جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD Technical Analysis:


Trading channel oopar ki taraf mudir hai, jaisa ke aapne bataya. Mazeed chhotay muddaton aur daily muddaton apni apni tareeqay se oopar dekh rahe hain. Magar yeh yeh nahi ke aaj yeh oopar ki taraf hi chalta rahega, dekhtay hain, dekhtay hain. Pound bohot qareeb hai ahem resistance zone ke, 1.2760-1.2780, jahan D1 ke upper signal line se guzarta hai. Kya aaj yeh signal ko amal mein laayenge, mujhe nahi pata, meri raye mein is ke liye mazeed wazeh support ki zaroorat hai. Kyunki qeemat local unchiyon par hai aur ahem resistances ke qareeb, main intraday trading ki taraf soch raha hoon, be-shak na keval level se, magar signals ke mutabiq aur qareebi maqasid ke liye. Neeche ki taraf ka rebound ka signal maujood ascending channel se dakhal ke saath hoga. Qareebi maqasid hai upward impulse ka support, zone 1.2710-1.2690. Yeh zone bechenge, post channel ko torenge aur qeemat neeche giraygi. Channel ka jari rakhna 1.2780 ke darjaat tak le jayega, shayad abhi thoda oopar bhi ho. Subah ka model, kal subah ka wahi tasveer jo thi.


Levels ko nazdeek se dekhna aur reactions ka intezar karna bohot ahem hai. Main taiz barhne ki qayamiat ke baray mein shak karta hoon, kyunke yeh aksar mutabiq giravat ke saath ati hai. Ek mustaqil chadhai ke mukhalif, jaise ke GBP/USD ghantay ke chart par, yeh achanak surge rukh badalne ke qabil nazar aata hai. 1.2875 par jawabat ka intezar karne layak hai (3/8 channel ka nichla hudood), magar mazeed behtareen farokht ka point 1.2936 (4/8) par hai. Main is level par farokht shuru karunga aur ibtidaee maqasid ko 1.2817 par rakhunga, jo ke 1.2759 ke baad aata hai. Ahem hai ke qeemat 1.2935 par mazboot resistance ke jawabat ko kis tarah se deti hai, kyunke mazeed oopar ki jaari hosakti hai. Ab, chaliye, main is aala ke liye trading scenario ka apna nazarriya share karunga. Sab se pehle, main Heikin Ashi indicator ko mutarif karunga, jo ke mukhtalif candlesticks ka istemal karke market noise ko smoothen karta hai aur chart delays ko kam karta hai. (Moving Average) channel indicator support aur resistance lines ko smooth moving averages ke buniyad par identify karne mein madad karta hai, jo ke channel ke mojooda hudood ko darust karta hai.

Aaj ka mera analysis GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior par hai. Kal ki ek mazeed tezi ke bawajood, aik wazeh ulta chaal kaarana abhi tak ghair wazeh hai. Main aaj aik wapas jari honay ka tawaqqu' rakhta hoon, shayad 1.27051 ke support level tak. Yeh koi guarantee nahi hai, lekin kharidari ki taraf ulta chaal shuru ho sakti hai. Farokht mojooda trend ke mutabiq nahi hai, aur mera maqsad 1.3000 par resistance level tak barhna hai, mojooda urooj ko guzar dena. Mujhe apni na pasandeedgi ke bawajood, mein mojooda qeemat 1.2800 par farokht ka tawajjuh dena ka soch raha hoon. Pichle dino mein, farokhtoon mein na-ummeediyan, bazaar ke qeemati durustiyan chhodkar, zyada tar jald-bazi aur chhoti fikriyat ki wajah se hoti rahi hain. 1.2708 tak ek wapas ki tawajjuh mumkin hai, aur mein ehtiyaat ki talab karta hoon ke farokht shuru karne se pehle qeemat ko ghalt na samjhein. Jo mombati kam ho, woh bobble zyada hota hai; is liye, 1.2703 block ilaqa mein rukna mashwara hai.


Aaj, mein jald-bazi ke faislon ka khatra nahi lena chahta, khaaskar peechli unchi takhmeen ke maamlay mein, jahan haal ki harkaat zyadatar neeche ki taraf rahi hai. Aaj jumeraat hai, aur haftay ki tezi ko tasleem karne ki zarurat hai. Khaas taur par, H4 chart par, qeemat ne trend line ko tor diya hai, jo keh raha hai ke trend mein tabdeeli aayi hai aur ek naye bullish zigzag ke banne ki mumkinat hai. Lekin, flat trading position ko pehchanna bhi ahem hai, jo kehta hai ke breakout maqamat mein aik dakhli margin-e-khata ho sakta hai. Iss ke darmiyan, aik yaqeeni baat ye hai ke pound ke naqsha mein 1.3000 par aik ahem rukawat maujood hai, D1 trend line ki wajah se dilchaspi hasil hoti hai. British dollar kharid-darun ke aik mumkin qadam ke pehle, aik muttasil girti hui raftaar ho sakti hai. Farokht karne wale ke liye ahem lehazat 1.2760 aur 1.2724 hain, jo ke ahem samjhe jana chahiye.

مارچ 12 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، برطانوی پاؤنڈ 1.2826 کی سطح سے اوپر کو مستحکم کرنے میں ناکام رہا، لیکن آج یہ ایک اور کوشش کی تیاری کر رہا ہے، کیونکہ پیسیفک سیشن پرامید انداز میں آگے بڑھ رہا ہے، اور تکنیکی آسیلیٹر نمو کا مشورہ دیتے ہیں۔ خاص طور پر، مارلن نے گرنا بند کر دیا ہے اور روزانہ چارٹ پر اٹھنے کے لیے تیار ہے۔ قیمت 1.2826 کے اوپر مستحکم ہونے کے ساتھ، قیمت 1.2940 کی طرف بڑھ سکتی ہے۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.2826 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہونے میں کامیاب رہی، لیکن مارلن آسیلیٹر منفی علاقے میں داخل ہوئے بغیر ہی پلٹ رہا ہے۔ قیمت آسانی سے قریب ترین مزاحمت سے اوپر واپس آ سکتی ہے۔

اس کے علاوہ، نوٹ کریں کہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن 1.2745 کے ہدف کی سطح سے اوپر بڑھ گئی ہے، اسے بیئرز سے بچاتی ہے۔

اس صورت میں، قیمت اس کی جانچ کرنے کے اپنے منصوبے کو ترک کر سکتی ہے اور اس کی بجائے یہ آسان راستہ اختیار کر سکتی ہے۔ امریکی افراط زر کے اعداد و شمار حوصلہ فراہم کر سکتے ہیں۔ اگر یہ توقعات پر پورا اترتا ہے – 3.7% YoY بنیادی سی. پی. آئی. کے مقابلے میں ایک ماہ قبل 3.9% YoY۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

gbp/usd price analysis:


h1 time frame


In this analysis, we will look at the pricing dynamics of the GBP/USD currency pair. During the trading session, I felt bullish because the currency pair's daily reversal range had reached its upper limit. Ek upward momentum ke sath, range 1.2768 tak barh gayi. This session, the market is showing signs of a pullback. Jabki 1.2736 tak pahunch kar, ye pure din ke range ko cover nahi kar paya aur opening levels par laut gaya. Mojooda market volatility is suboptimal, and the British pound's performance has deteriorated. Kam horahi average daily ranges ki trend se hatne ka intezar karte hue; nazdeek future mein ek expansion ke indicator hain, jo kal ke buying activity se fuel mila hai. GBP/USD daily chart ke qareebi jayeza sellers ke liye aaj ikhtiyarat ki nishani dete hue nazar. Buyers are challenging Tanqid as the downtrend approaches its primary resistance line and a reversal is expected. Isi liye, ek zyada saaf candlestick configuration ka zahir hone tak bechnay se ihtiyaat ka mashwara diya.


Bearish shift ki khayal mojooda waqt mein mukhalifat ka samna kar raha hai; jismani wajah se GBP/USD market mein wave structure, jo 1.2545 ka critical level guzarna zaroori banata hai. The trading activity of the GBP/USD currency pair suggests that market sentiment may be shifting towards bullish territory. Halanki kal ka bullish momentum ek trend reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai, but ehtiyaat zaroori hai, khaaskar buyers and sellers ki darmiyan chal rahi jung ko mad e nazar rakhte hue. When the market is open, mustaqil, emerging patterns, and signals can be used to spot potential trading opportunities.
The market is bearish, with short options available. Mukhtalif nishaan dikh rahe hain, jo dikhata hai ki moujooda position zyada tar neeche ka rukh rakhte hain. If you have a shiraa'it tasdeeq, use a munasib strategy to trade the trend.


Market dynamics mein istifadah uthate hue; yeh maqsad karna zaroori hai ke market movements par tez tawajjo dijaye aur sahi trading strategy ko tajziya kiya. When trading in a bearish trend, market participants should focus on specific zones and levels. Yeh strategy ko madad karegi, taake se behtar trading decisions le sakein.

Is there a bearish trend or any short positions in the market? In this case, the market is trading at the lower outer Bollinger Bands (BB) level. If the market is testing a level, it indicates that there is bearish pressure on the market and prices are falling. Isi dauran, traders ko EMA 13, 18, & 28 zone par bhi tawajjo deni chahiye, jo ke aham support & resistance zones hoti hain.

Market analysis is important because it allows traders to understand the overall trend and sentiment of the market. When developing a trading strategy, traders should consider long-term market trends as well as current price action.

Traders use maqsad to conduct technical and fundamental analysis. Technical analysis uses price charts and indicators to predict market movement. Hello, fundamental analysis ke zariye, woh market mein hone wale economic events and news ka tajziya karke future price movements ka andaza laga sakte hai.

Market analysis and financial management are closely related. Money management and trading capital management are important aspects of trading that must be addressed.

Aakhir mein, yeh maqsad karna zaroori hai ke traders market ko samajh kar apna trading decisions ko samajhdaarana tareeqe se lein. To achieve the desired results, trading strategies must be adjusted in response to market changes and trends.Hamara tajziya mojooda waqt mein GBP/USD currency pair ke karaobar ki rawish par mabni hai. Because the currency pair has risen to the upper half of the chart, a bullish trend is emerging. If the range 1.2768 is breached, the market may experience a pullback. Halankay 1.2736 tak pohnch gaya, but yeh pooray din ke range ko cover karne mein kamyab nahi ho saka, and din ki shuruaat ki taraf laut gaya. Kul mila kar, market ki halat is suboptimal; jismein pound bhi shamil hai. Yeh shayad rozana ki aam range ko ghata dega aur usay barha dega; kal ki kharidari se izafa ki umeed hi. On the daily GBP/USD chart, a warning candle appears. Pehle se post ke anusaar, zikar shuda downtrend ke mukhya rukawat rekha ke qareeb ek mukhtalif trend ka mohlat shuru hone wala hai, ki kharidari karne walay is khayal par sawalat utha rahe. Behtar hai ke bechnay se pehle ek zahir aur candlestick ke manzar ka intezaar kiya. Abhi ke liye bearish shift ka khayal mukhalif hai, so GBP/USD market mein lehrain banata hai, jis mein 1.2545 ke darje ko guzarna.Here are the live dynamics of the GBP/USD currency pair. GBPUSD phir se bullish ho raha hai kis ka maqsad Jumma ko qayam ki gayi oonchi satahain imtehaan karna hai, jo market mein kharidaron ki dominance ko darust karti hai aur shorting ke bajaye lambi positions ko pasand karti hai. Figure 27 depicts the long trade positions. Main chart ke neechay do indicators ki alaamaat se lagta hai ke H1 par long trade positions maujood hain; khas tor par RSI oopar ki taraf murnay ke sath, jo longs ko 1.2895-1.2915 ka waada hai. Pound Jumma ki buland satah ko update karte hue 29vi figure tak pohanchay ga or 1.2918 par dobara imtehan le ga. The chart of the pound-dollar pair shows a trading pattern similar to that of the euro-dollar currency pair. Euro ki giravat ke doran, yeh range mein trade kiya gaya. Shuruati ittefaqat mein overbought shorat mein bhi rahay, currency pair se izafa jari raha.

The Bank of England's monetary policy has resulted in a bullish trend, which has left many puzzled. Mazbooti ke jaari rehnay ki sambhavna hai, mohtava ki range tak pohanchti ja sakti hai 1.2906, whereas 1.2905 ka jhoota breakdown trend ka palat aur farokht ke liye moqaat kholta hai. Qeemat ab teen trend harkaton ke zariye banayi gayi global flat range mein, jis ki umeed hai ke breakout ya rebound ke signals peda karega. Choti mudat ki tawaqoat mein 1.2905 ke satah ka jhoota breakdown, trend ka palat ki alamaat, and 1799 ke satah ki qeemat ka mumkinah breakdown, peechlay durust satah par wapas jaane ka bahana banae. Lambi tawani mein, hum 2 ke tor di gayi qeemat ke peechay qeemat ki mazid consolidation ka intezar kartay hain; jis se position mukarar karnay aur maqsad tay karnay ke liye shirayat mojood ho.



h4 time frame



Chart pay GBPUSD ka rate aj subah market ke opening mein khaas farq nahi tha aur phir dopahar tak koi badi harkat bhi na hui. The rate is based on the supply area. If hum rate ko dekhte hain, phir se barh gaya aur pichli harkat mein qareebi supply/resistance ko toorta hai, then GBPUSD ka agla qadam bhi taqreeban tezi se hoga. Magar, rate ab daily supply 1.2893 - 1.2993 tak pohanch chuka hai, and yeh daily supply ko toorna abhi tak na mumkin hai, isliye rate mein kuch wapas ya correction hone ka imkan hai, pehle ke rate dobara barh jaye aur daily supply 1.2893 - 1.2935 ko toor de. If hum market ki halat dekhte hain, jo abhi bhi khamosh hai, and is peer ko koi ahem iqtisadi data jaari nahi hua, then aaj ke GBPUSD ke movement mein correction kafi mumkin hai. Purani resistance line jo ab ek imbalanced area hai 1.2759 - 1.2801 kehte hain ke agle GBPUSD ke movement mein ek correction target ban sakta hai aur shaded correction demand ya order block area tak ho sakta hai 1.2618-1.2645. Subah ke Asian market session mein trading hui, woh dekha gaya ke keematein bikri karne wale dabeer farokhtkarun ki qabzay mein aa gayi. Woh koshish kar rahe the keemat ko neeche le jaane ke liye farokht dabaav daal kar keemat ko 1.2800-1.2805 ke support area ki taraf lieen. If yeh area tor nahi paye, then phir keemat phir se khareedaron ke control mein aajayegi, jo apne nishaan ko dabeer resistance area (1.2880-1.2885) ki taraf le jaane ke liye bullish harkat ko jari rakhenge. If yeh area kamyaab ho gaya, then what is the supply resistance area's taraf? 1.2940-1.2960. RSI indicator dikhata hai, keemat pehle 68 level ke area mein thi, ab woh 70 level ke area ki taraf ja chuki hai, jo darust karta hai, ke bullish mauqa ab bhi bohot khula hai. Bullish target kam aaj ke trading mein 75 RSI level ki area tak pohanchne ka hai.
GBP/USD currency pair ke keemat ke harkaat ki live dynamics ka jaaiza lena wazeh hai ke market sentiment ko mutassir karne wale mukhtalif factors ko ghor se dekhaye. Ek factor jo bullish sentiment mein izafa kar raha hai, where UK and US dono ki mojooda ma'ashiyati halaat hain. Musbat ma'ashiyati data, jese ke mazboot GDP izafah, ghata hua berozgari ka dar, ya mazboot consumer spending, dono mumalik ke mawaqay mein investors ki itminan afroz nazrane ki wajah bansakte hain. Ye, apne currencies ke aghaz ko istefadah mein laa kar, GBP/USD pair ke up trend ko support karte hain, traders aur investors is ki raftar mein itminan dikha rahe hote.
1.2846 purchasing hamara se kuch hai. Chalo 1.2728 se 1.2722 ke opening mein dakhil ho jayein; mein jhatke ke chances ko kam karne ke liye 1.2717 ke area mein stop order rakhunga. Main upper bar ko 1.2809 tak uthaunga, sirf kyunki mujhe sach mein paisa ki zaroorat hai, aur lambi soch vyakti ko madad karne se rok deti. If aisa ho gaya ke maine market mein ghalat dakhil kiya, then main mojooda price par band kar dunga. I wish hum khabar channels ko ban kar sakte, aake woh hamari aman chain ki trading mein dakhal na dein. Tezi se barhne ke bajaaye, GBP/USD hourly timeframe par ek nihayat flat rising channel mein is tez barhne par ulte ko milti. The reaction at 1.2875 (3/8 channel ka bottom) is noteworthy, but ek zyada compelling bechna point 1.2936 (4/8) level hai. Consider taking a position at the current level, with targets at 1.2817 and 1.2759. However, price reaction is a strong resistance that requires careful monitoring. Ye sab khush rahe, bahut achha hai. After all, maine pair's modest volumes mein bechna shuru kiya tha, aur pound bas badh raha hai, koi pullbacks nahi, zero par deal ko band karne aur kharidne tak. Serious guidelines and levels tests will be conducted. Toh, 1.28 figure mein dakhil hone par maine bhi shorts ko add kiya, lekin, jaise ki aam tor par hota hai, akhir mein, pair bas ek range mein flat hai jo ke ten points se kam. Zaroor, you have puri tarah se bakwas. If aap par dhyan dete hain, then pound-dollar aasani se upar ja sakta hai, 1.2815 (fib extension ke 161.8%) level ko test kar sakta hai, 1.2826 se thoda oopar - din ke last local maximum se. Lekin shak hai, kuch bhi test nahi karenge pehle, aur baad mein kisi bhi chiz par dhyan nahi denge. Toh, khabron se pehle main dekhta hoon ke kya ho raha hai, apne aap ko bachaon.

GBP/USD jori tawajju hasil karti rahi hai jab ke early Asian session mein Mangal ko 1.2780 ke qareeb ghoomti rahi. Karobari shakhsiyat taizi se Bank of England (BoE) sey interest rates ko qareebi mustaqbil mein kam karnay se bachne ki mumkinat ko tafseel se qeemat lagarahi hain. United Kingdom ki G-7 maeomiyat mein sab se zyada mahangai dar ki muqarrar hukumat BoE policy makers ko lamba arsa tak interest rates ko tang alaqay mein rakhnay par majboor karta hai.
Market Ke Mutabiqat aur BoE Ka Faisla:

GBP/USD ka rasta market ke mutabiqat ke saath mazbooti se jura huwa hai jo BOE ke interest rates mein possible taizi se kam karne ki timing ke aas paas ka hai. Fikriyat kahta hai ke August se shuroo hotay hue ahem interest rate mein kami ki mumkinat hai. Magar BoE policy makers inflation ko 2% par wapas laane mein kisi bhi ahem tabdili ke qadamat uthanay se pehle interest rates ko 5.25% par barqarar rakhne ka rujhan dikha sakte hain.

US Dollar Ki Chunnautiyan:

US Dollar ne United States Institute of Supply Management (ISM) se kam khush gawar report ke baais mukhtalif mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. February ki manufacturing PMI figures ek udaasi bhari ma'ashi tajziya ka manzar pesh karte hain, jismein ek bezaar New Orders Index aur manufacturing sector mein layoff ke signals shamil hain.

D1 Chart Technical Analysis aur Market Trends:

Haal hi mein 1.2900 par apni bulandi se neeche aate huwe, Pound Sterling ab 1.2780 par aram se puhunch chuki hai, jisse ek mazboot phir se farigh ke baad ek qabil-e-qadar wapsi ka izhar hota hai. Yeh neeche ki taraf rawani mein descending triangle ke roop mein samundar mein girna hai, jo pichle Jumma ko set ki gayi bulandi se shuru hota hai. Market ke quwaton ke aapas mein ulat pher aur chart par nisbatan horizontally support ke darmiyan, jo is pattern ke oopar mukhtalif jagah par mojood hai aur 13 December ko dekhi gayi kam se kam 1.2498 ke qareeb qeemat ko yaad karta hai.

Descending Triangle pattern, jo ke market ke hissedaron mein unka zara zara neeche ka rujhan hota hai, flat lows ke sath neeche ki taraf izhaarat ke bawajood shirini se mazid miydaar hai, mojooda market ke dynamics par asar dalta hai. 14-muddat Relative Strength Index (RSI) traders ke darmiyan tezagiyat ka izhar karta hai jo 40.00-60.00 range ke andar hota hai.

GBP/USD jodi aik dilchasp kahani ko stage par lata hai, jo ke Tuesday ke early European session mein dynamic tabdeeli ka ishara deta hai. Kamzor recovery ke doraan US Dollar (USD) ke liye, markazi jodi mein ek halka sa niche ki rukh hota hai, jis ne February ke labour market report ke sabar se muntazir haftay ke liye manzar-e-kar ko sajaya. Kahaani khulte hue, GBP/USD ab 1.2785 par hai, jo ke currency market ke harkaton ke yeh behtareen bab mein traders aur analysts ka tez tawajju ko hasil karta hai.


Manufacturing PMI Report aur Labor Market aur Mahangai

S&P Global ka haal hi mein Manufacturing PMI report UK ki ma'ashi ke liye ek mushkil manzar paish karta hai. Ghar aur foreign markets se naye orders ke istilam ne client destocking, khamosh market confidence, aur mali dabao ke baiys asar ko mehsoos kiya hai. Factory owners ne supply chain disruptions ka samna kiya, jo Red Sea crisis ke barhte hue, raw material deliveries mein deri aur input prices mein izafa ki wajah bana.

Jabke manufacturing sector ke saamne rukawatein hain, solid wage growth barqarar hai, jo ke services sector mein josh dalta hai. Is ke seedhe asar ke saath mahangai par, yeh wage growth UK ke core Consumer Price Index (CPI) ko ziddi tor par buland rakhta hai. Bank of England (BoE) ke policy makers nazdeek se nazar rakh rahe hain jabke labour costs aur service inflation growth ka raftar sustainable inflation ko 2% target tak wapas lane ke liye zaroori rate ko paar kar rahi hai.

Technical Analysis aur Choti Muddat ke Tawaqoat:

GBP/USD ne Friday ko 1.2900 handle par ek mazboot technical rukawat ka samna kiya. Jabke jodi ko band hone tak lagbhag ek quarter percent ki maqbooli mili, 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par 1.2681 se technical support ab bhi ek ahem factor hai. Magar, aas paas ke technical resistance 1.2900 par bullish momentum ko rokta hai, jis se peechle Jumma ke peak bids 1.2900 ke qareeb puray hone se bach jate hain.

Friday ko Cable mein haal hi mein hasil hone wale faiday aik choti muddat mein thori upar ki taraf ka ishara dete hain, jo ke buland 1.2900 area ko dobara test kar sakta hai. Magar, ek wasee nazar ke mutabiq Pound ke saamne challenges hain, trend oscillators intraday aur daily DMI signals par kamzor taajubat signal karte hain. 1.2810 par ek qat'i tor par breakthrough ke saath haal hi mein range highs 1.2900 ki taraf faiday ka raasta ban sakta hai.

Analyzing Economic Indicators:

Pir ne GBP/USD ke shauqeen ke liye qabil-e-qadar taraqqi laai. Currency pair ne 1.2860 ke darmiyan din mein buland tareen nuqta haasil kiya, jo ke naumeedi mein izafay ke asar par huwa, jab ke US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) aur Factory Orders ki umeedi se kam nikal aai. Is ne US Dollar (USD) ko naram kar diya. Magar, market ka jazba taazgi se intezar mein latka hua hai jab hum is haftay Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke do aham guftaguon ke liye apne aap ko tayar karte hain Isharaat ke mutabiq maeashiyat ke liye dastiyab hai ke wo apni paimaish barhane par qadam rakh rahi hai, jo ke mustaqbil ki paidawar trends aur PMIs mein zahir hai. Jab ke ye behtareen honay par wo khatarnaak ho sakti hain, ek mukammal tehqiq ne mukhtalif liquidity measures ki zaroorat ko talash kiya hai taake mustaqil behtar hone ka rukh barqarar rahay. Magar, maali measures ki mumkin had aap kashi paish aati hai, jo ke Bank of England (BoE) ke jaldi interest rate cuts ka raasta khulta hai. August aik ahem juncture ban jata hai, jahan market expectations ka intezar hota hai ke inflation ka 2% target wapas aane ke sath interest rate reductions bhi hongay.


Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD:


Aik mazboot rukawat GBP/USD ke liye 1.2821 par intezar hai, jo ke Bollinger Band ka upper boundary, aik nafsiyati imtihan aur aik ahem peak jo March 4 ko darj kiya gaya hai, ke liye aik markazi mawqah hai. Is mukhtalif rukh ko paar karne ka maqam is jodi ko peechle haftay ka buland tareen nuqta 1.2890 ki taraf tezi se jaane ka imkan deti hai, jahan taqatwar momentum ne mazeed unchaaiyon ki taraf rukh kiya. Kisi bhi pichlay janib ka dharana ko tawajjo se nazar andaaz karna bullish momentum ki dairpaai ko barqarar rakhne ke liye ahem hai, ideal taur par aham 1.2800 ke asray ke upar qaim rahna chahiye.Char ghanton ki chart par ek dilchasp kahan samne aati hai, jo ke GBP/USD jodi ke liye mazboot bullish momentum ko darust rakhta hai jab wo zaroori 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar apni jaga banaata hai. Is umeed bhari nazar se barhne wale manzar ko mazeed taqat di jati hai, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 midline ke upar thehra hua hai, jo ke prevailing trend ko upar rukh karne ki taraf ishara karta hai. Magar, agay mushkilat ka imtehan 1.2900 par hai, jo bullish ummedon ke liye nishaana bana hai, jabke 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ka gradual 1.2544 tak pohanchne ka silsila jaari hai.

GBP/USD H4 Timeframe.

The GBP/USD ke 1.2819 ke level par. Hum bechne mein khushi dhoond rahe hain. Aaj paisa kamane ki badi khwahish hai. Shakhsiyat ki ameer tajurba ke saath, hum intezar karte hain ke chart 1.2819 ki qeemat par lautega. Chahe aap kisi bhi kursi par chadhein, mumkin hai mumkin hai. Main candle ko neeche, tezi se aur kam pakadta hoon! Mere stops 1.2822 ke mord par mujhe chain se baithne denge. Meri deals se baahar jaane ke baad, main kam se kam agle din tak araam karunga. Shayad kal ka silent tareeqa se neeche toot jaye aur wahan thehar jaye, isliye ke aaj thehar nahi paya, main ek aur din ya do ka intezar karna chahta hoon. Agar kuch dino tak ke liye daam sirf uncha hi rahe ya 1.2790-1.2743 ke support zone mein rahe, to main kharidne ke liye daud jaunga, lekin abhi tak mujhe uttar par shak hai aur isliye main jaldi nahi karna chahta. Main aapko ek achhi mood aur is hafte ko achhe munafe ke saath khatam karne ki khwahish karta hoon.

Dynamics ka ek bunyadi usool yeh hai: market ke chakkar se bachna namumkin hai. Jaise hi samundari lehar chaand ke kheenchne ke saath chadhti hai, waise hi maal ki keemat chadne aur girti hai. Is chakkar-daari ko pehchanana sirf akademik mushahidah ka amal nahi balki behtareen faislon ka aik amli zaroori hai. Is pehlu se, pesh guftagu ka tasavvur emerge hota hai jese ke aik strategy ka mustahiq zaroori hai. Mumkin dhaalaiyon ke nuqta-e-nazar ko pehchana, traders apne aap ko faida mand taur par rakhte hain, naye moqaat ko shunwari se hasil karne ya nazdeek aane wale khatron se apne aap ko bachane ke liye tayyar hote hain. Is halat mein, 1.2794 ka darwaza naye mawaqe ki nishani ke tor par samne aata hai, market ka palat jane ka ishara dete hue. Is tarah, yeh mehtaat ko ehtiyat ke sath aur mumkin hai ke trading ke faaliyat ko waqtan-fa-waqtan band karne ka intezaar kar raha hai, maamooli tor par, scenario ko wazehi se tashrih karne ke liye. Magar, mali marketon ke pesh-goiyon ki mushkil raasta mein safar, sirf taiz nazar ki ghaalibiyat se zyada nahi hai; balki ye tazagi aur samajhdari ki nishaani hai. Stratagi mein lachiliyat kamzori ka nishaan nahi hai, balki yeh be-sakht mudda hai uncertainty ke muqable mein samariyat ka asar hai. Is tarah, 1.2794 ke qareebi hawale se trading ke amal ko rokne ka faisla nakaami ka iqraar nahi balki paisay bachane ka aik danai faisla hai, aur agle moqaat ke liye tayyar ho raha hai.
Bunyadi tor par, mali marketon ke volatil samundaron mein safar takleef se bhara hai, lekin is uncertainty mein nashonuma aur taraqqi ka imkaan hai.

Chart H4 par dhaaran saf nazar ata hai ke wave structure apni upward sequence ko banane mein laga hai, MACD indicator overbought zone mein chadh raha hai aur apni signal line ke oopar hai. Ye dekhte hue ke, jaise maine zikar kiya, keemat ne December aur January mein trading kar rahe sideways range ke oopar aik ahem uchayi ko update kiya hai, iska girne ka ziada imkan hai. Pehle wave par Fibonacci target grid lagakar dekha jaaye to dekha ja sakta hai ke keemat ne do maqamat, 161.8 aur 200 level, tak pohanch gayi hai. Tisra inaami taqatwar halaat mein pura ho gaya hai. CCI indicator par halki bearish divergence hai, aur ye pehle se hi overbought zone se nikal chuka hai. Daily timeframe par bhi ye indicator overbought zone mein hai. Neeche bohot se supports hain, is liye mujhe lagta hai ke keemat kam az kam 1.2781 aur 1.2763 ke darmiyan ke zone tak giraygi.

Maine eh suggest kiya hai ke haftay ke chart par tawajjo di jaaye. Pichli trading week mein hone wali mazboot izaafa ke doran, keemat ne January mein jo sideways range mein thi, us ke oopar chadh gayi hai, jo ke kharidari zone ko ishaara kar sakti hai. Magar haftay ke chart par sab se ahem baat ye hai ke izaafay ke doran, keemat ne do peechli saalon ke uchayiyon se uthayi gayi ek ghatahui resistance line tak pohanch gayi hai. Ye samajhna hai ke ye line purani hai aur kuch margin of error ho sakta hai, magar main ye manta hoon ke aise ek line ko koi bhi nazar andaaz nahi karega. Isliye, ek ulte rukh aur ek neeche ki taraf ka harkat hone ka ziada imkan hai, February ki kam az kam ki neeche girne ke baad. CCI indicator ne overbought zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai, jo ke ek mazeed factor hai jo nichle rukh ki taraf ki ishara hai. Kuch correction pehle se hi ho chuka hai, magar ye itna chhota hai ke aise ek line ke liye. Ye ek he dafa mein is line ko toorna na mumkin hai; kam az kam, ek gehra swing ki zaroorat hai, aur doosri koshish mein, agar keemat correction ke baad apni upward movement ko dobara shuru karti hai to breakthrough ho sakta hai.

Yahan par GBP/USD ke abhi ke dauran ke maamlay pe baat ho rahi hai. Khaas taur par, GBP/USD ki intraday trend ne 1.2557 ke beech ek noticeable upswing dekha hai. Ye tezi 1.2036 se shuru hokar 1.3141 se 1.2036 tak 61.8% tak pahunch kar, ab 1.2716 ke level ki taraf ja rahi hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke 1.2447 ke neeche minor support ka zahir hona, intraday bias mein tabdeeli la sakti hai, aur ek lambi consolidation ki phase shuru ho sakti hai.

1.3141 se jo price action dekha gaya hai, woh 1.0351 se shuru hui upward movement ki corrective pattern ko zahir karta hai. 1.2075 par 38.2% retracement level se strong bounce-back, 1.2036 se ongoing rally ko second phase darust karta hai. Mumkin hai ke 1.3141 par ceiling ban jaaye, jo third phase ka aaghaz kare. Do mumkin scenarios samne aate hain: ek bullish continuation jo GBP/USD ko 1.2544-1.2620 ke resistance zone se guzarne ke taraf le jaaye, ya fir bear-driven correction jo is range ke andar 250-300 points tak ho. Risks ko tasleem karna zaroori hai, jahan selling risky lag rahi hai, wahan breakout points ya established 1.2311 support level par buying opportunities pasand ki ja sakti hain



Isliye, gadhe ki dum toot sakte hain. Isliye aane wala hafte GBP/USD lake mein trigger-barriers ke hawale se dilchasp ho sakta hai, khaaskar ki November ka mahina khatam hone wala hai. Agar hum last trading week ko dekhein, toh GBP/USD currency pair 1.2455 ke mukaable 1.2599 tak pahuncha. Musalman ne week ko 1.2446 se shuru kiya aur 1.2614 tak pahunche - 168 points, aur yeh bhi kuch khaas nahi hai. Pichhle bade week mein, kya aapne yeh trading tool use ki thi, GBP/USD? Haan, humne Business Week par try kiya tha aur tag par pata chala ki yeh choti si cheez thi aur bas itna hi tha. Hum nahi jaante ki aane wale hafte market mein pound/dollar kaunsi disha mein jayega, lekin humne socha kyunki yeh trading tool bohot smart hai, kyun ki yeh move kar raha hai.

Dusray janib, chhotay time frame, yani H1, se wazeh hai ke market 100 muddat sada moata moving average ki lakeer ke oopar jam raha hai, shayad abhi tak mazboot momentum ka intezar hai takay haftay ke safar ko Uptrend taraf jaari rakha ja sake. Upar diye gaye wazahat ke bunyad par, ham trading ke lehaz se haftay ke akhir tak aakhri nateeja nikal sakte hain, lagta hai ke market ko bullish safar par wapas jaane ka moqa hai jo ke 1.2702 kshetr ke aas paas ke uchit zone ko nishana banakar hai . Agar yeh zone ghusa to, kharidne walon ka intezar hai ke keemat ko 1.2746 kshetr ko test karne ke liye barhaya jaye. Jab tak kharidne walay keemat ko 1.2630 kshetr ke oopar rakh sakte hain, tab mere khayal mein izafa ka moqa Downtrend ki taraf safar se zyada hai. Market ki manfiyat ya muskilat ko dekh kar, ham trading ke liye maqboliyat ko tabah kar sakte hain, lekin yeh bhi zaroori hai ke hum market ki sahi samajh ko madde nazar rakhen. Market ke chhotay time frame, jaise ke H1, par nazar daal kar, hum dekh sakte hain ke market ka intekhab moata moving average line ke oopar jam gaya hai. Yeh aik aham technical indicator hai jo ke market ke trend ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Is ke sath hi, is se maloom hota hai ke market ka taqreebanan kis taraf ja raha hai. Haftay ke akhir tak ka soch kar, haamare paas do raaste hain. Agar market 1.2702 kshetr ke oopar ja sakta hai, to yeh ek bullish signal ho sakta hai aur traders ko bullish trend ke saath trading karne ka moqa mil sakta hai. Magar agar market 1.2702 kshetr ko tor nahi paata, aur 1.2630 kshetr ke oopar rehta hai, to is ka matlab hai ke market ne abhi tak apne bullish safar ko jaari rakha hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke is wakt, market ka bullish bias zyada mazboot hai, lekin traders ko hamesha taiyar rehna chahiye ke market ke tabdeel hone ka imkaan hai. Is liye, stop-loss orders ka istemal karna zaroori hai takay traders apne nuqsaanat ko control mein rakh saken. Market mein trading karte waqt, humein market ke technical aur fundamental factors ko dono ke dono madde nazar rakhna chahiye. Sirf ek hi taraf ki soch se kaam nahi chal sakta, balkay hamen market ke har pehlu ko samajhna hoga taake hum apne trading decisions ko sahi taur par le saken. Aakhir mein, trading ek mahirana dawat hai jahan hosla aur sabr dono ki zaroorat hoti hai. Market ke halaat ko samajhna aur un par amal karna traders ke liye zaroori hai taawo kamiyabi haasil kar sakein. !

Market pair ki mojooda halat yeh darust karti hai ke ek mazboot bearish jazba mojood hai; kyun ke bechne walon ne pechle din pehle din mein ahem khareedar support area jo ke 1.2660 par tha, par kaam karte hue ziada dabao dala. Is taraqqi ne market ki halat mein aik numaya kamzori ko zahir kiya hai? Imkan hai ke neeche ki taraf jaari rehne ka momentum ban sake.
Is bearish trend ki taraf le jane wale dynamics ko tajziya karte hue? Yeh ahem hai, ke ghooron ne pehle se mukarrar support level mein ghusne mein kis tarah kaamyaabi hasil ki. Market ke hissadaran, mukhtalif wajahon ki bina par jaise ke maali indicators, geopolitical events, or sentiment ki shift, ne intehai bechnay wale dabaao ko shape dene mein aham kirdar ada kiya.

Karobar ke log, jo ke technical levels and indicators ko qareeb se nazar andaaz kar rahe hain, bearish momentum ki had tak samajhne aur mogheera points pehchanne mein masroof. Chart patterns, moving averages, and other technical analysis tools are used in the market to identify trends and predict future outcomes.

1.2660 ke khareedar support area ko torne ka asar ho sakta hai, aur mazeed bechnay wale dabaao ko trigger karna, jise ke stop-loss orders ko shuru kar ke, bearish halat ko aur ziada badha sakta hain. Traders jo risk management strategies istemaal kar rahe hain, woh apni positions ko adjust kar rahe honge ya naye dakhilay ke baare mein soch rahe honge mojooda market dynamics ke mutabiq.

Market sentiment, jise khabar, maali reports, and global events asar daal sakte hain, bearish tone mein shaamil ho sakti hai. Yeh ahem hai ke bade taur par samajhna aur market ko mutasir karne wale bahari factors ke baare mein malumat hasil karna market ke hissadaran ke liye ahem nazriya farahem karsakte hain.

Yeh zaroori hai, maaloom ho ke market ki halat dinamik hain aur tabdeel ho sakti. Traders and investors need to adjust their strategies accordingly. Monitor key support and resistance levels, keep an eye on relevant news and events, and be aware of the complexities of the bear market.

Ikhtisar mein, mojooda bearish trend, jise 1.2660 ke khareedar support area mein kamiyabi se tor diya gaya hai, zaroori hai ke technical aur bunyadi factors ki comprehensive analysis kiye. Yeh mukhtalif tajaweezat se market hissadaran ko maharat hasil karne mein madad farahem kar sakti hai, jo market dynamics ke jawab mein sahi faislay karne mein madadgar sabit hai.

**GBP/USD Technical Analysis:**

**Mukadma:**
Pound Sterling (GBP) aur United States Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan ka taqatwar taaluq muashiyati ahangar ka aham hissa hai. Ye do bade mulk hain jo duniya ki mukhtalif imaraton mein shaamil hain aur unke currencies ki malkiat, forex market mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Isliye, GBP/USD ka technical analysis karke iske mukhtalif pehluon ko samajhna zaroori hai.

**Tarikhchah:**
GBP/USD ka technical analysis karne se pehle, tarikhchah ka aham kirdar hota hai. Is mein pichle mahinayon aur saalon ke trends ko dekha jata hai taake is ke future movement ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Tarikhchah ke zariye, mazid taqatwar aur kamzor points ka pata lagaya jata hai.

**Moving Averages Aur Oscillators:**
Moving averages aur oscillators jaise technical indicators, GBP/USD ka analysis karne ke liye istemal kiye jate hain. Moving averages, ma'amoolan mukhtalif arsay ke closing prices ka average hota hai jo currency pair ke trend ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Oscillators, market ke overbought ya oversold levels ko darust karne mein madadgar hote hain.

**Support Aur Resistance Levels:**
GBP/USD ke technical analysis mein support aur resistance levels ka bhi ehem kirdar hota hai. Ye levels market mein mukhtalif shurooati aur mukhtasir muddaton ke liye strong levels ko darust karte hain jahan traders ka interest hota hai.

**Volume Analysis:**
Volume analysis bhi GBP/USD ka technical analysis mein shamil hota hai. Volume, market mein trading activity ko darust karne mein madadgar hota hai aur future price movements ko samajhne mein ahmiyat rakhta hai.

**News Aur Events:**
GBP/USD ka technical analysis karne ke dauran, mukhtalif news aur events ka bhi khayal rakha jata hai. Ye events, monetary policy announcements, economic indicators ki release, aur geopolitical developments shamil hote hain jo currency pair ke movement ko asar andaz karte hain.

**Conclusion:**
GBP/USD ka technical analysis karne se, traders aur investors ko currency pair ke potential future movements ka andaza lagane mein madad milti hai. Ye analysis mukhtalif technical tools aur fundamental factors ka istemal karke kiya jata hai taake sahi fazoolat aur trading decisions liya ja sake. Is tarah, GBP/USD ka technical analysis market participants ke liye ahem hai jo is currency pair mein shirakat karte hain.

Heiken Ashi candlesticks apni efektivti mein mukhtalif price quotes ko smoothing aur averaging karne ke liye wasee maqbool hain. Yeh market mein turning points, corrective pullbacks, aur impulse movements par maloomati observations faraham karne mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Ye mombattiyan price dynamics ka tafseel se tajziya karne mein kisi kaam ki hoti hain. Heiken Ashi ke saath, TMA indicator yaani Triangular Moving Average bhi aik qeemti tool sabit hota hai. Yeh indicator moving averages ka istemal karke support aur resistance lines ko dynamic taur par wazeh karta hai. Is tarah, yeh zaroori hadood banata hai jo traders ko kisi asset ki price movement ke potential directions ko samajhne mein madad deta hai. TMA market trends ko wazehi se samajhne wale approach ko behtar banata hai.
Is taqatwar milaap ko barhane ke liye RSI oscillator bhi shamil hai, jo signals ke liye ek ahem filter ke tor par kaam karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) traded pair ke liye overbought aur oversold zones ko pehchanne mein aham kirdar ada karta hai. Ye maloomat traders ke liye intihai ahem hai jo market ki conditions par mabni faislay karne ki talash mein hain. RSI oscillator analysis ko darusti se tajziya karne mein aik darja ke tajurbat ko shamil karta hai, strategies ko fine-tune karne aur dakhil aur nikaal ke points ko optimize karne mein madad karta hai.

Milkar, yeh teeno indicators market analysis ke liye aik mukammal aur sateek approach ko paida karte hain. Heiken Ashi candles price movements ko samajhne ke liye bunyadi hoti hain, TMA indicator zaroori support aur resistance levels ko qaim karta hai, aur RSI oscillator aakhri filter ka kaam karta hai trading signals ko mukammal karna. In indicators ke darmiyan taasub tajziya technical analysis ki overall efektivti ko barhata hai, traders ko market dynamics ka zyada nuqsan se samajhne ka izazat deta hai.

Is tafseeli framework ko aur 400 alfaz ke sath barhane se har indicator ke nuances, potential strategies, aur mukhtalif market scenarios mein real-world applications ka gehra tajziya mumkin hota hai.

GBP/USD ki technical price analysis ke mutabiq, pichle trading haftay mein iski harkat zyadatar bullish rahi. Ismein ghataavat kam thi, kyun ke kharidari bazaar par bechnay walon se zyada dabao rakhti thi. Halanki, pichle Jumma ko, haalat buland the, lekin harkat phir bhi barhti rahi. Is waqt ki mom ki mombati ki keemat 1.2810 se 1.2885 tak ja sakti thi. America dollar ki kamzori ne GBP/USD ko barhte rehne mein madad ki, isliye pound sterling ise mazboot karne mein istemal ho raha hai. Ye is wajah se hota hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ne agle kuch mahinon mein dar-e-faiz ko kum karne ka irada kiya hai. Fed samajhta hai ke muashiat apne maqsood tak pohanchne lagi hai. Is maamle mein, dollar ki kamzori ne gbpusd ko faida pahunchaya hai aur isay mazbooti milti ja rahi hai. Pichle Jumma ko dekhte hain, halat buland the, lekin harkat phir bhi barhti rahi, iska ek sabab ye bhi ho sakta hai ke logon mein ghaflat aur beche dene ki jazbaat zyada hain.
Isi tarah, pound sterling ki mazbooti aur dollar ki kamzori ke chalte, gbpusd mein is waqt acha potential hai. Lekin, hamesha yaad rahe ke forex market mein harkat mutasir ho sakti hai, is liye mahine bhar ke dar-e-faiz ke intezar mein rahna behter ho sakta hai. GBP/USD ki technical price analysis ke mutabiq, pichle haftay mein iski harkat zyadatar bullish rahi. Kharidari bazaar par bechnay walon se zyada dabao ke bawajood, halat buland rahe. Mom ki mombati ki keemat 1.2810 se 1.2885 tak pahunch sakti thi. America dollar ki kamzori ne gbpusd ko barhte rehne mein madad ki, jiski wajah se pound sterling ise mazboot kar raha hai. Fed ne dar-e-faiz ko kum karne ka irada kiya hai, muashiat ke maqsood tak pohanchne ke liye. Is context mein, gbpusd mein acha potential hai, lekin market ki harkat par nazar rakhna zaroori hai.