gbp/usd

### GBP/USD Pair Review

Aaj kal GBP/USD pair main kaafi volatile price movement dekhne ko mil raha hai, jo UK CPI news ke release hone se driven lagta hai. CPI data year-on-year 2.0% grow kar raha hai, jo mere pehle ke estimate 1.9% se zyada hai. Mujhe disappoint hone pada kyunki maine pehle socha tha ke CPI data slow hoga, aur is wajah se maine jo GBP/USD pair main SELL position rakhi thi, woh aaj raat tak floating loss bear kar rahi hai.

### Aaj ke Analysis

Mere analysis ke mutabiq, fundamental aspect se dekha jaye to lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair ke paas potential hai ke woh kal, yani Thursday ko phir se upar move kare. Kyunke kal Claimant Count Change data release hoga, jo un logon ki taadaad hai jo government se berozgari ki madad ke liye apply karte hain. Analysts ka estimation hai ke yeh data pehle se kam hoga, matlab ke berozgari pehle se kam hui hai aur economy phir se grow kar sakti hai. Saath hi, US bhi apna Unemployment Claims data release karega, jo pehle se zyada hone ka estimate hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke US economy slow ho rahi hai. Is se yeh assume kiya ja sakta hai ke GBP exchange rate strong hoga aur USD weak hoga, jis se GBP/USD pair bullishly higher move karne ka potential rakhta hai.

### Technical Analysis

Timing ke liye, technical analysis pe move karna zaroori hai. Jab yeh article likha gaya, price ne ek naya higher high level 1.3044 pe form kiya tha aur thoda bearish correction kiya. Ek price action strategy ko follow karte hue trader ke tor par, ideally mujhe ek BUY position aim karna chahiye. Magar kyunki price ne abhi tak significant bearish correction nahi kiya, mujhe lagta hai ke BUY position open karne ka idea thodi der tak postpone karna chahiye. Yeh ummeed hai ke price thoda aur deep bearish correction kare, aur ideally Bollinger band time frame H1 ki middle line ko touch kare.

### Summary

GBP/USD pair main volatility UK CPI news ke release hone se driven hai. CPI data 2.0% grow ho raha hai, jo mere pehle ke estimate se zyada hai. Fundamental aspect se lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair ke paas kal ke din bullish move karne ka potential hai. Analysts ka estimation hai ke UK Claimant Count Change data pehle se kam hoga, aur US Unemployment Claims data pehle se zyada hoga, jo GBP ko strong aur USD ko weak karega. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, jab tak price ek significant bearish correction nahi karta, mujhe BUY position open karne ka idea postpone karna chahiye.

GBP/USD currency pair is waqt medium term mein ek bullish channel mein positioned hai, jo overall upward trend ko zahir karta hai. Is pair ke liye significant support level 1.2885 par identified hai, jo ek crucial floor ka kaam karta hai aur price ko is point se neeche girne se roknay mein madad karta hai. Current trading price is support level ke upar hai, jo bullish trend ki strength ko reinforce karta hai. Yeh scenario suggest karta hai ke jab tak price 1.2885 se upar hai, traders ko buying opportunities dekhni chahiye, aur further upward movement ki umeed rakhni chahiye.
Short term mein, ek nayi growth wave ki anticipation hai, jo 1.2863-1.2880 region mein highs ko renew kar sakti hai. Yeh range critical hai kyunke yeh previous resistance levels ko represent karti hai, jo agar break ho jayein, toh bullish momentum ki continuation ka signal de sakti hai. Traders ko in levels ke ird gird price actions par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunke agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh additional gains ka raasta khul sakta hai. Bullish channel sirf current trend ko indicate nahi karta balki trades ke entry aur exit points ke liye bhi guide karta hai.

GBP/USD pair ke liye further potential zones 1.2858-1.2893 range mein hain. Yeh zones significant hain kyunke yeh buyers aur sellers dono ke liye key areas of interest provide karte hain. Channel ko medium term mein ek reversal pattern ke tor par dekha jata hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke jabke pair abhi ek upward trend mein hai, kuch corrections ya consolidations face kar sakta hai pehle ke apna ascent continue kare. 1.288200 ka target yeh suggest karta hai ke koi bhi declines towards this mark buying interest ko meet kar sakti hain, jo overall bullish outlook ko support karti hai. Is liye, traders ko in levels ka khayal rakhna chahiye aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karna chahiye taake ongoing market movements ko capitalize kar sakein.

Pichlay din ki harkat main dekhne ko mila keh market ka trend 00:00 par upar gaya, 04:00 se 12:00 tak sideways movement hui, aur phir dopeher ko phir se upar janay ki koshish hui. Shaam mein sellers mazbooti se aaye aur price ko neeche le gaye, aur daily candlestick ne overall bearish trend ko FOMC news se support kiya. Abhi H4 timeframe par price movement ka direction clear nahi hai, magar daily candlestick ab bhi bearish movement ko signal kar raha hai. H1 timeframe main market pehlay limited range mein chal raha tha, aur 20:00 par solid seller entry hui, jo price ko neeche le gayi. CCI -100 area ke qareeb hai aur upar ki taraf bend ho raha hai, jo potential correction ka ishara de raha hai. OSMA 0 se neeche aur neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai, jo bearish momentum ko confirm kar raha hai. Stochastic oversold condition mein hai 20 ke area ke qareeb, jo ek possible short-term upward correction ko indicate kar raha hai.

Trading strategy ke liye, bearish trend ko continue karna focus rakho. Jab price upar jaye aur upwards correct kare, toh CCI, stochastic, aur OSMA ko H1 timeframe par overbought area mein dekhna. Jab indicators overbought conditions signal karen, toh yeh ek ideal entry point hoga short position ke liye.

Agar price foran girta hai, toh pehlay daily low ko break karne ka intezar karo. Jab daily low breach ho jaye, toh ek short position enter karo, bearish trend ke continuation ko confirm karne ke liye. Indicators, khaaskar CCI, stochastic, aur OSMA ko H1 par monitor karo overbought signals ke liye takay short position ke entry time ko align kar sako. Short position ke entry points set karo agar price upwards correct kare aur indicators overbought conditions tak pohnchen ya agar price daily low ko break kare significant upward correction ke baghair. Stop-loss ko recent high ya resistance level ke upar set karo aur take profit ko support levels par ya risk-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2 ya 1:3) ke basis par set karo.

Primary strategy yeh hai keh bearish trend ko follow karo due to solid seller pressure on H1 aur H4, trades ko upward corrections ke baad overbought indicator signals ke sath enter karo ya foran jab daily low break ho. Indicators aur price movements ko carefully monitor karke, apne trades ko prevailing bearish trend ke sath align kar saktay ho, jo profitable trades karne ke chances ko improve karega.

GBP/USD currency pair ek bearish trend exhibit kar rahi hai, aur yeh downward movement is hafte continue hone ki umeed hai. Current market sentiment suggest karta hai ke agar pair support level 1.2893 ko break kar deti hai, toh yeh aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur next target 1.2853 hoga. Yeh level traders ke liye critical point hoga, kyunke yahan breach hone par bearish trend ki strength confirm hogi aur aur significant downward movements ke chances barh jayenge.

Agar price support level 1.2893 ke upar hold karti hai, toh yeh temporarily stabilize ho sakti hai. Magar, overall market conditions aur technical indicators continued bearish momentum ki taraf point karte hain. Agar yeh support break hota hai, toh traders ko pair ke lower levels tak pohchnay ke possibilities ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, jo bearish outlook ko reinforce karte hain.

Upside par, pair ko 1.2900 par strong resistance ka samna hai. Yeh resistance level crucial hai kyunke yeh kisi bhi potential bullish reversal ke liye significant barrier represent karta hai. Agar GBP/USD pair is resistance ko break kar deti hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein shift ko indicate kar sakti hai, aur next target 1.2885 hoga. Magar, given the current bearish trend, yeh lagta hai ke pair near term mein is resistance level ko overcome nahi kar payegi.

Considering the strong bearish trend aur prevailing market conditions, yeh expect kiya jata hai ke downward movement is hafte continue rahegi. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein. Agar 1.2893 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh strong signal hoga ke selling continue ki jaye, aur target 1.2853 hoga. Conversely, agar 1.2900 ke upar break hone ki koshish hoti hai, toh isse caution ke sath dekhna chahiye, kyunke bearish trend abhi bhi prevail kar sakta hai.

In conclusion, GBP/USD pair likely apna bearish trend is hafte maintain karegi, with the potential for further declines agar key support levels break hote hain. Support 1.2893 aur resistance 1.2900 crucial roles play karenge pair ki direction determine karne mein. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karna chahiye taake prevailing market trends ko capitalize kar sakein.

### GBP/USD H4 Time Frame

GBP/USD dheere dheere neeche ki taraf slide karna shuru kar raha hai. Leonid, kuch profit ke bags to mil hi gaye. Main kehna chahta hoon ke agar hum din ko 1.2985 par close karte hain, to iska koi khaas matlab nahi hoga. Haan, kuch signs south ki taraf move ke milenge, lekin trend upward hai aur din ko kam se kam 1.2930 par close hona chahiye. Bulls bahut strong hain aur kisi bhi waqt 1.3000 ka round level storm karne ke liye rush kar sakte hain. Mere hisaab se, is financial duniya ke monsters ne faisla kiya hai ke US dollar ko dump karna hai, aur agle 10 saalon mein is pair ka price tag barh jayega. Lekin ek achhi north move ke liye, humein ek aur baar neeche jaana padega taake jo extra passengers northern profitable train par chadh gaye hain, unse chutkara pa sakein. Yeh meri khud ki opinion hai, aur market ka apna opinion hota hai, jo aksar mere se milta nahi (aur is baar shayad mil bhi jaye). Kher, dekhte hain kya hota hai.


### GBP/USD Daily Time Frame

Good day Daliy! GBP/USD pair aaj kal monthly resistance zone ke andar trade kar raha hai, lekin lagta hai ke daily resistance zone bhi is monthly zone ke andar pichle paanch dinon mein form ho gaya hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke pair downward reversal shuru karega, kam se kam technical correction ke liye kuch dinon mein neeche ki taraf move karega. Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh next week hoga, aur abhi ke liye humein is naye form hone wale sales zone ko reverse retest se neeche se confirm karna padega. Agar yeh reversal current values se hota hai, to south ka main scenario mere liye 31st figure ke aas-paas hai. Lekin yeh sirf meri opinion hai.

GBP/USD pair mein current volatility UK CPI news release ki wajah se hai. UK CPI data 2.0% grow ho raha hai, jo pehle se zyada hai. Fundamental aspect se lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair ke paas potential hai ke kal ke din bullish move karne ka, kyunke UK Claimant Count Change data pehle se kam hone ka estimate hai, aur US Unemployment Claims data pehle se zyada hone ka. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, price ne ek naya higher high form kiya hai aur abhi ek significant bearish correction ka intezaar hai.

Summary:
- GBP/USD pair slowly slide kar raha hai, lekin trend upward hai.
- Bulls strong hain aur kisi bhi waqt 1.3000 ka round level storm kar sakte hain.
- Fundamental aspect se GBP/USD ke paas bullish move ka potential hai.
- Technical analysis ke mutabiq, ek significant bearish correction ke baad hi BUY position open karni chahiye.

USD pair ka outlook unclear hai. Downward pullback ki anticipation ke bawajood, humne pehle ke sales zone ya resistance area ke lower boundary se ek retest dekha hai. Iske ilawa, bullish debts ab bhi mumkin hain. Ideally, ek rebound is monthly resistance zone se hona chahiye. Pavlik ke address ke mutabiq, bearish trend jald shuru ho sakti hai, chahe bullish debt likely ho ya na ho. Magar, yeh sirf meri perspective hai. Hourly chart par pound-dollar pair ka analysis Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke speeches ke baad significant activity ko reveal karta hai. Price overlook bullish hai.
Pair ne support level 1.26072 par descend kiya aur 1.26801 se 1.26072 range ke andar trade karna shuru kiya. Theoretically, pair ko apni decline ko continue karna chahiye tha, magar yeh unexpectedly retrace ho gaya, shayad pre-election volatility ki wajah se. Upcoming elections ka impact uncertain hai, jahan inflation primary focus hai. Pair is range se shift hone ke chances kam hain agar inflation further decline ya growth exhibit nahi karta. Yeh filhal apne pehle ke highs ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke peculiar hai. Jab ke is pair ka decline likely hai, ek minor rise euro-dollar pair mein bhi plausible hai. Current analysis ke mutabiq, yeh pair range ke opposite borders ko touch kar sakta hai, jo ke modest increase ko suggest karta hai. Magar, pound ke current high trading level ke madde nazar, ek slight pullback predict kiya gaya hai pehle ke pair eventually support level 1.26113 par descend kare.
Pehle chart par ek downward plan aur selling points nazar aa rahe hain. Yeh plan relevant tha jab tak pound impulsively north move nahi kar gaya. Blue bar potential decline ko H4 signal ke relative moving averages ke mutabiq dikhata hai, aur aaj sirf yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke yeh signal kaam nahi kiya. Aaj, humne is signal ke liye risk level ko exceed kar diya hai. Green aur gray bars clarity ke liye thi taake hum samajh sakein ratios jab hum ek level ya doosre se sell karte hain. Phir, growth impulse ke baad, hume ek reverse signal (i.e., buy signal) bhi H4 timeframe par mila, aur yeh jaldi apne targets tak bina pullback ke pohanch gaya. Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, rise significant pullback ke bina tha, isliye lower timeframe par enter karna zyada successful nahi tha, kyunke signal ke turant baad up chale gaye.
Darasal, pound ke technical execution par koi shikayat nahi hai, kyunke isne sab kuch beautifully kiya. Agar pound ne local maximum break kiya, toh yeh ek true breakout tha, na ke false. Pehli wave of growth ke baad, pound ne apne lows ko maintain kiya aur elegantly third large wave mein enter kiya. Decline paanch waves ki form mein tha, jo ek exception thi. Yahan hum pehli long wave dekhte hain, phir third short thi, aur fifth bhi third ki tarah thi. Iske ilawa, fourth wave third wave ke zone mein enter hui, jo ke aksar corrections mein hota hai na ke trend waves mein.
GBP/USD apne main moving averages ke ooper trade kar raha hai aur relative strength index (RSI) musbat aur ooper ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. RSI abhi tak overbought shuruaat tak nahin pohancha hai. Lekin daily chart par ek cautionary sign hai, kyun keh 1.28 ke ooper koi mustaqil movement nahin rahi hai: 2024 ke chart par dekhne par maloom hota hai keh exchange rate ne 1.28 ke ooper koi significant muddat tak qaim nahin rakha hai. Daily chart ke performance ke aadhar par, 1.2860 par major resistance ko khatra hone ki kam umeedi hai. Yaad rahe keh 1.2840 par ek aur resistance level hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur agar isko toorna ho, to iska matlab hai keh pound aur agey nahin badhegi. Is resistance ke wajah se, GBP/USD Thursday ke ahem US inflation reading se pehle 1.28 level ke dono taraf narrow range mein trade kar sakta hai.
Mali calendar ke natije ke mutabiq, headline US consumer price index ki annual kamzori ka imkaan hai, jo keh May mein 3.3% se 3.1% tak girne ka intezar hai, jo keh January mein dekha gaya tha. Is natije se maloom hota hai keh saal ke pehle nisf mein keemat mein tezi ke baad inflation mein rukh aane ka izhaar hai. Is se Federal Reserve ke September mein US interest rate cut ke imkaanat barh jayenge, jo keh dollar par

### GBP-USD H4 Analysis Chart

#GBP/USD H4 British Pound - US Dollar. Forecasting aur analyzing ke liye Heikin Ashi candlesticks aur TMA aur RSI indicators ka istemal karte hue dekha gaya hai ke iss waqt trading plan ko purchases ki taraf banane ka mauka hai. Heikin Ashi candlesticks, jo aam Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein price value ko noticeable smooth aur average kar deti hain, yeh reversal points, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse price breakthroughs ko waqt par notice karne mein madadgar hain, jo trader analysis ko kaafi asaan banati hain.

Linear channel indicator TMA (Triangular Moving Average), jo chart par current support aur resistance lines ko Moving Average (Mashki) se dikhata hai, trading mein bhi ek behtareen madadgar hai, jo asset movement boundaries ko is waqt ke mutabiq dikhata hai. Aur aakhir mein, RSI oscillator indicator ka istemal final decision lene ke liye kiya jata hai, jo traded asset ke overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. Aisi trading instruments ka choice technical analysis ke process ko significant simplify kar deti hai aur false entries ko avoid karne mein madad karti hai.

Sab se pehle, yeh note karna zaroori hai ke provided chart par pair ke iss period mein candles blue rang ki hain, jo is baat ka signal deti hain ke bulls abhi strong hain aur actively price ko northern direction mein le ja rahe hain, is liye favorable prices par long positions open karne ka achha mauka hai. Price quotes linear channel ke lower boundary (red dotted line) se bahar gaye, lekin minimum extreme point tak girne ke baad, unhone wahan se push liya aur central line of the channel (yellow dotted line) ki taraf direction le li.

Usi waqt, basement indicator RSI (14) bhi buy signal ko kaafi approve karta hai kyun ke yeh long position choose karne ke conditions se mukhalif nahi hai; iski curve is waqt upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai. Upar diye gaye sab points ko dekhte hue, hum yeh conclude kar sakte hain ke iss waqt prevailing upward movement of the instrument ka matlab hai ke purchases ka kaafi achha probability hai, aur is liye hum long deal open karne ka faisla le sakte hain.

**Summary:**
- Heikin Ashi candlesticks smooth aur average price value ko dikha rahi hain.
- TMA indicator current support aur resistance lines ko show karta hai.
- RSI indicator overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai.
- Blue candles signal deti hain ke bulls strong hain aur price northern direction mein move kar rahi hai.
- Price quotes central line of the channel ki taraf move kar rahe hain.
- RSI (14) indicator buy signal approve karta hai.
- Upward movement ka matlab hai purchases ka achha probability hai.

In tamam points ko dekhte hue, long positions open karne ka mauka hai aur achha profit hasil karne ki ummed hai.

### GBP/USD Analysis - 16 July 2024

GBP/USD pair ne pichlay haftay ke trading mein mazboot bullish trend dikhaya, jo monthly uptrend se jari hai, halan ke June mein thori si downward correction hui thi.

#### Ahm Observations:

- **Pichlay Haftay ki Performance:**
- Market ne pichlay haftay mazboot bullish trend dikhaya, jo ke monthly timeframe mein dekhi gai overall uptrend ko reinforce kar raha hai.
- June mein price downward correction karte hue 1.2604 tak pohnchi thi. Magar yeh correction July mein barqarar nahi rahi aur bullish trend dobara shuru ho gaya.

- **Current Price Action:**
- Aaj subah tak, GBP/USD price uptrend zone ke andar rehne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Market ne kuch correction ke bawajood mazeed upward movement ke asaar dikhaye hain.
- Yeh jari rehne wali koshish yeh zahir karti hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi mazboot hai, jo ke pair ke liye higher levels ko target karne ke mauke pesh kar rahi hai.

#### Technical Levels to Watch:

- **Support Levels:**
- Pichla low 1.2604 par ek ahm support level hai. Jab tak price is level ke upar rehti hai, bullish outlook barqarar hai.
- Agar price is level tak dip karti hai, to yeh traders ke liye buying opportunities ho sakti hain jo ongoing uptrend ka faida uthana chahte hain.

- **Resistance Levels:**
- Immediate resistance recent highs ke qareeb dekhi ja sakti hai. In levels ko break karna bullish trend ke continuation ko confirm karega.
- Traders ko 1.2900 aur 1.3000 levels par price action ko dekhna chahiye, jo ke short term mein significant resistance points ke tor par act kar sakte hain.

#### Market Sentiment:

- Current market sentiment bulls ke favor mein lagta hai, kyun ke pair minor corrections se recover karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur upar ki taraf push kar raha hai.
- Uptrend mein resilience yeh suggest karti hai ke traders optimistic hain ke GBP/USD pair ke higher positions ki taraf move karne ke potential ko le kar.

#### Conclusion:

GBP/USD pair mazboot bullish momentum dikhata hai, recent price action mazeed gains ke potential ko indicate karti hai. Jab tak pair uptrend zone mein trade karti rahegi, traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna chahiye trading opportunities ke liye. Overall sentiment positive hai, jo ke aanay wale sessions mein higher targets ke possibility ko support karta hai.

### GBP/USD Trading Strategy on H1 Timeframe in Roman Urdu
**Traders ke liye jo GBP/USD currency pair analyze kar rahe hain, H1 (1-hour) timeframe short positions ke liye promising opportunities dikhata hai, agar kuch key technical conditions puri hoti hain. Apni trading strategy ko optimize karne aur profits maximize karne ke liye, in expert guidelines ko follow karein.**

#### Key Levels Identify Karna

**1. Resistance aur Support Levels:**
- **Resistance:** Strong resistance levels ko identify karein jahan price pehle reverse ya stall hui ho. Ye levels aksar psychological barriers ki tarah act karte hain aur short positions ke entry points time karne ke liye use kiye ja sakte hain. Resistance zones dekhein 1.3000 aur 1.2970 ke aas paas.
- **Support:** Support levels bhi identify karein jahan aap profits lene ka soch sakte hain ya potential bounces anticipate kar sakte hain. Key support levels hain 1.2860 aur 1.2830.

**2. Moving Averages:**
- 50-period aur 200-period Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) use karein trend direction aur potential reversal points gauge karne ke liye. Agar 50-period SMA 200-period SMA ke neeche crossover hoti hai, to ye typically bearish trend signal karti hai, jo short positions ke liye further confirmation provide karti hai.

#### Technical Indicators

**1. Relative Strength Index (RSI):**
- RSI ko monitor karein overbought conditions ke liye. Agar RSI reading 70 se upar hoti hai to ye suggest karti hai ke pair overbought ho sakta hai, indicating a potential reversal to the downside. Ye short position enter karne ka acha signal ho sakta hai.

**2. MACD:**
- Humari discussion GBPUSD currency pair ki price movements ko real-time mein track karne par hai. Bulls ne 1.2859 resistance ko breach kar liya hai jiski wajah se GBP/USD overbought territory aur resistance at the daily channel mein aa gaya hai. Ek pullback tabse hua hai jabse yeh initial breakthrough hua tha. Ye current actions technical analysis se match karte hain, halan ke thoda slowdown dekha ja sakta hai Friday ke daily candle ke neutral "top" se. Ye trend weekly timeframe ke saath align karta hai, hinting that channel ke andar correction in levels par khatam ho sakti hai, agar current resistance intact rehti hai. Agar bulls is level ko hold karne mein fail hoti hain to ye daily channel ke support line ki taraf descend kar sakti hai correction ke framework ke andar. Agar trendline break hoti hai to mujhe apni long positions reconsider karni hongi aur decide karna hoga ke unhein rakhna hai, close karna hai, ya sell positions switch karna hai. Ek purchasing opportunity tab arise ho sakti hai agar price 1.2879 level ko surpass karti hai aur usay maintain karti hai. Dusri taraf, ek bearish correction jo galat tarah se 1.2851 mark ko breach karti hai ongoing growth indicate kar sakti hai. Ek further confirmation of a buy signal tab hoga agar strength 1.2906 ke upar continue hoti hai, aur subsequent break beyond the 1.2911 mark hoti hai

GBP/USD currency pair ki qeematon ke waqt ke saath tabadli ka mutala karte hain. Hourly chart ka jaiza lene ke baad, humne dekha ke yeh pair Federal Reserve ke speech ke baad gir gaya aur Bank of England ke elan ke baad 1.26072 support ko hit kiya. Ibtida mein, aisa lagta tha ke aik range ban rahi hai, lekin baad mein aik achanak izafa hua. Main samjhta tha ke yeh sellers ke stop-loss orders ke trigger hone ki wajah se tha jo high volume ke sabab hua, lekin izafa jaari raha. Phir, humne dekha ke 1.27705 resistance ke upar ek head-and-shoulders pattern ubhar raha hai. Maine direction mein tabadli ki umeed rakhi towards a decline. Main tawaku karta hoon ke yeh pair gire ga kyunke yeh overbought hai aur in qeemat levels ko barqarar rakhne ki koi mazboot wajah nahi hai. UK inflation 2% par hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke Bank of England inflation ke target ko hit karne ki wajah se jald interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai. Aik mumkin decline 1.27705 support tak suggested kiya gaya kyunke 1.29942 resistance ke qareeb double touch tha, jo seller volume ko girawat ka ishara deta hai. Iske bawajood, buniyadi asrat, khaaskar dollar ka kamzor performance, mukhtalif natija dikhate hain. Halankeh dollar ki demand temporarily kam ho sakti hai, GBP/USD ke liye bara moves mumkin nahi lagte. Pehle se hi aham values ke qareeb 30 meters, ek izafa 31 ya mumkinan 33 tak zaroori hai substantial upward movement ke liye. Hum MA mein growth ki umeed kar rahe hain hourly chart par, market trends ke mutabiq. Agar pair mazeed gire, to support 1.2883 par yeh direction darshaata hai. Halankeh daily chart strong support breakdown nahi dikhaata, jo ek kamzor downward trend ko suggest karta hai. Trades enter karne ke liye, humein seller activity aur 1.2854 se neeche move dekhna hoga. GBP/USD mixed trends dikhaata hai aur bulls shayad bears ko 1.2883 hit karne se na rok saken. Yeh scenario possible consolidation ko darshaata hai jahan mazeed activity expected hai. Trend ko decipher karna mushkil bana hua hai.
GBP/USD pair ke potential gains ko cap kar sakta hai ya iska maujooda upward trajectory ko reverse kar sakta hai. Bar-aks, agar US mein economic weakness ke asar dikhte hain, to yeh dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai, pound ke liye mazeed support faraham karta hai. Traders ko yeh economic releases par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye. UK inflation data aur U.S. dollar news ke darmiyan interplay near-term direction ko dictate karegi GBP/USD pair ke liye. Jab tak yeh data points release nahi hotay, currency pair apni maujooda range mein trade karte rehne ka imkaan hai, halankeh breakout movements ka potential ke sath. Traders ko in developments par vigilant aur responsive rehna chahiye, kyunke yeh opportunities aur risks dono ko pesh kar sakti hain. Jaise ke hamesha, sound risk management aur economic indicators ke mutaliq waqif rehna crucial hoga GBP/USD currency pair mein aanewale market movements ko navigate karne ke liye

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis**

GBP/USD currency pair ne Friday ko traction gain karne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, sirf 0.13% ki modest increase dekhi gayi. Yeh tepid performance Bank of England ke interest rates ko agle hafte kam karne ke barhte expectations ko reflect karta hai. Pound do consecutive weeks se momentum lose kar raha hai, aur pichle hafte 1.3000 level ke upar peak kar gaya tha. Market participants ko Thursday ko Bank of England se 25 basis points ka interest rate cut ummeed hai, jo March 2020 ke baad pehli baar reduction hoga. Dusri taraf, Federal Reserve ke is mahine ke meeting mein interest rates ko unchanged rakhne ki ummeed hai. Halanki US inflation data ne June mein thoda uptick dikhaya, investors future rate cuts par focus kar rahe hain, utsalar September mein. Halanki recent inflationary pressures hain, market sentiment risk-on ke taraf lean kar raha hai, jo interest rate reductions ke optimism se driven hai. Interest rate futures September mein 25 basis points ka cut hone ki high probability ko indicate kar rahe hain, jabke ek zyada aggressive 50 basis points reduction ka chance bahut kam hai. **GBP/USD Currency Pair Technical Analysis** Technically, GBP/USD pair ne apni recent rally ke baad overbought conditions ke signs dikhaye hain. Support levels 1.2960 aur 1.2900 dekhna zaroori hain. Agar yeh levels ke neeche breakdown hota hai, toh 1.2850 resistance area ka retest ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar 20 aur 50-day moving averages aur 2021 downtrend line ke upar strength sustain hoti hai, jo 1.2750 ke aas-paas hai, toh yeh uptrend ke continuation ka signal dega. Overall, jabke GBP/USD abhi bhi positive se neutral trend mein hai, short-term consolidation ka imkaan hai recent price gains aur upcoming interest rate decisions ke wajah se. Traders ko breakout 20 aur 40-day SMA divergence ko carefully monitor karna chahiye taake 1.2899 ke aas-paas agla decision le sakein

GBP/USD ka jo jorh saptah pichle dinon mein nazar aya, woh aakhri haftay se aik mazboot bullisht trend ka izhaar kar raha hai, jo ke mahine ki uptrend se jari hai, halankeh June mein thodi si downward correction dekhi gayi thi.

Pichle Haftay Ki Performance:
Market ne pichle haftay mein aik mazboot bullish trend dikhaya, jo ke monthly timeframe mein nazar aane wale overall uptrend ko barqarar rakhta hai. June mein price ne 1.2604 tak ki neechey correction dekhi, lekin yeh correction July mein na chal saki aur bullish trend dobara shuru ho gaya.

Current Price Action:
Aaj subah, GBP/USD price uptrend zone mein rehne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Kuch corrections ke bawajood, aagey ke upar ki taraf chalne ke isharaat hain. Yeh ongoing effort yeh batata hai ke bullish momentum ab bhi mazboot hai, jo ke pair ko higher levels tak le ja sakta hai.

Technical Levels:
Support Levels:
Pichla low jo ke 1.2604 par hai, ek aham support level ke taur par dekhne ko milta hai. Jab tak price is level ke upar rahe, bullish outlook barqarar rahega. Agar price is level tak girti hai, to yeh traders ke liye buying opportunities ka izhaar kar sakta hai jo ongoing uptrend ko capitalize karna chahenge.

Resistance Levels:
Tajdeed shuda resistance recent highs ke paas dekha ja sakta hai. Agar yeh levels break ho jayein to bullish trend ka confirm ho jayega. Traders ko 1.2900 aur 1.3000 levels ke aas paas price action par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh short term mein significant resistance points ho sakte hain.

Market Sentiment:
Abhi ka market sentiment bulls ke haq mein nazar aa raha hai, kyunki pair choti moti corrections se recover karne aur upar ki taraf push karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Uptrend ki resilience yeh batata hai ke traders optimistic hain ke GBP/USD pair higher positions ki taraf move karega.

Conclusion:
GBP/USD pair mein strong bullish momentum nazar aa raha hai, aur recent price action se lagta hai ke aagey bhi gains ki potential hai. Jab tak pair uptrend zone mein trade kar raha hai, traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna chahiye trading opportunities ke liye. Overall sentiment positive hai, jo ke aane wale sessions mein higher targets ki possibility ko support karta hai.

GBP/USD ka technical nazariya

Monthly level 1.2870 se rebound karne ke baad, GBP/USD daily chart par ek acchi buy zone mein trade kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, daily chart par mid-channel lines ne price ko support diya.

Ek monthly pivot level ne is mahine ki price ki udaan ko support diya, jisne price ko ascending price channels se breakout karne aur upar ki taraf barhne mein madad ki. Jab price 1.2810 tak pohnchi, toh isne channels ke line ke sath trade karna shuru kiya. Uske baad, price girne lagi, lekin phir se channels se support mila, lekin resistance bhi saamna karna pada. Jab price barhti hai, phir girti hai aur channels ke andar phir se trade karti hai, toh ise resistance ke taur par dekha jata hai.

Yeh correction shayad daily chart par current bottom ke formation ke sath khatam ho gaya hai, kyunki optimistic close is hafte aur mahine ke highest price ko break karne ki koshish mumkin hai.

Economically, GBP/USD ka price kamzor-than-expected US business activity data ke baad fail ho gaya, jo Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko is saal lower karne ka justification bana raha hai. Kal naye resistance level 1.2890 ko break karne ke baad, pair ka price expected hai ke is hafte ke baqi waqt mein barhega, kyunki price 1.2780 level ko break kar chuki hai. Hafte ki trading ke dauran, pair pehle gir gaya aur weekly pivot level se support mila, uske baad price barh gayi aur kai resistance levels aur price channels ko break kar diya.

Aaj ke liye price trend upar ki taraf hone ki ummeed hai, kyunki price ek buying pattern ke andar trade kar rahi hai. Red aur blue price channels pichle do trading dinon ke dauran price movement ka upward direction dikhate hain.

GBP/USD ka H4 aur H1 timeframes ka tajziya karte hue:

Pichle din ki harkat mein, market ne raat 00:00 ke aas-paas upar ki taraf chalna shuru kiya, phir 04:00 se 12:00 tak sidewise movement dekhi, aur dopahar ko dobara upar ki taraf koshish ki. Shaam ke waqt sellers ne market ko theek se niche dhakel diya, jis se daily candlestick bhi bearish trend ko support kar rahi hai, jo FOMC news se bhi madad mili. Filhaal, H4 timeframe par price movement ka direction saaf nahi hai, lekin daily candlestick ab bhi bearish movement ko signal kar rahi hai. H1 timeframe par, market shuru mein ek limited range mein thi, aur raat 20:00 ke aas-paas strong seller entry ke baad price niche gayi. CCI -100 ke aas-paas hai aur upar ki taraf mod raha hai, jo ek potential correction ka signal hai. OSMA 0 se neeche aur neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai, jo bearish momentum ko confirm karta hai. Stochastic oversold condition mein hai, 20 ke aas-paas, jo short-term upward correction ka signal hai.

Trading strategy ke liye, bearish trend ko continue karne par focus karein. Price ke upar correction ke liye wait karein aur CCI, stochastic, aur OSMA indicators ko overbought area mein monitor karein. Jab indicators overbought condition signal karen, to yeh ek ideal entry point hoga short position ke liye.

Agar price foran girti hai, to pichle daily low ko break karne ka wait karein. Daily low breach hone ke baad short position enter karein, jo bearish trend ki continuation ko confirm karega. Indicators ko monitor karein, khas taur par CCI, stochastic, aur OSMA on H1 timeframe, overbought signals ke liye entry timing ke liye. Entry points set karein short position ke liye agar price upar correction kare aur indicators overbought conditions ko reach karein ya agar price daily low ko bina kisi significant upward correction ke breach kare. Stop-loss ko recent high ya resistance level ke upar set karein aur take profit support levels par ya risk-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2 ya 1:3) ke base par set karein. Primary strategy bearish trend ko follow karna hai due to strong seller pressure on H1 aur H4, trades enter karne ke liye upward corrections ke baad with overbought indicator signals ya foran daily low break par. Indicators aur price movements ko carefully monitor kar ke aap apne trades ko prevailing bearish trend ke sath align kar sakte hain, jo profitable trades ke chances ko improve karega.

GBP/USD:

GBP/USD currency pair medium term mein bullish channel ke andar hai, jo ke overall upward trend ko indicate karta hai. Iss pair ka significant support level 1.2885 par hai, jo ke ek crucial floor ke taur par kaam kar raha hai aur price ko is point se neeche girne se roknay mein madad kar raha hai. Current trading price iss support level ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ki strength ko reinforce kar raha hai. Yeh scenario suggest karta hai ke traders ko buying opportunities dekhi chahiyein jab tak price 1.2885 ke upar rehti hai, aur further upward movement ki expectations rakhi jayein.

Short term mein ek naye growth wave ki anticipation hai, jo ke 1.2863-1.2880 region mein highs ko renew kar sakti hai. Yeh range critical hai kyun ke yeh previous resistance levels ko represent karti hai jo, agar broken ho jayein, to bullish momentum ke continuation ka signal de sakti hain. Traders ko price actions ko in levels ke ird gird dekhna chahiye, kyun ke inke through break karna additional gains ke liye raasta bana sakta hai. Bullish channel sirf current trend ka indicator nahi hai, balki potential entry aur exit points ke liye guide bhi hai.

Further potential zones GBP/USD pair ke liye 1.2858-1.2893 range mein hain. Yeh zones significant hain kyun ke yeh buyers aur sellers ke liye key areas of interest provide karti hain. Medium term mein channel ko ek reversal pattern ke taur par dekha jata hai, jo indicate karta hai ke jab ke pair currently upward trend mein hai, yeh kuch corrections ya consolidations face kar sakta hai before continuing its ascent. 1.288200 ka target suggest karta hai ke kisi bhi declines towards yeh mark buying interest se mil sakti hain, jo overall bullish outlook ko support karti hain. Isliye, traders ko in levels ka khayal rakhna chahiye aur apni strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye taake ongoing market movements ka faida utha sakein.