trading ka kamyabi ka bunyadi rukh hai. Technical analysis, jo ke keemat ke charts ka mutala aur patterns aur trends ka pehchan karna shamil hai, traders ko mogheya dhalve aur nikli points ke bare mein qeemti maloomat faraham kar sakta hai. Wahi, bunyadi tahlil, jo ke companies aur economies ke bunyadi maali sehat aur karwai ko tajziya karne ke shamil hai, traders ko maal ki asli qeemat ke bare mein zyada maloomat faraham kar sakta hai. Bazaaron ke halaat jaldi badal sakte hain, aur traders ko apne strategies ko mutabiq taur par tarteeb dena chahiye. Ye naye maloomat ke jawab mein trading plans ko modify karne, market ki tabdeel hone wali bharkhurdgiyon ko hisaab se le kar risk management strategies ko adjust karne, ya phir mogheya market shiraaat ke mutabiq mukhtalif trading approaches mein switching karna shamil ho sakta hai. Ghair yaqeeni ke muqable mein chokas rehna zaroori hai. Aane wale khabron ke data par tawajju dena, tafseeli tahlil karna, aur mojooda halaat ke mutabiq taamul karne ke liye mukhtasir kafi tariqay hain. Ek doosri taraf, technical aur bunyadi tahlil ke darmiyan aik tanazul approach ka istemal karna, sath hi buland darja taamul aur adaptability ko qaim rakhna, traders ko market ke be yaqeeni hawao mein bemaar sakkei ke liye ahem strategies faraham karta hai.

Assalam Alaikum! Kal, Bartanwi pound ko 1.2685 ke ilaqe me ghotah lagate hue bhari nuqsan hua. Halankeh abhi bhi kami ki gunjaish hai aur pound sterling dawab me hai, mujhe ummid hai keh is jodi ka qadar badhega. Kisi bhi surat me, bahut kuch dollar ki harkiyat par munhasar karega. Aakhir kar, traders hafte ke aakhir tak apni positions se bahar nikal sakte hain.
Maine PMI ke aidad o shumar ke jari hone se pahle short positions kholne ki himmat nahin ki aur munafa kamaya. Agar qimat dobara se 1.2730 ke nishan se ooper chadhti hai to, mai ek short positions kholunga.

### Good morning!

Kal ka din GBP/USD pair ke liye bohot volatile tha, aur price upar neeche hoti rahi. Din ke pehle hisson mein pair ne price mein izafa dikhaya, magar shaam ko ye sales ki taraf mod gayi. Aaj ke liye, mein expect kar raha hoon ke downward movement current values se continue ho, aur target support levels 1.26700-1.26467 tak pohanchna hai. Neeche wale support level se, mein expect kar raha hoon ke pair buy ki taraf reverse karega, aur kam az kam resistance level 1.27077 tak pohanchna hai.

Kal ka din sales mein jo the unke liye suspenseful tha, aur mere liye bhi. Agar mujhe pehle se maloom hota ke aisa chatter hoga, to mein neeche cover le leta aur wapas same positions se re-enter karta. Iski bajaye, mujhe dekhna pada jab profit dobara zero ke qareeb pohanch gaya, aur phir se decline ka wait karna pada. Bears ne 1.2703 se neeche break kiya, to ab jab price is level par wapas aayega, to mein sales mein contribute karunga. Agar ye 1.2720 se upar nahi jate, to bulls ko scolding mil sakti hai. Downward target abhi 1.2640 ke area mein hai, to chale wahan chalein, rollback ke saath ya bagair.

Ek upward trend bhi raaste mein hai, to aage barhna aasaan nahi hoga. Magar trend line ko break karne par, decline shayad continue hoga. Isliye, humein sabr se intezar karna padega further decline ka. Ye baat note karna zaroori hai ke pair ka movement unpredictable hai, aur humein kisi bhi scenario ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

### Conclusion

Mein expect kar raha hoon ke GBP/USD pair mein downward movement continue hoga, aur target support levels 1.26700-1.26467 tak pohanchna hai. Wahan se, mein expect kar raha hoon ke pair buy ki taraf reverse karega, aur kam az kam resistance level 1.27077 tak pohanchna hai. Sabr karein aur further decline ka intezar karein, pair ke movement ki unpredictable nature ko yaad rakhte hue.

### Federal Reserve's Signal and Inflation Concerns

GBP/USD aaj ek naazuk balance par navigate kar raha hai, US dollar ke muqable me 0.09% ki halka si decline dekhte hue. Ye subtle decline market forces ke complex interplay ko reflect karta hai. Halanki US Treasury yields, jo currency valuation ko influence kar sakti hain, badhi hain, magar greenback ye gains maintain nahi kar saka. GBP/USD abhi 1.2696 par hai, jo intraday low 1.2675 se wapas claw back kar chuka hai.

Federal Reserve Board of Governors ke member Michelle Bowman ke recent remarks ne market participants ke darmiyan discussions ko stir kar diya hai. Bowman ki commentary ne inflation ki trajectory ke hawale se concerns ko highlight kiya, jo ye suggest karta hai ke is domain mein progress itni linear nahi ho sakti jitni pehle anticipate ki gayi thi.

### Impact on Monetary Policy and Currency Dynamics

Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke hawale se conjecture ne GBP/USD equation me complexity ka ek aur layer add kar diya hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September tak 25 basis-point rate cut ki probability marginally badh kar 49.0% ho gayi hai. Central bank ke potential easing of monetary policy ke speculation ka potential hai ke US Dollar ki strength ko undercut kare, aur is tarah GBP/USD pair ko bolster kare.

### Potential Scenarios and Future Outlook

GBP/USD ke recent movements potential trends ke hawale se insights offer karti hain. 100-day moving average (DMA) ke confluence 1.2625 ka breach rally ko 1.2690 region ki taraf le gaya hai. Magar, 1.2700 ka psychological barrier abhi tak unconquered hai, jo further upward momentum ke liye ek pivotal threshold serve karta hai. Conversely, agar price 1.2680 se neeche dip hoti hai, to sellers ko embolden kar sakta hai, aur downward trajectory 1.2500 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Agar buyers 1.2700 mark ko reclaim kar lete hain, to attention March 21 high 1.2804 ko challenge karne par shift ho jayegi, followed by year-to-date high at 1.2894. Conversely, selling pressure ke resurgence se pair 200-DMA at 1.2538 ki taraf push ho sakta hai, aur 1.2500 level critical support zone ke tor par loom kar raha hai.

مئی 24 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے دوسری بار 1.2745 کی مزاحمتی سطح پر حملہ کیا۔ یہ حملہ بدھ کو اس کی کوشش سے کمزور تھا، اور دن کے اختتام تک قیمت 18 پپس تک گر گئی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نے اپنی کمی کو تیز کر دیا ہے۔



قیمت ممکنہ طور پر 1.2636 نشان کے ارد گرد ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی حمایت کے ساتھ جدوجہد کرے گی۔ اگر ریچھ کامیاب ہو جاتے ہیں تو اگلا ہدف کی سطح 1.2596 ہو گی۔ چونکہ گرین پرائس چینل لائن اس سطح سے بالکل نیچے ہے، اس لیے سپورٹ اور ہدف 1.2578/96 کی حد میں دکھائی دیتے ہیں۔



قیمت ٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تک پہنچ گئی۔ پاؤنڈ اب اس کو توڑنے کی تیاری کر رہا ہے۔ اس لائن کے نیچے کنسولیڈیشن، کل کی کم سے مساوی، قریب ترین ہدف 1.2636 پر کھولتا ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نے نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں خود کو قائم کیا ہے اور مسلسل گر رہا ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP-USD taqreeban poray din aik jaga hi raha, jahan tak aik munafa aur mazboot keemat ke range ke sath ek taraf ja sakta hai. Agar mujhe wajah ke baare mein guess karna pare, to shayad bade traders market mein pehle dakhil hone se darenge, jab tak unhe Flash Manufacturing PMI aur Flash Services PMI data ka andaza na lag jaye United States ke liye. Lekin yeh ghalat bhi ho sakta hai. Yadi meri guftagu theek hai, to ye matlab hai ke naye market mein data jaari hone ke baad tez fluctuations ka samna karega.

Isliye mein maamoon deta hoon traders ko thodi der ke liye rukna chahiye jab tak data aakhir mein jaari na ho jaye, phir woh sabse akhri tajziya kar sakte hain. Uske turant baad, jab keemat kuch dino se bullish hai aur aik jaga hi rahti hai, shayad ye keemat phir se istaraf jaaye, jaise USDJPY mein kuch waqt pehle hua tha. Lekin, USDJPY ke haalaat GBPUSD ke haalaaton se mukhtalif hain.

USDJPY pair mein, Fed ki interest rate aur BOJ ki interest rate mein bohot bara farq hai, isliye bullish trend jaari rakhna aam baat hai. Jabke, GBPUSD pair ke liye hai ke Fed ki interest rate aur BOE ki interest rate mein farq bohot chota hai, isliye ye keemat ko bullish ya bearish hone ki shak nahi hai. Isliye sab se surakshit hal hai ke sirf jab ahem data jaari ho, tab hi trade karein.

Bartani pound ne aik silsile ke aik niji data shocks ke baad apni khaas mazbooti dikhayi. Halankeh UK mein April mein barish ka mausam far more impact dene wala tha consumer spending par jo expected tha, lekin mazboot inflation aur July ki general election ki khabar ne pound ko support di. Ye article pound ki market ke immediate reaction aur uske future trend forecast par gehri nazar dalay ga

Immediate market reaction: Sterling's resilience

Jum'eh ko pound gir gaya lekin overall aik do mahine ka uncha reh gaya. UK Office for National Statistics dwara jaari ki gayi data ne dikhaya ke April mein sales 2.3% gir gayi, jo ke economists ke 0.4% girne ka expected tha se kam thi. Lekin consumer confidence index ne apni highest level dikhaya jo 2021 ke end ke baad tha, jo pound ko thori support di.

Technical analysis: GBP support and resistance levels

Pound $1.2700 par flat tha Jum'eh ko jab UK inflation rate April mein 2.3% barh gaya, expected 2.1% se zyada, aur pound ne $1.2761 tak trade kiya. Euro modest uptrend mein raha pound ke against 0.8520 par.

Well-known institutional analysts ki rai

David Sturridge, Caxton ke strategist ne kaha ke market ne inflation data par zyada react kiya tha aur haqeeqi manzil se pehle ponound ne aik giravat ko roka. Phir bhi, pound ne remarkable resilience dikhayi aur pre-inflation levels tak girne se bacha.

Market Forecast: Future Trends of the British Pound

Investors ne June mein Bank of England ke rate cut ke chances ko 10% se kam kar diya hai jo ke inflation data se pehle around 50% tha. Do saal ke UK government bond yield apni is saal ki sabse badi hafte ki barahni ke liye pace par hai, jo ke monetary policy ke direction ke liye market ki expectations mein aik shift dikhata hai.

Pound market ne inflation data aur election news ke milne wale impact ko sahate hue apni mazbooti dikhayi hai. Halankeh pound ko short term mein kuch volatility ka samna ho sakta hai, lekin long term mein UK ki economy aur government ke policy support ke positive fundamentals pound ke liye aur support de sakte hain. Investors ko UK ke economic data aur policy trends par tawajjo deni chahiye taake wah pound mein behtareen invest karne ka sahi waqt pakar sake.

GBP/USD aaj ek naazuk tawazun mein chal raha hai, US dollar ke muqablay mein sirf 0.09% gir gaya. Yeh halka sa zawaal bazaar ke mukhtalif asraat ka natija hai. Jabke US Treasury yields barhe, jo ke currency ke qeemat ko mutasir kar sakte hain, lekin greenback apni gains barqarar nahi rakh saka. GBP/USD filhal 1.2696 par hai, jo ke intraday low 1.2675 se wapas aaya hai.

Federal Reserve ke Signal aur Mehngai ke Tashweesh

Federal Reserve Board of Governors ki member Michelle Bowman ke taja tareen bayanaat ne bazaar ke shirka kaon mein guftagu ko janam diya hai. Bowman ke comments mehngai ke trajectory ke hawale se tashweesh ka izhar karte hain, yeh darshate hain ke is silsile mein taraqqi pehli tasveer ki tarah seedhi nahi hogi.

Monetary Policy aur Currency Dynamics par Asar

Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke hawale se afwahaat GBP/USD equation ko mazeed pechida kar deti hain. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September tak 25 basis-point rate cut ka imkaan thoda barh kar 49.0% ho gaya hai. Markazi bank ke potential easing of monetary policy ke hawale se yeh afwaah US Dollar ki taqat ko kamzor kar sakti hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ko mazboot karne ka imkaan rakhta hai.

Mustaqbil ke Ihtimalaat aur Anay Wali Surat-e-Haal

GBP/USD ke taja harekat mumkin trends ka pata deti hain. 100-day moving average (DMA) ke 1.2625 ke confluence ke breach ne 1.2690 region ki taraf rally ko catalyze kiya hai. Magar, 1.2700 ka psychological barrier ab tak fatah nahi ho saka, jo mazeed upar jane ke liye ek ahem threshold hai. Dosri taraf, 1.2680 se neeche girne se sellers ko hosla milega, jo ke downward trajectory ko 1.2500 ki taraf le jayega.

Agar buyers 1.2700 ka mark wapas hasil kar lein, to tawajju March 21 ka high 1.2804 ko challenge karne par hogi, uske baad year-to-date high 1.2894 par. Dosri taraf, agar selling pressure dobara barh gaya to pair ko 200-DMA 1.2538 par push kar sakta hai, jahan 1.2500 level ek critical support zone ke tor par hai.